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Introduction: Heart failure (HF) is a growing public health burden in many low and middle-income countries (LMIC). However, most HF registries were conducted in high income countries, which often have different ethnic and cultural backgrounds from that of LMIC. Hypothesis: Independent clinical variables associated with mortality in patients hospitalized for HF in Egypt are different from those established in the United States (US). Methods: Between 2011 and 2014, 1,660 patients hospitalized for HF were enrolled from 20 centers across Egypt as part of the European Society of Cardiology HF long-term Registry. Deceased patients were compared to survivors, to identify demographic, clinical and biochemical variables associated with in-hospital and one-year mortality. Variables associated with mortality on univariate analysis, and independent variables identified in the Acute Decompensated Heart Failure National Registry (ADHERE) and in the Seattle Heart Failure Model, both based in the US, were entered into the multivariate logistic regression model. Results: In-hospital mortality was 5%. Only two independent clinical factors associated with in-hospital mortality were identified: elevated serum creatinine (sCr), OR=1.47 [95% CI: 1.23, 1.74] for every point increases above one mg/dl; and low admission systolic blood pressure (SBP), OR=1.54; [95% CI: 1.43, 1.65] for every 10 points decrease in SBP below 140 mmHg. At one-year follow up, mortality was 27%. Independent predictors of one-year mortality were: age, OR=1.47; [95% CI: 1.23,1.75] for every 10-year increase above 40; low discharge SBP, OR=1.30 [95% CI: 1.08, 1.52] for every 10 points decrease below 140 mmHg; low ejection fraction, OR=1.51 [95% CI: 0.59,0.73] for every 5 points decrease from 65%; chronic liver disease, OR=3.0 [95% CI: 1.51,5.88]; history of stroke, OR=3.2 [95% CI: 1.52,6.65]. These variables overlapped with those identified in US registries. Conclusions: Independent clinical variables associated with mortality after HF hospitalization in Egypt are similar to those reported in HF registries in the US.

Background. Unrestrained use of expensive, high-risk interventions runs counter to the idea of a limited medical commons. Objective. To examine the effect of displaying the total first-year cost of implanting a left ventricular assist device (LVAD) on a hypothetical treatment decision and whether this effect differs when choosing for oneself versus for another person. Design. We conducted an online survey in February 2016. The survey described the clinical course of end-stage heart failure and the risks and benefits of an LVAD. Participants were randomized to 1 of 4 scenarios, which varied by patient identity (oneself versus another person) and description of total cost. Measurements. This study measured acceptance of LVAD implantation. Reasoning and attitudes were secondarily explored. Results. We received 1211 valid responses. The mean age was 38.3 y (±12.8); 53.5% were female and 84.4% were white. Participants were more likely to accept an LVAD when shown the total cost (66.2% v. 58.0%, P = 0.003) or when choosing for another (68.0 % v. 56.4%, P < 0.001). Open-ended responses indicated that acceptors wanted to extend survival while decliners feared poor quality of life with LVAD therapy. Acceptors and decliners agreed that consumers can help lower the cost of health care, but decliners were more likely to consider cost when making health care decisions ( P < 0.001). Limitations. Limitations include the use of a hypothetical scenario, the use of paid participants, and differences between the respondents and the typical patient facing an LVAD decision. Conclusions. In this sample, being shown the total cost increased the likelihood of accepting an expensive, high-risk treatment. The results question how well consumers understand the relationship between expensive treatments and the commons.

Supplemental material, MDM-17-295.1_Supplement_3_online_supp for The Effect of Total Cost Information on Consumer Treatment Decisions: An Experimental Survey by Regina Kwon, Larry A. Allen, Laura D. Scherer, Jocelyn S. Thompson, Madiha F. Abdel-Maksoud, Colleen K. McIlvennan and Daniel D. Matlock in Medical Decision Making

Supplemental material, MDM-17-295.1_Supplement_2_online_supp for The Effect of Total Cost Information on Consumer Treatment Decisions: An Experimental Survey by Regina Kwon, Larry A. Allen, Laura D. Scherer, Jocelyn S. Thompson, Madiha F. Abdel-Maksoud, Colleen K. McIlvennan and Daniel D. Matlock in Medical Decision Making

Supplemental material, MDM-17-295.1_Supplement_1_online_supp for The Effect of Total Cost Information on Consumer Treatment Decisions: An Experimental Survey by Regina Kwon, Larry A. Allen, Laura D. Scherer, Jocelyn S. Thompson, Madiha F. Abdel-Maksoud, Colleen K. McIlvennan and Daniel D. Matlock in Medical Decision Making

Background:The first three years of a child’s life are a critical period for brain growth and development. Caregiver interventions during this period that improve early childhood health and development have the potential to enhance a child’s physical, mental, and social well-being.Methods:This was a pretest/posttest quasi experimental program evaluation. Early childhood education materials were adapted to create two separate interventions consisting of 30-page interactive flipchart talks to educate mothers on health and development topics relevant to 0–6 and 6–12 month old children. Three community health workers performed the talks with groups of 5–8 mothers. Short learning assessments were given individually to each mother pre-intervention (pretest), immediately post-intervention (posttest 1), and two weeks post-intervention (posttest 2). Demographic surveys and focus group discussions were conducted with all participants.Results:Mothers ( n = 77) had an average age of 33.6 years and had an average of 3.6 living children. Most of the mothers (71%) had received some primary education, but 23% had received no formal schooling. For the 0–6 months flipchart learning assessment ( n = 38), the mean pretest score was 77% correct. The mean posttest 1 score improved to 87% ( p < 0.0001), and the mean posttest 2 score improved further from the mean posttest 1 score to 90% ( p = 0.01). For the 6–12 months flipchart learning assessment ( n = 39), the mean pretest score was 78%. The mean posttest 1 score improved to 89% ( p < 0.0001), and the mean posttest 2 score improved further from the mean posttest 1 score to 92% ( p = 0.03).Conclusions:Mothers in an impoverished region of southwestern Guatemala significantly increased their knowledge about child health topics following a short interactive group talk. Mothers further increased their knowledge two weeks after the intervention, without specific re-exposure to the intervention materials, suggesting assimilation and informal reinforcement through group based learning with other mothers in their community.

Although the physiologic interrelationships between triglycerides (TG) and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) are not fully understood, studies typically are adjusted for one when one is examining the role of the other. If the mechanism of coronary heart disease (CHD) risk is mediated through the other, then controlling for the second factor may mask the true effect of the first. We investigated the relationship between the combined effect of increased (↑) TG and decreased (↓) HDL-C compared with isolated ↑TG or isolated ↓HDL-C on CHD risk in men and women and compared these TG/HDL-C categories to non-HDL cholesterol (non-HDL-C).Subjects (936 women and 746 men) from the San Luis Valley Study were grouped on the basis of 4 sex-specific NCEP-ATP III cutpoints (↑TG ≥150 mg/dL, and ↓HDL-C,40 and50 mg/dL for men and women, respectively). Descriptive statistics and survival analyses were used. The reference group was ↓TG/↑HDL-C (TG150, and HDL-C50 and40 mg/dL for women and men, respectively). Non-HDL-C was analyzed as a continuous variable.Among women, all groups had greater risk of CHD compared with the ↓TG/↑HDL-C reference in univariate analysis: ↓TG/↓HDL-C HR = 2.82 [95% confidence interval 1.12-7.1], ↑TG/↑HDL-C HR = 3.82 [1.50-9.74], ↑TG/↓HDL-C HR= 4.32 [1.91-9.80]. The risk remained significant in the ↓TG/↓HDL-C group (HR= 3.27 [1.26-8.50] and marginally significant in other groups in multivariable analysis. Neither ↑TG nor ↓HDL-C was related to CHD risk in men. Non-HDL cholesterol was significantly related to CHD in men but not in women.The CHD risk associated with ↓HDL-C in women was2- to 4-fold elevated depending on TG levels. Non-HDL cholesterol was a significant predictor of CHD in men. Examining the combined effects of risk factors that share physiologic pathways may reveal important associations that can be otherwise obscured. Further dissection of gender specific pathways that affect HDL-C and TG and non-HDL cholesterol are important in understanding CHD risk.

Hispanics are more likely to be diagnosed with breast cancer at a younger age, with more advanced stage at diagnosis, hormone receptor-negative tumors, and worse prognosis than non-Hispanic whites (NHW). Little is known regarding the association between behavioral risk factors and breast tumor characteristics and whether these associations vary by race/ethnicity. We evaluated the association between several behavioral risk factors and tumor phenotype in a population-based study of Hispanics and NHWs. Participants are cases (846 Hispanic and 1,625 NHW women) diagnosed with breast cancer between 1999 and 2004 in Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, or Utah. The association between breast cancer characteristics and obesity, physical activity, smoking, alcohol intake, and reproductive factors was examined. Logistic regression was used to compute the ethnic-specific odds ratios for the association between these risk factors and estrogen receptor (ER) status, tumor size, and histologic grade. Hispanics had more ER-negative tumors (28 vs. 20%), tumors >2 cm (39 vs. 27%), and poorly differentiated tumors (84 vs. 77%) than NHW. Among premenopausal women, obesity was associated with more ER-negative cancers among NHW [OR = 2.47 (95% CI: 1.08, 5.67)] but less ER-negative cancers among Hispanics [OR = 0.29 (0.13, 0.66)]. Obesity was associated with larger tumors among NHW [OR = 1.58 (1.09, 2.29)], but not among Hispanics. Never using mammography was associated with larger tumors in both ethnic groups. Moderate alcohol drinking and moderate and vigorous physical activity were weakly associated with smaller tumors in both ethnic groups. Our findings suggest that the association of obesity and other behavioral risk factors with breast cancer characteristics differ by ethnicity. We observed a divergent pattern between Hispanic and NHW cases in the association between obesity and ER status and tumor size. These observations suggest that a complex set of metabolic and hormonal factors related to estrogen and insulin pathways influence tumor characteristics.

Elevated levels of triglycerides (and triglyceride-rich lipoproteins) are increasingly being recognized as treatment targets to lower cardiovascular risk in certain patient subgroups, including individuals receiving HMG-CoA reductase inhibitors (statins). Evidence suggests that these agents reduce the risk of coronary events more markedly in patients with elevated triglycerides and low levels of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C). Further, intensive long-term statin therapy that reduces both low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) to

The objectives of the present work were to obtain a summary estimate of the magnitude of association between triglycerides and cardiovascular disease in the general population based on currently available data. Our goal was to determine whether this relationship is independent of other risk factors, particularly high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), using semi-quantitative meta-analysis. We only included studies reporting the association between fasting triglyceride levels and incident cardiovascular disease endpoints. Twenty-one studies including 65,863 men and 11,089 women were selected for the analysis from population-based prospective studies using standard meta-analysis calculations, relative risks (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Multivariable adjusted RRs were determined only for the studies reporting adjustment for HDL-C (9 studies in men, 2 studies in women). These analyses indicate plasma triglycerides are an independent predictor of cardiovascular disease.

Background Self-reports of dietary intake in the context of nutrition intervention research can be biased by the tendency of respondents to answer consistent with expected norms (social approval bias). The objective of this study was to assess the potential influence of social approval bias on self-reports of fruit and vegetable intake obtained using both food frequency questionnaire (FFQ) and 24-hour recall methods. Methods A randomized blinded trial compared reported fruit and vegetable intake among subjects exposed to a potentially biasing prompt to that from control subjects. Subjects included 163 women residing in Colorado between 35 and 65 years of age who were randomly selected and recruited by telephone to complete what they were told would be a future telephone survey about health. Randomly half of the subjects then received a letter prior to the interview describing this as a study of fruit and vegetable intake. The letter included a brief statement of the benefits of fruits and vegetables, a 5-A-Day sticker, and a 5-a-Day refrigerator magnet. The remainder received the same letter, but describing the study purpose only as a more general nutrition survey, with neither the fruit and vegetable message nor the 5-A-Day materials. Subjects were then interviewed on the telephone within 10 days following the letters using an eight-item FFQ and a limited 24-hour recall to estimate fruit and vegetable intake. All interviewers were blinded to the treatment condition. Results By the FFQ method, subjects who viewed the potentially biasing prompts reported consuming more fruits and vegetables than did control subjects (5.2 vs. 3.7 servings per day, p < 0.001). By the 24-hour recall method, 61% of the intervention group but only 32% of the control reported eating fruits and vegetables on 3 or more occasions the prior day (p = 0.002). These associations were independent of age, race/ethnicity, education level, self-perceived health status, and time since last medical check-up. Conclusion Self-reports of fruit and vegetable intake using either a food frequency questionnaire or a limited 24-hour recall are both susceptible to substantial social approval bias. Valid assessments of intervention effects in nutritional intervention trials may require objective measures of dietary change.