1. Forecasting the value of innovation in total knee arthroplasty care: A headroom approach
- Author
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Thomas M. Otten, Sabine E. Grimm, Bram Ramaekers, Alex Roth, Pieter Emans, Tim Boymans, Maarten Janssen, Ralph Jeuken, and Manuela A. Joore
- Subjects
cost saving ,economic advantage ,health technology assessment ,knee arthroplasty ,osteoarthritis ,Orthopedic surgery ,RD701-811 - Abstract
Abstract Purpose Total knee arthroplasty (TKA) is the standard treatment of end‐stage osteoarthritis. TKA is often used and, therefore, poses a healthcare and societal burden, which is likely to increase further. Headroom analyses evaluate a technology under development by making assumptions about its effectiveness. This article applies a headroom approach to forecast the potential value of innovations that improve TKA‐related care in the Netherlands in terms of cost‐effectiveness and surgeries avoided. Methods A state‐transition model estimating lifetime direct health effects, healthcare‐ and societal costs and percentage of avoide d surgeries was developed. The model compared care as usual to five hypothetical interventions to calculate the headroom associated with (1) preventing the need for TKAs, (2) preventing the need for all TKA revisions, (3) postponing TKAs without quality‐of‐life loss, (4) preventing periprosthetic joint infections (PJIs) and (5) improving patient satisfaction. Results Preventing the need for all TKAs amounted to €43,076 of headroom. Preventing the need for TKA revisions amounted to €2276 (5.8% of surgeries avoided), postponing TKAs by 5 years amounted to €7634 (32.4% of surgeries avoided), preventing PJIs amounted to €1187 (1.4% of surgeries avoided) and improving patient satisfaction amounted to €16,622 (0% of surgeries avoided). The headroom of each hypothetical intervention was highest in younger populations (
- Published
- 2024
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