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Background: In coming decades the proportion of very elderly people living in the Western world will dramatically increase. This forthcoming "grey epidemic" will lead to an explosion of chronic diseases. In order to anticipate booming health care expenditures and to assure that social security is funded in the future, research focusing on the relationship between chronic diseases, frailty and disability is needed. The general aim of the BELFRAIL cohort study (BFC80+) is to study the dynamic interaction between health, frailty and disability in a multi-system approach focusing on cardiac dysfunction and chronic heart failure, lung function, sarcopenia, renal insufficiency and immunosenescence.Methods/design: The BFC80+ is a prospective, observational, population-based cohort study of subjects aged 80 years and older in three well-circumscribed areas of Belgium. In total, 29 general practitioner (GP) centres were asked to include patients aged 80 and older. Only three exclusion criteria were used: severe dementia, in palliative care and medical emergency. Two sampling methods for the recruitment of patients were used. Between November 2, 2008 and September 15, 2009, 567 subjects were included in the BFC80+ study. Every study participant was invited to undergo four study visits. The GP recorded background variables and medical history and performed a detailed anamnesis and clinical examination. The clinical research assistant performed an extensive examination including performance testing, questionnaires and technical examinations. Echocardiography was performed at home by a cardiologist. A blood sample was collected in the morning. Follow-up reporting of hard outcome measures including mortality, hospitalization and morbidity was organized. A second data collection is planned after 18 months.Discussion: The BFC80+ was designed to acquire a better understanding of the epidemiology and pathophysiology of chronic diseases in the very elderly and to study the dynamic interaction between health, frailty and disability in a multi-system approach. The wide variety of dimensions investigated in the BFC80+ will enable us not only to investigate in depth the relationship between the different physiological systems but also to initiate new research questions based on this unique database of community-dwelling elderly. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The emerging postpartum rehabilitation (PPR) program in Chinese hospitals characterized by applying ongoing medical care through traditional cultural practices shows a protective effect in early puerperium in China. This study explores the benefit of PPR program practices to postpartum depression (PPD) and the influencing factors for PPD among Chinese women during the first postnatal six weeks., Methods: The cross-sectional study included 403 participants and was conducted in a Secondary Municipal Hospital in Qingdao, China, from 01 to 2018 to 31 December 2021. Information on this PPR program was collected during the six-weeks postpartum consultation, including the Edinburgh postnatal depression scale (EPDS) scores, the measurement results for diastasis recti abdominis, and the international physical activity questionnaire (long form) (IPAQ-L) scores. Logistic regression models were used to examine the effect of the PPR program on PPD among the local population. The secondary aim of this study was to investigate possible influencing factors for PPD, such as coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), physical exercises, etc. RESULTS: PPR program has shown a positive effect in preventing PPD (p < 0.001) and diastasis recti prevalence (p < 0.001) during the six-weeks postnatal control in Qingdao, China. Better post-pregnancy weight reduction (p = 0.04) and higher metabolic equivalent of task (MET) value (p < 0.001) were noticed in the non-PPR group. Furthermore, lower PPD risk was associated with factors such as longer relationship duration years (2-5 years) (p = 0.04) and exercising one to three times a week (p = 0.01). A higher PPD risk was related to factors such as urinary incontinence during the postpartum period (p = 0.04) and subjective insomnia (p < 0.001). No significant effect was shown between COVID-19 and the EPDS score in this study (p = 0.50)., Conclusion: Our results suggested that the PPR program provided protection against PPD and diastasis recti during the first six weeks after delivery. Urinary incontinence and subjective insomnia were the main risk factors for PPD, while longer relationship duration years and exercising one to three times a week gave protective effects to PPD. This study emphasized that a comprehensive ongoing medical care program, such as the PPR program, effectively improves women's mental and physical health in the early postpartum in China., (© 2023. The Author(s).)

Wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) is a complementary approach to monitor alcohol consumption in the general population. This method measures concentrations of xenobiotic biomarkers (e.g., ethyl sulphate) in influent wastewater (IWW) and converts these to population-normalized mass loads (PNML, in g/day/1000 inhabitants) by multiplying with the flow rate and dividing by the catchment population. The aims of this case study were to: (i) investigate temporal trends in alcohol use during the COVID-19 pandemic; and (ii) measure the effect of policy measures on alcohol consumption. Daily 24-h composite IWW samples (n = 735) were collected in the wastewater treatment plant of the university city of Leuven (Belgium) starting from September 2019 to September 2021. This is the first study that investigates alcohol use through WBE for a continuous period of two years on a daily basis. Mobile phone data was used to accurately capture population fluxes in the catchment area. Data was evaluated using a time series based statistical framework to graphically and quantitatively assess temporal differences in the measured PNML. Different WBE studies observed temporal changes in alcohol use during the COVID-19 pandemic. In this study, the PNML of ethyl sulphate decreased during the first lockdown phase, potentially indicating that less alcohol was consumed at the Leuven area during home confinement. Contrastingly, alcohol use increased after the re-opening of the catering industry. Additionally, a decrease in alcohol use was observed during the exam periods at the University of Leuven and an increase during the holiday periods. The present study shows the potential of WBE to rapidly assess the impact of some policy measures on alcohol consumption in Belgium. This study also indicates that WBE could be employed as a complementary data source to fill in some of the current knowledge gaps linked to lifestyle behavior., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2022 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)

Background: Sleep disorders, including insomnia, are widespread problems, which have increased during the COVID-19 pandemic. Guidelines for the treatment of insomnia prioritize non-pharmacological interventions. Nevertheless, primary care professionals lack well-developed material for patient education, that could help implement the treatment guidelines in Flanders, Belgium., Objective: This project's purpose is to develop complementary, written educational material, grounded in the principles of evidence-based practice, for primary care., Patient Involvement: This co-design project involved patients and health professionals. Special attention was given to including patients with low health literacy, and empowering patients when designing in mixed groups., Methods: Based on the framework of Sanders and Stappers (2014), data were collected and analyzed in four phases. Pre-design, needs were explored using think-aloud studies and focus groups. Next, for generative purposes, the design studio method was used. Then, evaluation of the prototype happened with another series of think-aloud studies. Finally, post-design, implementation of the product was evaluated with a short survey., Results: Twenty-five participants (10 patients and 15 healthcare professionals) contributed to the development of an educational patient leaflet called Sssssst. How do you sleep (at night)? Out of 30 professionals who received the printed leaflet for use in practice, 17 provided feedback after six months. Generally, the leaflet was well received. Visual design aspects stimulated use in practice., Discussion: Written and visual materials aid primary care professionals to educate patients on sleep and insomnia. This supporting tool also stimulates self-management in patients. Although inspiring and educational for all stakeholders, a co-design approach is no guarantee for the product to "fit all"., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest None., (Copyright © 2022 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background: Contrary to most European guidelines, benzodiazepine receptor agonists (BZRA) are often used continuously at a low dosage, being the most common form of long-term use. In Belgium, BZRA use is monitored by analyzing self-report data about medication use in the last 24 h. This method provides insufficient insight into the terms of use of these psychoactive drugs., Aim: To describe trends in BZRA prescribing in Flanders, Belgium, between 2000 and 2019., Design and Setting: Population-based trend analysis and a case-control study for the year 2019 were done with data from a morbidity registry in general practice., Methods: Repeated cross-sectional and joinpoint regression analyses revealed trends in sex- and age-standardized prescription rates among adult patients (18+)., Results: Overall, BZRA prescriptions increased. The highest overall increase was found among male patients 18-44 years old, with an average annual percentage change of 2.5 (95% CI: 0.9, 4.3). Among 65+ female patients, a decrease was found since 2006, with an annual percentage change of -0.7 (95% CI: -1.3, -0.1). In 2019, 12% of registered patients received minimally one prescription, long-term use was observed in 5%, back pain was the most common morbidity significantly associated with a rise in BZRA prescriptions, and zolpidem was the most prescribed BZRA (22%)., Conclusion: Despite some statistically significant decreasing trends, an overall increase in BZRA prescriptions was observed throughout the 19-year study period, especially among long-term users of 18-44 years and 65-plus. Zolpidem became the most prescribed BZRA and warrants more attention., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2022 Coteur, Mamouris, Vaes, Van Nuland, Matheï and Schoenmakers.)

Young people living with perinatal infections of Human Immunodeficiency Virus (YLPHIV) face a chronic disease, with treatment including adherence to lifelong antiretroviral treatment (ART). The aim of this QES was to explore adherence to ART for YLPHIV as an assemblage within the framework of the biopsychosocial model with a new materialist perspective. We searched up to November 2021 and followed the ENTREQ and Cochrane guidelines for QES. All screening, data extraction, and critical appraisal were done in duplicate. We analysed and interpreted the findings innovatively by creating images of meaning, a storyboard, and storylines. We then reported the findings in a first-person narrative story. We included 47 studies and identified 9 storylines. We found that treatment adherence has less to do with humans' preferences, motivations, needs, and dispositions and more to do with how bodies, viruses, things, ideas, institutions, environments, social processes, and social structures assemble. This QES highlights that adherence to ART for YLPHIV is a multisensorial experience in a multi-agentic world. Future research into rethinking the linear and casual inferences we are accustomed to in evidence-based health care is needed if we are to adopt multidisciplinary approaches to address pressing issues such as adherence to ART.

Hazardous alcohol use is one of the leading risk factors for morbidity and mortality in the world. Early identification and brief interventions (EIBIs) delivered in primary care is an effective but underutilized strategy to address this issue. Community-oriented strategies (COS) are suggested to facilitate EIBI delivery. COS are public health activities directed to the general population raising awareness and encouraging behaviour change. Unfortunately, it remains unclear what these COS should comprise and what their added value might be in EIBI delivery. To map the available information on COS aiming to facilitate alcohol-related EIBI delivery in general practice. A scoping review, following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses for Scoping reviews guidelines, was used to map both grey and peer-reviewed literature. Of the 6586 information sources screened, 8 sources were retained in this review. Three COS are currently described in the literature, all with their different components. They include the use of mass media, self-assessment tools and waiting room actions. Waiting room actions comprising audio recordings or computerized self-assessment tools significantly increase the discussion on alcohol use in primary care. The effect of mass media and community-wide self-assessment tools on EIBI delivery remains to be determined. Currently, the described COS lack empirical justification to motivate their added value in facilitating EIBI delivery. However, a theoretical reflection showed the use of a limited set of behaviour change techniques, which might support the use of COS. There remains a lot of possible strategies to explore. This review highlights the current evidence gap and discusses the next steps., (© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Background and Aims: Wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) is a complementary epidemiological data source to monitor stimulant consumption. The aims were to: (i) study intra- and inter-year temporal changes in stimulant use in Belgium during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic; and (ii) evaluate the effect of COVID-19 restrictive measures on stimulant consumption., Methods: The study population corresponded to the catchments of four wastewater treatment plants corresponding with four Belgian cities (i.e., Antwerp-Zuid, Boom, Brussels, Leuven). Daily 24-h composite influent wastewater samples collected over one week in September 2019 and March through June 2020 during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic were analyzed for biomarkers of amphetamine, cocaine, methamphetamine and 3,4-methylenedioxymethamphetamine (MDMA). Measured concentrations were converted to population-normalized mass loads by considering the daily flow rate and the catchment population size. Mobile network data was used to accurately capture population movements in the different catchment areas. Temporal changes were assessed with multiple linear regression models, and the effect of the COVID-19 interventions on stimulant consumption were investigated., Results: An increase in amphetamine use was observed in three cities during governmental restrictions, with highest consumption predominantly during lockdown. Similarly, cocaine consumption was higher after the pandemic started, with highest consumption noted during the lockdown period in Boom and Leuven. Consumption of MDMA was similar in Antwerp-Zuid, Brussels and Leuven throughout the entire sampled period. In Boom, the highest consumption was observed during the full lockdown period., Conclusions: The present study shows the potential of WBE to assess the impact of stringent lockdown measures on stimulant use in Belgium. This paper shows that strong restrictive measures did not have a profound effect on stimulant consumption., Competing Interests: Declarations of Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2022. Published by Elsevier B.V.)

Background: erectile dysfunction is associated with mortality, whereas the association between low testosterone (T) and higher mortality remains controversial. Sexual dysfunction and low T often coexist, but the relative importance of sexual symptoms versus low T in predicting mortality is not known. We studied the interrelationships between sex steroids and sexual symptoms with all-cause mortality in a large prospective cohort of European men., Design: survival status was assessed in 1,788 community-dwelling men, aged 40-79, who participated in the European Male Ageing Study (EMAS). Sexual symptoms were evaluated via a validated questionnaire (EMAS-SFQ). Sex steroids were measured by mass spectrometry. Cox proportional hazard models were used to study the association between hormones, sexual symptoms and mortality., Results: about 420 (25.3%) men died during a mean follow-up of 12.6 ± 3.1 years. Total T levels were similar in both groups, but free T was lower in those who died. Men with three sexual symptoms (erectile dysfunction, reduced morning erections and lower libido) had a higher mortality risk compared with men with none of these symptoms (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals: 1.75 (1.28-2.40, P = 0.001)). Particularly, erectile dysfunction and poor morning erections, but not lower libido, were associated with increased mortality (HR 1.40 (1.13-1.74, P = 0.002), 1.28 (1.04-1.59, P = 0.023) and 1.12 (0.90-1.39, P = 0.312), respectively). Further adjusting for total T, free T or oestradiol did not influence the observed risk., Conclusions: sexual symptoms, in particular erectile dysfunction, predict all-cause mortality independently of sex steroids and can be an early warning sign of a poor health status., (© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Geriatrics Society. All rights reserved. For permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Aims: Online interventions reduce the treatment gap between the number of people with alcohol misuse and people who actually receive help. This study investigated the effectiveness and predictors of success of a Belgian online help programme., Methods: A real-life retrospective open cohort study evaluating the guided and unguided internet intervention on the Belgian online platform alcoholhulp.be. The intervention consisted of a 12-week programme based upon cognitive behaviour therapy, motivational interviewing and acceptance and commitment therapy. Inclusion criteria are age above 18 years, recording of alcohol consumption in the daily journal for at least 2 weeks, and minimum 2 chat sessions in the guided group.Outcomes were weekly alcohol consumption after 6 and 12 weeks and treatment response (drinking less than 10 or 20 standard units (SU) per week). Additional analysis was done on predictors of success., Results: A total of 460 participants in the guided group and 968 in the self-help group met the inclusion criteria. Average baseline alcohol consumption in the two groups was 40 SU per week. Alcohol consumption decreased by 31 SU (Cohen's d 1.17, p  < 0.001) after 12 weeks in the guided group and 23 SU (Cohen's d 0.83, p < 0.001) in the self-help group. The treatment response below 20 SU per week was 88% for the guided group and 73% for the self-help group. Significantly better results were obtained in the guided group compared to the self-help group ( p  < 0.005). Participants with a higher baseline alcohol consumption had a higher decrease in alcohol consumption in both groups. The personal goal to quit, the absence of drug use, a lower baseline alcohol consumption and a higher number of completed assignments predict a higher chance of treatment response. Attrition at 6 weeks was 26% in the guided group and 63% in the self-help group and increased to 59% and 82% respectively at 12 weeks., Conclusions: Both guided and unguided internet interventions are effective in reducing alcohol consumption and achieving the guideline for participants motivated to use the platform on a regular base, with better results in guided intervention., Competing Interests: Herwig Claeys is employed as project manager at alcoholhulp.be. Bert Aertgeerts and Catharina Matheï are Principal Investigators of the PINO research project, sponsored by the ABInbev foundation. All other authors declare no conflict of interest., (© 2022 The Authors.)

Background: Hazardous alcohol use significantly affects health and wellbeing in society. General practitioners (GPs) are uniquely positioned to address this problem by integrating early identification and brief intervention (EIBI) in daily practice. Unfortunately, EIBI implementation remains low. Community-oriented strategies (COS), defined as public health activities directed to the general population, are suggested to address this implementation gap. COS aim to increase the understanding, engagement and empowerment within the population to facilitate EIBI delivery. However, no consensus on what COS should contain exists., Objectives: To obtain insight in the stakeholders' perspectives and create consensus with them on COS with the highest potential to facilitate EIBI delivery., Methods: Four nominal group sessions were conducted with 31 stakeholders representing 12 different stakeholder groups from Leuven (Belgium). Stakeholders generated ideas, reflected on them in group and prioritised them anonymously, creating four separate lists. Merging these lists with their relative scores resulted in a master list, which was checked for accuracy through a member check. Qualitative content analysis on the stakeholder's notes provided an in-depth exploration of their perspectives., Results: Twenty-one strategies were identified, nine of which were COS. Highlighting the GPs' proactive role was considered most relevant. Other foci included creating awareness on the effects of alcohol use and normalising discussing alcohol use within the community. A holistic approach, exceeding the sole focus on COS, combining community, healthcare and government was accentuated., Conclusion: Stakeholders emphasise addressing the proactive role of GPs as most promising COS, though it should be delivered within a holistic multi-component approach.

Frailty has been related to inflammaging and certain immune parameters. In previous analyses of participants older than 80 years of age in the longitudinal BELFRAIL cohort study, the main focus was on T-cell phenotypes and the association with cytomegalovirus (CMV) serostatus and survival, finding that a CD4:CD8 ratio greater than 5 was associated with frailty, impaired activities of daily living (ADLs), and mortality (but only in women). Here, we phenotyped peripheral blood immune cells via multicolor flow cytometry and correlated these with the dynamics of changes in ADL, geriatric depression score, Mini-Mental State Examination, and Short Physical Performance Battery from baseline values over 18 months follow-up. We found that higher frequencies of B cells and late-differentiated CD8+ T cells at 18 months from baseline were associated with ADL impairment that had worsened over the preceding 18 months. There were no significant associations with monocyte, dendritic cell, or natural killer (NK) cell phenotypes. No associations with the Geriatric Depression Scale, the Mini-Mental State Examination, or the Short Physical Performance Battery were found. Thus, while these results do not establish causality, they suggest that certain adaptive immune, but not innate immune, parameters are associated with a worsened ADL in the very old., (© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Gerontological Society of America. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Background: Primary healthcare-based Early Identification and Brief Intervention (EIBI) for hazardous and harmful alcohol use is both a clinically relevant and cost-effective strategy to reduce heavy drinking. Unfortunately, it remains poorly implemented in daily practice. Multiple studies have shown that training and support (T&S) programs can increase the use of EIBI. Nonetheless, gains have only been modest and short-term at best. Suggestions have been made to rely more on multicomponent programs that simultaneously address several barriers to the implementation of EIBI. The PINO-project aims to evaluate the added value of such a multicomponent program to improve EIBI delivery in daily practice., Methods/design: A quasi-experimental three-arm implementation study in Flanders (Belgium) will assess the effects of tailored T&S to General Practitioners (GPs) with or without community mobilisation on EIBI delivery in general practice. The study lasts 18 months and will take place in three comparable municipalities. In municipality 1 and 2, GPs receive a tailored T&S program. The T&S is theoretically founded and tailored to the GPs' views, needs and practice characteristics. Furthermore, community actions will be embedded within municipality 1 providing additional, contextual, support. In municipality 3, GPs are offered a minimal intervention to facilitate data collection. The primary outcome is the proportion of adult patients screened for hazardous and harmful alcohol use at the end of an 18-month implementation period. The secondary outcome is the scaling up activity at municipal level in screening rates, as assessed every 3 months, and the proportion of patients who received an additional brief intervention when necessary. Furthermore, the correlation between the opinions and needs of the GP's, their practice organisation and their EIBI performance will be explored., Discussion: The PINO-project addresses the gap between what is theoretically possible and the current practice. This is an innovative study combining T&S at GP level with community actions. At the same time, it implements and evaluates practice T&S based on the theoretical domains framework., Trial Registration: This trial was approved by the Ethics Committee for Research of UZ/KU Leuven (reference number s63342 and G-2020-2177-R2(MAR)) and is registered on clinicaltrials.gov ( NCT04398576 ) in May 2020.

Background: Targeted screening for hepatitis C viral (HCV) infection is not yet widely executed in Belgium. When performed in people who use drugs (PWUD), it is mainly focused on those receiving opiate agonist therapy (OAT). We wanted to reach out to a population of difficult to reach PWUD not on centralized OAT, using non-invasive screening as a bridge to re-integration in medical care supported by facilitated referral to a specialist., Methods: This was a prospective, multicenter cohort study in PWUD not enrolled in a centralized OAT program in a community-based facility in Limburg or OAT program in a community-based facility in Antwerp, Belgium, from October 2018 until October 2019. Two study teams recruited participants using an outreach method at 18 different locations. Participants were tested for HCV antibodies (Ab) by finger prick, and risk factors were assessed through a face-to-face questionnaire. Univariate analyses were used to assess the association between HCV Ab and each risk factor separately. A generalized linear mixed model was used to investigate the association between the different risk factors and HCV., Results: In total, 425 PWUD were reached with a mean age of 41.6 ± 10.8, and 78.8% (335/425) were men. HCV Ab prevalence was 14.8% (63/425). Fifty-six (88.9%) PWUD were referred, of whom 37 (66.1%) were linked to care and tested for HCV RNA. Twenty-nine (78.4%) had a chronic HCV infection. Treatment was initiated in 17 (58.6%) patients. The adjusted odds for HCV Ab were highest in those with unstable housing 6 months before inclusion (p < .001, AOR 8.2 CI 95% 3.2-23.3) and in those who had ever shared paraphernalia for intravenous drug use (p < .001, AOR 6.2 CI 95% 2.5-16.0)., Conclusions: An important part tested positive for HCV. Treatment could be started in more than half of the chronically infected referred and tested positive for HCV-RNA. Micro-elimination is necessary to achieve the World Health Organization goals by 2030. However, it remains crucial to screen and link a broader group of PWUD to care than to focus solely on those who inject drugs., Trial Registration: clinicaltrials.gov NCT04363411, Registered 27 April 2020-Retrospectively registered. https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04363411?term=NCT04363411&draw=2&rank=1.

Objectives: To compare the predictive performance of 3 frailty identification tools for mortality, hospitalization, and functional decline in adults aged ≥80 years using risk reclassification statistics and decision curve analysis., Design: Population-based, prospective cohort., Setting: BELFRAIL study, Belgium., Participants: 560 community-dwelling adults aged ≥80 years., Measurements: Frailty by Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) phenotype, Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam (LASA) markers, and Groeningen Frailty Indicator (GFI); mortality until 5.1 ± 0.25 years from baseline and hospitalization until 3.0 ± 0.25 years; and functional status assessed by activities of daily living at baseline and after 1.7 ± 0.21 years., Results: Frailty prevalence was 7.3% by CHS phenotype, 21.6% by LASA markers, and 22% by GFI. Participants determined to be frail by each tool had a significantly higher risk for all-cause mortality and first hospitalization. For functional decline, only frail by GFI had a higher adjusted odds ratio. Harrell 's C-statistic for mortality and hospitalization and area under receiver operating characteristic curve for functional decline were similar for all tools and <0.70. Reclassification statistics showed improvement only by LASA markers for hospitalization and mortality. In decision curve analysis, all tools had higher net benefit than the 2 default strategies of "treat all" and "treat none" for mortality risk ≥20%, hospitalization risk ≥35%, and functional decline probability ≥10%, but their curves overlapped across all relevant risk thresholds for these outcomes., Conclusions and Implications: In a cohort of adults aged ≥80 years, 3 frailty tools based on different conceptualizations and assessment sources had comparable but unsatisfactory discrimination for predicting mortality, hospitalization, and functional decline. All showed clinical utility for predicting these outcomes over relevant risk thresholds, but none was significantly superior. Future research on frailty tools should include a focus on the specific group of adults aged ≥80 years, and the predictive accuracy for adverse outcomes of different tools needs a comprehensive assessment that includes decision curve analysis., (Copyright © 2019 AMDA – The Society for Post-Acute and Long-Term Care Medicine. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Forced expiratory volume in 1 s over height cubed (FEV 1 /Ht 3 ) is an FEV 1 expression that uses no reference values and is independently associated with adverse outcomes in older adults. No studies have reported on the prognostic value of its decline over time in adults aged 80 and over., Aim: To investigate the prognostic value of FEV 1 /Ht 3 decline for adverse outcomes in a cohort of adults aged 80 and over., Methods: 328 community-dwelling adults aged 80 and over of the BELFRAIL prospective cohort had two valid FEV 1 measurements as part of their comprehensive geriatric assessment at baseline and follow-up (after 1.7 ± 0.21 years). Kaplan-Meier survival curves, Cox and logistic multivariable regression, assessed association of excessive decline of FEV 1 /Ht 3 (lowest quintile of percentage change) with all-cause mortality (3 years after follow-up assessment), time to first hospitalization (1 year), and new/ worsened disability in activities of daily living (ADL) at the follow-up assessment., Results: Participants with excessive FEV 1 /Ht 3 decline had increased adjusted hazard ratio for all-cause death 1.61 (95% CI 1.01-2.55) and first hospitalization 1.71 (1.08-2.71) and increased odds ratio for new/worsened ADL disability at follow-up 2.02 (1.10-3.68) compared to the rest of the study population., Conclusions: Excessive, short-term decline in FEV 1 /Ht 3 was independently associated with all-cause mortality, time to first, unplanned hospitalization, and ADL disability in a cohort of adults aged 80 and over. This FEV 1 expression should be further investigated in studies of longitudinal FEV 1 change in older adults.

Background: adults aged 80 and over, a fast growing age-group, with increased co-morbidity and frailty have not been the focus of previous research on dyspnoea. We investigate the correlates of dyspnoea and its association with adverse outcomes in a cohort of adults aged 80 and over., Methods: about 565 community-dwelling adults aged 80 and over of the BELFRAIL prospective cohort had assessment of Medical Research Council dyspnoea scale (MRC), forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1), N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), physical performance tests, grip strength, 15 items geriatric depression scale, activities of daily living (ADL), body mass index (BMI) and demographics data. Kaplan-Meier survival curves, Cox and logistic multivariable regression, classification and regression tree (CART) analysis assessed association of dyspnoea (MRC 3-5) with time-to-cardiovascular and all-cause death (5 years), time to first hospitalisation (3 years), new/worsened ADL disability (2 years), and its correlates., Results: participants with dyspnoea MRC 3-5 (29.9%) had increased hazard ratios for cardiovascular mortality 2.85 (95% confidence interval 1.93-4.20), all-cause mortality 2.04 (1.58-2.64), first hospitalisation 1.72 (1.35-2.19); and increased odds ratio for new/worsened disability 2.49 (1.54-4.04), independent of age, sex and smoking status. Only FEV1, physical performance, BMI and NT-proBNP (in order of importance) were selected in the tree-based classification model for dyspnoea., Conclusions: in a cohort of adults aged 80 and over, dyspnoea was common and an independent predictor of adverse outcomes, with cardio-respiratory and physical performance impairments as key independent correlates. Its routine and comprehensive evaluation in primary care could be very valuable in caring for this age-group., (© The Author 2017. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Geriatrics Society.All rights reserved. For permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com)

Background: To date, there is no consensus regarding cardiovascular risk management in the very old. Studies have shown that the relationship between traditional cardiovascular risk factors and mortality is null or even inverted within this age group. This relationship could be modified by the presence of frailty. This study was performed to examine the effect of frailty on the association between cardiovascular risk factors and mortality in the oldest old., Methods: The BELFRAIL study is a prospective, observational, population-based cohort study of 567 subjects aged 80 years and older. Data on cardiovascular risk factors were recorded. Frailty was assessed using three different models: the Groningen Frailty Indicator, Fried and Puts models. Participants were considered robust if they were 'not frail' according to all three models, and frail if they met the frailty criteria for one of the three models. The follow-up data on mortality and cause of death were registered., Results: No cardiovascular risk factor was associated with mortality in subjects with and without cardiovascular disease. The presence of frailty was a strong risk factor for mortality [HR: 2.5, 95%CI: (1.9-3.2) for all-cause mortality; HR: 2.2, 95%CI: (1.4-3.4) for cardiovascular mortality]. In robust patients, a history of cardiovascular disease increased the risk for mortality [HR: 1.7, 95%CI: (1.1-2.5) for all-cause mortality; HR: 2.2, 95%CI: (1.2-3.9) for cardiovascular mortality]. In frail patients, there was no association between any of the traditional risk factors and mortality., Conclusions: Traditional cardiovascular risk factors were not associated with mortality in very old subjects. Frailty was shown to be a strong risk factor for mortality in this age group. However, frailty could not be used to identify additional subjects who might benefit more from cardiovascular risk management.

The occurrence and general applicability of the CD4:8 ratio as a surrogate predictor of mortality among the oldest old have only been tested in a few longitudinal studies. Here, the predictive value of CD4:8 ratio for mortality with respect to the role of cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection was investigated. Using polychromatic flow cytometry, the CD4:8 ratio and T-cell subsets of 235 individuals aged 81.5 years or older were analyzed, and mortality data were collected after a mean period of 3.3 years. The hazard for all-cause mortality adjusted for age, comorbidity, and CMV serostatus increased 1.53-fold (95% CI: 0.94-2.51) with every increment in the CD4:8 ratio from R < 1, to 1 < R < 5 and R > 5 among women. A negative hazard ratio of 0.50 for CMV seropositivity in women indicated an apparently protective effect of this virus. In men, no associations with survival were observed. No mediation effect could be found for the CD4:8 ratio with respect to the relationship between CMV serostatus and mortality. Very elderly CMV-negative women with a R > 5 experienced the highest mortality rates, independent of age and comorbidity. The associations of CMV serostatus and CD4:8 ratio with mortality seem to reflect distinct pathways mediating life span in very old humans., (© The Author 2016. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Gerontological Society of America. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Objectives: Forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV 1 ) is proposed as a marker of healthy ageing and FEV 1 expressions that are independent of reference values have been reported to be better at predicting mortality in older adults. We assess and compare the predictive value of different FEV 1 expressions for mortality, hospitalization, and physical and mental decline in adults aged 80 and older., Design: Population-based, prospective, cohort study., Setting: The BELFRAIL study, Belgium., Participants: A total of 501 community-dwelling adults aged 80 and older (mean age 84.7 years)., Measurements: Baseline FEV 1 expressed as percent predicted (FEV 1 PP) and z-score (FEV 1 Z) using the Global Lung Function Initiative 2012 reference values; over lowest sex-specific percentile (FEV 1 Q), and height squared (FEV 1 /Ht 2 ) and cubed (FEV 1 /Ht 3 ). Mortality data until 5.1 ± 0.2 years from baseline; hospitalization data until 3.0 ± 0.25 years. Activities of daily living, battery of physical performance tests, Mini-Mental State Examination, and 15-item Geriatric Depression Scale at baseline and after 1.7 ± 0.2 years., Results: Individuals in the lowest quartile of FEV 1 expressions had higher adjusted risk than the rest of study population for all-cause mortality (highest hazard ratio 2.05 [95% Confidence Interval 1.50-2.80] for FEV 1 Q and 2.01 [1.47-2.76] for FEV 1 /Ht 3 ), first hospitalization (highest hazard ratio 1.63 [1.21-2.16] for FEV 1 /Ht 2 and 1.61[1.20-2.16] for FEV 1 /Ht 3 ), mental decline (highest odds ratio 2.80 [1.61-4.89] for FEV 1 Q) and physical decline (only FEV 1 /Ht 3 with odds ratio 1.93 [1.13-3.30]). Based on risk classification improvement measures, FEV 1 /Ht 3 and FEV 1 Q performed better than FEV 1 PP., Conclusion: In a cohort of adults aged 80 and older, FEV 1 expressions that are independent of reference values (FEV 1 /Ht 3 and FEV 1 Q) were better at predicting adverse health outcomes than traditional expressions that depend on reference values, and should be used in further research on FEV 1 and aging., (Copyright © 2016 AMDA – The Society for Post-Acute and Long-Term Care Medicine. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)