1. Validation of myocarditis diagnoses in the Swedish patient register for analyses of potential adverse reactions to COVID-19 vaccines.
- Author
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Gedeborg R, Holm L, Feltelius N, Sundström A, Eggers KM, Nurminen ML, Grünewald M, Pihlström N, Zethelius B, and Ljung R
- Subjects
- Humans, Reproducibility of Results, Sweden epidemiology, Biopsy, COVID-19 Vaccines adverse effects, COVID-19 diagnosis, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 prevention & control
- Abstract
Background: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) mRNA vaccines are associated with an increased risk of myocarditis using hospital discharge diagnoses as an outcome. The validity of these register-based diagnoses is uncertain., Methods: Patient records for subjects < 40 years of age and a diagnosis of myocarditis in the Swedish National Patient Register were manually reviewed. Brighton Collaboration diagnosis criteria for myocarditis were applied based on patient history, clinical examination, laboratory data, electrocardiograms, echocardiography, magnetic resonance imaging and myocardial biopsy. Poisson regression was used to estimate incidence rate ratios, comparing the register-based outcome variable to validated outcomes. Interrater reliability was assessed by a blinded re-evaluation., Results: Overall, 95.6% (327/342) of cases registered as myocarditis were confirmed (definite, probable or possible myocarditis according to Brighton Collaboration diagnosis criteria, positive predictive value 0.96 [95% CI 0.93-0.98]). Of the 4.4% (15/342) cases reclassified as no myocarditis or as insufficient information, two cases had been exposed to the COVID-19 vaccine no more than 28 days before the myocarditis diagnosis, two cases were exposed >28 days before admission and 11 cases were unexposed to the vaccine. The reclassification had only minor impact on incidence rate ratios for myocarditis following COVID-19 vaccination. In total, 51 cases were sampled for a blinded re-evaluation. Of the 30 randomly sampled cases initially classified as either definite or probably myocarditis, none were re-classified after re-evaluation. Of the in all 15 cases initially classified as no myocarditis or insufficient information, 7 were after re-evaluation re-classified as probable or possible myocarditis. This re-classification was mostly due to substantial variability in electrocardiogram interpretation., Conclusion: This validation of register-based diagnoses of myocarditis by manual patient record review confirmed the register diagnosis in 96% of cases and had high interrater reliability. Reclassification had only a minor impact on the incidence rate ratios for myocarditis following COVID-19 vaccination., Competing Interests: Dr Sundström reported participating in research funded by governmental agencies, universities, Astellas Pharma, Janssen Biotech, AstraZeneca, Pfizer, Roche, (then) Abbott Laboratories, (then) Schering-Plough, UCB Nordic and Sobi, with all funds paid to Karolinska Institutet, outside the submitted work. Dr Grünewald reported being involved in the European Medicines Agency regulatory assessment of Comirnaty; being previously employed at a drug development consultancy firm with cross-product responsibilities and being involved on a project for pertussis vaccines funded by Sanofi Pasteur, Merck Sharp & Dohme Corp, and GlaxoSmithKline at the Swedish Agency of Infectious Disease Control. Dr Ljung reported receiving grants from Sanofi Aventis paid to his institution outside the submitted work and receiving personal fees from Pfizer outside the submitted work., (© 2023 The Author(s). Published by Upsala Medical Society.)
- Published
- 2023
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