Mariana Filipova-Marinova, Simon Connor, Natalia Gerasimenko, Fran Bragg, Katerina Kouli, Lyudmila S. Shumilovskikh, Petra J. Mudie, Juliana Atanassova, Sandy P. Harrison, Spassimir Tonkov, Ulrich Kotthoff, Elissaveta Bozilova, Eliso Kvavadze, Véronique De Laet, Elena Marinova, Elena Novenko, Maria Lazarova, Carlos E. Cordova, Morteza Djamali, Hülya Caner, Astrid Röpke, Elias Ramezani, Suzanne A.G. Leroy, Susanne Jahns, Ioan Tanţǎu, Royal Belgian Institute of Natural Sciences (RBINS), University of Bristol [Bristol], Universidade do Algarve (UAlg), Catholic University of Leuven - Katholieke Universiteit Leuven (KU Leuven), Centre européen de recherche et d'enseignement des géosciences de l'environnement (CEREGE), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Collège de France (CdF)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA), Institut méditerranéen de biodiversité et d'écologie marine et continentale (IMBE), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de recherche pour le développement [IRD] : UMR237-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-Avignon Université (AU), The National Museum of Georgia, Universitatea Babeş-Bolyai [Cluj-Napoca], University of Sofia, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-Collège de France (CdF (institution))-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Avignon Université (AU)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-Institut de recherche pour le développement [IRD] : UMR237-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Софийски университет = Sofia University, and Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Collège de France (CdF (institution))-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)
International audience; Aim: To evaluate the biomization technique for reconstructing past vegetation in the Eastern Mediterranean-Black Sea-Caspian-Corridor using an extensive modern pollen data set and comparing reconstructions to potential vegetation and observed land cover data. Location: The region between 28-48 degrees N and 22-62 degrees E. Methods: We apply the biomization technique to 1,387 modern pollen samples, representing 1,107 entities, to reconstruct the distribution of 13 broad vegetation categories (biomes). We assess the results using estimates of potential natural vegetation from the European Vegetation Map and the Physico-Geographic Atlas of the World. We test whether anthropogenic disturbance affects reconstruction quality using land use information from the Global Land Cover data set. Results: The biomization scheme successfully predicts the broadscale patterns of vegetation across the region, including changes with elevation. The technique discriminates deserts from shrublands, the prevalence of woodlands in moister lowland sites, and the presence of temperate and mixed forests at higher elevations. Quantitative assessment of the reconstructions is less satisfactory: the biome is predicted correctly at 44% of the sites in Europe and 33% of the sites overall. The low success rate is not a reflection of anthropogenic impacts: only 33% of the samples are correctly assigned after the removal of sites in anthropogenically altered environments. Open vegetation is less successfully predicted (33%) than forest types (73%), reflecting the under-representation of herbaceous taxa in pollen assemblages and the impact of long-distance pollen transport into open environments. Samples from small basins (