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The physiological burden created by heat strain and physical exercise, also called thermal-work strain, was quantified for 10 male Marines (age 21.9 ± 2.3 years, height 180.3 ± 5.2 cm, and weight 85.2 ± 10.8 kg) during three dismounted missions in Helmand Province, Afghanistan. Heart rate (HR) and core body temperature (T core) were recorded every 15 seconds (Equivital EQ-01; Hidalgo, Cambridge, United Kingdom) during periods of light, moderate, and heavy work and used to estimate metabolic rate. Meteorological measures, clothing characteristics, anthropometrics, and estimated metabolic rates were used to predict T core for the same missions during March (spring) and July (summer) conditions. Thermal-work strain was quantified from HR and T core values using the Physiological Strain Index (PSI) developed by Moran et al. July PSI and T core values were predicted and not observed due to lack of access to in-theater warfighters at that time. Our methods quantify and compare the predicted and observed thermal-work strain resulting from environment and worn or carried equipment and illustrate that a small increase in ambient temperature and solar load might result in increased thermal-work strain.

Core temperature (CT) in combination with heart rate (HR) can be a good indicator of impending heat exhaustion for occupations involving exposure to heat, heavy workloads, and wearing protective clothing. However, continuously measuring CT in an ambulatory environment is difficult. To address this problem we developed a model to estimate the time course of CT using a series of HR measurements as a leading indicator using a Kalman filter. The model was trained using data from 17 volunteers engaged in a 24 h military field exercise (air temperatures 24–36 °C, and 42%–97% relative humidity and CTs ranging from 36.0–40.0 °C). Validation data from laboratory and field studies (N = 83) encompassing various combinations of temperature, hydration, clothing, and acclimation state were examined using the Bland–Altman limits of agreement (LoA) method. We found our model had an overall bias of −0.03 ± 0.32 °C and that 95% of all CT estimates fall within ±0.63 °C (>52 000 total observations). While the model for estimating CT is not a replacement for direct measurement of CT (literature comparisons of esophageal and rectal methods average LoAs of ±0.58 °C) our results suggest it is accurate enough to provide practical indication of thermal work strain for use in the work place.