1. Metodología para el pronóstico de indicadores de la planificación en la industria azucarera: aplicación.
- Author
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Infante Roblejo, Ramiro, Figueredo Varela, Cándido, and Milán Graell, Misley
- Subjects
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ESTIMATION theory , *FORECASTING methodology , *SUGAR factories , *ECONOMIC indicators , *PRODUCTION planning - Abstract
This article aims to apply a methodology for forecasting relevant planning indicators in the Cuban sugar refinery industry. Nowadays, conventional planning methods are used, which limit the use of planning as a scientifically argued instrument for efficient decision-making. Consequently, in the proposed methodology, quantitative and statistical forecasting methods and models are used as a means of complementing the short-term planning process, providing the techniques to estimate and verify the validity of the weekly industrial lost time trend, the seasonal variation indexes, and the multiple regression models of industrial performance. Finally, based on the seasonal variation indexes, the weekly forecast of industrial lost time, the cane plan to be processed, and the sugar production plan are made. The forecasts obtained made it possible to carry out weekly production scheduling and efficient planning to use of industrial capacities better. The validated procedure constitutes an effective instrument that contributes to the improvement and foundation of the current planning process in the sugar refinery industry, allowing the integrated projection of relevant production and efficiency indicators in the economic plan. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023