31 results on '"McClelland, Shelby C"'
Search Results
2. Quantification of methane emitted by ruminants: a review of methods
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Tedeschi, Luis Orlindo, Abdalla, Adibe Luiz, Álvarez, Clementina, Anuga, Samuel Weniga, Arango, Jacobo, Beauchemin, Karen A, Becquet, Philippe, Berndt, Alexandre, Burns, Robert, De Camillis, Camillo, Chará, Julián, Echazarreta, Javier Martin, Hassouna, Mélynda, Kenny, David, Mathot, Michael, Mauricio, Rogerio M, McClelland, Shelby C, Niu, Mutian, Onyango, Alice Anyango, Parajuli, Ranjan, Pereira, Luiz Gustavo Ribeiro, del Prado, Agustin, Tieri, Maria Paz, Uwizeye, Aimable, and Kebreab, Ermias
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Agricultural ,Veterinary and Food Sciences ,Animal Production ,Climate Action ,Animals ,Eating ,Greenhouse Gases ,Manure ,Methane ,Ruminants ,estimates ,greenhouse gas ,livestock ,measurements ,quantification ,sustainability ,Biological Sciences ,Agricultural and Veterinary Sciences ,Dairy & Animal Science ,Agricultural ,veterinary and food sciences ,Biological sciences - Abstract
The contribution of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from ruminant production systems varies between countries and between regions within individual countries. The appropriate quantification of GHG emissions, specifically methane (CH4), has raised questions about the correct reporting of GHG inventories and, perhaps more importantly, how best to mitigate CH4 emissions. This review documents existing methods and methodologies to measure and estimate CH4 emissions from ruminant animals and the manure produced therein over various scales and conditions. Measurements of CH4 have frequently been conducted in research settings using classical methodologies developed for bioenergetic purposes, such as gas exchange techniques (respiration chambers, headboxes). While very precise, these techniques are limited to research settings as they are expensive, labor-intensive, and applicable only to a few animals. Head-stalls, such as the GreenFeed system, have been used to measure expired CH4 for individual animals housed alone or in groups in confinement or grazing. This technique requires frequent animal visitation over the diurnal measurement period and an adequate number of collection days. The tracer gas technique can be used to measure CH4 from individual animals housed outdoors, as there is a need to ensure low background concentrations. Micrometeorological techniques (e.g., open-path lasers) can measure CH4 emissions over larger areas and many animals, but limitations exist, including the need to measure over more extended periods. Measurement of CH4 emissions from manure depends on the type of storage, animal housing, CH4 concentration inside and outside the boundaries of the area of interest, and ventilation rate, which is likely the variable that contributes the greatest to measurement uncertainty. For large-scale areas, aircraft, drones, and satellites have been used in association with the tracer flux method, inverse modeling, imagery, and LiDAR (Light Detection and Ranging), but research is lagging in validating these methods. Bottom-up approaches to estimating CH4 emissions rely on empirical or mechanistic modeling to quantify the contribution of individual sources (enteric and manure). In contrast, top-down approaches estimate the amount of CH4 in the atmosphere using spatial and temporal models to account for transportation from an emitter to an observation point. While these two estimation approaches rarely agree, they help identify knowledge gaps and research requirements in practice.
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- 2022
3. Full adoption of the most effective strategies to mitigate methane emissions by ruminants can help meet the 1.5 °C target by 2030 but not 2050
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Arndt, Claudia, Hristov, Alexander N, Price, William J, McClelland, Shelby C, Pelaez, Amalia M, Cueva, Sergio F, Oh, Joonpyo, Dijkstra, Jan, Bannink, André, Bayat, Ali R, Crompton, Les A, Eugène, Maguy A, Enahoro, Dolapo, Kebreab, Ermias, Kreuzer, Michael, McGee, Mark, Martin, Cécile, Newbold, Charles J, Reynolds, Christopher K, Schwarm, Angela, Shingfield, Kevin J, Veneman, Jolien B, Yáñez-Ruiz, David R, and Yu, Zhongtang
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Prevention ,Nutrition ,Africa ,Animals ,Developing Countries ,Europe ,Global Warming ,Methane ,Ruminants ,methane ,meta-analysis ,ruminant ,enteric ,mitigation - Abstract
To meet the 1.5 °C target, methane (CH4) from ruminants must be reduced by 11 to 30% by 2030 and 24 to 47% by 2050 compared to 2010 levels. A meta-analysis identified strategies to decrease product-based (PB; CH4 per unit meat or milk) and absolute (ABS) enteric CH4 emissions while maintaining or increasing animal productivity (AP; weight gain or milk yield). Next, the potential of different adoption rates of one PB or one ABS strategy to contribute to the 1.5 °C target was estimated. The database included findings from 430 peer-reviewed studies, which reported 98 mitigation strategies that can be classified into three categories: animal and feed management, diet formulation, and rumen manipulation. A random-effects meta-analysis weighted by inverse variance was carried out. Three PB strategies—namely, increasing feeding level, decreasing grass maturity, and decreasing dietary forage-to-concentrate ratio—decreased CH4 per unit meat or milk by on average 12% and increased AP by a median of 17%. Five ABS strategies—namely CH4 inhibitors, tanniferous forages, electron sinks, oils and fats, and oilseeds—decreased daily methane by on average 21%. Globally, only 100% adoption of the most effective PB and ABS strategies can meet the 1.5 °C target by 2030 but not 2050, because mitigation effects are offset by projected increases in CH4 due to increasing milk and meat demand. Notably, by 2030 and 2050, low- and middle-income countries may not meet their contribution to the 1.5 °C target for this same reason, whereas high-income countries could meet their contributions due to only a minor projected increase in enteric CH4 emissions.
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- 2022
4. Modelling the soil C impacts of cover crops in temperate regions
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Hughes, Helen M., McClelland, Shelby C., Schipanski, Meagan E., and Hillier, Jonathan
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- 2023
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5. Use of Decision-Support Tools by Students to Link Crop Management Practices with Greenhouse Gas Emissions: A Case Study
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Jabbour, Randa, McClelland, Shelby C., and Schipanski, Meagan E.
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Global food systems contribute to greenhouse gas emissions, and the mitigation of these emissions is a critical component of addressing the challenge of climate change. A variety of decision-support tools are available for agricultural producers to use to estimate how their management decisions affect emissions. These tools, often free and online, can be incorporated into agriculture and natural sciences courses, providing an engaging and interactive way for students to learn about climate change mitigation in online courses. Here, we focus on three tools: COMET-Planner, COMET-Farm, and Cool Farm Tool. Each of these tools link agricultural management with estimated emissions but differ according to the scope of analysis and type of functionality. Our case study navigates how to best incorporate each tool into undergraduate courses - providing detailed examples focused on crop production. Teaching notes provide guidance on pairing these activities with lessons related to agricultural policy, science communication, and farm nutrient budgets. Instructors have considerable opportunity to incorporate agricultural decision-support tools into courses to support students connecting scientific concepts to real-world application.
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- 2021
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6. Management of cover crops in temperate climates influences soil organic carbon stocks : a meta-analysis
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McClelland, Shelby C., Paustian, Keith, and Schipanski, Meagan E.
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- 2021
7. Soil carbon offset markets are not a just climate solution.
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Saifuddin, Mustafa, Abramoff, Rose Z, Foster, Erika J, and McClelland, Shelby C
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CARBON offsetting ,AGRICULTURAL pollution ,CLIMATE change ,CARBON in soils ,CLIMATE change mitigation - Abstract
There is growing interest in enhancing soil carbon sequestration (SCS) as a climate mitigation strategy, including neutralizing atmospheric emissions from fossil‐fuel combustion through the development of soil carbon offset markets. Several studies have focused on refining estimates of the magnitude of potential SCS or on developing methods for soil carbon quantification in markets. We call on scientists and policy makers to resist assimilating soils into carbon offset markets due to not only fundamental flaws in the logic of these markets to reach climate neutrality but also environmental justice concerns. Here, we first highlight how carbon offset markets rely on an inappropriate substitution of inert fossil carbon with dynamic stocks of soil carbon. We then note the failure of these markets to account for intersecting anthropogenic perturbations to the carbon cycle, including the soil carbon debt and ongoing agricultural emissions. Next, we invite scientists to consider soil functions beyond productivity and profitability. Finally, we describe and support historical opposition to offset markets by environmental justice advocates. We encourage scientists to consider how their research and communications can promote diverse soil functions and just climate‐change mitigation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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8. Methane metrics: the political stakes
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Hayek, Matthew N., Samuel, Jack, and McClelland, Shelby C.
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- 2023
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9. Prediction of enteric methane production, yield, and intensity in dairy cattle using an intercontinental database
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Niu, Mutian, Kebreab, Ermias, Hristov, Alexander N, Oh, Joonpyo, Arndt, Claudia, Bannink, André, Bayat, Ali R, Brito, André F, Boland, Tommy, Casper, David, Crompton, Les A, Dijkstra, Jan, Eugène, Maguy A, Garnsworthy, Phil C, Haque, Najmul, Hellwing, Anne LF, Huhtanen, Pekka, Kreuzer, Michael, Kuhla, Bjoern, Lund, Peter, Madsen, Jørgen, Martin, Cécile, McClelland, Shelby C, McGee, Mark, Moate, Peter J, Muetzel, Stefan, Muñoz, Camila, O'Kiely, Padraig, Peiren, Nico, Reynolds, Christopher K, Schwarm, Angela, Shingfield, Kevin J, Storlien, Tonje M, Weisbjerg, Martin R, Yáñez‐Ruiz, David R, and Yu, Zhongtang
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Environmental Sciences ,Climate Action ,Agriculture ,Animals ,Australia ,Cattle ,Databases ,Factual ,Eating ,Europe ,European Union ,Female ,Lactation ,Methane ,Milk ,Models ,Theoretical ,United States ,dairy cows ,dry matter intake ,enteric methane emissions ,methane intensity ,methane yield ,prediction models ,Biological Sciences ,Ecology ,Biological sciences ,Earth sciences ,Environmental sciences - Abstract
Enteric methane (CH4 ) production from cattle contributes to global greenhouse gas emissions. Measurement of enteric CH4 is complex, expensive, and impractical at large scales; therefore, models are commonly used to predict CH4 production. However, building robust prediction models requires extensive data from animals under different management systems worldwide. The objectives of this study were to (1) collate a global database of enteric CH4 production from individual lactating dairy cattle; (2) determine the availability of key variables for predicting enteric CH4 production (g/day per cow), yield [g/kg dry matter intake (DMI)], and intensity (g/kg energy corrected milk) and their respective relationships; (3) develop intercontinental and regional models and cross-validate their performance; and (4) assess the trade-off between availability of on-farm inputs and CH4 prediction accuracy. The intercontinental database covered Europe (EU), the United States (US), and Australia (AU). A sequential approach was taken by incrementally adding key variables to develop models with increasing complexity. Methane emissions were predicted by fitting linear mixed models. Within model categories, an intercontinental model with the most available independent variables performed best with root mean square prediction error (RMSPE) as a percentage of mean observed value of 16.6%, 14.7%, and 19.8% for intercontinental, EU, and United States regions, respectively. Less complex models requiring only DMI had predictive ability comparable to complex models. Enteric CH4 production, yield, and intensity prediction models developed on an intercontinental basis had similar performance across regions, however, intercepts and slopes were different with implications for prediction. Revised CH4 emission conversion factors for specific regions are required to improve CH4 production estimates in national inventories. In conclusion, information on DMI is required for good prediction, and other factors such as dietary neutral detergent fiber (NDF) concentration, improve the prediction. For enteric CH4 yield and intensity prediction, information on milk yield and composition is required for better estimation.
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- 2018
10. Climate mitigation potential of cover crops in the United States is regionally concentrated and lower than previous estimates.
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Eash, Lisa, Ogle, Stephen, McClelland, Shelby C., Fonte, Steven J., and Schipanski, Meagan E.
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CLIMATE change mitigation ,GREENHOUSE gases ,COVER crops ,ORGANIC farming ,PUBLIC investments ,NITROUS oxide - Abstract
Widespread adoption of regenerative agriculture practices is an integral part of the US plan to achieve net‐zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050. National incentives have particularly increased for the adoption of cover crops (CCs), which have presumably large carbon (C) sequestration potential. However, assessments of national CC climate benefits have not fully considered regional variability, changing C sequestration rates over time, and potential N2O trade‐offs. Using the DayCent soil biogeochemical model and current national survey data, we estimate CC climate change mitigation potential to be 39.0 ± 24.1 Mt CO2e year−1, which is 45%–65% lower than previous estimates, with large uncertainty attributed to N2O impacts. Three‐fourths of this climate change mitigation potential is concentrated in the North Central, Southern Great Plains and Lower Mississippi regions. Public investment should be focused in these regions to maximize CC climate benefits, but the national contribution of CC to emissions targets may be lower than previously anticipated. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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11. Sensationalized soil carbon sequestration estimates excuse further climate inaction
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McClelland, Shelby C., primary and Woolf, Dominic, additional
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- 2023
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12. Quantifying biodiversity impacts of livestock using life‐cycle perspectives.
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McClelland, Shelby C, Haddix, Jill D, Azad, Shefali, Boughton, Elizabeth H, Boughton, Raoul K, Miller, Ryan S, Swain, Hilary M, and Dillon, Jasmine A
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COW-calf system ,BIODIVERSITY ,BIOLOGICAL extinction ,SUSTAINABILITY ,LIVESTOCK productivity ,LIVESTOCK - Abstract
Biodiversity impacts are rarely included in systems analyses of livestock production. We piloted two approaches toward quantifying biodiversity impacts, pressure‐state‐response (PSR) and potential species loss (PSL), at a cow–calf operation in Florida for which extensive environmental data were available. Using these approaches, we compared livestock production on two vegetation types, semi‐native pasture (SNP) and improved pasture (IMP), and we found fewer deleterious effects on biodiversity associated with SNP (characterized by low stocking rates and no fertilizer) than with IMP, as evidenced by a lower PSL and greater biotic integrity under PSR. Both approaches agreed in the direction of the outcome, but we argue that, when possible, they should be applied complementarily to inform both absolute and per‐unit product biodiversity impacts of livestock production. This research demonstrates how to incorporate biodiversity into life‐cycle perspectives of livestock sustainability assessments when data availability varies, supporting the expansion of multi‐metric, holistic evaluations that are absent from most livestock system analyses. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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13. Infrequent compost applications increased plant productivity and soil organic carbon in irrigated pasture but not degraded rangeland
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McClelland, Shelby C., primary, Cotrufo, M. Francesca, additional, Haddix, Michelle L., additional, Paustian, Keith, additional, and Schipanski, Meagan E., additional
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- 2022
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14. Reviews and syntheses: The promise of big diverse soil data, moving current practices towards future potential
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Todd-Brown, Katherine E. O., primary, Abramoff, Rose Z., additional, Beem-Miller, Jeffrey, additional, Blair, Hava K., additional, Earl, Stevan, additional, Frederick, Kristen J., additional, Fuka, Daniel R., additional, Guevara Santamaria, Mario, additional, Harden, Jennifer W., additional, Heckman, Katherine, additional, Heran, Lillian J., additional, Holmquist, James R., additional, Hoyt, Alison M., additional, Klinges, David H., additional, LeBauer, David S., additional, Malhotra, Avni, additional, McClelland, Shelby C., additional, Nave, Lucas E., additional, Rocci, Katherine S., additional, Schaeffer, Sean M., additional, Stoner, Shane, additional, van Gestel, Natasja, additional, von Fromm, Sophie F., additional, and Younger, Marisa L., additional
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- 2022
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15. Reviews and syntheses: The promise of big diverse soil data, moving current practices towards future potential
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Todd-Brown, Katherine E. O., Abramoff, Rose Z., Beem-Miller, Jeffrey, Blair, Hava K., Earl, Stevan, Frederick, Kristen J., Fuka, Daniel R., Santamaria, Mario Guevara, Harden, Jennifer W., Heckman, Katherine, Heran, Lillian J., Holmquist, James R., Hoyt, Alison M., Klinges, David H., LeBauer, David S., Malhotra, Avni, McClelland, Shelby C., Nave, Lucas E., Rocci, Katherine S., Schaeffer, Sean M., Stoner, Shane, van Gestel, Natasja, von Fromm, Sophie F., Younger, Marisa L., Todd-Brown, Katherine E. O., Abramoff, Rose Z., Beem-Miller, Jeffrey, Blair, Hava K., Earl, Stevan, Frederick, Kristen J., Fuka, Daniel R., Santamaria, Mario Guevara, Harden, Jennifer W., Heckman, Katherine, Heran, Lillian J., Holmquist, James R., Hoyt, Alison M., Klinges, David H., LeBauer, David S., Malhotra, Avni, McClelland, Shelby C., Nave, Lucas E., Rocci, Katherine S., Schaeffer, Sean M., Stoner, Shane, van Gestel, Natasja, von Fromm, Sophie F., and Younger, Marisa L.
- Abstract
In the age of big data, soil data are more available and richer than ever, but - outside of a few large soil survey resources - they remain largely unusable for informing soil management and understanding Earth system processes beyond the original study. Data science has promised a fully reusable research pipeline where data from past studies are used to contextualize new findings and reanalyzed for new insight. Yet synthesis projects encounter challenges at all steps of the data reuse pipeline, including unavailable data, labor-intensive transcription of datasets, incomplete metadata, and a lack of communication between collaborators. Here, using insights from a diversity of soil, data, and climate scientists, we summarize current practices in soil data synthesis across all stages of database creation: availability, input, harmonization, curation, and publication. We then suggest new soil-focused semantic tools to improve existing data pipelines, such as ontologies, vocabulary lists, and community practices. Our goal is to provide the soil data community with an overview of current practices in soil data and where we need to go to fully leverage big data to solve soil problems in the next century.
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- 2022
16. Reviews and syntheses: The promise of big diverse soil data, moving current practices towards future potential
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Todd-Brown, Katherine E O; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3109-8130, Abramoff, Rose Z; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3393-3064, Beem-Miller, Jeffrey; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0955-6622, Blair, Hava K, Earl, Stevan, Frederick, Kristen J, Fuka, Daniel R, Guevara Santamaria, Mario, Harden, Jennifer W; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6570-8259, Heckman, Katherine, Heran, Lillian J, Holmquist, James R, Hoyt, Alison M, Klinges, David H, LeBauer, David S, Malhotra, Avni; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7850-6402, McClelland, Shelby C, Nave, Lucas E, Rocci, Katherine S, Schaeffer, Sean M, Stoner, Shane; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6977-4587, van Gestel, Natasja, von Fromm, Sophie F; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1820-1455, Younger, Marisa L; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1608-9113, Todd-Brown, Katherine E O; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3109-8130, Abramoff, Rose Z; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3393-3064, Beem-Miller, Jeffrey; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0955-6622, Blair, Hava K, Earl, Stevan, Frederick, Kristen J, Fuka, Daniel R, Guevara Santamaria, Mario, Harden, Jennifer W; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6570-8259, Heckman, Katherine, Heran, Lillian J, Holmquist, James R, Hoyt, Alison M, Klinges, David H, LeBauer, David S, Malhotra, Avni; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7850-6402, McClelland, Shelby C, Nave, Lucas E, Rocci, Katherine S, Schaeffer, Sean M, Stoner, Shane; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6977-4587, van Gestel, Natasja, von Fromm, Sophie F; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1820-1455, and Younger, Marisa L; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1608-9113
- Abstract
In the age of big data, soil data are more available and richer than ever, but – outside of a few large soil survey resources – they remain largely unusable for informing soil management and understanding Earth system processes beyond the original study. Data science has promised a fully reusable research pipeline where data from past studies are used to contextualize new findings and reanalyzed for new insight. Yet synthesis projects encounter challenges at all steps of the data reuse pipeline, including unavailable data, labor-intensive transcription of datasets, incomplete metadata, and a lack of communication between collaborators. Here, using insights from a diversity of soil, data, and climate scientists, we summarize current practices in soil data synthesis across all stages of database creation: availability, input, harmonization, curation, and publication. We then suggest new soil-focused semantic tools to improve existing data pipelines, such as ontologies, vocabulary lists, and community practices. Our goal is to provide the soil data community with an overview of current practices in soil data and where we need to go to fully leverage big data to solve soil problems in the next century.
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- 2022
17. Reviews and syntheses: The promise of big soil data, moving current practices towards future potential
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Todd-Brown, Katherine E. O., primary, Abramoff, Rose Z., additional, Beem-Miller, Jeffrey, additional, Blair, Hava K., additional, Earl, Stevan, additional, Frederick, Kristen J., additional, Fuka, Daniel R., additional, Guevara Santamaria, Mario, additional, Harden, Jennifer W., additional, Heckman, Katherine, additional, Heran, Lillian J., additional, Holmquist, James R., additional, Hoyt, Allison M., additional, Klinges, David H., additional, LeBauer, David S., additional, Malhotra, Avni, additional, McClelland, Shelby C., additional, Nave, Lucas E., additional, Rocci, Katherine S., additional, Schaeffer, Sean M., additional, Stoner, Shane, additional, van Gestel, Natasja, additional, von Fromm, Sophie F., additional, and Younger, Marisa L., additional
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- 2021
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18. Modeling cover crop biomass production and related emissions to improve farm-scale decision-support tools
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McClelland, Shelby C., primary, Paustian, Keith, additional, Williams, Stephen, additional, and Schipanski, Meagan E., additional
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- 2021
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19. Strategies to mitigate enteric methane emissions by ruminants - a way to approach the 2.0°C target.
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Arndt, Claudia, primary, Hristov, Alexander N., additional, Price, William J., additional, McClelland, Shelby C., additional, Pelaez, Amalia M., additional, Cueva, Sergio F., additional, Oh, Joonpyo, additional, Bannink, André, additional, Bayat, Ali R., additional, Crompton, Les A., additional, Dijkstra, Jan, additional, Eugène, Maguy A., additional, Kebreab, Ermias, additional, Kreuzer, Michael, additional, McGee, Mark, additional, Martin, Cécile, additional, Newbold, Charles J., additional, Reynolds, Christopher K., additional, Schwarm, Angela, additional, Shingfield, Kevin J., additional, Veneman, Jolien B., additional, Yáñez-Ruiz, David R., additional, and Yu, Zhong-tang, additional
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- 2021
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20. Reviews and syntheses: The promise of big soil data, moving current practices towards future potential.
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Todd-Brown, Katherine E. O., Abramoff, Rose Z., Beem-Miller, Jeffrey, Blair, Hava K., Earl, Stevan, Frederick, Kristen J., Fuka, Daniel R., Guevara Santamaria, Mario, Harden, Jennifer W., Heckman, Katherine, Heran, Lillian J., Holmquist, James R., Hoyt, Allison M., Klinges, David H., LeBauer, David S., Malhotra, Avni, McClelland, Shelby C., Nave, Lucas E., Rocci, Katherine S., and Schaeffer, Sean M.
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BIG data ,SOIL surveys ,SOIL management ,DATA science ,PROBLEM solving - Abstract
In the age of big data, soil data are more available than ever, but -outside of a few large soil survey resources-remain largely unusable for informing soil management and understanding Earth system processes outside of the original study. Data science has promised a fully reusable research pipeline where data from past studies are used to contextualize new findings and reanalyzed for global relevance. Yet synthesis projects encounter challenges at all steps of the data reuse pipeline, including unavailable data, labor-intensive transcription of datasets, incomplete metadata, and a lack of communication between collaborators. Here, using insights from a diversity of soil, data and climate scientists, we summarize current practices in soil data synthesis across all stages of database creation: data discovery, input, harmonization, curation, and publication. We then suggest new soil-focused semantic tools to improve existing data pipelines, such as ontologies, vocabulary lists, and community practices. Our goal is to provide the soil data community with an overview of current practices in soil data and where we need to go to fully leverage big data to solve soil problems in the next century. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2021
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21. Promising nutritional strategies to reduce enteric methane emission from ruminants – a meta-analysis
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Arndt, Claudia, Hristov, Alexander N., McClelland, Shelby C., Kebreab, Ermias, Oh, Joonpyo, Bannink, André, Bayat, Ali R., Crompton, Les A., Dijkstra, Jan, Eugène, Maguy, Martin, Cécile, Kreuzer, Michael, McGee, Mark, Reynolds, Christopher K., Schwarm, Angela, Shingfield, Kevin J, Yáñez-Ruiz, David R., Yu, Zhongtang, Veneman, J. B., Newbold, C. James, Centro Agronomico Tropical de Investigacion y Enseñanza (CATIE), Department of Animal Science, Pennsylvania State University (Penn State), Penn State System-Penn State System, Colorado State University [Fort Collins] (CSU), University of California, Livestock Research, Wageningen University and Research [Wageningen] (WUR), Natural Resources Institute Finland (LUKE), School of Agriculture, Policy and Development, University of Reading (UOR), Animal Nutrition Group, Unité Mixte de Recherche sur les Herbivores - UMR 1213 (UMRH), Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-VetAgro Sup - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur et de recherche en alimentation, santé animale, sciences agronomiques et de l'environnement (VAS), Department of Agricultural Science, University of Naples Federico II, Teagasc Agriculture and Food Development Authority (Teagasc), Institute of Agricultural Sciences, Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Zurich, Institute of Biological, Environmental and Rural Sciences (IBERS), Aberystwyth University, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [Madrid] (CSIC), Department of Animal Sciences, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign [Urbana], University of Illinois System-University of Illinois System, and Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-VetAgro Sup - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur et de recherche en alimentation, santé animale, sciences agronomiques et de l'environnement (VAS)-AgroSup Dijon - Institut National Supérieur des Sciences Agronomiques, de l'Alimentation et de l'Environnement
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[SDV]Life Sciences [q-bio] ,[INFO]Computer Science [cs] ,[SHS]Humanities and Social Sciences - Abstract
International audience; Decreasing enteric CH4 emissions is important in mitigating the environmental impact of livestock farming. The present meta-analysis examined effects of nutritional mitigation practices on absolute CH4 emissions (g/animal/d) and CH4 yield [g CH4/kg dry matter intake (DMI)] as well as on DMI (kg/d), average daily gain (kg/d), milk production (kg/d), and neutral detergent fiber digestibility (%). The database for this analysis consisted of over 400 studies. Only studies that reported statistical variance were included in the analysis (295 studies and 644 treatment mean comparisons). A standard random-effects meta-analysis weighted by inverse variance was carried out. The effects of the standardized mean difference (SMD) were classified as small (≤-0.2 and >-0.5), medium (≤-0.5 and >-0.8), and large (≤-0.8). Of the analyzed treatments, inclusion of chemical inhibitors, electron sinks, and lipids had a large effect on absolute CH4 emissions (-2.1 ± 0.5, -1.6 ± 0.2, and -1.3 ± 0.2 SMD ± SE, respectively; P 0.15), whereas electron sinks and lipids led to a small decrease in DMI (-0.2 ± 0.1, and -0.4 ± 0.1 SMD ± SE, respectively; P ≤0.01) without affecting animal productivity (P >0.05). Although these nutritional strategies effectively reduced CH4 emissions without compromising animal productivity, their adoption will largely depend on their economic feasibility.
- Published
- 2019
22. Sensationalized soil carbon sequestration estimates excuse further climate inaction.
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McClelland, Shelby C. and Woolf, Dominic
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CARBON sequestration , *CLIMATE change , *CARBON in soils , *GREENHOUSE gas mitigation , *RANGE management , *NO-tillage , *TILLAGE , *GREENHOUSE gases , *RANGELANDS - Abstract
The article discusses the claims made by Almaraz et al. regarding the potential of soil carbon sequestration (SCS) to meet the goals of the Paris Agreement. The authors argue that the estimates provided by Almaraz et al. are based on flawed assumptions and could undermine efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. They highlight concerns about the availability of feedstock for SCS practices, the loss of carbon during composting and biochar production, and the questionable assumption of additive effects. The authors also point out the geographical and climate bias in empirical estimates of SCS potential and the need to consider nitrogen emissions and methane production in agricultural systems. While acknowledging the urgency of climate action, the authors caution against relying on SCS as a substitute for immediate emissions reductions. [Extracted from the article]
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- 2024
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23. Symposium review: Uncertainties in enteric methane inventories, measurement techniques, and prediction models
- Author
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Hristov, Alexander N., Kebreab, Ermias, Niu, Mutian, Oh, Joonpyo, Bannink, André, Bayat, Ali Reza, Boland, Tommy, Brito, André F., Casper, David, Crompton, Les A., Dijkstra, Jan, Eugène, Maguy, Garnsworthy, Philip C., Haque, Najmul, Hellwing, Anne L.F., Huhtanen, Pekka J., Kreuzer, Michael, Kuhla, Björn, Lund, Peter, Madsen, Jørgen, Martin, Cécile, McClelland, Shelby C., Moate, Peter J., Muetzel, Stefan, Muñoz, Camila, O'Kiely, Padraig, Peiren, Nico, Reynolds, Christopher K., Schwarm, Angela, Shingfield, Kevin J., Storlien, Tonje M., Weisbjerg, Martin R., Yáñez Ruiz, David R., Yu, Zhongtang, Department of Animal Science, Pennsylvania State University (Penn State), Penn State System-Penn State System, University of California, Wageningen Livestock Research, Wageningen University and Research [Wageningen] (WUR), Natural Resources Institute Finland (LUKE), University College Dublin (UCD), University of New Hampshire (UNH), Independent Researcher, Animal Nutrition Group, Unité Mixte de Recherche sur les Herbivores - UMR 1213 (UMRH), Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-VetAgro Sup - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur et de recherche en alimentation, santé animale, sciences agronomiques et de l'environnement (VAS)-AgroSup Dijon - Institut National Supérieur des Sciences Agronomiques, de l'Alimentation et de l'Environnement, School of Biosciences [Cardiff], Cardiff University, University of Copenhagen = Københavns Universitet (KU), Aarhus University [Aarhus], Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU), ETH, Leibniz Institute for Farm Animal Biology (FBN), Victoria Agriculture, Partenaires INRAE, Agresearch Ltd, INIA Remehue, Research Foundation - Flanders [Brussel] (FWO), Dairy Forage Research Center, University of Reading (UOR), Aberystwyth University, Norwegian University of Life Sciences (NMBU), Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [Madrid] (CSIC), Ohio State University, Joint Programming Initiative on Agriculture, Food Security and Climate Change (FACCE-JPI), and Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-VetAgro Sup - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur et de recherche en alimentation, santé animale, sciences agronomiques et de l'environnement (VAS)
- Subjects
0301 basic medicine ,Animal Nutrition ,[SDV]Life Sciences [q-bio] ,Robust statistics ,Sulfur Hexafluoride ,Environmental pollution ,[SHS]Humanities and Social Sciences ,03 medical and health sciences ,Genetics ,Range (statistics) ,Production (economics) ,Animals ,[INFO]Computer Science [cs] ,Emission inventory ,uncertainty ,enteric methane ,prediction model ,livestock ,0402 animal and dairy science ,Empirical modelling ,04 agricultural and veterinary sciences ,Ruminants ,Diervoeding ,040201 dairy & animal science ,Animal Feed ,Diet ,Data set ,030104 developmental biology ,13. Climate action ,WIAS ,Environmental science ,Animal Science and Zoology ,Cattle ,Biochemical engineering ,Environmental Pollution ,Methane ,Predictive modelling ,Food Science - Abstract
Ruminant production systems are important contributors to anthropogenic methane (CH4) emissions, but there are large uncertainties in national and global livestock CH4 inventories. Sources of uncertainty in enteric CH4 emissions include animal inventories, feed dry matter intake (DMI), ingredient and chemical composition of the diets, and CH4 emission factors. There is also significant uncertainty associated with enteric CH4 measurements. The most widely used techniques are respiration chambers, the sulfur hexafluoride (SF6) tracer technique, and the automated head-chamber system (GreenFeed; C-Lock Inc., Rapid City, SD). All 3 methods have been successfully used in a large number of experiments with dairy or beef cattle in various environmental conditions, although studies that compare techniques have reported inconsistent results. Although different types of models have been developed to predict enteric CH4 emissions, relatively simple empirical (statistical) models have been commonly used for inventory purposes because of their broad applicability and ease of use compared with more detailed empirical and process-based mechanistic models. However, extant empirical models used to predict enteric CH4 emissions suffer from narrow spatial focus, limited observations, and limitations of the statistical technique used. Therefore, prediction models must be developed from robust data sets that can only be generated through collaboration of scientists across the world. To achieve high prediction accuracy, these data sets should encompass a wide range of diets and production systems within regions and globally. Overall, enteric CH4 prediction models are based on various animal or feed characteristic inputs but are dominated by DMI in one form or another. As a result, accurate prediction of DMI is essential for accurate prediction of livestock CH4 emissions. Analysis of a large data set of individual dairy cattle data showed that simplified enteric CH4 prediction models based on DMI alone or DMI and limited feed- or animal-related inputs can predict average CH4 emission with a similar accuracy to more complex empirical models. These simplified models can be reliably used for emission inventory purposes.
- Published
- 2018
24. Symposium review: Uncertainties in enteric methane inventories, measurement techniques, and prediction models
- Author
-
Hristov, Alexander N., Kebreab, Ermias, Niu, Mutian, Oh, Joonpyo, Bannink, André, Bayat, Ali Reza, Boland, Tommy, Brito, André F., Casper, David, Crompton, Les A., Dijkstra, Jan, Eugène, Maguy, Garnsworthy, Philip C., Haque, Najmul, Hellwing, Anne L.F., Huhtanen, Pekka J., Kreuzer, Michael, Kuhla, Björn, Lund, Peter, Madsen, Jørgen, Martin, Cécile, McClelland, Shelby C., Moate, Peter J., Muetzel, Stefan, Muñoz, Camila, O'Kiely, Padraig, Peiren, Nico, Reynolds, Christopher K., Schwarm, Angela, Shingfield, Kevin J., Storlien, Tonje M., Weisbjerg, Martin R., Yáñez Ruiz, David R., and Yu, Zhongtang
- Subjects
prediction model ,livestock ,13. Climate action ,uncertainty ,enteric methane - Abstract
Ruminant production systems are important contributors to anthropogenic methane (CH4) emissions, but there are large uncertainties in national and global livestock CH4 inventories. Sources of uncertainty in enteric CH4 emissions include animal inventories, feed dry matter intake (DMI), ingredient and chemical composition of the diets, and CH4 emission factors. There is also significant uncertainty associated with enteric CH4 measurements. The most widely used techniques are respiration chambers, the sulfur hexafluoride (SF6) tracer technique, and the automated head-chamber system (GreenFeed; C-Lock Inc., Rapid City, SD). All 3 methods have been successfully used in a large number of experiments with dairy or beef cattle in various environmental conditions, although studies that compare techniques have reported inconsistent results. Although different types of models have been developed to predict enteric CH4 emissions, relatively simple empirical (statistical) models have been commonly used for inventory purposes because of their broad applicability and ease of use compared with more detailed empirical and process-based mechanistic models. However, extant empirical models used to predict enteric CH4 emissions suffer from narrow spatial focus, limited observations, and limitations of the statistical technique used. Therefore, prediction models must be developed from robust data sets that can only be generated through collaboration of scientists across the world. To achieve high prediction accuracy, these data sets should encompass a wide range of diets and production systems within regions and globally. Overall, enteric CH4 prediction models are based on various animal or feed characteristic inputs but are dominated by DMI in one form or another. As a result, accurate prediction of DMI is essential for accurate prediction of livestock CH4 emissions. Analysis of a large data set of individual dairy cattle data showed that simplified enteric CH4 prediction models based on DMI alone or DMI and limited feed- or animal-related inputs can predict average CH4 emission with a similar accuracy to more complex empirical models. These simplified models can be reliably used for emission inventory purposes., Journal of Dairy Science, 101 (7), ISSN:0022-0302, ISSN:1525-3198
25. Prediction of enteric methane production, yield, and intensity in dairy cattle using an intercontinental database
- Author
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Niu, Mutian, Kebreab, Ermias, Hristov, Alexander N., Oh, Joonpyo, Arndt, Claudia, Bannink, André, Bayat, Ali R., Brito, André F., Boland, Tommy, Casper, David, Crompton, Les A., Dijkstra, Jan, Eugène, Maguy, Garnsworthy, Phil C., Haque, Najmul, Hellwing, Anne L.F., Huhtanen, Pekka J., Kreuzer, Michael, Kuhla, Björn, Lund, Peter, Madsen, Jørgen, Martin, Cécile, McClelland, Shelby C., McGee, Mark, Moate, Peter J., Muetzel, Stefan, Muñoz, Camila, O'Kiely, Padraig, Peiren, Nico, Reynolds, Christopher K., Schwarm, Angela, Shingfield, Kevin J., Storlien, Tonje M., Weisbjerg, Martin R., Yáñez Ruiz, David R., and Yu, Zhongtang
- Subjects
2. Zero hunger ,enteric methane emissions ,13. Climate action ,prediction models ,dairy cows ,Dry matter intake ,methane intensity ,methane yield - Abstract
Enteric methane (CH4) production from cattle contributes to global greenhouse gas emissions. Measurement of enteric CH4 is complex, expensive, and impractical at large scales; therefore, models are commonly used to predict CH4 production. However, building robust prediction models requires extensive data from animals under different management systems worldwide. The objectives of this study were to (1) collate a global database of enteric CH4 production from individual lactating dairy cattle; (2) determine the availability of key variables for predicting enteric CH4 production (g/day per cow), yield [g/kg dry matter intake (DMI)], and intensity (g/kg energy corrected milk) and their respective relationships; (3) develop intercontinental and regional models and cross‐validate their performance; and (4) assess the trade‐off between availability of on‐farm inputs and CH4 prediction accuracy. The intercontinental database covered Europe (EU), the United States (US), and Australia (AU). A sequential approach was taken by incrementally adding key variables to develop models with increasing complexity. Methane emissions were predicted by fitting linear mixed models. Within model categories, an intercontinental model with the most available independent variables performed best with root mean square prediction error (RMSPE) as a percentage of mean observed value of 16.6%, 14.7%, and 19.8% for intercontinental, EU, and United States regions, respectively. Less complex models requiring only DMI had predictive ability comparable to complex models. Enteric CH4 production, yield, and intensity prediction models developed on an intercontinental basis had similar performance across regions, however, intercepts and slopes were different with implications for prediction. Revised CH4 emission conversion factors for specific regions are required to improve CH4 production estimates in national inventories. In conclusion, information on DMI is required for good prediction, and other factors such as dietary neutral detergent fiber (NDF) concentration, improve the prediction. For enteric CH4 yield and intensity prediction, information on milk yield and composition is required for better estimation., Global Change Biology, 24 (8), ISSN:1354-1013, ISSN:1365-2486
26. Prediction of enteric methane production, yield and intensity in dairy cattle using an intercontinental database
- Author
-
Niu, Mutian, Kebreab, Ermias, Hristov, Alexander N., Oh, Joonpyo, Arndt, Claudia, Bannink, André, Bayat, Ali R., Brito, André F., Boland, Tommy, Casper, David, Crompton, Les A., Dijkstra, Jan, Eugène, Maguy A., Garnsworthy, P.C., Haque, Md Najmul, Hellwing, Anne L. F., Huhtanen, Pekka, Kreuzer, Michael, Kuhla, Bjoern, Lund, Peter, Madsen, Jørgen, Martin, Cécile, McClelland, Shelby C., McGee, Mark, Moate, Peter J., Muetzel, Stefan, Muñoz, Camila, O’Kiely, Padraig, Peiren, Nico, Reynolds, Christopher K., Schwarm, Angela, Shingfield, Kevin J., Storlien, Tonje M., Weisbjerg, Martin R., Yáñez-Ruiz, David R., Yu, Zhongtang, Niu, Mutian, Kebreab, Ermias, Hristov, Alexander N., Oh, Joonpyo, Arndt, Claudia, Bannink, André, Bayat, Ali R., Brito, André F., Boland, Tommy, Casper, David, Crompton, Les A., Dijkstra, Jan, Eugène, Maguy A., Garnsworthy, P.C., Haque, Md Najmul, Hellwing, Anne L. F., Huhtanen, Pekka, Kreuzer, Michael, Kuhla, Bjoern, Lund, Peter, Madsen, Jørgen, Martin, Cécile, McClelland, Shelby C., McGee, Mark, Moate, Peter J., Muetzel, Stefan, Muñoz, Camila, O’Kiely, Padraig, Peiren, Nico, Reynolds, Christopher K., Schwarm, Angela, Shingfield, Kevin J., Storlien, Tonje M., Weisbjerg, Martin R., Yáñez-Ruiz, David R., and Yu, Zhongtang
- Abstract
Enteric methane (CH₄) production from cattle contributes to global greenhouse gas emissions. Measurement of enteric CH₄ is complex, expensive and impractical at large scales; therefore, models are commonly used to predict CH₄ production. However, building robust prediction models requires extensive data from animals under different management systems worldwide. The objectives of this study were to (1) collate a global database of enteric CH₄ production from individual lactating dairy cattle; (2) determine the availability of key variables for predicting enteric CH₄ production (g/d per cow), yield [g/kg dry matter intake (DMI)], and intensity (g/kg energy corrected milk) and their respective relationships; (3) develop intercontinental and regional models and cross-validate their performance; and (4) assess the trade-off between availability of on-farm inputs and CH₄ prediction accuracy. The intercontinental database covered Europe (EU), the US (US), Chile (CL), Australia (AU), and New Zealand (NZ). A sequential approach was taken by incrementally adding key variables to develop models with increasing complexity. Methane emissions were predicted by fitting linear mixed models. Within model categories, an intercontinental model with the most available independent variables performed best with root mean square prediction error (RMSPE) as a percentage of mean observed value of 16.6, 14.4, and 19.8% for intercontinental, EU, and US regions, respectively. Less complex models requiring only DMI had predictive ability comparable to complex models. Enteric CH₄ production, yield, and intensity prediction models developed on an intercontinental basis had similar performance across regions, however, intercepts and slopes were different with implications for prediction. Revised CH₄ emission conversion factors for specific regions are required to improve CH₄ production estimates in national inventories. In conclusion, information on DMI is required for good prediction, and other f
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
27. Prediction of enteric methane production, yield and intensity in dairy cattle using an intercontinental database
- Author
-
Niu, Mutian, Kebreab, Ermias, Hristov, Alexander N., Oh, Joonpyo, Arndt, Claudia, Bannink, André, Bayat, Ali R., Brito, André F., Boland, Tommy, Casper, David, Crompton, Les A., Dijkstra, Jan, Eugène, Maguy A., Garnsworthy, P.C., Haque, Md Najmul, Hellwing, Anne L. F., Huhtanen, Pekka, Kreuzer, Michael, Kuhla, Bjoern, Lund, Peter, Madsen, Jørgen, Martin, Cécile, McClelland, Shelby C., McGee, Mark, Moate, Peter J., Muetzel, Stefan, Muñoz, Camila, O’Kiely, Padraig, Peiren, Nico, Reynolds, Christopher K., Schwarm, Angela, Shingfield, Kevin J., Storlien, Tonje M., Weisbjerg, Martin R., Yáñez-Ruiz, David R., Yu, Zhongtang, Niu, Mutian, Kebreab, Ermias, Hristov, Alexander N., Oh, Joonpyo, Arndt, Claudia, Bannink, André, Bayat, Ali R., Brito, André F., Boland, Tommy, Casper, David, Crompton, Les A., Dijkstra, Jan, Eugène, Maguy A., Garnsworthy, P.C., Haque, Md Najmul, Hellwing, Anne L. F., Huhtanen, Pekka, Kreuzer, Michael, Kuhla, Bjoern, Lund, Peter, Madsen, Jørgen, Martin, Cécile, McClelland, Shelby C., McGee, Mark, Moate, Peter J., Muetzel, Stefan, Muñoz, Camila, O’Kiely, Padraig, Peiren, Nico, Reynolds, Christopher K., Schwarm, Angela, Shingfield, Kevin J., Storlien, Tonje M., Weisbjerg, Martin R., Yáñez-Ruiz, David R., and Yu, Zhongtang
- Abstract
Enteric methane (CH₄) production from cattle contributes to global greenhouse gas emissions. Measurement of enteric CH₄ is complex, expensive and impractical at large scales; therefore, models are commonly used to predict CH₄ production. However, building robust prediction models requires extensive data from animals under different management systems worldwide. The objectives of this study were to (1) collate a global database of enteric CH₄ production from individual lactating dairy cattle; (2) determine the availability of key variables for predicting enteric CH₄ production (g/d per cow), yield [g/kg dry matter intake (DMI)], and intensity (g/kg energy corrected milk) and their respective relationships; (3) develop intercontinental and regional models and cross-validate their performance; and (4) assess the trade-off between availability of on-farm inputs and CH₄ prediction accuracy. The intercontinental database covered Europe (EU), the US (US), Chile (CL), Australia (AU), and New Zealand (NZ). A sequential approach was taken by incrementally adding key variables to develop models with increasing complexity. Methane emissions were predicted by fitting linear mixed models. Within model categories, an intercontinental model with the most available independent variables performed best with root mean square prediction error (RMSPE) as a percentage of mean observed value of 16.6, 14.4, and 19.8% for intercontinental, EU, and US regions, respectively. Less complex models requiring only DMI had predictive ability comparable to complex models. Enteric CH₄ production, yield, and intensity prediction models developed on an intercontinental basis had similar performance across regions, however, intercepts and slopes were different with implications for prediction. Revised CH₄ emission conversion factors for specific regions are required to improve CH₄ production estimates in national inventories. In conclusion, information on DMI is required for good prediction, and other f
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
28. Prediction of enteric methane production, yield and intensity in dairy cattle using an intercontinental database
- Author
-
Niu, Mutian, Kebreab, Ermias, Hristov, Alexander N., Oh, Joonpyo, Arndt, Claudia, Bannink, André, Bayat, Ali R., Brito, André F., Boland, Tommy, Casper, David, Crompton, Les A., Dijkstra, Jan, Eugène, Maguy A., Garnsworthy, P.C., Haque, Md Najmul, Hellwing, Anne L. F., Huhtanen, Pekka, Kreuzer, Michael, Kuhla, Bjoern, Lund, Peter, Madsen, Jørgen, Martin, Cécile, McClelland, Shelby C., McGee, Mark, Moate, Peter J., Muetzel, Stefan, Muñoz, Camila, O’Kiely, Padraig, Peiren, Nico, Reynolds, Christopher K., Schwarm, Angela, Shingfield, Kevin J., Storlien, Tonje M., Weisbjerg, Martin R., Yáñez-Ruiz, David R., Yu, Zhongtang, Niu, Mutian, Kebreab, Ermias, Hristov, Alexander N., Oh, Joonpyo, Arndt, Claudia, Bannink, André, Bayat, Ali R., Brito, André F., Boland, Tommy, Casper, David, Crompton, Les A., Dijkstra, Jan, Eugène, Maguy A., Garnsworthy, P.C., Haque, Md Najmul, Hellwing, Anne L. F., Huhtanen, Pekka, Kreuzer, Michael, Kuhla, Bjoern, Lund, Peter, Madsen, Jørgen, Martin, Cécile, McClelland, Shelby C., McGee, Mark, Moate, Peter J., Muetzel, Stefan, Muñoz, Camila, O’Kiely, Padraig, Peiren, Nico, Reynolds, Christopher K., Schwarm, Angela, Shingfield, Kevin J., Storlien, Tonje M., Weisbjerg, Martin R., Yáñez-Ruiz, David R., and Yu, Zhongtang
- Abstract
Enteric methane (CH₄) production from cattle contributes to global greenhouse gas emissions. Measurement of enteric CH₄ is complex, expensive and impractical at large scales; therefore, models are commonly used to predict CH₄ production. However, building robust prediction models requires extensive data from animals under different management systems worldwide. The objectives of this study were to (1) collate a global database of enteric CH₄ production from individual lactating dairy cattle; (2) determine the availability of key variables for predicting enteric CH₄ production (g/d per cow), yield [g/kg dry matter intake (DMI)], and intensity (g/kg energy corrected milk) and their respective relationships; (3) develop intercontinental and regional models and cross-validate their performance; and (4) assess the trade-off between availability of on-farm inputs and CH₄ prediction accuracy. The intercontinental database covered Europe (EU), the US (US), Chile (CL), Australia (AU), and New Zealand (NZ). A sequential approach was taken by incrementally adding key variables to develop models with increasing complexity. Methane emissions were predicted by fitting linear mixed models. Within model categories, an intercontinental model with the most available independent variables performed best with root mean square prediction error (RMSPE) as a percentage of mean observed value of 16.6, 14.4, and 19.8% for intercontinental, EU, and US regions, respectively. Less complex models requiring only DMI had predictive ability comparable to complex models. Enteric CH₄ production, yield, and intensity prediction models developed on an intercontinental basis had similar performance across regions, however, intercepts and slopes were different with implications for prediction. Revised CH₄ emission conversion factors for specific regions are required to improve CH₄ production estimates in national inventories. In conclusion, information on DMI is required for good prediction, and other f
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
29. Prediction of enteric methane production, yield and intensity in dairy cattle using an intercontinental database
- Author
-
Niu, Mutian, Kebreab, Ermias, Hristov, Alexander N., Oh, Joonpyo, Arndt, Claudia, Bannink, André, Bayat, Ali R., Brito, André F., Boland, Tommy, Casper, David, Crompton, Les A., Dijkstra, Jan, Eugène, Maguy A., Garnsworthy, P.C., Haque, Md Najmul, Hellwing, Anne L. F., Huhtanen, Pekka, Kreuzer, Michael, Kuhla, Bjoern, Lund, Peter, Madsen, Jørgen, Martin, Cécile, McClelland, Shelby C., McGee, Mark, Moate, Peter J., Muetzel, Stefan, Muñoz, Camila, O’Kiely, Padraig, Peiren, Nico, Reynolds, Christopher K., Schwarm, Angela, Shingfield, Kevin J., Storlien, Tonje M., Weisbjerg, Martin R., Yáñez-Ruiz, David R., Yu, Zhongtang, Niu, Mutian, Kebreab, Ermias, Hristov, Alexander N., Oh, Joonpyo, Arndt, Claudia, Bannink, André, Bayat, Ali R., Brito, André F., Boland, Tommy, Casper, David, Crompton, Les A., Dijkstra, Jan, Eugène, Maguy A., Garnsworthy, P.C., Haque, Md Najmul, Hellwing, Anne L. F., Huhtanen, Pekka, Kreuzer, Michael, Kuhla, Bjoern, Lund, Peter, Madsen, Jørgen, Martin, Cécile, McClelland, Shelby C., McGee, Mark, Moate, Peter J., Muetzel, Stefan, Muñoz, Camila, O’Kiely, Padraig, Peiren, Nico, Reynolds, Christopher K., Schwarm, Angela, Shingfield, Kevin J., Storlien, Tonje M., Weisbjerg, Martin R., Yáñez-Ruiz, David R., and Yu, Zhongtang
- Abstract
Enteric methane (CH₄) production from cattle contributes to global greenhouse gas emissions. Measurement of enteric CH₄ is complex, expensive and impractical at large scales; therefore, models are commonly used to predict CH₄ production. However, building robust prediction models requires extensive data from animals under different management systems worldwide. The objectives of this study were to (1) collate a global database of enteric CH₄ production from individual lactating dairy cattle; (2) determine the availability of key variables for predicting enteric CH₄ production (g/d per cow), yield [g/kg dry matter intake (DMI)], and intensity (g/kg energy corrected milk) and their respective relationships; (3) develop intercontinental and regional models and cross-validate their performance; and (4) assess the trade-off between availability of on-farm inputs and CH₄ prediction accuracy. The intercontinental database covered Europe (EU), the US (US), Chile (CL), Australia (AU), and New Zealand (NZ). A sequential approach was taken by incrementally adding key variables to develop models with increasing complexity. Methane emissions were predicted by fitting linear mixed models. Within model categories, an intercontinental model with the most available independent variables performed best with root mean square prediction error (RMSPE) as a percentage of mean observed value of 16.6, 14.4, and 19.8% for intercontinental, EU, and US regions, respectively. Less complex models requiring only DMI had predictive ability comparable to complex models. Enteric CH₄ production, yield, and intensity prediction models developed on an intercontinental basis had similar performance across regions, however, intercepts and slopes were different with implications for prediction. Revised CH₄ emission conversion factors for specific regions are required to improve CH₄ production estimates in national inventories. In conclusion, information on DMI is required for good prediction, and other f
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
30. Prediction of enteric methane production, yield and intensity in dairy cattle using an intercontinental database
- Author
-
Niu, Mutian, Kebreab, Ermias, Hristov, Alexander N., Oh, Joonpyo, Arndt, Claudia, Bannink, André, Bayat, Ali R., Brito, André F., Boland, Tommy, Casper, David, Crompton, Les A., Dijkstra, Jan, Eugène, Maguy A., Garnsworthy, P.C., Haque, Md Najmul, Hellwing, Anne L. F., Huhtanen, Pekka, Kreuzer, Michael, Kuhla, Bjoern, Lund, Peter, Madsen, Jørgen, Martin, Cécile, McClelland, Shelby C., McGee, Mark, Moate, Peter J., Muetzel, Stefan, Muñoz, Camila, O’Kiely, Padraig, Peiren, Nico, Reynolds, Christopher K., Schwarm, Angela, Shingfield, Kevin J., Storlien, Tonje M., Weisbjerg, Martin R., Yáñez-Ruiz, David R., Yu, Zhongtang, Niu, Mutian, Kebreab, Ermias, Hristov, Alexander N., Oh, Joonpyo, Arndt, Claudia, Bannink, André, Bayat, Ali R., Brito, André F., Boland, Tommy, Casper, David, Crompton, Les A., Dijkstra, Jan, Eugène, Maguy A., Garnsworthy, P.C., Haque, Md Najmul, Hellwing, Anne L. F., Huhtanen, Pekka, Kreuzer, Michael, Kuhla, Bjoern, Lund, Peter, Madsen, Jørgen, Martin, Cécile, McClelland, Shelby C., McGee, Mark, Moate, Peter J., Muetzel, Stefan, Muñoz, Camila, O’Kiely, Padraig, Peiren, Nico, Reynolds, Christopher K., Schwarm, Angela, Shingfield, Kevin J., Storlien, Tonje M., Weisbjerg, Martin R., Yáñez-Ruiz, David R., and Yu, Zhongtang
- Abstract
Enteric methane (CH₄) production from cattle contributes to global greenhouse gas emissions. Measurement of enteric CH₄ is complex, expensive and impractical at large scales; therefore, models are commonly used to predict CH₄ production. However, building robust prediction models requires extensive data from animals under different management systems worldwide. The objectives of this study were to (1) collate a global database of enteric CH₄ production from individual lactating dairy cattle; (2) determine the availability of key variables for predicting enteric CH₄ production (g/d per cow), yield [g/kg dry matter intake (DMI)], and intensity (g/kg energy corrected milk) and their respective relationships; (3) develop intercontinental and regional models and cross-validate their performance; and (4) assess the trade-off between availability of on-farm inputs and CH₄ prediction accuracy. The intercontinental database covered Europe (EU), the US (US), Chile (CL), Australia (AU), and New Zealand (NZ). A sequential approach was taken by incrementally adding key variables to develop models with increasing complexity. Methane emissions were predicted by fitting linear mixed models. Within model categories, an intercontinental model with the most available independent variables performed best with root mean square prediction error (RMSPE) as a percentage of mean observed value of 16.6, 14.4, and 19.8% for intercontinental, EU, and US regions, respectively. Less complex models requiring only DMI had predictive ability comparable to complex models. Enteric CH₄ production, yield, and intensity prediction models developed on an intercontinental basis had similar performance across regions, however, intercepts and slopes were different with implications for prediction. Revised CH₄ emission conversion factors for specific regions are required to improve CH₄ production estimates in national inventories. In conclusion, information on DMI is required for good prediction, and other f
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
31. Opportunities for carbon sequestration from removing or intensifying pasture-based beef production.
- Author
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Hayek MN, Piipponen J, Kummu M, Resare Sahlin K, McClelland SC, and Carlson K
- Subjects
- Animals, Cattle, Climate Change, Ecosystem, Animal Husbandry methods, Carbon Dioxide metabolism, Carbon Sequestration, Red Meat
- Abstract
Pastures, on which ruminant livestock graze, occupy one third of the earth's surface. Removing livestock from pastures can support climate change mitigation through carbon sequestration in regrowing vegetation and recovering soils, particularly in potentially forested areas. However, this would also decrease food and fiber production, generating a tradeoff with pasture productivity and the ruminant meat production pastures support. We evaluate the magnitude and distribution of this tradeoff globally, called the "carbon opportunity intensity" of pastures, at a 5-arcminute resolution. We find that removing beef-producing cattle from high-carbon intensity pastures could sequester 34 (22 to 43) GtC i.e. 125 (80 to 158) GtCO
2 into ecosystems, which is an amount greater than global fossil CO2 emissions from 2021-2023. This would lead to only a minor loss of 13 (9 to 18)% of the global total beef production on pastures, predominantly within high- and upper-middle-income countries. If areas with low-carbon intensity pastures and less efficient beef production simultaneously intensified their beef production to 47% of OECD levels, this could fully counterbalance the global loss of beef production. The carbon opportunity intensity can inform policy approaches to restore ecosystems while minimizing food losses. Future work should aim to provide higher-resolution estimates for use at local and farm scales, and to incorporate a wider set of environmental indicators of outcomes beyond carbon., Competing Interests: Competing interests statement:The authors declare no competing interest.- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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