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Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance is recommended by liver professional societies but lacks broad acceptance by several primary care and cancer societies due to limitations in the existing data. We convened a diverse multidisciplinary group of cancer screening experts to evaluate current and future paradigms of HCC prevention and early detection using a rigorous Delphi panel approach. The experts had high agreement on twenty-one statements about primary prevention, HCC surveillance benefits, HCC surveillance harms, and the evaluation of emerging surveillance modalities. The experts agreed that current data have methodologic limitations as well as unclear generalizability to Western populations. Although a randomized clinical trial of surveillance versus no surveillance is unlikely feasible, they concurred that alternative designs such as a comparison of two surveillance modalities could provide indirect evidence of surveillance efficacy. The panel acknowledged the presence of surveillance harms, but concurred the overall value of surveillance appears high, particularly given a greater emphasis on benefits over harms by both patients and clinicians. The experts underscored the importance of a framework of measuring both benefits and harms when evaluating emerging surveillance strategies. The panel acknowledged performance metrics of emerging methods may differ from other cancer screening programs given differences in populations, including higher risk of cancer development and competing risk of morality, and differences in diagnostic workflow in patients at risk of HCC. These data provide insights into the perceived value of HCC surveillance in an era of emerging blood- and imaging-based surveillance strategies., (Copyright © 2024 American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.)

Background & Aims: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk stratification is an urgent unmet need for cost-effective HCC screening and early detection in patients with cirrhosis to improve poor HCC prognosis., Methods: Molecular (prognostic liver secretome signature with α-fetoprotein) and clinical (aMAP [age, male sex, albumin-bilirubin, and platelets] score) variable-based scores were integrated into PAaM (prognostic liver secretome signature with α-fetoprotein plus age, male sex, albumin-bilirubin, and platelets), which was subsequently validated in 2 phase 3 biomarker validation studies: the statewide Texas HCC Consortium and nationwide HCC Early Detection Strategy prospective cohorts, following the prospective specimen collection, retrospective blinded evaluation design. The associations between baseline PAaM and incident HCC were assessed using Fine-Gray regression, with overall death and liver transplantation as competing events., Results: Of 2156 patients with cirrhosis in the Texas HCC Consortium, PAaM identified 404 (19%) high-risk, 903 (42%) intermediate-risk, and 849 (39%) low-risk patients with annual HCC incidence rates of 5.3%, 2.7%, and 0.6%, respectively. Compared with low-risk patients, high- and intermediate-risk groups had sub-distribution hazard ratios for incident HCC of 7.51 (95% CI, 4.42-12.8) and 4.20 (95% CI, 2.52-7.01), respectively. Of 1328 patients with cirrhosis in the HCC early detection strategy, PAaM identified 201 high-risk (15%), 540 intermediate-risk (41%), and 587 low-risk (44%) patients, with annual HCC incidence rates of 6.2%, 1.8%, and 0.8%, respectively. High- and intermediate-risk groups were associated with sub-distribution hazard ratios for incident HCC of 6.54 (95% CI, 3.85-11.1) and 1.77 (95% CI, 1.02-3.08), respectively. Subgroup analysis showed robust risk stratification across HCC etiologies, including metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and cured hepatitis C infection., Conclusions: PAaM enables accurate HCC risk stratification in patients with cirrhosis from contemporary etiologies., (Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Professional guidelines recommend HCC screening in at-risk patients using semi-annual ultrasound with or without alpha-fetoprotein (AFP); however, this strategy has limited effectiveness due to low adherence and sensitivity. Increasing data support the potential role of blood-based biomarker panels, which could improve both aspects. The biomarker panel GALAD, comprised of sex, age, and 3 blood biomarkers (AFP, AFP-L3, and des-carboxy prothrombin des-carboxy prothrombin), has shown high sensitivity and specificity in biomarker phase II (case-control) and phase III (retrospective cohort) validation studies. However, prospective validation in a large phase IV biomarker clinical utility trial is necessary before its adoption in practice., Methods: The National Liver Cancer Screening Trial is an adaptive pragmatic randomized phase IV trial, which began enrollment in January 2024, comparing ultrasound-based versus biomarker-based screening in 5500 patients with chronic hepatitis B infection or cirrhosis from any etiology. Eligible patients are randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to semi-annual screening with ultrasound ± alpha-fetoprotein (arm A) or semi-annual screening with GALAD (arm B). Randomization is stratified by enrollment site, liver disease severity (per Child-Pugh class), liver disease etiology (viral, nonviral, and noncirrhotic HBV), and sex. Patients are being recruited from 15 sites (a mix of tertiary care academic referral centers, safety-net health systems, and large community health systems) over a 3-year period, and the primary endpoint, reduction in late-stage HCC, will be assessed at the end of year 5.5., Discussion: The results of this trial will inform the best strategy for HCC screening and early-stage detection in patients with chronic liver diseases. If GALAD shows superiority, HCC screening would primarily shift from an ultrasound-based strategy to the adoption of the biomarker panel., Trial Registration: NCT06084234., Trial Status: The TRACER Study is actively enrolling., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. on behalf of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.)

Background & Aims: Better surveillance tests for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are needed. The GALAD score (gender, age, α-fetoprotein [AFP] L3, AFP, and des-γ carboxyprothrombin) has been shown to have excellent sensitivity and specificity for HCC in phase 2 studies. We performed a phase 3 biomarker validation study to compare GALAD with AFP in detecting HCC., Methods: This is a prospective study of patients with cirrhosis enrolled at 7 centers. Surveillance for HCC was performed every 6 months at each site, and HCC diagnosis was confirmed per American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases guidelines. Blood for biomarker research was obtained at each follow-up visit and stored in a biorepository. Measurements of AFP, AFP-L3, and des-γ carboxyprothrombin) were performed in a FujiFilm laboratory by staff blinded to clinical data. The performance of GALAD in detecting HCC was retrospectively evaluated within 12 months before the clinical diagnosis. All analyses were conducted by an unblinded statistician in the Early Detection Research Network data management and coordinating center., Results: A total of 1,558 patients with cirrhosis were enrolled and followed for a median of 2.2 years. A total of 109 patients developed HCC (76 very early or early stage), with an annual incident rate of 2.4%. The areas under the curve for AFP and GALAD within 12 months before HCC were 0.66 and 0.78 (P < .001), respectively. Using a cutoff for GALAD of -1.36, the specificity was 82%, and the sensitivity at 12 months before HCC diagnosis was 62%. For comparison, performance of AFP at 82% specificity showed 41% sensitivity at 12 months before HCC diagnosis (P = .001)., Conclusions: GALAD score, compared to AFP, improves the detection of HCC within 12 months before the actual diagnosis., (Copyright © 2025 AGA Institute. All rights reserved.)

Background: Previous studies have reported higher circulating bile acid levels in patients with HCC compared to healthy controls. However, the association between prediagnostic bile acid levels and HCC risk among patients with cirrhosis is unclear., Methods: We measured total BA (TBA) concentration in serum samples collected from a prospective cohort of patients with cirrhosis who were followed until the development of HCC, death, or last study date. Competing risk proportional hazard-adjusted models were used to estimate the association between tertiles of serum TBA levels and the risk of developing HCC. We quantified the incremental predictive value of serum bile acid when added to a previously validated clinical model., Results: We analyzed data from 940 patients with cirrhosis, of whom 68 patients progressed to HCC during 3406 person-years of follow-up. Higher baseline serum TBA level was significantly associated with an increased risk of developing HCC with an adjusted HR of 3.69 (95% CI = 1.85-7.37) for the highest versus lowest tertile. TBA levels significantly increased predictive ability for progression to HCC at 2 years of follow-up; the c statistic increased from 0.74 to 0.80 (p < 0.001). There was evidence for a significant interaction between TBA level and hepatitis C (p = 0.04)., Conclusions: In a large prospective cohort study, the prediagnostic serum level of TBAs was associated with a significant increase in the risk of developing HCC among patients with multi-etiology cirrhosis. The TBA-associated risk was additive to that of established demographic and clinical predictors., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. on behalf of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.)

As global effects of water scarcity raise concerns and environmental regulations evolve, contemporary wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) face the challenge of effectively removing a diverse range of contaminants of emerging concern (CECs) from municipal effluents. This study focuses on the assessment of advanced oxidation processes (AOPs), specifically UV-C/H 2 O 2 and UV-C/Chlorine, for the removal of 14 target CECs in municipal secondary effluent (MSE, spiked with 10 μg L -1 of each CEC) or in the subsequent MSE nanofiltration retentate (NF R , no spiking). Phototreatments were carried out in continuous mode operation, with a hydraulic retention time of 3.4 min, using a tube-in-tube membrane photoreactor. For both wastewater matrices, UV-C photolysis (3.3 kJ L -1 ) exhibited high efficacy in removing CECs susceptible to photolysis, although lower treatment performance was observed for NF R . In MSE, adding 10 mg L -1 of H 2 O 2 or Cl 2 enhanced treatment efficiency, with UV-C/H 2 O 2 outperforming UV-C/Chlorine. Both UV-C/AOPs eliminated the chronic toxicity of MSE toward Chlorella vulgaris. In the NF R , not only was the degradation of target CECs diminished, but chronic toxicity to C. vulgaris persisted after both UV-C/AOPs, with UV-C/Chlorine increasing toxicity due to potential toxic by-products. Nanofiltration permeate (NF P ) exhibited low CECs and microbial content. A single chlorine addition effectively controlled Escherichia coli regrowth for 3 days, proving NF P potential for safe reuse in crop irrigation (<1 CFU/100 mL for E. coli; <1 mg L -1 for free chlorine). These findings provide valuable insights into the applications and limitations of UV-C/H 2 O 2 and UV-C/Chlorine for distinct wastewater treatment scenarios., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)

Background and Aims: Despite the substantial impact of environmental factors, individuals with a family history of liver cancer have an increased risk for HCC. However, genetic factors have not been studied systematically by genome-wide approaches in large numbers of individuals from European descent populations (EDP)., Approach and Results: We conducted a 2-stage genome-wide association study (GWAS) on HCC not affected by HBV infections. A total of 1872 HCC cases and 2907 controls were included in the discovery stage, and 1200 HCC cases and 1832 controls in the validation. We analyzed the discovery and validation samples separately and then conducted a meta-analysis. All analyses were conducted in the presence and absence of HCV. The liability-scale heritability was 24.4% for overall HCC. Five regions with significant ORs (95% CI) were identified for nonviral HCC: 3p22.1, MOBP , rs9842969, (0.51, [0.40-0.65]); 5p15.33, TERT , rs2242652, (0.70, (0.62-0.79]); 19q13.11, TM6SF2 , rs58542926, (1.49, [1.29-1.72]); 19p13.11 MAU2 , rs58489806, (1.53, (1.33-1.75]); and 22q13.31, PNPLA3 , rs738409, (1.66, [1.51-1.83]). One region was identified for HCV-induced HCC: 6p21.31, human leukocyte antigen DQ beta 1, rs9275224, (0.79, [0.74-0.84]). A combination of homozygous variants of PNPLA3 and TERT showing a 6.5-fold higher risk for nonviral-related HCC compared to individuals lacking these genotypes. This observation suggests that gene-gene interactions may identify individuals at elevated risk for developing HCC., Conclusions: Our GWAS highlights novel genetic susceptibility of nonviral HCC among European descent populations from North America with substantial heritability. Selected genetic influences were observed for HCV-positive HCC. Our findings indicate the importance of genetic susceptibility to HCC development., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.)

Background and Aims: The original hepatocellular carcinoma early detection screening (HES) score, which combines alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) with age, alanine aminotransferase, and platelets, has better performance than AFP alone for early HCC detection. We have developed HES V2.0 by adding AFP-L3 and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin to the score and compared its performance to GALAD and ASAP scores among patients with cirrhosis., Approach and Results: We conducted a prospective-specimen collection, retrospective-blinded-evaluation phase 3 biomarker cohort study in patients with cirrhosis enrolled in imaging and AFP surveillance. True-positive rate (TPR)/sensitivity and false-positive rate for any or early HCC were calculated for GALAD, ASAP, and HES V2.0 scores within 6, 12, and 24 months of HCC diagnosis. We calculated the AUROC curve and estimated TPR based on an optimal threshold at a fixed false-positive rate of 10%. We analyzed 2331 patients, of whom 125 developed HCC (71% in the early stages). For any HCC, HES V2.0 had higher TPR than GALAD overall (+7.2%), at 6 months (+3.6%), at 12 months (+7.2%), and 24 months (+13.0%) before HCC diagnosis. HES V2.0 had higher TPR than ASAP for all time points (+5.9% to +12.0%). For early HCC, HES V2.0 had higher sensitivity/TPR than GALAD overall (+6.7%), at 12 months (+6.3%), and 24 months (+14.6%) but not at 6 months (+0.0%) and higher than ASAP for all time points (+13.4% to +18.0%)., Conclusions: In a prospective cohort study, HES V2.0 had a significantly higher performance for identifying new HCC, including early stage, than GALAD or ASAP., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.)

Background: Inflammatory and metabolic biomarkers have been associated with hepatocellular cancer (HCC) risk in phases I and II biomarker studies. We developed and internally validated a robust metabolic biomarker panel predictive of HCC in a longitudinal phase III study., Methods: We used data and banked serum from a prospective cohort of 2266 adult patients with cirrhosis who were followed until the development of HCC (n=126). We custom designed a FirePlex immunoassay to measure baseline serum levels of 39 biomarkers and established a set of biomarkers with the highest discriminatory ability for HCC. We performed bootstrapping to evaluate the predictive performance using C-index and time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). We quantified the incremental predictive value of the biomarker panel when added to previously validated clinical models., Results: We identified a nine-biomarker panel (P9) with a C-index of 0.67 (95% CI 0.66 to 0.67), including insulin growth factor-1, interleukin-10, transforming growth factor β1, adipsin, fetuin-A, interleukin-1 β, macrophage stimulating protein α chain, serum amyloid A and TNF-α. Adding P9 to our clinical model with 10 factors including AFP improved AUROC at 1 and 2 years by 4.8% and 2.7%, respectively. Adding P9 to aMAP score improved AUROC at 1 and 2 years by 14.2% and 7.6%, respectively. Adding AFP L-3 or DCP did not change the predictive ability of the P9 model., Conclusions: We identified a panel of nine serum biomarkers that is independently associated with developing HCC in cirrhosis and that improved the predictive ability of risk stratification models containing clinical factors., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2024. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)

Background: The global liver community established a more precise criteria to characterize steatotic liver disease (SLD), specifically metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and metabolic dysfunction-associated and alcohol-associated liver disease (MetALD). We aimed to estimate the burden of SLD subtypes and unfavorable social determinants of health (SDOH) in US adults and whether clinical and social factors drive disparities across racial/ethnic subgroups., Methods: We evaluated 4263 persons aged 20 years or older from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2017-2018. We estimated the weighted age-adjusted prevalence and severity of SLD, examined the prevalence of SDOH across SLD subtypes, and performed stepwise regression analysis to evaluate associations between race/ethnicity and SLD, accounting for metabolic risks, alcohol use, and SDOH., Results: Hispanic adults had the highest prevalence of MASLD (22.3%), MASLD-predominant MetALD (10.3%), alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD)-predominant MetALD (5.6%), and ALD (5.4%). Hispanic adults with MASLD had the highest prevalence of high-risk metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (18.0%) and advanced fibrosis (21.1%), whereas non-Hispanic (NH) White adults with MetALD had the highest prevalence of high-risk metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (19.3%), advanced fibrosis (19.5%), and cirrhosis (8.1%). Adults with ALD-predominant MetALD and ALD had an increased burden of unfavorable SDOH than those with MASLD, particularly food insecurity, limited health care access, and single living. In stepwise regression, the odds of SLD in Hispanic adults decreased after adjusting for metabolic risks (OR 1.40, 95% CI, 1.06-1.84) and alcohol use (OR 1.36, 95% CI, 1.01-1.82). Differences did not persist after adjusting for cumulative SDOH and nativity status (OR 1.22, 95% CI, 0.89-1.68)., Conclusions: We found substantial disparities in the burden of unfavorable SDOH across SLD subtypes, particularly among those with ALD-predominant MetALD and ALD. Population-based approaches targeting SDOH may mitigate racial/ethnic differences among US adults with SLD., (Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. on behalf of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.)

Background & Aims: The available risk stratification indices for hepatocellular cancer (HCC) have limited applicability. We developed and externally validated an HCC risk stratification index in U.S. cohorts of patients with cirrhosis., Methods: We used data from 2 prospective U.S. cohorts to develop the risk index. Patients with cirrhosis were enrolled from 8 centers and followed until development of HCC, death, or December 31, 2021. We identified an optimal set of predictors with the highest discriminatory ability (C-index) for HCC. The predictors were refit using competing risk regression and its predictive performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC). External validation was performed in a cohort of 21,550 patients with cirrhosis seen in the U.S Veterans Affairs system between 2018 and 2019 with follow-up through 2021., Results: We developed the model in 2431 patients (mean age 60 years, 31% women, 24% cured hepatitis C, 16% alcoholic liver disease, and 29% nonalcoholic fatty liver disease). The selected model had a C-index of 0.77 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.73-0.81), and the predictors were age, sex, smoking, alcohol use, body mass index, etiology, α-fetoprotein, albumin, alanine aminotransferase, and platelet levels. The AUROCs were 0.75 (95% CI, 0.65-0.85) at 1 year and 0.77 (95% CI, 0.71-0.83) at 2 years, and the model was well calibrated. In the external validation cohort, the AUROC at 2 years was 0.70 with excellent calibration., Conclusion: The risk index, including objective and routinely available risk factors, can differentiate patients with cirrhosis who will develop HCC and help guide discussions regarding HCC surveillance and prevention. Future studies are needed for additional external validation and refinement of risk stratification., (Copyright © 2023. Published by Elsevier Inc.)

Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence was rising in the United States. Previously, using data collected by the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program through 2017, we found that overall incidence had begun to decline, although not in Black and American Indian/Alaska Native (AI/AN) populations. Utilizing expanded SEER data encompassing ~50% of the population, we examined secular trends and demographic differences in HCC incidence through 2019., Methods: We included cases of HCC diagnosed in adults aged ≥20 years residing in SEER-22 registry areas. We examined case counts, incidence rates (per 100,000 person-years), annual percent changes (APCs), and calendar years when APCs changed significantly., Results: HCC incidence increased from 5.56 in 2000 to 8.89 in 2009 (APC, 5.17%), then rose more slowly during 2009-2015 (APC, 2.28%). After peaking at 10.03 in 2015, incidence fell to 9.20 in 2019 (APC, -2.26%). In Asian/Pacific Islanders (A/PI), the decline began in 2007 and accelerated in 2015 (APCs: 2007-2015, -1.84%; 2015-2019, -5.80%). In 2014, incidence began to fall in the White (APC: 2014-2019, -1.11%) and Hispanic populations (APC: 2014-2019, -1.72%). In 2016, rates began to fall in Black individuals (APC: 2016-2019, -6.05%). In the AI/AN population, incidence was highest in 2017, although the subsequent decline was not statistically significant. In 2019, population-specific rates were: White, 6.94; Black, 10.74; A/PI, 12.11; AI/AN, 14.56; Hispanic, 15.48., Conclusion: HCC incidence is now decreasing in most US racial/ethnic populations, including among Black individuals. The onset of decline differed among racial/ethnic groups and wide disparities in HCC rates remain., (© 2023 The Authors. Cancer Medicine published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Background & Aims: Worldwide, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a common malignancy. We aimed to prospectively determine the incidence and risk factors of HCC in a U.S., Methods: The multicenter Hepatocellular Carcinoma Early Detection Strategy study of the National Institutes of Health prospectively enrolled patients with cirrhosis who underwent standard surveillance for HCC. Demographics, medical and family history, etiology of liver disease, and clinical features were evaluated for associations with HCC., Results: Between April 10, 2013 and December 31, 2021, 1723 patients were enrolled and confirmed eligible. During median follow-up of 2.2 years (range, 0-8.7 years), there were 109 incident cases of HCC for an incidence rate of 2.4 per 100 person-years: 88 (81%) patients with very early/early Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage (0, A), 20 (18%) intermediate stage (B), and 1 (1%) unknown stage. Risk factor analyses were restricted to 1325 patients, including 95 incident HCC, with at least 6 months of follow-up. The majority were men (53.2%), obese or severely obese (median body mass index, 30.2 kg/m 2 ), and white (86.3%); 42.0% had history of hepatitis C virus infection, 20.7% had alcoholic liver disease, and 24.9% had nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Fourteen risk factors for HCC were significant (P < .05) in univariate analyses, and a multivariate subset was selected using stepwise logistic regression. The multivariate subset contained gender (P < .001; male; odds ratio [OR], 2.47; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.54-4.07), years with cirrhosis (P = .004; OR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.02-1.1), family history of liver cancer (P = .02; yes; OR, 2.69; 95% CI, 1.11-5.86), age (per 5 years; P = .02; OR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.03-1.33), obesity (P = .02; yes; OR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.08-2.73), aspartate aminotransferase (log(1+AST); P = .06; OR, 1.54; 95% CI, 0.97-2.42), alpha-fetoprotein (log(1+AFP); P = .07; OR, 1.32; 95% CI, 0.97-1.77), and albumin (P = .10; OR, 0.7; 95% CI, 0.46-1.07)., Conclusions: Thus far, this is the largest prospective and geographically diverse study of a U.S. cohort of patients with cirrhosis that validates known risk factors for HCC (gender, age, obesity, years with cirrhosis, family history of liver cancer, baseline AFP, albumin, and AST). The incidence of HCC was 2.4% per 100 person-years., (Copyright © 2023 AGA Institute. All rights reserved.)

Background and Aims: Etiological risk factors for cirrhosis have changed in the last decade. It remains unclear to what extent these trends in cirrhosis risk factors have changed HCC risk., Approach and Results: We used data from two contemporary, prospective multiethnic cohorts of patients with cirrhosis: the Texas Hepatocellular Carcinoma Consortium Cohort and the Houston Veterans Administration Cirrhosis Surveillance Cohort. Patients with cirrhosis were enrolled from seven US centers and followed until HCC diagnosis, transplant, death, or June 30, 2021. We calculated the annual incidence rates for HCC and examined the effects of etiology, demographic, clinical, and lifestyle factors on the risk of HCC. We included 2733 patients with cirrhosis (mean age 60.1 years, 31.3% women). At enrollment, 19.0% had active HCV, 23.3% had cured HCV, 16.1% had alcoholic liver disease, and 30.1% had NAFLD. During 7406 person-years of follow-up, 135 patients developed HCC at an annual incidence rate of 1.82% (95% CI, 1.51-2.13). The annual HCC incidence rate was 1.71% in patients with cured HCV, 1.32% in patients with alcoholic liver disease, and 1.24% in patients with NAFLD cirrhosis. Compared to patients with NAFLD, the risk of progression to HCC was 2-fold higher in patients with cured HCV (HR, 2.04; 95% CI, 1.24-3.35). Current smoking (HR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.01-2.63) and overweight/obesity (HR, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.08-2.95) were also associated with HCC risk., Conclusions: HCC incidence among patients with cirrhosis was lower than previously reported. HCC risk was variable across etiologies, with higher risk in patients with HCV cirrhosis and lower risk in those with NAFLD cirrhosis. Current smoking and overweight/obesity increased HCC risk across etiologies., (Copyright © 2023 American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.)

Background: Polygenic risk scores (PRS) hold the promise to refine prognostication in hepatocellular cancer (HCC). The few available HCC PRS include germline risk variants identified among individuals of mostly European ancestry, but data are lacking on the transportability of these PRS in multiethnic U.S patients with cirrhosis from multiple etiologies., Methods: We used data from 1644 patients with cirrhosis enrolled in two prospective cohort studies in the U.S. Patients were followed until HCC diagnosis, death, liver transplantation, or last study visit through June 30, 2021. The high-risk variants in PNPLA3-MBOAT7-TM6SF2-GCKR were combined in a PRS and we evaluated its association with HCC. Discriminatory accuracy was assessed using the C-statistic., Results: During 4,759 person-years of follow-up, 93 patients developed HCC. Mean age was 59.8 years, 68.6% were male, 27.2% Hispanic, 25.1% non-Hispanic Black, 25.7% had NAFLD, 42.1% had heavy alcohol use, and 19.5% had active HCV. HCC risk increased by 134% per unit increase in PRS (HR = 2.30; 95% CI, 1.35-3.92). Compared to cirrhosis patients in the lowest tertile of the PRS, those in the highest tertile had 2-fold higher risk of HCC (HR = 2.05; 95% CI, 1.22-3.44). The PRS alone had modest discriminatory ability (C-statistic = 0.58; 95% CI, 0.52-0.63); however, adding PRS to a predictive model with traditional HCC risk factors had a C-statistic of 0.70 (95% CI, 0.64-0.76), increasing from 0.68 without the PRS (p = 0.0012)., Conclusions: Our findings suggest that PRS may enhance risk prediction for HCC in contemporary U.S. cirrhosis patients., Competing Interests: I have read the journal’s policy and the authors of this manuscript have the following competing interests: Dr. Singal consults for Genentech, AstraZeneca, Bayer, Eisai, Exelixis, BMS, Exact Sciences, Fujifilm Medical Sciences, Glycotest, and GRAIL. Dr. Marrero consults for Glycotest. Dr. Loo advises Gilead. All other authors declare no conflicts of interest., (Copyright: © 2023 Thrift et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.)

Patients with indeterminate liver nodules, classified as LR-3 and LR-4 observations per the Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System, are at risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but risk estimates remain imprecise. We conducted a systematic review of Ovid MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases from inception to December 2021 to identify cohort studies examining HCC incidence among patients with LR-3 or LR-4 observations on computed tomography (CT) or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Predictors of HCC were abstracted from each study, when available. Of 13 total studies, nine conducted LR-3 observation-level analyses, with the proportions of incident HCC ranging from 1.2% to 12.5% at 12 months and 4.2% to 44.4% during longer study follow-up. Among three studies with patient-level analyses, 8%-22.2% of patients with LR-3 lesions developed LR-4 observations and 11.1%-24.5% developed HCC. Among nine studies conducting LR-4 observation-level analyses, incident HCC ranged from 30.8% to 44.0% at 12 months and 30.9% to 71.0% during study follow-up; conversely, 6%-42% of observations were downgraded to LR-3 or lower. Patient-level factors associated with HCC included older age, male sex, higher alpha-fetoprotein levels, viral etiology, and prior history of HCC; observation-level factors included maximum diameter, threshold growth, T2 hyperintensity, and visibility on ultrasound. Studies were limited by small sample sizes, inclusion of patients with prior HCC, short follow-up duration, and failure to account for clustering of observations in patients or competing risks of transplantation and death. LR-3 and LR-4 observations have elevated but variable risks of HCC. Higher quality studies are necessary to identify high-risk patients who warrant close CT or MRI-based follow-up., (© 2022 American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.)

The treatment and management of hepatic malignancies can be complex because it encompasses a variety of primary and metastatic malignancies and an assortment of local and systemic treatment options. When to use each of these treatments is critical to ensure the most appropriate care for patients. Interventional radiologists have a key role to play in the delivery of a variety of liver directed treatments including percutaneous ablation, transarterial embolization with bland embolic particles alone, transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) with injection of a chemotherapeutic emulsion, and transarterial radioembolization (TARE). Based on 9 clinical variants, the appropriateness of each treatment is described in this document. The ACR Appropriateness Criteria are evidence-based guidelines for specific clinical conditions that are reviewed annually by a multidisciplinary expert panel. The guideline development and revision process support the systematic analysis of the medical literature from peer reviewed journals. Established methodology principles such as Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation or GRADE are adapted to evaluate the evidence. The RAND/UCLA Appropriateness Method User Manual provides the methodology to determine the appropriateness of imaging and treatment procedures for specific clinical scenarios. In those instances in which peer reviewed literature is lacking or equivocal, experts may be the primary evidentiary source available to formulate a recommendation., (Copyright © 2022 American College of Radiology. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: There is controversy regarding the overall value of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance in patients with cirrhosis given the lack of data from randomized-controlled trials. To address this issue, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies evaluating the benefits and harms of HCC surveillance in patients with cirrhosis., Methods: We performed a search of the Medline and EMBASE databases and national meeting abstracts from January 2014 through July 2020 for studies reporting early-stage HCC detection, curative treatment receipt, or overall survival, stratified by HCC surveillance status, among patients with cirrhosis. Pooled risk ratios (RRs) and hazard ratios, according to HCC surveillance status, were calculated for each outcome using the DerSimonian and Laird method for random effects models., Results: We identified 59 studies including 145,396 patients with HCC, which was detected by surveillance in 41,052 (28.2%) cases. HCC surveillance was associated with improved early-stage detection (RR 1.86, 95% CI 1.73-1.98; I 2  = 82%), curative treatment receipt (RR 1.83, 95% CI 1.69-1.97; I 2  = 75%), and overall survival (hazard ratio 0.67, 95% CI 0.61-0.72; I 2  = 78%) after adjusting for lead-time bias; however, there was notable heterogeneity in all pooled estimates. Four studies examined surveillance-related physical harms due to false positive or indeterminate surveillance results, but no studies examined potential financial or psychological harms. The proportion of patients experiencing surveillance-related physical harms ranged from 8.8% to 27.5% across studies, although most harms were mild in severity., Conclusion: HCC surveillance is associated with improved early detection, curative treatment receipt, and survival in patients with cirrhosis, although there was heterogeneity in pooled estimates. Available data suggest HCC surveillance is of high value in patients with cirrhosis, although continued rigorous studies evaluating benefits and harms are still needed., Lay Summary: There has been ongoing debate about the overall value of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) screening in patients with cirrhosis given the lack of data from randomized-controlled trials. In a systematic review of contemporary cohort studies, we found that HCC screening is associated with improved early detection, curative treatment receipt, and survival in patients with cirrhosis, although there were fewer data quantifying potential screening-related harms. Available data suggest HCC screening is of high value in patients with cirrhosis, although continued studies evaluating benefits and harms are still needed., Competing Interests: Conflict of Interest Amit Singal has served as a consultant or on advisory boards for Bayer, Wako Diagnostics, Exact Sciences, Roche, Glycotest, and GRAIL. Jorge Marrero has served as a consultant for Glycotest. Neehar Parikh has served as a consultant or on advisory boards for Bayer, Wako Diagnostics, Exact Sciences, Glycotest, and Freenome. Maria Reig has served as consulant or advisory boards for Bayer-Shering Pharma, BMS, Roche, Ipsen, AstraZeneca, Lilly, BTG/Paid conferences: Bayer-Shering Pharma, BMS, Gilead, Lilly and is a principal investigator of research Grants of Bayer-Shering Pharma, Ipsen. Giuseppe Cabibbo has served as a consultant or on advisory boards for Bayer, Eisai, and Ipsen. Ju Dong Yang has served as a consultant or on advisory boards for Exact Sciences and Gilead Sciences and Eisai. None of the other authors have any relevant conflicts of interest. Please refer to the accompanying ICMJE disclosure forms for further details., (Copyright © 2022 European Association for the Study of the Liver. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: Identifying patients in whom ultrasound may be inadequate to exclude the presence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) can inform interventions to improve screening effectiveness. We aimed to characterize correlates of suboptimal ultrasound quality and changes in ultrasound quality over time in patients with cirrhosis undergoing HCC screening., Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study of patients with cirrhosis who underwent ultrasound examination at 2 large health systems between July 2016 and July 2019. Exam adequacy was graded by radiologists using the LI-RADS Visualization Score (A, B, C); we evaluated changes in visualization over time among patients with >1 ultrasound exams. We performed multivariable logistic regression to identify characteristics associated with limited ultrasound visualization (scores B or C)., Results: Of 2053 cirrhosis patients, 1685 (82.1%) had ultrasounds with score A, 262 (12.8%) had score B, and 106 (5.2%) had score C. Limited visualization was associated with alcohol-related or nonalcoholic fatty liver disease cirrhosis and presence of class II-III obesity. Among 1546 patients with >1 ultrasounds, 1129 (73.0%) had the same visualization score on follow-up (1046 score A, 60 score B, 23 score C). However, 255 (19.6%) of 1301 with score A at baseline had limited visualization when repeated (230 score B, 25 score C), and 130 (53.1%) of 245 patients with baseline limited visualization had good visualization when repeated., Conclusions: Nearly 1 in 5 patients with cirrhosis had moderately-severely limited ultrasound visualization for HCC nodules, particularly those with obesity or alcohol-related or nonalcoholic fatty liver disease cirrhosis. Ultrasound quality can change between exams, including improvement in many patients with limited visualization., (Copyright © 2022 AGA Institute. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Adrenocortical carcinoma (ACC) is a rare malignancy arising from the adrenal cortex. While ACC can be associated with adrenal hormone excess syndromes, classic paraneoplastic syndromes are rarely seen. Stauffer syndrome, a paraneoplastic phenomenon characterized by reversible cholestasis in the absence of liver metastases, has been described with renal carcinoma and other malignancies but has not been previously reported in ACC., Case Presentation: A 38-year-old man presented with emesis, painless jaundice, pruritus, and weight loss. Laboratory evaluation demonstrated elevated total bilirubin of 8.7 mg/dL (N < 1.3 mg/dL). Computed tomography revealed a 20.4-cm left adrenal mass without evidence of liver metastases. The patient's condition deteriorated rapidly with progressive renal failure and worsening hyperbilirubinemia. The patient underwent left adrenalectomy, nephrectomy, ureterolysis, and wedge liver biopsy. Histopathology showed necrotic ACC with tumor invasion into the adrenal capsule, no lymphovascular invasion, uninvolved margins, and Ki-67 of 40%. Kidney parenchyma exhibited diffuse pigment casts. The liver specimen contained diffuse bile deposits and minimal chronic inflammation in the portal tracts. He tested positive for the pathogenic variant of folliculin ( FLCN ) gene consistent with Birt-Hogg-Dube syndrome. Renal function recovered after surgery, and bilirubin level normalized after several weeks. Based on clinical presentation and absence of other etiologies, reversible cholestatic jaundice was attributed to Stauffer syndrome., Conclusion: This is the first report of a unique presentation of paraneoplastic-related hyperbilirubinemia in the setting of ACC. While extremely rare, Stauffer syndrome should still be considered in differential diagnosis in patients with ACC with liver dysfunction and jaundice without evidence of liver metastases., (Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Endocrine Society 2022.)

Prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk is an urgent unmet need in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). In cohorts of 409 patients with NAFLD from multiple global regions, we defined and validated hepatic transcriptome and serum secretome signatures predictive of long-term HCC risk in patients with NAFLD. A 133-gene signature, prognostic liver signature (PLS)-NAFLD, predicted incident HCC over up to 15 years of longitudinal observation. High-risk PLS-NAFLD was associated with IDO1 + dendritic cells and dysfunctional CD8 + T cells in fibrotic portal tracts along with impaired metabolic regulators. PLS-NAFLD was validated in independent cohorts of patients with NAFLD who were HCC naïve (HCC incidence rates at 15 years were 22.7 and 0% in high- and low-risk patients, respectively) or HCC experienced (de novo HCC recurrence rates at 5 years were 71.8 and 42.9% in high- and low-risk patients, respectively). PLS-NAFLD was bioinformatically translated into a four-protein secretome signature, PLSec-NAFLD, which was validated in an independent cohort of HCC-naïve patients with NAFLD and cirrhosis (HCC incidence rates at 15 years were 37.6 and 0% in high- and low-risk patients, respectively). Combination of PLSec-NAFLD with our previously defined etiology-agnostic PLSec-AFP yielded improved HCC risk stratification. PLS-NAFLD was modified by bariatric surgery, lipophilic statin, and IDO1 inhibitor, suggesting that the signature can be used for drug discovery and as a surrogate end point in HCC chemoprevention clinical trials. Collectively, PLS/PLSec-NAFLD may enable NAFLD-specific HCC risk prediction and facilitate clinical translation of NAFLD-directed HCC chemoprevention.

Background: The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been proposed as a prognostic biomarker for cirrhosis and non-liver malignancies. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of NLR in a diverse cohort of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)., Methods: We performed a retrospective study of patients diagnosed with HCC between 2008 and 2017 at two large US health systems. We used Cox proportional hazard and multivariable ordinal logistic regression models to identify factors associated with overall survival and response to first HCC treatment, respectively. Primary variables of interest were baseline NLR and delta NLR, defined as the difference between pre- and post-treatment NLR., Results: Among 1019 HCC patients, baseline NLR was < 5 in 815 (80.0%) and ≥ 5 in 204 (20.0%). Patients with NLR ≥ 5 had a higher proportion of infiltrative tumors (36.2% vs 22.3%), macrovascular invasion (39.6% vs 25.5%), metastatic disease (20.6% vs 11.4%), and AFP > 200 ng/mL (45.6% vs 33.8%). Baseline NLR ≥ 5 was independently associated with higher mortality (median survival 4.3 vs 15.1 months; adjusted HR 1.70, 95%CI 1.41-2.06), with differences in survival consistent across BCLC stages. After adjusting for baseline covariates including NLR, delta NLR > 0.26 was also independently associated with increased mortality (HR 1.42, 95%CI 1.14-1.78). In a secondary analysis, high NLR was associated with lower odds of response to HCC treatment (20.2% vs 31.6%; adjusted OR 0.55, 95%CI 0.32-0.95)., Conclusions: In a large Western cohort of patients with HCC, high baseline NLR and delta NLR were independent predictors of mortality., Impact: NLR is an inexpensive test that may be a useful component of future HCC prognostic models., (© 2021. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature.)

Background & Aims: Cancer cachexia is a wasting syndrome associated with functional impairment and reduced survival that impacts up to 50% of patients with gastrointestinal cancers. However, data are limited on the prevalence and clinical significance of cachexia in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)., Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study of patients diagnosed with HCC at 2 United States health systems between 2008 and 2018. Patient weights were recorded 6 months prior to and at time of HCC diagnosis. Cachexia was defined as >5% weight loss (or >2% weight loss if body mass index <20 kg/m 2 ), and precachexia was defined as 2% to 5% weight loss. We used multivariable logistic regression models to identify correlates of cachexia and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models to identify factors associated with overall survival., Results: Of 604 patients with HCC, 201 (33.3%) had precachexia and 143 (23.7%) had cachexia at diagnosis, including 19.0%, 23.5%, 34.7%, and 34.0% of patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stages 0/A, B, C, and D, respectively. Patients with cachexia were less likely to receive HCC treatment (odds ratio, 0.38; 95% confidence interval, 0.21-0.71) and had worse survival than those with precachexia or stable weight (11.3 vs 20.4 vs 23.5 months, respectively; P < .001). Cachexia remained independently associated with worse survival (hazard ratio, 1.43; 95% confidence interval, 1.11-1.84) after adjusting for age, sex, race, ethnicity, Child Pugh class, alpha-fetoprotein, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage, and HCC treatment., Conclusions: Nearly 1 in 4 patients with HCC present with cachexia, including many with compensated cirrhosis or early stage tumors. The presence of cancer-associated weight loss appears to be an early and independent predictor of worse outcomes in patients with HCC., (Copyright © 2022 AGA Institute. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Cirrhosis is the terminal stage of progressive liver fibrosis, affecting 1%-2% of the global population and accounting for 1.3 million deaths annually. 1 , 2 Median survival for persons with compensated cirrhosis is approximately 12 years, compared with only 2 years for those with hepatic decompensation. Accurate prediction of hepatic decompensation is an unmet need to enable identification of patients with cirrhosis who could benefit from close monitoring and timely medical interventions. Besides, risk stratification of patients with cirrhosis could help inform patient selection for trials evaluating therapies to prevent hepatic decompensation. Although various clinical scores, such as the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) and fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) indices (ALBI-FIB4 score) have been proposed to predict long-term risk of hepatic decompensation, 3 external validation has often shown suboptimal prognostic capability and revealed room for improvement. 4 ., (Copyright © 2022 AGA Institute. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: There is a major unmet need to assess the prognostic impact of antifibrotics in clinical trials because of the slow rate of liver fibrosis progression. We aimed to develop a surrogate biomarker to predict future fibrosis progression., Methods: A fibrosis progression signature (FPS) was defined to predict fibrosis progression within 5 years in patients with hepatitis C virus and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) with no to minimal fibrosis at baseline (n = 421) and was validated in an independent NAFLD cohort (n = 78). The FPS was used to assess response to 13 candidate antifibrotics in organotypic ex vivo cultures of clinical fibrotic liver tissues (n = 78) and cenicriviroc in patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis enrolled in a clinical trial (n = 19, NCT02217475). A serum protein-based surrogate FPS was developed and tested in a cohort of compensated cirrhosis patients (n = 122)., Results: A 20-gene FPS was defined and validated in an independent NAFLD cohort (adjusted odds ratio, 10.93; area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.86). Among computationally inferred fibrosis-driving FPS genes, BCL2 was confirmed as a potential pharmacologic target using clinical liver tissues. Systematic ex vivo evaluation of 13 candidate antifibrotics identified rational combination therapies based on epigallocatechin gallate, which were validated for enhanced antifibrotic effect in ex vivo culture of clinical liver tissues. In patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis treated with cenicriviroc, FPS modulation was associated with 1-year fibrosis improvement accompanied by suppression of the E2F pathway. Induction of the PPARα pathway was absent in patients without fibrosis improvement, suggesting a benefit of combining PPARα agonism to improve the antifibrotic efficacy of cenicriviroc. A 7-protein serum protein-based surrogate FPS was associated with the development of decompensation in cirrhosis patients., Conclusion: The FPS predicts long-term fibrosis progression in an etiology-agnostic manner, which can inform antifibrotic drug development., (Copyright © 2022 AGA Institute. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance is associated with early tumor detection and improved survival in patients with cirrhosis. 1 Surveillance is performed using semiannual abdominal ultrasound with or without α-fetoprotein (AFP); however, this strategy misses more than one-third of HCC at an early stage. 2 These data highlight a need for novel surveillance strategies with higher accuracy for early HCC detection. GALAD and Doylestown Plus are novel biomarker panels that combine multiple biomarkers with patient demographic and clinical characteristics; both demonstrated promising accuracy in phase II case-control studies; 3 , 4 however, case-control studies can overestimate biomarker performance, highlighting a need for phase III cohort and nested case-control studies. 5 Our study aimed to compare multiple biomarkers (including AFP, GALAD, and Doylestown Plus) in a nested case-control study of patients with cirrhosis., (Copyright © 2022 AGA Institute. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background and Aims: Most patients with HCC are diagnosed at a late stage, highlighting the need for more accurate surveillance tests. Although biomarkers for HCC early detection have promising data in Phase 2 case-control studies, evaluation in cohort studies is critical prior to adoption in practice. We leveraged a prospective cohort of patients with Child-Pugh A or B cirrhosis who were followed until incident HCC, liver transplantation, death, or loss to follow-up. We used a prospective specimen collection, retrospective, blinded evaluation design for biomarker evaluation of GALAD (gender × age × log alpha-fetoprotein [AFP] × des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin), longitudinal GALAD, and the HCC Early Detection Screening (HES) algorithm-compared to AFP-using patient-level sensitivity and screening-level specificity., Approach and Results: Of 397 patients with cirrhosis, 42 developed HCC (57.1% early stage) over a median of 2.0 years. Longitudinal GALAD had the highest c-statistic for HCC detection (0.85; 95% CI, 0.77-0.92) compared to single-time point GALAD (0.79; 95% CI, 0.71-0.87), AFP (0.77; 95% CI, 0.69-0.85), and HES (0.76; 95% CI, 0.67-0.83). When specificity was fixed at 90%, the sensitivity for HCC of single-time point and longitudinal GALAD was 54.8% and 66.7%, respectively, compared to 40.5% for AFP. Sensitivity for HCC detection was higher when restricted to patients with biomarker assessment within 6 months prior to HCC diagnosis, with the highest sensitivities observed for single-time point GALAD (72.0%) and longitudinal GALAD (64.0%), respectively. Sensitivity of single-time point and longitudinal GALAD for early-stage HCC was 53.8% and 69.2%, respectively., Conclusion: GALAD demonstrated high sensitivity for HCC detection in a cohort of patients with cirrhosis. Validation of these results is warranted in large Phase 3 data sets., (© 2021 American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.)

Survivorship after liver transplantation (LT) is a novel concept providing a holistic view of the arduous recovery experienced after transplantation. We explored components of early survivorship including physical, emotional, and psychological challenges to identify intervention targets for improving the recovery process of LT recipients and caregivers. A total of 20 in-person interviews were conducted among adults 3 to 6 months after LT. Trained qualitative research experts conducted interviews, coded, and analyzed transcripts to identify relevant themes and representative quotes. Early survivorship comprises overcoming (1) physical challenges, with the most challenging experiences involving mobility, driving, dietary modifications, and medication adherence, and (2) emotional and psychological challenges, including new health concerns, financial worries, body image/identity struggles, social isolation, dependency issues, and concerns about never returning to normal. Etiology of liver disease informed survivorship experiences including some patients with hepatocellular carcinoma expressing decisional regret or uncertainty in light of their post-LT experiences. Important topics were identified that framed LT recovery including setting expectations about waitlist experiences, hospital recovery, and ongoing medication requirements. Early survivorship after LT within the first 6 months involves a wide array of physical, emotional, and psychological challenges. Patients and caregivers identified what they wish they had known prior to LT and strategies for recovery, which can inform targeted LT survivorship interventions., (© 2021 American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.)

Background and Aims: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fastest rising cause of cancer-related death in the United States; however, HCC incidence and mortality are not equally distributed among racial and ethnic groups. Our aim was to characterize the direction and magnitude of racial and ethnic disparities in overall survival and early tumor detection among patients with HCC., Methods: We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE and Cochrane databases from inception through August 2020 for studies reporting HCC outcomes (early stage presentation and overall survival) by race and ethnicity. We calculated pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and odds ratios (ORs) for each racial and ethnic group (White, Black, Hispanic, Asian) using the DerSimonian and Laird method for a random-effects model., Results: We identified 35 articles comprising 563,097 patients (53.0% White, 17.3% Black, 18.4% Hispanic, 5.0% Asian). Compared with White patients, Black patients had worse survival (pooled HR 1.08; 95% CI, 1.05 - 1.12), whereas Hispanic (pooled HR 0.92; 95% CI, 0.87 - 0.97) and Asian (pooled HR 0.81; 95% CI, 0.73 - 0.88) patients had better survival. Among articles reporting tumor stage (n = 20), Black patients had lower odds of early stage HCC compared with White patients (OR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.54 - 0.78). Conversely, there was no difference in odds of early HCC detection for Asian (OR, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.97 - 1.05) or Hispanic patients (OR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.74 - 1.01) compared with White patients. The most common limitation of studies was risk of residual confounding from socioeconomic status and liver dysfunction., Conclusions: There are significant racial and ethnic disparities in HCC prognosis in the United States, with Black patients having worse overall survival and Hispanic and Asian patients having better overall survival compared with White patients. Interventions are needed to reduce disparities in early HCC detection to improve HCC prognosis., (Copyright © 2022. Published by Elsevier Inc.)

Survivorship is a well-established concept in the cancer care continuum with a focus on disease recurrence, quality of life, and the minimization of competing risks for mortality; however, survivorship has not been well studied in liver transplantation (LT). We investigated what survivorship means to LT patients and identified motivations and coping strategies for overcoming challenges after LT. A total of 20 in-depth home interviews were conducted among adults 3 to 6 months after LT. Interviews were conducted by trained qualitative research experts and coded and analyzed using an inductive approach. A majority of LT recipients (75%) identified themselves as survivors. Integral to the definition of survivorship was overcoming hardship (including experiences on the waiting list) and the unique experience of being given a "second chance" at life. Motivations to survive included a new chance at life (55%), family (40%), spirituality/faith (30%), and fear of rejection (15%). LT recipients and caregivers identified multiple strategies to cope with post-LT challenges, including relying on a large network of community, spiritual, and virtual support. These findings informed a conceptual model of LT survivorship based on socioecological theory, which identified the following variables influencing survivorship: (1) pretransplant experiences, (2) individual attributes and challenges, (3) interpersonal relationships with caregivers and other social support, (4) community relationships, and (5) large-scale factors including neighborhood and financial issues. LT recipients identified themselves as survivors, and post-LT identities were greatly influenced by pre-LT experiences. These perspectives informed an in-depth conceptual model of survivorship after transplantation. We identified sources of motivation and coping strategies used in LT recovery that could be targets of survivorship interventions aimed at improving post-LT outcomes., (Copyright © 2021 by the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.)

Background & Aims: The value of a cancer screening programs is defined by its balance of benefits and harms; however, there are few data evaluating both attributes for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance. We aimed to characterize benefits and harms of HCC surveillance in a large prospective cohort of patients with cirrhosis., Methods: We conducted a secondary analysis of a clinical trial evaluating HCC surveillance among patients with cirrhosis at a safety-net health system enrolled between December 2014 and July 2015. We quantified surveillance-related benefits, defined as early HCC detection and curative treatment receipt, and physical harms, defined as diagnostic procedures for false positive or indeterminate results, over an 18-month period., Results: Of 614 cirrhosis patients with ≥1 surveillance exam, abnormal results were observed in 118 (19.2%) patients. Twenty-six patients developed HCC during follow-up, of whom 16 (61.5%) were detected by surveillance. The proportion of HCC detected at BCLC stage 0/A (62.5% vs 50%, p = .69) and who underwent curative treatment (43.8% vs. 40.0%, p = 1.0) did not significantly differ between surveillance-detected patients and those diagnosed incidentally/symptomatically. Physical harms were observed in 54 (8.8%) patients who underwent surveillance - most of mild severity with only 1 diagnostic CT or MRI and none undergoing invasive testing such as biopsy. Incidental findings on follow-up imaging were found in 40 (6.5%) patients -23 of low clinical importance and 17 medium clinical importance., Conclusions: In our cohort of patients with cirrhosis, HCC surveillance was associated with high early tumor detection and minimal physical harms., (Copyright © 2021 AGA Institute. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Accurate non-invasive prediction of long-term hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk in advanced liver fibrosis is urgently needed for cost-effective HCC screening; however, this currently remains an unmet need., Methods: A serum-protein-based prognostic liver secretome signature (PLSec) was bioinformatically derived from previously validated hepatic transcriptome signatures and optimized in 79 patients with advanced liver fibrosis. We independently validated PLSec for HCC risk in 331 cirrhosis patients with mixed etiologies (validation set 1 [V1]) and thereafter developed a score with clinical prognostic variables. The score was then validated in two independent cohorts: validation set 2 (V2): 164 patients with advanced liver fibrosis due to hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection cured after direct-acting antiviral therapy; validation set 3 (V3): 146 patients with advanced liver fibrosis with successfully-treated HCC and cured HCV infection., Findings: An 8-protein blood-based PLSec recapitulated transcriptome-based hepatic HCC risk status. In V1, PLSec was significantly associated with incident HCC risk (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.35; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.30-4.23). A composite score with serum alpha-fetoprotein (PLSec-AFP) was defined in V1, and validated in V2 (adjusted odds ratio, 3.80 [95%CI, 1.66-8.66]) and V3 (aHR, 3.08 [95%CI, 1.78-5.31]; c-index, 0.74). PLSec-AFP outperformed AFP alone (Brier score, 0.165 vs. 0.186 in V2; 0.196 vs. 0.206 in V3, respectively)., Conclusions: The blood-based PLSec-AFP can accurately stratify patients with advanced liver fibrosis for long-term HCC risk and thereby guide risk-based tailored HCC screening., Competing Interests: DECLARATION OF INTERESTS Y.H. serves as an advisory board member for Helio Health and founding shareholder for Alentis Therapeutics, and received a research funding from Morphic Therapeutics. T.F.B. serves as advisor and is a founding shareholder or Alentis Therapeutics. R.T received a lecture fee from Bayer, Chugai, Eisai, Takeda and Wako/Fujifilm. N.P. has served as a consultant for Bristol Myers-Squibb, Exact Sciences, Eli Lilly, and Freenome. A.G.S. has served on advisory boards of Genentech, Eisai, Bayer, Exelixis, Wako/Fujifilm and has received research funding from Bayer, Target Pharmasolutions, Exact Sciences, and Glycotest.

The 2013 HIV Organ Policy Equity Act has increased liver transplantation (LT) in HIV + patients; however, transplant centers may remain reluctant to perform LT in HIV/hepatitis C virus (HCV)-coinfected patients due to inferior outcomes. We aimed to assess how direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) have impacted HIV + /HCV + -coinfected LT recipient outcomes., Methods: national data including 70 125 adult LT recipients between 2008 and 2019 were analyzed. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards model were used to analyze outcomes., Results: LT for HIV + individuals increased in the DAA era from 28 in 2014 to 64 in 2019 (23 had HIV + /HCV + coinfection). In the pre-DAA era, HIV + /HCV + -coinfected LT recipients had an increased risk of graft failure compared with HIV - /HCV - -uninfected LT recipients (hazard ratio [HR], 1.85; P  < 0.001). In contrast, there was no difference in graft failure between HIV + /HCV + -coinfected versus HIV - /HCV - -uninfected LT recipients in the DAA era (HR, 1.24; P  = 0.308). Among coinfected LT recipients in the DAA era, 1- and 3-y cumulative graft survivals were 88.6% and 81.7% compared with 76.3% and 58.0% in the pre-DAA era, respectively ( P  = 0.006). In Cox analysis, HCV coinfection was not associated with graft failure (HR, 1.00; 95% confidence interval, 0.53-1.89) among HIV + LT recipients in the DAA era (n = 271). Black and Hispanic populations accounted for almost half of HIV + /HCV + LTs in the DAA era., Conclusions: HIV + /HCV + -coinfected LT recipient outcomes have improved significantly in the DAA era. Our results should offer reassurance to transplant centers and encourage timely transplantation referral of HIV patients with decompensated cirrhosis, including patients coinfected with HCV., Competing Interests: A.G.S. has received grant/research support from Gilead. M.C. has received grant/research support from Gilead, Conatus, and Galectin and consultant fees from Gilead, Metacrine, Enterome, Novartis, AbbVie, Intercept, and NGM Bio. The other authors declare no conflicts of interest., (Copyright © 2021 The Author(s). Transplantation Direct. Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.)

Novel biomarkers for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance in patients with cirrhosis are urgently needed. We previously identified osteopontin (OPN) as a promising biomarker for the early detection of HCC. This study is to further validate the performance of OPN and identify fatty acids (FA) that could improve OPN's performance in HCC risk assessment in patients with cirrhosis. To that end, we selected 103 patients with cirrhosis under surveillance. Among them, 40 patients developed HCC during follow-up. We investigated in these 103 patients, the association between HCC incidence and prediagnostic serum levels of AFP, OPN, and 46 FAs. OPN performance was higher than AFP in detecting prediagnosis HCCs and the combination with AFP further improved OPN's performance. For patients with a diagnosis of HCC within 18 months of follow-up (HCC < 18 months), AUC for OPN + AFP was 0.77. Abundance of 11 FAs [four long-chain saturated FAs (SFA), four n-3 poly-unsaturated FAs (PUFA), and three n-6 PUFAs] were statistically different between patients who developed HCC and those who did not. Abundance changes correlated with time to diagnosis for the PUFAs, but not for the SFAs. Adding arachidic acid (20:0) and n-3 docosapentaenoic acid (22:5n3) to OPN and AFP improved the discriminatory performance (AUC = 0.83). AUC for this panel reached 0.87 for HCC < 18 months (82% sensitivity at 81% specificity). In conclusion, we identified a panel of 4 markers with strong performances that could have significant utility in HCC early detection in patients with cirrhosis under surveillance. PREVENTION RELEVANCE: This study identified a panel of 4 biomarkers that identifies with high performance patients with cirrhosis at high risk for HCC. This panel could have utility in HCC early detection in patients with cirrhosis under surveillance., (©2021 American Association for Cancer Research.)

Background: Delays in diagnosis and treatment have been reported for many cancers, with resultant stage migration and worse survival; however, few data exist in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). These data are of particular importance in light of the COVID-19 pandemic, which has caused disruptions in healthcare processes and may continue to impact cancer care for the foreseeable future. The aim of our study was to characterize the prevalence and clinical significance of diagnostic and treatment delays in patients with HCC., Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study of consecutive patients diagnosed with HCC between January 2008 and July 2017 at 2 US health systems. Diagnostic and treatment delays were defined as >90 days between presentation and HCC diagnosis and between diagnosis and treatment, respectively. We used multivariable logistic regression to identify factors associated with diagnostic and treatment delays and Cox proportional hazard models to identify correlates of overall survival., Results: Of 925 patients with HCC, 39.0% were diagnosed via screening, 33.1% incidentally, and 27.9% symptomatically. Median time from presentation to diagnosis was 37 days (interquartile range, 18-94 days), with 120 patients (13.0%) experiencing diagnostic delays. Median time from HCC diagnosis to treatment was 46 days (interquartile range, 29-74 days), with 17.2% of patients experiencing treatment delays. Most (72.5%) diagnostic delays were related to provider-level factors (eg, monitoring indeterminate nodules), whereas nearly half (46.2%) of treatment delays were related to patient-related factors (eg, missed appointments). In multivariable analyses, treatment delays were not associated with increased mortality (hazard ratio, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.60-1.35); these results were consistent across subgroup analyses by Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage and treatment modality., Conclusions: Diagnostic and therapeutic delays exceeding 3 months are common in patients with HCC; however, observed treatment delays do not seem to significantly impact overall survival.

Background and Aims: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance is associated with early tumor detection and improved survival; however, it is often underused in clinical practice. We aimed to characterize surveillance use among patients with cirrhosis and the efficacy of interventions to increase surveillance., Approach and Results: We performed a systematic literature review using the MEDLINE database from January 2010 through August 2018 to identify cohort studies evaluating HCC surveillance receipt or interventions to increase surveillance in patients with cirrhosis. A pooled estimate for surveillance receipt with 95% confidence intervals was calculated. Correlates of surveillance use were defined from each study and prespecified subgroup analyses. Twenty-nine studies, with a total of 118,799 patients, met inclusion criteria, with a pooled estimate for surveillance use of 24.0% (95% confidence interval, 18.4-30.1). In subgroup analyses, the highest surveillance receipt was reported in studies with patients enrolled from subspecialty gastroenterology/hepatology clinics and lowest in studies characterizing surveillance in population-based cohorts (73.7% versus 8.8%, P < 0.001). Commonly reported correlates of surveillance included higher receipt among patients followed by subspecialists and lower receipt among those with alcohol-associated or nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH)-related cirrhosis. All eight studies (n = 5,229) evaluating interventions including patient/provider education, inreach (e.g., reminder and recall systems), and population health outreach strategies reported significant increases (range 9.4%-63.6%) in surveillance receipt., Conclusions: HCC surveillance remains underused in clinical practice, particularly among patients with alcohol-associated or NASH-related cirrhosis and those not followed in subspecialty gastroenterology clinics. Interventions such as provider education, inreach including reminder systems, and population health outreach efforts can significantly increase HCC surveillance., (© 2020 by the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.)