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AimA retrospective case–control study was conducted at a tertiary referral hospital to determine the characteristics of and risk factors for contact lens (CL) related presumed microbial keratitis.MethodsTwo hundred and ninety-one cases of presumed microbial keratitis were retrospectively identified over a 2-year period. Records were reviewed for a history of CL wear and, where identified, CL, demographic, and clinical data were collected. Lens wearing controls (n=186) were identified by a community telephone survey. Multiple logistic regression estimated risk factors for infection and vision loss.ResultsNinety-nine (34%) new cases of presumed microbial keratitis were associated with CL wear. Overnight soft CL use was associated with an increased risk of infection compared to daily disposable CL wear (odds ratio (OR): 8.03, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.82–35.46). Compared with older CL wearers, 15–24 year olds had a 3.5 times greater risk of infection (OR, 95% CI: 1.7–7.4). Of the 84 cases with available data, 24 (29%) lost two or more lines of best-corrected visual acuity. Delaying treatment by 49–72 h had a 4.5 times (OR, 95% CI: 1.4–14.9) greater risk of visual loss compared to seeking treatment early. Of the 99 cases of infection, 88 were scraped and 78% (69/88) of these returned a positive culture. Gram-positive bacteria were the predominant causative organisms.ConclusionOvernight use of CL and youth carry a greater risk of infection. Practitioners should reinforce the importance of proper CL care at all times, and early presentation following the onset of symptoms.Eye (2009) 23, 153–160; doi:10.1038/sj.eye.6702953; published online 17 August 2007 [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Knowledge and the usage of actual sample size formulae are a necessity as validity of the inferences from research studies is often dependent on this. This paper explains how sample sizes are calculated. The concept of sampling variation is explained to emphasize the need for its proper calculation. Sample size formulae are explained with examples to provide researchers with a means of calculating the sample sizes for the commonly used study designs. Ophthalmic data are used as examples. It is perceived that this will improve the quality of inferences drawn from ophthalmic research studies.

Potassium hydroxide (KOH) preparation is an underutilized modality in the diagnosis of mycotic keratitis. We have earlier shown its utility in the diagnosis of Nocardia and Acanthamoeba keratitis. The aim of this study was (i) to evaluate the sensitivity, specificity and predictive value of KOH preparation, and (ii) to compare its efficacy with other methods of corneal scraping examination, for the diagnosis of mycotic keratitis. The study was conducted in two phases. In phase I, randomized corneal scrapings were examined by KOH, Gram′s stain, and lactophenol cotton blue (LPCB) in 91 infectious keratitis subjects. In phase II, 53 corneal scrapings were stained with KOH and calcofluor white (CFW), and viewed with bright field (KOH) and fluorescence (CFW) microscopy. The KOH and CFW readings were recorded by an observer masked to the clinical findings and culture results. Nineteen scrapings were examined by two masked observers. In 22 culture positive fungal keratitis patients in phase I, the sensitivity of KOH, Gram′s stain, and LPCB methods was 100%, 86.4%, and 77.3%, respectively. In phase II, the specificities of KOH and CFW were identical (83.8%), while the sensitivities were 81.2% and 93.7%, respectively (p = 0.59), in 16 culture positive mycotic keratitis patients. There was no significant difference between the negative and positive predictive values of KOH and CFW. Furthermore, no significant interobserver variability was found in the specificity and sensitivity. The KOH method compares well with other microscopy methods in the diagnosis of keratomycosis and has a definite place in the armamentarium of diagnostic techniques.

The success of corneal grafting in visual rehabilitation of the corneal blind in India depends on survival of the grafts. Understanding the causes of graft failure may help reduce the risk of failure. We studied these causes in a series of 638 graft failures at our institution. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the association of particular causes of graft failure with indications for grafting, socioeconomic status, age, sex, host corneal vascularization, donor corneal quality, and experience of surgeon. The major causes of graft failure were allograft rejection (29.2%), increased intraocular pressure (16.9%), infection excluding endophthalmitis (15.4%), and surface problems (12.7%). The odds of infection causing graft failure were significantly higher in patients of lower socioeconomic status (odds ratio 2.45, 95% CI 1.45-4.15). Surface problems as a cause of graft failure was significantly associated with grafts done for corneal scarring or for regrafts (odds ratio 3.36, 95% CI 1.80-6.30). Increased intraocular pressure as a cause of graft failure had significant association with grafts done for aphakic or pseudophakic bullous keratopathy, congenital conditions or glaucoma, or regrafts (odds ratio 2.19, 95% CI 1.25-3.84). Corneal dystrophy was the indication for grafting in 12 of the 13 cases of graft failure due to recurrence of host disease. Surface problems, increased intraocular pressure, and infection are modifiable risk factors that are more likely to cause graft failure in certain categories of patients in India. Knowledge about these associations can be helpful in looking for and aggressively treating these modifiable risk factors in the at-risk categories of corneal graft patients. This can possibly reduce the chance of graft failure.

With the continuing high magnitude of blindness in India, fresh approaches are needed to effectively deal with this burden on society. The International Centre for Advancement of Rural Eye Care (ICARE) has been established at the L.V. Prasad Eye Institute in Hyderabad to develop such an approach. This paper describes how ICARE functions to meet its objective. The three major functions of ICARE are design and implementation of rural eye-care centres, human resource development for eye care, and community eye-health planning. ICARE works with existing eye-care centres, as well as those being planned, in underserved areas of India and other parts of the developing world. The approach being developed by ICARE, along with its partners, to reduce blindness is that of comprehensive eye care with due emphasis on preventive, curative and rehabilitative aspects. This approach involves the community in which blindness is sought to be reduced by understanding how the people perceive eye health and the barriers to eye care, thereby enabling development of strategies to prevent blindness. Emphasis is placed on providing good-quality eye care with attention to reasonable infrastructure and equipment, developing a resource of adequately trained eye-care professionals of all cadres, developing a professional environment satisfactory for patients as well as eye-care providers, and the concept of good management and financial self-sustainability. Community-based rehabilitation of those with incurable blindness is also part of this approach. ICARE plans to work intensively with its partners and develop these concepts further, thereby effectively bringing into practice the concept of comprehensive eye care for the community in underserved parts of India, and later in other parts of the developing world. In addition, ICARE is involved in assessing the current situation regarding the various aspects of blindness through well-designed epidemiologic studies, and projecting the eye-care needs for the future with the help of reliable information. With balanced attention to infrastructure, manpower, financial self-sustenance, and future planning, ICARE intends to develop a practical model to effectively reduce blindness in India on a long-term basis.

In general, better understanding of the need and usage of statistics would benefit the medical community in India. This paper explains why statistical analysis is needed, and what is the conceptual basis for it. Ophthalmic data are used as examples. The concept of sampling variation is explained to further corroborate the need for statistical analysis in medical research. Statistical estimation and testing of hypothesis which form the major components of statistical inference are construed. Commonly reported univariate and multivariate statistical tests are explained in order to equip the ophthalmologist with basic knowledge of statistics for better understanding of research data. It is felt that this understanding would facilitate well designed investigations ultimately leading to higher quality practice of ophthalmology in our country.

This study was done to determine the prevalence of visual impairment due to refractive errors and ocular diseases in lower middle class school children of Hyderabad, India. A total of 4,029 children, which included 2,348 males and 1,681 females, in the age range of 3 to 18 years from 9 schools were screened with a detailed ocular examination protocol. Among 3,669 children in whom visual acuity could be recorded, on presentation 115 (3.1%) had visual acuity < 6/18 in the better eye (equivalent to visual impairment), while 41 (1.1%) had visual acuity of 6/60 in the better eye (equivalent to legal blindness) out of which 18 (0.5%) had visual acuity < 6/60 in the better eye (equivalent to economic blindness). Of 115 children who presented with initial visual acuity < 6/18, vision improved to ≥6/18 with refraction in 109 (94.8%). No child was legally or economically blind after refractive correction. Prevalence of hyperopia was 22.6%, myopia 8.6% and astigmatism 10.3%. The prevalence of myopia was significantly higher among children ≥10 years of age (P

Indications for penetrating keratoplasty (PK) in the developing world from a large series are not well documented. This study was done to evaluate the indications for PK in a major eye care institution in India. The records for a consecutive series of 1,964 PKs were analysed and multiple logistic regression was used to study the effect of age, socioeconomic status and sex on the indications for PK. The indications for PK were corneal scarring in 551 (28.1%) including adherent leukoma in 147 (7.5%), regrafts in 336 (17.1%), active infectious keratitis in 239 (12.2%), aphakic bullous keratopathy in 231 (11.8%), pseudophakic bullous keratopathy in 209 (10.6%), corneal dystrophies in 165 (8.4%) including Fuchs′ dystrophy in 23 (1.2%), keratoconus in 118 (6%), and miscellaneous in 115 (5.9%). The odds that the patient belonged to lower socioeconomic status were significantly higher if the PK was done for active infectious keratitis (odds ratio 2.73, p

Reliable population-based epidemiologic data regarding vision and ocular morbidity, as well as those about the perceptions of people regarding visual impairment and eye care, are lacking for the most part in the developing world including India. These data are the basis on which effective eye care services can be developed. To meet this need we designed the Andhra Pradesh Eye Disease Study, a population-based epidemiology study of 10,000 people in the Indian state of Andhra Pradesh. The design of this study is described in this paper. Various options for the sample size, study areas, sampling procedure, and recruitment of subjects were considered. A sample size of 10,000 people, 5,000 each in the < or = 30 and > 30 years age groups, was determined to obtain reasonable confidence in estimating the prevalence of diseases and odds ratios for risk factors of interest. A multistage sampling strategy was chosen for the study which was assumed to give a design effect of 1.5 for the estimates. One urban area, Hyderabad, and three rural areas, West Godavari, Adilabad and Mahbubnagar districts, were selected in Andhra Pradesh. Interview instruments were developed to obtain detailed information about demographic data, diet, ocular and systemic history, risk factors for eye diseases, visual function, quality of life, barriers to eye care, and knowledge about eye diseases. A detailed examination procedure was devised to obtain a broad range of normative and abnormal data related to eyes and vision. A protocol was developed for doing automated visual fields, slitlamp and fundus photography. Computer databases were made in FoxPro for data entry and subsequent analysis with SPSS. Pilot studies were done to test the instruments, procedures, and logistics of the study in urban and rural areas. Information from the Andhra Pradesh Eye Disease Study is expected to help in planning and implementation of effective long-term preventive, curative, and rehabilitative eye care services in Andhra Pradesh.

Purpose: To study the optic disc size in eyes with ocular hypertension (OHT) in comparison to primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG) and normals. Methods: Optic disc photographs obtained with the Nidek 3dx NM camera were digitized (Nikon coolscan) and disc area calculated using Littmann correction in a randomly chosen eye of 28 OHT, 42 POAG and 30 normal subjects. OHT was defined as increased intraocular pressure with no disc or field changes suggestive of glaucoma with open angles. Results: The optic disc area in OHT was 9.47 ± 1.09 mm2; 12.27 ± 2.87mm2 in POAG; and 12.11 ± 2.83 mm2 in normal individuals. Conclusion: Using magnification corrected morphometry and the criteria for OHT diagnosis, the optic disc area in OHT was significantly smaller (p

Purpose: To assess the effect of tenonectomy in further lowering the intraocular pressure (IOP) when combined with trabeculectomy. Methods: The outcomes and complications in 54 eyes of 54 consecutive patients who underwent trabeculectomy with tenonectomy (group I), and 47 eyes of 47 patients who underwent trabeculectomy without tenonectomy (group II) with matching pre-operative variables were analysed. Results: With a mean follow up of 14.7 ± 8.1 months in group I and 17.4± 9.5 months in group II, the post-operative mean IOP in the former group was lower by 2.2 mmHg compared to the latter group (p=0.024). Complications seen were conjunctival buttonhole (one in each group), encysted bleb (two in group I and one in group II), one persistent choroidal detachment, and one ciliary block glaucoma in group I. Conclusion: Tenonectomy when combined with trabeculectomy, results in a lower IOP

Aim: To determine the regional and ethnic differences in ocular axial elongation and refractive error progression in myopic and non-myopic children., Methods: A retrospective analysis of 15 longitudinal clinical and population-based studies was conducted in the UK, Sweden, Australia (classified as European), China, and Vietnam (classified as East Asian) between 2005 and 2021. A total of 14,593 data points from 6208 participants aged 6-16 years with spherical equivalent from +6 to -6 D were analysed. Progression was annualised from longitudinal axial length and cycloplegic spherical equivalent (SE) refraction. Generalised estimating equation models including main effects and interactions were used for model building. Age and region-specific estimates for myopes and non-myopes and confidence intervals are reported., Results: Factors affecting axial elongation and SE progression in children included being myopic, followed by age, region/ethnicity and sex. The magnitude of regional/ethnic differences was dependent on myopia and age. Axial elongation and SE progression were lower in European compared with East Asian children, but differences were reduced with increasing age and differences in axial elongation were larger in myopes than non-myopes. Age-specific regional/ethnic differences indicated that axial elongation for a 6-year-old East Asian myopic child was greater than a European child by 0.15 mm/year (0.58 vs. 0.43 mm/year) and by 0.09 mm/year (0.35 vs. 0.26 mm/year) for a 10-year-old myope. SE progression was lower in a 6-year-old European myope by 0.48 D/year and at 10 years of age by 0.34 D/year compared with an East Asian myope., Conclusions: There are regional/ethnic differences in age-specific refractive and axial growth patterns in both myopic and non-myopic eyes, with more marked differences in younger East Asian children who demonstrated a higher axial growth and greater negative SE shift than their non-Asian peers. Regional/ethnic differences in progression reflect environmental and ethnic variations. Age and region/ethnicity-specific estimates could contribute as a reference for future comparisons., (© 2024 The Author(s). Ophthalmic and Physiological Optics published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of College of Optometrists.)

Purpose: The prevalence of myopia in Scandinavia tends to be lower than in other parts of the world. This study aimed to investigate the incidence of myopia and its predictors in Swedish children to characterise this trend., Methods: A 2-year longitudinal study was conducted following a cohort of schoolchildren aged 8-16 years. Myopia was defined as a spherical equivalent refraction (SER) ≤ -0.50 D. The study enrolled 128 participants, 70 (55%) females with a mean age of 12.0 years (SD = 2.4)., Results: The cumulative incidence of myopia during the follow-up period was 5.5%, and the incidence rate of myopia was 3.2 cases per 100 person-years. Participants with myopia at baseline exhibited a faster increase in refractive error during the follow-up period. Likewise, participants with two myopic parents exhibited a more marked change towards myopia, regardless of their initial refractive error., Conclusion: In the current study, similar to prevalence, the incidence of myopia was low when compared with other parts of the world. These results lead us to formulate a new hypothesis that the normal emmetropisation process may be protected by low educational pressure practised in Sweden during early childhood. Further research is necessary to test this new hypothesis., (© 2024 The Author(s). Ophthalmic and Physiological Optics published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of College of Optometrists.)

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to assess the immediate ocular immune response to soft contact lens (CL) wear by examining presumed epithelial immune cell (EIC) density and morphology at the central, peripheral, limbal cornea, and conjunctiva., Methods: Fifty-four participants naïve to CL wear (mean age = 24.8 ± 9.8 years, 44% female participants), were examined using in vivo confocal microscopy at baseline and after 2 hours of CL wear (1-Day ACUVUE MOIST). Images were captured at the central, temporal far peripheral and limbal cornea, and bulbar conjunctiva. EIC density was counted manually and morphology was graded. Differences in EIC parameters pre- and post-CL wear were examined using a generalized estimating equation model with appropriate post hoc analyses., Results: After 2 hours of soft CL wear, there was a significant increase in EIC density in all regions other than the central cornea (all P < 0.001). Cell body size was significantly larger, and a higher proportion of participants exhibited EIC with long dendrites after lens wear at the central and peripheral cornea (both P < 0.001). There was a significant increase in the number of participants displaying EIC with thick dendrites at the peripheral (P = 0.04) and limbal cornea (P < 0.001) after lens wear., Conclusions: EICs were primarily recruited to the peripheral regions, whereas the central cornea shows no significant recruitment after short-term CL wear. Both central and peripheral corneas exhibited an enhanced antigen capture capacity, whereas migratory capacity was increased in the peripheral corneal regions suggesting EIC activation following a short period of CL wear.

Significance: The Global Myopia Prevalence and International Levels of Education study models national trends in educational performance with myopia prevalence in children; it examines the association of near work with myopia in the form of an ecologic analysis and also discusses how this may relate to educational frameworks., Purpose: This study aimed to investigate the relationship between myopia prevalence and national educational performance., Methods: The prevalence of myopia in the 15- to 19-year age group in 35 regions was obtained from a meta-analysis by Holden et al. (Ophthalmology 2016;123:1036-1042) and matched with educational performance quantified by the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) testing from 2000 to 2018. A generalized estimating equation was used to describe the relationship between PISA scores and myopia prevalence. Clustering effects of country and chronological year were accounted for in the analysis. Linear and nonlinear terms of PISA scores using lines of best fit were further explored., Results: There is a significant positive relationship between Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development PISA educational performance and myopia prevalence in teenagers with higher PISA scores correlating with higher myopia prevalence, even after accounting for chronological year (generalized estimating equation model: P = .001, .008, and .005 for math, science, and reading, respectively). Scatterplots with cubic and logistic fits indicated that PISA math showed the strongest relationship with myopia prevalence ( r2 = 0.64), followed by science ( r2 = 0.41) and reading ( r2 = 0.31)., Conclusions: These results strongly suggest that educational achievement at a national level is associated with higher myopia prevalence. Programme for International Student Assessment scores are a significant driver of many countries' education policies, and countries that have a balance between high PISA scores and lower myopia prevalence may be good models of educational policies to address the myopia public health issue., Competing Interests: Conflict of Interest Disclosure: The corresponding author (MJ) is currently employed by Johnson and Johnson Vision. The study was conducted and completed when MJ was not yet employed by Johnson and Johnson Vision. The coauthors have reported no financial conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2023 American Academy of Optometry.)

Aim: To determine the influence of refractive error (RE), age, gender and parental myopia on axial elongation in Chinese children and to develop normative data for this population., Methods: This is a retrospective analysis of eight longitudinal studies conducted in China between 2007 and 2017. Data of 4701 participants aged 6-16 years with spherical equivalent from +6 to -6D contributed to one, two or three annualised progression data resulting in a dataset of 11,262 eyes of 26.6%, 14.8% and 58.6% myopes, emmetropes and hyperopes, respectively. Longitudinal data included axial length and cycloplegic spherical equivalent RE. Axial elongation was log-transformed to develop an exponential model with generalised estimating equations including main effects and interactions. Model-based estimates and their confidence intervals (CIs) are reported., Results: Annual axial elongation decreased significantly with increasing age, with the rate of decrease specific to the RE group. Axial elongation in myopes was higher than in emmetropes and hyperopes but these differences reduced with age (0.58, 0.45 and 0.27 mm/year at 6 years and 0.13, 0.06 and 0.05 mm/year at 15 years for myopes, emmetropes and hyperopes, respectively). The rate of elongation in incident myopes was similar to that in myopes at baseline (0.33 vs. 0.34 mm/year at 10.5 years; p = 0.32), while it was significantly lower in non-myopes (0.20 mm/year at 10.5 years, p < 0.001). Axial elongation was greater in females than in males and in those with both parents myopic compared with one or no myopic parent, with larger differences in non-myopes than in myopes (p < 0.01)., Conclusions: Axial elongation varied with age, RE, gender and parental myopia. Estimated normative data with CIs could serve as a virtual control group., (© 2023 The Authors. Ophthalmic and Physiological Optics published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of College of Optometrists.)

Significance: Studies on adult myopia progression are limited. This retrospective analysis of a large data set of young adult myopes characterizes myopia progression during adulthood., Purpose: This study aimed to determine the mean annual progression of myopia and to estimate the proportion of progressors in adult myopes., Methods: Longitudinal, noncycloplegic subjective refraction data for young adult myopes (spherical equivalent refractive error, -0.5 D or more), age ranging from 18 to 30 years, were retrospectively analyzed. The mean annual progression, as well as the proportion of progressors (at least -0.50 D shift between visits and annualized progression of -0.25 D or more), was estimated., Results: A total of 354 myopes (230 females [64.7%]), with a mean (standard deviation) age of 22.2 (3.8) years, were considered. The mean (standard deviation) annualized progression was -0.10 (0.21), -0.08 (0.2), and -0.04 (0.21) D in the 18- to 21-year, 22- to 26-year, and 27- to 30-year age groups, respectively ( P = .003). The difference between 18- to 21- and 27- to 30-year age groups was significant ( P = .05), whereas all other pairwise comparisons were not significant. The proportion (95% confidence interval) of progressors in the 18- to 21-, >21- to 26-, and >26- to 30-year age groups was 18.3% (14.9 to 21.7%), 10.9% (7.1 to 14.7%), and 8.8% (4.4 to 13.1%), respectively. The proportion of progressors working or studying in a higher learning/academic environment was 16.2% with an odds ratio (95% confidence interval) for progression of 2.07 (1.15 to 3.74) compared with those in nonacademic environments ( P = .02), with no significant effect of sex or ethnicity., Conclusions: This study is consistent with other studies on myopia in young adults, which show that myopia does not progress by substantial amounts throughout the adult years, particularly after the age of 21 years. Although future studies may be challenged by the small rates of change and the small proportion of progressors, further research is needed to understand the implications of adult myopia progression on clinical management., Competing Interests: Conflict of Interest Disclosure: None of the authors have reported a financial conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2023 American Academy of Optometry.)

Background: Informed decisions on myopia management require an understanding of financial impact. We describe methodology for estimating lifetime myopia costs, with comparison across management options, using exemplars in Australia and China., Methods: We demonstrate a process for modelling lifetime costs of traditional myopia management (TMM=full, single-vision correction) and active myopia management (AMM) options with clinically meaningful treatment efficacy. Evidence-based, location-specific and ethnicity-specific progression data determined the likelihood of all possible refractive outcomes. Myopia care costs were collected from published sources and key informants. Refractive and ocular health decisions were based on standard clinical protocols that responded to the speed of progression, level of myopia, and associated risks of pathology and vision impairment. We used the progressions, costs, protocols and risks to estimate and compare lifetime cost of myopia under each scenario and tested the effect of 0%, 3% and 5% annual discounting, where discounting adjusts future costs to 2020 value., Results: Low-dose atropine, antimyopia spectacles, antimyopia multifocal soft contact lenses and orthokeratology met our AMM inclusion criteria. Lifetime cost for TMM with 3% discounting was US$7437 (CI US$4953 to US$10 740) in Australia and US$8006 (CI US$3026 to US$13 707) in China. The lowest lifetime cost options with 3% discounting were antimyopia spectacles (US$7280, CI US$5246 to US$9888) in Australia and low-dose atropine (US$4453, CI US$2136 to US$9115) in China., Conclusions: Financial investment in AMM during childhood may be balanced or exceeded across a lifetime by reduced refractive progression, simpler lenses, and reduced risk of pathology and vision loss. Our methodology can be applied to estimate cost in comparable scenarios., Competing Interests: Competing interests: TF and SR consult for BHVI, and PS, TN and NT are employed by Brien Holden Vision Institute (BHVI), which holds patents in myopia control., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2023. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)

Purpose: Due to pubertal development and crystalline lens compensation, axial length (AL) continues to increase among non-progressive myopic children (absolute annual spherical equivalent (SE) progression less than 0.25 diopter), but the amount is unknown. This study was to investigate the cutoff of AL change to accurately differentiate between progressive and non-progressive myopes., Methods: A total of 8,546 myopic and treatment-naive children aged 6-10 years were enrolled from two cohort studies. AL with optical biometer and cycloplegic SE with auto refraction were evaluated at baseline and annually. Annual AL change was calculated, and the percentiles of annual axial elongation among progressive and non-progressive myopes were estimated by quantile regression with restricted cubic spline. Area under receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUROC), positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were applied to evaluate the accuracy of predicting progressive and non-progressive myopes., Results: Among 8,546 myopic children, 603 (7.06%) were non-progressive myopes. Annual AL changes among non-progressive myopes remained stable with the median annual change being 0.25 mm, while the median for progressive myopes decreased with age from 0.58 to 0.42 mm. AUROC for distinguishing between non-progressive and progressive myopes was 0.88 and was > 0.85 for each age group. Annual AL change, the cutoff of 0.20 mm/year, had significantly high PPV and NPV in predicting progressive myopes with high proportion of progressive myopes and non-progressive myopes with low proportions of progressive myopes., Conclusion: Myopic children with non-progressive status had markedly less axial elongation than progressive ones. AL changes with cutoff of 0.20 mm/year could differentiate between non-progressive and progressive status and may be an alternative for evaluating progressive status., (© 2022. The Author(s).)