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Purpose Inadequate piperacillin (PIP) exposure in intensive care unit (ICU) patients threatens therapeutic success. Model-informed precision dosing (MIPD) might be promising to individualize dosing; however, the transferability of published models to external populations is uncertain. This study aimed to externally evaluate the available PIP population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) models. Methods A multicenter dataset of 561 ICU patients (11 centers/3654 concentrations) was used for the evaluation of 24 identified models. Model performance was investigated for a priori (A) predictions, i.e., considering dosing records and patient characteristics only, and for Bayesian forecasting, i.e., additionally including the first (B1) or first and second (B2) therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) samples per patient. Median relative prediction error (MPE) [%] and median absolute relative prediction error (MAPE) [%] were calculated to quantify accuracy and precision. Results The evaluation revealed a large inter-model variability (A: MPE - 135.6-78.3% and MAPE 35.7-135.6%). Integration of TDM data improved all model predictions (B1/B2 relative improvement vs. A: |MPE|.sub.median_all_models 45.1/67.5%; MAPE.sub.median_all_models 29/39%). The model by Kim et al. was identified to be most appropriate for the total dataset (A/B1/B2: MPE - 9.8/- 5.9/- 0.9%; MAPE 37/27.3/23.7%), Udy et al. performed best in patients receiving intermittent infusion, and Klastrup et al. best predicted patients receiving continuous infusion. Additional evaluations stratified by sex and renal replacement therapy revealed further promising models. Conclusion The predictive performance of published PIP models in ICU patients varied considerably, highlighting the relevance of appropriate model selection for MIPD. Our differentiated external evaluation identified specific models suitable for clinical use, especially in combination with TDM., Author(s): Sebastian Greppmair [sup.1], Alexander Brinkmann [sup.2], Anka Roehr [sup.3], Otto Frey [sup.3], Stefan Hagel [sup.4], Christoph Dorn [sup.5], Amélie Marsot [sup.6], Ibrahim El-Haffaf [sup.6], Michael Zoller [sup.1], Thomas Saller [...]

The objective of this project is to compare the results of the same study carried out on NONMEM and nlmixr2. This analysis consists of evaluating previously published population pharmacokinetic models of gentamicin and tobramycin in our population of interest with sparse concentrations. A literature review was performed to determine the gentamicin and tobramycin models in critically ill adult patients. In parallel, gentamicin and tobramycin dosing data, information on the treatment, the patient, and the bacteria were collected retrospectively in 2 Quebec establishments. The external evaluations were previously performed using NONMEM Version 7.5. Model equations were rewritten with R, and external evaluations were performed using nlmixr2. Predictive performance was assessed based on the estimation of bias and imprecision of the prediction error for maximum a posteriori (MAP) Bayesian PK parameter and observed concentrations. Comparison between nlmixr2 and NONMEM was performed on 4 gentamicin and 3 tobramycin population pharmacokinetic models. Compared to NONMEM, for gentamicin and tobramycin clearance and central volume of distribution, nlmixr2 produced individual pharmacokinetic parameters with bias values ranging from −32.5% to 5.67% and imprecision values ranging from 6.33% to 32.5%. Despite these differences, population bias and imprecision for sparse concentrations were low and ranged from 0% to 5.3% and 0.2% to 6.5%, respectively. The external evaluations performed with both software packages resulted in the same interpretation in terms of population predictive performance for all 7 models. Nlmxir2 showed comparable predictive performance with NONMEM with sparse concentrations that are, at most, sampled twice within a single dose administration (peak and trough). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A common approach to assess the efficacy of piperacillin is to first measure the total concentration and afterwards apply a theoretical unbound fraction of 70% to obtain the unbound concentration. However, hypoalbuminemia is a common phenomenon in critically ill patients, resulting in variations in unbound fraction, therefore we aimed to simulate the impact of piperacillin unbound fraction fluctuations on the predictive performance of a population pharmacokinetic model and on the dosing recommendations of piperacillin. Unbound factors of 70%, 75%, 80% and 85% were applied to total concentrations of piperacillin administered by continuous infusion from an external dataset. A validated model was used for assessment of predictive performance and to estimate patient clearance. Dosing simulations were performed to evaluate target attainment. Variation in unbound fractions caused minimal impact on piperacillin clearance and target attainment but seemed to influence model validity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]