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At 11:18 h (New Zealand time, GMT +12) on 18 March 2007 an impoundment of 0.01 x [10.sup.6] [m.sup.3] of tephra collapsed, releasing 1.3 x [10.sup.6] [m.sup.3] of water from Crater Lake at 2536 m elevation on Mount Ruapehu. The lahar traveled 200 km along the Whangaehu River. Aerial LiDAR surveys of the upper 62 km of flow path were made before and after the lahar. We present here the first large-scale quantification of the geomorphic impact of the dam-break flood along with the rates and controls on its sediment entrainment and deposition. The flood mobilized a net value of 2.5-3.1 x [10.sup.6] [m.sup.3] of boulders, gravel, and sand over the first 5 km of travel to form a lahar of at least 4.4 x [10.sup.6] [m.sup.3] passing instruments at 6.9 km. LiDAR volume-transfer calculations match dynamic measurements made. After a logarithmic increase in cumulative net sediment entrainment, the lahar appeared to reach its maximum sediment-carrying capacity at 22 km. Patterns of alternating sediment erosion and deposition occurred that dominantly reflect a combination of channel morphology and confinement on the local sediment-carrying capacity of the flow. doi: 10.1130/G30129.1

Numazawa volcano in northeast Japan erupted most recently at ca. 5 ka, forming a 2-km-diameter caldera and emplacing at least 4 [km.sup.3] of valley-confined ignimbrite. The ignimbrite dammed the Tadami River to a depth of >100 m, temporarily impounding >1.6 [km.sup.3] of water. Overtopping of the barrier triggered breaching and catastrophic release of the dam lake. Pyroclastic material redeposited by the ensuing flood is widely distributed along the Tadami and Agano Rivers in deposits tens of meters thick as far as the coastal Niigata Plain >150 km downstream of the volcano. Evidence for damming and flooding found along the rivers includes (1) fine-grained, thinly laminated lacustrine deposits upstream of the pyroclastic blockage; (2) 30-m-thick, pumiceous debris-flow and hypereoncentrated-flow deposits that show continuous sedimentation with no major hiatus downstream of the volcano; (3) fine-grained slackwater deposits at tributary river mouths; and (4) large flood boulders that form lags on stripped ignimbrite surfaces and younger terrace surfaces, or cropping out within hyperconcentrated-flow deposits. Paleohydraulic estimation techniques indicate a peak discharge of 30,000-50,000 [m.sup.3]/s at the breach point. Burial of Neolithic Jomon settlements by flood and volcaniclastic aggradational deposits at distal locations indicates that such indirect volcanogenic hazards are significant, even where direct primary consequences of volcanic eruptions are minor or absent. Keywords: breakout flood, ignimbrite, lahar, natural dam, volcanic hazards, volcaniclastic, resedimentation.

This study presents a micromorphological analysis of liquefaction features (dykes, sills and sand blows) associated with the 2010 to 2011 Canterbury Earthquakes Sequence, dykes of an earlier generation of liquefaction (palaeoliquefaction) and hosting soil. The aim of this research was to determine whether diagnostic features existed that would allow robust identification of liquefaction features and discrimination of different generations of liquefaction features in thin sections. This study serves to enhance the tools available to support palaeoliquefaction studies and earthquake hazard assessment. Similarities were found in the sedimentary fabric between all forms and ages of liquefaction features distinct from hosting soil. Palaeoliquefaction features could also be distinguished on the basis of microscopic pedogenic characteristics. Liquefaction and palaeoliquefaction were investigated in two distinctive sedimentary settings: the floodplain of the Halswell River, and coastal sand dunes near or in Christchurch. Analysis was carried out on thin sections prepared from resin‐impregnated blocks of soil sediment hosting the liquefaction features. The fabric of modern liquefaction features in the alluvial and coastal system is similar, both showing a single grain micro‐structure, with moderate to well‐sorted grains with many simple packing voids and planar voids. In both environments it was possible to see evidence of fluidization such as water escape structures, cutans and silt caps. The palaeoliquefaction fabric can be distinguished from the modern liquefaction fabric by the presence of textural pedogenic features in the form of silt coating of grains, infilling of planar voids, coating and hypocoating of voids and excrement pedofeatures. The results presented in this manuscript demonstrated how thin section analysis can be a valuable tool to corroborate field identification of liquefaction features, and to discriminate between features of different relative ages where stratigraphic evidence is equivocal. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Current understanding of dune dynamics in rivers and estuaries in response to varying flows remains incomplete, particularly with respect to pattern evolution. This study presents observations of dune crestline change during the gradually varied flow caused by the influence of a diurnal tide on the fluvially‐dominated Fraser Estuary, British Columbia, Canada. Observations consist of a 1·0 km long and 0·5 km wide patch of a dune field mapped repeatedly during a falling and rising spring tide, on the rising limb of annual hydrograph immediately prior to peak freshet. The fundamental relations between dune geometry, translation rate, sediment flux and the birth, death and piracy of dune crestlines are explored. The data show that the bedform field consists of primary, channel‐spanning dunes with a series of interconnected secondary crestlines. The primary crestlines are two‐dimensional and experience little change over the tide cycle. The secondary crestlines impart a three‐dimensionality to the bedform field that is dynamic with the flow. There is a predominance of dune crestline bifurcation 'deaths' (disappearances) over 'births' (appearances) as flow velocity in the channel increases, suggesting that the crestline configuration is moving towards a more two‐dimensional configuration. As the flow wanes, bifurcation births outweigh deaths, suggesting that the dune field becomes more complex and three‐dimensional. The results suggest that the primary response to variable flow may be a simplification of the dune field towards a two‐dimensional configuration as flow increases and added complexity towards a more three‐dimensional configuration as the dune flow wanes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Models relating sediment supply to catchment properties are important in order to use the geological record to deduce landscape evolution and interplay between tectonics and climate. Water discharge (Qw) is an important factor in the widely used 'BQART' model, which relates sediment load to a set of measurable catchment parameters. Although many of the factors in this equation may be independently estimated with some degree of certainty in ancient systems, water discharge (Qw) certainly cannot. An analysis of a world database of modern catchments with 1255 entries shows that the commonly applied equation relating catchment area (A) to water discharge (Qw = 0·075A0·8) does not predict water discharge from catchment area well in many cases (R2 = 0·5 and an error spanning about three orders of magnitude). This is because the method does not incorporate the effect of arid and wet climate on river water discharge. The inclusion of climate data into such estimations is an opportunity to refine these estimates, because generalized estimates of palaeoclimate can often be deduced on the basis of sedimentological data such as palaeosol types, mineralogy and palaeohydraulics. This paper investigates how the relationship between catchment area and river discharge varies with four runoff categories (arid, semi-arid, humid and wet), which are recognizable in the geological record, and modifies the coefficient and exponent of the above-mentioned equation according to these classes. This modified model yields improved results in relating discharge to catchment area (R2 = 0·95 and error spanning one order of magnitude) when core, outcrop or regional palaeoclimate reconstruction data are available in nonarid systems. Arid systems have an inherently variable water discharge, and catchment area is less important as a control due to downstream losses. The model here is sufficient for many geological applications and makes it possible to include variations in catchment humidity in mass-flux estimates in ancient settings. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The wavelength of stationary water-surface waves and their associated antidune bedforms are related to the mean velocity and depth of formative flow. In past published sand-bed flume experiments, it was found that lens structures were preserved during antidune growth and change, and the dimension of the lenses was empirically related to antidune wavelength, and thus could be used to estimate flow velocity and depth. This study is the first to compare observations of formative flow conditions and resulting sedimentary structures in a natural setting, testing the previously published relationship at a field-scale. Trains of stationary and upstream migrating water-surface waves were prevalent during the flash flood in October 2012 in the Belham Valley, Montserrat, West Indies. Wave positions and wavelengths were assessed at 900 sec intervals through the daylight hours of the event within a monitored reach. The wave data indicate flow depths up to 1·3 m and velocity up to 3·6 m sec−1. Sedimentary structures formed by antidune growth and change were preserved in the event deposit. These structures include lenses of clast-supported gravel and massive sand, with varying internal architecture. The lenses and associated low-angle strata are comparable to sand-bed structures formed from stationary and upstream migrating waves in flume experiments, confirming the diagnostic value of these structures. Using mean lens length in the event deposit underestimated peak flow conditions during the flood and implied that the lenses were preserved during waning flow. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Anastomosing rivers, systems of multiple interconnected channels that enclose floodbasins, constitute a major category of rivers for which various sedimentary facies models have been developed. While the sedimentary products of anastomosing rivers are relatively well-known, their genesis is still debated. A rapidly growing number of ancient alluvial successions being interpreted as of anastomosing river origin, including important hydrocarbon reservoirs, urge the development of robust models for the genesis of anastomosis, to facilitate better interpretation of ancient depositional settings and controls. The upper Columbia River, British Columbia, Canada, is the most-studied anastomosing river and has played a key role in the development of an anastomosing river facies model. Two hypotheses for the origin of upper Columbia River anastomosis include the following: (i) downstream control by aggrading cross-valley alluvial fans; and (ii) upstream control by excessive bedload input from tributaries. Both upstream and downstream control may force aggradation and avulsions in the upper Columbia River. In order to test both hypotheses, long-term (millennia-scale) floodplain sedimentation rates and avulsion frequencies are calculated using 14C-dated deeply buried organic floodplain material from cross-valley borehole transects. The results indicate a downstream decrease in floodplain sedimentation rate and avulsion frequency along the anastomosed reach, which is consistent with dominant upstream control by sediment overloading. The data here link recent avulsion activity to increased sediment supply during the Little Ice Age ( ca 1100 to 1950 ad). This link is supported by data showing that sediment supply to the upper Columbia study reach fluctuated in response to Holocene glacial advances and retreats in the hinterland. Upstream control of anastomosis has considerable implications for the reconstruction of the setting of interpreted ancient anastomosing systems. The present research underscores that anastomosing systems typically occur in relatively proximal settings with abundant sediment supplied to low-gradient floodplains, a situation commonly found in intermontane and foreland basins. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Deltas contain sedimentary records that are not only indicative of water-level changes, but also particularly sensitive to earthquake shaking typically resulting in soft-sediment-deformation structures. The Kürk lacustrine delta lies at the south-western extremity of Lake Hazar in eastern Turkey and is adjacent to the seismogenic East Anatolian Fault, which has generated earthquakes of magnitude 7. This study re-evaluates water-level changes and earthquake shaking that have affected the Kürk Delta, combining geophysical data (seismic-reflection profiles and side-scan sonar), remote sensing images, historical data, onland outcrops and offshore coring. The history of water-level changes provides a temporal framework for the depositional record. In addition to the common soft-sediment deformation documented previously, onland outcrops reveal a record of deformation (fracturing, tilt and clastic dykes) linked to large earthquake-induced liquefactions and lateral spreading. The recurrent liquefaction structures can be used to obtain a palaeoseismological record. Five event horizons were identified that could be linked to historical earthquakes occurring in the last 1000 years along the East Anatolian Fault. Sedimentary cores sampling the most recent subaqueous sedimentation revealed the occurrence of another type of earthquake indicator. Based on radionuclide dating (137Cs and 210Pb), two major sedimentary events were attributed to the ad 1874 to 1875 East Anatolian Fault earthquake sequence. Their sedimentological characteristics were determined by X-ray imagery, X-ray diffraction, loss-on-ignition, grain-size distribution and geophysical measurements. The events are interpreted to be hyperpycnal deposits linked to post-seismic sediment reworking of earthquake-triggered landslides. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The profile of a river that conveys sediment without net deposition and net erosion is referred to as 'graded' with respect to vertical aggradation of the river segment. Three experimental series, designed in terms of the autostratigraphic view of alluvial grade, were conducted to clarify the diagnostic spatial behaviour of graded alluvial-deltaic rivers: an 'R series', which utilized a moving boundary setting with a stationary base level; an 'F series' in a fixed boundary setting with a stationary base level to produce 'forced grade'; and an 'M series' in a moving boundary setting with constant base-level fall to produce 'autogenic grade.' The results of the three experimental series, combined with geometrical modelling of the effects of basin water depth and other experimental data, suggest the following: (i) in a graded alluvial-deltaic system, lateral shifting and avulsing of active distributary channels are suppressed regardless of whether the downstream boundary of the deltaic system is fixed; (ii) in a delta with a downstream-fixed boundary, the graded streams are stabilized within a valley that is incised in the axial part of the delta plain, whereby the alluvial plain outside the valley is abandoned and terraced; (iii) in moving boundary settings, the graded river simply extends basinward as a linearly elongated channel and lobe system without cutting a valley; and (iv) a modern forced-graded alluvial river is most likely to be found in a valley incised into a fan delta in front of very deep water, and the stratigraphic signal of fossil autogenic-graded rivers will be found in deltaic successions that accumulated in the outer to marginal areas of deltaic continental shelves during sea-level falls. This renewed autostratigraphic view of alluvial grade suggests a thorough reconsideration of the conventional understanding that an alluvial river feeding a progradational delta is graded with a stationary base level. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Boulders moving in flash floods cause considerable damage and casualties. More and bigger boulders move in flash floods than predicted from published theory. The interpretation of flow conditions from the size of large particles within flash flood deposits has, until now, generally assumed that the velocity (or discharge) is unchanging in time (i.e. flow is steady), or changes instantaneously between periods of constant conditions. Standard practice is to apply theories developed for steady flow conditions to flash floods, which are however inherently very unsteady flows. This is likely to lead to overestimates of peak flow velocity (or discharge). Flash floods are characterised by extremely rapid variations in flow that generate significant transient forces in addition to the mean-flow drag. These transient forces, generated by rapid velocity changes, are generally ignored in published theories, but they are briefly so large that they could initiate the motion of boulders. This paper develops a theory for the initiation of boulder movement due to the additional impulsive force generated by unsteady flow, and discusses the implications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study addresses gaps in understanding the relative roles of sea-level change, coastal geomorphology and sediment availability in driving beach erosion at the scale of individual beaches. Patterns of historical shoreline change are examined for spatial relationships to geomorphology and for temporal relationships to late-Holocene and modern sea-level change. The study area shoreline on the north-east coast of Oahu, Hawaii, is characterized by a series of kilometre-long beaches with repeated headland-embayed morphology fronted by a carbonate fringing reef. The beaches are the seaward edge of a carbonate sand-rich coastal strand plain, a common morphological setting in tectonically stable tropical island coasts. Multiple lines of geological evidence indicate that the strand plain prograded atop a fringing reef platform during a period of late-Holocene sea-level fall. Analysis of historical shoreline changes indicates an overall trend of erosion (shoreline recession) along headland sections of beach and an overall trend of stable to accreting beaches along adjoining embayed sections. Eighty-eight per cent of headland beaches eroded over the past century at an average rate of −0·12 ± 0·03 m yr−1. In contrast, 56% of embayed beaches accreted at an average rate of 0·04 ± 0·03 m yr−1. Given over a century of global (and local) sea-level rise, the data indicate that embayed beaches are showing remarkable resiliency. The pattern of headland beach erosion and stable to accreting embayments suggests a shift from accretion to erosion particular to the headland beaches with the initiation of modern sea-level rise. These results emphasize the need to account for localized variations in beach erosion related to geomorphology and alongshore sediment transport in attempting to forecast future shoreline change under increasing sea-level rise. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

As the size of human populations increases, so does the severity of the impacts of natural disasters. This is partly because more people are now occupying areas which are susceptible to hazardous natural events, hence, evacuation is needed when such events occur. Evacuation can be the most important action to minimise the impact of any disaster, but in many cases there are always people who are reluctant to leave. This paper describes an agent-based model (ABM) of evacuation decisions, focusing on the emergence of reluctant people in times of crisis and using Merapi, Indonesia as a case study. The individual evacuation decision model is influenced by several factors formulated from a literature review and survey. We categorised the factors influencing evacuation decisions into two opposing forces, namely, the driving factors to leave (evacuate) versus those to stay, to formulate the model. The evacuation decision (to stay/leave) of an agent is based on an evaluation of the strength of these driving factors using threshold-based rules. This ABM was utilised with a synthetic population from census microdata, in which everyone is characterised by the decision rule. Three scenarios with varying parameters are examined to calibrate the model. Validations were conducted using a retrodictive approach by performing spatial and temporal comparisons between the outputs of simulation and the real data. We present the results of the simulations and discuss the outcomes to conclude with the most plausible scenario. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: A localised ground subsidence anomaly at Crown Road, Taupo, within the Tauhara field of the Wairakei–Tauhara geothermal system, has been subjected to intense scrutiny because of its relatively recent onset and proximity to urban areas. Over a period of 20 years a maximum of 0.63m of subsidence has accumulated. Uncertainties regarding its cause remain, but the evidence now strongly favours a relatively shallow (about 50m depth) origin, compared with other geothermal subsidence bowls at Wairakei, Tauhara and Ohaaki. Declining water levels in a shallow boiling aquifer are considered to be the principal driving mechanism at Crown Road. The source of the subsidence is an anomalously compressible formation of intensely altered ignimbrite found at the base of a buried hydrothermal eruption deposit. This formation is dominated by soft kaolinite and smectite-illite clays of high plasticity and water content, resulting from alteration of highly vesiculated pumice, and is capped by a thin hardpan of silicified pyroclastic material, characterised by vuggy macro-porosity, at about 33m depth. During initiation of the subsidence event, this hardpan may have failed in shear mode around the edges of a buried eruption crater, allowing the overburden to fully load the underlying compressible clays. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]