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Background: Soil-transmitted helminths (STH) are among the most common parasitic infections globally, disproportionately affecting children. Treatment of STH in Kenya is often targeted at preschool (PSAC) and school aged (SAC) children delivered through annual mass drug administration (MDA) in primary schools. Understanding group-specific prevalence and dynamics between treatment and coverage is critical for continued treatment success. This study aims to provide detailed information on group-specific infection prevalence and relative reductions (RR), and their relationships with treatment coverage over time. Additionally, it aims to quantify the correlation between the observed school level infection prevalence and treatment coverage. Methods: Secondary analysis of existing data collected between 2012 and 2018 by the monitoring and evaluation (M&E) program of the National School-Based Deworming (NSBD) program was used. The M&E program conducted surveys utilizing cross-sectional study design, at four survey time points, in a nationally-representative sample of schoolchildren across counties in Kenya. In each participating school, the program randomly sampled 108 children per school, of both groups. Infection prevalence was estimated using binomial regression, RR in prevalence using multivariable mixed effects model, statistical correlations using structural equation modeling, and change-point-analysis using the binary segmentation algorithm. Results: Overall, STH prevalence for PSAC was 33.7, 20.2, 19.0, and 17.9% during Year 1 (Y1), Year 3 (Y3), Year 5 (Y5), and Year 6 (Y6) surveys, respectively with an overall RR of 46.9% (p = 0.001) from Y1 to Y6. Similarly, overall STH prevalence for SAC was 33.6, 18.4, 14.7, and 12.5% during Y1, Y3, Y5, and Y6 surveys, respectively with an overall RR of 62.6% (p < 0.001). An overall (all time points) significant but very weak negative correlation was found between treatment coverage and undifferentiated STH prevalence (r = -0.144, p = 0.002) among PSAC but not in SAC. Further, we observed inter-county heterogeneity variation in infection prevalence, RR, as well as correlations. Conclusion: The analysis showed that after six rounds of MDA, prevalence of STH has significantly declined among both groups of children, however not to a point where it is not a public health problem (below 1%). The analysis, additionally established an overall significant but weak negative correlation between treatment coverage and prevalence, indicating that the current treatment coverage might not be sufficient to drive the overall STH prevalence to below 1%. These findings will allow STH control programs in Kenya to make decisions that will accelerate the attainment of STH elimination as a public health problem.

This report summarizes findings of an HIV allocative efficiency study conducted in Kenya between 2018 and 2020. The study was commissioned to contribute to the evidence base for strategic planning processes at national and county level. This report documents the epidemiological impact of 2014/15–2018/19 Kenya AIDS Strategic Framework (KASF-I) and presents estimates of the optimized annual resource allocations within all 47 counties for the period between 2019 and 2030 to minimize new HIV infections and HIV-related deaths by 2030 for varying budget levels. The report also presents estimated outcomes for infections and deaths by 2025 to align with the end of the new 2020/21–2024/25 KASF-II and examines the future trajectory of the epidemic at national and county levels.

This report summarizes findings from a mathematical modelling study to examine the patterns of HIV acquisition and transmission in Zimbabwe during the period from 2000 to 2017 and to predict future trends to 2030 This study was conducted in preparation for the planned analyses to identify opportunities for optimizing HIV resource allocation and improving implementation efficiency of core components as part of the HIV response in Zimbabwe. These analyses were carried out using the Optima HIV model.