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The use of social media as a means of communication has significantly increased over recent years. There is a plethora of information flow over the different topics of discussion, which is widespread across different domains. The ease of information sharing has increased noisy data being induced along with the relevant data stream. Finding such relevant data is important, especially when we are dealing with a time-critical domain like disasters. It is also more important to filter the relevant data in a real-time setting to timely process and leverage the information for decision support. However, the short text and sometimes ungrammatical nature of social media data challenge the extraction of contextual information cues, which could help differentiate relevant vs. non-relevant information. This paper presents a novel method to classify relevant social media posts during disaster events by ensembling the features of both domain-specific word embeddings as well as more generic domain-agnostic word embeddings. Therefore, we develop and evaluate a hybrid feature engineering framework for integrating diverse semantic representations using a combination of word embeddings to efficiently classify a relevant social media post. The application of the proposed classification framework could help in filtering public posts at large scale, given the growing usage of social media posts in recent years., Comment: Presented at AAAI FSS-19: Artificial Intelligence for Social Good, Arlington, Virginia, USA

International trade policies have recently garnered attention for limiting cross-border exchange of essential goods (e.g. steel, aluminum, soybeans, and beef). Since trade critically affects employment and wages, predicting future patterns of trade is a high-priority for policy makers around the world. While traditional economic models aim to be reliable predictors, we consider the possibility that Machine Learning (ML) techniques allow for better predictions to inform policy decisions. Open-government data provide the fuel to power the algorithms that can explain and forecast trade flows to inform policies. Data collected in this article describe international trade transactions and commonly associated economic factors. Machine learning (ML) models deployed include: ARIMA, GBoosting, XGBoosting, and LightGBM for predicting future trade patterns, and K-Means clustering of countries according to economic factors. Unlike short-term and subjective (straight-line) projections and medium-term (aggre-gated) projections, ML methods provide a range of data-driven and interpretable projections for individual commodities. Models, their results, and policies are introduced and evaluated for prediction quality., Comment: Presented at AAAI FSS-19: Artificial Intelligence in Government and Public Sector, Arlington, Virginia, USA

Social media has become an integral part of our daily lives. During time-critical events, the public shares a variety of posts on social media including reports for resource needs, damages, and help offerings for the affected community. Such posts can be relevant and may contain valuable situational awareness information. However, the information overload of social media challenges the timely processing and extraction of relevant information by the emergency services. Furthermore, the growing usage of multimedia content in the social media posts in recent years further adds to the challenge in timely mining relevant information from social media. In this paper, we present a novel method for multimodal relevancy classification of social media posts, where relevancy is defined with respect to the information needs of emergency management agencies. Specifically, we experiment with the combination of semantic textual features with the image features to efficiently classify a relevant multimodal social media post. We validate our method using an evaluation of classifying the data from three real-world crisis events. Our experiments demonstrate that features based on the proposed hybrid framework of exploiting both textual and image content improve the performance of identifying relevant posts. In the light of these experiments, the application of the proposed classification method could reduce cognitive load on emergency services, in filtering multimodal public posts at large scale., Comment: Published in IEEE SmartSys 2019 : Fourth IEEE Workshop on Smart Service Systems (SmartSys)