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Abstract The Chinese central government recently published a new regulation to strictly limit the time minors spend on online games, providing a favorable policy environment for the protection of their physical and mental health as well as their overall development. We first provide empirical evidence that children having more frequent online entertainment would suffer worse school performance. We then adopt analytic hierarchy process to analyze the possible hazards of minors' addiction to online games from such aspects as physical health, academic performance, family relationship, and teacher–student relationship. Recommendations are finally given on how to prevent minors from being addicted to online games.

Due to the complicated transport and reactive behavior of organic contamination in groundwater, the development of mathematical models to aid field remediation planning and implementation attracts increasing attentions. In this study, the approach coupling response surface methodology (RSM), artificial neural networks (ANN), and kinetic models was implemented to model the degradation effects of nano-zero-valent iron (nZVI) activated persulfate (PS) systems on benzene, a common organic pollutant in groundwater. The proposed model was applied to optimize the process parameters in order to help predict the effects of multiple factors on benzene degradation rate. Meanwhile, the chemical oxidation kinetics was developed based on batch experiments under the optimized reaction conditions to predict the temporal degradation of benzene. The results indicated that benzene (0.25 mmol) would be theoretically completely oxidized in 1.45 mM PS with the PS/nZVI molar ratio of 4:1 at pH 3.9°C and 21.9 C. The RSM model predicted well the effects of the four factors on benzene degradation rate (R2 = 0.948), and the ANN with a hidden layer structure of [8-8] performed better compared to the RSM (R2 = 0.980). In addition, the involved benzene degradation systems fit well with the Type-2 and Type-3 pseudo-second order (PSO) kinetic models with R2 > 0.999. It suggested that the proposed statistical and kinetic-based modeling approach is promising support for predicting the chemical oxidation performance of organic contaminants in groundwater under the influence of multiple factors.

Accurate forecast of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions plays a significant role in China's carbon peaking and carbon neutrality policies. A novel two-stage forecast procedure based on support vector regression (SVR), random forest (RF), ridge regression (Ridge), and artificial neural network (ANN) is proposed and evaluated by comparing it with the single-stage forecast procedure. Nine independent variables’ data (study period: 1985–2020) are used to forecast the CO2 emissions in China. Our results reveal that, when the time gap, h increases from 1 to 8, the average root mean squared error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) of SVR–SVR, SVR–RF, SVR–Ridge, and SVR–ANN are almost uniformly lower than errors arising from their single-stage version, respectively. Among these two-stage models, SVR–ANN exhibits the lowest forecast errors, whereas SVR–RF admits the highest. The mean percentage decrease in forecast errors of SVR–SVR vs. SVR, SVR–RF vs. RF, SVR–Ridge vs. Ridge, and SVR–ANN vs. ANN are 36.06, 5.98, 43.05, and 14.81 for RMSE, and 36.06, 6.91, 43.27, and 15.35 for MAE. Our two-stage procedure is also suitable to forecast other variables, such as fossil fuel and renewable energy consumption. HIGHLIGHTS A novel two-stage forecast procedure is proposed and evaluated.; Four hybrids of machine learning models based on SVR, RF, Ridge, and ANN are constructed to provide an accurate forecast of CO2 emissions in China.; SVR–ANN gives the lowest forecast errors in terms of RMSE and MAE.; SVR–Ridge shows the highest performance improvement than Ridge.;

Background: A majority of all myocardial infarctions occur in patients who are 65 years of age or older and have average cholesterol levels, but little information is available on whether cholesterol lowering in such patients reduces the rate of recurrent cardiovascular disease.Objective: To determine whether pravastatin reduces the rate of recurrent cardiovascular events in older patients.Design: Subset analysis of a randomized, controlled trial.Setting: 80 hospitals and affiliates in the United States and Canada.Patients: 1283 patients aged 65 to 75 years who had had myocardial infarction and had a plasma total cholesterol level less than 6.2 mmol/L (240 mg/dL) and a low-density lipoprotein cholesterol level of 3.0 to 4.5 mmol/L (115 to 174 mg/dL).Intervention: Pravastatin, 40 mg/d, or placebo.Measurements: Five-year event rates of major coronary events (coronary death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, angioplasty, or bypass surgery) and stroke.Results: Major coronary events occurred in 28.1% of placebo recipients and 19.7% of pravastatin recipients (difference, 9.0 percentage points [95% CI, 4 to 13 percentage points]; relative risk reduction, 32%; P < 0.001). Coronary death occurred in 10.3% of the placebo group and in 5.8% of the pravastatin group (difference, 4.6 percentage points [CI, 1.9 to 6.5 percentage points]; relative risk reduction, 45%; P = 0.004). Stroke incidence was 7.3% in the placebo group and 4.5% in the pravastatin group (absolute reduction, 2.9 percentage points [CI, 0.3 to 4.5 percentage points]; relative reduction, 40%; P = 0.03). The numbers of older patients needed to treat for 5 years were 11 (CI, 8 to 24) to prevent a major coronary event and 22 (CI, 15 to 53) to prevent a coronary death. For every 1000 older patients treated, 225 cardiovascular hospitalizations would be prevented compared with 121 hospitalizations in 1000 younger patients.Conclusions: In older patients with myocardial infarction and cholesterol levels in the average range, pravastatin is associated with a clinically important reduction in risk for major coronary events and stroke. Given the high cardiovascular event rate in older patients, the potential for absolute benefit in this age group is substantial. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The use of co-primary endpoints in drug development allows investigators to capture an experimental intervention's multidimensional effect more comprehensively than a single primary endpoint. We propose the theoretical basis and development of an adaptive population enrichment design with co-primary endpoints, provide stage-wise boundary values for futility and efficacy, and discuss power under different efficacy configurations, subgroup prevalence, and analysis times using a pre-specified decision criterion. We considered a two-arm, two-stage, parallel group design where population enrichment occurs at the interim analysis by dropping any non-responsive subgroups. A test for efficacy is conducted only in the enriched population. Two binary endpoints are evaluated as co-primary endpoints. Our trial objective is to determine whether the experimental intervention is superior to the control intervention, with superiority required in both endpoints. We define the stopping boundary using alpha spending functions. Using a 0.025 significance level for each endpoint, we obtain the stage I threshold boundary values for futility and efficacy as -0.1040 and 2.2761, respectively, and the stage II boundary value for futility and efficacy is 2.2419. We show that in the presence of substantial heterogeneity of treatment effect, we gain more power to observe an effect in the subgroup where the benefits are greater. By allowing the dropping of non-responsive subgroups at an early stage, our design reduces the likelihood of obtaining false-negative results due to inclusion of the heterogeneous treatment effects of both subgroups, which would dilute the responsive subgroup's results., (© 2019 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.)

BACKGROUND: Higher levels of red blood cell distribution width (RDW) may be associated with adverse outcomes in patients with heart failure. We examined the association between RDW and the risk of all-cause mortality and adverse cardiovascular outcomes in a population of people with coronary disease who were free of heart failure at baseline. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed a post hoc analysis of data from the Cholesterol and Recurrent Events study. Baseline RDW was measured in 4111 participants who were randomized to receive pravastatin 40 mg daily or placebo and followed for a median of 59.7 months. We used Cox proportional hazards models to examine the association between RDW and adverse clinical outcomes. During nearly 60 months of follow-up, 376 participants died. A significant association was noted between baseline RDW level and the adjusted risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio per percent increase in RDW, 1.14; 95% confidence interval, 1.05 to 1.24). After categorization based on quartile of baseline RDW and further adjustment for hematocrit and other cardiovascular risk factors, a graded independent relation between RDW and death was observed (P for trend=0.001). For instance, participants with RDW in the highest quartile had an adjusted hazard ratio for death of 1.78 (95% confidence interval, 1.28 to 2.47) compared with those in the lowest quartile. Higher levels of RDW were also associated with increased risk of coronary death/nonfatal myocardial infarction, new symptomatic heart failure, and stroke. CONCLUSIONS: We found a graded independent relation between higher levels of RDW and the risk of death and cardiovascular events in people with prior myocardial infarction but no symptomatic heart failure at baseline.

Background: Many patients in primary care settings present with multiple behavioral risk factors for cardiovascular disease. Research has provided little information on the most effective ways to approach multiple behavior change counseling in clinical settings., Methods: We implemented a randomized trial in a publicly funded primary care setting to test whether a sequential presentation of stage of change-based counseling to stop smoking, reduce dietary sodium level to less than 100 mEq/L per day, and increase physical activity by at least 10,000 pedometer steps per week would be more effective than simultaneous counseling. African Americans with hypertension, aged 45 to 64 years, initially nonadherent to the 3 behavioral goals, were randomized to the following conditions: (1) 1 in-clinic counseling session on all 3 behaviors every 6 months, supplemented by motivational interviewing by telephone for 18 months; (2) a similar protocol that addressed a new behavior every 6 months; or (3) 1-time referral to existing group classes ("usual care"). The primary end point was the proportion in each arm that met at least 2 behavioral criteria after 18 months., Results: A total of 289 individuals (67.3% female) were randomized, and 230 (79.6%) completed the study. At 18 months, only 6.5% in the simultaneous arm, 5.2% in the sequential arm, and 6.5% in the usual-care arm met the primary end point. However, results for single behavioral goals consistently favored the simultaneous group. At 6 months, 29.6% in the simultaneous, 16.5% in the sequential, and 13.4% in the usual-care arms had reached the urine sodium goal (P = .01). At 18 months, 20.3% in the simultaneous, 16.9% in the sequential, and 10.1% in the usual-care arms were urine cotinine negative (P = .08)., Conclusions: Long-term multiple behavior change is difficult in primary care. This study provides strong evidence that addressing multiple behaviors sequentially is not superior to, and may be inferior to, a simultaneous approach.

Baseline renal function is a potent independent risk factor for adverse events after acute myocardial infarction (MI). Worsening renal function (WRF) has been shown to influence outcomes in the heart failure population, but its impact on cardiovascular risk in the post-MI period has not been well defined. For assessment of the prognostic importance of WRF, 2231 patients who had left ventricular dysfunction and were enrolled in the Survival and Ventricular Enlargement (SAVE) trial were studied. Patients were randomly assigned between 3 and 16 d (average 11 d) after acute MI to receive captopril or placebo; those with a serum creatinine of >2.5 mg/dl were excluded from SAVE. WRF was defined as an increase in creatinine of >0.3 mg/dl measured from baseline to 2 wk after randomization. The predictive value of WRF on cardiovascular morbidity and mortality was examined during 42 mo of follow-up. Paired serum creatinine measurements at baseline and 2 wk were available in 1854 patients. WRF occurred in 223 (12.0%) patients and was a stronger predictor of death (hazard ratio [HR] 1.46; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.05 to 2.02) than baseline creatinine (HR 1.31; 95% CI 1.01 to 1.70). WRF also showed an increased risk for cardiovascular death (HR 1.62; 95% CI 1.14 to 2.30) and the composite end point (HR 1.32; 95% CI 1.03 to 1.70). When stratified by treatment, 104 (5.7%) and 116 (6.4%) patients with WRF in the placebo and captopril groups had no significant association between treatment group and WRF (P = 0.38). The risk for death associated with WRF was HR 1.63 (95% CI 1.05 to 2.52) in the placebo group compared with HR 1.33 (95% CI 0.81 to 2.21) in the captopril group (P = 0.49 for interaction). WRF as early as 2 wk after MI was not uncommon (12.0%) and was associated with increased mortality in patients without renal dysfunction at baseline. Patients who received captopril did not demonstrate more WRF than patients who received placebo. Monitoring serum creatinine in patients during the first few weeks after MI may help to identify those who are at highest risk and guide effective long-term therapeutic choices.

Context: Small low-density lipoprotein (LDL) particle size has been hypothesized to be a risk factor for coronary heart disease (CHD). Animal models link large LDL to atherosclerosis. However, the strong association between small LDL and other risk factors, particularly triglyceride levels, impedes determining whether LDL size independently predicts CHD in humans., Objective: To examine whether LDL size is an independent predictor of recurrent coronary events in patients with known CHD, as opposed to a marker for other lipid abnormalities., Design and Setting: Prospective, nested case-control study in the Cholesterol and Recurrent Events (CARE) trial, a randomized placebo-controlled trial of pravastatin conducted in 1989-1996., Participants: Survivors of myocardial infarction with typical LDL concentrations (416 cases and 421 controls)., Main Outcome Measure: Subsequent myocardial infarction or coronary death during the 5-year follow-up, analyzed by quintile of LDL particle size and by treatment group., Results: Overall, the mean LDL size was identical in cases and controls (25.6 nm). In patients in the placebo group, large LDL predicted coronary events in models adjusted only for age (relative risk [RR], 1.79; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-3.17) and for age and lipid and nonlipid risk factors (RR, 4.00; 95% CI, 1.81-8.82), comparing those in the highest (mean, 26.6 nm) and lowest (mean, 24.5 nm) quintiles of LDL size. This increased risk was not present in those taking pravastatin (age-adjusted analysis: RR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.47-2.04; P =.046 for interaction for a difference in the effect of LDL size on coronary events between the placebo and treatment groups; multivariable analysis: RR, 1.33; 95% CI, 0.52-3.38; P =.11 for interaction)., Conclusions: Large LDL size was an independent predictor of coronary events in a typical population with myocardial infarction, but the adverse effect was not present among patients who were treated with pravastatin. Identifying patients on the basis of LDL size may not be useful clinically, since effective treatment for elevated LDL cholesterol concentrations also effectively treats risk associated with large LDL.

Objective: Coley toxins are administered to cancer patients worldwide, though clinical studies assessing efficacy either alone or in combination with conventional cancer therapy are limited. This article provides an overview of Coley toxins immunotherapy and compares the survival experience of cancer patients who received Coley toxins for renal, ovarian, breast cancer, or soft-tissue sarcomas with patients who received conventional treatment other than radiation., Data Sources: Cases were compiled from 5 of 18 monographs by Helen Coley Nauts., Study Selection: Using a retrospective cohort design with external controls, 128 Coley cases treated in New York from 1890 to 1960 were compared with 1675 controls from the Surveillance Epidemiology End Result (SEER) population-based cancer registry who received a cancer diagnosis in 1983., Data Extraction: Groups were matched on age, sex, ethnicity, site, stage, and treatment status (i.e., no radiotherapy)., Data Synthesis: The Cox proportional hazards model controlled for stage and menopausal status (when applicable) and the hazard ratio and 95% CI defined the odds of site-specific survival from date of diagnosis to last follow-up. Compared to the SEER population, risk of death within 10 years was not significantly different in Coley patients treated for renal, ovarian, breast cancer, or soft-tissue sarcomas., Conclusions: This study suggests that patients treated with surgery and Coley toxins between 1890 and 1960 experienced survival rates comparable to those of patients diagnosed in 1983 and treated with nonradiotherapeutic conventional approaches. The study is limited by small sample sizes, possibly inaccurate technology for staging during Coley time, and potential selection bias with Coley patients.

Background: We studied whether inflammation after myocardial infarction (MI) is a risk factor for recurrent coronary events and whether randomized treatment with pravastatin reduces that risk., Methods and Results: A nested case-control design was used to compare C-reactive protein (CRP) and serum amyloid A (SAA) levels in prerandomization blood samples from 391 participants in the Cholesterol and Recurrent Events (CARE) trial who subsequently developed recurrent nonfatal MI or a fatal coronary event (cases) and from an equal number of age- and sex-matched participants who remained free of these events during follow-up (control subjects). Overall, CRP and SAA were higher among cases than control subjects (for CRP P=0.05; for SAA P=0.006) such that those with levels in the highest quintile had a relative risk (RR) of recurrent events 75% higher than those with levels in the lowest quintile (for CRP RR= 1.77, P=0.02; for SAA RR= 1.74, P=0.02). The study group with the highest risk was that with consistent evidence of inflammation (elevation of both CRP and SAA) who were randomly assigned to placebo (RR=2.81, P=0.007); this risk estimate was greater than the product of the individual risks associated with inflammation or placebo assignment alone. In stratified analyses, the association between inflammation and risk was significant among those randomized to placebo (RR=2.11, P=0.048) but was attenuated and nonsignificant among those randomized to pravastatin (RR=1.29, P=0.5)., Conclusions: Evidence of inflammation after MI is associated with increased risk of recurrent coronary events. Therapy with pravastatin may decrease this risk, an observation consistent with a nonlipid effect of this agent.

Objectives: We sought to determine the effect of pravastatin on recurrent cardiovascular events in women with average cholesterol levels after myocardial infarction (MI)., Background: Little information is available on the effectiveness of lipid lowering in secondary prevention of coronary heart disease (CHD) in women; in particular, those with CHD and average cholesterol levels., Methods: In the Cholesterol and Recurrent Events (CARE) trial, 576 postmenopausal women, between 3 and 20 months after MI, with a total cholesterol level <240 mg/dl and a low density lipoprotein cholesterol level 115 to 174 mg/dl, were randomized to receive pravastatin 40 mg/day or matching placebo for a median follow-up period of 5 years. The main outcome measures were combined coronary events (coronary death, nonfatal MI, percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty [PTCA] or coronary artery bypass graft surgery [CABG]), the primary trial end point (coronary death or nonfatal MI) and stroke., Results: Women treated with pravastatin had a risk reduction of 43% for the primary end point (p = 0.035), 46% for combined coronary events (p = 0.001), 48% for PTCA (p = 0.025), 40% for CABG (p = 0.14) and 56% for stroke (p = 0.07). The 3,583 men in the CARE trial also showed a reduction in risk, but the magnitude tended to be less. Pravastatin improved plasma lipids similarly in men and women. There were no differences in risk of coronary events in the placebo group between men and women. Minor differences between men and women were present in baseline characteristics and treatment for MI, in general, conferring a higher risk status and a lower incidence of CABG in the women., Conclusions: Pravastatin led to significant early reduction of a wide range of cardiovascular events in post-MI women with average cholesterol levels.

Background: As a result of randomized controlled trials with calcium channel blockers after myocardial infarction, concern has developed that these agents are associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events, particularly in the presence of left ventricular dysfunction., Methods: To test the hypothesis that calcium channel blockers increase cardiovascular events in such patients, the incidence of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular death, severe heart failure, and recurrent infarction was examined in 940 patients taking calcium channel blockers and 1180 not taking them 24 hours before randomization to placebo or captopril in the Survival and Ventricular Enlargement (SAVE) Trial. All patients had an ejection fraction < or =40%. Relative risks for calcium channel blocker users versus nonusers and the 95% confidence intervals were computed with univariate and multivariate Cox regressions. Adjustments were made for differences in baseline covariates., Results: For all causes of mortality, the relative risk for calcium channel blocker users versus nonusers was 0.96, with the 95% confidence interval of 0.78 to 1.17. In the SAVE placebo and captopril groups, the relative risks for the development of severe heart failure among the calcium channel block users versus nonusers were 0.95 and 1.23, with the 95% confidence interval of 0.72 to 1.25 and 0.88 to 1.71, respectively. A similar neutral result held for patients with and without a history of hypertension. Furthermore, calcium channel blockers did not alter the benefit of the angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor, captopril., Conclusions: This analysis of the nonrandomized clinical use of calcium channel blockers in the postmyocardial infarction population with left ventricular dysfunction did not identify either a clinical deterioration or improvement with respect to subsequent cardiovascular events.

Background: We quantified cardiovascular death and/or left ventricular (LV) dilatation in patients from the SAVE trial to determine whether dilatation continued beyond 1 year, whether ACE inhibitor therapy attenuated late LV dilatation, and whether any baseline descriptors predicted late dilatation., Methods and Results: Two-dimensional echocardiograms were obtained in 512 patients at 11+/-3 days and 1 and 2 years postinfarction to assess LV size, percentage of the LV that was akinetic/dyskinetic (%AD), and LV shape index. LV function was assessed by radionuclide ejection fraction. Two hundred sixty-three patients (51.4%) sustained cardiovascular death and/or LV diastolic dilatation; 279 (54.5%) had cardiovascular death and/or systolic dilatation. In 373 patients with serial echocardiograms, LV end-diastolic and end-systolic sizes increased progressively from baseline to 2 years (both P<.01). More patients with LV dilatation had a decrease in ejection fraction: 24.8% versus 6.8% (P<.001) (diastole) and 25.7% versus 5.3% (P<.001) (systole). Captopril attenuated diastolic LV dilatation at 2 years (P=.048), but this effect was carried over from the first year of therapy because changes in LV size with captopril beyond 1 year were similar to those with placebo. Predictors of cardiovascular death and/or dilatation were age (P=.023), prior infarction (P<.001), lower ejection fraction (P<.001), angina (P=.007), heart failure (P=.002), LV size (P<.001), and infarct size (%AD) (P<.001)., Conclusions: Cardiovascular death and/or LV dilatation occurred in >50% of patients by 2 years. LV dilatation is progressive, associated with chamber distortion and deteriorating function that is unaffected by captopril beyond 1 year.

Background: The pilot study used clinical trial methodology to differentiate the effects of imagery and support on coping, life attitudes, immune function, quality of life, and emotional well-being after breast cancer., Methods: Women (N = 47) who completed treatment for primary breast cancer, excluding stage IV, were randomly assigned to standard care (n = 15) or six weekly support (n = 16) or imagery (n = 16) sessions. Self-report measures included Ways of Coping-Cancer, Life Attitude Profile, Quality of Life (FACT-B), Profile of Mood States, and Functional Support. Immune measures included natural killer cell activity, plasma neopterin, interferon-gamma, interleukins 1 alpha, 1 beta, and 2, and beta-endorphin levels. Differences between groups over time were tested using general linear models, adjusted for pretest score and covariates (age, stage, and months posttreatment)., Results: For all women, interferon-gamma increased, neopterin decreased, quality of life improved, and natural killer activity remained unchanged. Compared with standard care, both interventions improved coping skills (seeking support) and perceived social support, and tended to enhance meaning in life. Support boosted overall coping and death acceptance. When comparing imagery with support, imagery participants tended to have less stress, increased vigor, and improved functional and social quality of life., Conclusion: Although imagery reduced stress and improved quality of life, both imagery and support improved coping, attitudes, and perception of support. The clinical implications of these changes warrant further testing.

Background: In patients with high cholesterol levels, lowering the cholesterol level reduces the risk of coronary events, but the effect of lowering cholesterol levels in the majority of patients with coronary disease, who have average levels, is less clear., Methods: In a double-blind trial lasting five years we administered either 40 mg of pravastatin per day or placebo to 4159 patients (3583 men and 576 women) with myocardial infarction who had plasma total cholesterol levels below 240 mg per deciliter (mean, 209) and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol levels of 115 to 174 mg per deciliter (mean, 139). The primary end point was a fatal coronary event or a nonfatal myocardial infarction., Results: The frequency of the primary end point was 10.2 percent in the pravastatin group and 13.2 percent in the placebo group, an absolute difference of 3 percentage points and a 24 percent reduction in risk (95 percent confidence interval, 9 to 36 percent; P = 0.003). Coronary bypass surgery was needed in 7.5 percent of the patients in the pravastatin group and 10 percent of those in the placebo group, a 26 percent reduction (P=0.005), and coronary angioplasty was needed in 8.3 percent of the pravastatin group and 10.5 percent of the placebo group, a 23 percent reduction (P=0.01). The frequency of stroke was reduced by 31 percent (P=0.03). There were no significant differences in overall mortality or mortality from noncardiovascular causes. Pravastatin lowered the rate of coronary events more among women than among men. The reduction in coronary events was also greater in patients with higher pretreatment levels of LDL cholesterol., Conclusions: These results demonstrate that the benefit of cholesterol-lowering therapy extends to the majority of patients with coronary disease who have average cholesterol levels.

The primary goal of this investigation was to describe the effect of terfenadine on the QT interval corrected for heart rate (QTc) of the scalar electrocardiogram (ECG). The design was double-blind, four-period crossover, dose escalation, which involved 28 normal healthy volunteers and 28 patients with stable cardiovascular disease. At baseline, the normal subjects had a mean QTc interval of 407 msec, whereas the patients with cardiovascular disease had a mean QTc interval of 417 msec (p<0.01). The largest increase in mean QTc on terfenadine was 24 msec in a normal subject and 28 msec in a patient with cardiovascular disease. The longest average QTc observed was 449 msec and 501 msec in any normal subject and patient with cardiovascular disease, respectively. Compared to baseline, terfenadine 60 mg twice daily is associated with a QTc increase of 6 msec in normal subjects and a 12 msec increase in patients with cardiovascular disease (p<0.01 vs baseline; p>0.05 when the two populations were compared). Although the QTc increase from baseline are statistically significant, the magnitude of the spontaneous variability in QTc in the same patients is much greater. Because 40 ECGs were obtained while taking placebo in each participant, the spontaneous variability in QTc interval with placebo was also described. Only one of the 28 normal subjects had a mean baseline QTc=440 msec, yet 14 of the 28 normal subjects had at lease one of the 40 placebo ECGs with a QTc=440 msec. The 28 patients with cardiovascular disease had a mean QTc at baseline of 417 msec; yet 20 of 28 had at lease one ECG on placebo with a QTc interval = 440 msec. On the average, the QTc fluctuated 56 msec in each patient during placebo administration. From the observed placebo variability, we calculated that an increase in QTc of=35 msec while receiving drug therapy is likely to represent a drug effect at the 95% confidence interval.

Previous studies after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) have reported conflicting results on the effects of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibition on physical working capacity. In an effort to provide more insight into this subject, we examined the effects of captopril on working capacity of patients who had low ejection fractions but no congestive heart failure after AMI. One hundred sixty-six participants were recruited from 5 centers after randomization to either captopril or placebo for the Survival and Ventricular Enlargement study. Upright cycle ergometer tests were performed with continuous measurements of respiratory gases at 4, 12, and 24 months after AMI. Our study concurs with 2 of 3 previous post-AMI studies and supports the conclusion that working capacity is not affected by angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibition at 4 or 12 months after AMI in patients without congestive heart failure. In addition, no significant effect of captopril was noted at 24 months after AMI. Peak oxygen uptake tended to decrease between 12 and 24 months in the placebo group by an average (+/- SD) of -22 +/- 322 ml/min (n = 66), but to increase in the captopril group (+62 +/- 289, n = 57), a difference that was significant (Mann-Whitney chi-square, p = 0.02). This post-hoc observation suggests that a late beneficial effect may have been masked by inadequate study duration. Known benefits of captopril appear not to include an increase in working capacity within the first 24 months after AMI.

Background: Little information has been published on the impact of antihypertensive medications on quality of life in older persons. Particular concern has existed that lowering systolic blood pressure in older persons might have adverse consequences on cognition, mood, or leisure activities., Methods: A multicenter double-blind randomized controlled trial was conducted over an average of 5 years' followup involving 16 academic clinical trial clinics. Participants consisted of 4736 persons (1.06%) selected from 447,921 screenees aged 60 years and older. Systolic blood pressure at baseline ranged from 160 to 219 mm Hg, while diastolic blood pressure was less than 90 mm Hg. Participants were randomized to active antihypertensive drug therapy or matching placebo. Active treatment consisted of 12.5 to 25 mg of chlorthalidone for step 1, while step 2 consisted of 25 to 50 mg of atenolol. If atenolol was contraindicated, 0.05 to 0.10 mg of reserpine could be used for the second-step drug. The impact of drug treatment on measures of cognitive, emotional, and physical function and leisure activities was assessed., Results: Our analyses demonstrate that active treatment of isolated systolic hypertension in the Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program cohort had no measured negative effects and, for some measures, a slight positive effect on cognitive, physical, and leisure function. The positive findings in favor of the treatment group were small. There was no effect on measures related to emotional state. Measures of cognitive and emotional function were stable in both groups for the duration of the study. Both treatment groups showed a modest trend toward deterioration of some measures of physical and leisure function over the study period., Conclusions: The overall study cohort exhibited decline over time in activities of daily living, particularly the more strenuous ones, and some decline in certain leisure activities. However, mood, cognitive function, basic self-care, and moderate leisure activity were remarkably stable for both the active and the placebo groups throughout the entire study. Results of this study support the inference that medical treatment of isolated systolic hypertension does not cause deterioration in measures of cognition, emotional state, physical function, or leisure activities.

Recent clinical trials of primary and secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease have demonstrated that lowering plasma cholesterol decreases the incidence of coronary heart disease in patients with elevated plasma cholesterol. However, it is not known whether patients with established coronary artery disease and normal plasma cholesterol can be benefited. Several previous prevention trials reviewed in this report found that patients who had plasma cholesterol levels at baseline in the upper portion of the eligibility range (e.g., greater than 240 mg/dl) received greater benefit from hypolipidemic diet or drug therapy than patients who had lower plasma cholesterol levels at baseline. The recent availability of drugs that are more potent and less prone to cause adverse reactions than previous regimens permits this important question to be addressed. The Cholesterol and Recurrent Events trial is testing whether pravastatin, a hydroxymethylglutaryl coenzyme A reductase inhibitor, will decrease the sum of fatal coronary heart disease and nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI) in patients who have recovered from a MI and who have normal total cholesterol levels. Fatal cardiovascular disease and total mortality are important secondary end points. The trial is enrolling 4,000 men and women from 80 centers throughout North America, age 21 to 75 years, who have survived MI for 3 to 20 months, who have plasma total cholesterol less than 240 mg/dl (6.2 mmol/liter) and low-density cholesterol of 115 to 174 mg/dl (3.0 to 4.5 mmol/liter), and who are representative of the general population of patients with MI. Patients are randomized to either active or inactive drug therapy. Active therapy consists of pravastatin, 40 mg/day, designed to achieve an average decrease in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol of approximately 30%, and an increase in high-density lipoprotein of 5%. The average duration of follow-up will be greater than or equal to 5 years. To protect against a lower than expected rate of recurrent events, the trial will be continued until a predetermined fixed number of coronary heart disease events occurs in the entire cohort so that the original sensitivity of the trial will be maintained.