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BACKGROUND:Antimicrobial resistance is an emerging global health issue. Data on the epidemiology of multidrug-resistant organisms are scarce for Africa, especially in HIV-infected individuals who often have frequent contact with healthcare. We investigated the prevalence of extended-spectrum beta-lactamase-producing Enterobacteriaceae (ESBL-E) carriage in stool among HIV-infected children attending an HIV outpatient department in Harare, Zimbabwe. METHODS:We recruited children who were stable on antiretroviral therapy (ART) attending a HIV clinic from August 2014 to June 2015. Information was collected on antibiotic use and hospitalization. Stool was tested for ESBL-E through combination disc diffusion. API20E identification and antimicrobial susceptibility was performed on the positive samples followed by whole genome sequencing. RESULTS:Stool was collected from 175/202 (86.6 %) children. Median age was 11 [inter-quartile range (IQR) 9-12] years. Median time on ART was 4.6 years (IQR 2.4-6.4). ESBL-Es were found in 24/175 samples (13.7 %); 50 % of all ESBL-Es were resistant to amoxicillin-clavulanate, 100 % to co-trimoxazole, 45.8 % to chloramphenicol, 91.6 % to ceftriaxone, 20.8 % to gentamicin and 62.5 % to ciprofloxacin. ESBL-Es variously encoded CTX-M, OXA, TEM and SHV enzymes. The odds of ESBL-E carriage were 8.5 times (95 % CI 2.2-32.3) higher in those on ART for less than one year (versus longer) and 8.5 times (95 % CI 1.1-32.3) higher in those recently hospitalized for a chest infection. CONCLUSION:We found a 13.7 % prevalence of ESBL-E carriage in a population where ESBL-E carriage has not been described previously. Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) in Africa merits further study, particularly given the high HIV prevalence and limited diagnostic and therapeutic options available.

Rationale: Tuberculosis-associated immune reconstitution inflammatory syndrome (TB-IRIS) induced by combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) has been attributed to dysregulated expansion of tuberculin PPD-specific IFN-gamma-secreting CD4(+) T cells.Objectives: To investigate the role of type 1 helper T cell expansions and regulatory T cells in HIV-TB IRIS.Methods: Longitudinal and cross-sectional studies of Mycobacterium tuberculosis-specific IFN-gamma enzyme-linked immunospot responses and flow cytometric analysis of blood cells from a total of 129 adults with HIV-1-associated tuberculosis, 98 of whom were prescribed cART.Measurements and Main Results: In cross-sectional analysis the frequency of IFN-gamma-secreting T cells recognizing early secretory antigenic target (ESAT)-6, alpha-crystallins 1 and 2, and PPD of M. tuberculosis was higher in patients with TB-IRIS than in similar patients treated for both HIV-1 and tuberculosis who did not develop IRIS (non-IRIS; P Conclusions: There is an association between helper T-cell type 1 expansions and TB-IRIS, but the occurrence of similar expansions in non-IRIS brings into question whether these are causal. The defect in immune regulation responsible for TB-IRIS remains to be fully elucidated. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Rationale: The development of tuberculin skin test (TST) positivity following infection by Mycobacterium tuberculosis is not invariable and may depend on bacillary as well as host factors.Objectives: First, to compare the diagnostic performance of the TST and a form of in vitro IFN-gamma release assay (IFNGRA) in the circumstances of a contact investigation prompted by an unusually severe index case of infectious pulmonary tuberculosis. Second, to investigate the ability of the strain of M. tuberculosis responsible to induce cytokine secretion from monocytes in vitro.Methods: A routine TST-based tuberculosis-contact screening procedure supplemented by the use of an "in house" IFNGRA that assays the T-cell response to the M. tuberculosis-specific antigens ESAT-6, CFP-10 (presented as a fusion protein within the inactivated adenylate cyclase of Bordetella pertussis), and purified protein derivative of M. tuberculosis. Isolation and genetic typing of the strain of M. tuberculosis responsible, and investigation of its ability to induce cytokine secretion from monocytes in vitro.Measurements and Main Results: TST screening suggested a low rate of transmission with just 2/75 unequivocally positive responses. By contrast, the IFNGRA suggested an infection rate of 16/75 (22%). When compared with two reference strains of M. tuberculosis (H37Rv and CDC1551), the outbreak strain induced lower levels of tumor necrosis factor-alpha and interleukin-12p40 (p < 0.04), cytokines associated with the development of delayed-type hypersensitivity.Conclusions: These data suggest that infection by M. tuberculosis can be undetected by TST, and that this may partially relate to strain differences in immunogenicity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Recent interest has focused on the potential use of serial interferon gamma (IFN-gamma) release assay (IGRA) measurements to assess the response to anti-tuberculous (TB) treatment. The kinetics of IFN-gamma responses to Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) antigens in HIV-infected children during treatment have not however been previously investigated.Methods: IFN-gamma responses to the MTB antigens, ESAT-6, CFP-10 and PPD were measured by an enzyme-linked immunospot assay (IFN-gamma ELISpot) at presentation and at one, two and six months after starting anti-tuberculous treatment in HIV-infected children with definite or probable TB. Responses at different time points were compared using a Mann-Whitney U test with paired data analysed using the Wilcoxon signed rank test. A Fisher's exact or Chi-squared test was used to compare proportions when test results were analysed as dichotomous outcomes.Results: Of 102 children with suspected TB, 22 (21%) had definite TB and 24 (23%) probable TB. At least one follow up IFN-gamma ELISpot assay result was available for 31 (67%) of the 46 children. In children with definite or probable TB in whom the IFN-gamma ELISpot assay result was positive at presentation, anti-tuberculous treatment was accompanied by a significant decrease in both the magnitude of the IFN-gamma response to individual or combined MTB-specific antigens (ESAT-6 median 110 SFCs/106 PBMC (IQR 65-305) at presentation vs. 15 (10-115) at six months, p = 0.04; CFP-10 177 (48-508) vs. 20 (5-165), p = 0.004, ESAT-6 or CFP-10 median 250 SFCs/106 PBMC (IQR 94-508) vs. 25 (10-165), p = 0.004) and in the proportion of children with a positive IFN-gamma ELISpot assay (Fisher's exact test: ESAT-6 15/0 vs 5/11, p = 0.0002, CFP-10 22/0 vs 8/17, p = 0.0001, ESAT-6 or CFP-10 22/0 vs. 9/17, p= 0.002). However almost half of the children had a positive IFN-gamma ELISpot assay after six months of anti-tuberculous treatment. In addition, there was conversion of the IFN-gamma ELISpot assay result during anti-tuberculous therapy in six of 12 children in whom the initial IFN-gamma ELISpot assay was negative.Conclusions: In HIV-infected children with definite or probable TB, anti-tuberculosis treatment is accompanied by a reduction in the magnitude of the IFN-gamma ELISpot response to MTB-antigens. However, serial IFN-gamma ELISpot measurements appear to have limited clinical utility in assessing a successful response to anti-tuberculous treatment in HIV infected children. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Children have been largely spared from serious disease through the COVID-19 pandemic despite high exposure to SARS-CoV-2. Antibody responses to exposure and their role in protecting children from subsequent variant infection remains poorly understood., Methods: A prospective cohort study of children in a South African community through ancestral/Beta/Delta/Omicron BA.1/BA.2 and BA.4/BA.5 SARS-CoV-2 waves (March 2020-October 2022). Health seeking behaviour/illness was recorded and post-wave serum samples measured for IgG to Spike (CoV2-S-IgG) by ECLIA. To estimate protective CoV2-S-IgG threshold levels, logistic functions were fit to describe the correlation of CoV2-S-IgG measured before a wave and the probability for seroconversion/boosting thereafter., Findings: Despite little disease 125/366 (34·2%) children (median age 6·7y (IQR 5.9·9 7·4y) were seropositive following wave 1, rising to 53·6%, 76·0%, 96·2% and 99·2% after waves 2 (Beta), 3 (Delta), 4 and 5 (Omicron variants) respectively. CoV2-S-IgG induced by natural exposure protected against subsequent SARS-CoV-2 infection with the greatest protection for Beta and least for Omicron. Levels of IgG specific for ancestral spike (S) antigen that provided a 50% protective threshold for the subsequent wave were lowest for the Beta and highest for the Omicron BA.1/BA.2 wave. In multivariate analysis, maternal seropositivity (aOR=2·57 (95% CI: 1·72; 3·82) was strongly associated with child seropositivity., Interpretation: Children responded robustly to successive waves of SARS-CoV-2 mounting IgG responses to spike antigen that were protective against subsequent waves. In the absence of vaccination almost all children were seropositive after the 5 th wave but none were hospitalised suggesting natural immunity alone may be sufficient to protect children in a pandemic setting., Funding: UK NIH GECO award (GEC111), Wellcome Biomedical resources grant (221372/Z/20/Z), Wellcome Trust Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Africa (CIDRI), Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, USA (OPP1017641, OPP1017579) and NIH H3 Africa (U54HG009824, U01AI110466]. HZ is supported by the SA-MRC. MPN is supported by an Australian National Health and Medical Research Council Investigator Grant (APP1174455). BJQ is supported by a grant from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (OPP1139859). Stefan Flasche is supported by a Sir Henry Dale Fellowship jointly funded by the Wellcome Trust and the Royal Society (Grant number 208812/Z/17/Z)., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest HJZ reports grants from UK NIHR (GEC111), Wellcome Biomedical resources grant (221372/Z/20/Z), Wellcome Trust Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Africa (CIDRI), Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation USA, (OPP1017641, OPP1017579) and NIH H3 Africa (U54HG009824, U01AI110466]). HZ is supported by the SA-MRC. MPN is supported by an Australian National Health and Medical Research Council Investigator Grant (APP1174455). BJQ is supported by a grant from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (OPP1139859). Stefan Flasche is supported by a Sir Henry Dale Fellowship jointly funded by the Wellcome Trust and the Royal Society ((Grant number 208812/Z/17/Z)., (Copyright © 2024. Published by Elsevier Ltd.)

The diagnosis of paediatric tuberculosis remains a challenge due to the non-specificity of symptoms and the paucibacillary nature of tuberculosis in children. However, in the development of new tuberculosis diagnostics, the unique needs of children and adolescents are rarely considered in the design process, with delays in evaluation and approval. No clear guidance is available on when and how to include children and adolescents in tuberculosis diagnostic development and evaluation. To address this gap, we conducted a Delphi consensus process with 42 stakeholders, including one qualitative and two quantitative rounds. Consensus was achieved on 20 statements, with agreement that the needs and perspectives of children, adolescents, and their caregivers should be incorporated throughout diagnostic design and evaluation. Opportunities exist for the early use of well characterised samples and prospective enrolment of children and adolescents in tuberculosis diagnostic evaluation, with consideration of the type of test, expected benefit, and potential risks. Pathogen-based tests might be initially optimised and assessed in adults and adolescents, but parallel evaluation in children is needed for host-based tests. Late-stage evaluation and implementation studies should examine combination testing and integration into clinical algorithms. The statements support collaboration between developers, researchers, regulators, and users to widen and accelerate the diagnostic pipeline for paediatric tuberculosis., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests SL receives royalties from UpToDate on the tuberculosis in Pregnancy topic; and receives funding from Merck for her institution for investigator-initiated SARS-CoV-2 related research. EMB and LO are supported by a fellowship from the European Society for Paediatric Infectious Diseases. ELM is supported by a Canadian Institutes of Health Research Fellowship (472823). MPN is supported by an Australian National Health and Medical Research Council Investigator Award 1174455. HJZ is supported by the South African Medical Research Council. All other authors declare no competing interests. This consensus process was supported by the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases Feasibility of Novel Diagnostics for TB in Endemic Countries for TB studies (U01AI152087, U01AI152084, and U01AI152075)., (Copyright © 2024 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved, including those for text and data mining, AI training, and similar technologies.)

Burkholderia cepacia complex is a cause of serious lung infections in people with cystic fibrosis, exhibiting extremely high levels of antimicrobial resistance. These infections are difficult to treat and are associated with high morbidity and mortality. With a notable lack of new antibiotic classes currently in development, exploring alternative antimicrobial strategies for Burkholderia cepacia complex is crucial. One potential alternative seeing renewed interest is the use of bacteriophage (phage) therapy. This review summarises what is currently known about Burkholderia cepacia complex in cystic fibrosis, as well as challenges and insights for using phages to treat Burkholderia cepacia complex lung infections., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2024 Canning, Laucirica, Ling, Nicol, Stick and Kicic.)

Background: Despite causing high mortality worldwide, paediatric tuberculosis is often undiagnosed. We aimed to investigate optimal testing strategies for microbiological confirmation of tuberculosis in children younger than 15 years, including the yield in high-risk subgroups (eg, children younger than 5 years, with HIV, or with severe acute malnutrition [SAM])., Methods: For this secondary analysis, we used data from RaPaed-TB, a multicentre diagnostic accuracy study evaluating novel diagnostic assays and testing approaches for tuberculosis in children recruited from five health-care centres in Malawi, Mozambique, South Africa, Tanzania, and India conducted between Jan 21, 2019, and June 30, 2021. Children were included if they were younger than 15 years and had signs or symptoms of pulmonary or extrapulmonary tuberculosis; they were excluded if they weighed less than 2 kg, had received three or more doses of anti-tuberculosis medication at time of enrolment, were in a condition deemed critical by the local investigator, or if they did not have at least one valid microbiological result. We collected tuberculosis-reference specimens via spontaneous sputum, induced sputum, gastric aspirate, and nasopharyngeal aspirates. Microbiological tests were Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra (hereafter referred to as Ultra), liquid culture, and Löwenstein-Jensen solid culture, which were followed by confirmatory testing for positive cultures. The main outcome of this secondary analysis was categorising children as having confirmed tuberculosis if culture or Ultra positive on any sample, unconfirmed tuberculosis if clinically diagnosed, and unlikely tuberculosis if neither of these applied., Findings: Of 5313 children screened, 975 were enrolled, of whom 965 (99%) had at least one valid microbiological result. 444 (46%) of 965 had unlikely tuberculosis, 282 (29%) had unconfirmed tuberculosis, and 239 (25%) had confirmed tuberculosis. Median age was 5·0 years (IQR 1·8-9·0); 467 (48%) of 965 children were female and 498 (52%) were male. 155 (16%) of 965 children had HIV and 110 (11%) children had SAM. 196 (82%) of 239 children with microbiological detection tested positive on Ultra. 110 (46%) of 239 were confirmed by both Ultra and culture, 86 (36%) by Ultra alone, and 43 (18%) by culture alone. 'Trace' was the most common semiquantitative result (93 [40%] of 234). 481 (50%) of 965 children had only one specimen type collected, 99 (21%) of whom had M tuberculosis detected. 484 (50%) of 965 children had multiple specimens collected, 141 (29%) of whom were positive on at least one specimen type. Of the 102 children younger than 5 years with M tuberculosis detected, 80 (78%) tested positive on sputum. 64 (80%) of 80 children who tested positive on sputum were positive on sputum alone; 61 (95%) of 64 were positive on induced sputum, two (3%) of 64 were positive on spontaneous sputum, and one (2%) was positive on both., Interpretation: High rates of microbiological confirmation of tuberculosis in children can be achieved via parallel sampling and concurrent testing procedures. Sample types and choice of test to be used sequentially should be considered when applying to groups such as children younger than 5 years, living with HIV, or with SAM., Funding: European and Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership programme, supported by the EU, the UK Medical Research Council, Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency, Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung, the German Center for Infection Research, and Beckman Coulter., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests All authors received grant funding for this work from the second European and Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership programme (supported by the EU), the German Center for Infection Research, and Beckman Coulter, paid to their institutions. Cepheid provided Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra testing kits and GeneXpert platforms at no cost to the consortium. HJZ is funded by the South African Medical Research Council. ZF-S receives funding from the South African Medical Research Council. LO was financially supported by a European Society For Paediatric Infectious Diseases fellowship award and a clinical leave stipend from the German Center for Infection Research. ELC has received funding from the Wellcome Trust Senior Fellowship. TDM has received funding, paid to his institution, from the Global Alliance Against Tuberculosis, the European and Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership programme, Médecins Sans Frontières, the EU Innovative Medicines Initiative, and Great Ormond Street Hospital charity intramural COVID-19 rapid response; receives personal payment for being Editor in Chief from Annals of Clinical Microbiology and Antimicrobials; and is part of the Chair Acid Fast Club UK. RSo has received funding from the US National Institutes of Health. All other authors declare no competing interests., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)

Background: Paediatric tuberculosis leads to more than 200 000 deaths annually. We aimed to investigate the incidence of Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection and tuberculosis disease in the first decade of life in the Drakenstein Child Health Study (DCHS), a South African cohort in a community with high tuberculosis and HIV incidence., Methods: In this prospective birth cohort study, we enrolled pregnant women aged 18 years or older who were between 20 and 28 weeks' of gestation in a peri-urban setting outside of Cape Town, South Africa. We followed up their children for tuberculosis until age 10 years. To measure M tuberculosis infection tuberculin skin tests were administered to children at age 6 months, 12 months, and then annually in children with a negative test, and at the time of a lower respiratory tract infection. Tuberculin skin test conversion was defined by an induration reaction of 10 mm or more. To measure tuberculosis disease, active surveillance was done throughout follow-up. Each episode of presumed tuberculosis disease was investigated using sputum induction, tested with Xpert MTB/RIF and liquid culture for M tuberculosis. Survival analyses were performed and multivariable Cox regression was used to measure factors associated with M tuberculosis infection or disease., Findings: Between March 5, 2012, and March 31, 2015, 1137 women and their 1143 children (248 [21·7%] of 1143 children were HIV-exposed, two [0·2%] children with HIV) were included in the analysis. Children were followed up for 8870 person-years (median follow-up 9·1 years [IQR 8·2-10·2]). The annual risk of tuberculin conversion during follow-up was 6·6 infections per 100 person-years (95% CI 5·8-7·3) but ranged from 4-9 infections per 100 person-years over the follow-up period. 98 children developed tuberculosis (1105 cases per 100 000 person-years; 95% CI 906-1347). The cumulative hazard of tuberculin conversion was 36% (95% CI 32-41) at age 8 years and the cumulative hazard of tuberculosis disease was 10% (8-12) at age 10 years. Preventive treatment was associated with a reduction in tuberculosis disease among children who had tuberculin conversion (adjusted hazard ratio 0·23 [95% CI 0·12-0·47]). Most cases of tuberculosis disease (78 [79%; 95% CI 69-86] of 98 children) occurred among children who had tuberculin skin test conversion but were not administered preventive treatment., Interpretation: In this prospective South African birth cohort, M tuberculosis transmission was consistently high throughout the first decade of life leading to approximately 10% of children developing tuberculosis disease. A multipronged approach to decrease paediatric tuberculosis is needed that combines preventive treatment for children at risk, reducing community M tuberculosis transmission, and active case finding., Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Medical Research Council South Africa, and National Research Foundation South Africa., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests We declare no competing interests., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)

Background: The World Health Organization-approved Xpert MTB/XDR test detects Mycobacterium tuberculosis and resistance to isoniazid, fluoroquinolones, ethionamide, and injectable drugs directly in specimens. This pragmatic, laboratory-based study assessed the diagnostic accuracy and feasibility of a reflex testing approach, where Xpert MTB/XDR was performed on residual specimens previously processed for Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra., Methods: Routine respiratory specimens, processed for Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra, were stored in sample reagent buffer at 2°C-8°C. If rifampicin resistant, the residual specimen was assessed for adequate volume (≥2 mL) and tested with Xpert MTB/XDR, with storage time recorded. A second specimen was used for routine and reference standard testing (culture and sequencing)., Results: Specimens (99% sputum) from 763 participants submitted to 2 large routine laboratories were included. Xpert MTB/XDR yielded valid resistance detection results in 639 (84%), compared with 507 (66%) for routine testing (difference [95% CI], 18% [13%-22%]). The median turnaround time for results was 23 hours for Xpert MTB/XDR and 15 days for routine testing. While 748 specimens (98%) were ≥2 mL, only 102 (13%) were stored for ≤4 hours. By the reference standard, 284 of 394 (72%) were isoniazid resistant, and 57 of 380 (15%) were fluroquinolone resistant. The sensitivities of Xpert MTB/XDR were 94% (95% CI, 91%-97%) for isoniazid and 91% (81%-97%) for fluoroquinolone resistance detection. The specificities were 98% (94%-100%) and 100% (98%-100%), respectively., Conclusions: Xpert MTB/XDR performed favorably compared with the reference, and the reflex testing approach increased results availability over routine testing, while dramatically decreasing turnaround time from weeks to hours. Laboratory workflow precluded testing within the manufacturer-recommended 4-hour storage time, but longer storage did not appear detrimental., Competing Interests: Potential conflicts of interest. All authors: No reported conflicts., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America.)

Background: Lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) is a leading cause of infant morbidity and mortality globally. LRTI may be caused by viral or bacterial infections, individually or in combination. We investigated associations between LRTI and infant nasopharyngeal (NP) viruses and bacteria in a South African birth cohort., Methods: In a case-control study of infants enrolled in the Drakenstein Child Health Study (DCHS), LRTI cases were identified prospectively and age-matched with controls from the cohort. NP swabs were tested using quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) and 16S rRNA gene amplicon sequencing. We calculated adjusted Conditional Odds Ratios (aORs) for qPCR targets and used mixed effects models to identify differentially abundant taxa between LRTI cases and controls and explore viral-bacterial interactions., Results: Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) [aOR: 5.69, 95% CI: 3.03-10.69], human rhinovirus (HRV) [1.47, 1.03-2.09], parainfluenza virus [3.46, 1.64-7.26], adenovirus [1.99, 1.08-3.68], enterovirus [2.32, 1.20-4.46], Haemophilus influenzae [1.72, 1.25-2.37], Klebsiella pneumoniae [2.66, 1.59-4.46], or high-density (> 6.9 log 10 copies/mL) Streptococcus pneumoniae [1.53, 1.01-2.32] were associated with LRTI. Using 16S sequencing, LRTI was associated with increased relative abundance of Haemophilus (q = 0.0003) and decreased relative abundance of Dolosigranulum (q = 0.001), Corynebacterium (q = 0.091) and Neisseria (q = 0.004). In samples positive for RSV, Staphylococcus and Alloprevotella were present at lower relative abundance in cases than controls. In samples positive for parainfluenza virus or HRV, Haemophilus was present at higher relative abundance in cases., Conclusions: The associations between bacterial taxa and LRTI are strikingly similar to those identified in high-income countries, suggesting a conserved phenotype. RSV was the major virus associated with LRTI. H. influenzae appears to be the major bacterial driver of LRTI, acting synergistically with viruses. The Gram-positive bacteria Dolosigranulum and Corynebacteria may protect against LRTI, while Staphylococcus was associated with reduced risk of RSV-related LRTI., Funding: National Institutes of Health of the USA, Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, National Research Foundation South Africa, South African Medical Research Council, L'Oréal-UNESCO For Women in Science South Africa, Australian National Health and Medical Research Council., Competing Interests: Competing interests The authors declare that they have no competing interests.

Background: Interferon-gamma release assays (IGRA) are widely used for diagnosis of latent tuberculosis infection. However, with repeat testing, IGRA transformation (conversion or reversion) may be detected and is challenging to interpret. We reviewed the frequency of and risk factors for IGRA transformation., Methods: We screened public databases for studies of human participants that reported the frequency of IGRA transformation. We extracted study and subject characteristics, details of IGRA testing and results. We calculated the pooled frequency of IGRA transformation (and transient transformation) and examined associated risk factors., Results: The pooled frequency of IGRA conversion or reversion from 244 studies was estimated at 7.3% (95% CI 6.1-8.5%) or 22.8% (20.1-25.7%), respectively. Transient conversion or reversion were estimated at 46.0% (35.7-56.4%) or 19.6% (9.2-31.7%) of conversion or reversion events respectively. Indeterminate results seldom reverted to positive (1.2% [0.1-3.5%]). IGRA results in the borderline positive or negative range were associated with increased risk of conversion or reversion (pooled OR: conversion, 4.15 [3.00-5.30]; reversion, 4.06 [3.07-5.06]). BCG vaccination was associated with decreased risk of conversion (0.70, 0.56-0.84), cigarette smoking with decreased risk of reversion (0.44, 0.06-0.82), and female sex with decreased risk of either conversion or reversion (conversion, 0.66 [0.58-0.75]; reversion, 0.46 [0.31-0.61])., Conclusions: IGRA conversion is less common than reversion, and frequently transient. Research is needed to determine whether individuals with reversion would benefit from tuberculosis preventive treatment. Re-testing of people with indeterminate results is probably not indicated, since indeterminate results seldom revert to positive., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved. For commercial re-use, please contact reprints@oup.com for reprints and translation rights for reprints. All other permissions can be obtained through our RightsLink service via the Permissions link on the article page on our site—for further information please contact journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Better access to tuberculosis testing is a key priority for fighting tuberculosis, the leading cause of infectious disease deaths in people. Despite the roll-out of molecular WHO-recommended rapid diagnostics to replace sputum smear microscopy over the past decade, a large diagnostic gap remains. Of the estimated 10·6 million people who developed tuberculosis globally in 2022, more than 3·1 million were not diagnosed. An exclusive focus on improving tuberculosis test accuracy alone will not be sufficient to close the diagnostic gap for tuberculosis. Diagnostic yield, which we define as the proportion of people in whom a diagnostic test identifies tuberculosis among all people we attempt to test for tuberculosis, is an important metric not adequately explored. Diagnostic yield is particularly relevant for subpopulations unable to produce sputum such as young children, people living with HIV, and people with subclinical tuberculosis. As more accessible non-sputum specimens (eg, urine, oral swabs, saliva, capillary blood, and breath) are being explored for point-of-care tuberculosis testing, the concept of yield will be of growing importance. Using the example of urine lipoarabinomannan testing, we illustrate how even tests with limited sensitivity can diagnose more people with tuberculosis if they enable increased diagnostic yield. Using tongue swab-based molecular tuberculosis testing as another example, we provide definitions and guidance for the design and conduct of pragmatic studies that assess diagnostic yield. Lastly, we show how diagnostic yield and other important test characteristics, such as cost and implementation feasibility, are essential for increased effective population coverage, which is required for optimal clinical care and transmission impact. We are calling for diagnostic yield to be incorporated into tuberculosis test evaluation processes, including the WHO Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations process, providing a crucial real-life implementation metric that complements traditional accuracy measures., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests TB reports patent applications in the field of tuberculosis detection and is a shareholder of Avelo. MP serves as an adviser for non-profits such as the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, FIND, WHO, and the Stop TB Partnership. All other authors declare no competing interests., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)

Introduction: Chronic lung disease is a major cause of morbidity in African children with HIV infection; however, the microbial determinants of HIV-associated chronic lung disease (HCLD) remain poorly understood. We conducted a case-control study to investigate the prevalence and densities of respiratory microbes among pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV)-naive children with (HCLD +) and without HCLD (HCLD-) established on antiretroviral treatment (ART)., Methods: Nasopharyngeal swabs collected from HCLD + (defined as forced-expiratory-volume/second < -1.0 without reversibility postbronchodilation) and age-, site-, and duration-of-ART-matched HCLD- participants aged between 6-19 years enrolled in Zimbabwe and Malawi (BREATHE trial-NCT02426112) were tested for 94 pneumococcal serotypes together with twelve bacteria, including Streptococcus pneumoniae (SP), Staphylococcus aureus (SA), Haemophilus influenzae (HI), Moraxella catarrhalis (MC), and eight viruses, including human rhinovirus (HRV), respiratory syncytial virus A or B, and human metapneumovirus, using nanofluidic qPCR (Standard BioTools formerly known as Fluidigm). Fisher's exact test and logistic regression analysis were used for between-group comparisons and risk factors associated with common respiratory microbes, respectively., Results: A total of 345 participants (287 HCLD + , 58 HCLD-; median age, 15.5 years [IQR = 12.8-18], females, 52%) were included in the final analysis. The prevalence of SP (40%[116/287] vs. 21%[12/58], p = 0.005) and HRV (7%[21/287] vs. 0%[0/58], p = 0.032) were higher in HCLD + participants compared to HCLD- participants. Of the participants positive for SP (116 HCLD + & 12 HCLD-), 66% [85/128] had non-PCV-13 serotypes detected. Overall, PCV-13 serotypes (4, 19A, 19F: 16% [7/43] each) and NVT 13 and 21 (9% [8/85] each) predominated. The densities of HI (2 × 10 4 genomic equivalents [GE/ml] vs. 3 × 10 2 GE/ml, p = 0.006) and MC (1 × 10 4 GE/ml vs. 1 × 10 3 GE/ml, p = 0.031) were higher in HCLD + compared to HCLD-. Bacterial codetection (≥ any 2 bacteria) was higher in the HCLD + group (36% [114/287] vs. (19% [11/58]), (p = 0.014), with SP and HI codetection (HCLD + : 30% [86/287] vs. HCLD-: 12% [7/58], p = 0.005) predominating. Viruses (predominantly HRV) were detected only in HCLD + participants. Lastly, participants with a history of previous tuberculosis treatment were more likely to carry SP (adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 1.9 [1.1 -3.2], p = 0.021) or HI (aOR: 2.0 [1.2 - 3.3], p = 0.011), while those who used ART for ≥ 2 years were less likely to carry HI (aOR: 0.3 [0.1 - 0.8], p = 0.005) and MC (aOR: 0.4 [0.1 - 0.9], p = 0.039)., Conclusion: Children with HCLD + were more likely to be colonized by SP and HRV and had higher HI and MC bacterial loads in their nasopharynx. The role of SP, HI, and HRV in the pathogenesis of CLD, including how they influence the risk of acute exacerbations, should be studied further., Trial Registration: The BREATHE trial (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02426112 , registered date: 24 April 2015)., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Background: Early life is a key period that determines long-term health. Lung development in childhood predicts lung function attained in adulthood and morbidity and mortality across the life course. We aimed to assess the effect of early-life lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) and associated risk factors on lung development from birth to school age in a South African birth cohort., Methods: We prospectively followed children enrolled in a population-based cohort from birth (between March 5, 2012 and March 31, 2015) to age 5 years with annual lung function assessment. Data on multiple early-life exposures, including LRTI, were collected. The effect of early-life risk factors on lung function development from birth to age 5 years was assessed using the Generalised Additive Models for Location, Scale and Shape and Interrupted Time Series approach., Findings: 966 children (475 [49·2%] female, 491 [50·8%] male) had lung function measured with oscillometry, tidal flow volume loops, and multiple breath washout. LRTI occurred in 484 (50·1%) children, with a median of 2·0 LRTI episodes (IQR 1·0-3·0) per child. LRTI was independently associated with altered lung function, as evidenced by lower compliance (0·959 [95% CI 0·941-0·978]), higher resistance (1·028 [1·016-1·041]), and higher respiratory rate (1·018 [1·063-1·029]) over 5 years. Additional impact on lung function parameters occurred with each subsequent LRTI. Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) LRTI was associated with lower expiratory flow ratio (0·97 [0·95-0·99]) compared with non-RSV LRTI. Maternal factors including allergy, smoking, and HIV infection were also associated with altered lung development, as was preterm birth, low birthweight, female sex, and coming from a less wealthy household., Interpretation: Public health interventions targeting LRTI prevention, with RSV a priority, are vital, particularly in low-income and middle-income settings., Funding: UK Medical Research Council Grant, The Wellcome Trust, The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, US National Institutes of Health Human Heredity and Health in Africa, South African Medical Research Council, Hungarian Scientific Research Fund, and European Respiratory Society., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests AC reports personal fees from Stallergenes Greer, AstraZeneca, GlaxoSmithKline, and Worg Pharmaceuticals, outside the submitted work. All other authors declare no competing interests., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)

Background: HIV-associated tuberculosis (TB) contributes disproportionately to global tuberculosis mortality. Patients hospitalised at the time of the diagnosis of HIV-associated disseminated TB are typically severely ill and have a high mortality risk despite initiation of tuberculosis treatment. The objective of the study is to assess the safety and efficacy of both intensified TB treatment (high dose rifampicin plus levofloxacin) and immunomodulation with corticosteroids as interventions to reduce early mortality in hospitalised patients with HIV-associated disseminated TB., Methods: This is a phase III randomised controlled superiority trial, evaluating two interventions in a 2 × 2 factorial design: (1) high dose rifampicin (35 mg/kg/day) plus levofloxacin added to standard TB treatment for the first 14 days versus standard tuberculosis treatment and (2) adjunctive corticosteroids (prednisone 1.5 mg/kg/day) versus identical placebo for the first 14 days of TB treatment. The study population is HIV-positive patients diagnosed with disseminated TB (defined as being positive by at least one of the following assays: urine Alere LAM, urine Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra or blood Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra) during a hospital admission. The primary endpoint is all-cause mortality at 12 weeks comparing, first, patients receiving intensified TB treatment to standard of care and, second, patients receiving corticosteroids to those receiving placebo. Analysis of the primary endpoint will be by intention to treat. Secondary endpoints include all-cause mortality at 2 and 24 weeks. Safety and tolerability endpoints include hepatoxicity evaluations and corticosteroid-related adverse events., Discussion: Disseminated TB is characterised by a high mycobacterial load and patients are often critically ill at presentation, with features of sepsis, which carries a high mortality risk. Interventions that reduce this high mycobacterial load or modulate associated immune activation could potentially reduce mortality. If found to be safe and effective, the interventions being evaluated in this trial could be easily implemented in clinical practice., Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04951986. Registered on 7 July 2021 https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT04951986., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

The incidence of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in adults is inadequately defined and the impact of SARS-CoV-2-related non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) is underexplored. Using laboratory data, we described the detection rate of RSV in adults ≥16 years in Western Australia (WA) between 2017 and 2023. With the exception of 2020, RSV detections rose annually between 2017 and 2023, reaching 50.7 per 100,000 in 2023 (95% confidence interval [CI], 47.9-53.8). RSV testing expanded considerably across the study period, with the testing in 2023 more than five times the 2017 total. The detection rate was highest in adults ≥60 years between 2017 and 2019, particularly those ≥75 years. Following 2020, the detections in all age groups increased, with the highest detection rate in 2023 in those ≥75-years (199.5 per 100,000; 95% CI, 180.5-220). NPIs significantly impacted RSV seasonality; the preceding winter pattern was disrupted, resulting in an absent 2020 winter season and two major summer seasons in 2020/21 and 2021/22. The RSV season began to realign in 2022, reverting to a winter seasonal pattern in 2023 and the largest season in the study period. Ongoing surveillance will be required to understand the stability of these increases and to delineate the impact of new immunisation strategies.

Aim: To compare chest radiography (CXR) findings in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-positive and HIV-negative children who had microbiologically confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB)., Materials and Methods: Retrospective analysis of CXRs from children with known HIV status and microbiologically confirmed PTB (culture or GeneXpert Xpert MTB/RIF positive), who were hospitalised or seen at a primary healthcare centre over a 5-year period. Radiological findings were compared according to HIV and nutritional status., Results: CXRs of 130 children were analysed from 35 (27%) HIV- positive and 95 (73%) HIV-negative children with confirmed PTB, median age 45.7 months (interquartile range [IQR] 18-81.3 months). CXR changes consistent with PTB were reported in 21/35 (60%) of HIV-positive and 59/95 (62%) of HIV-negative patients, (p=0.81). Normal CXR was identified in 3/35 (8.6%) of HIV-positive and 5/95 (5.3%) of HIV-negative patients (p=0.81). Airway compression was present in 3/35 (8.6%) of HIV-positive and 7/95 (7.4%) of HIV-negative patients (p>0.99). Overall, lymphadenopathy was identified in 42/130 (32.3%) of patients, 11/35 (31.4 %) were HIV-positive compared with 31/95 (32.6%) HIV-negative patients. Airspace consolidation was present in 60% of both HIV-positive (21/35) and HIV-negative patients (57/95). Pleural effusion was present in 2/35 (5.7 %) of HIV-negative and 9/95 (9.5 %) of HIV-negative patients. There were no statistically significant radiological differences by HIV group., Conclusion: There were no significant differences in the CXR findings between the HIV-positive and HIV-negative children with confirmed PTB., (Copyright © 2023. Published by Elsevier Ltd.)

Children in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) are disproportionately affected by morbidity and mortality. There is also a growing vulnerable population of children who are HIV-exposed uninfected (HEU). Understanding reasons and risk factors for early-life child hospitalisation will help optimise interventions to improve health outcomes. We investigated hospitalisations from birth to two years in a South African birth cohort study. Mother-child pairs in the Drakenstein Child Health Study were followed from birth to two years with active surveillance for hospital admission and investigation of aetiology and outcome. Incidence, duration, cause, and factors associated with child hospitalisation were investigated, and compared between HEU and HIV-unexposed uninfected (HUU) children. Of 1136 children (247 HEU; 889 HUU), 314 (28%) children were hospitalised in 430 episodes despite >98% childhood vaccination coverage. The highest hospitalisation rate was from 0-6 months, decreasing thereafter; 20% (84/430) of hospitalisations occurred in neonates at birth. Amongst hospitalisations subsequent to discharge after birth, 83% (288/346) had an infectious cause; lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) was the most common cause (49%;169/346) with respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) responsible for 31% of LRTIs; from 0-6 months, RSV-LRTI accounted for 22% (36/164) of all-cause hospitalisations. HIV exposure was associated with increased incidence rates of hospitalisation in infants (IRR 1.63 [95% CI 1.29-2.05]) and longer hospital admission (p = 0.004). Prematurity (HR 2.82 [95% CI 2.28-3.49]), delayed infant vaccinations (HR 1.43 [95% CI 1.12-1.82]), or raised maternal HIV viral load in HEU infants were risk factors for hospitalisation; breastfeeding was protective (HR 0.69 [95% CI 0.53-0.90]). In conclusion, children in SSA experience high rates of hospitalisation in early life. Infectious causes, especially RSV-LRTI, underly most hospital admissions. HEU children are at greater risk of hospitalisation in infancy compared to HUU children. Available strategies such as promoting breastfeeding, timely vaccination, and optimising antenatal maternal HIV care should be strengthened. New interventions to prevent RSV may have additional impact in reducing hospitalisation., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist., (Copyright: © 2024 Wedderburn et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.)

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) reinfection in children is poorly understood. We examined the incidence, characteristics, and outcomes of hospital-attended RSV reinfections in children <16 years in Western Australia between 2012 and 2022. Individuals with repeat RSV detections ≥56 days apart were identified using laboratory data. The incidence of reinfection in the first five years of life was estimated using the total birth population from 2012 to 2017. Clinical data on a subset of reinfection episodes were obtained from two metropolitan pediatric centers. A total of 466 children with hospital-attended reinfections were identified. The median interval between RSV detections was 460 days (interquartile range: 324, 812), with a reinfection rate of 95 per 100,000 individuals (95% confidence interval: 82, 109). Reinfection was most common in children who experienced their first RSV detection <6 months of age. Predisposing factors were identified in 56% of children; children with predisposing factors were older at first and second detections, were more likely to be admitted, and had a longer length of stay. This study highlights the significant burden of hospital-attended RSV reinfections in children with and without predisposing factors. Expanded surveillance with in-depth clinical data is required to further characterize the impact of RSV reinfection.

The structure and function of infant skin is not fully developed until 34 weeks of gestation, and this immaturity is associated with risk of late-onset sepsis (LOS). Topical coconut oil improves preterm-infant skin integrity and may reduce LOS. However, data on early-life skin-microbiome succession and potential effects of emollient skin care in preterm infants are scarce. We therefore collected skin-microbiome samples from the ear, axilla, and groin on days 1, 7, 14, and 21 from preterm infants born <30 weeks of gestation as part of a randomized clinical trial of standard skin care vs. topical coconut oil. We found that within-sample microbiome diversity was highest on day 1 after birth, with a subsequent decline and emergence of Staphylococcus genus dominance from day 7. Moreover, microbiome assembly was less diverse in infants receiving coconut oil vs. standard skin care. Our study provides novel data on preterm-infant skin-microbiome composition and highlights the modifying potential of emollient skin care.

Due to the emergence of non-vaccine serotypes in vaccinated populations, Streptococcus pneumoniae remains a major global health challenge despite advances in vaccine development. Serotype 16F is among the predominant non-vaccine serotypes identified among vaccinated infants in South Africa (SA). To characterize lineages and antimicrobial resistance in 16F isolates obtained from South Africa and place the local findings in a global context, we analysed 10 923  S . pneumoniae carriage isolates obtained from infants recruited as part of a broader SA birth cohort. We inferred serotype, resistance profile for penicillin, chloramphenicol, cotrimoxazole, erythromycin and tetracycline, and global pneumococcal sequence clusters (GPSCs) from genomic data. To ensure global representation, we also included S. pneumoniae carriage and disease isolates from the Global Pneumococcal Sequencing (GPS) project database ( n =19 607, collected from 49 countries across 5 continents, 1995-2018, accessed 17 March 2022). Nine per cent (934/10923) of isolates obtained from infants in the Drakenstein community in SA and 2 %(419/19607) of genomes in the GPS dataset were serotype 16F. Serotype 16F isolates were from 28 different lineages of S. pneumoniae, with GPSC33 and GPSC46 having the highest proportion of serotype 16F isolates at 26 % (346/1353) and 53 % (716/1353), respectively. Serotype 16F isolates were identified globally, but most isolates were collected from Africa. GPSC33 was associated with carriage [OR (95 % CI) 0.24 (0.09-0.66); P =0.003], while GPSC46 was associated with disease [OR (95 % CI) 19.9 (2.56-906.50); P =0.0004]. Ten per cent (37/346) and 15 % (53/346) of isolates within GPSC33 had genes associated with resistance to penicillin and co-trimoxazole, respectively, and 18 % (128/716) of isolates within GPSC46 had genes associated with resistance to co-trimoxazole. Resistant isolates formed genetic clusters, which may suggest emerging resistant lineages. Serotype 16F lineages were common in southern Africa. Some of these lineages were associated with disease and resistance to penicillin and cotrimoxazole. We recommend continuous genomic surveillance to determine the long-term impact of serotype 16F lineages on vaccine efficacy and antimicrobial therapy globally. Investing in vaccine strategies that offer protection over a wide range of serotypes/lineages remains essential. This paper contains data hosted by Microreact.

Background: Appropriate treatment and management of children presenting with fever depend on accurate and timely diagnosis, but current diagnostic tests lack sensitivity and specificity and are frequently too slow to inform initial treatment. As an alternative to pathogen detection, host gene expression signatures in blood have shown promise in discriminating several infectious and inflammatory diseases in a dichotomous manner. However, differential diagnosis requires simultaneous consideration of multiple diseases. Here, we show that diverse infectious and inflammatory diseases can be discriminated by the expression levels of a single panel of genes in blood., Methods: A multi-class supervised machine-learning approach, incorporating clinical consequence of misdiagnosis as a "cost" weighting, was applied to a whole-blood transcriptomic microarray dataset, incorporating 12 publicly available datasets, including 1,212 children with 18 infectious or inflammatory diseases. The transcriptional panel identified was further validated in a new RNA sequencing dataset comprising 411 febrile children., Findings: We identified 161 transcripts that classified patients into 18 disease categories, reflecting individual causative pathogen and specific disease, as well as reliable prediction of broad classes comprising bacterial infection, viral infection, malaria, tuberculosis, or inflammatory disease. The transcriptional panel was validated in an independent cohort and benchmarked against existing dichotomous RNA signatures., Conclusions: Our data suggest that classification of febrile illness can be achieved with a single blood sample and opens the way for a new approach for clinical diagnosis., Funding: European Union's Seventh Framework no. 279185; Horizon2020 no. 668303 PERFORM; Wellcome Trust (206508/Z/17/Z); Medical Research Foundation (MRF-160-0008-ELP-KAFO-C0801); NIHR Imperial BRC., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests The authors declare that a patent application on the method described in this manuscript has been filed (2304229.4/GB/PRV, 23-03-2023)., (Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Transcriptomic profiling of adults with tuberculosis (TB) has become increasingly common, predominantly for diagnostic and risk prediction purposes. However, few studies have evaluated signatures in children, particularly in identifying those at risk for developing TB disease. We investigated the relationship between gene expression obtained from umbilical cord blood and both tuberculin skin test conversion and incident TB disease through the first 5 years of life., Methods: We conducted a nested case-control study in the Drakenstein Child Health Study, a longitudinal, population-based birth cohort in South Africa. We applied transcriptome-wide screens to umbilical cord blood samples from neonates born to a subset of selected mothers (N = 131). Signatures identifying tuberculin conversion and risk of subsequent TB disease were identified from genome-wide analysis of RNA expression., Results: Gene expression signatures revealed clear differences predictive of tuberculin conversion (n = 26) and TB disease (n = 10); 114 genes were associated with tuberculin conversion and 30 genes were associated with the progression to TB disease among children with early infection. Coexpression network analysis revealed 6 modules associated with risk of TB infection or disease, including a module associated with neutrophil activation in immune response (P < .0001) and defense response to bacterium (P < .0001)., Conclusions: These findings suggest multiple detectable differences in gene expression at birth that were associated with risk of TB infection or disease throughout early childhood. Such measures may provide novel insights into TB pathogenesis and susceptibility., Competing Interests: Potential conflicts of interest. D. J. S. reports grants or contracts from the United Kingdom MRC; royalties or licenses from American Psychiatric Press, Cambridge University Press, and Elsevier/Academic Press; consulting fees (paid to author) from Discovery Vitality, Kanna, Lundbeck, Orion, Sanofi, and Vistagen; payment or honoraria (directly to author) from Johnson & Johnson, L’Oreal, Servier, and Takeda; meeting and/or travel support from Lundbeck and Servier; and a role on a board, society, or committee for the African College of Neuropsychopharmacology. J. E. H. reports grants from the NIH, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Cystic Fibrosis Foundation, National Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada, Australian Research Council, and Canada Research Chair Program; and received nonfinancial support (equipment, materials, or drugs) from Shimadzu and Markes International. C. A. B. reports consulting fees from ModernaTX (paid to institution for unrelated work). All other authors report no potential conflicts. All authors have submitted the ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest. Conflicts that the editors consider relevant to the content of the manuscript have been disclosed., (© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America.)

Introduction: Several important human pathogens that cause life-threatening infections are asymptomatically carried in the Nasopharynx/Oropharynx (NP/OP). DNA extraction is a prerequisite for most culture-independent techniques used to identify pathogens in the NP/OP. However, components of DNA extraction kits differ thereby giving rise to differences in performance. We compared the DNA concentration and the detection of three pathogens in the NP/OP using the discontinued DNeasy PowerSoil Kit (Kit DP) and the DNeasy PowerLyzer PowerSoil Kit (Kit DPP)., Methods: DNA was extracted from the same set of 103 NP/OP samples using the two kits. DNA concentration was measured using the Qubit 2.0 Fluorometer. Real-time Polymerase Chain reaction (RT-PCR) was done using the QuantStudio 7-flex system to detect three pathogens: S. pneumoniae, H. influenzae, and N. meningitidis. Bland-Altman statistics and plots were used to determine the threshold cycle (Ct) value agreement for the two kits., Results: The average DNA concentration from kit DPP was higher than Kit DP; 1235.6 ng/ml (SD = 1368.3) vs 884.9 ng/ml (SD = 1095.3), p = 0.002. Using a Ct value cutoff of 40 for positivity, the concordance for the presence of S. pneumoniae was 82% (84/102); 94%(96/103) for N. meningitidis and 92%(95/103) for H. influenzae. Kit DP proportionately resulted in higher Ct values than Kit DPP for all pathogens. The Ct value bias of measurement for S. pneumoniae was +2.4 (95% CI, 1.9-3.0), +1.4 (95% CI, 0.9-1.9) for N. meningitidis and +1.4 (95% CI, 0.2-2.5) for H. influenzae., Conclusion: The higher DNA concentration obtained using kit DPP could increase the chances of recovering low abundant bacteria. The PCR results were reproducible for more than 90% of the samples for the gram-negative H. influenzae and N. meningitidis. Ct value variations of the kits must be taken into consideration when comparing studies that have used the two kits., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist., (Copyright: © 2023 Khan et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.)

Background: Bacteria colonizing the nasopharynx play a key role as gatekeepers of respiratory health. Yet, dynamics of early life nasopharyngeal (NP) bacterial profiles remain understudied in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), where children have a high prevalence of risk factors for lower respiratory tract infection. We investigated longitudinal changes in NP bacterial profiles, and associated exposures, among healthy infants from low-income households in South Africa., Methods: We used short fragment (V4 region) 16S rRNA gene amplicon sequencing to characterize NP bacterial profiles from 103 infants in a South African birth cohort, at monthly intervals from birth through the first 12 months of life and six monthly thereafter until 30 months., Results: Corynebacterium and Staphylococcus were dominant colonizers at 1 month of life; however, these were rapidly replaced by Moraxella- or Haemophilus-dominated profiles by 4 months. This succession was almost universal and largely independent of a broad range of exposures. Warm weather (summer), lower gestational age, maternal smoking, no day-care attendance, antibiotic exposure, or low height-for-age z score at 12 months were associated with higher alpha and beta diversity. Summer was also associated with higher relative abundances of Staphylococcus, Streptococcus, Neisseria, or anaerobic gram-negative bacteria, whilst spring and winter were associated with higher relative abundances of Haemophilus or Corynebacterium, respectively. Maternal smoking was associated with higher relative abundances of Porphyromonas. Antibiotic therapy (or isoniazid prophylaxis for tuberculosis) was associated with higher relative abundance of anerobic taxa (Porphyromonas, Fusobacterium, and Prevotella) and with lower relative abundances of health associated-taxa Corynebacterium and Dolosigranulum. HIV-exposure was associated with higher relative abundances of Klebsiella or Veillonella and lower relative abundances of an unclassified genus within the family Lachnospiraceae., Conclusions: In this intensively sampled cohort, there was rapid and predictable replacement of early profiles dominated by health-associated Corynebacterium and Dolosigranulum with those dominated by Moraxella and Haemophilus, independent of exposures. Season and antibiotic exposure were key determinants of NP bacterial profiles. Understudied but highly prevalent exposures prevalent in LMICs, including maternal smoking and HIV-exposure, were associated with NP bacterial profiles. Video Abstract., (© 2023. The Author(s).)

Human milk provides all of the elements necessary for infant growth and development. Previous studies have reported associations between breastfeeding and a reduced risk of developing obesity and late-onset metabolic disorders; however, the underlying mechanisms are poorly understood. Recently, intakes of human milk components have been associated with infant body composition, which is likely partially implicated in the reduced risk of developing childhood obesity among breastfed infants. In this systematic review, we searched electronic bibliographic databases for studies that explored relationships between the 24 h intakes of human milk macronutrients and bioactive components and infant body composition and/or growth parameters. Of 13 eligible studies, 10 assessed relationships of infant body composition and growth outcomes with human milk macronutrients, while 8 studies assessed relationships with human milk bioactive components. Significant time-dependent relationships with infant anthropometrics and body composition were found for intakes and no relationships for concentrations of several human milk components, such as lactose, total protein, and human milk oligosaccharides, suggesting that measuring concentrations of human milk components without quantifying the intake by the infant may provide a limited understanding. Future studies investigating the effect of human milk components on infant growth and body composition outcomes should consider measuring the actual intake of components and employ standardised methods for measuring milk intake., Competing Interests: D.T.G. declares participation in the Scientific Advisory Board of Medela AG. A.S., D.T.G., C.T.L., I.N., J.L.M., S.L.P., V.S.S. and Z.G. are/were supported by an unrestricted research grant from Medela AG, administered by The University of Western Australia. Umm Al&ndash;Qura University, Saudi Arabia, provides a Ph.D scholarship for A.S. The funders had no role in the design of the study; in the collection, analyses, or interpretation of data; in the writing of the manuscript; or in the decision to publish the results.

Background: Many children with pulmonary tuberculosis remain undiagnosed and untreated with related high morbidity and mortality. Recent advances in childhood tuberculosis algorithm development have incorporated prediction modelling, but studies so far have been small and localised, with limited generalisability. We aimed to evaluate the performance of currently used diagnostic algorithms and to use prediction modelling to develop evidence-based algorithms to assist in tuberculosis treatment decision making for children presenting to primary health-care centres., Methods: For this meta-analysis, we identified individual participant data from a WHO public call for data on the management of tuberculosis in children and adolescents and referral from childhood tuberculosis experts. We included studies that prospectively recruited consecutive participants younger than 10 years attending health-care centres in countries with a high tuberculosis incidence for clinical evaluation of pulmonary tuberculosis. We collated individual participant data including clinical, bacteriological, and radiological information and a standardised reference classification of pulmonary tuberculosis. Using this dataset, we first retrospectively evaluated the performance of several existing treatment-decision algorithms. We then used the data to develop two multivariable prediction models that included features used in clinical evaluation of pulmonary tuberculosis-one with chest x-ray features and one without-and we investigated each model's generalisability using internal-external cross-validation. The parameter coefficient estimates of the two models were scaled into two scoring systems to classify tuberculosis with a prespecified sensitivity target. The two scoring systems were used to develop two pragmatic, treatment-decision algorithms for use in primary health-care settings., Findings: Of 4718 children from 13 studies from 12 countries, 1811 (38·4%) were classified as having pulmonary tuberculosis: 541 (29·9%) bacteriologically confirmed and 1270 (70·1%) unconfirmed. Existing treatment-decision algorithms had highly variable diagnostic performance. The scoring system derived from the prediction model that included clinical features and features from chest x-ray had a combined sensitivity of 0·86 [95% CI 0·68-0·94] and specificity of 0·37 [0·15-0·66] against a composite reference standard. The scoring system derived from the model that included only clinical features had a combined sensitivity of 0·84 [95% CI 0·66-0·93] and specificity of 0·30 [0·13-0·56] against a composite reference standard. The scoring system from each model was placed after triage steps, including assessment of illness acuity and risk of poor tuberculosis-related outcomes, to develop treatment-decision algorithms., Interpretation: We adopted an evidence-based approach to develop pragmatic algorithms to guide tuberculosis treatment decisions in children, irrespective of the resources locally available. This approach will empower health workers in primary health-care settings with high tuberculosis incidence and limited resources to initiate tuberculosis treatment in children to improve access to care and reduce tuberculosis-related mortality. These algorithms have been included in the operational handbook accompanying the latest WHO guidelines on the management of tuberculosis in children and adolescents. Future prospective evaluation of algorithms, including those developed in this work, is necessary to investigate clinical performance., Funding: WHO, US National Institutes of Health., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests We declare no competing interests., (© 2023 World Health Organization. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. This is an Open Access article published under the CC BY 3.0 IGO license which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. In any use of this article, there should be no suggestion that WHO endorses any specific organisation, products or services. The use of the WHO logo is not permitted. This notice should be preserved along with the article's original URL.)

Rationale: There is growing concern that post-tuberculosis disease (TB) sequelae and morbidity are substantial, but no studies have controlled for preexisting factors before disease. Whether children have post-TB morbidity is not well characterized. Objectives: To assess the effect of a TB diagnosis on wheezing episodes, lung function, and anthropometric measurements among children enrolled in a prospective birth cohort study in South Africa. Methods: We prospectively followed children from birth through 5 years for TB using diagnostic tests including chest radiography and repeated induced sputum sample testing with Xpert MTB/RIF and liquid culture. We longitudinally measured health outcomes including growth, wheezing, and lung function up to 5 years. Mixed-effects linear regression models were used to assess growth and lung function after TB. Poisson regression was used to assess risk of subsequent wheezing. Measurements and Main Results: Among 1,068 participants, 96 TB cases occurred (1,228 cases per 100,000 person-years [95% confidence interval (CI), 1,006-1,500]) occurred over 7,815 child-years of follow-up. TB was associated with lower length-for-age (-0.40 [95% CI, -0.68 to -0.11]), weight-for-age (-0.30 [95% CI, -0.59 to -0.01]), and body mass index (-0.54 [95% CI, -0.83 to -0.25]) z -scores at 5 years. Children developing TB were consistently more likely to wheeze regardless of the timing of TB. Children with diagnoses of TB between 0 and 1 year of age had reduced time to peak tidal expiratory flow over total expiratory time (-2.35% [95% CI, -4.86% to -0.17%]) and higher fractional exhaled nitric oxide (2.88 ppb [95% CI, 0.57-5.19 ppb]) at 5 years. Children with diagnoses of TB between 1 and 4 years of age had impaired Vt (-9.32 ml [95% CI, -14.89 to -3.75 ml]) and time to peak tidal expiratory flow over total expiratory time (-2.73% [95% CI, -5.45% to -0.01%]) at 5 years. Conclusions: Prevention of TB disease in the first few years of life may have substantial long-term benefits through childhood.

Background: Pneumonia remains a leading cause of hospitalization and death among young children worldwide, and the diagnostic challenge of differentiating bacterial from non-bacterial pneumonia is the main driver of antibiotic use for treating pneumonia in children. Causal Bayesian networks (BNs) serve as powerful tools for this problem as they provide clear maps of probabilistic relationships between variables and produce results in an explainable way by incorporating both domain expert knowledge and numerical data., Methods: We used domain expert knowledge and data in combination and iteratively, to construct, parameterise and validate a causal BN to predict causative pathogens for childhood pneumonia. Expert knowledge elicitation occurred through a series of group workshops, surveys and one-on-one meetings involving 6-8 experts from diverse domain areas. The model performance was evaluated based on both quantitative metrics and qualitative expert validation. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to investigate how the target output is influenced by varying key assumptions of a particularly high degree of uncertainty around data or domain expert knowledge., Results: Designed to apply to a cohort of children with X-ray confirmed pneumonia who presented to a tertiary paediatric hospital in Australia, the resulting BN offers explainable and quantitative predictions on a range of variables of interest, including the diagnosis of bacterial pneumonia, detection of respiratory pathogens in the nasopharynx, and the clinical phenotype of a pneumonia episode. Satisfactory numeric performance has been achieved including an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.8 in predicting clinically-confirmed bacterial pneumonia with sensitivity 88% and specificity 66% given certain input scenarios (i.e., information that is available and entered into the model) and trade-off preferences (i.e., relative weightings of the consequences of false positive versus false negative predictions). We specifically highlight that a desirable model output threshold for practical use is very dependent upon different input scenarios and trade-off preferences. Three commonly encountered scenarios were presented to demonstrate the potential usefulness of the BN outputs in various clinical pictures., Conclusions: To our knowledge, this is the first causal model developed to help determine the causative pathogen for paediatric pneumonia. We have shown how the method works and how it would help decision making on the use of antibiotics, providing insight into how computational model predictions may be translated to actionable decisions in practice. We discussed key next steps including external validation, adaptation and implementation. Our model framework and the methodological approach can be adapted beyond our context to broad respiratory infections and geographical and healthcare settings., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist., (Copyright: © 2023 Wu et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.)

Background: Long-term azithromycin (AZM) treatment reduces the frequency of acute respiratory exacerbation in children and adolescents with HIV-associated chronic lung disease (HCLD). However, the impact of this treatment on the respiratory bacteriome is unknown., Method: African children with HCLD (defined as forced expiratory volume in 1 s z-score (FEV1z) less than - 1.0 with no reversibility) were enrolled in a placebo-controlled trial of once-weekly AZM given for 48-weeks (BREATHE trial). Sputum samples were collected at baseline, 48 weeks (end of treatment) and 72 weeks (6 months post-intervention in participants who reached this timepoint before trial conclusion). Sputum bacterial load and bacteriome profiles were determined using 16S rRNA gene qPCR and V4 region amplicon sequencing, respectively. The primary outcomes were within-participant and within-arm (AZM vs placebo) changes in the sputum bacteriome measured across baseline, 48 weeks and 72 weeks. Associations between clinical or socio-demographic factors and bacteriome profiles were also assessed using linear regression., Results: In total, 347 participants (median age: 15.3 years, interquartile range [12.7-17.7]) were enrolled and randomised to AZM (173) or placebo (174). After 48 weeks, participants in the AZM arm had reduced sputum bacterial load vs placebo arm (16S rRNA copies/µl in log 10 , mean difference and 95% confidence interval [CI] of AZM vs placebo - 0.54 [- 0.71; - 0.36]). Shannon alpha diversity remained stable in the AZM arm but declined in the placebo arm between baseline and 48 weeks (3.03 vs. 2.80, p = 0.04, Wilcoxon paired test). Bacterial community structure changed in the AZM arm at 48 weeks compared with baseline (PERMANOVA test p = 0.003) but resolved at 72 weeks. The relative abundances of genera previously associated with HCLD decreased in the AZM arm at 48 weeks compared with baseline, including Haemophilus (17.9% vs. 25.8%, p < 0.05, ANCOM ω = 32) and Moraxella (1% vs. 1.9%, p < 0.05, ANCOM ω = 47). This reduction was sustained at 72 weeks relative to baseline. Lung function (FEV1z) was negatively associated with bacterial load (coefficient, [CI]: - 0.09 [- 0.16; - 0.02]) and positively associated with Shannon diversity (0.19 [0.12; 0.27]). The relative abundance of Neisseria (coefficient, [standard error]: (2.85, [0.7], q = 0.01), and Haemophilus (- 6.1, [1.2], q < 0.001) were positively and negatively associated with FEV1z, respectively. An increase in the relative abundance of Streptococcus from baseline to 48 weeks was associated with improvement in FEV1z (3.2 [1.11], q = 0.01) whilst an increase in Moraxella was associated with decline in FEV1z (-2.74 [0.74], q = 0.002)., Conclusions: AZM treatment preserved sputum bacterial diversity and reduced the relative abundances of the HCLD-associated genera Haemophilus and Moraxella. These bacteriological effects were associated with improvement in lung function and may account for reduced respiratory exacerbations associated with AZM treatment of children with HCLD. Video Abstract., (© 2023. The Author(s).)

Background: Developmental trajectories of childhood wheezing in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) have not been well described. We aimed to derive longitudinal wheeze phenotypes from birth to 5 years in a South African birth cohort and compare those with phenotypes derived from a UK cohort., Methods: We used data from the Drakenstein Child Health Study (DCHS), a longitudinal birth cohort study in a peri-urban area outside Cape Town, South Africa. Pregnant women (aged ≥18 years) were enrolled during their second trimester at two public health clinics. We followed up children from birth to 5 years to derive six multidimensional indicators of wheezing (including duration, temporal sequencing, persistence, and recurrence) and applied Partition Around Medoids clustering to derive wheeze phenotypes. We compared phenotypes with a UK cohort (the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children [ALSPAC]). We investigated associations of phenotypes with early-life exposures, including all-cause lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) and virus-specific LRTI (respiratory syncytial virus, rhinovirus, adenovirus, influenza, and parainfluenza virus) up to age 5 years. We investigated the association of phenotypes with lung function at 6 weeks and 5 years., Findings: Between March 5, 2012, and March 31, 2015, we enrolled 1137 mothers and there were 1143 livebirths. Four wheeze phenotypes were identified among 950 children with complete data: never (480 children [50%]), early transient (215 children [23%]), late onset (104 children [11%]), and recurrent (151 children [16%]). Multivariate adjusted analysis indicated that LRTI and respiratory syncytial virus-LRTI, but not other respiratory viruses, were associated with increased risk of recurrent wheeze (odds ratio [OR] 2·79 [95% CI 2·05-3·81] for all LTRIs; OR 2·59 [1·30-5·15] for respiratory syncytial virus-LRTIs). Maternal smoking (1·88 [1·12-3·02]), higher socioeconomic status (2·46 [1·23-4·91]), intimate partner violence (2·01 [1·23-3·29]), and male sex (2·47 [1·50-4·04]) were also associated with recurrent wheeze. LRTI and respiratory syncytial virus-LRTI were also associated with early transient and late onset clusters. Wheezing illness architecture differed between DCHS and ALSPAC; children included in ALSPAC in the early transient cluster wheezed for a longer period before remission and late-onset wheezing started at an older age, and no persistent phenotype was identified in DCHS. At 5 years, airway resistance was higher in children with early or recurrent wheeze compared with children who had never wheezed. Airway resistance increased from 6 weeks to 5 years among children with recurrent wheeze., Interpretation: Effective strategies to reduce maternal smoking and psychosocial stressors and new preventive interventions for respiratory syncytial virus are urgently needed to optimise child health in LMICs., Funding: UK Medical Research Council; The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; National Institutes of Health Human Heredity and Health in Africa; South African Medical Research Council; Wellcome Trust., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests HJZ reports grants from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, the NIH H3 Africa, the UK Medical Research council (MRC), Wellcome Trust, and the South African MRC. DG reports grants from the Wellcome Trust. AC reports personal fees from Stallergenes Greer; and personal fees from AstraZeneca, GlaxoSmithKline, and Worg Pharmaceuticals, outside the submitted work. All other authors declare no competing interests., (Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)

Background: Microbiologic diagnosis of childhood tuberculosis may be difficult. Oral swab specimens are a potential noninvasive alternative to sputum specimens for diagnosis., Methods: This was a prospective diagnostic accuracy study of oral swab specimens (buccal and tongue) for pulmonary tuberculosis diagnosis in children (aged ≤ 15 years) in 2 South African hospital sites. Children with cough of any duration as well as a positive tuberculin skin test result, tuberculosis contact, loss of weight, or chest radiograph suggestive of pulmonary tuberculosis were enrolled. Two induced sputum specimens were tested with Xpert MTB/RIF (or Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra) assay and liquid culture. Oral swab specimens were obtained before sputum specimens, frozen, and later tested with Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra. Children were classified as microbiologically confirmed tuberculosis, unconfirmed tuberculosis (receipt of tuberculosis treatment), or unlikely tuberculosis according to National Institutes of Health consensus definitions based on sputum microbiologic results., Results: Among 291 participants (median age [interquartile range], 32 [14-73] months), 57 (20%) had human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), and 87 (30%) were malnourished; 90 (31%) had confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis (rifampicin resistant in 6 [7%] ), 157 (54%), unconfirmed pulmonary tuberculosis, and 44 (15%), unlikely tuberculosis. A single oral swab specimen was obtained from 126 (43%) of the participants (tongue in 96 and buccal in 30) and 2 swab specimens from 165 (57%) (tongue in 110 and buccal in 55). Sensitivity was low (22% [95% confidence interval, 15%-32%]) for all swab specimens combined (with confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis as reference), but specificity was high (100% [91%-100%]). The highest sensitivity was 33% (95% confidence interval, 15%-58%) among participants with HIV. The overall yield was 6.9% with 1 oral swab specimen and 7.2% with 2., Conclusions: Use of the Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra assay with oral swab specimens provides poor yield for microbiologic pulmonary tuberculosis confirmation in children., Competing Interests: Potential conflicts of interest. H. C. reports grants from the National Institutes of Health to the FEND-TB consortium and from the EDCTP (European and Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership) to the TB-CAPT consortium, both outside the scope of this work, and consulting fees from the UNOPS–Stop TB Partnership. M. P. N. reports unpaid participation on an advisory board for the TB Speed Consortium. All other authors report no potential conflicts. All authors have submitted the ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest. Conflicts that the editors consider relevant to the content of the manuscript have been disclosed., (© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Infectious Diseases Society of America.)

Objective: Champions are recognised as important to driving organisational change in healthcare quality improvement initiatives in high-income settings. In low-income and middle-income countries with a high disease burden and constrained human resources, their role is highly relevant yet understudied. Within a broader study on policy implementation for decentralised drug-resistant tuberculosis care in South Africa, we characterised the role, strategies and organisational context of emergent policy champions., Design: Interviews with 34 healthcare workers in three South African provinces identified the presence of individuals who had a strong influence on driving policy implementation forward. Additional interviews were conducted with 13 participants who were either identified as champions in phase II or were healthcare workers in facilities in which the champions operated. Thematic analyses using a socio-ecological framework further explored their strategies and the factors enabling or obstructing their agency., Results: All champions occupied senior managerial posts and were accorded legitimacy and authority by their communities. 'Disease-centred' champions had a high level of clinical expertise and placed emphasis on clinical governance and clinical outcomes, while 'patient-centred' champions promoted pathways of care that would optimise patients' recovery while minimising disruption in other spheres of their lives. Both types of champions displayed high levels of resourcefulness and flexibility to adapt strategies to the resource-constrained organisational context., Conclusion: Policymakers can learn from champions' experiences regarding barriers and enablers to implementation to adapt policy. Research is needed to understand what factors can promote the sustainability of champion-led policy implementation, and to explore best management practices to support their initiatives., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2022. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)

Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission disrupted respiratory virus seasonality. We examined the unusual return of human metapneumovirus (hMPV) in Western Australia following a period of absence in 2020. We analysed hMPV laboratory testing data from 1 January 2017 to 31 December 2021. Whole-genome sequencing of selected hMPV-positive samples was performed using a tiled-amplicon approach. Following an absence in spring 2020, an unusual hMPV surge was observed during the wet summer season in the tropical Northern region in late 2020. Following a six-month delay, an intense winter season occurred in the subtropical/temperate Southern and Metropolitan regions. Compared to 2017-2019, hMPV incidence in 2021 increased by 3-fold, with a greater than 4-fold increase in children aged 1-4 years. There was a collapse in hMPV diversity in 2020, with the emergence of a single subtype. NPIs contributed to an absent 2020 season and a clonal hMPV resurgence. The summer surge and delayed winter season suggest that prevailing temperature and humidity are keys determinant of hMPV transmission. The increased incidence in 2021 was linked to an expanded cohort of hMPV-naïve 1-4-year-old children and waning population immunity. Further intense and unusual respiratory virus seasons are expected as COVID-19 associated NPIs are removed.

Background: More than half the global population has been exposed to SARS-CoV-2. Naturally induced immunity influences the outcome of subsequent exposure to variants and vaccine responses. We measured anti-spike IgG responses to explore the basis for this enhanced immunity., Methods: A prospective cohort study of mothers in a South African community through ancestral/beta/delta/omicron SARS-CoV-2 waves (March 2020-February 2022). Health seeking behaviour/illness were recorded and post-wave serum samples probed for IgG to Spike (CoV2-S-IgG) by ECLISA. To estimate protective CoV2-S-IgG threshold levels, logistic functions were fit to describe the correlation of CoV2-S-IgG measured before a wave and the probability for seroconversion/boosting thereafter for unvaccinated and vaccinated adults., Findings: Despite little disease, 176/339 (51·9%) participants were seropositive following wave 1, rising to 74%, 89·8% and 97·3% after waves 2, 3 and 4 respectively. CoV2-S-IgG induced by natural exposure protected against subsequent SARS-CoV-2 infection with the greatest protection for beta and least for omicron. Vaccination induced higher CoV2-S-IgG in seropositive compared to naïve vaccinees. Amongst seropositive participants, proportions above the 50% protection against infection threshold were 69% (95% CrI: 62, 72) following 1 vaccine dose, 63% (95% CrI: 63, 75) following 2 doses and only 11% (95% CrI: 7, 14) in unvaccinated during the omicron wave., Interpretation: Naturally induced CoV2-S-IgG do not achieve high enough levels to prevent omicron infection in most exposed individuals but are substantially boosted by vaccination leading to significant protection. A single vaccination in those with prior immunity is more immunogenic than 2 doses in a naïve vaccinee and may provide adequate protection., Funding: UK NIH GECO award (GEC111), Wellcome Trust Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Africa (CIDRI), Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, USA (OPP1017641, OPP1017579) and NIH H3 Africa (U54HG009824, U01AI110466]. HZ is supported by the SA-MRC. MPN is supported by an Australian National Health and Medical Research Council Investigator Grant (APP1174455). BJQ is supported by a grant from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (OPP1139859). Stefan Flasche is supported by a Sir Henry Dale Fellowship jointly funded by the Wellcome Trust and the Royal Society (Grant number 208812/Z/17/Z)., Competing Interests: HJZ reports grants from UK NIHR, the Wellcome Trust Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Africa, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, the NIH H3 Africa and the SA-MRC. MPN is supported by an Australian National Health and Medical Research Council Investigator Grant (APP1174455). BJQ is supported by a grant from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (OPP1139859). Stefan Flasche is supported by a Sir Henry Dale Fellowship jointly funded by the Wellcome Trust and the Royal Society., (© 2022 The Authors.)

Background: Whole-genome sequencing (WGS) of Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex has become an important tool in diagnosis and management of drug-resistant tuberculosis. However, data correlating resistance genotype with quantitative phenotypic antimicrobial susceptibility testing (AST) are scarce., Methods: In a prospective multicentre observational study, 900 clinical M tuberculosis complex isolates were collected from adults with drug-resistant tuberculosis in five high-endemic tuberculosis settings around the world (Georgia, Moldova, Peru, South Africa, and Viet Nam) between Dec 5, 2014, and Dec 12, 2017. Minimum inhibitory concentrations (MICs) and resulting binary phenotypic AST results for up to nine antituberculosis drugs were determined and correlated with resistance-conferring mutations identified by WGS., Findings: Considering WHO-endorsed critical concentrations as reference, WGS had high accuracy for prediction of resistance to isoniazid (sensitivity 98·8% [95% CI 98·5-99·0]; specificity 96·6% [95% CI 95·2-97·9]), levofloxacin (sensitivity 94·8% [93·3-97·6]; specificity 97·1% [96·7-97·6]), kanamycin (sensitivity 96·1% [95·4-96·8]; specificity 95·0% [94·4-95·7]), amikacin (sensitivity 97·2% [96·4-98·1]; specificity 98·6% [98·3-98·9]), and capreomycin (sensitivity 93·1% [90·0-96·3]; specificity 98·3% [98·0-98·7]). For rifampicin, pyrazinamide, and ethambutol, the specificity of resistance prediction was suboptimal (64·0% [61·0-67·1], 83·8% [81·0-86·5], and 40·1% [37·4-42·9], respectively). Specificity for rifampicin increased to 83·9% when borderline mutations with MICs overlapping with the critical concentration were excluded. Consequently, we highlighted mutations in M tuberculosis complex isolates that are often falsely identified as susceptible by phenotypic AST, and we identified potential novel resistance-conferring mutations., Interpretation: The combined analysis of mutations and quantitative phenotypes shows the potential of WGS to produce a refined interpretation of resistance, which is needed for individualised therapy, and eventually could allow differential drug dosing. However, variability of MIC data for some M tuberculosis complex isolates carrying identical mutations also reveals limitations of our understanding of the genotype and phenotype relationships (eg, including epistasis and strain genetic background)., Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, German Centre for Infection Research, German Research Foundation, Excellence Cluster Precision Medicine of Inflammation (EXC 2167), and Leibniz ScienceCampus EvoLUNG., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests MM and SN report grants from the German Center for Infection Research, Excellenz Cluster Precision Medicine in Chronic Inflammation, and Leibniz Science Campus Evolutionary Medicine of the LUNG (EvoLUNG). TR reports personal fees from FIND, grants from the US National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, and is a board member for Verus Diagnostics; and has a provisional patent (#63/048.989) and a pending patent (#14840432.0) for tuberculosis diagnostics. All other authors declare no competing interests., (Copyright © 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)