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Objective: To establish a prediction Nomogram based on prognostic factors for children with hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (HLH). Methods: A retrospective analysis of pediatric HLH cases diagnosed at the Affiliated Hospital of Zunyi Medical University between January 2012 and December 2022 was conducted. Cox regression analysis was used to identify prognostic factors for pediatric HLH patients. The C-index, ROC curve, and AUC were used to evaluate the discrimination of the model. The DCA was used to evaluate the clinical application value of the model. Results: A total of 133 cases of secondary pediatric HLH patients were included in this study, with 45 deaths and 88 survivors. Univariate analysis showed that age ≤ 2 years, PLT ≤ 50×10 /L, HB ≤90 g/L, AST ≥ 200 U/L, CK-MB ≥ 50 U/L, LDH ≥ 1000 U/L, SF ≥1500 μg/L, PT ≥ 20 s, APTT ≥ 40 s, hypoalbuminemia, hypofibrinogenemia, mechanical ventilation, splenomegaly, ARDS, respiratory failure,CNSL, shock, DIC, pulmonary hemorrhage, and gastrointestinal bleeding are risk factors for the survival of those secondary pediatric HLH patients ( P P = 0.049). Multivariable Cox showed that CNSL (HR = 3.18, 95%CI = 1.72-5.89), PLT ≤ 50×10^9/L (HR = 2.16, 95%CI = 1.11-4.19), hypoalbuminemia (HR=2.65, 95%CI=1.14-5.17), and hypofibrinogenemia (HR = 2.48, 95%CI = 1.19-5.14) were independent risk factors for the outcome of children with HLH, while the use of blood purification therapy (HR = 0.32, 95%CI = 0.16-0.64) was an independent protective factor. A Nomogram prediction model was constructed using R software, and the ROC curve , C-index, and calibration curve showed good discrimination and fit of the model. The DCA curve showed that the model had good clinical applicability. Finally, based on the Nomogram score and HR value, the subjects were divided into three groups, and it was found that the mortality rate in the high-risk group was significantly higher than that in the low-risk group. Conclusion: The development of a Nomogram to predict the prognosis of secondary pediatric HLH patients has good discrimination and accuracy and may have good clinical application value.

Objective To investigate the clinical characteristics of neonatal necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) complicated by intestinal perforation and predict the incidence of intestinal perforation in NEC. Methods Neonates diagnosed with NEC at the Affiliated Hospital of Zunyi Medical University from January 2012 to May 2022 were enrolled, and the clinical data were collected and analyzed retrospectively. The patients were divided into two groups based on intestinal perforation occurrence or not. Mann-Whitney U tests, t-tests, chi-square tests, and fisher's exact tests were performed between-group comparisons. Logistic and lasso regressions were applied to screen independent risk factors for concomitant bowel perforation, and R software (RMS package) was used to formulate the nomogram prediction model. In addition, the receiver operating curve (ROC) and the calibration curve were drawn to verify the predictive power, while decision curve analysis (DCA) was constructed to evaluate the clinical applicability of the nomogram model. Results 180 neonates with NEC were included, of which 48 had intestinal perforations, and 132 did not; the overall incidence of intestinal perforation was 26.67% (48/180). Bloody stool (OR = 5.60), APTT ≥ 50s (OR = 3.22), thrombocytopenia (OR = 4.74), and hypoalbuminemia (OR = 5.56) were identified as independent risk variables for NEC intestinal perforation (P