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Abstract Background Direct and indirect COVID19-related mortality is uncertain. This study investigated all-cause and COVID19-related deaths among middle-aged and older adults during the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic period, assessing mortality risks by pre-existing socio-demographic and medical underlying conditions. Methods Population-based cohort study involving 79,083 individuals ≥50 years-old in Tarragona (Southern Catalonia, Spain). Baseline cohort characteristics (age/sex, comorbidities and medications/vaccinations history) were established at study start (01/03/2020) and main outcomes were COVID19-related deaths (those occurred among patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID19) and all-cause deaths occurred among cohort members between 01/03/2020–30/06/2020. Mortality risks were assessed by Cox regression analyses. Results Cohort members were followed for 1,356,358 persons-weeks, occurring 576 all-cause deaths (124 COVID19-related deaths). Of the 124 deceased patients with a laboratory-confirmed COVID19, 112 (90.3%) died by (due to) COVID-19, while 12 (9.7%) died with COVID-19 (but likely due to other concomitant causes). All-cause mortality rate among cohort members across study period was 42.5 deaths per 100,000 persons-week, being 22.8 among healthy/unrelated-COVID19 subjects, 236.4 in COVID19-excluded/PCR-negative subjects, 493.7 in COVID19-compatible/PCR-unperformed subjects and 4009.1 in COVID19-confirmed patients. Increasing age, sex male, nursing-home residence, cancer, neurologic, cardiac or liver disease, receiving diuretics, systemic corticosteroids, proton-pump inhibitors and benzodiazepines were associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality; conversely, receiving renin-angiotensin inhibitors and statins were associated with reduced risk. Age/years (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.08; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.06–1.10), sex male (HR: 1.82; 95% CI: 1.24–2.70), nursing-home residence (HR: 12.56; 95% CI: 8.07–19.54) and number of pre-existing comorbidities (HR: 1.14; 95% CI: 1.01–1.29) were significant predictors for COVID19-related mortality, but none specific comorbidity emerged significantly associated with an increased risk in multivariable analysis evaluating it. Conclusion COVID19-related deaths represented more than 20 % of all-cause mortality occurred among middle-aged and older adults during the first wave of the pandemic in the region. A considerable proportion (around 10 %) of these COVID19-related deaths could be attributed to other concomitant causes. Theoretically COVID19-excluded subjects (PCR-negative) suffered ten-times greater all-cause mortality than healthy/unrelated-COVID19 subjects, which points to the existence of considerable number of false negative results in earlier PCR testing and could explain part of the global excess all-cause mortality observed during the pandemic.

Objective: To investigate possible early prognostic factors among middle-aged and older adult and explore prognostic rules stratifying risk of patients. Design: Community-based retrospective cohort. Setting: Primary Health Care Tarragona region. Participants: 282 community-dwelling symptomatic patients ≥50 years with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 (hospitalised and/or outpatient) during March-June 2020 in Tarragona (Southern Catalonia, Spain). Main outcome measurements: Relationship between demographics, pre-existing comorbidities and early symptomatology (first 5-days) and risk of suffering critical outcome (ICU-admission/death) across clinical course was evaluated by logistic regression analyses, and simple predictive models were developed. Results: Of the 282 cases (mean age: 65.9 years; 140 men), 154 (54.6%) were hospitalised (30 ICU-admitted) and 45 (16%) deceased. Median time follow-up in clinical course was 31 days (range: 30–150) for survivors and 14 days (range: 1–81) for deceased patients. In crude analyses, increasing age, male sex, some comorbidities (renal, respiratory or cardiac disease, diabetes and hypertension) and symptoms (confusion, dyspnoea) were associated with an increased risk to suffer critical outcome, whereas other symptoms (rinorrhea, myalgias, headache, anosmia/disgeusia) were related with reduced risk. After multivariable-adjustment only age/years (OR: 1.04; 95% CI: 1.01–1.07; p = 0.004), confusion (OR: 5.33; 95% CI: 1.54–18.48; p = 0.008), dyspnoea (OR: 5.41; 95% CI: 2.74–10.69; p

Resumen: Objetivo: Analizar la incidencia y letalidad de la neumonía neumocócica (NN) en adultos tras la implementación de la vacunación universal en los niños. Diseño: Estudio de cohortes de base poblacional. Emplazamiento: Atención primaria/hospital, Cataluña. Participantes: 2.059.645 personas ≥ 50 años afiliadas al Institut Català de la Salut, con seguimiento retrospectivo entre 01/01/2017-31/12/2018. Mediciones principales: El Sistema de Información para el Desarrollo de la Investigación en Atención Primaria (SIDIAP) de Cataluña fue usado para establecer las características basales de los miembros de la cohorte, clasificados en 3 estratos de riesgo: bajo (inmunocompetentes sin condiciones de riesgo), medio (inmunocompetentes con alguna condición de riesgo) y alto (inmunocompromiso/asplenia). La ocurrencia de NN entre los miembros de la cohorte fue identificada mediante Conjunto Mínimo Básico de Datos de los 64 hospitales catalanes de referencia. Resultados: Se registraron 3592 episodios de NN, con una incidencia de 90,7 casos por 100.000 personas-año (IC 95%: 85,2-96,5), siendo 11,9 bacteriémicas (IC 95%: 10,8-13,1) y 78,8 no bacteriémicas (IC 95%: 74,0-83,8). La incidencia aumentó sustancialmente según edad (37,3 en 50-64; 98,3 en 65-79 y 259,8 en ≥ 80 años) y estrato de riesgo basal (42,1; 120,7 y 238,6 en bajo, medio y alto riesgo, respectivamente). La letalidad global fue del 7,6% (10,8% en casos invasivos vs. 7,1%en no invasivos; p = 0,004). En modelos multivariantes, estrato de riesgo alto y edad avanzada (> 80 años) fueron los más fuertes predictores para padecer episodios invasivos y no invasivos, respectivamente. Conclusión: La incidencia y letalidad de la NN fue moderada en la población > 50 años de Cataluña durante 2017-2018. Abstract: Objective: To analyse population-based incidence and lethality of pneumococcal pneumonia (PP) requiring hospitalisation among Catalonian adults after universal vaccination implementation in infants. Design: Population-based cohort study. Setting: Primary care/hospital, Catalonia. Participants: 2,059,645 individuals ≥ 50 years old affiliated to the Institut Catala de la Salut retrospectively followed between 01/01/2017 and 31/12/2018. Main outcome measures: The Catalonian information system for the development of research in primary care (SIDIAP, Sistema de Información para el Desarrollo de la Investigación en Atención Primaria) was used to establish baseline characteristics and risk-strata of cohort members at study start: low-risk (immunocompetent persons without risk conditions), intermediate-risk (immunocompetent persons with at-risk condition) and high-risk (immunocompromising conditions). PP requiring hospitalisation among cohort members across study period were collected from CMBD (Conjunto Mínimo Básico de Datos) discharge data of 64 reference Catalonian hospitals. Results: An amount of 3592 episodes of HPP were observed, with an incidence density of 90.7 cases per 100,000 person-years (95% CI: 85.2-96.5), being 11.9 bacteremic (95% CI: 10.8-13.1) and 78.8 non-bacteremic (95% CI: 74.0-83.8). Incidence rates substantially increased by age (37.3 in 50-64 years vs. 98.3 in 65-79 years vs. 259.8 in ≥80 years) and baseline-risk stratum (42.1, 120.7 and 238.6 in low-, intermediate- and high-risk stratum, respectively). Overall case-fatality rate was 7.6% (10.8% in invasive cases vs. 7.1% in non-invasive cases; pP = .004). In multivariable analyses, high-risk stratum and oldest age were the strongest predictors for invasive and non-invasive cases, respectively. Conclusion: Incidence and lethality of PP remained moderate among adults >50 years in Catalonia during 2017–2018 (earlier period after universal vaccination introduction for infants).