307 results on '"Moss WJ"'
Search Results
2. RTS,S Malaria Vaccine and Increased Mortality in Girls
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Klein, SL, Shann, F, Moss, WJ, Benn, CS, Aaby, P, Klein, SL, Shann, F, Moss, WJ, Benn, CS, and Aaby, P
- Published
- 2016
3. Malaria Epidemiology and Control within the International Centers of Excellence for Malaria Research
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Moss, WJ, Dorsey, G, Mueller, I, Laufer, MK, Krogstad, DJ, Vinetz, JM, Guzman, M, Rosas-Aguirre, AM, Herrera, S, Arevalo-Herrera, M, Chery, L, Kumar, A, Mohapatra, PK, Ramanathapuram, L, Srivastava, HC, Cui, L, Zhou, G, Parker, DM, Nankabirwa, J, Kazura, JW, Moss, WJ, Dorsey, G, Mueller, I, Laufer, MK, Krogstad, DJ, Vinetz, JM, Guzman, M, Rosas-Aguirre, AM, Herrera, S, Arevalo-Herrera, M, Chery, L, Kumar, A, Mohapatra, PK, Ramanathapuram, L, Srivastava, HC, Cui, L, Zhou, G, Parker, DM, Nankabirwa, J, and Kazura, JW
- Abstract
Understanding the epidemiological features and metrics of malaria in endemic populations is a key component to monitoring and quantifying the impact of current and past control efforts to inform future ones. The International Centers of Excellence for Malaria Research (ICEMR) has the opportunity to evaluate the impact of malaria control interventions across endemic regions that differ in the dominant Plasmodium species, mosquito vector species, resistance to antimalarial drugs and human genetic variants thought to confer protection from infection and clinical manifestations of plasmodia infection. ICEMR programs are conducting field studies at multiple sites with the aim of generating standardized surveillance data to improve the understanding of malaria transmission and to monitor and evaluate the impact of interventions to inform malaria control and elimination programs. In addition, these epidemiological studies provide a vast source of biological samples linked to clinical and environmental "meta-data" to support translational studies of interactions between the parasite, human host, and mosquito vector. Importantly, epidemiological studies at the ICEMR field sites are integrated with entomological studies, including the measurement of the entomological inoculation rate, human biting index, and insecticide resistance, as well as studies of parasite genetic diversity and antimalarial drug resistance.
- Published
- 2015
4. Improved measles surveillance in Cameroon reveals two major dynamic patterns of incidence
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Cummings, DAT, Moss, WJ, Long, K, Wiysonge, CS, Muluh, TJ, Kollo, B, Nomo, E, Wolfe, ND, Burke, DS, Cummings, DAT, Moss, WJ, Long, K, Wiysonge, CS, Muluh, TJ, Kollo, B, Nomo, E, Wolfe, ND, and Burke, DS
- Abstract
Objective: To characterize the province-specific incidence patterns of measles in Cameroon and determine if an increase in measles incidence during the period January 2000-June 2001 is consistent with coincident epidemics in several regions with different inter-epidemic periods. Method: Periodic behavior of the monthly measles incidence time-series from each province of Cameroon was analyzed using time-series analysis and cluster techniques. Cumulative incidence in each province of Cameroon over a five-year period was associated with birth rates, and vaccination coverage. Results: Distinct patterns of measles incidence were found in two different areas of Cameroon. The three northern-most provinces experience major epidemics every year. Seven southern provinces show evidence of experiencing major epidemics every third year. In January 2000, Cameroon experienced coincident peaks in these two cycles and thus an increase in measles incidence countrywide over the previous year. Higher cumulative province-specific incidence rates were associated with higher birth rates and lower routine vaccination coverage rates. Conclusion: Within one country, two dramatically different dynamic patterns of measles incidence were observed. Long-term surveillance data is crucial to the evaluation of measles immunization campaigns. The availability of a five-year record of measles incidence in Cameroon reveals an interesting dynamic pattern of measles incidence that accounts for the increase in countrywide incidence in 2000-2001. © 2005 International Society for Infectious Diseases. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
- Published
- 2006
5. Child health in complex emergencies.
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Moss WJ, Ramakrishnan M, Storms D, Siegle AH, Weiss WM, Lejnev I, and Muhe L
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Coordinated and effective interventions are critical for relief efforts to be successful in addressing the health needs of children in situations of armed conflict, population displacement, and/or food insecurity. We reviewed published literature and surveyed international relief organizations engaged in child health activities in complex emergencies. Our aim was to identify research needs and improve guidelines for the care of children. Much of the literature details the burden of disease and the causes of morbidity and mortality; few interventional studies have been published. Surveys of international relief organizations showed that most use World Health Organization (WHO), United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF), and ministry of health guidelines designed for use in stable situations. Organizations were least likely to have formal guidelines on the management of asphyxia, prematurity, and infection in neonates; diagnosis and management of children with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection; active case-finding and treatment of tuberculosis; paediatric trauma; and the diagnosis and management of mental-health problems in children. Guidelines often are not adapted to the different types of health-care workers who provide care in complex emergencies. Evidence-based, locally adapted guidelines for the care of children in complex emergencies should be adopted by ministries of health, supported by WHO and UNICEF, and disseminated to international relief organizations to ensure appropriate, effective, and uniform care. Copyright © 2006 World Health Organization [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
6. Influence of HIV infection on changes in circulating leukocyte counts during measles in Zambian children.
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Ryon JJ, Moss WJ, Monze M, Quinn TC, and Griffin DE
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Measles remains an important problem in Africa, where human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection is prevalent. To identify the consequences of coinfection, Zambian children hospitalized with measles were studied at entry, discharge, and 1 month after discharge. All children had low lymphocyte and eosinophil counts at entry and high leukocyte and monocyte counts during recovery. The death of cultured lymphocytes was more prolonged for HIV-positive children. CD38 and Fas were increased on CD4+ and CD8+ lymphocytes, and CD28 was decreased on CD8+ lymphocytes in all children. Abnormalities in CD4+ and CD8+ lymphocyte percentages and CD28 expression associated with HIV infection were preserved during measles. Therefore, the patterns of changes in leukocyte counts were similar, with little evidence that measles exacerbated HIV-associated lymphocyte abnormalities. Copyright © 2005 Infectious Diseases Society of America [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2005
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7. Evaluating the impact of the HIV pandemic on measles control and elimination.
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Helfand RF, Moss WJ, Harpaz R, Scott S, and Cutts F
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OBJECTIVE: To estimate the impact of the HIV pandemic on vaccine-acquired population immunity to measles virus because high levels of population immunity are required to eliminate transmission of measles virus in large geographical areas, and HIV infection can reduce the efficacy of measles vaccination. METHODS: A literature review was conducted to estimate key parameters relating to the potential impact of HIV infection on the epidemiology of measles in sub-Saharan Africa; parameters included the prevalence of HIV, child mortality, perinatal HIV transmission rates and protective immune responses to measles vaccination. These parameter estimates were incorporated into a simple model, applicable to regions that have a high prevalence of HIV, to estimate the potential impact of HIV infection on population immunity against measles. FINDINGS: The model suggests that the HIV pandemic should not introduce an insurmountable barrier to measles control and elimination, in part because higher rates of primary and secondary vaccine failure among HIV-infected children are counteracted by their high mortality rate. The HIV pandemic could result in a 2-3% increase in the proportion of the birth cohort susceptible to measles, and more frequent supplemental immunization activities (SIAs) may be necessary to control or eliminate measles. In the model the optimal interval between SIAs was most influenced by the coverage rate for routine measles vaccination. The absence of a second opportunity for vaccination resulted in the greatest increase in the number of susceptible children. CONCLUSION: These results help explain the initial success of measles elimination efforts in southern Africa, where measles control has been achieved in a setting of high HIV prevalence. Copyright © 2005 World Health Organization [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2005
8. Immunization of children at risk of infection with human immunodeficiency virus.
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Moss WJ, Clements CJ, and Halsey NA
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This paper reviews the English language literature on the safety, immunogenicity and effectiveness in children infected with the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) of vaccines currently recommended by WHO for use in national immunization programmes. Immunization is generally safe and beneficial for children infected with HIV, although HIV-induced immune suppression reduces the benefit compared with that obtained in HIV-uninfected children. However, serious complications can occur following immunization of severely immunocompromised children with bacillus Calmette-Gu rin (BCG) vaccine. The risk of serious complications attributable to yellow fever vaccine in HIV-infected persons has not been determined. WHO guidelines for immunizing children with HIV infection and infants born to HIV-infected women differ only slightly from the general guidelines. BCG and yellow fever vaccines should be withheld from symptomatic HIV-infected children. Only one serious complication (fatal pneumonia) has been attributed to measles vaccine administered to a severely immunocompromised adult. Although two HIV-infected infants have developed vaccine-associated paralytic poliomyelitis, several million infected children have been vaccinated and the evidence does not suggest that there is an increased risk. The benefits of measles and poliovirus vaccines far outweigh the potential risks in HIV-infected children. The policy of administering routine vaccines to all children, regardless of possible HIV exposure, has been very effective in obtaining high immunization coverage and control of preventable diseases. Any changes in this policy would have to be carefully examined for a potential negative impact on disease control programmes in many countries. Copyright © 2003 World Health Organization [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2003
9. Zinc supplementation in children with HIV-1 infection.
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Green JA, Paton NI, Moss WJ, Bobat R, and Black RE
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- 2006
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10. Safety and efficacy of zinc supplementation for children with HIV-1 infection in South Africa: a randomised double-blind placebo-controlled trial.
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Bobat R, Coovadia H, Stephen C, Naidoo KL, McKerrow N, Black RE, and Moss WJ
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- 2005
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11. Rural Realities in Paediatric HIV Service Delivery
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Dijk, Janneke, Verbrugh, Henri, Boucher, Charles, Nouwen, Jan, Moss, WJ, and Medical Microbiology & Infectious Diseases
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SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being - Published
- 2013
12. COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy, trust, and communication in Sarlahi District, Nepal.
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Manandhar P, Katz J, Lama TP, Khatry SK, Moss WJ, and Erchick DJ
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- Humans, Nepal, Male, Female, Adult, Middle Aged, Cross-Sectional Studies, Young Adult, Vaccination psychology, Vaccination statistics & numerical data, Communication, Surveys and Questionnaires, SARS-CoV-2 immunology, Adolescent, Aged, Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice, Patient Acceptance of Health Care psychology, COVID-19 Vaccines administration & dosage, COVID-19 prevention & control, Vaccination Hesitancy psychology, Vaccination Hesitancy statistics & numerical data, Trust
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Background: Strategies to increase COVID-19 vaccine coverage require an understanding of the extent and drivers of vaccine hesitancy and trust in government related to COVID-19 vaccine programs, especially in low-resource communities., Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional household survey post-COVID-19 vaccine introduction among adults (n = 362) in four municipalities in Sarlahi District, Nepal from August to December 2022. The survey included modules on participant demographics and socioeconomic factors and vaccine hesitancy, information seeking, and trust in authorities related to COVID-19 vaccination., Results: Of the study participants, 38.4 % expressed hesitancy related to COVID-19 vaccination. The adjusted odds of being "vaccine hesitant" were significantly lower among the older adults (51+ years) relative to younger (<30 years) (aOR: 0.49, CI: 0.24-0.97) and among males relative to females (aOR: 0.51, CI: 0.26, 0.95). The study population highly trusted the government's handling of the COVID-19 pandemic. While for most, self-reported access to vaccination opportunities was high (88.4 %), 70.4 % of participants did not know if vaccines were in stock at their local vaccination facility. Commonly reported statements of misinformation include the vaccine being developed in a rush or too fast (21.5 %), COVID-19 infection can be effectively treated with ayurvedic medicine(16.3 %) and obtaining immunity from natural infection is better than through vaccination (19.9 %). The primary sources of information on COVID-19 programs were family and friends (98.6 %), healthcare professionals (67.7 %), Female Community Health Volunteers (FCHVs) (61.9 %), television (56.4 %), and radio (43.1 %)., Conclusion: Although many respondents expressed concerns about COVID-19 effectiveness and safety, a high proportion trusted COVID-19 information provided by healthcare workers and approved of the government's response to the pandemic. This study highlights an opportunity to design new evidence-based communication strategies to improve vaccine confidence delivered through frontline government healthcare workers. Approaches could be targeted to certain communities in the region shown to have higher vaccine hesitancy, including younger people and women., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)
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- 2024
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13. Temporal genomics in Southern Zambia shows rising prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum mutations linked to delayed clearance after artemisinin-lumefantrine treatment.
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Fola AA, Kobayashi T, Hamapumbu H, Musonda M, Katowa B, Matoba J, Stevenson JC, Norris DE, Thuma PE, Wesolowski A, Moss WJ, Juliano JJ, and Bailey JA
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- Zambia epidemiology, Humans, Lumefantrine therapeutic use, Prevalence, Genomics methods, Genotype, Plasmodium falciparum genetics, Plasmodium falciparum drug effects, Malaria, Falciparum drug therapy, Malaria, Falciparum parasitology, Malaria, Falciparum epidemiology, Artemisinins therapeutic use, Antimalarials therapeutic use, Mutation, Drug Resistance genetics
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The emergence of antimalarial drug resistance is an impediment to malaria control and elimination in Africa. Analysis of temporal trends in molecular markers of resistance is critical to inform policy makers and guide malaria treatment guidelines. In a low and seasonal transmission region of southern Zambia, we successfully genotyped 85.5% (389/455) of Plasmodium falciparum samples collected between 2013 and 2018 from 8 spatially clustered health centres using molecular inversion probes (MIPs) targeting key drug resistance genes. Aside from one sample from 2016 carrying K13 622I, no other World Health Organization-validated or candidate artemisinin partial resistance (ART-R) mutations were observed. However, in the more recent years (2016-2017) five novel K13-propeller-domain mutations, C532S, A578S, Q613E, D680N and G718S were identified at low prevalence. Moreover, 13% (CI, 9.6-17.2) of isolates had the AP2MU 160N mutation, which has been associated with delayed clearance following artemisinin combination therapy in Africa. This mutation increased in prevalence between 2015 and 2018 and bears a genomic signature of selection. During this time period, there was an increase in the MDR1 NFD haplotype that is associated with reduced susceptibility to lumefantrine. Sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine polymorphisms were near fixation. While validated ART-R mutations are rare, a mutation associated with slow parasite clearance in Africa appears to be under selection in southern Zambia., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
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- 2024
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14. The 2020 immunization programme landscape: Piloting an assessment metric to evaluate the maturity of national immunization programmes across the life course.
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Goldin S, Moen A, Moss WJ, and Nuzzo J
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- Humans, Adolescent, Adult, Child, Vaccination statistics & numerical data, World Health Organization, Vaccination Coverage statistics & numerical data, COVID-19 Vaccines administration & dosage, Diphtheria-Tetanus-Pertussis Vaccine administration & dosage, Influenza Vaccines administration & dosage, Pneumococcal Vaccines administration & dosage, Immunization Programs, COVID-19 prevention & control, COVID-19 epidemiology
- Abstract
Background: The World Health Organization (WHO) encourages countries to provide appropriate vaccinations for children, adolescents, and relevant adult populations. Childhood programme have been the focus of global investments, but recent pandemics have increasingly demonstrated the value of life course vaccination. Our objective is to compare national life course immunization programmatic maturity prior to mass COVID-19 vaccine introduction, the largest adult vaccination programme, globally. As coverage estimates (typically used to assess childhood programmes) are not available for adult vaccinations, this analysis pilots a standardized quantitative metric of programmatic maturity., Methods: Through consultation with vaccination experts, we developed a standardized approach to assess national immunization programme maturity across the life course. In accordance with expert input, five vaccines were selected to represent delivery across the life course: diphtheria tetanus toxoid and pertussis (DTP); measles (MCV) second dose; human papillomavirus (HPV) final dose; pneumococcal conjugate (PCV) final dose; and seasonal influenza annual dose. Experts recommended inclusion of the following indicators for each vaccine: a legal mandate (national policy), experience delivering the vaccine (programme duration), and vaccine use (uptake for relevant populations). We developed a metric accordingly that provides up to 5 points per vaccine ("vaccine specific maturity score") which when summed forms the "life course maturity score", with a maximum score of 25. We analysed the prevalence of national policies, experience, and use by region and World Bank income group., Results: More than 55% of the 194 WHO Member States had childhood vaccine policies for all three of the vaccines considered (DTP, MCV, and PCV) compared to 60% for HPV (proxy for adolescent vaccination programme) and 52% for seasonal influenza (proxy for adult vaccination programme). Childhood vaccination programmes (e.g., MCV and DTP) had the highest vaccine specific maturity scores, while seasonal influenza and HPV vaccination programmes had much lower scores. The national life course maturity scores ranged from 1 to 23, with a global median of 12 (IQR: 8; 16)., Discussion: The piloted metric provides an overview of the maturity of life course immunization programmes. The metric is structured to be a flexible, rapid resource that can be used to assess other combinations of vaccines across the life course. The findings from this paper provide a baseline of immunization programme maturity for childhood, adolescent, and adult vaccination programmes immediately prior to the COVID-19 vaccine introduction. This maturity score, or adaptations of this approach, could be used to monitor the trajectory of national immunization programme maturity across the life course in the years ahead., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)
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- 2024
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15. Assessing the relationship between existing childhood, adolescent and adult immunization programmes and national COVID-19 vaccination capacities in 2021.
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Goldin S, Moen A, Moss WJ, and Nuzzo J
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- Humans, Adolescent, Child, Adult, Vaccination Coverage statistics & numerical data, COVID-19 prevention & control, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 Vaccines administration & dosage, Immunization Programs, SARS-CoV-2 immunology, Vaccination statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Background: During the COVID-19 pandemic, nearly all countries introduced COVID-19 vaccination programmes. Yet, countries had a wide range of programmatic experiences. This analysis aims to identify national characteristics associated with COVID-19 vaccination programmatic success., Methods: We used the following outcome measures: the presence of national COVID-19 vaccination capacities and COVID-19 coverage as of December 2021, June 2022, and December 2022. We developed a standardized metric for assessing national COVID-19 vaccination capacities as a proxy for speed of introduction. We developed this metric through adaptation of the WHO Guide for Conducting an Expanded Programme on Immunization Review and consultations with technical experts specializing in vaccine introduction and emergency deployment; monitoring and data; childhood, adolescent and adult programmes; and COVID-19 vaccination roll-out. Through multivariable linear regressions, we evaluated whether having a mature immunization programme for children, adolescents and adults; recent use of emergency vaccination; World Bank income classification; past early adoption of new vaccines; density of the health workforce; and/or trust in science and government were associated with higher COVID-19 vaccination capacities and coverage., Results: The COVID-19 vaccination capacities scores ranged from 0 to 5 points with a global median score of 2 and an interquartile range of 1;4. After adjusting for World Bank income classifications, the presence of a mature influenza vaccination programme was independently correlated with statistically significant higher scores of national COVID-19 vaccination capacities and higher COVID-19 vaccination coverage in December 2021, June 2022, and December 2022. Trust in government was also associated with higher coverage for all three time stamps., Conclusions: As countries consider how to prepare for and respond to future pandemics, having an adult seasonal influenza vaccination programme, building trust in government, and ensuring equitable access to vaccines supply emerged as key aspects that can benefit from additional national and global focus., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)
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- 2024
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16. Changes in healthcare seeking behaviors among caretakers of children in the previously occupied ISIS territory: Hadeetha, Anbar, Iraq: a cross-sectional survey of 415 households.
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Al-Dahir S, Hasan TA, Khalil A, Moss WJ, Talaat KR, Knoll MD, and Burnham G
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Background: The western province of Anbar, and the district of Hadeetha, have suffered direct impacts from the second United States led invasion (2003) through the ISIS invasion (2014-2017). With the primary health care centers being closed or inaccessible, the remaining population experienced changes in health seeking. The area of Anbar, Iraq remains largely remote from the discourse of health system recovery post-conflict. The objective of this study was to describe changes in health seeking behaviors of caregivers of children ages 12-72 months of age in Hadeetha, Anbar, Iraq from the conflict period of ISIS (Islamic State of Syria and Iraq), 2014-2017, to the post-conflict period, 2021., Methods: This was a mixed-methods study composed of a cross-sectional 415 household survey and focus groups in Hadeetha, Anbar, Iraq. Caretakers of children were interviewed from February to April 2021. Children were sampled from a list of children who missed at least one vaccination appointment without a return for follow-up from the birth cohorts of 2014 to 2020. Healthcare workers focus groups and key informant interviews occurred from 2019 to 2021 centered around experiences from the 2014 to 2021 period., Results: In the post-conflict period, there were no differences in health seeking based upon provider type between respondents. Physicians were primary healthcare providers in the post-conflict period for 79% of respondents versus only 47% in the conflict period. Healthcare workers described major barriers to delivering services in Hadeetha during the ISIS occupation due to infrastructure damage, threats of violence, decreased medical personnel, lack of compensation and disruptions in medical supplies from 2014 to 2017., Conclusion: This study provides insight into health seeking challenges among the many individuals who remained in Hadeetha during the ISIS occupation. Health use patterns by provider type mirror the concerns the healthcare providers shared: limited availability, efflux of professional workers, limited resources and security challenges to providing care. Positive trends toward increased access to physicians during periods of peace are an encouraging marker for continued population resilience during the post-conflict period. Recovery efforts continue to be hampered by internal sectarian discord within Iraq as well as insufficient resources to maintain health services as well as provide catch-up health services, such as immunizations., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
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- 2024
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17. Application of a new highly multiplexed amplicon sequencing tool to evaluate Plasmodium falciparum antimalarial resistance and relatedness in individual and pooled samples from Dschang, Cameroon.
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Sadler JM, Simkin A, Tchuenkam VPK, Gyuricza IG, Fola AA, Wamae K, Assefa A, Niaré K, Thwai K, White SJ, Moss WJ, Dinglasan RR, Nsango S, Tume CB, Parr JB, Ali IM, Bailey JA, and Juliano JJ
- Abstract
Background: Resistance to antimalarial drugs remains a major obstacle to malaria elimination. Multiplexed, targeted amplicon sequencing is being adopted for surveilling resistance and dissecting the genetics of complex malaria infections. Moreover, genotyping of parasites and detection of molecular markers drug resistance in resource-limited regions requires open-source protocols for processing samples, using accessible reagents, and rapid methods for processing numerous samples including pooled sequencing., Methods: P lasmodium f alciparum Streamlined Multiplex Antimalarial Resistance and Relatedness Testing ( Pf -SMARRT) is a PCR-based amplicon panel consisting of 15 amplicons targeting antimalarial resistance mutations and 9 amplicons targeting hypervariable regions. This assay uses oligonucleotide primers in two pools and a non-proprietary library and barcoding approach., Results: We evaluated Pf -SMARRT using control mocked dried blood spots (DBS) at varying levels of parasitemia and a mixture of 3D7 and Dd2 strains at known frequencies, showing the ability to genotype at low parasite density and recall within-sample allele frequencies. We then piloted Pf -SMARRT to genotype 100 parasite isolates collected from uncomplicated malaria cases at three health facilities in Dschang, Western Cameroon. Antimalarial resistance genotyping showed high levels of sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine resistance mutations, including 31% prevalence of the DHPS A613S mutation. No K13 candidate or validated artemisinin partial resistance mutations were detected, but one low-level non-synonymous change was observed. Pf -SMARRT's hypervariable targets, used to assess complexity of infections and parasite diversity and relatedness, showed similar levels and patterns compared to molecular inversion probe (MIP) sequencing. While there was strong concordance of antimalarial resistance mutations between individual samples and pools, low-frequency variants in the pooled samples were often missed., Conclusion: Overall, Pf -SMARRT is a robust tool for assessing parasite relatedness and antimalarial drug resistance markers from both individual and pooled samples. Control samples support that accurate genotyping as low as 1 parasite per microliter is routinely possible., Competing Interests: JBP reports research support from Gilead Sciences, non-financial support from Abbott Laboratories, and consulting for Zymeron Corporation, all outside the scope of the manuscript. All other authors declare no competing interests.
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- 2024
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18. Corrigendum to "Report from the World Health Organization's immunization and vaccines-related implementation research advisory committee (IVIR-AC) meeting, virtual gathering, 26 February-1 March 2024" [Vaccine 42(15) (2024) 3379-3383].
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Lambach P, Silal S, Sbarra AN, Koh M, Aggarwal R, Farooqui HH, Flasche S, Hogan AB, Kim SY, Leung K, Moss WJ, Munywoki PK, Portnoy A, Sheel M, and Wang XY
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- 2024
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19. Report from the World Health Organization's immunization and vaccines-related implementation research advisory committee (IVIR-AC) ad hoc meeting, 28 June - 1 July 2024.
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Lambach P, Silal S, Sbarra AN, Crowcroft NS, Frey K, Ferrari M, Vynnycky E, Metcalf CJE, Winter AK, Zimmerman L, Koh M, Sheel M, Kim SY, Munywoki PK, Portnoy A, Aggarwal R, Farooqui HH, Flasche S, Hogan AB, Leung K, Moss WJ, and Wang XY
- Abstract
The World Health Organization's Immunization and Vaccines-related Implementation Research Advisory Committee (IVIR-AC) serves to independently review and evaluate vaccine-related research to maximize the potential impact of vaccination programs. From 28 June - 1 July 2024, IVIR-AC was convened for an ad hoc meeting to discuss new evidence on criteria for rubella vaccine introduction and the risk of congenital rubella syndrome. This report summarizes background information on rubella virus transmission and the burden of congenital rubella syndrome, meeting structure and presentations, proceedings, and recommendations., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest P. L. was supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation for this work. S. S. was supported by the World Health Organization for this work. A. N. S. was financially supported by the World Health Organization for this work, and is additionally supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, and the National Institutes of Health. K. F. is employed by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. M. F. is supported by the National Science Foundation, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and Imperial College London. E. V. was supported for this work by Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance via the Vaccine Impact Modeling Consortium (VIMC), which is jointly funded by Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. C. J. E. M. has previously received travel funds to visit the Max Plank Institute of Evolutionary Anthropology. A. K. W. was supported for this work by Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, is additionally supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, and has previously received travel funds from Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance. M. K. was supported for this work by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. A. P. is supported by Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, Imperial College London, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, and the World Health Organization. A. B. H. was supported by the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council for this work, is additionally supported by the Australian NSW Ministry of Health, PATH, the World Health Organization, and Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, and has received consulting fees from the Australian NSW Ministry of Health, WHO Europe and Asian Development Bank. A. N. S. and M. F. report travel related support from the World Health Organization to attend previous IVIR-AC meetings. All other authors have no declarations., (Copyright © 2024. Published by Elsevier Ltd.)
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- 2024
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20. Challenges and Approaches to Establishing Multi-Pathogen Serosurveillance: Findings from the 2023 Serosurveillance Summit.
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Carcelen AC, Kong AC, Takahashi S, Hegde S, Jaenisch T, Chu M, Rochford R, Kostandova N, Gurley ES, Wesolowski A, Azman AS, van der Klis FRM, den Hartog G, Drakeley C, Heaney CD, Winter AK, Salje H, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Leung DT, Njenga SM, Kagucia EW, Jambo KC, Wolter N, Charles RC, Saboyá-Díaz MI, Martin DL, and Moss WJ
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- Humans, Seroepidemiologic Studies, Biosurveillance methods, Communicable Diseases epidemiology, Communicable Diseases immunology
- Abstract
Multiplex-based serological surveillance is a valuable but underutilized tool to understand gaps in population-level exposure, susceptibility, and immunity to infectious diseases. Assays for which blood samples can be tested for antibodies against several pathogens simultaneously, such as multiplex bead immunoassays, can more efficiently integrate public health surveillance in low- and middle-income countries. On March 7-8, 2023 a group of experts representing research institutions, multilateral organizations, private industry, and country partners met to discuss experiences, identify challenges and solutions, and create a community of practice for integrated, multi-pathogen serosurveillance using multiplex bead assay technologies. Participants were divided into six working groups: 1) supply chain; 2) laboratory assays; 3) seroepidemiology; 4) data analytics; 5) sustainable implementation; and 6) use case scenarios. These working groups discussed experiences, challenges, solutions, and research needs to facilitate integrated, multi-pathogen serosurveillance for public health. Several solutions were proposed to address challenges that cut across working groups.
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- 2024
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21. Proteomic approaches for protein kinase substrate identification in Apicomplexa.
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Cabral G, Moss WJ, and Brown KM
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- Phosphorylation, Protein Processing, Post-Translational, Substrate Specificity, Animals, Apicomplexa metabolism, Apicomplexa genetics, Proteomics methods, Protein Kinases metabolism, Protein Kinases genetics, Protozoan Proteins metabolism, Protozoan Proteins genetics
- Abstract
Apicomplexa is a phylum of protist parasites, notable for causing life-threatening diseases including malaria, toxoplasmosis, cryptosporidiosis, and babesiosis. Apicomplexan pathogenesis is generally a function of lytic replication, dissemination, persistence, host cell modification, and immune subversion. Decades of research have revealed essential roles for apicomplexan protein kinases in establishing infections and promoting pathogenesis. Protein kinases modify their substrates by phosphorylating serine, threonine, tyrosine, or other residues, resulting in rapid functional changes in the target protein. Post-translational modification by phosphorylation can activate or inhibit a substrate, alter its localization, or promote interactions with other proteins or ligands. Deciphering direct kinase substrates is crucial to understand mechanisms of kinase signaling, yet can be challenging due to the transient nature of kinase phosphorylation and potential for downstream indirect phosphorylation events. However, with recent advances in proteomic approaches, our understanding of kinase function in Apicomplexa has improved dramatically. Here, we discuss methods that have been used to identify kinase substrates in apicomplexan parasites, classifying them into three main categories: i) kinase interactome, ii) indirect phosphoproteomics and iii) direct labeling. We briefly discuss each approach, including their advantages and limitations, and highlight representative examples from the Apicomplexa literature. Finally, we conclude each main category by introducing prospective approaches from other fields that would benefit kinase substrate identification in Apicomplexa., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors have declared that no competing interests exist., (Copyright © 2024 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
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- 2024
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22. Adjusting mobile phone data to account for children's travel and the impact on measles dynamics in Zambia.
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Kostandova N, Prosperi C, Mutembo S, Nakazwe C, Namukoko H, Nachinga B, Chongwe G, Chilumba I, Kabalo EN, Makungo K, Matakala KH, Musukwa G, Hamahuwa M, Mufwambi W, Matoba J, Mutale I, Simulundu E, Ndubani P, Hasan AZ, Truelove SA, Winter AK, Carcelen AC, Lau B, Moss WJ, and Wesolowski A
- Abstract
Models of measles transmission can be used to identify areas of high risk to tailor immunization strategies. Estimates of spatial connectivity can be derived from data such as mobile phone records, however it is not clear how this maps to the movement of children who are more likely to be infected. Using travel surveys across two districts in Zambia and national mobile phone data, we compared estimates of out-of-district travel for the population captured in the mobile phone data and child-specific travel from travel surveys. We then evaluated the impact of unadjusted and adjusted connectivity measures on simulated measles virus introduction events across Zambia. The number of trips made by children from the travel survey was three to five times lower than the general population estimates from mobile phone data. This decreased the percentage of districts with measles virus introduction events from 78% when using unadjusted data to 51% - 64% following adjustment. Failure to account for age-specific heterogeneities in travel estimated from mobile phone data resulted in overestimating subnational areas at high risk of introduction events, which could divert mitigation efforts to districts that are at lower risk., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.)
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- 2024
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23. What's going on with measles?
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Moss WJ and Griffin DE
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- Humans, Vaccination, Vaccines, Attenuated immunology, Measles prevention & control, Measles immunology, Measles virology, Measles Vaccine immunology, Measles virus immunology
- Abstract
Measles is a highly transmissible systemic viral infection associated with substantial mortality primarily due to secondary infections. Measles induces lifelong immunity to reinfection but loss of immunity to other pathogens. An attenuated live virus vaccine is highly effective, but lapses in delivery have resulted in increasing cases worldwide. Although the primary cause of failure to control measles is failure to vaccinate, waning vaccine-induced immunity and the possible emergence of more virulent virus strains may also contribute., Competing Interests: The authors declare no conflict of interest
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- 2024
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24. Measles: What goes around, comes around.
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Moss WJ and Griffin DE
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- 2024
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25. National genomic profiling of Plasmodium falciparum antimalarial resistance in Zambian children participating in the 2018 Malaria Indicator Survey.
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Fola AA, Ciubotariu II, Dorman J, Mwenda MC, Mambwe B, Mulube C, Kasaro R, Hawela MB, Hamainza B, Miller JM, Bailey JA, Moss WJ, Bridges DJ, and Carpi G
- Abstract
The emergence of antimalarial drug resistance is a major threat to malaria control and elimination. Using whole genome sequencing of 282 P. falciparum samples collected during the 2018 Zambia National Malaria Indicator Survey, we determined the prevalence and spatial distribution of known and candidate antimalarial drug resistance mutations. High levels of genotypic resistance were found across Zambia to pyrimethamine, with over 94% (n=266) of samples having the Pfdhfr triple mutant (N51 I , C59 R , and S108 N ), and sulfadoxine, with over 84% (n=238) having the Pfdhps double mutant (A437 G and K540 E ). In northern Zambia, 5.3% (n=15) of samples also harbored the Pfdhps A581 G mutation. Although 29 mutations were identified in Pfkelch13 , these mutations were present at low frequency (<2.5%), and only three were WHO-validated artemisinin partial resistance mutations: P441 L (n=1, 0.35%), V568 M (n=2, 0.7%) and R622 T (n=1, 0.35%). Notably, 91 (32%) of samples carried the E431 K mutation in the Pfatpase6 gene, which is associated with artemisinin resistance. No specimens carried any known mutations associated with chloroquine resistance in the Pfcrt gene (codons 72-76). P. falciparum strains circulating in Zambia were highly resistant to sulfadoxine and pyrimethamine but remained susceptible to chloroquine and artemisinin. Despite this encouraging finding, early genetic signs of developing artemisinin resistance highlight the urgent need for continued vigilance and expanded routine genomic surveillance to monitor these changes.
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- 2024
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26. Diversity and selection analyses identify transmission-blocking antigens as the optimal vaccine candidates in Plasmodium falciparum.
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Ciubotariu II, Broyles BK, Xie S, Thimmapuram J, Mwenda MC, Mambwe B, Mulube C, Matoba J, Schue JL, Moss WJ, Bridges DJ, He Q, and Carpi G
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- Humans, Genetic Variation, Protozoan Proteins immunology, Protozoan Proteins genetics, Haplotypes, Epitopes immunology, Epitopes genetics, Plasmodium falciparum immunology, Plasmodium falciparum genetics, Malaria Vaccines immunology, Antigens, Protozoan immunology, Antigens, Protozoan genetics, Malaria, Falciparum prevention & control, Malaria, Falciparum transmission, Malaria, Falciparum parasitology, Malaria, Falciparum immunology
- Abstract
Background: A highly effective vaccine for malaria remains an elusive target, at least in part due to the under-appreciated natural parasite variation. This study aimed to investigate genetic and structural variation, and immune selection of leading malaria vaccine candidates across the Plasmodium falciparum's life cycle., Methods: We analysed 325 P. falciparum whole genome sequences from Zambia, in addition to 791 genomes from five other African countries available in the MalariaGEN Pf3k Database. Ten vaccine antigens spanning three life-history stages were examined for genetic and structural variations, using population genetics measures, haplotype network analysis, and 3D structure selection analysis., Findings: Among the ten antigens analysed, only three in the transmission-blocking vaccine category display P. falciparum 3D7 as the dominant haplotype. The antigens AMA1, CSP, MSP1
19 and CelTOS, are much more diverse than the other antigens, and their epitope regions are under moderate to strong balancing selection. In contrast, Rh5, a blood stage antigen, displays low diversity yet slightly stronger immune selection in the merozoite-blocking epitope region. Except for CelTOS, the transmission-blocking antigens Pfs25, Pfs48/45, Pfs230, Pfs47, and Pfs28 exhibit minimal diversity and no immune selection in epitopes that induce strain-transcending antibodies, suggesting potential effectiveness of 3D7-based vaccines in blocking transmission., Interpretation: These findings offer valuable insights into the selection of optimal vaccine candidates against P. falciparum. Based on our results, we recommend prioritising conserved merozoite antigens and transmission-blocking antigens. Combining these antigens in multi-stage approaches may be particularly promising for malaria vaccine development initiatives., Funding: Purdue Department of Biological Sciences; Puskas Memorial Fellowship; National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (U19AI089680)., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests All authors declare no competing interests., (Copyright © 2024. Published by Elsevier B.V.)- Published
- 2024
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27. Possible Paths to Measles Eradication: Conceptual Frameworks, Strategies, and Tactics.
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Winter AK and Moss WJ
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Measles elimination refers to the interruption of measles virus transmission in a defined geographic area (e.g., country or region) for 12 months or more, and measles eradication refers to the global interruption of measles virus transmission. Measles eradication was first discussed and debated in the late 1960's shortly after the licensure of measles vaccines. Most experts agree that measles meets criteria for disease eradication, but progress toward national and regional measles elimination has slowed. Several paths to measles eradication can be described, including an incremental path through country-wide and regional measles elimination and phased paths through endgame scenarios and strategies. Infectious disease dynamic modeling can help inform measles elimination and eradication strategies, and all paths would be greatly facilitated by innovative technologies such as microarray patches to improve vaccine access and demand, point-of-contact diagnostic tests to facilitate outbreak responses, and point-of-contact IgG tests to identify susceptible populations. A pragmatic approach to measles eradication would identify and realize the necessary preconditions and clearly articulate various endgame scenarios and strategies to achieve measles eradication with an intensified and coordinated global effort in a specified timeframe, i.e., to "go big and go fast". To encourage and promote deliberation among a broad array of stakeholders, we provide a brief historical background and key considerations for setting a measles eradication goal.
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- 2024
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28. Feasibility and acceptability of collecting dried blood spots (DBS) from children after vaccination during supplementary immunization activities to estimate measles and rubella seroprevalence.
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Carcelen AC, Prosperi C, Hamahuwa M, Kapungu K, Chongwe G, Mwansa FD, Ndubani P, Simulundu E, Bwalya IC, Matakala KH, Musukwa G, Mutale I, Betha E, Chaavwa N, Kampamba L, Matoba J, Munachoonga P, Mufwambi W, Situtu K, Thuma PE, Sakala C, Kayeye P, Truelove SA, Winter AK, Ferrari MJ, Moss WJ, and Mutembo S
- Abstract
Nested serosurveys within routine service delivery platforms such as planned supplemental immunization activities (SIAs) provide an opportunity to collect information that can be used to answer valuable questions on the effectiveness and efficiency of the delivery model to inform future activities. However, integrating research data collection in SIAs is rarely done due to concerns it will negatively impact the program. We conducted a serosurvey nested within the November 2020 measles-rubella SIA integrated with the Child Health Week activities in Zambia to evaluate this approach. In-depth interviews with the study teams and vaccination campaign staff at the vaccination sites were conducted. Recorded interviews were transcribed, transcripts were coded and then grouped into themes based on a process evaluation framework. A multi-methods analytical approach was used to assess the feasibility and acceptability of collecting dried blood spots from children during the SIA. This included a quantitative assessment of participant enrollment. The serosurvey successfully enrolled 90% of children from Child Health Week due to close coordination and teamwork between the vaccination teams and serosurvey team, in addition to substantial social mobilization efforts. Continually adjusting the sampling interval that was used to select eligible children allowed us to enroll throughout the SIA and capture a representative sample of children in attendance although it was challenging for the staff involved. As vaccination programs aim to tailor their approaches to reach the hardest-to-reach children, embedding research questions in SIAs will allow evaluation of the successes and challenges and compare alternative approaches. Lessons learned from this experience collecting data during an SIA can be applicable to future research activities embedded in SIAs or other delivery platforms., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist., (Copyright: © 2024 Carcelen et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.)
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- 2024
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29. Temporal genomic analysis of Plasmodium falciparum reveals increased prevalence of mutations associated with delayed clearance following treatment with artemisinin-lumefantrine in Choma District, Southern Province, Zambia.
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Fola AA, Kobayashi T, Shields T, Hamapumbu H, Musonda M, Katowa B, Matoba J, Stevenson JC, Norris DE, Thuma PE, Wesolowski A, Moss WJ, Juliano JJ, and Bailey JA
- Abstract
The emergence of antimalarial drug resistance is an impediment to malaria control and elimination in Africa. Analysis of temporal trends in molecular markers of resistance is critical to inform policy makers and guide malaria treatment guidelines. In a low and seasonal transmission region of southern Zambia, we successfully genotyped 85.5% (389/455) of Plasmodium falciparum samples collected between 2013-2018 from 8 spatially clustered health centres using molecular inversion probes (MIPs) targeting key drug resistance genes. Aside from one sample carrying K13 R622 I , none of the isolates carried other World Health Organization-validated or candidate artemisinin partial resistance (ART-R) mutations in K13. However, 13% (CI, 9.6-17.2) of isolates had the AP2MU S160 N mutation, which has been associated with delayed clearance following artemisinin combination therapy in Africa. This mutation increased in prevalence between 2015-2018 and bears a genomic signature of selection. During this time period, there was an increase in the MDR1 N F D haplotype that is associated with reduced susceptibility to lumefantrine. Sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine polymorphisms were near fixation. While validated ART-R mutations are rare, a mutation associated with slow parasite clearance in Africa appears to be under selection in southern Zambia.
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- 2024
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30. Food and water insecurity in households of children and adolescents living with HIV and receiving care in a rural Zambian hospital: A mixed-methods study.
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Palmer AC, Ndubani P, Sauer M, Spielman KL, Hamangaba F, Moyo N, Munsanje B, Moss WJ, and Sutcliffe CG
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- Humans, Zambia epidemiology, Adolescent, Male, Female, Child, Water Insecurity, Caregivers psychology, Child, Preschool, Surveys and Questionnaires, Food Supply, HIV Infections epidemiology, HIV Infections psychology, Rural Population, Family Characteristics, Food Insecurity
- Abstract
Approximately 62,000 Zambian children are living with HIV. HIV care and treatment is generally more limited in rural areas, where a heavy reliance on rain-fed subsistence agriculture also places households at risk of food and water insecurity. We nested a mixed methods study with an explanatory sequential design in a clinical cohort of children and adolescents living with HIV (CHIV) in rural Zambia. We used validated questionnaires to assess household food and water insecurity and examined associations between indicators derived from those scales, household characteristics, and HIV treatment adherence and outcomes using log-binomial regression. We identified caregivers and older CHIV from food insecure households for in-depth interviews. Of 186 participants completing assessments, 72% lived in moderately or severely food insecure households and 2% in water insecure households. Food insecurity was more prevalent in households of lower socioeconomic status (80% vs. 59% for higher scores; p = 0.02) and where caregivers had completed primary (79%) vs. secondary school or higher (62%; p = 0.01). No other characteristics or outcomes were associated with food insecurity. Parents limited both the quality and quantity of foods they consumed to ensure food availability for their CHIV. Coping strategies included taking on piecework or gathering wild foods; livestock ownership was a potential buffer. Accessing sufficient clean water was less of a concern. During periods of drought or service interruption, participants travelled further for drinking water and accessed water for other purposes from alternative sources or reduced water use. Community contributions afforded some protection against service interruptions. Overall, while food insecurity was prevalent, strategies used by parents may have protected children from a measurable impact on HIV care or treatment outcomes. Reinforcing social protection programs by integrating livestock ownership and strengthening water infrastructure may further protect CHIV in the case of more extreme food or water system shocks., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist., (Copyright: © 2024 Palmer et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.)
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- 2024
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31. Report from the World Health Organization's immunization and vaccines-related implementation research advisory committee (IVIR-AC) meeting, virtual gathering, 26 February-1 March 2024.
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Lambach P, Silal S, Sbarra AN, Koh M, Aggarwal R, Farooqui HH, Flasche S, Hogan AB, Kim SY, Leung K, Moss WJ, Munywoki PK, Portnoy A, Sheel M, and Wang XY
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- Humans, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Vaccination methods, Malaria prevention & control, Immunization methods, World Health Organization, Advisory Committees, Malaria Vaccines administration & dosage, Malaria Vaccines immunology
- Abstract
The Immunization and Vaccine-related Implementation Research Advisory Committee (IVIR-AC) is the World Health Organization's key standing advisory body to conduct an independent review of research, particularly of transmission and economic modeling analyses that estimate the impact and value of vaccines. From 26th February-1st March 2024, at its first of two semi-annual meetings, IVIR-AC provided feedback and recommendations across four sessions; this report summarizes the proceedings and recommendations from that meeting. Session topics included modeling of the impact and cost-effectiveness of the R21/Matrix-M malaria vaccine, meta-analysis of economic evaluations of vaccines, a global analysis estimating the impact of vaccination over the last 50 years, and modeling the impact of different RTS,S malaria vaccine dose schedules in seasonal settings., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare the following financial interests/personal relationships which may be considered as potential competing interests: S. S. was supported by the World Health Organization for this work. A. N. S. was financially supported by the World Health Organization for this work, and is additionally supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, and the National Institutes of Health. A. B. H. was supported by the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council for this work, is additionally supported by PATH, the World Health Organization, and Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, and has received consulting fees from the Australian NSW Ministry of Health, WHO Europe and Asian Development Bank. W. J. M. is supported by the National institutes of Health. A. P. is supported by Imperial College London, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, the World Health Organization, and the University of Oslo. X. W. has served as a Data Safety Monitoring Board member for several China-made COVID-19 vaccines. S. S., A. N. S., and A. B. H. report travel related support from the World Health Organization to attend previous IVIR-AC meetings. All other authors have no declarations., (Copyright © 2024. Published by Elsevier Ltd.)
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- 2024
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32. Malaria Transmission at The Zimbabwe-Mozambique Border: An Observational Study of Parasitemia by Travel History and Household Location.
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Ferriss E, Mharakurwa S, Munyati S, Gwanzura L, Hast MA, Moulton LH, Wesolowski A, and Moss WJ
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- Humans, Zimbabwe epidemiology, Mozambique epidemiology, Male, Female, Adult, Adolescent, Young Adult, Child, Prevalence, Malaria, Falciparum epidemiology, Malaria, Falciparum transmission, Family Characteristics, Child, Preschool, Middle Aged, Malaria transmission, Malaria epidemiology, Plasmodium falciparum isolation & purification, Infant, Travel, Parasitemia epidemiology, Parasitemia transmission
- Abstract
Cross-border human population movement contributes to malaria transmission in border regions, impeding national elimination. However, its impact in low-to-moderate transmission settings is not well characterized. This community-based study in Mutasa District, Zimbabwe, estimated the association of parasite prevalence with self-reported overnight travel to Mozambique and household distance to the border from 2012-2020. A fully adjusted Poisson regression model with robust variance estimation was fit using active surveillance data. The population attributable fraction of parasite prevalence from overnight travel was also estimated. The relative risk of testing positive for malaria by rapid diagnostic test declined 14% (prevalence ratio [PR] = 0.86, 95% CI = 0.81-0.92) per kilometer from the border up to 12 km away. Travel to Mozambique was associated with a 157% increased risk (PR = 2.57, 95% CI = 1.38-4.78), although only 5.8% of cases were attributable to overnight travel (95% CI = -1.1% to 12.7%), reflecting infrequent overnight trips (1.3% of visits). This study suggests that transmission in eastern Zimbabwe is driven by increasingly conducive social or environmental conditions approaching the border and low levels of importation from overnight travel. Although day trips to Mozambique during peak biting hours were not assessed, the contribution of such trips to ongoing transmission may be significant. Future malaria control efforts should prioritize high coverage of existing interventions and continued support for community health workers and health facilities at the border, which provide free case management.
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- 2024
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33. Modeling the Cost of Vaccinating a Measles Zero-Dose Child in Zambia Using Three Vaccination Strategies.
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Mak J, Patenaude BN, Mutembo S, Pilewskie ME, Winter AK, Moss WJ, and Carcelen AC
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- Humans, Zambia epidemiology, Vaccination economics, Vaccination methods, Seroepidemiologic Studies, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Child, Preschool, Immunization Programs economics, Infant, Child, Rubella prevention & control, Rubella epidemiology, Rubella economics, Measles prevention & control, Measles epidemiology, Measles economics, Measles Vaccine economics, Measles Vaccine administration & dosage, Measles Vaccine immunology
- Abstract
Countries with moderate to high measles-containing vaccine coverage face challenges in reaching the remaining measles zero-dose children. There is growing interest in targeted vaccination activities to reach these children. We developed a framework for prioritizing districts for targeted measles and rubella supplementary immunization activities (SIAs) for Zambia in 2020, incorporating the use of the WHO's Measles Risk Assessment Tool (MRAT) and serosurveys. This framework was used to build a model comparing the cost of vaccinating one zero-dose child under three vaccination scenarios: standard nationwide SIA, targeted subnational SIA informed by MRAT, and targeted subnational SIA informed by both MRAT and measles seroprevalence data. In the last scenario, measles seroprevalence data are acquired via either a community-based serosurvey, residual blood samples from health facilities, or community-based IgG point-of-contact rapid diagnostic testing. The deterministic model found that the standard nationwide SIA is the least cost-efficient strategy at 13.75 USD per zero-dose child vaccinated. Targeted SIA informed by MRAT was the most cost-efficient at 7.63 USD per zero-dose child, assuming that routine immunization is just as effective as subnational SIA in reaching zero-dose children. Under similar conditions, a targeted subnational SIA informed by both MRAT and seroprevalence data resulted in 8.17-8.35 USD per zero-dose child vaccinated, suggesting that use of seroprevalence to inform SIA planning may not be as cost prohibitive as previously thought. Further refinement to the decision framework incorporating additional data may yield strategies to better target the zero-dose population in a financially feasible manner.
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- 2024
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34. Who is missed in a community-based survey: Assessment and implications of biases due to incomplete sampling frame in a community-based serosurvey, Choma and Ndola Districts, Zambia, 2022.
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Kostandova N, Mutembo S, Prosperi C, Mwansa FD, Nakazwe C, Namukoko H, Nachinga B, Chongwe G, Chilumba I, Matakala KH, Musukwa G, Hamahuwa M, Mufwambi W, Matoba J, Situtu K, Mutale I, Kong AC, Simulundu E, Ndubani P, Hasan AZ, Truelove SA, Winter AK, Carcelen AC, Lau B, Moss WJ, and Wesolowski A
- Abstract
Community-based serological studies are increasingly relied upon to measure disease burden, identify population immunity gaps, and guide control and elimination strategies; however, there is little understanding of the potential for and impact of sampling biases on outcomes of interest. As part of efforts to quantify measles immunity gaps in Zambia, a community-based serological survey using stratified multi-stage cluster sampling approach was conducted in Ndola and Choma districts in May-June 2022, enrolling 1245 individuals. We carried out a follow-up study among individuals missed from the sampling frame of the serosurvey in July-August 2022, enrolling 672 individuals. We assessed the potential for and impact of biases in the community-based serosurvey by i) estimating differences in characteristics of households and individuals included and excluded (77% vs 23% of households) from the sampling frame of the serosurvey and ii) evaluating the magnitude these differences make on healthcare-seeking behavior, vaccination coverage, and measles seroprevalence. We found that missed households were 20% smaller and 25% less likely to have children. Missed individuals resided in less wealthy households, had different distributions of sex and occupation, and were more likely to seek care at health facilities. Despite these differences, simulating a survey in which missed households were included in the sampling frame resulted in less than a 5% estimated bias in these outcomes. Although community-based studies are upheld as the gold standard study design in assessing immunity gaps and underlying community health characteristics, these findings underscore the fact that sampling biases can impact the results of even well-conducted community-based surveys. Results from these studies should be interpreted in the context of the study methodology and challenges faced during implementation, which include shortcomings in establishing accurate and up-to-date sampling frames. Failure to account for these shortcomings may result in biased estimates and detrimental effects on decision-making., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist., (Copyright: © 2024 Kostandova et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.)
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- 2024
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35. Genomics reveals heterogeneous Plasmodium falciparum transmission and selection signals in Zambia.
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Fola AA, He Q, Xie S, Thimmapuram J, Bhide KP, Dorman J, Ciubotariu II, Mwenda MC, Mambwe B, Mulube C, Hawela M, Norris DE, Moss WJ, Bridges DJ, and Carpi G
- Abstract
Background: Genomic surveillance is crucial for monitoring malaria transmission and understanding parasite adaptation to interventions. Zambia lacks prior nationwide efforts in malaria genomic surveillance among African countries., Methods: We conducted genomic surveillance of Plasmodium falciparum parasites from the 2018 Malaria Indicator Survey in Zambia, a nationally representative household survey of children under five years of age. We whole-genome sequenced and analyzed 241 P. falciparum genomes from regions with varying levels of malaria transmission across Zambia and estimated genetic metrics that are informative about transmission intensity, genetic relatedness between parasites, and selection., Results: We provide genomic evidence of widespread within-host polygenomic infections, regardless of epidemiological characteristics, underscoring the extensive and ongoing endemic malaria transmission in Zambia. Our analysis reveals country-level clustering of parasites from Zambia and neighboring regions, with distinct separation in West Africa. Within Zambia, identity by descent (IBD) relatedness analysis uncovers local spatial clustering and rare cases of long-distance sharing of closely related parasite pairs. Genomic regions with large shared IBD segments and strong positive selection signatures implicate genes involved in sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine and artemisinin combination therapies drug resistance, but no signature related to chloroquine resistance. Furthermore, differences in selection signatures, including drug resistance loci, are observed between eastern and western Zambian parasite populations, suggesting variable transmission intensity and ongoing drug pressure., Conclusions: Our findings enhance our understanding of nationwide P. falciparum transmission in Zambia, establishing a baseline for analyzing parasite genetic metrics as they vary over time and space. These insights highlight the urgency of strengthening malaria control programs and surveillance of antimalarial drug resistance., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
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- 2024
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36. Post-campaign coverage evaluation of a measles and rubella supplementary immunization activity in five districts in India, 2019-2020.
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Thangaraj JWV, Prosperi C, Kumar MS, Hasan AZ, Kumar VS, Winter AK, Bansal AK, Chauhan SL, Grover GS, Jain AK, Kulkarni RN, Sharma SK, Soman B, Chaaithanya IK, Kharwal S, Mishra SK, Salvi NR, Sarmah NP, Sharma S, Varghese A, Sabarinathan R, Duraiswamy A, Rani DS, Kanagasabai K, Lachyan A, Gawali P, Kapoor M, Chonker SK, Sangal L, Mehendale SM, Sapkal GN, Gupta N, Hayford K, Moss WJ, and Murherkar MV
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- Humans, Infant, Child, Adolescent, Cross-Sectional Studies, Measles Vaccine therapeutic use, Vaccination, Rubella Vaccine therapeutic use, India epidemiology, Immunization Programs, Measles prevention & control, Rubella prevention & control
- Abstract
Background: In alignment with the Measles and Rubella (MR) Strategic Elimination plan, India conducted a mass measles and rubella vaccination campaign across the country between 2017 and 2020 to provide a dose of MR containing vaccine to all children aged 9 months to 15 years. We estimated campaign vaccination coverage in five districts in India and assessed campaign awareness and factors associated with vaccination during the campaign to better understand reasons for not receiving the dose., Methods and Findings: Community-based cross-sectional serosurveys were conducted in five districts of India among children aged 9 months to 15 years after the vaccination campaign. Campaign coverage was estimated based on home-based immunization record or caregiver recall. Campaign coverage was stratified by child- and household-level risk factors and descriptive analyses were performed to assess reasons for not receiving the campaign dose. Three thousand three hundred and fifty-seven children aged 9 months to 15 years at the time of the campaign were enrolled. Campaign coverage among children aged 9 months to 5 years documented or by recall ranged from 74.2% in Kanpur Nagar District to 90.4% in Dibrugarh District, Assam. Similar coverage was observed for older children. Caregiver awareness of the campaign varied from 88.3% in Hoshiarpur District, Punjab to 97.6% in Dibrugarh District, Assam, although 8% of children whose caregivers were aware of the campaign were not vaccinated during the campaign. Failure to receive the campaign dose was associated with urban settings, low maternal education, and lack of school attendance although the associations varied by district., Conclusion: Awareness of the MR vaccination campaign was high; however, campaign coverage varied by district and did not reach the elimination target of 95% coverage in any of the districts studied. Areas with lower coverage among younger children must be prioritized by strengthening the routine immunization programme and implementing strategies to identify and reach under-vaccinated children., Competing Interests: The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright: © 2024 Thangaraj et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.)
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- 2024
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37. Report from the World Health Organization's immunization and vaccines related implementation research advisory committee (IVIR-AC) meeting, Geneva, 11-13 September 2023.
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Lambach P, Orenstein W, Silal S, Sbarra AN, Koh M, Aggarwal R, Hasan Farooqui H, Flasche S, Hogan A, Kim SY, Leask J, Luz PM, Lyimo DC, Moss WJ, Pitzer VE, Wang XY, and Wu J
- Subjects
- Humans, Advisory Committees, World Health Organization, Vaccination, Immunization, Vaccines therapeutic use, Measles
- Abstract
Evaluating vaccine-related research is critical to maximize the potential of vaccination programmes. The WHO Immunization and Vaccine-related Implementation Research Advisory Committee (IVIR-AC) provides an independent review of research that estimates the performance, impact and value of vaccines, with a particular focus on transmission and economic modelling. On 11-13 September 2023, IVIR-AC was convened for a bi-annual meeting where the committee reviewed research and presentations across eight different sessions. This report summarizes the background information, proceedings and recommendations from that meeting. Sessions ranged in topic from timing of measles supplementary immunization activities, analyses of conditions necessary to meet measles elimination in the South-East Asia region, translating modelled evidence into policy, a risk-benefit analysis of dengue vaccine, COVID-19 scenario modelling in the African region, therapeutic vaccination against human papilloma virus, the Vaccine Impact Modelling Consortium, and the Immunization Agenda 2030 vaccine impact estimates., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2024. Published by Elsevier Ltd.)
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- 2024
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38. Apicomplexan phosphodiesterases in cyclic nucleotide turnover: conservation, function, and therapeutic potential.
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Moss WJ, Brusini L, Kuehnel R, Brochet M, and Brown KM
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- Animals, Humans, Phosphoric Diester Hydrolases genetics, Nucleotides, Cyclic, Phosphodiesterase Inhibitors therapeutic use, Phylogeny, Cyclic GMP, 3',5'-Cyclic-AMP Phosphodiesterases, Cryptosporidiosis, Cryptosporidium, Diethylstilbestrol analogs & derivatives
- Abstract
Apicomplexa encompasses a large number of intracellular parasites infecting a wide range of animals. Cyclic nucleotide signaling is crucial for a variety of apicomplexan life stages and cellular processes. The cyclases and kinases that synthesize and respond to cyclic nucleotides (i.e., 3',5'-cyclic guanosine monophosphate and 3',5'-cyclic adenosine monophosphate) are highly conserved and essential throughout the parasite phylum. Growing evidence indicates that phosphodiesterases (PDEs) are also critical for regulating cyclic nucleotide signaling via cyclic nucleotide hydrolysis. Here, we discuss recent advances in apicomplexan PDE biology and opportunities for therapeutic interventions, with special emphasis on the major human apicomplexan parasite genera Plasmodium , Toxoplasma , Cryptosporidium , and Babesia . In particular, we show a highly flexible repertoire of apicomplexan PDEs associated with a wide range of cellular requirements across parasites and lifecycle stages. Despite this phylogenetic diversity, cellular requirements of apicomplexan PDEs for motility, host cell egress, or invasion are conserved. However, the molecular wiring of associated PDEs is extremely malleable suggesting that PDE diversity and redundancy are key for the optimization of cyclic nucleotide turnover to respond to the various environments encountered by each parasite and life stage. Understanding how apicomplexan PDEs are regulated and integrating multiple signaling systems into a unified response represent an untapped avenue for future exploration., Competing Interests: The authors declare no conflict of interest.
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- 2024
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39. Genomics reveals heterogeneous Plasmodium falciparum transmission and population differentiation in Zambia and bordering countries.
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Fola AA, He Q, Xie S, Thimmapuram J, Bhide KP, Dorman J, Ciubotariu II, Mwenda MC, Mambwe B, Mulube C, Hawela M, Norris DE, Moss WJ, Bridges DJ, and Carpi G
- Abstract
Genomic surveillance plays a critical role in monitoring malaria transmission and understanding how the parasite adapts in response to interventions. We conducted genomic surveillance of malaria by sequencing 241 Plasmodium falciparum genomes from regions with varying levels of malaria transmission across Zambia. We found genomic evidence of high levels of within-host polygenomic infections, regardless of epidemiological characteristics, underscoring the extensive and ongoing endemic malaria transmission in the country. We identified country-level clustering of parasites from Zambia and neighboring countries, and distinct clustering of parasites from West Africa. Within Zambia, our identity by descent (IBD) relatedness analysis uncovered spatial clustering of closely related parasite pairs at the local level and rare cases of long-distance sharing. Genomic regions with large shared IBD segments and strong positive selection signatures identified genes involved in sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine and artemisinin combination therapies drug resistance, but no signature related to chloroquine resistance. Together, our findings enhance our understanding of P. falciparum transmission nationwide in Zambia and highlight the urgency of strengthening malaria control programs and surveillance of antimalarial drug resistance.
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- 2024
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40. Measles immunity gaps among children and adolescents with HIV in Zambia despite high measles vaccination and antiretroviral therapy coverage.
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Mutembo S, Yang Y, Carcelen A, Winter AK, Mwansa FD, Chilumba I, Mutale I, Chongwe G, Monze M, Mulundu G, Nkamba H, Mulenga L, Hayford K, and Moss WJ
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- Humans, Child, Adolescent, Zambia epidemiology, Seroepidemiologic Studies, Cross-Sectional Studies, Vaccination, Antibodies, Viral, HIV Infections complications, HIV Infections drug therapy, HIV Infections epidemiology, Rubella epidemiology, Rubella prevention & control, Measles epidemiology, Measles prevention & control
- Abstract
Objective: The study objective was to identify measles and rubella immunity gaps among people with HIV (PWH) in Zambia despite high measles vaccine coverage and widespread access to antiretroviral therapy., Design: Nationally representative cross-sectional serosurvey using biorepository specimens., Methods: Blood specimens collected in the Zambia Population HIV Impact Assessment survey (ZAMPHIA) of 2016 were tested for measles and rubella immunoglobulin G (IgG) antibodies by enzyme immunoassay. Hierarchical generalized additive models were fit to characterize age-specific measles and rubella seroprevalence profiles by HIV infection status. Log-binomial regression was performed to identify factors associated with seronegativity., Results: Of the 25 383 specimens, a subsample of 11 500 were selected and 9852 (85%) were successfully tested. Measles seroprevalence was lower among PWH compared with HIV-uninfected individuals until approximately 30 years of age. Among children younger than the age of 10 years, measles seroprevalence was 47.2% [95% confidence interval (CI): 32.7, 61.7] in PWH and 76.4% (95% CI: 74.9, 78.0) in HIV-uninfected children in same age category. In contrast, rubella seroprevalence was higher among PWH than HIV-uninfected individuals, particularly for children younger than 10 years (68.6% vs. 44.3%, P < 0.001). Having a detectable viral load was associated with being measles seronegative (adjusted prevalence ratio 0.15, 95% CI: 0.06, 0.38)., Conclusions: These results from a nationally representative serosurvey demonstrate persistence of measles immunity gaps among PWH younger than 30 years of age. There is need to implement the World Health Organization's recommendation to revaccinate children living with HIV against measles following immune reconstitution with antiretroviral therapy to protect these children and prevent measles outbreaks., (Copyright © 2023 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2023
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41. Complete clinicoradiographic remission following immunotherapy treatment for an unresectable, multiply-recurrent oral verrucous carcinoma: A letter to the editor.
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Moss WJ, Kwon D, Wu N, and Brett P
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- Humans, Neoplasm Recurrence, Local diagnostic imaging, Neoplasm Recurrence, Local therapy, Immunotherapy, Mouth Neoplasms diagnostic imaging, Mouth Neoplasms therapy, Carcinoma, Verrucous diagnostic imaging, Carcinoma, Verrucous therapy
- Abstract
Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
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- 2023
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42. Novel bioinformatic methods and machine learning approaches reveal candidate biomarkers of the intensity and timing of past exposure to Plasmodium falciparum.
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Bérubé S, Kobayashi T, Norris DE, Ruczinski I, Moss WJ, Wesolowski A, and Louis TA
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Accurately quantifying the burden of malaria over time is an important goal of malaria surveillance efforts and can enable effective targeting and evaluation of interventions. Malaria surveillance methods capture active or recent infections which poses several challenges to achieving malaria surveillance goals. In high transmission settings, asymptomatic infections are common and therefore accurate measurement of malaria burden demands active surveillance; in low transmission regions where infections are rare accurate surveillance requires sampling large subsets of the population; and in any context monitoring malaria burden over time necessitates serial sampling. Antibody responses to Plasmodium falciparum parasites persist after infection and therefore measuring antibodies has the potential to overcome several of the current obstacles to accurate malaria surveillance. Identifying which antibody responses are markers of the timing and intensity of past exposure to P. falciparum remains challenging, particularly among adults who tend to be re-exposed multiple times over the course of their lifetime and therefore have similarly high antibody responses to many Plasmodium antigens. A previous analysis of 479 serum samples from individuals in three regions in southern Africa with different historical levels of P. falciparum malaria transmission (high, intermediate, and low) revealed regional differences in antibody responses to P. falciparum antigens among children under 5 years of age. Using a novel bioinformatic pipeline optimized for protein microarrays that minimizes between-sample technical variation, we used antibody responses to Plasmodium antigens as predictors in random forest models to classify samples from adults into these three regions of differing historical malaria transmission with high accuracy (AUC = 0.99). Many of the most important antigens for classification in these models do not overlap with previously published results and are therefore novel candidate markers for the timing and intensity of past exposure to P. falciparum. Measuring antibody responses to these antigens could lead to improved malaria surveillance., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist., (Copyright: © 2023 Bérubé et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.)
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- 2023
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43. An Estimate Of The Return On Investment Of A Malaria Vaccine In 20 Sub-Saharan African Countries, 2021-30.
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Mak J, Sriudomporn S, Moss WJ, and Patenaude BN
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- Humans, Public Health, Cost of Illness, Africa South of the Sahara, Malaria Vaccines, Malaria prevention & control
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Malaria is a leading global health problem that was responsible for an estimated 619,000 deaths worldwide in 2021. We modeled the return on investment (ROI) for the introduction and continuation of a four-dose malaria vaccine, RTS,S/AS01, from 2021 to 2030 in twenty sub-Saharan African countries supported by Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance. We used the Decade of Vaccine Economics benefits and costing outputs to calculate an ROI using health impact data modeled by the Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute (hereafter "Swiss") and Imperial College London (hereafter "Imperial"). The Swiss estimates with a base vaccine price of US$7.00 resulted in an ROI of 0.42, and the Imperial impact estimates with the same base vaccine price resulted in an ROI of 2.30. Inclusion of the fifth seasonal dose for ten countries exhibiting high seasonal disease burden increased the Swiss ROI by 143 percent, to 1.02, and the Imperial ROI by 23.5 percent, to 2.84. To improve ROI, decision makers should continue to improve delivery platforms, decrease vaccine delivery costs, deliver the malaria vaccine in fewer doses, and provide access to vaccine resources.
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- 2023
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44. Temporal and spatial analysis of Plasmodium falciparum genomics reveals patterns of parasite connectivity in a low-transmission district in Southern Province, Zambia.
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Fola AA, Moser KA, Aydemir O, Hennelly C, Kobayashi T, Shields T, Hamapumbu H, Musonda M, Katowa B, Matoba J, Stevenson JC, Norris DE, Thuma PE, Wesolowski A, Moss WJ, Bailey JA, and Juliano JJ
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- Animals, Humans, Plasmodium falciparum genetics, Zambia epidemiology, Spatial Analysis, Genomics, Parasites, Malaria, Falciparum parasitology, Malaria
- Abstract
Background: Understanding temporal and spatial dynamics of malaria transmission will help to inform effective interventions and strategies in regions approaching elimination. Parasite genomics are increasingly used to monitor epidemiologic trends, including assessing residual transmission across seasons and importation of malaria into these regions., Methods: In a low and seasonal transmission setting of southern Zambia, a total of 441 Plasmodium falciparum samples collected from 8 neighbouring health centres between 2012 and 2018 were genotyped using molecular inversion probes (MIPs n = 1793) targeting a total of 1832 neutral and geographically informative SNPs distributed across the parasite genome. After filtering for quality and missingness, 302 samples and 1410 SNPs were retained and used for downstream population genomic analyses., Results: The analyses revealed most (67%, n = 202) infections harboured one clone (monogenomic) with some variation at local level suggesting low, but heterogenous malaria transmission. Relatedness identity-by-descent (IBD) analysis revealed variable distribution of IBD segments across the genome and 6% of pairs were highly-related (IBD ≥ 0.25). Some of the highly-related parasite populations persisted across multiple seasons, suggesting that persistence of malaria in this low-transmission region is fueled by parasites "seeding" across the dry season. For recent years, clusters of clonal parasites were identified that were dissimilar to the general parasite population, suggesting parasite populations were increasingly fragmented at small spatial scales due to intensified control efforts. Clustering analysis using PCA and t-SNE showed a lack of substantial parasite population structure., Conclusion: Leveraging both genomic and epidemiological data provided comprehensive picture of fluctuations in parasite populations in this pre-elimination setting of southern Zambia over 7 years., (© 2023. This is a U.S. Government work and not under copyright protection in the US; foreign copyright protection may apply.)
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- 2023
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45. The Impact of Household and Community Indoor Residual Spray Coverage with Fludora Fusion in a High Malaria Transmission Setting in Northern Zambia.
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Ferriss E, Chaponda M, Muleba M, Kabuya JB, Lupiya JS, Riley C, Winters A, Moulton LH, Mulenga M, Norris DE, and Moss WJ
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- Humans, Zambia epidemiology, Mosquito Control, Insecticides, Malaria epidemiology, Malaria prevention & control, Malaria parasitology
- Abstract
Zambia's National Malaria Elimination Program transitioned to Fludora Fusion in 2019 for annual indoor residual spraying (IRS) in Nchelenge District, an area with holoendemic malaria transmission. Previously, IRS was associated with reductions in parasite prevalence during the rainy season only, presumably because of insufficient residual insecticide longevity. This study assessed the impact of transitioning from Actellic 300CS to long-acting Fludora Fusion using active surveillance data from 2014 through 2021. A difference-in-differences analysis estimated changes in rainy season parasite prevalence associated with living in a sprayed house, comparing insecticides. The change in the 2020 to 2021 dry season parasite prevalence associated with living in a house sprayed with Fludora Fusion was also estimated. Indoor residual spraying with Fludora Fusion was not associated with decreased rainy season parasite prevalence compared with IRS with Actellic 300CS (ratio of prevalence ratios [PRs], 1.09; 95% CI, 0.89-1.33). Moreover, living in a house sprayed with either insecticide was not associated with decreased malaria risk (Actellic 300CS: PR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.86-1.10; Fludora Fusion: rainy season PR, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.89-1.25; dry season PR, 1.21; 95% CI, 0.99-1.48). In contrast, each 10% increase in community IRS coverage was associated with a 4% to 5% reduction in parasite prevalence (rainy season: PR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.92-0.97; dry season: PR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.94-0.99), suggesting a community-level protective effect, and corroborating the importance of high-intervention coverage.
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- 2023
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46. The Evolving Pediatric HIV Epidemic in Rural Southern Zambia: The Beneficial Impact of Advances in Prevention and Treatment at a District Hospital From 2007 to 2019.
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Sutcliffe CG, Moyo N, Hamahuwa M, Mutanga JN, van Dijk JH, Hamangaba F, Schue JL, Thuma PE, and Moss WJ
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- Infant, Child, Humans, Female, Cohort Studies, Zambia epidemiology, Cross-Sectional Studies, Hospitals, District, Infectious Disease Transmission, Vertical prevention & control, Anti-Retroviral Agents therapeutic use, HIV Infections diagnosis, HIV Infections drug therapy, HIV Infections epidemiology
- Abstract
Background: Remarkable progress has been made in expanding access to services addressing the pediatric HIV epidemic, including programs to prevent mother-to-child transmission, early diagnosis and treatment for children living with HIV. Few long-term data are available from rural sub-Saharan Africa to assess implementation and impact of national guidelines., Methods: Results from 3 cross-sectional studies and 1 cohort study conducted at Macha Hospital in Southern Province, Zambia from 2007 to 2019 were summarized. For infant diagnosis, maternal antiretroviral treatment, infant test results and turnaround times for results were evaluated by year. For pediatric HIV care, the number and age of children initiating care and treatment, and treatment outcomes within 12 months were evaluated by year., Results: Receipt of maternal combination antiretroviral treatment increased from 51.6% in 2010-2012 to 93.4% in 2019, and the proportion of infants testing positive decreased from 12.4% to 4.0%. Turnaround times for results returning to clinic varied but were shorter when labs consistently used a text messaging system. The proportion of mothers receiving results was higher when a text message intervention was piloted. The number of children living with HIV enrolled into care and the proportion initiating treatment with severe immunosuppression and dying within 12 months decreased over time., Conclusions: These studies demonstrate the long-term beneficial impact of implementing a strong HIV prevention and treatment program. While expansion and decentralization brought challenges, the program succeeded in decreasing the rate of mother-to-child transmission and ensuring that children living with HIV benefit from access to life-saving treatment., Competing Interests: The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose., (Copyright © 2023 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2023
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47. Comparison of measles IgG enzyme immunoassays (EIA) versus plaque reduction neutralization test (PRNT) for measuring measles serostatus: a systematic review of head-to-head analyses of measles IgG EIA and PRNT.
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Lutz CS, Hasan AZ, Bolotin S, Crowcroft NS, Cutts FT, Joh E, Loisate S, Moss WJ, Osman S, and Hayford K
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- Humans, Neutralization Tests methods, Immunoenzyme Techniques, Measles virus, Sensitivity and Specificity, Antibodies, Viral, Immunoglobulin G, Measles
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Background: As countries move towards or achieve measles elimination status, serosurveillance is an important public health tool. However, a major challenge of serosurveillance is finding a feasible, accurate, cost-effective, and high throughput assay to measure measles antibody concentrations and estimate susceptibility in a population. We conducted a systematic review to assess, characterize, and - to the extent possible - quantify the performance of measles IgG enzyme-linked assays (EIAs) compared to the gold standard, plaque reduction neutralization tests (PRNT)., Methods: We followed the PRISMA statement for a systematic literature search and methods for conducting and reporting systematic reviews and meta-analyses recommended by the Cochrane Screening and Diagnostic Tests Methods Group. We identified studies through PubMed and Embase electronic databases and included serologic studies detecting measles virus IgG antibodies among participants of any age from the same source population that reported an index (any EIA or multiple bead-based assays, MBA) and reference test (PRNT) using sera, whole blood, or plasma. Measures of diagnostic accuracy with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were abstracted for each study result, where reported., Results: We identified 550 unique publications and identified 36 eligible studies for analysis. We classified studies as high, medium, or low quality; results from high quality studies are reported. Because most high quality studies used the Siemens Enzygnost EIA kit, we generate individual and pooled diagnostic accuracy estimates for this assay separately. Median sensitivity of the Enzygnost EIA was 92.1% [IQR = 82.3, 95.7]; median specificity was 96.9 [93.0, 100.0]. Pooled sensitivity and specificity from studies using the Enzygnost kit were 91.6 (95%CI: 80.7,96.6) and 96.0 (95%CI: 90.9,98.3), respectively. The sensitivity of all other EIA kits across high quality studies ranged from 0% to 98.9% with median (IQR) = 90.6 [86.6, 95.2]; specificity ranged from 58.8% to 100.0% with median (IQR) = 100.0 [88.7, 100.0]., Conclusions: Evidence on the diagnostic accuracy of currently available measles IgG EIAs is variable, insufficient, and may not be fit for purpose for serosurveillance goals. Additional studies evaluating the diagnostic accuracy of measles EIAs, including MBAs, should be conducted among diverse populations and settings (e.g., vaccination status, elimination/endemic status, age groups)., (© 2023. The Author(s).)
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- 2023
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48. An evaluation of the early impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Zambia's routine immunization program.
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Winter AK, Takahashi S, Carcelen AC, Hayford K, Mutale W, Mwansa FD, Sinyange N, Ngula D, Moss WJ, and Mutembo S
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Implications of the COVID-19 pandemic for both populations and healthcare systems are vast. In addition to morbidity and mortality from COVID-19, the pandemic also disrupted local health systems, including reductions or delays in routine vaccination services and catch-up vaccination campaigns. These disruptions could lead to outbreaks of other infectious diseases that result in an additional burden of disease and strain on the healthcare system. We evaluated the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Zambia's routine childhood immunization program in 2020 using multiple sources of data. We relied on administrative vaccination data and Zambia's 2018 Demographic and Health Survey to project national disruptions to district-specific routine childhood vaccination coverage within the pandemic year 2020. Next, we leveraged a 2016 population-based serological survey to predict age-specific measles seroprevalence and assessed the impact of changes in vaccination coverage on measles outbreak risk in each district. We found minor disruptions to routine administration of measles-rubella and pentavalent vaccines in 2020. This was in part due to Zambia's Child Health Week held in June of 2020 which helped to reach children missed during the first six months of the year. We estimated that the two-month delay in a measles-rubella vaccination campaign, originally planned for September of 2020 but conducted in November of 2020 as a result of the pandemic, had little impact on modeled district-specific measles outbreak risks. This study estimated minimal increases in the number of children missed by vaccination services in Zambia during 2020. However, the ongoing SARS-CoV-2 transmission since our analysis concluded means efforts to maintain routine immunization services and minimize the risk of measles outbreaks will continue to be critical. The methodological framework developed in this analysis relied on routinely collected data to estimate disruptions of the COVID-19 pandemic to national routine vaccination program performance and its impact on children missed at the subnational level can be deployed in other countries or for other vaccines., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist., (Copyright: © 2023 Winter et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.)
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- 2023
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49. Declining Age-Specific Seroprevalence and Seroconversion Rates in Plasmodium falciparum from 2009 to 2018 Documents Progress toward Malaria Elimination in Southern Zambia.
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Katowa B, Hamapumbu H, Thuma PE, Bérubé S, Wesolowski A, Moss WJ, and Kobayashi T
- Subjects
- Humans, Plasmodium falciparum, Zambia epidemiology, Seroepidemiologic Studies, Cross-Sectional Studies, Seroconversion, Age Factors, Malaria, Falciparum epidemiology, Malaria, Falciparum prevention & control, Malaria epidemiology
- Abstract
Obtaining accurate malaria surveillance data is challenging in low-transmission settings because large sample sizes are required to estimate incidence and prevalence precisely. Serology is an additional tool to document progress toward malaria elimination. An enzyme immunoassay to Plasmodium falciparum lysate was used to estimate age-specific seroprevalence among residents of southern Zambia, where malaria transmission has declined to pre-elimination levels during the past two decades. Plasma was eluted from 3,362 dried blood spots collected during five cross-sectional surveys conducted between 2009 and 2012, and again in 2018. Annual seroconversion rates (SCRs), an estimate of the force of infection, were calculated using a reversible catalytic model. The SCR decreased by two thirds from a level of approximately 0.15/year in 2009 and 2010 to approximately 0.05/year in 2011 and 2012, and then decreased 5-fold to 0.01/year by 2018, demonstrating the utility of serology in documenting progress toward elimination.
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- 2023
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50. A Bayesian hierarchical model for signal extraction from protein microarrays.
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Bérubé S, Kobayashi T, Wesolowski A, Norris DE, Ruczinski I, Moss WJ, and Louis TA
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- Humans, Bayes Theorem, Computer Simulation, Oligonucleotide Array Sequence Analysis, Protein Array Analysis
- Abstract
Protein microarrays are a promising technology that measure protein levels in serum or plasma samples. Due to their high technical variability and high variation in protein levels across serum samples in any population, directly answering biological questions of interest using protein microarray measurements is challenging. Analyzing preprocessed data and within-sample ranks of protein levels can mitigate the impact of between-sample variation. As for any analysis, ranks are sensitive to preprocessing, but loss function based ranks that accommodate major structural relations and components of uncertainty are very effective. Bayesian modeling with full posterior distributions for quantities of interest produce the most effective ranks. Such Bayesian models have been developed for other assays, for example, DNA microarrays, but modeling assumptions for these assays are not appropriate for protein microarrays. Consequently, we develop and evaluate a Bayesian model to extract the full posterior distribution of normalized protein levels and associated ranks for protein microarrays, and show that it fits well to data from two studies that use protein microarrays produced by different manufacturing processes. We validate the model via simulation and demonstrate the downstream impact of using estimates from this model to obtain optimal ranks., (© 2023 The Authors. Statistics in Medicine published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)
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- 2023
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