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1. Use of hydroxychloroquine in hospitalised COVID-19 patients is associated with reduced mortality: Findings from the observational multicentre Italian CORIST study

Author

Castelnuovo, A, Costanzo, S, Antinori, A, Berselli, N, Blandi, L, Bruno, R, Cauda, R, Guaraldi, G, Menicanti, L, My, I, Parruti, G, Patti, G, Perlini, S, Santilli, F, Signorelli, C, Spinoni, E, Stefanini, G, Vergori, A, Ageno, W, Agodi, A, Aiello, L, Agostoni, P, Moghazi, S, Astuto, M, Aucella, F, Barbieri, G, Bartoloni, A, Bonaccio, M, Bonfanti, P, Cacciatore, F, Caiano, L, Cannata, F, Carrozzi, L, Cascio, A, Ciccullo, A, Cingolani, A, Cipollone, F, Colomba, C, Crosta, F, Pra, C, Danzi, G, D'Ardes, D, Donati, K, Giacomo, P, Gennaro, F, Tano, G, D'Offizi, G, Filippini, T, Fusco, F, Gentile, I, Gialluisi, A, Gini, G, Grandone, E, Grisafi, L, Guarnieri, G, Lamonica, S, Landi, F, Leone, A, Maccagni, G, Maccarella, S, Madaro, A, Mapelli, M, Maragna, R, Marra, L, Maresca, G, Marotta, C, Mastroianni, F, Mazzitelli, M, Mengozzi, A, Menichetti, F, Meschiari, M, Minutolo, F, Montineri, A, Mussinelli, R, Mussini, C, Musso, M, Odone, A, Olivieri, M, Pasi, E, Petri, F, Pinchera, B, Pivato, C, Poletti, V, Ravaglia, C, Rinaldi, M, Rognoni, A, Rossato, M, Rossi, I, Rossi, M, Sabena, A, Salinaro, F, Sangiovanni, V, Sanrocco, C, Scorzolini, L, Sgariglia, R, Simeone, P, Spinicci, M, Trecarichi, E, Venezia, A, Veronesi, G, Vettor, R, Vianello, A, Vinceti, M, Vocciante, L, De Caterina, R, Iacoviello, L, Castelnuovo A. D., Costanzo S., Antinori A., Berselli N., Blandi L., Bruno R., Cauda R., Guaraldi G., Menicanti L., My I., Parruti G., Patti G., Perlini S., Santilli F., Signorelli C., Spinoni E., Stefanini G. G., Vergori A., Ageno W., Agodi A., Aiello L., Agostoni P., Moghazi S. A., Astuto M., Aucella F., Barbieri G., Bartoloni A., Bonaccio M., Bonfanti P., Cacciatore F., Caiano L., Cannata F., Carrozzi L., Cascio A., Ciccullo A., Cingolani A., Cipollone F., Colomba C., Crosta F., Pra C. D., Danzi G. B., D'Ardes D., Donati K. D. G., Giacomo P. D., Gennaro F. D., Tano G. D., D'Offizi G., Filippini T., Fusco F. M., Gentile I., Gialluisi A., Gini G., Grandone E., Grisafi L., Guarnieri G., Lamonica S., Landi F., Leone A., Maccagni G., Maccarella S., Madaro A., Mapelli M., Maragna R., Marra L., Maresca G., Marotta C., Mastroianni F., Mazzitelli M., Mengozzi A., Menichetti F., Meschiari M., Minutolo F., Montineri A., Mussinelli R., Mussini C., Musso M., Odone A., Olivieri M., Pasi E., Petri F., Pinchera B., Pivato C. A., Poletti V., Ravaglia C., Rinaldi M., Rognoni A., Rossato M., Rossi I., Rossi M., Sabena A., Salinaro F., Sangiovanni V., Sanrocco C., Scorzolini L., Sgariglia R., Simeone P. G., Spinicci M., Trecarichi E. M., Venezia A., Veronesi G., Vettor R., Vianello A., Vinceti M., Vocciante L., De Caterina R., Iacoviello L., Castelnuovo, A, Costanzo, S, Antinori, A, Berselli, N, Blandi, L, Bruno, R, Cauda, R, Guaraldi, G, Menicanti, L, My, I, Parruti, G, Patti, G, Perlini, S, Santilli, F, Signorelli, C, Spinoni, E, Stefanini, G, Vergori, A, Ageno, W, Agodi, A, Aiello, L, Agostoni, P, Moghazi, S, Astuto, M, Aucella, F, Barbieri, G, Bartoloni, A, Bonaccio, M, Bonfanti, P, Cacciatore, F, Caiano, L, Cannata, F, Carrozzi, L, Cascio, A, Ciccullo, A, Cingolani, A, Cipollone, F, Colomba, C, Crosta, F, Pra, C, Danzi, G, D'Ardes, D, Donati, K, Giacomo, P, Gennaro, F, Tano, G, D'Offizi, G, Filippini, T, Fusco, F, Gentile, I, Gialluisi, A, Gini, G, Grandone, E, Grisafi, L, Guarnieri, G, Lamonica, S, Landi, F, Leone, A, Maccagni, G, Maccarella, S, Madaro, A, Mapelli, M, Maragna, R, Marra, L, Maresca, G, Marotta, C, Mastroianni, F, Mazzitelli, M, Mengozzi, A, Menichetti, F, Meschiari, M, Minutolo, F, Montineri, A, Mussinelli, R, Mussini, C, Musso, M, Odone, A, Olivieri, M, Pasi, E, Petri, F, Pinchera, B, Pivato, C, Poletti, V, Ravaglia, C, Rinaldi, M, Rognoni, A, Rossato, M, Rossi, I, Rossi, M, Sabena, A, Salinaro, F, Sangiovanni, V, Sanrocco, C, Scorzolini, L, Sgariglia, R, Simeone, P, Spinicci, M, Trecarichi, E, Venezia, A, Veronesi, G, Vettor, R, Vianello, A, Vinceti, M, Vocciante, L, De Caterina, R, Iacoviello, L, Castelnuovo A. D., Costanzo S., Antinori A., Berselli N., Blandi L., Bruno R., Cauda R., Guaraldi G., Menicanti L., My I., Parruti G., Patti G., Perlini S., Santilli F., Signorelli C., Spinoni E., Stefanini G. G., Vergori A., Ageno W., Agodi A., Aiello L., Agostoni P., Moghazi S. A., Astuto M., Aucella F., Barbieri G., Bartoloni A., Bonaccio M., Bonfanti P., Cacciatore F., Caiano L., Cannata F., Carrozzi L., Cascio A., Ciccullo A., Cingolani A., Cipollone F., Colomba C., Crosta F., Pra C. D., Danzi G. B., D'Ardes D., Donati K. D. G., Giacomo P. D., Gennaro F. D., Tano G. D., D'Offizi G., Filippini T., Fusco F. M., Gentile I., Gialluisi A., Gini G., Grandone E., Grisafi L., Guarnieri G., Lamonica S., Landi F., Leone A., Maccagni G., Maccarella S., Madaro A., Mapelli M., Maragna R., Marra L., Maresca G., Marotta C., Mastroianni F., Mazzitelli M., Mengozzi A., Menichetti F., Meschiari M., Minutolo F., Montineri A., Mussinelli R., Mussini C., Musso M., Odone A., Olivieri M., Pasi E., Petri F., Pinchera B., Pivato C. A., Poletti V., Ravaglia C., Rinaldi M., Rognoni A., Rossato M., Rossi I., Rossi M., Sabena A., Salinaro F., Sangiovanni V., Sanrocco C., Scorzolini L., Sgariglia R., Simeone P. G., Spinicci M., Trecarichi E. M., Venezia A., Veronesi G., Vettor R., Vianello A., Vinceti M., Vocciante L., De Caterina R., and Iacoviello L.

Abstract

Background: Hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) was proposed as potential treatment for COVID-19. Objective: We set-up a multicenter Italian collaboration to investigate the relationship between HCQ therapy and COVID-19 in-hospital mortality. Methods: In a retrospective observational study, 3,451 unselected patients hospitalized in 33 clinical centers in Italy, from February 19, 2020 to May 23, 2020, with laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, were analyzed. The primary end-point in a time-to event analysis was in-hospital death, comparing patients who received HCQ with patients who did not. We used multivariable Cox proportional-hazards regression models with inverse probability for treatment weighting by propensity scores, with the addition of subgroup analyses. Results: Out of 3,451 COVID-19 patients, 76.3% received HCQ. Death rates (per 1,000 person-days) for patients receiving or not HCQ were 8.9 and 15.7, respectively. After adjustment for propensity scores, we found 30% lower risk of death in patients receiving HCQ (HR=0.70; 95%CI: 0.59 to 0.84; E-value=1.67). Secondary analyses yielded similar results. The inverse association of HCQ with inpatient mortality was particularly evident in patients having elevated C-reactive protein at entry. Conclusions: HCQ use was associated with a 30% lower risk of death in COVID-19 hospitalized patients. Within the limits of an observational study and awaiting results from randomized controlled trials, these data do not discourage the use of HCQ in inpatients with COVID-19.

Published
2020

2. Common cardiovascular risk factors and in-hospital mortality in 3,894 patients with COVID-19: survival analysis and machine learning-based findings from the multicentre Italian CORIST Study

Author

Di Castelnuovo, A, Bonaccio, M, Costanzo, S, Gialluisi, A, Antinori, A, Berselli, N, Blandi, L, Bruno, R, Cauda, R, Guaraldi, G, My, I, Menicanti, L, Parruti, A, Patti, G, Perlini, S, Santilli, F, Signorelli, C, Stefanini, G, Vergori, A, Abdeddaim, A, Ageno, W, Agodi, A, Agostoni, P, Aiello, L, Al Moghazi, S, Aucella, F, Barbieri, G, Bartoloni, A, Bologna, C, Bonfanti, P, Brancati, S, Cacciatore, F, Caiano, L, Cannata, F, Carrozzi, L, Cascio, A, Cingolani, A, Cipollone, F, Colomba, C, Crisetti, A, Crosta, F, Danzi, G, D'Ardes, D, de Gaetano Donati, K, Di Gennaro, F, Di Palma, G, Di Tano, G, Fantoni, M, Filippini, T, Fioretto, P, Fusco, F, Gentile, I, Grisafi, L, Guarnieri, G, Landi, F, Larizza, G, Leone, A, Maccagni, G, Maccarella, S, Mapelli, M, Maragna, R, Marcucci, R, Maresca, G, Marotta, C, Marra, L, Mastroianni, F, Mengozzi, A, Menichetti, F, Milic, J, Miurri, R, Montineri, A, Mussinelli, R, Mussini, C, Musso, M, Odone, A, Olivieri, M, Pasi, E, Petri, F, Pinchera, B, Pivato, C, Pizzi, R, Poletti, V, Raffaelli, F, Ravaglia, C, Righetti, G, Rognoni, A, Rossato, M, Rossi, M, Sabena, A, Salinaro, F, Sangiovanni, V, Sanrocco, C, Scarafino, A, Scorzolini, L, Sgariglia, R, Simeone, P, Spinoni, E, Torti, C, Trecarichi, E, Vezzani, F, Veronesi, G, Vettor, R, Vianello, A, Vinceti, M, De Caterina, R, Iacoviello, L, Di Castelnuovo, Augusto, Bonaccio, Marialaura, Costanzo, Simona, Gialluisi, Alessandro, Antinori, Andrea, Berselli, Nausicaa, Blandi, Lorenzo, Bruno, Raffaele, Cauda, Roberto, Guaraldi, Giovanni, My, Ilaria, Menicanti, Lorenzo, Parruti, Agostino, Patti, Giuseppe, Perlini, Stefano, Santilli, Francesca, Signorelli, Carlo, Stefanini, Giulio G., Vergori, Alessandra, Abdeddaim, Amina, Ageno, Walter, Agodi, Antonella, Agostoni, Piergiuseppe, Aiello, Luca, Al Moghazi, Samir, Aucella, Filippo, Barbieri, Greta, Bartoloni, Alessandro, Bologna, Carolina, Bonfanti, Paolo, Brancati, Serena, Cacciatore, Francesco, Caiano, Lucia, Cannata, Francesco, Carrozzi, Laura, Cascio, Antonio, Cingolani, Antonella, Cipollone, Francesco, Colomba, Claudia, Crisetti, Annalisa, Crosta, Francesco, Danzi, Gian Battista, D'Ardes, Damiano, de Gaetano Donati, Katleen, Di Gennaro, Francesco, Di Palma, Gisella, Di Tano, Giuseppe, Fantoni, Massimo, Filippini, Tommaso, Fioretto, Paola, Fusco, Francesco Maria, Gentile, Ivan, Grisafi, Leonardo, Guarnieri, Gabriella, Landi, Francesco, Larizza, Giovanni, Leone, Armando, Maccagni, Gloria, Maccarella, Sandro, Mapelli, Massimo, Maragna, Riccardo, Marcucci, Rossella, Maresca, Giulio, Marotta, Claudia, Marra, Lorenzo, Mastroianni, Franco, Mengozzi, Alessandro, Menichetti, Francesco, Milic, Jovana, Miurri, Rita, Montineri, Arturo, Mussinelli, Roberta, Mussini, Cristina, Musso, Maria, Odone, Anna, Olivieri, Marco, Pasi, Emanuela, Petri, Francesco, Pinchera, Biagio, Pivato, Carlo A., Pizzi, Roberto, Poletti, Venerino, Raffaelli, Francesca, Ravaglia, Claudia, Righetti, Giulia, Rognoni, Andrea, Rossato, Marco, Rossi, Marianna, Sabena, Anna, Salinaro, Francesco, Sangiovanni, Vincenzo, Sanrocco, Carlo, Scarafino, Antonio, Scorzolini, Laura, Sgariglia, Raffaella, Simeone, Paola Giustina, Spinoni, Enrico, Torti, Carlo, Trecarichi, Enrico Maria, Vezzani, Francesca, Veronesi, Giovanni, Vettor, Roberto, Vianello, Andrea, Vinceti, Marco, De Caterina, Raffaele, Iacoviello, Licia, Di Castelnuovo, A, Bonaccio, M, Costanzo, S, Gialluisi, A, Antinori, A, Berselli, N, Blandi, L, Bruno, R, Cauda, R, Guaraldi, G, My, I, Menicanti, L, Parruti, A, Patti, G, Perlini, S, Santilli, F, Signorelli, C, Stefanini, G, Vergori, A, Abdeddaim, A, Ageno, W, Agodi, A, Agostoni, P, Aiello, L, Al Moghazi, S, Aucella, F, Barbieri, G, Bartoloni, A, Bologna, C, Bonfanti, P, Brancati, S, Cacciatore, F, Caiano, L, Cannata, F, Carrozzi, L, Cascio, A, Cingolani, A, Cipollone, F, Colomba, C, Crisetti, A, Crosta, F, Danzi, G, D'Ardes, D, de Gaetano Donati, K, Di Gennaro, F, Di Palma, G, Di Tano, G, Fantoni, M, Filippini, T, Fioretto, P, Fusco, F, Gentile, I, Grisafi, L, Guarnieri, G, Landi, F, Larizza, G, Leone, A, Maccagni, G, Maccarella, S, Mapelli, M, Maragna, R, Marcucci, R, Maresca, G, Marotta, C, Marra, L, Mastroianni, F, Mengozzi, A, Menichetti, F, Milic, J, Miurri, R, Montineri, A, Mussinelli, R, Mussini, C, Musso, M, Odone, A, Olivieri, M, Pasi, E, Petri, F, Pinchera, B, Pivato, C, Pizzi, R, Poletti, V, Raffaelli, F, Ravaglia, C, Righetti, G, Rognoni, A, Rossato, M, Rossi, M, Sabena, A, Salinaro, F, Sangiovanni, V, Sanrocco, C, Scarafino, A, Scorzolini, L, Sgariglia, R, Simeone, P, Spinoni, E, Torti, C, Trecarichi, E, Vezzani, F, Veronesi, G, Vettor, R, Vianello, A, Vinceti, M, De Caterina, R, Iacoviello, L, Di Castelnuovo, Augusto, Bonaccio, Marialaura, Costanzo, Simona, Gialluisi, Alessandro, Antinori, Andrea, Berselli, Nausicaa, Blandi, Lorenzo, Bruno, Raffaele, Cauda, Roberto, Guaraldi, Giovanni, My, Ilaria, Menicanti, Lorenzo, Parruti, Agostino, Patti, Giuseppe, Perlini, Stefano, Santilli, Francesca, Signorelli, Carlo, Stefanini, Giulio G., Vergori, Alessandra, Abdeddaim, Amina, Ageno, Walter, Agodi, Antonella, Agostoni, Piergiuseppe, Aiello, Luca, Al Moghazi, Samir, Aucella, Filippo, Barbieri, Greta, Bartoloni, Alessandro, Bologna, Carolina, Bonfanti, Paolo, Brancati, Serena, Cacciatore, Francesco, Caiano, Lucia, Cannata, Francesco, Carrozzi, Laura, Cascio, Antonio, Cingolani, Antonella, Cipollone, Francesco, Colomba, Claudia, Crisetti, Annalisa, Crosta, Francesco, Danzi, Gian Battista, D'Ardes, Damiano, de Gaetano Donati, Katleen, Di Gennaro, Francesco, Di Palma, Gisella, Di Tano, Giuseppe, Fantoni, Massimo, Filippini, Tommaso, Fioretto, Paola, Fusco, Francesco Maria, Gentile, Ivan, Grisafi, Leonardo, Guarnieri, Gabriella, Landi, Francesco, Larizza, Giovanni, Leone, Armando, Maccagni, Gloria, Maccarella, Sandro, Mapelli, Massimo, Maragna, Riccardo, Marcucci, Rossella, Maresca, Giulio, Marotta, Claudia, Marra, Lorenzo, Mastroianni, Franco, Mengozzi, Alessandro, Menichetti, Francesco, Milic, Jovana, Miurri, Rita, Montineri, Arturo, Mussinelli, Roberta, Mussini, Cristina, Musso, Maria, Odone, Anna, Olivieri, Marco, Pasi, Emanuela, Petri, Francesco, Pinchera, Biagio, Pivato, Carlo A., Pizzi, Roberto, Poletti, Venerino, Raffaelli, Francesca, Ravaglia, Claudia, Righetti, Giulia, Rognoni, Andrea, Rossato, Marco, Rossi, Marianna, Sabena, Anna, Salinaro, Francesco, Sangiovanni, Vincenzo, Sanrocco, Carlo, Scarafino, Antonio, Scorzolini, Laura, Sgariglia, Raffaella, Simeone, Paola Giustina, Spinoni, Enrico, Torti, Carlo, Trecarichi, Enrico Maria, Vezzani, Francesca, Veronesi, Giovanni, Vettor, Roberto, Vianello, Andrea, Vinceti, Marco, De Caterina, Raffaele, and Iacoviello, Licia

Abstract

Background and aims: There is poor knowledge on characteristics, comorbidities and laboratory measures associated with risk for adverse outcomes and in-hospital mortality in European Countries. We aimed at identifying baseline characteristics predisposing COVID-19 patients to in-hospital death. Methods and results: Retrospective observational study on 3894 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection hospitalized from February 19th to May 23rd, 2020 and recruited in 30 clinical centres distributed throughout Italy. Machine learning (random forest)-based and Cox survival analysis. 61.7% of participants were men (median age 67 years), followed up for a median of 13 days. In-hospital mortality exhibited a geographical gradient, Northern Italian regions featuring more than twofold higher death rates as compared to Central/Southern areas (15.6% vs 6.4%, respectively). Machine learning analysis revealed that the most important features in death classification were impaired renal function, elevated C reactive protein and advanced age. These findings were confirmed by multivariable Cox survival analysis (hazard ratio (HR): 8.2; 95% confidence interval (CI) 4.6–14.7 for age ≥85 vs 18–44 y); HR = 4.7; 2.9–7.7 for estimated glomerular filtration rate levels <15 vs ≥ 90 mL/min/1.73 m2; HR = 2.3; 1.5–3.6 for C-reactive protein levels ≥10 vs ≤ 3 mg/L). No relation was found with obesity, tobacco use, cardiovascular disease and related-comorbidities. The associations between these variables and mortality were substantially homogenous across all sub-groups analyses. Conclusions: Impaired renal function, elevated C-reactive protein and advanced age were major predictors of in-hospital death in a large cohort of unselected patients with COVID-19, admitted to 30 different clinical centres all over Italy.

Published
2020

3. Common cardiovascular risk factors and in-hospital mortality in 3,894 patients with COVID-19: survival analysis and machine learning-based findings from the multicentre Italian CORIST Study

Author

Di Castelnuovo, A., Bonaccio, M., Costanzo, S., Gialluisi, A., Antinori, A., Berselli, N., Blandi, L., Bruno, Rosa Anna, Cauda, Roberto, Guaraldi, G., My, I., Menicanti, L., Parruti, G., Patti, G., Perlini, S., Santilli, F., Signorelli, C., Stefanini, G. G., Vergori, A., Abdeddaim, A., Ageno, W., Agodi, A., Agostoni, P., Aiello, L., Al Moghazi, S., Aucella, F., Barbieri, G., Bartoloni, A., Bologna, C., Bonfanti, P., Brancati, S., Cacciatore, F., Caiano, L., Cannata, F., Carrozzi, L., Cascio, A., Cingolani, Antonella, Cipollone, F., Colomba, C., Crisetti, A., Crosta, F., Danzi, G. B., D'Ardes, D., De Gaetano Donati, Katleen, Di Gennaro, F., Di Palma, G., Di Tano, G., Fantoni, Massimo, Filippini, T., Fioretto, P., Fusco, F. M., Gentile, I., Grisafi, L., Guarnieri, G., Landi, Francesco, Larizza, G., Leone, A., Maccagni, G., Maccarella, S., Mapelli, M., Maragna, R., Marcucci, R., Maresca, G., Marotta, C., Marra, L., Mastroianni, F., Mengozzi, A., Menichetti, F., Milic, J., Murri, Rita, Montineri, A., Mussinelli, R., Mussini, C., Musso, M., Odone, A., Olivieri, M., Pasi, E., Petri, F., Pinchera, B., Pivato, C. A., Pizzi, R., Poletti, V., Raffaelli, Francesca, Ravaglia, C., Righetti, G., Rognoni, A., Rossato, M., Rossi, M., Sabena, A., Salinaro, F., Sangiovanni, V., Sanrocco, C., Scarafino, A., Scorzolini, L., Sgariglia, R., Simeone, P. G., Spinoni, E., Torti, C., Trecarichi, Enrico Maria, Vezzani, F., Veronesi, G., Vettor, R., Vianello, A., Vinceti, M., De Caterina, R., Iacoviello, L., Bruno R., Cauda R. (ORCID:0000-0002-1498-4229), Cingolani A. (ORCID:0000-0002-3793-2755), de Gaetano Donati K., Fantoni M. (ORCID:0000-0001-6913-8460), Landi F. (ORCID:0000-0002-3472-1389), Murri R. (ORCID:0000-0003-4263-7854), Raffaelli F., Trecarichi E. M., Di Castelnuovo, A., Bonaccio, M., Costanzo, S., Gialluisi, A., Antinori, A., Berselli, N., Blandi, L., Bruno, Rosa Anna, Cauda, Roberto, Guaraldi, G., My, I., Menicanti, L., Parruti, G., Patti, G., Perlini, S., Santilli, F., Signorelli, C., Stefanini, G. G., Vergori, A., Abdeddaim, A., Ageno, W., Agodi, A., Agostoni, P., Aiello, L., Al Moghazi, S., Aucella, F., Barbieri, G., Bartoloni, A., Bologna, C., Bonfanti, P., Brancati, S., Cacciatore, F., Caiano, L., Cannata, F., Carrozzi, L., Cascio, A., Cingolani, Antonella, Cipollone, F., Colomba, C., Crisetti, A., Crosta, F., Danzi, G. B., D'Ardes, D., De Gaetano Donati, Katleen, Di Gennaro, F., Di Palma, G., Di Tano, G., Fantoni, Massimo, Filippini, T., Fioretto, P., Fusco, F. M., Gentile, I., Grisafi, L., Guarnieri, G., Landi, Francesco, Larizza, G., Leone, A., Maccagni, G., Maccarella, S., Mapelli, M., Maragna, R., Marcucci, R., Maresca, G., Marotta, C., Marra, L., Mastroianni, F., Mengozzi, A., Menichetti, F., Milic, J., Murri, Rita, Montineri, A., Mussinelli, R., Mussini, C., Musso, M., Odone, A., Olivieri, M., Pasi, E., Petri, F., Pinchera, B., Pivato, C. A., Pizzi, R., Poletti, V., Raffaelli, Francesca, Ravaglia, C., Righetti, G., Rognoni, A., Rossato, M., Rossi, M., Sabena, A., Salinaro, F., Sangiovanni, V., Sanrocco, C., Scarafino, A., Scorzolini, L., Sgariglia, R., Simeone, P. G., Spinoni, E., Torti, C., Trecarichi, Enrico Maria, Vezzani, F., Veronesi, G., Vettor, R., Vianello, A., Vinceti, M., De Caterina, R., Iacoviello, L., Bruno R., Cauda R. (ORCID:0000-0002-1498-4229), Cingolani A. (ORCID:0000-0002-3793-2755), de Gaetano Donati K., Fantoni M. (ORCID:0000-0001-6913-8460), Landi F. (ORCID:0000-0002-3472-1389), Murri R. (ORCID:0000-0003-4263-7854), Raffaelli F., and Trecarichi E. M.

Abstract

Background and aims: There is poor knowledge on characteristics, comorbidities and laboratory measures associated with risk for adverse outcomes and in-hospital mortality in European Countries. We aimed at identifying baseline characteristics predisposing COVID-19 patients to in-hospital death. Methods and results: Retrospective observational study on 3894 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection hospitalized from February 19th to May 23rd, 2020 and recruited in 30 clinical centres distributed throughout Italy. Machine learning (random forest)-based and Cox survival analysis. 61.7% of participants were men (median age 67 years), followed up for a median of 13 days. In-hospital mortality exhibited a geographical gradient, Northern Italian regions featuring more than twofold higher death rates as compared to Central/Southern areas (15.6% vs 6.4%, respectively). Machine learning analysis revealed that the most important features in death classification were impaired renal function, elevated C reactive protein and advanced age. These findings were confirmed by multivariable Cox survival analysis (hazard ratio (HR): 8.2; 95% confidence interval (CI) 4.6–14.7 for age ≥85 vs 18–44 y); HR = 4.7; 2.9–7.7 for estimated glomerular filtration rate levels <15 vs ≥ 90 mL/min/1.73 m2; HR = 2.3; 1.5–3.6 for C-reactive protein levels ≥10 vs ≤ 3 mg/L). No relation was found with obesity, tobacco use, cardiovascular disease and related-comorbidities. The associations between these variables and mortality were substantially homogenous across all sub-groups analyses. Conclusions: Impaired renal function, elevated C-reactive protein and advanced age were major predictors of in-hospital death in a large cohort of unselected patients with COVID-19, admitted to 30 different clinical centres all over Italy.

Published
2020

4. Common cardiovascular risk factors and in-hospital mortality in 3,894 patients with COVID-19: survival analysis and machine learning-based findings from the multicentre Italian CORIST Study

Author

Augusto Di Castelnuovo, Marialaura Bonaccio, Simona Costanzo, Alessandro Gialluisi, Andrea Antinori, Nausicaa Berselli, Lorenzo Blandi, Raffaele Bruno, Roberto Cauda, Giovanni Guaraldi, Ilaria My, Lorenzo Menicanti, Giustino Parruti, Giuseppe Patti, Stefano Perlini, Francesca Santilli, Carlo Signorelli, Giulio G. Stefanini, Alessandra Vergori, Amina Abdeddaim, Walter Ageno, Antonella Agodi, Piergiuseppe Agostoni, Luca Aiello, Samir Al Moghazi, Filippo Aucella, Greta Barbieri, Alessandro Bartoloni, Carolina Bologna, Paolo Bonfanti, Serena Brancati, Francesco Cacciatore, Lucia Caiano, Francesco Cannata, Laura Carrozzi, Antonio Cascio, Antonella Cingolani, Francesco Cipollone, Claudia Colomba, Annalisa Crisetti, Francesca Crosta, Gian B. Danzi, Damiano D'Ardes, Katleen de Gaetano Donati, Francesco Di Gennaro, Gisella Di Palma, Giuseppe Di Tano, Massimo Fantoni, Tommaso Filippini, Paola Fioretto, Francesco M. Fusco, Ivan Gentile, Leonardo Grisafi, Gabriella Guarnieri, Francesco Landi, Giovanni Larizza, Armando Leone, Gloria Maccagni, Sandro Maccarella, Massimo Mapelli, Riccardo Maragna, Rossella Marcucci, Giulio Maresca, Claudia Marotta, Lorenzo Marra, Franco Mastroianni, Alessandro Mengozzi, Francesco Menichetti, Jovana Milic, Rita Murri, Arturo Montineri, Roberta Mussinelli, Cristina Mussini, Maria Musso, Anna Odone, Marco Olivieri, Emanuela Pasi, Francesco Petri, Biagio Pinchera, Carlo A. Pivato, Roberto Pizzi, Venerino Poletti, Francesca Raffaelli, Claudia Ravaglia, Giulia Righetti, Andrea Rognoni, Marco Rossato, Marianna Rossi, Anna Sabena, Francesco Salinaro, Vincenzo Sangiovanni, Carlo Sanrocco, Antonio Scarafino, Laura Scorzolini, Raffaella Sgariglia, Paola G. Simeone, Enrico Spinoni, Carlo Torti, Enrico M. Trecarichi, Francesca Vezzani, Giovanni Veronesi, Roberto Vettor, Andrea Vianello, Marco Vinceti, Raffaele De Caterina, Licia Iacoviello, Di Castelnuovo, A., Bonaccio, M., Costanzo, S., Gialluisi, A., Antinori, A., Berselli, N., Blandi, L., Bruno, R., Cauda, R., Guaraldi, G., My, I., Menicanti, L., Parruti, G., Patti, G., Perlini, S., Santilli, F., Signorelli, C., Stefanini, G. G., Vergori, A., Abdeddaim, A., Ageno, W., Agodi, A., Agostoni, P., Aiello, L., Al Moghazi, S., Aucella, F., Barbieri, G., Bartoloni, A., Bologna, C., Bonfanti, P., Brancati, S., Cacciatore, F., Caiano, L., Cannata, F., Carrozzi, L., Cascio, A., Cingolani, A., Cipollone, F., Colomba, C., Crisetti, A., Crosta, F., Danzi, G. B., D'Ardes, D., de Gaetano Donati, K., Di Gennaro, F., Di Palma, G., Di Tano, G., Fantoni, M., Filippini, T., Fioretto, P., Fusco, F. M., Gentile, I., Grisafi, L., Guarnieri, G., Landi, F., Larizza, G., Leone, A., Maccagni, G., Maccarella, S., Mapelli, M., Maragna, R., Marcucci, R., Maresca, G., Marotta, C., Marra, L., Mastroianni, F., Mengozzi, A., Menichetti, F., Milic, J., Murri, R., Montineri, A., Mussinelli, R., Mussini, C., Musso, M., Odone, A., Olivieri, M., Pasi, E., Petri, F., Pinchera, B., Pivato, C. A., Pizzi, R., Poletti, V., Raffaelli, F., Ravaglia, C., Righetti, G., Rognoni, A., Rossato, M., Rossi, M., Sabena, A., Salinaro, F., Sangiovanni, V., Sanrocco, C., Scarafino, A., Scorzolini, L., Sgariglia, R., Simeone, P. G., Spinoni, E., Torti, C., Trecarichi, E. M., Vezzani, F., Veronesi, G., Vettor, R., Vianello, A., Vinceti, M., De Caterina, R., Iacoviello, L., Di Castelnuovo, Augusto, Bonaccio, Marialaura, Costanzo, Simona, Gialluisi, Alessandro, Antinori, Andrea, Berselli, Nausicaa, Blandi, Lorenzo, Bruno, Raffaele, Cauda, Roberto, Guaraldi, Giovanni, My, Ilaria, Menicanti, Lorenzo, Parruti, Giustino, Patti, Giuseppe, Perlini, Stefano, Santilli, Francesca, Signorelli, Carlo, Stefanini, Giulio G, Vergori, Alessandra, Abdeddaim, Amina, Ageno, Walter, Agodi, Antonella, Agostoni, Piergiuseppe, Aiello, Luca, Al Moghazi, Samir, Aucella, Filippo, Barbieri, Greta, Bartoloni, Alessandro, Bologna, Carolina, Bonfanti, Paolo, Brancati, Serena, Cacciatore, Francesco, Caiano, Lucia, Cannata, Francesco, Carrozzi, Laura, Cascio, Antonio, Cingolani, Antonella, Cipollone, Francesco, Colomba, Claudia, Crisetti, Annalisa, Crosta, Francesca, Danzi, Gian B, D'Ardes, Damiano, de Gaetano Donati, Katleen, Di Gennaro, Francesco, Di Palma, Gisella, Di Tano, Giuseppe, Fantoni, Massimo, Filippini, Tommaso, Fioretto, Paola, Fusco, Francesco M, Gentile, Ivan, Grisafi, Leonardo, Guarnieri, Gabriella, Landi, Francesco, Larizza, Giovanni, Leone, Armando, Maccagni, Gloria, Maccarella, Sandro, Mapelli, Massimo, Maragna, Riccardo, Marcucci, Rossella, Maresca, Giulio, Marotta, Claudia, Marra, Lorenzo, Mastroianni, Franco, Mengozzi, Alessandro, Menichetti, Francesco, Milic, Jovana, Murri, Rita, Montineri, Arturo, Mussinelli, Roberta, Mussini, Cristina, Musso, Maria, Odone, Anna, Olivieri, Marco, Pasi, Emanuela, Petri, Francesco, Pinchera, Biagio, Pivato, Carlo A, Pizzi, Roberto, Poletti, Venerino, Raffaelli, Francesca, Ravaglia, Claudia, Righetti, Giulia, Rognoni, Andrea, Rossato, Marco, Rossi, Marianna, Sabena, Anna, Salinaro, Francesco, Sangiovanni, Vincenzo, Sanrocco, Carlo, Scarafino, Antonio, Scorzolini, Laura, Sgariglia, Raffaella, Simeone, Paola G, Spinoni, Enrico, Torti, Carlo, Trecarichi, Enrico M, Vezzani, Francesca, Veronesi, Giovanni, Vettor, Roberto, Vianello, Andrea, Vinceti, Marco, De Caterina, Raffaele, Iacoviello, Licia, Di Castelnuovo, A, Bonaccio, M, Costanzo, S, Gialluisi, A, Antinori, A, Berselli, N, Blandi, L, Bruno, R, Cauda, R, Guaraldi, G, My, I, Menicanti, L, Parruti, A, Patti, G, Perlini, S, Santilli, F, Signorelli, C, Stefanini, G, Vergori, A, Abdeddaim, A, Ageno, W, Agodi, A, Agostoni, P, Aiello, L, Al Moghazi, S, Aucella, F, Barbieri, G, Bartoloni, A, Bologna, C, Bonfanti, P, Brancati, S, Cacciatore, F, Caiano, L, Cannata, F, Carrozzi, L, Cascio, A, Cingolani, A, Cipollone, F, Colomba, C, Crisetti, A, Crosta, F, Danzi, G, D'Ardes, D, de Gaetano Donati, K, Di Gennaro, F, Di Palma, G, Di Tano, G, Fantoni, M, Filippini, T, Fioretto, P, Fusco, F, Gentile, I, Grisafi, L, Guarnieri, G, Landi, F, Larizza, G, Leone, A, Maccagni, G, Maccarella, S, Mapelli, M, Maragna, R, Marcucci, R, Maresca, G, Marotta, C, Marra, L, Mastroianni, F, Mengozzi, A, Menichetti, F, Milic, J, Miurri, R, Montineri, A, Mussinelli, R, Mussini, C, Musso, M, Odone, A, Olivieri, M, Pasi, E, Petri, F, Pinchera, B, Pivato, C, Pizzi, R, Poletti, V, Raffaelli, F, Ravaglia, C, Righetti, G, Rognoni, A, Rossato, M, Rossi, M, Sabena, A, Salinaro, F, Sangiovanni, V, Sanrocco, C, Scarafino, A, Scorzolini, L, Sgariglia, R, Simeone, P, Spinoni, E, Torti, C, Trecarichi, E, Vezzani, F, Veronesi, G, Vettor, R, Vianello, A, Vinceti, M, De Caterina, R, and Iacoviello, L

Subjects
Male, Epidemiology, Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism, Medicine (miscellaneous), 030204 cardiovascular system & hematology, computer.software_genre, Machine Learning, 0302 clinical medicine, Retrospective Studie, Risk Factors, Cardiovascular Disease, 80 and over, Medicine, Age Factor, Viral, Hospital Mortality, Betacoronavirus Hospital Mortality, Young adult, Aged, 80 and over, Nutrition and Dietetics, COVID-19, In-hospital mortality, Risk factors, Mortality rate, Hazard ratio, Age Factors, Middle Aged, C-Reactive Protein, Cardiovascular Diseases, Female, Survival Analysi, Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine, Coronavirus Infections, Human, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Adult, medicine.medical_specialty, Adolescent, Pneumonia, Viral, 030209 endocrinology & metabolism, Settore MED/17 - MALATTIE INFETTIVE, Machine learning, Aged, Humans, Pandemics, Retrospective Studies, SARS-CoV-2, Survival Analysis, Young Adult, Betacoronavirus, Article, 03 medical and health sciences, Risk factor, Survival analysis, Pandemic, Betacoronaviru, business.industry, Coronavirus Infection, Risk Factor, Retrospective cohort study, Pneumonia, Confidence interval, Artificial intelligence, business, computer
Abstract

Background and aims There is poor knowledge on characteristics, comorbidities and laboratory measures associated with risk for adverse outcomes and in-hospital mortality in European Countries. We aimed at identifying baseline characteristics predisposing COVID-19 patients to in-hospital death. Methods and results Retrospective observational study on 3894 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection hospitalized from February 19th to May 23rd, 2020 and recruited in 30 clinical centres distributed throughout Italy. Machine learning (random forest)-based and Cox survival analysis. 61.7% of participants were men (median age 67 years), followed up for a median of 13 days. In-hospital mortality exhibited a geographical gradient, Northern Italian regions featuring more than twofold higher death rates as compared to Central/Southern areas (15.6% vs 6.4%, respectively). Machine learning analysis revealed that the most important features in death classification were impaired renal function, elevated C reactive protein and advanced age. These findings were confirmed by multivariable Cox survival analysis (hazard ratio (HR): 8.2; 95% confidence interval (CI) 4.6–14.7 for age ≥85 vs 18–44 y); HR = 4.7; 2.9–7.7 for estimated glomerular filtration rate levels, Highlights • Impaired renal function, elevated C-reactive protein and advanced age were major indicators of death in COVID-19 patients. • These associations were substantially homogenous across all sub-groups analysed. • No relation was found with obesity, tobacco use, cardiovascular disease and related-comorbidities. • Death rates were higher in the Northern as opposed to Central-Southern Italian regions.

Published
2020

5. Use of hydroxychloroquine in hospitalised COVID-19 patients is associated with reduced mortality: Findings from the observational multicentre Italian CORIST study

Author

Venerino Poletti, Damiano D'Ardes, Paola Simeone, Cristina Mussini, Giustino Parruti, Sandro Maccarella, Licia Iacoviello, Giulio G. Stefanini, Roberta Mussinelli, Vincenzo Sangiovanni, Paolo Bonfanti, Roberto Vettor, Andrea Vianello, Arturo Montineri, Roberto Cauda, Elvira Grandone, Maria Mazzitelli, Claudia Ravaglia, Marialaura Bonaccio, Giulio Maresca, Francesco Di Gennaro, Alessandro Mengozzi, Anna Sabena, Gian Battista Danzi, Giuseppe Di Tano, Emanuela Pasi, Ilaria Rossi, Lucia Caiano, Laura Carrozzi, Francesco Landi, Francesca Crosta, Tommaso Filippini, Francesco Menichetti, Piergiuseppe Agostoni, Andrea Madaro, Antonio Cascio, Carlo Signorelli, Michele Spinicci, Carlo Sanrocco, Enrico Guido Spinoni, Maria Musso, Alessandra Vergori, Lorenzo Marra, Giuseppe Patti, Laura Vocciante, Marco Olivieri, Francesca Santilli, Stefano Perlini, Claudia Colomba, Francesco Salinaro, Marianna Meschiari, Gabriella Guarnieri, Giampiero D'Offizi, Riccardo Maragna, Paola Del Giacomo, Giancarlo Gini, Katleen de Gaetano Donati, Andrea Antinori, Filippo Aucella, Raffaele De Caterina, Lorenzo Menicanti, Gloria Maccagni, Amedeo Venezia, Chiara Dal Pra, Carlo Andrea Pivato, Walter Ageno, Antonella Agodi, Francesco Cannata, Francesco Petri, Luca Aiello, Biagio Pinchera, Marinella Astuto, Raffaella Sgariglia, Giovanni Guaraldi, Marco Vinceti, Laura Scorzolini, Samir Al Moghazi, Armando Leone, Giovanni Veronesi, Arturo Ciccullo, Leonardo Grisafi, Francesco Cipollone, Massimo Mapelli, Greta Barbieri, Silvia Lamonica, Raffaele Bruno, Filippo Minutolo, Antonella Cingolani, Alessandro Gialluisi, Marco Rossato, Andrea Rognoni, Marianna Rossi, Claudia Marotta, Franco Mastroianni, Ilaria My, Enrico Maria Trecarichi, Anna Odone, Alessandro Bartoloni, Simona Costanzo, Francesco Cacciatore, Ivan Gentile, Massimo Rinaldi, Nausicaa Berselli, Francesco Maria Fusco, Augusto Di Castelnuovo, Lorenzo Blandi, Castelnuovo A.D., Costanzo S., Antinori A., Berselli N., Blandi L., Bruno R., Cauda R., Guaraldi G., Menicanti L., My I., Parruti G., Patti G., Perlini S., Santilli F., Signorelli C., Spinoni E., Stefanini G.G., Vergori A., Ageno W., Agodi A., Aiello L., Agostoni P., Moghazi S.A., Astuto M., Aucella F., Barbieri G., Bartoloni A., Bonaccio M., Bonfanti P., Cacciatore F., Caiano L., Cannata F., Carrozzi L., Cascio A., Ciccullo A., Cingolani A., Cipollone F., Colomba C., Crosta F., Pra C.D., Danzi G.B., D'Ardes D., Donati K.D.G., Giacomo P.D., Gennaro F.D., Di Tano G., D'Offizi G., Filippini T., Fusco F.M., Gentile I., Gialluisi A., Gini G., Grandone E., Grisafi L., Guarnieri G., Lamonica S., Landi F., Leone A., Maccagni G., Maccarella S., Madaro A., Mapelli M., Maragna R., Marra L., Maresca G., Marotta C., Mastroianni F., Mazzitelli M., Mengozzi A., Menichetti F., Meschiari M., Minutolo F., Montineri A., Mussinelli R., Mussini C., Musso M., Odone A., Olivieri M., Pasi E., Petri F., Pinchera B., Pivato C.A., Poletti V., Ravaglia C., Rinaldi M., Rognoni A., Rossato M., Rossi I., Rossi M., Sabena A., Salinaro F., Sangiovanni V., Sanrocco C., Scorzolini L., Sgariglia R., Simeone P.G., Spinicci M., Trecarichi E.M., Venezia A., Veronesi G., Vettor R., Vianello A., Vinceti M., Vocciante L., De Caterina R., Iacoviello L., Castelnuovo, A. D., Costanzo, S., Antinori, A., Berselli, N., Blandi, L., Bruno, R., Cauda, R., Guaraldi, G., Menicanti, L., My, I., Parruti, G., Patti, G., Perlini, S., Santilli, F., Signorelli, C., Spinoni, E., Stefanini, G. G., Vergori, A., Ageno, W., Agodi, A., Aiello, L., Agostoni, P., Moghazi, S. A., Astuto, M., Aucella, F., Barbieri, G., Bartoloni, A., Bonaccio, M., Bonfanti, P., Cacciatore, F., Caiano, L., Cannata, F., Carrozzi, L., Cascio, A., Ciccullo, A., Cingolani, A., Cipollone, F., Colomba, C., Crosta, F., Pra, C. D., Danzi, G. B., D'Ardes, D., Donati, K. D. G., Giacomo, P. D., Gennaro, F. D., Di Tano, G., D'Offizi, G., Filippini, T., Fusco, F. M., Gentile, I., Gialluisi, A., Gini, G., Grandone, E., Grisafi, L., Guarnieri, G., Lamonica, S., Landi, F., Leone, A., Maccagni, G., Maccarella, S., Madaro, A., Mapelli, M., Maragna, R., Marra, L., Maresca, G., Marotta, C., Mastroianni, F., Mazzitelli, M., Mengozzi, A., Menichetti, F., Meschiari, M., Minutolo, F., Montineri, A., Mussinelli, R., Mussini, C., Musso, M., Odone, A., Olivieri, M., Pasi, E., Petri, F., Pinchera, B., Pivato, C. A., Poletti, V., Ravaglia, C., Rinaldi, M., Rognoni, A., Rossato, M., Rossi, I., Rossi, M., Sabena, A., Salinaro, F., Sangiovanni, V., Sanrocco, C., Scorzolini, L., Sgariglia, R., Simeone, P. G., Spinicci, M., Trecarichi, E. M., Venezia, A., Veronesi, G., Vettor, R., Vianello, A., Vinceti, M., Vocciante, L., De Caterina, R., Iacoviello, L., Castelnuovo, A, Costanzo, S, Antinori, A, Berselli, N, Blandi, L, Bruno, R, Cauda, R, Guaraldi, G, Menicanti, L, My, I, Parruti, G, Patti, G, Perlini, S, Santilli, F, Signorelli, C, Spinoni, E, Stefanini, G, Vergori, A, Ageno, W, Agodi, A, Aiello, L, Agostoni, P, Moghazi, S, Astuto, M, Aucella, F, Barbieri, G, Bartoloni, A, Bonaccio, M, Bonfanti, P, Cacciatore, F, Caiano, L, Cannata, F, Carrozzi, L, Cascio, A, Ciccullo, A, Cingolani, A, Cipollone, F, Colomba, C, Crosta, F, Pra, C, Danzi, G, D'Ardes, D, Donati, K, Giacomo, P, Gennaro, F, Tano, G, D'Offizi, G, Filippini, T, Fusco, F, Gentile, I, Gialluisi, A, Gini, G, Grandone, E, Grisafi, L, Guarnieri, G, Lamonica, S, Landi, F, Leone, A, Maccagni, G, Maccarella, S, Madaro, A, Mapelli, M, Maragna, R, Marra, L, Maresca, G, Marotta, C, Mastroianni, F, Mazzitelli, M, Mengozzi, A, Menichetti, F, Meschiari, M, Minutolo, F, Montineri, A, Mussinelli, R, Mussini, C, Musso, M, Odone, A, Olivieri, M, Pasi, E, Petri, F, Pinchera, B, Pivato, C, Poletti, V, Ravaglia, C, Rinaldi, M, Rognoni, A, Rossato, M, Rossi, I, Rossi, M, Sabena, A, Salinaro, F, Sangiovanni, V, Sanrocco, C, Scorzolini, L, Sgariglia, R, Simeone, P, Spinicci, M, Trecarichi, E, Venezia, A, Veronesi, G, Vettor, R, Vianello, A, Vinceti, M, Vocciante, L, De Caterina, R, and Iacoviello, L

Subjects
Male, medicine.medical_specialty, 030204 cardiovascular system & hematology, Lower risk, law.invention, COVID-19, Disease severity, Hydroxychloroquine, Inflammation, Mortality, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Female, Hospital Mortality, Humans, Italy, Middle Aged, Retrospective Studies, Treatment Outcome, 03 medical and health sciences, 0302 clinical medicine, Randomized controlled trial, Retrospective Studie, law, Internal medicine, 80 and over, Internal Medicine, medicine, 030212 general & internal medicine, Risk factor, business.industry, Mortality rate, Retrospective cohort study, COVID-19 Drug Treatment, Propensity score matching, Commentary, Observational study, business, Human, medicine.drug
Abstract

Background Hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) was proposed as potential treatment for COVID-19. Objective We set-up a multicenter Italian collaboration to investigate the relationship between HCQ therapy and COVID-19 in-hospital mortality. Methods In a retrospective observational study, 3,451 unselected patients hospitalized in 33 clinical centers in Italy, from February 19, 2020 to May 23, 2020, with laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, were analyzed. The primary end-point in a time-to event analysis was in-hospital death, comparing patients who received HCQ with patients who did not. We used multivariable Cox proportional-hazards regression models with inverse probability for treatment weighting by propensity scores, with the addition of subgroup analyses. Results Out of 3,451 COVID-19 patients, 76.3% received HCQ. Death rates (per 1,000 person-days) for patients receiving or not HCQ were 8.9 and 15.7, respectively. After adjustment for propensity scores, we found 30% lower risk of death in patients receiving HCQ (HR=0.70; 95%CI: 0.59 to 0.84; E-value=1.67). Secondary analyses yielded similar results. The inverse association of HCQ with inpatient mortality was particularly evident in patients having elevated C-reactive protein at entry. Conclusions HCQ use was associated with a 30% lower risk of death in COVID-19 hospitalized patients. Within the limits of an observational study and awaiting results from randomized controlled trials, these data do not discourage the use of HCQ in inpatients with COVID-19.

Published
2020

6. Common cardiovascular risk factors and in-hospital mortality in 3,894 patients with COVID-19: survival analysis and machine learning-based findings from the multicentre Italian CORIST Study.

Author

Di Castelnuovo A, Bonaccio M, Costanzo S, Gialluisi A, Antinori A, Berselli N, Blandi L, Bruno R, Cauda R, Guaraldi G, My I, Menicanti L, Parruti G, Patti G, Perlini S, Santilli F, Signorelli C, Stefanini GG, Vergori A, Abdeddaim A, Ageno W, Agodi A, Agostoni P, Aiello L, Al Moghazi S, Aucella F, Barbieri G, Bartoloni A, Bologna C, Bonfanti P, Brancati S, Cacciatore F, Caiano L, Cannata F, Carrozzi L, Cascio A, Cingolani A, Cipollone F, Colomba C, Crisetti A, Crosta F, Danzi GB, D'Ardes D, de Gaetano Donati K, Di Gennaro F, Di Palma G, Di Tano G, Fantoni M, Filippini T, Fioretto P, Fusco FM, Gentile I, Grisafi L, Guarnieri G, Landi F, Larizza G, Leone A, Maccagni G, Maccarella S, Mapelli M, Maragna R, Marcucci R, Maresca G, Marotta C, Marra L, Mastroianni F, Mengozzi A, Menichetti F, Milic J, Murri R, Montineri A, Mussinelli R, Mussini C, Musso M, Odone A, Olivieri M, Pasi E, Petri F, Pinchera B, Pivato CA, Pizzi R, Poletti V, Raffaelli F, Ravaglia C, Righetti G, Rognoni A, Rossato M, Rossi M, Sabena A, Salinaro F, Sangiovanni V, Sanrocco C, Scarafino A, Scorzolini L, Sgariglia R, Simeone PG, Spinoni E, Torti C, Trecarichi EM, Vezzani F, Veronesi G, Vettor R, Vianello A, Vinceti M, De Caterina R, and Iacoviello L

Subjects
Adolescent, Adult, Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, C-Reactive Protein analysis, COVID-19, Female, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Pandemics, Retrospective Studies, Risk Factors, SARS-CoV-2, Survival Analysis, Young Adult, Betacoronavirus, Cardiovascular Diseases etiology, Coronavirus Infections mortality, Hospital Mortality, Machine Learning, Pneumonia, Viral mortality
Abstract

Background and Aims: There is poor knowledge on characteristics, comorbidities and laboratory measures associated with risk for adverse outcomes and in-hospital mortality in European Countries. We aimed at identifying baseline characteristics predisposing COVID-19 patients to in-hospital death., Methods and Results: Retrospective observational study on 3894 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection hospitalized from February 19th to May 23rd, 2020 and recruited in 30 clinical centres distributed throughout Italy. Machine learning (random forest)-based and Cox survival analysis. 61.7% of participants were men (median age 67 years), followed up for a median of 13 days. In-hospital mortality exhibited a geographical gradient, Northern Italian regions featuring more than twofold higher death rates as compared to Central/Southern areas (15.6% vs 6.4%, respectively). Machine learning analysis revealed that the most important features in death classification were impaired renal function, elevated C reactive protein and advanced age. These findings were confirmed by multivariable Cox survival analysis (hazard ratio (HR): 8.2; 95% confidence interval (CI) 4.6-14.7 for age ≥85 vs 18-44 y); HR = 4.7; 2.9-7.7 for estimated glomerular filtration rate levels <15 vs ≥ 90 mL/min/1.73 m 2 ; HR = 2.3; 1.5-3.6 for C-reactive protein levels ≥10 vs ≤ 3 mg/L). No relation was found with obesity, tobacco use, cardiovascular disease and related-comorbidities. The associations between these variables and mortality were substantially homogenous across all sub-groups analyses., Conclusions: Impaired renal function, elevated C-reactive protein and advanced age were major predictors of in-hospital death in a large cohort of unselected patients with COVID-19, admitted to 30 different clinical centres all over Italy., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest All Authors declare no competing interests., (Copyright © 2020 The Italian Diabetes Society, the Italian Society for the Study of Atherosclerosis, the Italian Society of Human Nutrition and the Department of Clinical Medicine and Surgery, Federico II University. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Published
2020
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