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Jelena Popov,1,2 Yasamin Farbod,1 Usha Chauhan,1 Mona Kalantar,1,2 Lee Hill,3 David Armstrong,4 Smita Halder,4 John K Marshall,4 Paul Moayyedi,4 Sharon Kaasalainen5 1Hamilton Health Sciences, Adult Digestive Diseases, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada; 2University College Cork, College of Medicine and Health, Cork, Ireland; 3Department of Pediatrics, McMaster University Medical Centre, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada; 4Department of Medicine (Division of Gastroenterology) and Farncombe Family Digestive Health Research Institute, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada; 5School of Nursing, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, CanadaCorrespondence: Jelena PopovHamilton Health Sciences, Adult Digestive Diseases, 1280 Main Street West, HSC 3N51H, Ontario, L8S 4K1, CanadaTel +1-905-521-2100 ext. 73543Fax +1-905-570-8962Email popovj2@mcmaster.caPurpose: Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) significantly impacts patients’ quality of life and imposes a considerable psychological, social, and financial burden. While the relationship between disease activity and quality of life is well established, the subjective challenges of living with IBD are more difficult to assess, and suggestions for improving patient experiences are lacking. The aim of this paper was to explore the various challenges patients encounter in living with IBD and to propose suggestions for overcoming them.Patients and Methods: This study utilized a qualitative descriptive design with thematic content analysis. Patients were recruited from the Gastroenterology Clinic at McMaster University Medical Centre from December 2014 to April 2015. Data were collected over the course of 5 focus group interviews using a semi-structured interview guide.Results: Seventeen patients aged 25 to 77 years old (mean age 43 years, SD 17 years) were interviewed. Fifteen patients were diagnosed with Crohn’s disease and 2 patients were diagnosed with ulcerative colitis. Findings were categorized into 18 subthemes which were grouped into 4 broader themes: awareness factor, psychosocial impacts, financial burden, and quality of care.Conclusion: IBD is associated with complex personal challenges across various demographics. Identifying and meeting the unique needs of individual patients may be achieved through improving communication between patients and their healthcare providers. Family-based education approaches, individualized psychotherapy with therapists familiar with IBD, awareness initiatives addressed to important stakeholders, and patient involvement in community support groups may improve overall IBD care.Keywords: Crohn’s disease, ulcerative colitis, qualitative, patient burden, psychosocial, quality of care

Philip A Baer,1 Guy Aumais,2 Emmanuel M Ewara,3 Majed Khraishi,4 A Marilise Marrache,5 Remo Panaccione,6 John P Wade,7 John K Marshall8 1Baer Weinberg MPC, Scarborough, ON, 2Department of Medicine, Université de Montréal, Gastro-enterology Unit, Hôpital Maisonneuve-Rosemont, Montréal, QC, 3Government Affairs and Market Access, Janssen Inc., Toronto, ON, 4Medical Affairs, Janssen Inc., Toronto, ON, 5Faculty of Medicine, Division of Rheumatology, Memorial University of Newfoundland and Nexus Clinical Research, St John’s, NL, 6Inflammatory Bowel Disease Unit, Department of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, 7Department of Medicine, Division of Rheumatology, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, 8Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology, McMaster University and Farncombe Family Digestive Health Research Institute, Hamilton, ON, Canada Background: Long-term effectiveness is an important factor when considering treatment decisions. Objective: To determine the long-term retention patterns of Canadian inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and rheumatologic disease (RD) patients, including rheumatoid arthritis, psoriatic arthritis, and ankylosing spondylitis, treated with innovator infliximab (IFX) and to assess the impact of year-over-year cumulative IFX exposure on retention in both patient populations. Patients and methods: This analysis used a Canadian longitudinal prescription claims database to measure retention on IFX over a period of 5 years. Twelve-month unadjusted odds ratios of retention by time on IFX were calculated for the overall cohort, and within-group comparisons evaluated differences according to age, sex, region, insurance coverage, use of concomitant immunosuppressant therapy, indication (RD cohort only), and previous biologic experience. Between-group analyses compared unadjusted 5-year retention among the same variables. Variables that were independently associated with longer retention on IFX were identified using multivariable regression. Results: Seven thousand eight hundred and six IBD patients and 2,935 RD patients on stable treatment with IFX were included in the analysis. Sixty-nine percent of IBD patients and 66% of RD patients were retained on IFX after 1 year and 33% and 29%, respectively, were retained after 5 years. Moreover, the probability of being retained on IFX significantly increased with cumulative time on IFX. Independent predictors of 5-year retention included sex, region, and type of insurance coverage among IBD patients and region, type of insurance, prior biologic therapy, and specific indication among RD patients. Patients with IBD were 17% more likely to be retained on IFX over 5 years compared to patients with RD. Conclusion: Real-world Canadian IBD and RD patients on IFX have good overall long-term treatment retention. Previous duration of IFX treatment predicts better future retention, and this knowledge could help inform treatment decisions when patients have been stable on IFX treatment for varying periods of time. Keywords: administrative database, inflammation, anti-TNF drugs, biologicals, retention

Ji Cheng,1,2 Alfonso Iorio,2,3 Maura Marcucci,4 Vadim Romanov,5 Eleanor M Pullenayegum,6,7 John K Marshall,3,8 Lehana Thabane1,2 1Biostatistics Unit, St Joseph’s Healthcare Hamilton, 2Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, 3Department of Medicine, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada; 4Geriatrics, Fondazione Ca’ Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Università degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy; 5Baxter HealthCare, Global Medical Affairs, Westlake Village, CA, USA; 6Child Health Evaluation Sciences, Hospital for Sick Children, 7Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, 8Division of Gastroenterology, Hamilton Health Science, Hamilton, ON, Canada Background: Developing inhibitors is a rare event during the treatment of hemophilia A. The multifacets and uncertainty surrounding the development of inhibitors further complicate the process of estimating inhibitor rate from the limited data. Bayesian statistical modeling provides a useful tool in generating, enhancing, and exploring the evidence through incorporating all the available information.Methods: We built our Bayesian analysis using three study cases to estimate the inhibitor rates of patients with hemophilia A in three different scenarios: Case 1, a single cohort of previously treated patients (PTPs) or previously untreated patients; Case 2, a meta-analysis of PTP cohorts; and Case 3, a previously unexplored patient population – patients with baseline low-titer inhibitor or history of inhibitor development. The data used in this study were extracted from three published ADVATE (antihemophilic factor [recombinant] is a product of Baxter for treating hemophilia A) post-authorization surveillance studies. Noninformative and informative priors were applied to Bayesian standard (Case 1) or random-effects (Case 2 and Case 3) logistic models. Bayesian probabilities of satisfying three meaningful thresholds of the risk of developing a clinical significant inhibitor (10/100, 5/100 [high rates], and 1/86 [the Food and Drug Administration mandated cutoff rate in PTPs]) were calculated. The effect of discounting prior information or scaling up the study data was evaluated.Results: Results based on noninformative priors were similar to the classical approach. Using priors from PTPs lowered the point estimate and narrowed the 95% credible intervals (Case 1: from 1.3 [0.5, 2.7] to 0.8 [0.5, 1.1]; Case 2: from 1.9 [0.6, 6.0] to 0.8 [0.5, 1.1]; Case 3: 2.3 [0.5, 6.8] to 0.7 [0.5, 1.1]). All probabilities of satisfying a threshold of 1/86 were above 0.65. Increasing the number of patients by two and ten times substantially narrowed the credible intervals for the single cohort study (1.4 [0.7, 2.3] and 1.4 [1.1, 1.8], respectively). Increasing the number of studies by two and ten times for the multiple study scenarios (Case 2: 1.9 [0.6, 4.0] and 1.9 [1.5, 2.6]; Case 3: 2.4 [0.9, 5.0] and 2.6 [1.9, 3.5], respectively) had a similar effect.Conclusion: Bayesian approach as a robust, transparent, and reproducible analytic method can be efficiently used to estimate the inhibitor rate of hemophilia A in complex clinical settings. Keywords: inhibitor rate, meta-analysis, multicentric study, Bayesian, hemophilia A

Background: Following bacterial contamination of a municipal water system in the rural town of Walkerton, Ontario, over 2,300 cases of acute gastroenteritis were documented. The Walkerton Health Study is currently underway to assess for long-term health sequelae among consenting inhabitants of Walkerton, related to the original outbreak. We explored whether the association between the acute exposure and preliminary long-term health outcomes may have been biased through differences between early- and late-recruited study participants.Methods: Using multiple data sources, including the 1996 and 2001 Canadian Census, and records from the Regional Health Unit, hospital and Walkerton Health Study, we determined both sample representativeness and the anticipated effects of intensifying study participant recruitment. Selection bias was assessed by examining for differences between initial and late participants, and their subsequent risk of having hypertension, proteinuria and reduced renal clearance.Results: Of the 4,315 participants, 2,756 were permanent residents of Walkerton, representing 55% of the town's total population. The sample was demographically similar to the population of interest, although statistically women were more likely to participate than men (55% of sample were women compared to 52% of population, p<0.01), and the proportion of both young and very elderly adults was smaller than expected (13% of sample were > or = 65 years of age compared to 18% of population, p<0.01). Comparing the initial 3,959 participants to the 356 persons additionally recruited with substantial effort, the latter were more likely to be free of symptoms during the outbreak (21% vs. 7%, p<0.001), but were otherwise similar in terms of age, sex, the use of medical care resources and underlying health state predating the outbreak. The risk of long-term hypertension or renal sequelae did not significantly differ between initial and late study recruits.Conclusions: Participants in the Walkerton Health Study represent the population of interest, and comprise those who were acutely ill during the infected water outbreak. The available study sample should provide reasonably unbiased estimates of the associated risk between acute bacterial gastroenteritis and long-term health sequelae. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The management of patients with acute nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding has evolved substantially over the past 10 years amid a paucity of published consensus guidelines.Purpose: To provide evidence-based management recommendations that address clinically relevant issues. REVIEW AND CONSENSUS PROCESSES: A multidisciplinary consensus group of 25 voting participants representing 11 national societies used a 7-step approach to develop recommendation statements according to accepted standards. Sources of data included narrative and systematic reviews as well as published and new meta-analyses. The quality of the evidence, the strength of the recommendation, and the level of consensus were graded according to recognized classifications.Main Findings: Recommendations emphasize appropriate initial resuscitation of the patient and a multidisciplinary approach to clinical risk stratification that determines the need for early endoscopy. Early endoscopy allows safe and prompt discharge of selected patients classified as low risk. Endoscopic hemostasis is reserved for patients with high-risk endoscopic lesions. Although monotherapy with injection or thermal coagulation is effective, the combination is superior to either treatment alone. The placement of endoscopic clips for endoscopic hemostasis appears promising. High-dose intravenous proton-pump inhibition is recommended in patients who have undergone successful endoscopic therapy. Routine second-look endoscopy is not recommended. Patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding should be tested for Helicobacter pylori infection and receive eradication therapy if infection is present.Future Directions: The efficacy of newer endoscopic therapeutic technologies, the optimal regimen of proton-pump inhibition, and the roles of other pharmacologic agents require further research. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Introduction: It is unclear if steroid tapering protocols can affect clinical trial outcomes in ulcerative colitis [UC], particularly fixed versus adaptive steroid tapering. Fixed steroid tapering involves incremental dose decreases at prespecified intervals, and adaptive steroid tapering uses investigator discretion as determined by the patient's response., Methods: In this post-hoc analysis from six clinical trials of UC [VARSITY, ACT 1, PURSUIT, GEMINI1, OCTAVE, and ULTRA2], responders to induction therapy with baseline corticosteroid use were considered as the primary population of interest. Adjustments were made to account for treat-through versus re-randomisation designs, and multivariate regression was performed to account for other potential confounding variables. The primary outcome was corticosteroid-free clinical remission [CR] at 1 year, and secondary outcomes were CR and endoscopic improvement., Results: There was a total of 861 patients who had achieved clinical response after induction and were using corticosteroids. Within multivariate analysis, patients using adaptive steroid tapering regimens were less likely to achieve corticosteroid-free CR at 1 year (odds ratio [OR] 0.66 [95% confidence interval, CI, 0.48-0.92], p = 0.015) but had increased odds for achieving CR at 1 year (OR 1.9 [95% CI 1.43-2.52], p < 0.001). The steroid tapering regimen was not associated with achievement of endoscopic improvement at 1 year., Conclusions: Among patients with UC on corticosteroids in clinical trials, patients using adaptive steroid weaning regimens were less likely to achieve corticosteroid-free CR at 1 year but more likely to achieve CR at 1 year. Consideration should be given to implementing mandatory fixed steroid weaning protocols in future clinical trials of UC., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of European Crohn’s and Colitis Organisation.)

Introduction: Vedolizumab is a gut-selective anti-lymphocyte trafficking biologic indicated for the treatment of adult patients with moderately to severely active ulcerative colitis (UC) and Crohn's disease (CD) in Canada., Objective: The objective of this study was to evaluate the cost effectiveness of treatment sequencing for UC and CD from a public healthcare payer perspective, leveraging new real-world evidence from the literature and the EVOLVE study, a retrospective chart review., Methods: Using separate decision tree/Markov models to assess cost effectiveness for UC and CD, two sequencing approaches were estimated for adult patients (≥ 18 years) diagnosed with UC or CD who were biologic-naïve: vedolizumab as first-line biologic followed by anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α versus first-line anti-TNFα followed by vedolizumab. Treatment effectiveness (response and remission), surgery rates, dose escalation and regain of response and safety inputs were estimated from EVOLVE, a retrospective chart review of real-world data, and evidence synthesis from the literature, whereas costs and utilities were estimated from health technology assessment reports, clinical trials, and the literature. Biosimilar costs were used for anti-TNFα. Both models simulated a 5-year time horizon and discounted costs and outcomes at 1.5%. Probabilistic base-case analyses (n = 10,000) reported total costs (2023 Canadian dollars) and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Several scenario analyses were conducted to explore robustness of results., Results: In UC, vedolizumab as a first-line biologic followed by anti-TNFα resulted in an incremental gain of 0.09 QALYs (2.46 vs. 2.55) and saved $7179 ($134,028 vs. $126,848), making this a dominant strategy compared with first-line anti-TNFα followed by vedolizumab. In CD, use of vedolizumab as a first-line biologic resulted in an incremental gain of 0.04 QALYs (3.35 vs. 3.39) at an incremental cost of $50,631 ($89,850 vs. $140,381) versus first-line anti-TNFα followed by vedolizumab (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $1,265,775 per QALY)., Conclusions: Based on this analysis, sequencing vedolizumab as a first-line biologic prior to anti-TNFα in UC and CD provided additional clinical benefit to patients. In UC, vedolizumab as a first-line biologic also saved healthcare system costs compared with anti-TNFα, whereas in CD, vedolizumab provided incremental benefit at an incremental cost, which was not considered cost effective at a threshold of $50,000/QALY., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Background and Aims: Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) trials often stratify patients by prior biologic exposure, including prior biologic failure or intolerance. This study aimed to assess clinical outcomes in IBD patients with prior biologic failure versus intolerance treated with ustekinumab or vedolizumab., Methods: A post-hoc analysis of ulcerative colitis (UC) and Crohn's disease (CD) clinical trials for ustekinumab (UNITI, UNIFI) and vedolizumab (GEMINI-1, GEMINI-2) was performed. Clinical response, clinical remission, and endoscopic improvement (for UC) were compared among biologic naïve, biologic-failure, and biologic intolerant patients. Statistical analyses, including chi-square tests and logistic regression, were performed., Results: 1178 UC and 1439 CD patients received either ustekinumab or vedolizumab. In UC, biologic intolerant patients exhibited higher clinical response (54.7% vs. 38.8%, aOR 1.87 [95% CI 0.93-3.73]), clinical remission (25.0% vs. 11.0%, aOR 2.84 [95% CI 1.47-5.49]), and endoscopic improvement (40.6% vs. 24.8%, aOR 2.76 [95% CI 1.28-5.94]) compared to biologic failure, with outcomes similar to biologic naïve patients. In biologic-intolerant CD patients, clinical response was similar between prior biologic failure and intolerance (34.2% vs 32.8%), but after adjustment for potential confounders, biologic intolerance was associated with higher odds of clinical response (aOR: 1.67, 95% CI 1.09-2.55), with no significant difference observed for clinical remission (aOR: 1.48, 95% CI 0.88-2.49)., Conclusion: Improved treatment outcomes were generally observed in patients with biologic intolerance compared to failure, especially in UC, where outcomes were similar to biologic naïve patients. Future clinical trials should meticulously differentiate prior biologic failure versus intolerance to mitigate potential bias., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of European Crohn’s and Colitis Organisation.)

Background & Aims: Unaffected first-degree relatives (FDRs) from families with ≥2 affected FDRs with Crohn's disease (CD, multiplex families) have a high risk of developing CD, although the underlying mechanisms driving this risk are poorly understood. We aimed to identify differences in biomarkers between FDRs from multiplex vs simplex families and investigate the risk of future CD onset accounting for potential confounders., Methods: We assessed the Crohn's and Colitis Canada Genetic Environmental Microbial cohort of healthy FDRs of patients with CD. Genome-wide CD-polygenic risk scores, urinary fractional excretion of lactulose-to-mannitol ratio, fecal calprotectin (FCP), and fecal 16S ribosomal RNA microbiome were measured at recruitment. Associations between CD multiplex status and baseline biomarkers were determined using generalized estimating equations models. Cox models were used to assess the risk of future CD onset., Results: There were 4051 participants from simplex families and 334 from CD multiplex families. CD multiplex status was significantly associated with higher baseline FCP (P = .026) but not with baseline CD-polygenic risk scores or the lactulose-to-mannitol ratio. Three bacterial genera were found to be differentially abundant between both groups. CD multiplex status at recruitment was independently associated with an increased risk of developing CD (adjusted hazard ratio, 3.65; 95% confidence interval, 2.18-6.11, P < .001)., Conclusion: Within FDRs of patients with CD, participants from multiplex families had a 3-fold increased risk of CD onset, a higher FCP, and an altered bacterial composition, but not genetic burden or altered gut permeability. These results suggest that putative environmental factors might be enriched in FDRs from multiplex families., (Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: To date, it is unclear how environmental factors influence Crohn's disease (CD) risk and how they interact with biological processes. This study investigates the association between environmental exposures and CD risk and evaluates their association with pre-disease biomarkers., Methods: We studied 4289 healthy first-degree relatives (FDRs) of patients with CD from the Crohn's and Colitis Canada - Genetic, Environmental, Microbial (CCC-GEM) project. Regression models identified environmental factors associated with future CD onset and their association with pre-disease biological factors, including altered intestinal permeability measured by urinary fractional excretion of lactulose to mannitol ratio (LMR); gut inflammation via fecal calprotectin (FCP) levels; and fecal microbiome composition through 16S rRNA sequencing., Results: Over a 5.62-year median follow-up, 86 FDRs developed CD. Living with a dog between ages 5 and 15 (hazard ratio [HR], 0.62; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.40-0.96; P = .034), and living with a large family size in the first year of life (HR, 0.43; 95% CI, 0.21-0.85; P = .016) were associated with decreased CD risk, whereas having a bird at the time of recruitment (HR, 2.78; 95% CI, 1.36-5.68; P = .005) was associated with an increased CD risk. Furthermore, living with a dog was associated with reduced LMR, altered relative abundance of multiple bacterial genera, and increased Chao1 diversity, whereas bird owners had higher FCP levels. Large family during participants' first year of life was associated with altered microbiota composition without affecting FCP or LMR., Conclusion: This study identifies environmental variables associated with CD risk. These variables were also associated with altered barrier function, subclinical inflammation, and gut microbiome composition shifts, suggesting potential roles in CD pathogenesis., (Copyright © 2024 AGA Institute. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: We assessed Modified Multiplier Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn's Disease (MM-SES-CD) and Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn's Disease (SES-CD) thresholds that are best associated with low likelihood of long-term disease progression., Methods: Data from 61 patients with early Crohn's disease (CD) who participated in the CALM long-term extension study were used as the derivation cohort and validated using the McMaster inflammatory bowel disease database (n = 99). The primary outcome was disease progression (new internal fistula/abscess, stricture, perianal fistula or abscess, CD-related hospitalization or surgery) since the end of the CALM trial. Optimal MM-SES-CD and SES-CD thresholds were determined using the maximum Youden index. Receiver operating characteristic curve analyses compared threshold scores of remission definitions on disease progression., Results: In the derivation cohort, based on the maximum Youden index, the optimal thresholds associated with a low likelihood of disease progression were MM-SES-CD <22.5 and SES-CD <4. A significantly greater proportion of patients with a MM-SES-CD ≥22.5 had disease progression as compared with patients in the derivation cohort with MM-SES-CD <22.5 (10/17 [58.8%] vs 3/44 [6.8%]; P < .001). Similarly, a significantly greater number of patients with SES-CD ≥ 4 had disease progression compared with those with a SES-CD <4 (11/25 [44.0%] vs 2/36 [5.6%]; P < .001). Compared with other clinical or endoscopic remission definitions, which demonstrated poor to fair accuracy, MM-SES-CD <22.5 performed the best for predicting disease progression (area under the curve = 0.81; 95% confidence interval, 0.68-0.94; P < .001). These thresholds were confirmed in the validation cohort., Conclusion: Achievement of MM-SES-CD <22.5 or SES-CD <4 in patients with ileocolonic or colonic CD is associated with low risk of disease progression and may be suitable targets in clinical trials and practice for endoscopic healing., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Introduction: To review the efficacy of various dietary interventions for induction of clinical remission in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and provide healthcare providers with a practical reference for recommending suitable diets for managing patients with IBD., Methods: PubMed, Medline(R), and Cochrane were searched from inception up to February 17, 2023, to identify all studies reporting information on using diet to treat IBD. Studies investigating the role of dietary interventions in adult patients with a confirmed diagnosis of active IBD for improvement or remission of IBD symptoms were rigorously considered. Sample meal plans, with a list of included and excluded foods, were also generated to provide clinicians with practical tools for advising patients on dietary intake., Results: Eleven included studies provided data on 10 distinct diets: autoimmune protocol diet, high-fiber diet, 4-strategies-to-SUlfide-Reduction diet, highly restricted diet, McMaster elimination diet for Crohn's disease, specific carbohydrate diet, Mediterranean diet, Crohn's disease exclusion diet, individualized elimination diet, and the food-specific IgG4-guided exclusion diet. A total of 9 studies provided data on clinical remission. Many of these diets share common elements, such as an initial elimination phase with subsequent reintroduction of dietary components, inclusion of whole foods, and exclusion of highly or ultraprocessed foods., Discussion: Currently, there is limited evidence to support the use of specific diets to treat adult patients with mildly to moderately active IBD. Larger, randomized studies with standardized methodologies and outcome measures, rigorous adherence assessment, and an emphasis on endoscopic assessment outcome measures are required to validate most diets that have been studied for IBD. The included sample diet plans and dietary recommendations may prove helpful in the interim as part of a holistic strategy to manage patients with IBD., (Copyright © 2024 by The American College of Gastroenterology.)

Introduction: Differences in 1-year outcomes among early and delayed responders have been demonstrated with some therapies in ulcerative colitis. However, it is unclear whether similar differences exist in patients with Crohn's disease (CD) treated with biologic therapies., Methods: This was a post hoc analysis of patient-level data from the SEAVUE clinical trial program. Ustekinumab-treated and adalimumab-treated patients with clinical response at week 8, defined as a reduction in Crohn's Disease Activity Index (CDAI) score of at least 100 points from baseline or CDAI score <150, were deemed early responders and their outcomes were compared with delayed responders (week 8 nonresponders who subsequently responded at week 16) and nonresponders (no response at week 8 or 16). The primary outcome assessed was clinical remission at week 56, defined as CDAI <150., Results: A total of 373 participants (187 treated with ustekinumab and 186 treated with adalimumab) were included in this analysis. The overall rate of delayed clinical response was low in the SEAVUE clinical trial program (13.1%). No differences were observed for week 56 clinical remission among early vs delayed responders to ustekinumab or adalimumab nor were there significant differences for secondary outcomes assessed. Delayed responders to ustekinumab and adalimumab had a significant decline in C-reactive protein by week 8 when compared with nonresponders., Discussion: Among patients with moderate-to-severe CD, early and delayed responders to adalimumab and ustekinumab have similar 1-year clinical outcomes. Biomarker decline can be observed through the initial 8 weeks of therapy in patients who will eventually be delayed responders, which may help differentiate from nonresponders., (Copyright © 2024 by The American College of Gastroenterology.)

Background and Aims: Therapeutic drug monitoring is used to optimize anti-tumour necrosis factor biologic effectiveness in inflammatory bowel disease, but its role with other biological classes is unclear. This study explores relationships between post-induction vedolizumab trough concentrations and biochemical outcomes in a real-world study of individuals with inflammatory bowel disease., Methods: This retrospective analysis of data from a national patient support program between 2018 and 2020, included 436 individuals with Crohn's disease or ulcerative colitis receiving vedolizumab. Optimal vedolizumab concentration thresholds (at weeks 6 and 14) were determined based on their ability to predict biochemical normalization (week 30 faecal calprotectin [<250 µg/g], C-reactive protein [<5 mg/l]). Thresholds best associated with each outcome were evaluated in multivariate analyses., Results: Among patients with Crohn's disease, week 6 serum vedolizumab concentrations (>41.65 µg/ml) predicted normalization defined by C-reactive protein: Spearman correlation coefficient [ ρ ] = -0.26, P = 0.002 and multivariate analysis (MVA)-OR: 3.22, 95% CI: 1.32-7.87, P = 0.01, and at week 14 (>22.25 µg/ml): ρ = -0.38, P < 0.0001, and MVA-OR: 3.21, 95% CI: 1.26-8.17 but not faecal calprotectin. Similarly, among patients with ulcerative colitis, week 6 vedolizumab concentrations (>39.65 g/ml) predicted normalization defined by C-reactive protein: ρ = -0.26, P = 0.005 and MVA-OR: 4.03, 95% CI: 1.30-12.52, P = 0.016, and at week 14 (>17.35 µg/ml): ρ = -0.39, P = 0.0001 and MVA-OR: 6.95, 95% CI: 1.81-26.77, P = 0.005, but not faecal calprotectin., Conclusions: Induction and post-induction serum vedolizumab were not consistently associated with biochemical normalization. As such, proactive therapeutic drug monitoring for vedolizumab should not be routinely incorporated in a treat to target strategy for inflammatory bowel disease., Clinical Trial Registration Number: NCT04567628., Competing Interests: Cynthia H. Seow declares the following conflicts of interest: Janssen, AbbVie, Takeda, Lilly, Ferring, Shire, Pfizer, Sandoz, Pharmascience, Fresenius Kabi, and Amgen, Bristol Myers Squibb, ACHRI, CIHR, Calgary Health Trust, New South Wales Government Health. John K. Marshall declares the following conflicts of interest: AbbVie, Alimentiv, Amgen, AstraZeneca, Bausch Health, Bristol Myers Squibb, Celltrion, Ferring, Fresenius Kabi, Janssen, Lilly, Lupin, Organon, Pfizer, Pharmascience, Roche, Sandoz, Takeda, Teva, Viatris. Erin Stewart and Dr. Christopher Pettengell were employees at Pentavere Research Group Inc, Toronto, ON, Canada at the time of this study. Ryan Ward is an employee of Takeda Canada. Dr. Ryan Ward is not an owner of Takeda stock. Waqqas Afif declares the following conflicts of interest: Abbvie, Amgen, Bausch Health, Celtrion, Janssen, Merck, Novartis, Pfizer, Sanofi, Takeda., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Canadian Association of Gastroenterology.)

Introduction: We developed and internally validated a prognostic scoring index for ulcerative colitis (UC) patients that includes baseline patient-reported outcomes (PROs), biomarkers, endoscopy, and histology for achieving 1-year endoscopic improvement (EI)., Methods: This post hoc analysis included 644 patients treated with ustekinumab induction therapy. Data were randomly split to obtain a 70% training and 30% testing cohort. Multivariate analyses assessed baseline variables and those with P < .05 were assigned weights based on their relative prognostic value from logistic regression modeling for predicting 1-year EI (Mayo endoscopic score ≤1). A cutoff was obtained by calculating the maximum Youden index and validated in the testing cohort., Results: Prior biologic failure, albumin <40 g/L, C-reactive protein >5 mg/L, Mayo stool frequency subscore, endoscopic erosions/ulcerations, and chronic histologic structural/architectural changes demonstrated significant associations with 1-year EI and were included in the final model. The Ulcerative Colitis Severity Index (UCSI) had acceptable discriminative ability for 1-year EI in the training (area under the curve [AUC], 0.78; 95% confidence interval, 0.70-0.86) and testing cohort (AUC, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.68-0.85). Compared with the UCSI, the Mayo Clinic score demonstrated poor accuracy (AUC, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.40-0.58) for predicting 1-year EI (P = .0006). The UCSI predicted 1-year endoscopic healing (Mayo endoscopic score = 0), clinical remission (total Mayo Clinic score ≤2 and no subscore >1), partial Mayo score remission <2, and 2-item Patient-Reported Outcome score (Mayo stool frequency and rectal bleeding subscore = 0) with significantly greater accuracy compared with the Mayo Clinic score., Discussion: The UCSI is an internally validated prognostic scoring tool that accurately predicts 1-year EI at baseline among moderate-to-severe UC patients initiating therapy. Further validation with additional datasets is needed., (© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Crohn’s & Colitis Foundation. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Background & Aims: Differences in 1-year outcomes among early compared with delayed responders to vedolizumab have been shown in ulcerative colitis. However, it is unclear whether similar differences exist with ustekinumab, and what factors differentiate delayed responders from nonresponders., Methods: This study was a post hoc analysis of patient-level data from the UNIFI clinical trial. Ustekinumab-treated patients with clinical response, defined as a reduction in total Mayo score of 30% or more and 3 or more points from baseline with a reduction in their rectal bleeding subscore of 1 or more or a rectal bleeding subscore of 1 or less, at week 8 were deemed early responders and their outcomes were compared with delayed responders (week 8 nonresponders who subsequently responded at week 16). The primary outcome assessed was 1-year clinical remission, defined as a total Mayo score of 2 or less and no subscore greater than 1., Results: We included 642 ustekinumab-treated patients, including 321 (50%) early responders, 115 (17.9%) delayed responders, and 205 (32.1%) nonresponders. No differences were observed for 1-year clinical remission among early vs delayed responders (132 of 321 [41.1%] vs 40 of 115 [34.8%]; P = .233), or for other outcomes assessed regardless of induction dose. Compared with early responders, delayed responders had more severe baseline Mayo endoscopic disease (88 of 115 [76.5%] vs 206 of 321 [64.2%]; P = .015) and abnormal baseline C-reactive protein level greater than 3 mg/L (83 of 115 [72.2%] vs 183 of 321 [57%]; P = .004). Compared with nonresponders, delayed responders had a significant decrease in C-reactive protein level (F-value [degrees of freedom, mean squares] [4, 844]; P < .0001) and fecal calprotectin level (F[4, 818]; P < .0001) through week 16., Conclusions: Compared with early ustekinumab responders, delayed responders had a greater inflammatory burden at baseline. Early and delayed responders had similar 1-year outcomes. Biomarker decline observed in delayed responders can help differentiate them from nonresponders., (Copyright © 2023 AGA Institute. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Introduction: There is an urgent need to understand the long-term real-world effectiveness of ustekinumab (UST) in the treatment of Crohn's disease (CD), fistulizing CD (FCD), and ulcerative colitis (UC). Persistence on treatment is commonly used as a surrogate measure of real-world treatment response. This study aims to estimate the long-term real-world persistence of UST in adult patients with CD, FCD, and UC., Methods: A retrospective study was conducted in patients with CD, FCD, and UC treated with UST through a national patient support program in Canada. Treatment persistence was described using the Kaplan-Meier method, and the impact of patient characteristics on persistence was explored through stratified analyses and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models., Results: Persistence rates for 8724 patients with CD were 82.9%, 71.4%, 64.1%, and 59.7% at 1, 2, 3, and 4 years, respectively. Similarly, persistence rates for 276 patients with FCD were 84.1%, 70.9%, 64.9%, and 63.1% at 1, 2, 3, and 4 years, respectively. Persistence rates for 1291 patients with UC were 76.5% at 1 year and 69.5% at 1.5 years. When stratified by prior IBD-indicated biologic experience, persistence was numerically higher in biologic-naïve patients across all disease cohorts. A Cox proportional hazards model confirmed that this difference was significant in patients with CD (hazard ratio: 0.72; confidence interval: [0.65-0.79])., Conclusions: This study estimated long-term persistence in a large population of patients with IBD. At 1 year, over three-fourths of patients remained on UST treatment in all disease cohorts, and over half of patients remained on treatment at 4 years in CD and FCD patients. Biologic-naïve status was significantly associated with higher persistence in patients with CD., (© 2023. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Healthcare Ltd., part of Springer Nature.)

Background: Eosinophilic esophagitis (EoE) is a chronic, allergic disease of the esophagus. Current treatment options are limited. One experimental therapy is antibodies against interleukin-5 (IL-5). However, it is unknown why some patients respond to anti-IL-5 treatment whereas others do not. We sought to delineate predictors of histologic response to anti-IL-5 therapy in pediatric EoE., Methods: This post hoc analysis of a multicenter, double-blind clinical trial (ClinicalTrial.gov identifier: NCT00358449) evaluated mepolizumab for the treatment of EoE in pediatric patients. Predictors were assessed for their association with a histologic response at week 12 of treatment. A histologic response was defined as either <15 eosinophils per hpf or a reduction in peak eosinophil counts by ≥50%. Predictors on univariate analysis with P  < 0.10 were included in multivariate logistic regression models. Statistical significance for multivariate comparisons was set at P  < 0.05., Results: Patients with a higher BMI were more likely to attain histologic response at week 12, defined as <15 eosinophils per hpf [aOR, 1.31; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.07-1.60; P  = 0.008]. Higher BMI (aOR, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.06-2.74; P  = 0.029) and signs of exudate plaques on endoscopy (aOR, 18.30; 95% CI, 2.11-158.53; P  = 0.008) were significant predictors of histologic response at week 12 where a histologic response was defined as a reduction in peak eosinophil counts by ≥50., Conclusion: Higher BMI and signs of exudative plaques on endoscopy may be predictors of histologic response in pediatric EoE patients treated with antibodies against IL-5. Further studies are needed to validate our findings., (Copyright © 2023 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: This analysis evaluates the association between baseline patient-reported symptom (PRS) severity in Crohn's disease (CD), including abdominal pain, stool frequency, general well-being, and achievement of clinical and endoscopic outcomes. We compared baseline PRS to baseline endoscopic scores for the prediction of endoscopic remission (ER)., Methods: This post hoc analysis of 2 clinical trials of infliximab in CD included 601 patients and evaluated baseline PRS variables (abdominal pain, stool frequency, and general well-being) as measured by the Crohn's disease activity index and their association with 6-month clinical remission (CR) (Crohn's Disease Activity Index<150), corticosteroid-free CR, and week 26/54 ER (absence of mucosal ulceration). Logistic regression models assessed the relationships between PRS and outcomes of interest. Receiver operating characteristic curve analyses compared the sensitivity and specificity of the different baseline PRS compared with baseline endoscopic scores for achievement of ER at weeks 26 and 54., Results: No difference was found comparing patients with higher baseline PRS to those with lower PRS in achieving 6-month CR, 6-month corticosteroid-free CR, or week 26/54 ER. Modified multiplier of the SES-CD (MM-SES-CD) at baseline demonstrated a significant ability to predict week 54 ER (area under the curve, 0.71; 95% CI 0.65-0.78; P =0.017)., Conclusions: Baseline PRS in CD is not prognostic of clinical or endoscopic response. In contrast, active endoscopic disease as measured by the MM-SES-CD, more accurately predicts endoscopic outcomes. Endoscopic scores such as the MM-SES-CD may be considered for selection criteria and as a primary outcome of interest in CD trials, with PRS as a co-primary or secondary endpoint., (Copyright © 2022 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: In placebo-controlled clinical trials for Crohn's disease (CD), some placebo-treated patients demonstrate improvement. However, it is unclear what factors contribute to placebo response and remission., Methods: This was a post hoc analysis of 3 placebo-controlled clinical trial programs (GEMINI-2, UNITI-1/2, and CLASSIC-1) of moderate-severe CD evaluating the efficacy of vedolizumab, ustekinumab, and adalimumab. Baseline predictors of clinical remission at the end of induction (week 4/6), defined as Crohn's Disease Activity Index <150 were evaluated among placebo-treated patients. Clinical response (decrease in Crohn's Disease Activity Index ≥100 points from baseline) at the end of induction was also evaluated. Univariate analyses were performed and predictors with P < .10 were included in multivariable analyses., Results: A total of 683 patients (148 from GEMINI-2, 470 from UNITI-1/2, and 65 from CLASSIC-1) treated with placebo were included. Of the predictors evaluated, C-reactive protein <5 mg/L (odds ratio [OR], 1.66; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04-2.67; P = .035), albumin >40 g/L (OR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.05-2.93; P = .023), and disease duration <5 years (OR, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.05-2.75; P = .032) were included in the multivariable model for clinical remission. Disease duration <5 years was the only variable that retained significance on multivariable analysis (adjusted OR, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.02-2.73; P = .040). For clinical response, isolated ileal disease and disease duration <1 year were included in the multivariable model, of which only the latter retained significance (adjusted OR, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.04-3.24; P = .035)., Conclusions: Strategies that reduce placebo response rates in clinical trials of CD should be considered, including stratification or exclusion of subjects by disease duration and mild disease severity as measured by objective biomarkers., (© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Crohn’s & Colitis Foundation. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Background & Aims: Several medications have been suspected to contribute to the etiology of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). This study assessed the association between medication use and the risk of developing IBD using the Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology cohort., Methods: This was a prospective cohort study of 133,137 individuals between the ages of 20 and 80 from 24 countries. Country-specific validated questionnaires documented baseline and follow-up medication use. Participants were followed up prospectively at least every 3 years. The main outcome was the development of IBD, including Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC). Short-term (baseline but not follow-up use) and long-term use (baseline and subsequent follow-up use) were evaluated. Results are presented as adjusted odds ratios (aORs) with 95% CIs., Results: During a median follow-up period of 11.0 years (interquartile range, 9.2-12.2 y), there were 571 incident IBD cases (143 CD and 428 UC). Incident IBD was associated significantly with baseline antibiotic (aOR, 2.81; 95% CI, 1.67-4.73; P = .0001) and hormonal medication use (aOR, 4.43; 95% CI, 1.78-11.01; P = .001). Among females, previous or current oral contraceptive use also was associated with IBD development (aOR, 2.17; 95% CI, 1.70-2.77; P < .001). Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug users also were observed to have increased odds of IBD (aOR, 1.80; 95% CI, 1.23-2.64; P = .002), which was driven by long-term use (aOR, 5.58; 95% CI, 2.26-13.80; P < .001). All significant results were consistent in direction for CD and UC with low heterogeneity., Conclusions: Antibiotics, hormonal medications, oral contraceptives, and long-term nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug use were associated with increased odds of incident IBD after adjustment for covariates., (Copyright © 2023 AGA Institute. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: The cause of Crohn's disease (CD) is unknown, but the current hypothesis is that microbial or environmental factors induce gut inflammation in genetically susceptible individuals, leading to chronic intestinal inflammation. Case-control studies of patients with CD have cataloged alterations in the gut microbiome composition; however, these studies fail to distinguish whether the altered gut microbiome composition is associated with initiation of CD or is the result of inflammation or drug treatment., Methods: In this prospective cohort study, 3483 healthy first-degree relatives (FDRs) of patients with CD were recruited to identify the gut microbiome composition that precedes the onset of CD and to what extent this composition predicts the risk of developing CD. We applied a machine learning approach to the analysis of the gut microbiome composition (based on 16S ribosomal RNA sequencing) to define a microbial signature that associates with future development of CD. The performance of the model was assessed in an independent validation cohort., Results: In the validation cohort, the microbiome risk score (MRS) model yielded a hazard ratio of 2.24 (95% confidence interval, 1.03-4.84; P = .04), using the median of the MRS from the discovery cohort as the threshold. The MRS demonstrated a temporal validity by capturing individuals that developed CD up to 5 years before disease onset (area under the curve > 0.65). The 5 most important taxa contributing to the MRS included Ruminococcus torques, Blautia, Colidextribacter, an uncultured genus-level group from Oscillospiraceae, and Roseburia., Conclusion: This study is the first to demonstrate that gut microbiome composition is associated with future onset of CD and suggests that gut microbiome is a contributor in the pathogenesis of CD., (Copyright © 2023 AGA Institute. All rights reserved.)

Background: We evaluated whether postinduction ulcer size and patient-reported outcome (PRO) severity are associated with the achievement of 1-year endoscopic remission (ER) in patients with Crohn's disease (CD)., Methods: This post hoc analysis combined data from several clinical trials including 283 patients with baseline ulcers ≥5 mm with repeat endoscopy after ustekinumab or adalimumab induction therapy. Patient-reported outcomes including stool frequency (SF) and abdominal pain (AP) were measured by the Crohn's Disease Activity Index. Thresholds of SF ≥4 and/or AP ≥2 indicated moderately to severely active CD. Endoscopic remission was defined as Simple Endoscopic Score for CD (SES-CD) <3. Multivariate logistic regression models adjusted for confounders (including disease duration and treatment allocation) evaluated the relationships between postinduction ulcer size, PRO symptoms, and achievement of 1-year ER., Results: Among the 131 CD patients who continued to have ulcers ≥5 mm after induction therapy, 48 (36.6%) achieved 1-year ER. Patients with postinduction ulcers ≥5 mm were approximately 5 times less likely to achieve 1-year ER than the 152 individuals who had small or no postinduction ulcers (odds ratio [OR], 0.20; 95% CI, 0.08-0.51, P = .001). In patients with ulcers ≥5 mm after induction, postinduction PRO scores (including PRO2 and PRO3) did not predict 1-year ER., Conclusions: Crohn's disease patients with ulcers ≥5 mm after induction therapy are less likely to achieve 1-year ER. Postinduction PRO severity does not offer additional prognostic information. This may suggest that objective measures of disease such as endoscopic ulcer size should be considered over symptom assessments for determining clinical response to therapy and utilized in trials for maintenance therapy., (© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Crohn’s & Colitis Foundation. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Background: There is a need to better understand the positioning of biologic therapies for long-term outcomes in biologic-naïve Crohn's disease (CD). We assessed the comparative effectiveness of infliximab and ustekinumab among induction responders for 1-year outcomes., Methods: This post hoc analysis included data from 220 biologic-naïve CD participants with response to induction therapy from 2 clinical trial programs. Participants achieving 1-year clinical remission (CR) (Crohn's disease activity index <150), corticosteroid-free CR, normalization of fecal calprotectin (FC), endoscopic response (Simple Endoscopic Score for CD decrease ≥50% from baseline), and endoscopic remission (ER) (Simple Endoscopic Score for CD <3) were compared. Multivariate logistic regression evaluated the likelihood of achieving the outcomes adjusted for confounders. Propensity score matching created a cohort with similar distribution of baseline covariates., Results: One-year CR and corticosteroid-free CR rates were similar between infliximab-treated and ustekinumab-treated patients (CR, 66 of 110 [60.0%] vs 63 of 110 [57.3%]; adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.15; 95% CI, 0.67-1.98; P = .681; corticosteroid-free CR, 11 of 28 (39.3%) vs 27 of 51 [52.9%]; aOR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.23-1.47; P = .251). Compared with ustekinumab-treated patients, infliximab-treated participants were more likely to achieve 1-year endoscopic response (43 of 92 [46.7%] vs 6 of 30 [20.0%], aOR, 3.59; 95% CI, 1.34-9.66; P = .011) and ER (31 of 92 [33.7%] vs 4 of 30 [13.3%]; aOR, 3.35; 95% CI, 1.07-10.49; P = .038). Among patients with FC ≥250 mg/kg at baseline, normalization (<250 mg/kg) at 1-year was similar between groups. Similar results were observed within the propensity matched population for all analyses., Conclusions: Treatment with infliximab and ustekinumab among induction responders achieved 1-year CR with similar efficacy, but infliximab may confer greater benefit for endoscopic outcomes. Findings should be interpreted with caution as our analyses were unpowered., (© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Crohn’s & Colitis Foundation. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)