Search

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is most commonly caused by tubular injury and is associated with a wide variety of critical illnesses. It is well known that urinary biomarkers can lead to the early identification of AKI. However, the ability of urinary biomarkers to distinguish between different types of critical illness has been less studied. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, urinary neutrophil gelatinase–associated lipocalin (uNGAL) was measured in 107 patients consecutively admitted to the ICUs in our tertiary medical center. uNGAL samples were collected within 3–6 hours of admission to an ICU and measured by ELISA. All data were analyzed using R statistical software, and univariate analysis was used to determine the correlations of uNGAL levels with AKI stage, admission diagnoses, and ICU course. RESULTS: uNGAL level increased by a mean of 24-fold (SD 10–59) in ICU patients with AKI and demonstrated a significant correlation with the different AKI stages. uNGAL predicted the need for RRT, with values increased by more than 15-fold (P

Objective To explore the effect of various adverse hospital events on short- and long-term outcomes in a cohort of acutely ill hospitalized patients. Patients and Methods In a secondary analysis of a retrospective cohort of acutely ill hospitalized patients with sepsis, shock, or pneumonia or undergoing high-risk surgery who were at risk for or had developed acute respiratory distress syndrome between 2001 and 2010, the effects of potentially preventable hospital exposures and adverse events (AEs) on in-hospital and intensive care unit (ICU) mortality, length of stay, and long-term survival were analyzed. Adverse effects chosen for inclusion were inadequate empiric antimicrobial coverage, hospital-acquired aspiration, medical or surgical misadventure, inappropriate blood product transfusion, and injurious tidal volume while on mechanical ventilation. Results In 828 patients analyzed, the distribution of 0, 1, 2, and 3 or more cumulative AEs was 521 (63%), 126 (15%), 135 (16%), and 46 (6%) patients, respectively. The adjusted odds ratios (95% CI) for in-hospital mortality in patients who had 1, 2, and 3 or more AEs were 0.9 (0.5-1.7), 0.9 (0.5-1.6), and 1.4 (0.6-3.3), respectively. One AE increased the length of stay, difference between means (95% CI), in the hospital by 8.7 (3.8-13.7) days and in the ICU by 2.4 (0.6-4.2) days. Conclusion Potentially preventable hospital exposure to AEs is associated with prolonged ICU and hospital lengths of stay. Implementation of effective patient safety interventions is of utmost priority in acute care hospitals.

Recent literature suggests an increase in the incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI). We evaluated population-based trends of AKI over the course of nine years, using a validated electronic health record tool to detect AKI. All adult residents (18 years of age and older) of Olmsted County, Minnesota (MN), admitted to the Mayo Clinic Hospital between 2006 and 2014 were included. The incidence rate of AKI was calculated and temporal trends in the annual AKI incident rates assessed. During the nine-year study period, 10,283, and 41,847 patients were admitted to the intensive care unit or general ward, with 1,740 and 2,811 developing AKI, respectively. The unadjusted incidence rates were 186 and 287 per 100,000 person years in 2006 and reached 179 and 317 per 100,000 person years in 2014. Following adjustment for age and sex, there was no significant change in the annual AKI incidence rate during the study period with a Relative Risk of 0.99 per year (95% confidence interval 0.97-1.01) for intensive care unit patients and 0.993 per year (0.98-1.01) for the general ward patients. Similar results were obtained when the ICD-9 codes or administrative data for dialysis-requiring AKI was utilized to determine incident cases. Thus, despite the current literature that suggests an epidemic of AKI, we found that after adjusting for age and sex the incidence of AKI in the general population remained relatively stable over the last decade.

Objectives/Hypothesis Idiopathic subglottic stenosis (ISS) is a rare type of airway stenosis of unclear etiology. Open resection, while effective, remains a complex surgery and requires a hospital stay. Endoscopic management is often preferred but has historically been associated with a high recurrence rate. We aimed to analyze our experience, consisting of a standardized endoscopic approach combined with an empiric medical treatment. Study Design Retrospective cohort study. Methods All patients with ISS managed with standardized endoscopic treatment at our institution between 1987 and 2012 were identified, and their electronic medical records were reviewed. The treatment consisted of CO2 laser resection without dilatation and local infiltration with steroids and application of mitomycin C. Patients were also treated with antireflux medications, inhaled corticosteroids, and occasionally trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole. The influence of medical management on annual recurrence rate was analyzed using negative binomial logistic regression. Results A total of 110 patients treated with standardized endoscopic management were included in our analysis. The procedure was well tolerated by all patients without complications. Recurrences were observed in approximately 60% of patients at 5 years. There was a trend suggesting an association between aggressive medical treatment and a reduction in the rate of recurrence/person/year (relative risk = 0.52, P = 0.051). Conclusion A standardized endoscopic management of ISS consisting of CO2 laser vaporization of the fibrotic scar appears effective in symptom control, with 40% of patients not requiring retreatment in the follow-up period, and with recurrence noted in a majority of patients. Aggressive medical treatment may have a role, but further prospective studies are required to confirm these findings. Level of Evidence 4. Laryngoscope, 124:498–503, 2014

BACKGROUND: Optimal titration of inspired oxygen is important to prevent hyperoxia in mechanically ventilated patients in ICUs. There is mounting evidence of the deleterious effects of hyperoxia; however, there is a paucity of data about FIO2 practice and oxygen exposure among patients in ICUs. We therefore sought to assess excessive FIO2 exposure in mechanically ventilated patients with acute lung injury and to evaluate the effect on pulmonary outcomes. METHODS: From a database of ICU patients with acute lung injury identified by prospective electronic medical record screening, we identified those who underwent invasive mechanical ventilation for > 48 hours from January 1 to December 31, 2008. Ventilator settings, including FIO2 and corresponding SpO2, were collected from the electronic medical record at 15-min intervals for the first 48 hours. Excessive FIO2 was defined as FIO2 > 0.5 despite SpO2 > 92%. The association between the duration of excessive exposure and pulmonary outcomes was assessed by change in oxygenation index from baseline to 48 hours and was analyzed by univariate and multivariate linear regression analysis. RESULTS: Of 210 patients who met the inclusion criteria, 155 (74%) were exposed to excessive FIO2 for a median duration of 17 hours (interquartile range 7.5–33 h). Prolonged exposure to excessive FIO2 correlated with worse oxygenation index at 48 hours in a dose-response manner ( P < .001.). Both exposure to higher FIO2 and longer duration of exposure were associated with worsening oxygenation index at 48 hours ( P < .001), more days on mechanical ventilation, longer ICU stay, and longer hospital stay ( P = .004). No mortality difference was noted. CONCLUSIONS: Excessive oxygen supplementation is common in mechanically ventilated patients with ALI and may be associated with worsening lung function.

Blood product transfusions have long been recognized as an important risk factor for acute lung injury (ALI), with transfusion-related acute lung injury (TRALI) consistently accounting for the greatest number of transfusion-related fatalities in the developed world.1,2 More recently, a second transfusion-related respiratory complication termed transfusion-associated circulatory overload (TACO) has surpassed hemolytic transfusions reactions to become the second most common cause of transfusion-associated death.2 In 2010, TRALI accounted for 45% of all fatalities reported to the Food and Drug Administration (FDA). Meanwhile, in the same fiscal year, TACO accounted for 20% of reported fatalities, a figure that increased sharply between 2008 and 2009.2 Importantly, standardized definitions for TRALI and TACO have only recently been endorsed (Table 1).3,4 These definitions also outline a third group termed “possible TRALI” or “transfused ALI”5 for those patients whom meet the TRALI criteria in the presence of an alternate ALI risk factor. Moreover, current reporting systems for transfusion-related complications rely almost exclusively on bedside clinician’s case recognition skills and passive reporting mechanisms. In light of these issues, it is likely that current epidemiologic descriptions of TRALI and TACO are incomplete and biased toward recognition of only the most severe cases. Indeed, recent reports from Kopko and colleagues6 and Narick and colleagues7 validate these concerns for TRALI and TACO, respectively. As a result of these limitations, an accurate picture of TRALI and TACO epidemiology is lacking and the true attributable burden of these transfusion-related pulmonary complications remains unclear. Additionally, the delay or potential absence of case recognition may also negatively impact the outcome of transfusion recipients.8,9 TABLE 1 TRALI and TACO case definitions The implementation of electronic health records (EHRs) into the clinical environment affords an opportunity for highly efficient and scalable data extraction techniques. Moreover, the availability of these novel data extraction strategies may permit active surveillance of clinical diagnoses and syndromes of interest in a scalable manner. In light of the significance of TRALI and TACO in terms of transfusion recipient outcomes, as well as the recent availability of highly innovative electronic data capture strategies, we aimed to develop sensitive and specific automated electronic phenotypic screening algorithms to identify the transfusion-related pulmonary complications TRALI, transfused ALI, and TACO.

Many early warning models for hospitalized patients use variables measured on admission to the hospital ward; few have been rigorously derived and validated. The objective was to create and validate a clinical deterioration prediction tool using routinely collected clinical and nursing measurements. Multivariate regression analysis was used to determine clinical variables statistically associated with clinical deterioration; subsequently, the model tool was retrospectively validated using a different cohort of medical inpatients. The Braden Scale (P = .01; odds ratio [OR] = 0.91; confidence interval [CI] = 0.84-0.98), respiratory rate (P < .01; OR = 1.08; CI = 1.04-1.13), oxygen saturation (P < .01; OR = 0.97; CI = 0.96-0.99), and shock index (P < .01; OR = 2.37; CI = 1.14-3.98) were predictive of clinical deterioration 2-12 hours in the future. When applied to the validation cohort, the tool demonstrated fair concordance with actual outcomes. This tool created using routinely collected clinical measurements can serve as a very early warning system for hospitalized medical patients.

Background Acute lung injury (ALI) is a serious postoperative complication with limited treatment options. A preoperative risk-prediction model would assist clinicians and scientists interested in ALI. The objective of this investigation was to develop a surgical lung injury prediction (SLIP) model to predict risk of postoperative ALI based on readily available preoperative risk factors. Methods Secondary analysis of a prospective cohort investigation including adult patients undergoing high-risk surgery. Preoperative risk factors for postoperative ALI were identified and evaluated for inclusion in the SLIP model. Multivariate logistic regression was used to develop the model. Model performance was assessed with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test. Results Out of 4,366 patients, 113 (2.6%) developed early postoperative ALI. Predictors of postoperative ALI in multivariate analysis that were maintained in the final SLIP model included high-risk cardiac, vascular, or thoracic surgery, diabetes mellitus, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, gastroesophageal reflux disease, and alcohol abuse. The SLIP score distinguished patients who developed early postoperative ALI from those who did not with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (95% CI) of 0.82 (0.78-0.86). The model was well calibrated (Hosmer-Lemeshow, P = 0.55). Internal validation using 10-fold cross-validation noted minimal loss of diagnostic accuracy with a mean ± SD area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.79 ± 0.08. Conclusions Using readily available preoperative risk factors, we developed the SLIP scoring system to predict risk of early postoperative ALI.

Objective: To determine risk factors for development of recurrent acute lung injury. Design: A population-based case-control study. Setting: The study was conducted in Olmsted County, MN, from 1999 to 2008. Patients: Using a validated electronic screening protocol, investigators identified intensive care patients with acute hypoxemia and bilateral pulmonary infiltrates. Interventions: None. Measurements and Main Results: The presence of acute lung injury was independently confirmed according to American-European Consensus Conference criteria. Recurrent acute lung injury cases were subsequently matched (1:1:1) with two controls (single acute lung injury and no acute lung injury) on age, gender, duration of follow-up, and predisposing conditions. Risk factors evaluated included gastroesophageal reflux disease, alcohol consumption, smoking, chronic opioid use, and transfusions. We identified 917 patients with acute lung injury, 19 of which developed a second episode, yielding a frequency of 2.02 (95% confidence interval 1.10–2.93) per 100,000 person years. The median time to development of the second episode was 264 days (interquartile range 80–460 days), with a mortality of 47% during the episode. The history of gastroesophageal reflux disease was highly prevalent in patients who developed recurrent acute lung injury: 15 of 19 patients (79%) compared to 5 of 19 (26%) matches with a single episode of acute lung injury (p = .006) and 8 of 19 (42%) matches without acute lung injury (p = .016). Other exposures were similar between the cases and the two matched controls. Conclusions: Recurrent acute lung injury is not a rare phenomenon in the intensive care unit and may continue to increase with improvements in survival following acute lung injury. Gastroesophageal reflux disease was identified as an important risk factor for recurrent acute lung injury and may suggest an important role of gastric aspiration in the development of this syndrome.

Early recognition of patients at high risk of acute lung injury (ALI) is critical for successful enrollment of patients in prevention strategies for this devastating syndrome. We aimed to develop and prospectively validate an ALI prediction score in a population-based sample of patients at risk. In a retrospective derivation cohort, predisposing conditions for ALI were identified at the time of hospital admission. The score was calculated based on the results of logistic regression analysis. Prospective validation was performed in an independent cohort of patients at risk identified at the time of hospital admission. In a derivation cohort of 409 patients with ALI risk factors, the lung injury prediction score discriminated patients who developed ALI from those who did not with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.84 (95% CI 0.80-0.89; Hosmer-Lemeshow p = 0.60). The performance was similar in a prospective validation cohort of 463 patients at risk of ALI (AUC 0.84, 95% CI 0.77-0.91; Hosmer-Lemeshow p = 0.88). ALI prediction scores identify patients at high risk for ALI before intensive care unit admission. If externally validated, this model will serve to define the population of patients at high risk for ALI in whom future mechanistic studies and ALI prevention trials will be conducted.

BACKGROUND: Early goal-directed therapy for severe sepsis or septic shock improves outcomes but requires placement of a central venous catheter to measure central venous pressure (CVP), which may delay timely resuscitation and cause catheter-related complications. In addition, nonintensivists may not start early aggressive fluid resuscitation because of difficulty estimating CVP and concerns for inadvertent volume overload. OBJECTIVE: To determine if the CVP target of 8 to 12 mm Hg can be accurately assessed using noninvasive ultrasound to measure the internal jugular vein aspect ratio (height/width). DESIGN: Prospective observational study. SETTING: Two academic medical centers. PARTICIPANTS: Nineteen euvolemic volunteers and a convenience sample of 44 spontaneously breathing, critically ill patients. MEASUREMENTS: Ultrasound imaging of internal jugular vein aspect ratio; invasive CVP measurement in critically ill patients. RESULTS: For the volunteers, mean (standard deviation [SD]) aspect ratio of both the right and left internal jugular vein was 0.82 (0.07). Bland-Altman analysis indicated moderate intraobserver and interobserver agreement. Aspect ratio was similar for right and left sides and between men and women. In the critically ill patients, ultrasound accurately estimated a CVP of 8 mm Hg; area under the receiver operating characteristics curve was 0.84. For an invasively measured CVP of

For more than 60 years it has been known that profiles from the Minnesota Multiphasic Personality Inventory (MMPI), obtained from medical patients, are elevated when scores are plotted using general population norms. These elevations have been most apparent on the neurotic triad (NTd), the first 3 clinical scales on the MMPI profile. More than 45 years have passed since a nonreferred, normative sample of MMPIs was established from 50,000 consecutive medical outpatients. We present comparable but contemporary normative data for the revised MMPI (MMPI-2) based on a nonreferred sample of 1,243 family medicine outpatients (590 women; 653 men). As true for the original MMPI, contemporary medical outpatients have profiles that are significantly different, clinically and statistically, from the general population norms for the MMPI-2. This is particularly evident in elevations on the NTd. New normative tables of uniform medical T (UMT) scores were developed following the procedures used to create the uniform T scores for the MMPI-2. Measures of internal consistency are reported; test-retest reliability was established over a mean of 3.7 weeks, and results characterizing the stability of the validity and clinical scales are presented.

The impact of obesity on outcomes following liver transplantation has been difficult to determine, in part due to the confounding effects of ascites on BMI. We evaluated the impact of pretransplant recipient obesity on outcomes following liver transplantation using the NIDDK Liver Transplantation Database. Pretransplant BMI, corrected for ascites, was categorized as underweight (BMI18 kg/m(2)), normal weight (BMI 18-25 kg/m(2)), overweight (BMI 25.1-30 kg/m(2)), Class I obese (BMI 30.1-35 kg/m(2)), Class II obese (BMI 35.1-40 kg/m(2)) and Class III obese (BMI40 kg/m(2)). Primary outcomes were patient and graft survival. Secondary outcomes included days in hospital and days in ICU. Data from 704 adult liver transplant recipients from the NIDDK LTD and a further 609 patients from the Mayo Clinic were analyzed. Early and late patient and graft survival was similar across all BMI categories. Correcting for ascites volume resulted in 11-20% of patients moving into a lower BMI classification. The relative risk for mortality increased by 7% for each liter of ascites removed. We conclude that corrected BMI is not independently predictive of patient or graft survival. Obesity, within the ranges observed in this study, should not be considered to be a contraindication to liver transplantation in the absence of other relative contraindications.

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is an important component of hepatic decompensation, which reduces survival in patients with cirrhosis. The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score has been used to predict survival of patients with cirrhosis. The aims of this study were to determine whether HE is a predictor of survival of patients with cirrhosis and to examine the degree to which HE may add to the survival prediction of MELD. Patients with end-stage liver disease whose data were included in 2 databases were included in the analysis: 223 patients undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) insertion, and 271 patients hospitalized with hepatic decompensation. In univariate analysis, HE grade 3 or higher was associated with a 3.7-fold (95% confidence interval, 1.9-7.3, P

Introduction The long-term attributable burden related to acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is not fully investigated. The aim of this study is to evaluate the quality of life (QOL) and functional status at 6 months after hospitalization in patients at risk for ARDS who did and did not develop the syndrome. Method This is a population-based prospective cohort study of adult patients from Olmsted County, Minnesota, with or at risk for ARDS hospitalized from October 2008 to July 2011. The primary outcomes were changes in QOL and functional status, measured through 12-Item Short Form Survey (SF-12) and Barthel Index (BI) respectively, from baseline to 6 months, compared between survivors who did and did not develop ARDS. Results Of 410 patients with or at risk for ARDS, 98 had baseline surveys collected and 67 responded to a 6-month survey (26 ARDS, 41 non-ARDS). Both ARDS and non-ARDS groups had lower physical component of SF-12 at baseline compared to general population (P P = 0.03). No significant differences were observed for the change between 6 months and baseline BI (delta 2.3 for ARDS vs. 2.0 for non-ARDS, P = 0.5), or mental (delta 2.7 vs. 2.4, P = 0.9) or physical (delta –3 vs. –3.3, P = 0.9) component of SF-12 between survivors with and without ARDS. Conclusion In this population-based study, decreased QOL and functional status 6 months after hospitalization were largely explained by baseline condition, with similar recovery in survivors who did and did not develop ARDS.

Background & Aims: Distinguishing an alcohol basis from a nonalcoholic basis for the clinical and histologic spectrum of steatohepatitic liver disease is difficult because of unreliability of alcohol consumption history. Unfortunately, various biomarkers have had limited utility in distinguishing alcoholic liver disease (ALD) from nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Thus, the aim of our study was to create and validate a model to diagnose ALD in patients with steatohepatitis. Methods: A cross-sectional cohort study was performed at the Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, to create a model using multivariable logistic regression analysis. This model was validated in 3 independent data sets comprising patients of varying severity of steatohepatitis spanning over 10 years. Results: Logistic regression identified mean corpuscular volume, aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/alanine aminotransfersase (ALT) ratio, body mass index, and gender as the most important variables that separated patients with ALD from NAFLD. These variables were used to generate the ALD/NAFLD Index (ANI), with ANI of greater than zero incrementally favoring ALD and ANI of less than zero incrementally favoring a diagnosis of NAFLD, thus making ALD unlikely. ANI had a c-statistic of 0.989 in the derivation sample, and 0.974, 0.989, 0.767 in the 3 validation samples. ANI performance characteristics were significantly better than several conventional and recently proposed biomarkers used to differentiate ALD from NAFLD, including the histopathologic marker protein tyrosine phosphatase 1b, AST/ALT ratio, γ-glutamyl transferase, and carbohydrate-deficient transferrin. Conclusions: ANI, derived from easily available objective variables, accurately differentiates ALD from NAFLD in hospitalized, ambulatory, and pretransplantation patients and compares favorably with other traditional and proposed biomarkers.

Bone loss occurs early after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) in all liver transplant recipients and leads to postoperative fractures, especially in cholestatic patients with the lowest bone mass. Little is known about the underlying changes in bone metabolism after OLT or about the etiology of these changes. Histomorphometric analysis of bone biopsies, a method that allows assessment of bone volume, resorption, and formation, has shown improved bone metabolism at 4 months after OLT. It has further suggested that accelerated posttransplant bone loss occurs in the first 1-2 months after OLT, probably by an additional insult to bone formation. This study attempts to correlate the histomorphometric bone changes in paired bone biopsies (OLT and 4 months after OLT) of 33 patients undergoing OLT for chronic cholestatic liver disease with the many clinical and biochemical changes in these patients over the same period. Cumulative steroid dosage early after OLT is shown to be important, presumably by decreasing bone formation rates. The actual effect of calcineurin inhibitors on this early phase of bone loss is less clear, although posttransplant histomorphometric findings suggest that tacrolimus-treated patients have an earlier recovery of bone metabolism and trabecular structure compared with cyclosporine patients. Other factors important in the recovery of bone metabolism after the early phase of bone loss are recovery of liver and gonadal function and better calcium balance.

Thirty-three patients with cholestatic liver disease underwent histomorphometric assessment of paired bone biopsy specimens at time of orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) and 4 months thereafter. At 4 months after OLT, bone metabolism improved, with bone formation increasing to normal and no change in bone resorption. Early post-transplant bone loss may be attributed to an additional insult to bone formation early after transplantation. Introduction: Patients with advanced liver disease, especially chronic cholestasis, often have osteopenia, which worsens early after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) before starting to recover. The changes in bone metabolism leading to this rapid loss of bone after OLT, and to its recovery, are poorly defined. Materials and Methods: In thirty-three patients with advanced chronic cholestatic liver disease, tetracycline-labeled bone biopsy specimens were analyzed prospectively at time of OLT and at 4 months after OLT, as part of a randomized trial to study the efficacy of calcitonin on post-transplant bone loss. Hierarchical cluster analysis of histomorphometric parameters was performed in an attempt to establish the functional grouping of individual histomorphometric parameters before and after OLT. Results and Conclusions: Results showed that from the time of OLT to 4 months after OLT, bone mineral density of the lumbar spine and histomorphometric parameters of bone volume decreased, consistent with early post-transplant bone loss. Histomorphometric resorption parameters were increased before OLT, with no change after OLT. Histomorphometric formation parameters increased from low values before OLT to normal values at 4 months after OLT, with the exception of mean wall thickness values, which further decreased after OLT, suggesting an additional insult to bone formation during the study period. Histomorphometric changes after OLT were similar in female and male patients, pre- and postmenopausal women, and in patients treated and not treated with calcitonin. Hierarchical cluster analysis suggested that before OLT, bone resorption was functioning independently of bone formation, but that by 4 months after OLT, their coupled relationship had improved. Therefore, despite post-transplant bone loss, by 4 months after OLT, bone metabolism had improved, with increased bone formation and more coupled bone balance, as suggested by hierarchical cluster analysis.

The effect of tracheostomy on patients receiving lung transplantation is unknown. We reviewed our experience by performing a retrospective analysis on all lung transplant recipients at our institution. Patients were assigned to each study group based on whether or not they received a tracheostomy in the acute postoperative period. One hundred and fourteen lung transplants were performed, and 16 of those patients received a tracheostomy. In the tracheostomy group, more patients had undergone bilateral-lung transplantation (81% vs. 34%, p = 0.001), more required cardiopulmonary bypass (75% vs. 38%, p = 0.005), more acquired postoperative pneumonia (88% vs. 30%, p0.001), had greater reperfusion injury at 48 h (PaO2/FiO2 of 233 vs. 345, p = 0.047), had longer initial periods on the ventilator (21 +/- 7 vs. 2 +/- 0.5 days, p0.001), more required re-intubation (56% vs. 18%, p = 0.001), spent longer times in the intensive care unit (30 +/- 7 vs. 5.5 +/- 0.9 days, p0.001), and had longer lengths of stay (67 +/- 10 vs. 22 +/- 2 days, p0.001). Despite these differences between the two groups, a significant difference in survival at 180 days (75 vs. 81%) did not exist (p = 0.89). Although tracheostomy is more likely in sicker patients, it is not associated with poor long-term outcomes.

Non-anastomotic biliary stricture (NAS) formation is a major complication of liver transplantation. We prospectively determined the time to development of responsiveness to treatment, and clinical outcomes following NAS formation. In addition, an extensive analysis of the association of recipient, donor, and clinical variables with NAS formation was performed. A total of 749 consecutive patients was studied in a prospective, protocol-based fashion. Seventy-two patients (9.6%) developed NAS at a mean of 23.6 +/- 34.2 weeks post-transplantation. Non-anastomotic biliary stricture formation resolved in only 6% of affected patients. Although patient survival was not affected, retransplantation and graft loss rates were significantly greater in recipients who developed NAS. In contrast to previous reports, a pretransplant diagnosis of HCV was associated with a low frequency of NAS formation. The incidence of NAS was independently associated with pretransplant diagnoses of PSC and autoimmune hepatitis. Hepatic artery thrombosis, and prolonged warm and cold ischemia times were also independent risk factors for NAS formation. We conclude that NAS developed in approximately 10% of primary liver transplant recipients. A pretransplant diagnosis of autoimmune hepatitis has been identified as a novel independent risk factor for NAS formation. Development of NAS significantly attenuates graft but not patient survival.

Despite the clinical importance of cholestatic osteopenia, little is known about its pathophysiologic mechanism. By tetracycline-labeled histomorphometric analysis of bone biopsies taken at the time of liver transplantation, we prospectively evaluated bone resorption and formation in 50 consecutive patients with advanced primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC) and primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC). Histomorphometric analysis confirmed low bone volume parameters, consistent with the mean T-score of the lumbar spine of -1.9 by dual energy x-ray absorptiometry. Dynamic (bone formation rates, adjusted apposition rates) and static (osteoid markers, osteoblast number) parameters of bone formation were decreased in cholestatic patients with no abnormalities in mineralization. Increased osteoclast numbers and increased eroded surface areas suggested increased bone resorption, and this was supported in female patients by increased trabecular separation and decreased trabecular number. Male cholestatic patients, however, did not have significant increases in resorption parameters, although they were as osteopenic as female patients and had low bone formation markers. Bone histomorphometric changes were similar in PBC and PSC, suggesting an etiologic effect of chronic cholestasis rather than the individual diseases. Cancellous bone volume and osteoid markers correlated with bone mineral density measurements but no correlations were found between histomorphometric parameters and biochemical markers of bone metabolism. In conclusion, cholestatic osteopenia appears to result from a combination of decreased bone formation and increased resorption, especially in female patients, but the relative importance of these two abnormalities and their actual etiology remain to be elucidated.

Patients with severe, persistent hypoxemic respiratory failure have a higher mortality. Early identification is critical for informing clinical decisions, using rescue strategies, and enrollment in clinical trials. The objective of this investigation was to develop and validate a prediction model to accurately and timely identify patients with severe hypoxemic respiratory failure at high risk of death, in whom novel rescue strategies can be efficiently evaluated.Electronic medical record analysis.Medical, surgical, and mixed ICU setting at a tertiary care institution.Mechanically-ventilated ICU patients.Mechanically ventilated ICU patients were screened for severe hypoxemic respiratory failure (Murray lung injury score of ≥ 3). Survival to hospital discharge was the dependent variable. Clinical predictors within 24 hours of onset of severe hypoxemia were considered as the independent variables. An area under the curve and a Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test were used to assess discrimination and calibration. A logistic regression model was developed in the derivation cohort (2005-2007). The model was validated in an independent cohort (2008-2010). Among 79,341 screened patients, 1,032 met inclusion criteria. Mortality was 41% in the derivation cohort (n = 464) and 35% in the validation cohort (n = 568). The final model included hematologic malignancy, cirrhosis, aspiration, estimated dead space, oxygenation index, pH, and vasopressor use. The area under the curve of the model was 0.85 (0.82-0.89) and 0.79 (0.75-0.82) in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively, and showed good calibration. A modified model, including only physiologic variables, performed similarly. It had comparable performance in patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome and outperformed previous prognostic models.A model using comorbid conditions and physiologic variables on the day of developing severe hypoxemic respiratory failure can predict hospital mortality.

Acute respiratory distress syndrome is a common complication of critical illness, with high mortality and limited treatment options. Preliminary studies suggest that potentially preventable hospital exposures contribute to acute respiratory distress syndrome development. We aimed to determine the association between specific hospital exposures and the rate of acute respiratory distress syndrome development among at-risk patients.Population-based, nested, Matched case-control study.Consecutive adults who developed acute respiratory distress syndrome from January 2001 through December 2010 during their hospital stay (cases) were matched to similar-risk patients without acute respiratory distress syndrome (controls). They were matched for 6 baseline characteristics.None.Trained investigators blinded to outcome of interest reviewed medical records for evidence of specific exposures, including medical and surgical adverse events, inadequate empirical antimicrobial treatment, hospital-acquired aspiration, injurious mechanical ventilation, transfusion, and fluid and medication administration. Conditional logistic regression was used to calculate the risk associated with individual exposures. During the 10-year period, 414 patients with hospital-acquired acute respiratory distress syndrome were identified and matched to 414 at-risk, acute respiratory distress syndrome-free controls. Adverse events were highly associated with acute respiratory distress syndrome development (odds ratio, 6.2; 95% CI, 4.0-9.7), as were inadequate antimicrobial therapy, mechanical ventilation with injurious tidal volumes, hospital-acquired aspiration, and volume of blood products transfused and fluids administered. Exposure to antiplatelet agents during the at-risk period was associated with a decreased risk of acute respiratory distress syndrome. Rate of adverse hospital exposures and prevalence of acute respiratory distress syndrome decreased during the study period.Prevention of adverse hospital exposures in at-risk patients may limit the development of acute respiratory distress syndrome.

In 1998, the Department of Health and Human Services (DHHS) issued the final rule,1 in which the principles of organ allocation were defined, to govern the operation of the Organ Procurement and Transplant Network (OPTN). This rule included the following guidelines for organ allocation: (1) organs should be allocated to transplant candidates in the order of medical urgency; (2) the role of waiting times should be minimized, and (3) attempts should be made to avoid futile transplants and to promote efficient use of our scarce donor organs. The consensus opinion to minimize waiting time was based on 2 recent reports that analyzed the impact of waiting time on survival of liver patients on the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) waiting list: one from the Institute of Medicine2 and a second report from Freeman et al.3 Both studies concluded that waiting time did not correlate with death on the waiting list and therefore should be de-emphasized in developing a new allocation algorithm. The challenge put forth by this conclusion was to create an allocation policy that made the most effective use of organs especially by making them available, whenever feasible, to the most medically urgent patients who are appropriate candidates for transplantation. This challenge was accepted by the UNOS Liver and Intestinal Committee, whose task it was to (1) make an assessment of the current allocation policy including the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score, (2) evaluate a number of previously published survival models that were developed to estimate survival of patients with end-stage liver disease, and (3) develop a new disease severity index to be utilized to allocate liver donor organs in the future. After careful deliberation and extensive input from transplant hepatologists and surgeons, a number of guidelines were established for creating an index of disease severity to estimate survival in patients with chronic liver disease. By consensus, it was determined that such a disease severity index should rely on a few, readily available, objective variables that would be generally applicable to a heterogeneous group of patients with end-stage liver disease, to determine the risk of dying. Finally, the severity index should be clinically and statistically validated and be able to predict the probability of death in groups of patients with chronic liver disease who are demographically diverse and of varying etiology and disease severity. There was agreement among the committee that such a new index should not be introduced without careful prospective evaluation of the potential impact that such a model may have on the gravely ill patients awaiting liver transplant.

Background/Aims : Accelerated bone loss occurs early after liver transplantation (OLT) and, in cholestatic patients with pre-existing osteopenia, causes spontaneous fracturing. This study aimed to investigate the efficacy of calcitonin, a powerful inhibitor of bone resorption, in preventing or reducing the accelerated rate of bone loss and fracturing which occurs in patients with primary biliary cirrhosis and primary sclerosing cholarigitis early after OLT. Methods : Sixty-three patients undergoing OLT for primary biliary cirrhosis ( n =26) and primary sclerosing cholarigitis ( n =37) were randomized to receive: (a), 100 IU/day of salmon calcitonin subcutaneously for the first 6 months posttransplant; or (b), no therapy. At pretransplant, and at 4 and 12 months after OLT, patients were investigated clinically, biochemically, by bone mineral density of the lumbar spine, and by radiographs of the thoracolumbar spine, chest and site of any bone pain. Results : The bone mineral density of the lumbar spine fell equally at 4 months in both groups, from 0.85 to 0.81 g/cm 2 in calcitonin-treated patients ( n =29) and from 0.88 to 0.82 g/cm 2 in controls ( n =34); at 12 months, both groups had stabilized to 0.83 g/cm 2 . Fracturing was the same in both groups. Conclusions : Calcitonin therapy for the first 6 months after OLT is unable to prevent or reduce accelerated bone loss or spontaneous fractures which occur in the first posttransplant year.

The NIDDK-QA instrument, developed and widely used in liver transplant recipients, assesses quality of life (QOL) in four domains, including liver disease symptoms, physical function, health satisfaction, and overall well-being. We investigated whether the instrument may be used as a disease-specific instrument in ambulatory patients with cholestatic liver disease. The NIDDK-QA instrument was administered in 96 patients with primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC) and primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) seen at the Mayo Clinic. The SF-36, a well-established generic instrument, was also administered. Standard measures for test-retest reliability, internal consistency, and discriminant and concurrent validity were examined. All patients were ambulatory with mostly normal levels of serum bilirubin and albumin concentrations. The reliability of the NIDDK-QA, as measured by test-retest correlation (Pearson coefficients: 0.82-0.99, P

BACKGROUND Poor preoperative nutritional status has been reported to be associated with adverse outcomes after liver transplantation. Published data are, however, conflicting, with methods of preoperative nutritional assessment and postoperative outcomes varying between studies. METHODS We prospectively studied the predictive value of preoperative nutritional status for adverse outcomes after liver transplantation. Assessment of preoperative nutritional status included: body cell mass determination, subjective global assessment, anthropometry, handgrip dynamometry, biochemical and amino acid profile, Child's score, and dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry. Death, intensive care unit (ICU) length of stay > or =4 days, hospital length of stay > or =15 days, blood usage > or =36 U of blood products, infection, rejection, and global resource utilization (an index of cost) greater than the median were considered poor outcomes. RESULTS Fifty-three patients were studied. Longer ICU stay was associated with lower handgrip strength (P

Objective To describe a natural history model for primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) that is based on routine clinical findings and test results and eliminates the need for liver biopsy. Patients and Methods Using the Cox proportional hazards analysis, we created a survival model based on 405 patients with PSC from 5 clinical centers. Independent validation of the model was undertaken by applying it to 124 patients who were not included in the model creation. Results Based on the multivariate analysis of 405 patients, a risk score was defined by the following formula: R=0.03 (age [y]) + 0.54 log e (bilirubin [mg/dL]) + 0.54 log e (aspartate aminotransferase [U/L]) + 1.24 (variceal bleeding [0/1]) – 0.84 (albumin [g/dL]). The risk score was used to obtain survival estimates up to 4 years of follow-up. Application of this model to an independent group of 124 patients showed good correlation between estimated and actual survival. Conclusions A new model to estimate patient survival in PSC includes more reproducible variables (age, bilirubin, albumin, aspartate aminotransferase, and history of variceal bleeding), has accuracy comparable to previous models, and obviates the need for a liver biopsy.

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunts (TIPS) may worsen liver function and decrease survival in some patients. The Child-Pugh classification has several drawbacks when used to determine survival in such patients. The survival of 231 patients at 4 medical centers within the United States who underwent elective TIPS was studied to develop statistical models to (1) predict patient survival and (2) identify those patients whose liver-related mortality post-TIPS would be 3 months or less. Among these elective TIPS patients, 173 had the procedure for prevention of variceal rebleeding and 58 for treatment of refractory ascites. Death related to liver disease occurred in 110 patients, 70 within 3 months. Cox proportional-hazards regression identified serum concentrations of bilirubin and creatinine, international normalized ratio for prothrombin time (INR), and the cause of the underlying liver disease as predictors of survival in patients undergoing elective TIPS, either for prevention of variceal rebleeding or for treatment of refractory ascites. These variables can be used to calculate a risk score (R) for patients undergoing elective TIPS. Patients with R > 1.8 had a median survival of 3 months or less. This model was superior to both the Child-Pugh classification, as well as the Child-Pugh score, in predicting survival. Using logistic regression and the same variables, we also developed a nomogram that indicates which patients survive less than 3 months. Finally, the model was validated among an independent set of 71 patients from the Netherlands. This Mayo TIPS model may predict early death following elective TIPS for either prevention of variceal rebleeding or for treatment of refractory ascites.

The aim of our study was to quantitatively assess the impact of hepatic retransplantation on patient and graft survival and resource utilization. We studied patients undergoing hepatic retransplantation among 447 transplant recipients with primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC) and primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) at 3 transplantation centers. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used for survival analysis. Measures of resource utilization included the duration of hospitalization, length of stay in the intensive care unit, and the duration of transplantation surgery. Forty-six (10.3%) patients received 2 or more grafts during the follow-up period (median, 2.8 years). Patients who underwent retransplantation had a 3.8-fold increase in the risk of death compared with those without retransplantation (P < .01). Retransplantation after an interval of greater than 30 days from the primary graft was associated with a 6.7-fold increase in the risk of death (P < .01). The survival following retransplantations performed 30 days or earlier was similar to primary transplantations. Resource utilization was higher in patients who underwent multiple consecutive transplantations, even after adjustment for the number of grafts during the hospitalization. Among cholestatic liver disease patients, poor survival following hepatic retransplantation is attributed to late retransplantations, namely those performed more than 30 days after the initial transplantation. While efforts must be made to improve the outcome following retransplantation, a more critical evaluation may be warranted for late retransplantation candidates.

The Child-Pugh classification is a simple, convenient prognostic measure in patients with liver cirrhosis. We investigated the relative role of the Child-Pugh classification and the Mayo model in the assessment of survival in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC). Of the 173 patients described in the original Mayo PSC natural history model, 147 patients had sufficient information in the medical record to allow computation of the Child-Pugh score. We used our most recent modification of the Mayo model to compute the risk score, based on patient's age, serum levels of bilirubin, albumin, and aspartate aminotransferase and history of variceal bleeding. Using the risk score (R), patients were divided into the low- (R0), intermediate- (0/= R2), and high-risk (R/= 2) groups. Kaplan-Meier estimates and proportional hazards analysis were used to evaluate the two prognostic models. Although there was a statistically significant correlation between the Child-Pugh and Mayo risk scores, two-thirds of the patients had a Child-Pugh score of 5 or 6 and a relatively wide range of risk scores (-1.1-4.3). The probability of survival for 7 years in patients in the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups was 92%, 74%, and 40% for Child-Pugh class A (n = 96) and 100%, 62%, and 28% for Child-Pugh class B patients (n = 44), respectively. There were only a small number (n = 7) of Child-Pugh class C patients. In our age-adjusted multivariate analysis, each unit increase in the Mayo risk score was associated with a 2.5-fold increase in the risk of death (95% confidence interval: 1.8-3.4, P.01), whereas Child-Pugh classification had no significant impact on survival (Child-Pugh B vs. A: risk ratio = 1.1 [95% confidence interval: 0.6-2.0]; Child-Pugh C versus A: risk ratio = 0.6 [95% confidence interval: 0. 2-1.8]). In contrast to the Child-Pugh classification, which was developed for advanced liver cirrhosis, the Mayo model provides valid survival information, particularly in patients early in the course of PSC.

Regression equations are presented for converting the non-K-corrected raw scores on the Minnesota Multiphasic Personality Inventory (MMPI) basic scales to an estimated optimism-pessimism score. This score describes an individual's explanatory style on a continuum from optimistic to pessimistic. These equations will enable clinicians and researchers to estimate an optimism-pessimism score if the MMPI item responses are not accessible or if computer scoring facilities for individual items are unavailable.

We examined the clinical usefulness of measurements of antimitochondrial autoantibodies (AMA) in predicting disease progression in patients with primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC). We determined the relationships between AMA levels measured by indirect immunofluorescence (IF) and those measured by quantitative enzyme immunoassays (EIAs) using recombinant 2-oxo-acid dehydrogenase complex (2-OADC) proteins and the Mayo Risk Score, an established indicator of disease progression in primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC). Results of tests for AMA by either method correlated weakly (r = .24 to .30) with disease progression as indicated by Mayo Risk Scores. The levels of AMA to 2-OADC proteins varied by more than 200-fold between patients but remained relatively constant over time in individual patients. Despite being positively correlated with Mayo Risk Score results, the levels of AMA to 2-OADC proteins were not useful for predicting disease progression in individual patients with PBC. In addition, we found no significant differences in the levels of autoantibodies to 2-OADC proteins among patients with different histological stages of disease. Our results show that measurements of AMA by IF or by quantitative EIA methods with recombinant 2-OADC proteins are not useful parameters for predicting disease progression in patients with PBC.

Idiopathic subglottic stenosis (ISS) is a rare type of airway stenosis of unclear etiology. Open resection, while effective, remains a complex surgery and requires a hospital stay. Endoscopic management is often preferred but has historically been associated with a high recurrence rate. We aimed to analyze our experience, consisting of a standardized endoscopic approach combined with an empiric medical treatment.Retrospective cohort study.All patients with ISS managed with standardized endoscopic treatment at our institution between 1987 and 2012 were identified, and their electronic medical records were reviewed. The treatment consisted of CO2 laser resection without dilatation and local infiltration with steroids and application of mitomycin C. Patients were also treated with antireflux medications, inhaled corticosteroids, and occasionally trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole. The influence of medical management on annual recurrence rate was analyzed using negative binomial logistic regression.A total of 110 patients treated with standardized endoscopic management were included in our analysis. The procedure was well tolerated by all patients without complications. Recurrences were observed in approximately 60% of patients at 5 years. There was a trend suggesting an association between aggressive medical treatment and a reduction in the rate of recurrence/person/year (relative risk = 0.52, P = 0.051).A standardized endoscopic management of ISS consisting of CO2 laser vaporization of the fibrotic scar appears effective in symptom control, with 40% of patients not requiring retreatment in the follow-up period, and with recurrence noted in a majority of patients. Aggressive medical treatment may have a role, but further prospective studies are required to confirm these findings.4.

Objective: Allelic variation (rs738409CG) in adiponutrin (patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing protein 3, PNPLA3) has been associated with hepatic steatosis and liver fibrosis. The physiologic impact of the PNPLA3 G allele may be exacerbated in patients with severe obesity. In this study, we investigated the interactions of PNPLA3 rs738409 with a broad panel of metabolic and histologic characteristics of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) in patients with medically complicated obesity. Design and Methods: Consecutive patients undergoing bariatric surgery were selected for a prospective study. They underwent extensive laboratory and histologic (liver biopsy) assessment, as well as evaluation of rs738409 polymorphism by TaqMan assay. Results: Only 12 (8.3%) of the 144 patients had normal liver histology, with 72 (50%) NASH, of whom 15 (10.4% of total patients) had fibrosis stage 2-3. PNPLA3 GG genotype correlated positively (P 145 IU/l, glucose >100 mg/dl, and C-reactive protein (CRP) >0.8 mg/dl. The probability of NASH increased from 9% (no risk factor) to 82% if all four risk factors were present. Conclusions: In this cohort of patients with medically complicated obesity, PNPLA3 rs738409 G allelic expression is associated with hepatic (NASH) and nonhepatic complications of obesity, such as insulin resistance. These novel findings may be related to a greater impact of PNPLA3 variant in magnitude and scope in patients with severe obesity than in less obese populations. Further studies are needed to characterize the nature of these associations.

This article reports adolescent norms for the Optimism-Pessimism (PSM) scale of the Minnesota Multiphasic Personality Inventory (MMPI). The PSM scale measures explanatory style on a continuum from optimistic to pessimistic by using 298 MMPI items. It is based on Seligman's theory of explanatory style and was constructed by applying the Content Analysis of Verbatim Explanations (CAVE) technique to the MMPI item pool. The normative equations are based on a random sample of 624 normal boys and 691 normal girls ages 13 through 17 years. Reliability estimates of .94 demonstrate that the PSM scale can accurately assess explanatory style in adolescents. These norms may identify a personality factor associated with poorer physical and mental health and lower levels of achievement.

The Revised Optimism-Pessimism (PSM-R) scale was developed for use with either the MMPI-2 or the MMPI. The scale measures explanatory style on a continuum from optimistic to pessimistic by using 263 MMPI items of the original 298-item Optimism-Pessimism (PSM) scale. These 263 items are common to both the MMPI-2 and MMPI. PSM-R norms are based on a random sample of 1,408 normal adults who also were used for developing norms for the original PSM scale. Reliability estimates (.93 for men; .94 for women) indicate that the PSM-R scale is as accurate as the original PSM scale.

Introduction Significant impairments in health-related quality of life (HRQL) in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease have been previously described. The disease-specific HRQL among patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), however, remains unknown. Aim To determine the degree of construct validity of the Chronic Liver Disease Questionnaire (CLDQ) in adults with NASH. Methods Participants referred for the evaluation of histology-proven NASH at Mayo Clinic, Rochester, between 1996 and 2000, were evaluated. HRQL assessment by the Short-Form 36 (SF-36) Health Survey and CLD) was performed. The primary outcome was to determine the level of correlation between overall and subscale scores for the CLDQ and SF-36 instruments. Results Among 79 participants (70%) with NASH completing both questionnaires (mean age, 51.2 years with 64% female gender), excellent reliability was noted for the CLDQ instrument. Significant reductions in all SF-36 domains (p

Transfusion-related acute lung injury (TRALI) and transfusion-associated circulatory overload (TACO) are leading causes of transfusion-related mortality. Notably, poor syndrome recognition and underreporting likely result in an underestimate of their true attributable burden. We aimed to develop accurate electronic health record-based screening algorithms for improved detection of TRALI/transfused acute lung injury (ALI) and TACO.This was a retrospective observational study. The study cohort, identified from a previous National Institutes of Health-sponsored prospective investigation, included 223 transfused patients with TRALI, transfused ALI, TACO, or complication-free controls. Optimal case detection algorithms were identified using classification and regression tree (CART) analyses. Algorithm performance was evaluated with sensitivities, specificities, likelihood ratios, and overall misclassification rates.For TRALI/transfused ALI detection, CART analysis achieved a sensitivity and specificity of 83.9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 74.4%-90.4%) and 89.7% (95% CI, 80.3%-95.2%), respectively. For TACO, the sensitivity and specificity were 86.5% (95% CI, 73.6%-94.0%) and 92.3% (95% CI, 83.4%-96.8%), respectively. Reduced PaO2 /FiO2 ratios and the acquisition of posttransfusion chest radiographs were the primary determinants of case versus control status for both syndromes. Of true-positive cases identified using the screening algorithms (TRALI/transfused ALI, n = 78; TACO, n = 45), only 11 (14.1%) and five (11.1%) were reported to the blood bank by physicians, respectively.Electronic screening algorithms have shown good sensitivity and specificity for identifying patients with TRALI/transfused ALI and TACO at our institution. This supports the notion that active electronic surveillance may improve case identification, thereby providing a more accurate understanding of TRALI/transfused ALI and TACO epidemiology.

Transfusion-related pulmonary complications are leading causes of morbidity and mortality attributed to transfusion. Observational studies suggest an important role for red blood cell (RBC) storage duration in these adverse outcomes.To evaluate the impact of RBC storage duration on short-term pulmonary function as well as immunologic and coagulation status in mechanically ventilated patients receiving RBC transfusion.This is a double-blind, randomized, clinical trial comparing fresh (≤5 d of storage) versus standard issue single-unit RBC transfusion in adult intubated and mechanically ventilated patients. The primary outcome is the change in pulmonary gas exchange as assessed by the partial pressure of arterial oxygen to fraction of inspired oxygen concentration ratio (ΔPa(O(2))/Fi(O(2))). Secondary outcomes include changes in immune and coagulation status.Fifty patients were randomized to receive fresh RBCs and an additional 50 patients to standard issue RBCs. Median storage age was 4.0 days (interquartile range, 3.0-5.0) and 26.5 days (interquartile range, 21.0-36.0) in the fresh RBC group and standard issue RBC group, respectively. No differences were noted in the primary outcome of ΔPa(O(2))/Fi(O(2)) (difference between the mean ΔPa(O(2))/Fi(O(2)) in the standard issue RBC group vs. the fresh RBC group, -11.5; 95% confidence interval, -35.3 to 12.3; P = 0.22). Similarly, no significant differences were noted in markers of immunologic or coagulation status.In this randomized clinical trial, no differences were noted in early measures of pulmonary function or in immunologic or coagulation status when comparing fresh versus standard issue single-unit RBC transfusion. Clinical trial registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT00751322).

The progression of primary biliary cirrhosis was studied in 312 patients who were seen at the Mayo Clinic between January 1974 and May 1984. Follow-up was extended to April 30, 1988, by which time 140 of the patients had died and 29 had undergone orthotopic liver transplantation. These patients generated 1,945 patient visits that enabled us to study the change in the prognostic variables of primary biliary cirrhosis (age, bilirubin value, albumin value, prothrombin time and edema) from the time of referral. Also, using this database and the Cox proportional-hazards regression model, we developed an updated model for primary biliary cirrhosis that can be used to predict short-term survival at any time in the course of the disease. This model uses the values of the prognostic variables measured at the latest patient visit. Comparison of predicted survival from the update model and the natural history model of primary biliary cirrhosis showed that the updated model was superior to the original model for predicting short-term survival. This finding applied to both the Mayo Clinic patients and an independent set of 83 Dutch patients. The Mayo updated model is recommended for improving the accuracy of predictions of survival during the 2 yr after a patient visit.