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The rapid urbanization has brought great challenges to the transportation network. However, travel flow at peak hours is not always the same. It is important to investigate how travel flow differs between peak hours to capture travel flow patterns and influential factors to facilitate traffic management and urban planning. This paper establishes a spatial model with endogenous weight matrix (SARBP-EWM) to investigate the travel flow differences between morning and evening peaks on both weekday and weekend based on automatic vehicle identification (AVI) data and point of interest (POI) data in Xuancheng, China. The results confirm strong spatial effects and endogeneity issue. Besides, facility variables such as number of offices and number of clinics reveal strong negative impacts on travel flow differences on both weekday and weekend, while the number of middle school shows significantly positive relation with travel flow differences. In addition, the endogenous weight matrix on both weekday and weekend is successfully estimated and compared. It is found that TAZ pairs tend to be clustered with lower spatial weights on weekday, while they are more randomly distributed with higher spatial weights at weekend. Based on the results above, the policies proposed from Xuancheng 14[sup.th] Five-Year Plan are evaluated and discussed. The above empirical analysis quantifies impacts from key factors on urban travel flow differences between peak hours and provides important references for urban planning and policy making., Author(s): Yiwei Zhou [1,2]; Zhaocheng He [3]; Jin-Yong Chen (corresponding author) [4]; Linglin Ni [5]; Jieshuang Dong [1] 1. Introduction The rapid urbanization process in China has brought much challenges [...]

Spatial interaction models with spatial origin-destination (OD) filters are powerful tools to characterize trip flows in space, which is a classic and important problem in regional science. To the authors' knowledge, existing studies adopting OD filters mostly specify the spatial dependence as an autoregressive process, which may not be the full picture of spatial effects. To examine the problem, this paper proposes the hypotheses that 1) spatial OD dependences can take place in both the spatial autoregressive term and the spatial error term in a spatial interaction model. 2) Estimating a spatial autoregressive model with spatial autoregressive disturbances (SARAR) model with OD filters would disentangle where the spatial dependence exists and by how much. 3) The marginal effects obtained from SARAR models would be preferred to analysts when SARAR models outperform spatial autoregressive (SAR) models and spatial error models (SEM) from the statistical point of view. To assess these hypotheses, this paper specifies, estimates, and applies SARAR models with OD filters to investigate trip distributions. By comparing against alternative models, this paper investigates the estimation results in SAR, SEM and SARAR models using an empirical data collected from Hangzhou, China. The contribution of this paper is to be the first in developing an SARAR model with OD filters for trip distribution analyses and examining its performance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Following the research on human decision-making under risk and uncertainty, the purpose of this paper is to analyze evacuees' risky route decision behavior and its effect on traffic equilibrium. It examines the possibility of applying regret theory to model travellers' regret-taking behavior and network equilibrium in emergency context. By means of modifying the utility function in expected utility theory, a regret-based evacuation traffic equilibrium model is established, accounting for the evacuee's psychological behavior of regret aversion and risk aversion. Facing two parallel evacuation routes choice situation, the effect of evacuees' risk aversion and regret aversion on traffic equilibrium is numerically investigated as well as the road capacity reduction from natural disaster. The findings reveal that evacuees prefer the riskless route with the lower travel time as the increase of the regret aversion degree. The equilibrium tends to be achieved when more evacuees choose the safer route jointly affected by risk aversion and regret aversion. Moreover, an optimization model for disaster occurring possibility is formulated to assess the traffic system performance for evacuation management. These findings are helpful for understanding how the regret aversion and risk aversion influence traffic equilibrium., Author(s): Ze Wang (corresponding author) [1,2]; Haiqiang Yang [3]; Linglin Ni [4] 1. Introduction Traffic equilibrium is a key process of transportation demand analysis and planning. The assumption of the [...]

A stochastic multiproduct capacitated facility location problem involving a single supplier and multiple customers is investigated. Due to the stochastic demands, a reasonable amount of safety stock must be kept in the facilities to achieve suitable service levels, which results in increased inventory cost. Based on the assumption of normal distributed for all the stochastic demands, a nonlinear mixed-integer programming model is proposed, whose objective is to minimize the total cost, including transportation cost, inventory cost, operation cost, and setup cost. A combined simulated annealing (CSA) algorithm is presented to solve the model, in which the outer layer subalgorithm optimizes the facility location decision and the inner layer subalgorithm optimizes the demand allocation based on the determined facility location decision. The results obtained with this approach shown that the CSA is a robust and practical approach for solving a multiple product problem, which generates the suboptimal facility location decision and inventory policies. Meanwhile, we also found that the transportation cost and the demand deviation have the strongest influence on the optimal decision compared to the others.