1. Predictive value of a novel digital risk calculator to determine early patient outcomes after major surgery: a proof-of-concept pilot study
- Author
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Svenja Sliwinski, Sara Fatima Faqar-Uz-Zaman, Jan Heil, Lisa Mohr, Charlotte Detemble, Julia Dreilich, Dora Zmuc, Wolf O. Bechstein, Sven Becker, Felix Chun, Wojciech Derwich, Waldemar Schreiner, Christine Solbach, Johannes Fleckenstein, Natalie Filmann, and Andreas A. Schnitzbauer
- Subjects
Prehabilitation ,Frailty ,Postoperative complications ,App ,Risk score ,Surgery ,RD1-811 - Abstract
Abstract Background A structured risk assessment of patients with validated and evidence-based tools can help to identify modifiable factors before major surgeries. The Protego Maxima trial investigated the value of a new digitized risk assessment tool that combines tools which can be easily used and implemented in the clinical workflow by doctors and qualified medical staff. The hypothesis was that the structured assessment and risk-grouping is predictive of short-term surgical quality reflected by complications and overall survival. Methods The Protego Maxima Trial was a prospective cohort analysis of patients undergoing major surgery (visceral, thoracic, urology, vascular and gynecologic surgeries) as key inclusion criterion and the absence of an acute or acute on chronically decompensated pulmo-cardiovascular decompensation. Patients were risk-scored with the software (The Prehab App) that includes a battery of evidence-based risk assessment tools that allow a structured risk assessment. The data were grouped to predefined high and low risk groups and aggregate and individual scores. The primary outcome was to validate the predictive value of the RAI score and the TUG for overall survival in the high and low risk groups. Secondary outcomes were surgical outcomes at 90-days after surgery (overall survival, Clavien-Dindo (CD) 1–5 (all complications), and CD 3–5 (major complications)). The study was carried out in accordance with the DIN ISO 14,155, and the medical device regulation (MDR) at Frankfurt University Hospital between March 2022 and January 2023. Results In total 267 patients were included in the intention to treat analysis. The mean age was 62.1 ± 12.4 years. Patients with a RAI score > 25 and/or a timed up and go (TUG) > 8 s had a higher risk for mortality at 90 days after surgery. The low-risk group predicted beneficial outcome and the high-risk group predicted adverse outcome in the ROC analysis (Area Under the Curve Receiver Operator Characteristics: AUROC > 0.800; p = 0.01). Risk groups (high vs. low) showed significant differences for 90-day survival (99.4% vs. 95.5%; p = 0.04) and major complications (16.4% vs. 32.4%; p
- Published
- 2024
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