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Background: A subset of individuals with major depressive disorder (MDD) have a high burden of cardiovascular risk factors and cerebral small-vessel disease, implicating vascular disease in the development of depression. Cross-sectional studies demonstrate a link between endothelial dysfunction and MDD, but the prospective association between peripheral endothelial dysfunction (PED) and an incident diagnosis of MDD is unknown., Methods and Results: Patients undergoing a baseline assessment of cardiovascular risk were evaluated for PED using reactive hyperemia-peripheral arterial tonometry (≤1.8 consistent with PED). Patient medical records were reviewed to identify those who underwent a formal clinical evaluation of MDD after the index PED evaluation. The frequency of PED was compared in those with and without MDD. Logistic regression analyses were performed to assess the association between baseline PED and incident MDD. Between January 2006 and December 2020, 1614 patients underwent testing for PED. Four hundred eighty-four (30.1%) patients underwent a formal evaluation for MDD after (0-15 years) the index procedure (mean±SD age, 52.8±13.8 years; 65.2% women). Of these, 157 (32.4%) had PED and 108 (31.0%) were diagnosed with MDD. Individuals with MDD had a higher frequency of PED (40.2% versus 30.2%; P =0.034) compared with those without MDD. In multivariable analyses, PED was significantly associated with MDD (odds ratio, 2.3 [95% CI, 1.4-3.8]; P <0.001)., Conclusions: PED is significantly associated with incident MDD. Thus, PED may be a useful marker to identify individuals at increased risk of depression who may benefit from more frequent and earlier management strategies.