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OBJECTIVE: To determine the reliability and agreement of manual and automated morphological measurements, and agreement in morphological diagnoses. METHODS: Thirty pelvic radiographs were randomly selected from the World COACH consortium. Manual and automated measurements of acetabular depth-width ratio (ADR), modified acetabular index (mAI), alpha angle (AA), Wiberg center edge angle (WCEA), lateral center edge angle (LCEA), extrusion index (EI), neck-shaft angle (NSA), and triangular index ratio (TIR) were performed. Bland-Altman plots and intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs) were used to test reliability. Agreement in diagnosing acetabular dysplasia, pincer and cam morphology by manual and automated measurements was assessed using percentage agreement. Visualizations of all measurements were scored by a radiologist. RESULTS: The Bland-Altman plots showed no to small mean differences between automated and manual measurements for all measurements except for ADR. Intraobserver ICCs of manual measurements ranged from 0.26 (95%-CI 0-0.57) for TIR to 0.95 (95%-CI 0.87-0.98) for LCEA. Interobserver ICCs of manual measurements ranged from 0.43 (95%-CI 0.10-0.68) for AA to 0.95 (95%-CI 0.86-0.98) for LCEA. Intermethod ICCs ranged from 0.46 (95%-CI 0.12-0.70) for AA to 0.89 (95%-CI 0.78-0.94) for LCEA. Radiographic diagnostic agreement ranged from 47% to 100% for the manual observers and 63%-96% for the automated method as assessed by the radiologist. CONCLUSION: The automated algorithm performed equally well compared to manual measurement by trained observers, attesting to its reliability and efficiency in rapidly computing morphological measurements. This validated method can aid clinical practice and accelerate hip osteoarthritis research.

PURPOSE: Advancing age is one of the strongest risk factors for osteoarthritis (OA). DNA methylation-based measures of epigenetic age acceleration may provide insights into mechanisms underlying OA. METHODS: We analyzed data from the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study in a subset of 671 participants ages 45-69 years with no or mild radiographic knee OA. DNA methylation was assessed with the Illumina Infinium MethylationEPIC 850K array. We calculated predicted epigenetic age according to Hannum, Horvath, PhenoAge, and GrimAge epigenetic clocks, then regressed epigenetic age on chronological age to obtain the residuals. Associations between the residuals and knee, hand, and multi-joint OA were assessed using logistic regression, adjusted for chronological age, sex, clinical site, smoking status, and race. RESULTS: Twenty-three percent met criteria for radiographic hand OA, 25% met criteria for radiographic knee OA, and 8% met criteria for multi-joint OA. Mean chronological age (SD) was 58.4 (6.7) years. Mean predicted epigenetic age (SD) according to Horvath, Hannum, PhenoAge, and GrimAge epigenetic clocks was 64.9 (6.4), 68.6 (5.9), 50.5 (7.7), and 67.0 (6.2), respectively. Horvath epigenetic age acceleration was not associated with an increased odds of hand OA, odds ratio (95% confidence intervals) = 1.03 (0.99-1.08), with similar findings for knee and multi-joint OA. We found similar magnitudes of associations for Hannum epigenetic age, PhenoAge, and GrimAge acceleration compared to Horvath epigenetic age acceleration. CONCLUSIONS: Epigenetic age acceleration as measured by various well-validated epigenetic clocks based on DNA methylation was not associated with increased risk of knee, hand, or multi-joint OA independent of chronological age.

PURPOSE: Hip osteoarthritis (OA) is a major cause of pain and disability worldwide. Lack of effective therapies may reflect poor knowledge on its aetiology and risk factors, and result in the management of end-stage hip OA with costly joint replacement. The Worldwide Collaboration on OsteoArthritis prediCtion for the Hip (World COACH) consortium was established to pool and harmonise individual participant data from prospective cohort studies. The consortium aims to better understand determinants and risk factors for the development and progression of hip OA, to optimise and automate methods for (imaging) analysis, and to develop a personalised prediction model for hip OA. PARTICIPANTS: World COACH aimed to include participants of prospective cohort studies with ≥200 participants, that have hip imaging data available from at least 2 time points at least 4 years apart. All individual participant data, including clinical data, imaging (data), biochemical markers, questionnaires and genetic data, were collected and pooled into a single, individual-level database. FINDINGS TO DATE: World COACH currently consists of 9 cohorts, with 38 021 participants aged 18-80 years at baseline. Overall, 71% of the participants were women and mean baseline age was 65.3±8.6 years. Over 34 000 participants had baseline pelvic radiographs available, and over 22 000 had an additional pelvic radiograph after 8-12 years of follow-up. Even longer radiographic follow-up (15-25 years) is available for over 6000 of these participants. FUTURE PLANS: The World COACH consortium offers unique opportunities for studies on the relationship between determinants/risk factors and the development or progression of hip OA, by using harmonised data on clinical findings, imaging, biomarkers, genetics and lifestyle. This provides a unique opportunity to develop a personalised hip OA risk prediction model and to optimise methods for imaging analysis of the hip.

BackgroundObesity influences the development of osteoarthritis via low-grade inflammation. Progression of local inflammation (= synovitis) increased with weight gain in overweight and obese women compared to stable weight. Synovitis could be associated with subcutaneous fat (SCF) around the knee. Purpose of the study was to investigate the effect of weight loss on synovitis progression and to assess whether SCF around the knee mediates the relationship between weight loss and synovitis progression.MethodsWe included 234 overweight and obese participants (body mass index [BMI] ≥ 25 kg/m2) from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) with > 10% weight loss (n = 117) or stable overweight (

ObjectiveTo assess (i) the impact of changes in body weight on changes in joint-adjacent subcutaneous fat (SCF) and cartilage thickness over 4 years and (ii) the relation between changes in joint-adjacent SCF and knee cartilage thickness.DesignIndividuals from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (total=399) with > 10% weight gain (n=100) and > 10% weight loss (n=100) over 4 years were compared to a matched control cohort with less than 3% change in weight (n=199). 3.0T Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) of the right knee was performed at baseline and after 4 years to quantify joint-adjacent SCF and cartilage thickness. Linear regression models were used to evaluate the associations between the (i) weight change group and 4-year changes in both knee SCF and cartilage thickness, and (ii) 4-year changes in knee SCF and in cartilage thickness. Analyses were adjusted for age, sex, baseline body mass index (BMI), tibial diameter (and weight change group in analysis (ii)).ResultsIndividuals who lost weight over 4-years had significantly less joint-adjacent SCF (beta range, medial/lateral joint sides: 2.2-4.2 mm, p

BackgroundMedial meniscus root tears (RTs) are associated with the development and worsening of knee osteoarthritis (OA), but little is known about their progression when compared with meniscal tears that spare the root (nonroot tears; NRTs).PurposeTo compare radiographic worsening of OA in knees with RTs versus NRTs and to identify factors associated with radiographic worsening of OA in knees with RTs.Study designCohort study; Level of evidence, 3.MethodsUsing the Osteoarthritis Initiative database, we included knees with medial meniscus RTs and NRTs present at the baseline visit (baseline tears) and new RTs and NRTs observed at 12- to 48-month annual follow-up visits (incident tears). Worsening of radiographic OA was defined for baseline tears as an increase in Kellgren-Lawrence grade (KLG) during the subsequent 12 months of follow-up; for incident tears, worsening was defined as either concurrent (increase in KLG over the 12 months preceding tear appearance on magnetic resonance imaging) or subsequent (increase in KLG during the 12 months after tear appearance). Odds ratios (ORs), adjusted for covariates, were calculated for the association of worsening by type of tear.ResultsIncluded were 39 knees with baseline RTs, 633 knees with baseline NRTs, 33 knees with incident RTs, and 234 knees with incident NRTs. Radiographic OA worsening subsequent to meniscal tear identification was no different for baseline RTs (15%) or baseline NRTs (14%; adjusted OR, 1.34; 95% CI, 0.52-3.47), nor did subsequent worsening differ for incident RTs (19%) versus incident NRTs (18%; adjusted OR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.15-1.83). Concurrent radiographic OA worsening was seen at a significantly higher rate for incident RTs (64%) versus incident NRTs (21%; adjusted OR, 3.00; 95% CI, 1.21-7.47). Incident RTs in knees without radiographic OA (KLG 0-1) before the tear had a high rate of worsening (94%, n = 16) and were more likely to worsen than those in knees with radiographic OA (KLG ≥2) present before the tear.ConclusionCompared with NRTs, incident RTs were associated with a significantly increased risk of worsening radiographic OA over a 12-month period concurrent with the appearance of the tear. Incident RTs in knees without radiographic OA at baseline had a high rate of worsening.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this work was to report the prevalence of computed tomography (CT)-detected intra-articular mineralization. DESIGN: We included participants from the Multicenter Osteoarthritis (MOST) Study. At the 12th year visit of the MOST study, bilateral knee CTs were first obtained. All participants also had posteroanterior and lateral radiographs of bilateral knees and completed standard questionnaires. Knee radiographs were assessed for Kellgren & Lawrence grade (KLG) and radiographic evidence of intra-articular mineralization. CT images were scored using the Boston University Calcium Knee Score (BUCKS) for cartilage, menisci, ligaments, capsule, and vasculature. Prevalence of intra-articular mineralization was computed for the total sample, and stratified by age, sex, race, Body Mass Index (BMI), presence of frequent knee pain, and KLG. We also determined distribution of mineralization in the cartilage and meniscus, and co-localization. RESULTS: 4140 bilateral knees from 2070 participants were included (56.7% female, mean age 61.1 years, mean BMI: 28.8 kg/m2). On radiographs 240 knees (5.8%) had intraarticular mineralization, while CT-detected mineralization was present in 9.8% of knees. Prevalence of hyaline articular and meniscus mineralization increased with age and KL grade, and was similar by sex, BMI categories, and comparable in subjects with and without frequent knee pain. Mineralization tended to be ubiquitous in the joint, most commonly involving all three (medial/lateral tibiofemoral and patellofemoral) compartments (3.1%), while the patellofemoral compartment was the most involved compartment in isolation (1.4%). CONCLUSIONS: CT of the knee provides greater visualization of intra-articular mineralization than radiographs and allows better localization of the crystal deposition within the joint. Further studies should focus on the co-localization of intra-articular crystal deposition and corresponding magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-features of knee osteoarthritis (OA).

ObjectiveTo assess the effects of weight loss and weight gain on hip and knee radiographic changes, pain, and joint replacement over 4 years.MethodsParticipants (n = 2,752) from the Osteoarthritis Initiative were classified as those with weight gain (more than 5% gain), weight loss (more than -5% loss), or as controls (-3% to 3% change) over 4 years. Generalized estimating equations (adjusted for age, sex, and body mass index) were used to assess the relationship between the weight-change group and 4-year changes in knee radiographic osteoarthritis (OA) (Kellgren/Lawrence [K/L] grade), hip OA (Croft summary grade), joint space narrowing (JSN), and joint pain.ResultsFor radiographic knee OA, weight loss was associated with significantly lower odds of K/L grade worsening over 4 years (odds ratio [OR] 0.69 [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 0.53-0.91], P = 0.009), and weight gain was significantly associated with higher odds of medial knee JSN (OR 1.29 [95% CI 1.01-1.64], P = 0.038) compared to controls. For knee pain, weight loss was significantly associated with knee pain resolution over 4 years (OR 1.40 [95% CI 1.06-1.86], P = 0.019) while weight gain was associated with knee pain development (OR 1.34 [95% CI 1.08-1.67], P = 0.009) compared to controls. For all hip outcomes, no significant associations (P > 0.05) were found with weight-change groups. The associations between the weight-change group and total hip or total knee replacement were not significant (P > 0.05).ConclusionThis large, longitudinal study (n = 2,752 with 4-year follow-up) suggests that weight loss may protect against, and weight gain may exacerbate, radiographic and symptomatic knee OA, while weight change (at a 5% threshold) does not have significant effects on hip OA.

OBJECTIVE: Radiographic joint space width (JSW) has been a standard for measuring knee osteoarthritis (OA) structural change. Limitations in the responsiveness of this approach might be overcome by instead measuring 3D JSW on weight-bearing CT (WBCT). This study compared the responsiveness of 3D JSW measurements using WBCT with the responsiveness of radiographic 2D JSW. DESIGN: Standing, fixed-flexion knee radiographs (XR) and WBCT were acquired ancillary to the 144- and 168-month Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study visits. Tibiofemoral JSW was measured on both XR and WBCT. Responsiveness to change was defined by the standardized response mean (SRM) for change in JSW (1) at predetermined mediolateral locations (JSWx) on both modalities and (2) in the following subregions measured on WBCT images: central medial and lateral femur (CMF/CLF) and tibia (CMT/CLT), and anterior and posterior tibia (AMT/ALT, PMT/MLT). RESULTS: Baseline and 24-month follow-up JSWx measurements were completed for 265 participants (58.1% women). Responsiveness of 3D JSWx for medial tibiofemoral compartment on coronal WBCT (SRM range: -0.18, -0.24) exceeded that for 2D JSWx (-0.10, -0.16). Responsiveness of 3D JSW subregional mean (-0.06, -0.36) and maximal (-1.14, -1.75) CMF and CMT and maximal CLF/CLT 3D JSW changes were statistically significantly greater in comparison with respective medial and lateral 2D JSWx (P ≤ 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: Subregional 3D JSW on WBCT is substantially more responsive to 24-month changes in tibiofemoral joint structure compared to radiographic measurements. Use of subregional 3D JSW on WBCT could enable improved detection of OA structural progression over a 24-month duration in comparison with measurements made on XR.

ObjectiveOsteoarthritis (OA) is highly heterogeneous and has both biomechanical and systemic components that may not have the same etiology. We therefore aimed to identify specific knee OA phenotypes that may be more strongly associated with hand OA to refine the criteria used to define multi-joint OA.DesignWe assessed data from the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study (MOST). We ascertained hand OA from bilateral hand photographs; scores for each joint row were summed to yield an aggregate hand OA score. Knee OA was ascertained from bilateral posteroanterior knee radiographs read for Kellgren-Lawrence grade and individual radiographic features. We tested associations between hand and knee OA with phenotypes including symptomatic OA, hyper- and atrophic knee OA, and one excluding post-traumatic OA. Associations between hand and knee OA were assessed with logistic regression, adjusted for age.ResultsWe studied 2493 participants with hand and knee OA measures. Median age was 63 years with 57% women. 55% had an aggregate hand OA score ≥2; frequency of knee OA phenotypes ranged from 8% to 34%. The age-adjusted odds ratio (OR) was 1.14 (95% confidence interval (CI) ​= ​1.04-1.26) for knee OA per standard deviation of the hand OA aggregate score. Hand OA associations with symptomatic knee OA and knee OA excluding post-traumatic knee OA were OR ​= ​1.16 (95% CI ​= ​1.03-1.31) and OR ​= ​1.21 (95% CI ​= ​1.08-1.35), respectively. No other knee OA phenotype reached statistical significance.ConclusionsAge-adjusted associations between hand and knee OA were modest and were largely similar across knee OA phenotypes.

BackgroundSynovial inflammation is a risk factor for osteoarthritis (OA). But to date, there is limited information on how inflammation impacts progression of knee OA.PurposeTo investigate how sustained synovitis, assessed with semi-quantitative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scores, impacts progression of knee degenerative changes over 4 years.Study typeRetrospective cohort study.SubjectsIn 249 participants (N = 132 women [53%]), from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) two definitions for synovitis were used resulting in two groups of participants with sustained synovitis at baseline, 2-year, and 4-year follow-up (N = 80 and N = 132), and two groups without synovitis at all three time points (N = 81 and N = 47).Field strength/sequence3 T intermediate-weighted (IW) turbo spin-echo (TSE) sequence and three-dimensional (3D) dual-echo steady-state (DESS) sequence.AssessmentSynovitis was scored semi-quantitatively using the Anterior Cruciate Ligament Osteoarthritis Score (ACLOAS), MRI Osteoarthritis Knee Score (MOAKS), and synovial proliferation score (SPS). Two MRI-based definitions of synovitis were used: (i) score ≥2 based on cumulative score of MOAKS and ACLOAS, and (ii) score ≥3 based on the cumulative score of ACLOAS, MOAKS, and SPS. Changes in structural abnormalities from baseline to year 4 measured using the whole-organ MRI score (WORMS) were defined as outcomes.Statistical testsLinear regression models were used to compare the differences in longitudinal changes in WORMS scores between participants with and without sustained synovitis for each definition of sustained synovitis. A P-value of

BackgroundTo assess the compound effects of BMI and sustained depressive symptoms on changes in knee structure, cartilage composition, and knee pain over 4 years using statistical interaction analyses.MethodsOne thousand eight hundred forty-four individuals from the Osteoarthritis Initiative Database were analyzed at baseline and 4-year follow-up. Individuals were categorized according to their BMI and presence of depressive symptoms (based on the Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale (threshold≥16)) at baseline and 4-year follow-up. 3 T MRI was used to quantify knee cartilage T2 over 4 years, while radiographs were used to assess joint space narrowing (JSN). Mixed effects models examined the effect of BMI-depressive symptoms interactions on outcomes of cartilage T2, JSN, and knee pain over 4-years.ResultsThe BMI-depressive symptoms interaction was significantly associated with knee pain (p

ObjectiveThe lack of strong association between knee osteoarthritis (OA) structural features and pain continues to perplex researchers and clinicians. Evaluating the patellofemoral joint in addition to the tibiofemoral joint alone has contributed to explaining this structure-pain discordance, hence justifying a more comprehensive evaluation of whole-knee OA and pain. The present study, therefore, was undertaken to evaluate the association between patellofemoral and tibiofemoral OA features with localized anterior knee pain (AKP) using 2 study designs.MethodsUsing cross-sectional data from the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study, our first approach was a within-person, knee-matched design in which we identified participants with unilateral AKP. We then assessed magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-derived OA features (cartilage damage, bone marrow lesions [BMLs], osteophytes, and inflammation) in both knees and evaluated the association of patellofemoral and tibiofemoral OA features to unilateral AKP. In our second approach, MRIs from 1 knee per person were scored, and we evaluated the association of OA features to AKP in participants with AKP and participants with no frequent knee pain.ResultsUsing the first approach (n = 71, 66% women, mean ± SD age 69 ± 8 years), lateral patellofemoral osteophytes (odds ratio [OR] 5.0 [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.7-14.6]), whole-knee joint effusion-synovitis (OR 4.7 [95% CI 1.3-16.2]), and infrapatellar synovitis (OR 2.8 [95% CI 1.0-7.8]) were associated with AKP. Using the second approach (n = 882, 59% women, mean ± SD age 69 ± 7 years), lateral and medial patellofemoral cartilage damage (prevalence ratio [PR] 2.3 [95% CI 1.3-4.0] and PR 1.9 [95% CI 1.1-3.3], respectively) and lateral patellofemoral BMLs (PR 2.6 [95% CI 1.5-4.7]) were associated with AKP.ConclusionPatellofemoral but not tibiofemoral joint OA features and inflammation were associated with AKP.

Introduction: Influenza vaccines are commonly provided through community health events and primary care appointments. However, acute unscheduled healthcare visits such as emergency department (ED) visits are increasingly viewed as important vaccination opportunities. Emergency departments may be well-positioned to complement broader public health efforts with integrated vaccination programs.  Methods: We studied an ED-based influenza vaccination initiative in an urban hospital and examined patient-level factors associated with screening and vaccination uptake. Our analyses included patient visits to the ED from October 1, 2019-April 1, 2020. Results: The influenza screening and vaccination program proved feasible. Of the 20,878 ED visits that occurred within the study period, 3,565 (17.1%) included a screening for influenza vaccine eligibility; a small proportion (11.5%) of the patients seen had multiple screenings. Among the patients screened eligible for the vaccine, 916 ultimately received an influenza vaccination while in the ED (43.7% of eligible patients). There was significant variability in the characteristics of patients who were and were not screened and vaccinated. Age, gender, race, preferred language, and receipt of a flu vaccine in prior years were associated with screening and/or receiving a vaccine in the ED.  Conclusion: Vaccination programs in the ED can boost community vaccination rates and play a role in both preventing and treating current and future vaccine-preventable public health crises, although efforts must be made to deliver services equitably.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to determine whether tibiofemoral contact stress predicts risk for worsening knee pain over 84 ms in adults aged 50-79 yrs with or at elevated risk for knee osteoarthritis. DESIGN: Baseline tibiofemoral contact stress was estimated using discrete element analysis. Other baseline measures included weight, height, hip-knee-ankle alignment, Kellgren-Lawrence grade, and Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index pain subscale. Logistic regression models assessed the association between baseline contact stress and 84-mo worsening of Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index pain subscale. RESULTS: Data from the dominant knee (72.6% Kellgren-Lawrence grade 0/1 and 27.4% Kellgren-Lawrence grade ≥ 2) of 208 participants (64.4% female, mean ± SD body mass index = 29.6 ± 5.1 kg/m 2 ) were analyzed. Baseline mean and peak contact stress were 3.3 ± 0.9 and 9.4 ± 4.3 MPa, respectively. Forty-seven knees met the criterion for worsening pain. The highest tertiles in comparison with the lowest tertiles of mean (odds ratio [95% confidence interval] = 2.47 [1.03-5.95], P = 0.04) and peak (2.49 [1.03-5.98], P = 0.04) contact stress were associated with worsening pain at 84 mos, after adjustment for age, sex, race, clinic site, and baseline pain. Post hoc sensitivity analyses including adjustment for body mass index and hip-knee-ankle alignment attenuated the effect. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that elevated tibiofemoral contact stress can predict the development of worsening of knee pain.

ObjectiveTo determine the optimal combination of imaging and biochemical biomarkers for use in the prediction of knee osteoarthritis (OA) progression.MethodsThe present study was a nested case-control trial from the Foundation of the National Institutes of Health OA Biomarkers Consortium that assessed study participants with a Kellgren/Lawrence grade of 1-3 who had complete biomarker data available (n = 539 to 550). Cases were participants' knees that had radiographic and pain progression between 24 and 48 months compared to baseline. Radiographic progression only was assessed in secondary analyses. Biomarkers (baseline and 24-month changes) that had a P value of

ObjectiveComputed tomography (CT) can deliver multiple parameters relevant to osteoarthritis. In this study we demonstrate that a 3-D multiparametric approach at the weight bearing knee with cone beam CT is feasible, can include multiple parameters from across the joint space, and can reveal stronger relationships with disease status in combination.Design33 participants with knee weight bearing CT (WBCT) were analysed with joint space mapping and cortical bone mapping to deliver joint space width (JSW), subchondral bone plate thickness, endocortical thickness, and trabecular attenuation at both sides of the joint. All data were co-localised to the same canonical surface. Statistical parametric mapping (SPM) was applied in uni- and multivariate models to demonstrate significant dependence of parameters on Kellgren & Lawrence grade (KLG). Correlation between JSW and bony parameters and 2-week test-retest repeatability were also calculated.ResultsSPM revealed that the central-to-posterior medial tibiofemoral joint space was significantly narrowed by up to 0.5 mm with significantly higher tibial trabecular attenuation up to 50 units for each increment in KLG as single features, and in a wider distribution when combined (p

Background & aimsThe IM-UNITI study and long-term extension (LTE) evaluated the long-term efficacy, safety, and immunogenicity of subcutaneous ustekinumab maintenance therapy in patients with Crohn's disease. Here, we report the final results of IM-UNITI LTE through 5 years.MethodsPatients completing safety and efficacy evaluations at week 44 of the maintenance study were eligible to participate in the LTE and continue the treatment they were receiving. Unblinding occurred after completion of maintenance study analyses (August 2015), and patients receiving placebo were discontinued from the study after unblinding. No dose adjustment occurred in the LTE. Efficacy assessments were conducted every 12 weeks until unblinding and at dosing visits thereafter through week 252. Serum ustekinumab concentrations and antidrug antibodies were evaluated through weeks 252 and 272, respectively.ResultsUsing an intent-to-treat analysis of all patients randomized to ustekinumab at maintenance baseline, 34.4% of patients in the every-8-weeks group and 28.7% in the every-12-weeks group were in clinical remission at week 252. Corresponding remission rates among patients who entered the LTE were 54.9% and 45.2%. Overall, adverse event rates (per 100 patient-years) from maintenance week 0 through the final visit generally were similar in the placebo and combined ustekinumab groups for all adverse events (440.3 vs 327.6), serious adverse events (19.3 vs 17.5), infections (99.8 vs 93.8), and serious infections (3.9 vs 3.4). Serum ustekinumab concentrations were maintained throughout the LTE. Antidrug antibodies occurred in 5.8% of patients who received ustekinumab during induction and maintenance and continued in the LTE.ConclusionsPatients receiving subcutaneous ustekinumab maintained clinical remission through 5 years. No new safety signals were observed. ClinicalTrials.gov number NCT01369355.

We compared experiences with The Multifaceted Intervention to Improve Prescribing for Acute Respiratory Infection for Adult and Children in Emergency Department and Urgent Care Settings versus Choosing Wisely to evaluate inappropriate antimicrobial prescribing in ambulatory care. Both identified the same clinics, diagnoses, and antibiotics for high-yield antibiotic stewardship interventions.

ObjectiveTo examine whether knee subchondral cysts, measured on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), are associated with incident knee osteoarthritis (OA) outcomes.MethodsWe used longitudinal data from the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study, a community-based cohort of subjects with risk factors for knee OA. Participants without a history of knee surgery and/or inflammatory arthritis (i.e., rheumatoid arthritis and gout) were followed up for 84 months for the following incident outcomes: 1) radiographic knee OA (Kellgren/Lawrence grade ≥2), 2) symptomatic radiographic knee OA (radiographic knee OA and frequent knee pain), and 3) frequent knee pain (with or without radiographic knee OA). In a subset of participants, subchondral cysts were scored on baseline MRIs of 1 knee. Multiple logistic regression, with adjustment for participant characteristics and other baseline knee MRI findings, was used to assess whether subchondral cysts were predictive of incident outcomes.ResultsAmong the participants with knees eligible for analyses of outcomes over 84 months, incident radiographic knee OA occurred in 22.8% of knees with no baseline radiographic knee OA, symptomatic radiographic knee OA occurred in 17.0% of knees with no baseline symptomatic radiographic knee OA, and frequent knee pain (with or without radiographic knee OA) occurred in 28.8% of knees with no baseline radiographic knee OA and 43.7% of knees with baseline radiographic knee OA. With adjustment for age, sex, and body mass index, the presence of subchondral cysts was not associated with incident radiographic knee OA but was associated with increased odds of incident symptomatic radiographic knee OA (odds ratio 1.92 [95% confidence interval 1.16-3.19]) and increased odds of incident frequent knee pain in those who had radiographic knee OA at baseline (odds ratio 2.11 [95% confidence interval 0.87-5.12]). Stronger and significant associations were observed for outcomes based on consistent reports of frequent knee pain within ~1 month of the study visit.ConclusionSubchondral cysts are likely to be a secondary phenomenon, rather than a primary trigger, of radiographic knee OA, and may predict symptoms in knees with existing disease.

ObjectiveTo determine reliability among four experienced and calibrated readers in cross-sectional and longitudinal semi-quantitative MRI assessments of knee osteoarthritis (OA) in the Multicenter Osteoarthritis (MOST) study.DesignFrom all MOST participants with at least one knee with readable 60-month and 84-month paired knee MRIs (1.0 ​T extremity systems), we selected 10 subjects having a spectrum of baseline disease severity of cartilage, bone marrow lesions, and meniscal damage and a spectrum of longitudinal changes in severity at 24 months follow-up. MRIs were independently assessed using the WORMS grading system by four musculoskeletal radiologists with the chronological sequence known to the readers. Kappa statistics were used to determine agreement between each pair of readers and Kendall's coefficient of concordance to determine average agreement across readers.ResultsFor most features, cross-sectional reliability was substantial to almost perfect. Regarding longitudinal reliability (detection of longitudinal change), inter-reader reliability as weighted kappa values ranged from 0.62 to 0.78 for cartilage damage, 0.75-0.88 for bone marrow lesions, 0.75-0.92 for meniscal tears, 0.67-0.95 for meniscal extrusion, 0.51-0.77 for bone attrition, 0.43-0.76 for osteophytes, 0.31-0.70 for Hoffa-synovitis, and 0.47-0.85 for effusion-synovitis. Kendall's coefficient ranged from 0.65 to 0.98.ConclusionHigh levels of cross-sectional reliability and moderate to high longitudinal reliability was achieved using four experienced readers in semiquantitative MRI-assessment of most knee OA features.

BackgroundOpioids are frequently prescribed for pain control in knee osteoarthritis patients, despite recommendations by current guidelines. Previous studies have investigated the chondrotoxicity of different opioid subtypes. However, the impact opioids may have on progression of osteoarthritis in vivo remains unknown. The aim of this study was thus to describe the associations between opioid use and knee structural changes and clinical outcomes, over 4 years.MethodsParticipants with baseline opioid use (n=181) and who continued use for ≥1 year between baseline and 4-year follow-up (n=79) were included from the Osteoarthritis Initiative cohort and frequency matched with non-users (controls) (1:2). Whole-Organ Magnetic Resonance Imaging Scores (WORMS) were obtained, including a total summation score (WORMS total, range 0-96) and subscores for cartilage (0-36), menisci (0-24), and bone marrow abnormalities and subchondral cyst-like lesions (0-18, respectively). Knee Injury Osteoarthritis Outcomes score (KOOS) symptoms, quality of life (QOL), and pain were also obtained at baseline and follow-up (range 0-100; lower scores indicate worse outcomes). Using linear regression models, associations between baseline and longitudinal findings were investigated. As pain may modify observations, a sensitivity analysis was performed for longitudinal findings. All analyses were adjusted for sex, BMI, age, race, and Kellgren-Lawrence grade.ResultsOpioid users had greater structural degeneration at baseline (WORMS total: Coef. [95% CI], P; 7.1 [5.5, 8.8],

Background and purposeThe Stroke Treatment Academic Industry Roundtable (STAIR) sponsored an imaging session and workshop during the Stroke Treatment Academic Industry Roundtable XI via webinar on October 1 to 2, 2020, to develop consensus recommendations, particularly regarding optimal imaging at primary stroke centers.MethodsThis forum brought together stroke neurologists, neuroradiologists, neuroimaging research scientists, members of the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke, industry representatives, and members of the US Food and Drug Administration to discuss imaging priorities in the light of developments in reperfusion therapies, particularly in an extended time window, and reinvigorated interest in brain cytoprotection trials.ResultsThe imaging session summarized and compared the imaging components of recent acute stroke trials and debated the optimal imaging strategy at primary stroke centers. The imaging workshop developed consensus recommendations for optimizing the acquisition, analysis, and interpretation of computed tomography and magnetic resonance acute stroke imaging, and also recommendations on imaging strategies for primary stroke centers.ConclusionsRecent positive acute stroke clinical trials have extended the treatment window for reperfusion therapies using imaging selection. Achieving rapid and high-quality stroke imaging is therefore critical at both primary and comprehensive stroke centers. Recommendations for enhancing stroke imaging research are provided.

Background Imaging of structural disease in osteoarthritis has traditionally relied on MRI and radiography. Joint space mapping (JSM) can be used to quantitatively map joint space width (JSW) in three dimensions from CT images. Purpose To demonstrate the reproducibility, repeatability, and feasibility of JSM of the knee using weight-bearing CT images. Materials and Methods Two convenience samples of weight-bearing CT images of left and right knees with radiographic Kellgren-Lawrence grades (KLGs) less than or equal to 2 were acquired from 2014 to 2018 and were analyzed retrospectively with JSM to deliver three-dimensional JSW maps. For reproducibility, images of three sets of knees were used for novice training, and then the JSM output was compared against an expert's assessment. JSM was also performed on 2-week follow-up images in the second cohort, yielding three-dimensional JSW difference maps for repeatability. Statistical parametric mapping was performed on all knee imaging data (KLG, 0-4) to show the feasibility of a surface-based analysis in three dimensions. Results Reproducibility (in 20 individuals; mean age, 58 years ± 7 [standard deviation]; mean body mass index, 28 kg/m2 ± 6; 14 women) and repeatability (in nine individuals; mean age, 53 years ± 6; mean body mass index, 26 kg/m2 ± 4; seven women) reached their lowest performance at a smallest detectable difference less than ±0.1 mm in the central medial tibiofemoral joint space for individuals without radiographically demonstrated disease. The average root mean square coefficient of variation was less than 5% across all groups. Statistical parametric mapping (33 individuals; mean age, 57 years ± 7; mean body mass index, 27 kg/m2 ± 6; 23 women) showed that the central-to-posterior medial joint space was significantly narrower by 0.5 mm for each incremental increase in the KLG (threshold P < .05). One knee (KLG, 2) demonstrated a baseline versus 24-month change in its three-dimensional JSW distribution that was beyond the smallest detectable difference across the lateral joint space. Conclusion Joint space mapping of the knee using weight-bearing CT images is feasible, demonstrating a relationship between the three-dimensional joint space width distribution and structural joint disease. It is reliably learned by novice users, can be personalized for disease phenotypes, and can be used to achieve a smallest detectable difference that is at least 50% smaller than that reported to be achieved at the highest performance level in radiography. © RSNA, 2021 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Roemer in this issue.

ObjectiveThe aim of this study was to investigate the associations between weight cycling and knee joint degeneration in individuals with overweight or obesity with different patterns of weight change over 4 years.MethodsA total of 2,271 individuals from the Osteoarthritis Initiative database were assessed (case-control study). Linear regression models using annual BMI measurements over 4 years were used to classify participants as weight cyclers or noncyclers. 3-T magnetic resonance imaging was used to quantify knee cartilage transverse relaxation time (T2) and cartilage thickness annually over 4 years in all subjects. Whole-Organ Magnetic Resonance Imaging Scores (WORMS) were obtained for cartilage, meniscus, and bone-marrow abnormalities in 958 subjects at baseline and at the 4-year follow-up. The longitudinal differences in cartilage T2 and thickness between weight cyclers and noncyclers were assessed using general estimating equations, whereas the differences in WORMS outcomes were compared using general linear models.ResultsNo significant differences in the rate of change of cartilage thickness or T2 were found between weight cyclers and noncyclers. However, increases in maximum cartilage WORMS (P = 0.0025) and bone-marrow abnormalities (P = 0.04) were significantly greater in weight cyclers than in noncyclers.ConclusionsAlthough participants' intent for weight cycling in this study was unknown, weight cyclers had significantly greater increases in cartilage and bone-marrow abnormalities over 4 years than noncyclers, independent of weight gain and loss.

Study designRetrospective hospital-registry study.ObjectiveTo characterize the microbial epidemiology of surgical site infection (SSI) in spinal fusion surgery and the burden of resistance to standard surgical antibiotic prophylaxis.Summary of background dataSSI persists as a leading complication of spinal fusion surgery despite the growth of enhanced recovery programs and improvements in other measures of surgical quality. Improved understandings of SSI microbiology and common mechanisms of failure for current prevention strategies are required to inform the development of novel approaches to prevention relevant to modern surgical practice.MethodsSpinal fusion cases performed at a single referral center between January 2011 and June 2019 were reviewed and SSI cases meeting National Healthcare Safety Network criteria were identified. Using microbiologic and procedural data from each case, we analyzed the anatomic distribution of pathogens, their differential time to presentation, and correlation with methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus screening results. Susceptibility of isolates cultured from each infection were compared with the spectrum of surgical antibiotic prophylaxis administered during the index procedure on a per-case basis. Susceptibility to alternate prophylactic agents was also modeled.ResultsAmong 6727 cases, 351 infections occurred within 90 days. An anatomic gradient in the microbiology of SSI was observed across the length of the back, transitioning from cutaneous (gram-positive) flora in the cervical spine to enteric (gram-negative/anaerobic) flora in the lumbosacral region (correlation coefficient 0.94, P

INTRODUCTION: The absence of an ischemic lesion on MRI fluid-attenuated inversion recovery (FLAIR) is helpful in predicting stroke onset within 4.5 h. However, some ischemic strokes become visible on FLAIR within 4.5 h. We hypothesized that the early lesion visibility on FLAIR may predict stroke outcome 90 days after intravenous (IV) thrombolysis, independent of time. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We analyzed data from acute ischemic stroke patients presenting over the last 10 years who were screened with MRI and treated with IV thrombolysis within 4.5 h from onset. Three independent readers assessed whether ischemic lesions seen on diffusion-weighted imaging were also FLAIR positive based on visual inspection. Multivariable regression analyses were used to obtain an adjusted odds ratio of favorable clinical and radiological outcomes based on FLAIR positivity. RESULTS: Of 297 ischemic stroke patients, 25% had lesion visibility on initial FLAIR. The interrater agreement for the FLAIR positivity assessment was 84% (κ = 0.604, 95% CI: 0.557-0.652). Patients with FLAIR-positive lesions had more right hemispheric strokes (57 vs. 41%, p = 0.045), were imaged later (129 vs. 104 min, p = 0.036), and had less frequent favorable 90-day functional outcome (49 vs. 63%, p = 0.028), less frequent early neurologic improvement (30 vs. 58%, p = 0.001), and more frequent contrast extravasation to the cerebrospinal fluid space (44 vs. 26%, p = 0.008). CONCLUSIONS: Early development of stroke lesion on FLAIR within 4.5 h of onset is associated with reduced likelihood of favorable 90-day outcome after IV thrombolysis.

Bone fractal signature analysis (FSA-also termed bone texture analysis) is a tool that assesses structural changes that may relate to clinical outcomes and functions. Our aim was to compare bone texture analysis of the distal radius in patients and volunteers using radiography and 3T and 7T magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-a patient group (n = 25) and a volunteer group (n = 25) were included. Participants in the patient group had a history of chronic wrist pain with suspected or confirmed osteoarthritis and/or ligament instability. All participants had 3T and 7T MRI including T1-weighted turbo spin echo (TSE) sequences. The 7T MRI examination included an additional high-resolution (HR) T1 TSE sequence. Radiographs of the wrist were acquired for the patient group. When comparing patients and volunteers (unadjusted for gender and age), we found a statistically significant difference of horizontal and vertical fractal dimensions (FDs) using 7T T1 TSE-HR images in low-resolution mode (horizontal: p = 0.04, vertical: p = 0.01). When comparing radiography to the different MRI sequences, we found a statistically significant difference for low- and high-resolution horizontal FDs between radiography and 3T T1 TSE and 7T T1 TSE-HR. Vertical FDs were significantly different only between radiographs and 3T T1 TSE in the high-resolution mode; FSA measures obtained from 3T and 7T MRI are highly dependent on the sequence and reconstruction resolution used, and thus are not easily comparable between MRI systems and applied sequences.

ObjectivesTo study the natural history of new horizontal meniscal tears and their association with progression of cartilage degeneration in individuals at risk for or with mild to moderate knee osteoarthritis over 4 years.MethodsIndividuals who developed a new meniscal tear in the right knee over 2 years were selected from the Osteoarthritis Initiative 3T MRI studies. Knee structural changes were analyzed at the time of tear appearance (baseline), and after 4 years using a modified Whole-Organ Magnetic Resonance Imaging Score (WORMS). Meniscal tears were classified as either horizontal tears or non-horizontal tears. Individuals without a meniscal tear were 1:3 frequency matched according to BMI, gender, race, and age and served as the control group. Linear regression analysis was used to compare cross-sectional and longitudinal changes in cartilage WORMS scores.ResultsForty-one subjects developed horizontal tears, including one indiviudal who developed a tear in both menisci, and 34 developed non-horizonal tears. We found that (29/41 (70.7%)) of horizontal and (20/34 (58.8%)) of non-horizonatal tears were stable during follow-up (p = 0.281). Although knees with an incident tear had higher than controls WORMS MAX total knee scores at baseline (coef. = 0.47, p = 0.044, 95% CI = 0.01 to 0.93), there were no significant differences between the horizontal subgroup and knees without tears in overall cartilage scores at baseline and in progression over 4 years of follow-up.ConclusionsNew horizontal meniscal tears tended to be stable over 4 years and presented no significant differences in progression of cartilage degeneration when compared with knees without tears.Key points• Most of horizonal meniscal tears were stable over 4 years. • There were no statistically significant differences in overall progression of cartilage degenerative changes between knees with horizonal meniscal tears and control knees without tears • Horizontal tears most often occurred at the posterior horn of the medial meniscus and at the body of the lateral meniscus.

BackgroundLong-term safety, pharmacokinetics, and efficacy of open-label golimumab therapy in children with moderate-severe ulcerative colitis were evaluated.MethodsWeek-6 golimumab responders (Mayo score decrease of ≥30% and ≥3 points from baseline, rectal bleeding subscore of 0/1 or ≥1 decrease from baseline) entered the long-term extension at week 14 and received maintenance therapy (subcutaneous, q4w). Patients ≥45 kg could receive at-home treatments at week 18. Pharmacokinetic, safety, and efficacy results were summarized through week 126 (2 years).ResultsAmong 35 enrolled children, 21 (60%) responded at week 6 and 20 entered the long-term extension (median age of 14.5 years and median weight of 46.1 kg). Eleven of 20 patients (55%) completed 2 years of treatment. No anaphylactic or serum sickness-like reactions, opportunistic infections, malignancies, tuberculosis, or deaths occurred. The safety profile of golimumab from weeks 14 through 126 and that observed through week 14 was generally consistent. Median trough golimumab concentrations in evaluable patients were consistent from weeks 14 (1.39, interquartile range 0.67-3.60) through 102 (1.18, 0.78-2.16), but higher at week 110 (4.10, 1.30-4.81). The incidence of antigolimumab antibodies increased from 10% (2/20) at week 30 to 25.0% (5/20) at week 126; 1 patient had neutralizing antibodies. At week 110, 50% (10/20) of patients were in remission (ie, Pediatric Ulcerative Colitis Activity Index

PurposeLower limb malalignment is a strong predictor of progression in knee osteoarthritis. The purpose of this study is to identify the individual alignment variables that predict progression in early to moderate osteoarthritis of the knee.MethodA longitudinal cohort study using data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative. In total, 955 individuals (1329 knees) with early to moderate osteoarthritis (Kellgren-Lawrence grade 1, 2 or 3) were identified. All subjects had full-limb radiographs analysed using the Osteotomy module within Medicad® Classic (Hectec GMBH) to give a series of individual alignment variables relevant to the coronal alignment of the lower limb. Logistic regression models, with generalised estimating equations were used to identify which of these individual alignment variables predict symptom worsening (WOMAC score > 9 points) and or structural progression (joint space narrowing progression in the medial compartment > 0.7mm) over 24 months.ResultsIndividual alignment variable were associated with both valgus and varus alignment (mechanical Lateral Distal Femoral Angle, Medial Proximal Tibial Angle and mechanical Lateral Distal Tibial Angle). Only the Medial Proximal Tibial Angle was significantly associated with structural progression and none of the variables was associated with symptom progression. The odds of joint space narrowing progression in the medial compartment occurring at 24 months increased by 21% for every one degree decrease (more varus) in Medial Proximal Tibial Angle (p < 0.001) CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that the risk of structural progression in the medial compartment is associated with greater varus alignment of the proximal tibia.Level of evidenceLevel III, retrospective cohort study.

The field of marketing has made significant strides over the past 50 years in understanding how methodological choices affect the validity of conclusions drawn from our research. This paper highlights some of these and is organized as follows: We first summarize essential concepts about measurement and the role of cumulating knowledge, then highlight data and analysis methods in terms of their past, present, and future. Lastly, we provide specific examples of the evolution of work on segmentation and brand equity. With relatively well-established methods for measuring constructs, analysis methods have evolved substantially. There have been significant changes in what is seen as the best way to analyze individual studies as well as accumulate knowledge across them via meta-analysis. Collaborations between academia and business can move marketing research forward. These will require the tradeoffs between model prediction and interpretation, and a balance between large-scale use of data and privacy concerns.

ObjectiveTo determine the cross-sectional and longitudinal associations of vitamin C and D intake with magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) measures of cartilage composition (T2) and joint structure (cartilage, meniscus, and bone marrow) using data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) cohort.MethodsA total of 1,785 subjects with radiographic Kellgren/Lawrence knee grades 0-3 in the right knee were selected from the OAI database. Vitamins C and vitamin D intake (diet, supplements, and total) were assessed using the Block Brief 2000 Food Frequency Questionnaire at baseline. The MRI analysis protocol included 3T cartilage T2 quantification and semiquantitative joint morphology gradings (Whole-Organ Magnetic Resonance Imaging Score [WORMS]) at baseline and 4 years. Linear regression was used to assess the association between standardized baseline vitamin intake and both baseline WORMS scores and standardized cartilage T2 values.ResultsHigher vitamin C intake was associated with lower average cartilage T2 values, medial tibia T2 values, and medial tibia WORMS scores (standardized coefficient range -0.07 to -0.05, P < 0.05). Higher vitamin D intake was associated with a lower cartilage WORMS sum score and medial femur WORMS score (standardized coefficient range -0.24 to -0.09, P < 0.05). Consistent use of vitamin D supplements of 400 IU at least once a week over 4 years was associated with significantly less worsening of cartilage, meniscus, and bone marrow abnormalities (odds ratio range 0.40-0.56, P < 0.05).ConclusionSupplementation with vitamin D over 4 years was associated with significantly less progression of knee joint abnormalities. Given the observational nature of this study, future longitudinal randomized controlled trials of vitamin D supplementation are warranted.

BACKGROUND: Knee osteoarthritis (OA) is more common in females than in males; however, the biological mechanisms for the difference in sex in patients with knee OA are not well understood. Knee shape is associated with OA and with sex, but the patterns of change in the bones shape over time and their relation to sex and OA are unknown and may help inform how sex is associated with shape and OA and whether the effect is exerted early or later in life.Questions/purposes (1) Does knee shape segregate stably into different groups of trajectories of change (groups of knees that share similar patterns of changes in bone shape over time)? (2) Do females and males have different trajectories of bone shape changes? (3) Is radiographic OA at baseline associated with trajectories of bone shape changes? METHODS: We used data collected from the NIH-funded Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) to evaluate a cohort of people aged 45 to 79 years at baseline who had either symptomatic knee OA or were at high risk of having it. The OAI cohort included 4796 participants (58% females; n = 2804) at baseline who either had symptomatic knee OA (defined as having radiographic tibiofemoral knee OA and answering positively to the question have you had pain, aching or stiffness around the knee on most days for at least one month during the past 12 months) or were at high risk of symptomatic knee OA (defined as having knee symptoms during the prior 12 months along with any of the following: overweight; knee injury; knee surgery other than replacement; family history of total knee replacement for OA; presence of Heberdens nodes; daily knee bending activity) or were part of a small nonexposed subcohort. From these participants, we limited the eligible group to those with radiographs available and read at baseline, 2 years, and 4 years, and randomly selected participants from each OAI subcohort in a manner to enrich representation in the study of the progression and nonexposed subcohorts, which were smaller in number than the OA incidence subcohort. From these patients, we randomly sampled 473 knees with radiographs available at baseline, 2 years, and 4 years. We outlined the shape of the distal femur and proximal tibia on radiographs at all three timepoints using statistical shape modelling. Five modes (each mode represents a particular type of knee bone shape variation) were derived for the proximal tibia and distal femurs shape, accounting for 78% of the total variance in shape. Group-based trajectory modelling (a statistical approach to identify the clusters of participants following a similar progression of change of bone shape over time, that is, trajectory group) was used to identify distinctive patterns of change in the bone shape for each mode. We examined the association of sex and radiographic OA at baseline with the trajectories of each bone shape mode using a multivariable polytomous regression model while adjusting for age, BMI, and race. RESULTS: Knee bone shape change trajectories segregated stably into different groups. In all modes, three distinct trajectory groups were derived, with the mean posterior probabilities (a measure of an individuals probability of being in a particular group and often used to characterize how well the trajectory model is working to describe the population) ranging from 84% to 99%, indicating excellent model fitting. For most of the modes of both the femur and tibia, the intercepts for the three trajectory groups were different; however, the rates of change were generally similar in each mode. Females and males had different trajectories of bone shape change. For Mode 1 in the femur, females were more likely to be in trajectory Groups 3 (odds ratio 30.2 [95% CI 12.2 to 75.0]; p < 0.001) and 2 than males (OR 4.1 [95% CI 2.3 to 7.1]; p < 0.001); thus, females had increased depth of the intercondylar fossa and broader shaft width relative to epicondylar width compared with males. For Mode 1 in the tibia, females were less likely to be in trajectory Group 2 (OR 0.5 [95% CI 0.3 to 0.9]; p = 0.01) than males (that is, knees of females were less likely to display superior elevation of tibial plateau or decreased shaft width relative to head width). Radiographic OA at baseline was associated with specific shape-change trajectory groups. For Mode 1 in the femur, knees with OA were less likely to be in trajectory Groups 3 (OR 0.4 [95% CI 0.2 to 0.8]; p = 0.008) and 2 (OR 0.6 [95% CI 0.3 to 1.0]; p = 0.03) than knees without OA; thus, knees with OA had decreased depth of the intercondylar fossa and narrower shaft width relative to epicondylar width compared with knees without OA. For Mode 1 in the tibia, knees with OA were not associated with trajectory. CONCLUSIONS: The shapes of the distal femur and proximal tibia did not change much over time. Sex and baseline knee radiographic OA status are associated with the trajectory of change in the bones shape, suggesting that both may contribute earlier in life to the associations among trajectories observed in older individuals. Future studies might explore sex-related bone shape change earlier in life to help determine when the sex-specific shapes arise and also the degree to which these sex-related shapes are alterable by injury or other events. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III, prognostic study.