1. Contrasting Domestic and Global Impacts of Emission Reductions in China on Tropospheric Ozone.
- Author
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Han, Han, Zhang, Lin, Wang, Xiaolin, and Lu, Xiao
- Subjects
ATMOSPHERIC ozone ,ATMOSPHERIC chemistry ,ATMOSPHERIC transport ,GREENHOUSE gas mitigation ,RADIATIVE forcing ,TROPOSPHERIC ozone ,TROPOSPHERIC chemistry ,OZONESONDES - Abstract
Sustained near‐surface ozone pollution despite stringent emission controls in China has drawn wide attention. However, how such rapid regional emission reductions affect global tropospheric ozone remains unexplored. Here, using an ensemble of measurements and global model simulations, we find Chinese emission reductions during 2013–2020 have increased domestic surface ozone; particularly in North China, they have decreased the global tropospheric ozone burden by 2.7 Tg (54% of China's anthropogenic contribution and 7% of global anthropogenic contribution in 2019) and ozone radiative forcing by 8.8 mW m−2 (64% of China's anthropogenic contribution and 9% of global anthropogenic contribution in 2019). Nitrogen oxides (NOx) associated nonlinear chemistry and height‐dependent atmospheric transport patterns primarily cause the contrasting impacts. Future Chinese NOx emission controls would continue to decrease global tropospheric ozone, while regional surface ozone may still increase unless NOx reductions exceed ∼53% of the 2019 level. Our results reveal the substantial benefit of regional emission reductions in China on global tropospheric ozone mitigation. Plain Language Summary: Tropospheric ozone is an important air pollutant and greenhouse gas and mainly produced by atmospheric photochemical reactions. Its levels are largely impacted by anthropogenic emission sources. Over the past decade, anthropogenic emissions in China have greatly declined, which may alter tropospheric ozone on a global scale. Using numerical simulations from a global chemical transport model, we show that emission reductions in China have substantially decreased the global tropospheric ozone burden over 2013–2020. The emission reductions have reduced the global anthropogenic tropospheric ozone radiative forcing and the Chinese contributions by 9% and 64%, respectively, although the emission reductions increased domestic surface ozone over North China. The differences in the nitrogen oxides (NOx) associated ozone formation regimes and atmospheric transport mechanisms over the surface of North China and the free troposphere primarily cause the contrasting impacts. We estimate that further emission reductions of NOx in China would cause nonlinear domestic and global tropospheric ozone changes. Our assessment demonstrates that emission reductions in China help global tropospheric ozone mitigation. Deep emission reductions are needed to further reduce domestic ozone pollution in China. Key Points: Emission reductions in China have substantially decreased the global tropospheric ozone burden and its radiative forcingDifferences in ozone chemistry and atmospheric transport mechanisms cause contrasting domestic and global impactsFuture NOx reductions in China would further mitigate global tropospheric ozone despite short‐term domestic surface ozone increases [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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