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Background: Progression trajectories of patients with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) are currently not well understood. Objective: To classify patients with incident MCI into different latent classes of progression and identify predictors of progression class. Methods: Participants with incident MCI were identified from the US National Alzheimer’s Coordinating Center Uniform Data Set (09/2005-02/2019). Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR®) Dementia Staging Instrument-Sum of Boxes (CDR-SB), Functional Activities Questionnaire (FAQ), and Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) score longitudinal trajectories from MCI diagnosis were fitted using growth mixture models. Predictors of progression class were identified using multivariate multinomial logistic regression models; odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were reported. Results: In total, 21%, 22%, and 57% of participants (N = 830) experienced fast, slow, and no progression on CDR-SB, respectively; for FAQ, these figures were 14%, 23%, and 64%, respectively. CDR-SB and FAQ class membership was concordant for most participants (77%). Older age (≥86 versus≤70 years, OR [95% CI] = 5.26 [1.78–15.54]), one copy of APOE ɛ4 (1.94 [1.08–3.47]), higher baseline CDR-SB (2.46 [1.56–3.88]), lower baseline MMSE (0.85 [0.75–0.97]), and higher baseline FAQ (1.13 [1.02–1.26]) scores were significant predictors of fast progression versus no progression based on CDR-SB (all p

Purpose Treatment of advanced urothelial carcinoma (UC) remains a challenging clinical entity occurring predominantly in older patients with limited treatment options. However, real-world treatment patterns, differential cancer center access, and association with outcomes is lacking in nationally representative clinical practice and will provide context for emerging therapies. Materials and Methods We used SEER-Medicare data to identify patients with locally advanced or metastatic UC of the bladder or upper urinary tract diagnosed between 2008 and 2012. We characterized utilization systemic therapy, including first- and second-line chemotherapy. Patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy were excluded; results were stratified by academic versus non-academic setting. Results 3569 patients met study criteria; 48% received some form of chemotherapy within 2 years of diagnosis. Of these, one-third subsequently received second-line chemotherapy. The majority received a regimen including ≥2 agents. Gemcitabine alone or in combination with platinum was the most common first- and second-line treatment. Similar patterns of first- and second-line chemotherapy were observed between patients treated in academic and non-academic centers. Sensitivity analyses of trial-similar patients demonstrated increased utilization (69%). Receipt of platinum doublet as 1st line therapy was less likely in older patients and those with renal disease, and more likely for grade IV disease. Conclusions Roughly half of all Medicare patients with locally advanced/metastatic UC receive systemic therapy regardless of access to academic cancer centers and despite poor oncologic outcomes. Cytotoxic, gemcitabine-based doublet chemotherapy remains the most common treatment. A substantial population of older patients exists for whom alternative, non-cytotoxic, treatment options may be of benefit.

We evaluated the real-world healthcare resource utilization (HRU) and costs among patients with high-grade non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (HG-NMIBC) following Bacillus Calmette-Guerin (BCG) therapy. Patients aged ≥ 65 years diagnosed with HG-NMIBC between 2008 and 2015 who received adequate BCG induction and were identified in the SEER-Medicare database. Those who received intravesical chemotherapy or radical cystectomy within 12 months of the last BCG induction dose, and had ≥ 6 months of data availability after treatment (index date), were included. Annualized HRU and mean medical costs (2020 United States dollars) were estimated and compared between patients with versus without progression. Inverse probability of treatment weighting was used to adjust for differences in baseline characteristics. Of 986 patients diagnosed with HG-NMIBC who met the inclusion criteria, 257 (26.1%) progressed; the mean ages were similar between patients who did and did not progress (77.6 vs. 77.0 years). The overall population had a mean of 0.96 [standard deviation (SD): 1.18] inpatient admissions, 6.47 (11.40) hospitalization days, 1.38 (2.19) emergency department (ED) visits, and 48.03 (44.97) outpatient visits per patient-year during the study period; total annualized costs per patient post-BCG were $39,102 ($44,244). Patients experiencing progression had significantly higher mean numbers of inpatient admissions [1.61 (SD 1.40) vs. 0.72 (0.99)], hospitalization days [11.77 (14.96) vs. 4.59 (9.29)], ED visits [2.34 (2.92) vs. 1.03 (1.76)], and outpatient visits [65.97 (44.72) vs. 41.63 (43.09)] per patient-year compared with patients without progression (all p

Item does not contain fulltext CONTEXT: Currently, there is no standard of care for patients with non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) who recur despite bacillus Calmette-Guerin (BCG) therapy. Although radical cystectomy is recommended, many patients decline to undergo or are ineligible to receive it. Multiple agents are being investigated for use in this patient population. OBJECTIVE: To systematically synthesize and describe the efficacy and safety of current and emerging treatments for NMIBC patients after treatment with BCG. EVIDENCE ACQUISITION: A systematic literature search of MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Controlled Register of Trials (period limited to January 2007-June 2019) was performed. Abstracts and presentations from major conference proceedings were also reviewed. Randomized controlled trials were assessed using the Cochrane risk of bias tool. Data for single-arm trials were pooled using a random-effect meta-analysis with the proportions approach. Trials were grouped based on the minimum number of prior BCG courses required before enrollment and further stratified based on the proportion of patients with carcinoma in situ (CIS). EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS: Thirty publications were identified with data from 23 trials for meta-analysis, of which 17 were single arm. Efficacy and safety outcomes varied widely across studies. Heterogeneity across trials was reduced in subgroup analyses. The pooled 12-mo response rates were 24% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 16-32%) for trials with two or more prior BCG courses and 36% (95% CI: 25-47%) for those with one or more prior BCG courses. In a subgroup analysis, inclusion of >/=50% of patients with CIS was associated with a lower response. CONCLUSIONS: The variability in efficacy and safety outcomes highlights the need for consistent endpoint reporting and patient population definitions. With promising emerging treatments currently in development, efficacious and safe therapeutic options are urgently needed for this difficult-to-treat patient population. PATIENT SUMMARY: We examined the efficacy and safety outcomes of treatments for non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer after bacillus Calmette-Guerin therapy. Outcomes varied across studies and patient populations, but emerging treatments currently in development show promising efficacy.

PURPOSE: Efforts to curb the rising costs of cancer care while improving quality include alternative payment models (APMs), which offer incentives to reduce avoidable spending and provide high-quality and cost-efficient care. The impact of proposed APMs has not been quantified in real-world practice. In this study, we evaluated ASCO’s Patient-Centered Oncology Payment (PCOP) model in existing fee-for-service (FFS) Medicare beneficiaries to understand the magnitude of potential cost savings. MATERIALS AND METHODS: SEER-Medicare data were used to identify women with advanced ovarian cancer diagnosed between 2000 and 2012 who either (1) underwent primary debulking surgery followed by chemotherapy or (2) received neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by surgery. Medicare payments in each cohort were used to compare FFS and PCOP and to estimate the potential for cost savings across health care services received, including outpatient emergency department visits, hospitalizations, and imaging. RESULTS: Three thousand seven hundred seventy-seven primary debulking surgery and 866 neoadjuvant chemotherapy patients were included in the study, with mean total costs of $75,433 and $95,138 in 2016 US$, respectively Most costs were related to chemotherapy or hospitalization. Additional PCOP-related payments would be offset if hospitalizations could be reduced by 11.6% or imaging claims by 88%. CONCLUSION: APMs have the potential to reduce costs of current FFS reimbursement via either a large reduction in imaging or a modest reduction in hospitalizations during treatment of ovarian cancer. PCOP is a reasonable payment structure for oncologists if the additional payments can provide the necessary resources to invest in improved coordination of care.

453 Background: For patients with high-grade (HG) non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) who recur after Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) therapy, treatment options other than radical cystectomy have been limited. This study examined real-world utilization and outcomes of current bladder preservation therapies (BPT) after BCG treatment. Methods: We analyzed the SEER-Medicare database and identified patients diagnosed with HG NMIBC between 2008 and 2015 who received at least one BCG induction course (defined as ≥5 weekly instillations). Use of BPT within six months of the last consecutive BCG instillation was identified and included BCG + interferon alpha, docetaxel, doxorubicin, epirubicin, gemcitabine, mitomycin C, nab-paclitaxel, thiotepa, valrubicin, or their combinations. Progression was identified as initiation of treatment for muscle-invasive bladder cancer, radical cystectomy, or presence of metastases. Time to progression (TTP) was defined as time from BPT initiation to progression event. Progression-free survival (PFS) was assessed from BPT initiation and defined as the absence of progression or death due to bladder cancer. TTP and PFS were assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Results: A total of 7,074 patients were diagnosed with HG NMIBC and received ≥ 5 BCG weekly induction instillations. Of these, 8.8% (620 patients) initiated BPT. The most commonly used agents were mitomycin C (66.0%), followed by BCG + interferon alpha (22.9%), valrubicin (4.0%), doxorubicin (2.9%), and gemcitabine (2.1%). Disease progression occurred in 18.7% of patients within 1 year of treatment initiation (40.5% due to metastases), 36.4% within 3 years (50.0% due to metastases), and 45.4% within 5 years (50.2% due to metastases). The rate of PFS was 80.9%, 61.8%, and 52.3% at 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively. Conclusions: High rates of metastatic disease are noted in HG NMIBC following available BPT treatments after failure of BCG therapy. A high unmet need remains for novel bladder-sparing therapies to improve outcomes in this difficult-to-treat population.

Importance Existing recommendations for the diagnostic testing of hematuria range from uniform evaluation of varying intensity to patient-level risk stratification. Concerns have been raised about not only the costs and advantages of computed tomography (CT) scans but also the potential harms of CT radiation exposure. Objective To compare the advantages, harms, and costs associated with 5 guidelines for hematuria evaluation. Design, Setting, and Participants A microsimulation model was developed to assess each of the following guidelines (listed in order of increasing intensity) for initial evaluation of hematuria: Dutch, Canadian Urological Association (CUA), Kaiser Permanente (KP), Hematuria Risk Index (HRI), and American Urological Association (AUA). Participants comprised a hypothetical cohort of patients (n = 100 000) with hematuria aged 35 years or older. This study was conducted from August 2017 through November 2018. Exposures Under the Dutch and CUA guidelines, patients received cystoscopy and ultrasonography if they were 50 years or older (Dutch) or 40 years or older (CUA). Under the KP and HRI guidelines, patients received different combinations of cystoscopy, ultrasonography, and CT urography or no evaluation on the basis of risk factors. Under the AUA guidelines, all patients 35 years or older received cystoscopy and CT urography. Main Outcomes and Measures Urinary tract cancer detection rates, radiation-induced secondary cancers (from CT radiation exposure), procedural complications, false-positive rates per 100 000 patients, and incremental cost per additional urinary tract cancer detected. Results The simulated cohort included 100 000 patients with hematuria, aged 35 years or older. A total of 3514 patients had urinary tract cancers (estimated prevalence, 3.5%; 95% CI, 3.0%-4.0%). The AUA guidelines missed detection for the fewest number of cancers (82 [2.3%]) compared with the detection rate of the HRI (116 [3.3%]) and KP (130 [3.7%]) guidelines. However, the simulation model projected 108 (95% CI, 34-201) radiation-induced cancers under the KP guidelines, 136 (95% CI, 62-229) under the HRI guidelines, and 575 (95% CI, 184-1069) under the AUA guidelines per 100 000 patients. The CUA and Dutch guidelines missed detection for a larger number of cancers (172 [4.9%] and 251 [7.1%]) but had 0 radiation-induced secondary cancers. The AUA guidelines cost approximately double the other 4 guidelines ($939/person vs $443/person for Dutch guidelines), with an incremental cost of $1 034 374 per urinary tract cancer detected compared with that of the HRI guidelines. Conclusions and Relevance In this simulation study, uniform CT imaging for patients with hematuria was associated with increased costs and harms of secondary cancers, procedural complications, and false positives, with only a marginal increase in cancer detection. Risk stratification may optimize the balance of advantages, harms, and costs of CT.

415 Background: Several immunotherapies recently have been approved for the treatment of locally advanced or metastatic bladder cancer that is prevalent in older adults. Utilization patterns in Medicare patients have not been examined and can provide an important context for emerging therapies. Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of SEER-Medicare beneficiaries diagnosed with locally advanced (T3-T4, N1-N3, M0) or metastatic urothelial carcinoma (any T, any N, M1) of the bladder or upper urinary tract from 2008 to 2012 and further characterized patients undergoing initial chemotherapy (within 30 days of diagnosis). Individuals receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy were excluded. Results: A total of 3569 patients met study criteria. Among these, 48% received chemotherapy within 2 years of diagnosis. Receipt of chemotherapy was associated with younger age (median 75 vs 80 years, P< .001) and fewer comorbid conditions, including diabetes (12% vs 16%), renal disease (6% vs 11%), and congestive heart failure (4% vs 8%). A total of 977 patients received chemotherapy, of which 38% had distant metastatic disease and 65% had locally advanced tumors. Most patients had no (70%) or only a single (14%) comorbid medical condition. These patients most commonly received doublet chemotherapy (67%) followed by single-agent (17%) or triple-agent (10%) treatment. Gemcitabine was the most common individual agent received as part of initial chemotherapy (81%), followed by carboplatin (50%), cisplatin (38%), and docetaxel or paclitaxel (each 13%). The most common combination received was gemcitabine/carboplatin (42%) followed by gemcitabine/cisplatin (36%). Conclusions: Only half of Medicare patients with advanced urothelial carcinoma received systemic therapy. Most received a platinum doublet regimen. Gemcitabine in combination with platinum-containing chemotherapy was the preferred treatment. Ongoing assessment of the risks and benefits of emerging treatments for Medicare patients may be warranted with the introduction of targeted and/or immune therapies.