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Background & AimsPrevious studies have shown that nonsuicidal self-injury (NSSI) has addictive features, and an addiction model of NSSI has been considered. Addictive features have been associated with severity of NSSI and adverse psychological experiences. Yet, there is debate over the extent to which NSSI and substance use disorders (SUDs) are similar experientially.MethodsTo evaluate the extent that people who self-injure experience NSSI like an addiction, we coded the posts of users of the subreddit r/selfharm (n= 500) for each of 11 DSM-5 SUD criteria adapted to NSSI.ResultsA majority (76.8%) of users endorsed at least two adapted SUD criteria in their posts, indicative of mild, moderate, or severe addiction. The most frequently endorsed criteria were urges or cravings (67.6%), escalating severity or tolerance (46.7%), and NSSI that is particularly hazardous. User-level addictive features positively predicted number of methods used for NSSI, number of psychiatric disorders, and particularly hazardous NSSI, but not suicidality. We also observed frequent use of language and concepts common in SUD recovery circles like Alcoholics Anonymous.Discussion & ConclusionOur findings support previous work describing the addiction potential of NSSI and associating addictive features with clinical severity. These results suggest that NSSI and SUD may share experiential similarities, which has implications for the treatment of NSSI. We also contribute to a growing body of work that uses social media as a window into the subjective experiences of stigmatized populations.

The authors sought to determine whether providing summaries of patients' social media and other digital data to patients and their clinicians improves patients' health-related quality of life (HRQoL) measured by the RAND 36-Item Short Form Health Survey (SF-36).The authors randomly assigned 115 adults receiving outpatient mental health therapy to usual care or to periodic sharing of summaries of their digital data with their clinician providing psychosocial therapy. The study was conducted October 2020-December 2021.Patients' mean±SD age was 31.3±10.5 years, and 82% were women. At 60 days after enrollment, no statistically significant change was detected in SF-36 scores for patients randomly allocated to the intervention (mean difference=-0.39, 95% CI=-4.17, 3.39) or to usual care (mean difference=-1.98, 95% CI=-5.74, 1.77), and no significant between-arm difference was observed (between-arm difference=1.60, 95% CI=-3.67, 6.86).Collecting and summarizing digital data for use in mental health treatment was feasible for patients but did not significantly improve their HRQoL or other measures of mental health.

The content of images users post to their social media is driven in part by personality. In this study, we analyze how Twitter profile images vary with the personality of the users posting them. In our main analysis, we use profile images from over 66,000 users whose personality we estimate based on their tweets. To facilitate interpretability, we focus our analysis on aesthetic and facial features and control for demographic variation in image features and personality. Our results show significant differences in profile picture choice between personality traits, and that these can be harnessed to predict personality traits with robust accuracy. For example, agreeable and conscientious users display more positive emotions in their profile pictures, while users high in openness prefer more aesthetic photos.

The language used in tweets from 1,300 different US counties was found to be predictive of the subjective well-being of people living in those counties as measured by representative surveys. Topics, sets of co-occurring words derived from the tweets using LDA, improved accuracy in predicting life satisfaction over and above standard demographic and socio-economic controls (age, gender, ethnicity, income, and education). The LDA topics provide a greater behavioural and conceptual resolution into life satisfaction than the broad socio-economic and demographic variables. For example, tied in with the psychological literature, words relating to outdoor activities, spiritual meaning, exercise, and good jobs correlate with increased life satisfaction, while words signifying disengagement like ’bored’ and ’tired’ show a negative association.

Recent research has shown the mental health consequence of social distancing during the COVID-19 pandemic, but longitudinal data are relatively scarce. It is unclear whether the pattern of isolation and elevated stress seen at the beginning of the pandemic persists over time. This study evaluates change in social interaction over six months and its mental health impact among older adults. We drew data from a panel study with six repeated assessments of social interaction and mental health conducted monthly May through October 2020. The sample included a total of 380 White, Black and Hispanic participants aged 50 and over, of whom 33% had low income, who residing in fourteen U.S. states with active stay-at-home orders in May 2020. The analysis examined how change in living arrangement, in-person interaction outside the household, quality of relationship with family and friends, and perceived social support affected trajectories of isolation stress, COVID worry and sadness. While their living arrangements and relationship quality remained stable, older adults experienced fluctuations in perceived social support and increases in in-person conversations outside the household. Living with a spouse/partner stabilized isolation stress and COVID worry over time. Individuals with better relationship quality with friends became happier over time. Changes in social support were associated with greater fluctuations in isolation stress and COVID worry. During the pandemic, social interactions are protective and lack of stability in feeling supported makes older adults vulnerable to stress. Efforts should focus on (re)building and maintaining companionship and support to mitigate the pandemic’s negative impact.

Electronic health records (EHR) are collected as a routine part of healthcare delivery, and have great potential to be utilized to improve patient health outcomes. They contain multiple years of health information to be leveraged for risk prediction, disease detection, and treatment evaluation. However, they do not have a consistent, standardized format across institutions, particularly in the United States, and can present significant analytical challenges- they contain multi-scale data from heterogeneous domains and include both structured and unstructured data. Data for individual patients are collected at irregular time intervals and with varying frequencies. In addition to the analytical challenges, EHR can reflect inequity- patients belonging to different groups will have differing amounts of data in their health records. Many of these issues can contribute to biased data collection. The consequence is that the data for under-served groups may be less informative partly due to more fragmented care, which can be viewed as a type of missing data problem. For EHR data in this complex form, there is currently no framework for introducing realistic missing values. There has also been little to no work in assessing the impact of missing data in EHR. In this work, we first introduce a terminology to define three levels of EHR data and then propose a novel framework for simulating realistic missing data scenarios in EHR to adequately assess their impact on predictive modeling. We incorporate the use of a medical knowledge graph to capture dependencies between medical events to create a more realistic missing data framework. In an intensive care unit setting, we found that missing data have greater negative impact on the performance of disease prediction models in groups that tend to have less access to healthcare, or seek less healthcare. We also found that the impact of missing data on disease prediction models is stronger when using the knowledge graph framework to introduce realistic missing values as opposed to random event removal.

The Covid-19 pandemic has led to infodemic of low quality information leading to poor health decisions. Combating the outcomes of this infodemic is not only a question of identifying false claims, but also reasoning about the decisions individuals make. In this work we propose a holistic analysis framework connecting stance and reason analysis, and fine-grained entity level moral sentiment analysis. We study how to model the dependencies between the different level of analysis and incorporate human insights into the learning process. Experiments show that our framework provides reliable predictions even in the low-supervision settings., Accepted to NAACL 2022

Electronic health records (EHRs), routinely collected as part of healthcare delivery, offer great promise for advancing precision health. At the same time, they present significant analytical challenges. In EHRs, data for individual patients are collected at irregular time intervals and with varying frequencies; they include both structured and unstructured data. Advanced statistical and machine learning methods have been developed to tackle these challenges, for example, for predicting diagnoses earlier and more accurately. One powerful tool for extracting useful information from EHRs data is word embedding algorithms, which represent words as vectors of real numbers that capture the words’ semantic and syntactic similarities. Learning embeddings can be viewed as automated feature engineering, producing features that can be used for predictive modeling of medical events. Methods such as Word2Vec, BERT, FastText, ELMo, and GloVe have been developed for word embedding, but there has been little work on re-purposing these algorithms for the analysis of structured medical data. Our work seeks to fill this important gap. We extended word embedding methods to embed (structured) medical codes from a patient’s entire medical history, and used the resultant embeddings to build prediction models for diseases. We assessed the performance of multiple embedding methods in terms of predictive accuracy and computation time using the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) database. We found that using Word2Vec, Fast-Text, and GloVe algorithms yield comparable models, while more recent contextual embeddings provide marginal further improvement. Our results provide insights and guidance to practitioners regarding the use of word embedding methods for the analysis of EHR data.

Encouraging vaccination is a pressing policy problem. To assess whether text-based reminders can encourage pharmacy vaccination and what kinds of messages work best, we conducted a megastudy. We randomly assigned 689,693 Walmart pharmacy patients to receive one of 22 different text reminders using a variety of different behavioral science principles to nudge flu vaccination or to a business-as-usual control condition that received no messages. We found that the reminder texts that we tested increased pharmacy vaccination rates by an average of 2.0 percentage points, or 6.8%, over a 3-mo follow-up period. The most-effective messages reminded patients that a flu shot was waiting for them and delivered reminders on multiple days. The top-performing intervention included two texts delivered 3 d apart and communicated to patients that a vaccine was "waiting for you." Neither experts nor lay people anticipated that this would be the best-performing treatment, underscoring the value of simultaneously testing many different nudges in a highly powered megastudy.

This study reports experiments with the newly-released CL-Aff HappyDB dataset, which looks beyond positive emotion in modeling descriptions of happy moments collected through writing prompts. The widespread adoption of social media has improved researchers' access to unsolicited expressions and behaviors. However, most of the approaches to analyzing these expressions involve a keyword search and focuses on predicting sentiment or emotional content rather than understanding a deeper psychological state, such as happiness. The CL-Aff HappyDB dataset is the first effort to distinguish the personal agency and social interaction in writings about happiness, which do not yet have an exact equivalent concept in existing text-based approaches. We report that state of the art approaches for emotion detection have different topical characteristics, and do not generalize well to detect happiness in the CL-Aff HappyDB dataset. Language models trained on the dataset, on the other hand, generalize to social media writing and are a valid approach for downstream tasks, such as predicting life satisfaction from social media posts.

Policy-makers are increasingly turning to behavioural science for insights about how to improve citizens’ decisions and outcomes(1). Typically, different scientists test different intervention ideas in different samples using different outcomes over different time intervals(2). The lack of comparability of such individual investigations limits their potential to inform policy. Here, to address this limitation and accelerate the pace of discovery, we introduce the megastudy–a massive field experiment in which the effects of many different interventions are compared in the same population on the same objectively measured outcome for the same duration. In a megastudy targeting physical exercise among 61,293 members of an American fitness chain, 30 scientists from 15 different US universities worked in small independent teams to design a total of 54 different four-week digital programmes (or interventions) encouraging exercise. We show that 45% of these interventions significantly increased weekly gym visits by 9% to 27%; the top-performing intervention offered microrewards for returning to the gym after a missed workout. Only 8% of interventions induced behaviour change that was significant and measurable after the four-week intervention. Conditioning on the 45% of interventions that increased exercise during the intervention, we detected carry-over effects that were proportionally similar to those measured in previous research(3–6). Forecasts by impartial judges failed to predict which interventions would be most effective, underscoring the value of testing many ideas at once and, therefore, the potential for megastudies to improve the evidentiary value of behavioural science.

UNSTRUCTURED As of December 2020, the SARS-CoV-2 virus has been responsible for over 78 million cases of COVID-19 worldwide, resulting in over 1.7 million deaths. In the United States in particular, protective measures against the COVID-19 pandemic have been hampered by political polarization and discrepancies among federal, state, and local policies. As a result, a huge amount of information surrounding COVID-19, some of it contradictory or blatantly false, has proliferated on social media. In this mixed scoping review, we survey the role of automated accounts, or “bots,” in spreading misinformation during past epidemics, natural disasters, and politically polarizing events through the lens of the COVID-19 pandemic. We also review strategies used by bots to spread (mis)information and machine learning methods for detecting bot activity. We conclude by conducting and presenting a secondary analysis of known bots, finding that up to 66% of bots are discussing COVID-19. The proliferation of COVID-19 (mis)information by bots, coupled with human susceptibility to believing and sharing misinformation, may well impact the course of the pandemic.

People convey their intention and attitude through linguistic styles of the text that they write. In this study, we investigate lexicon usages across styles throughout two lenses: human perception and machine word importance, since words differ in the strength of the stylistic cues that they provide. To collect labels of human perception, we curate a new dataset, Hummingbird, on top of benchmarking style datasets. We have crowd workers highlight the representative words in the text that makes them think the text has the following styles: politeness, sentiment, offensiveness, and five emotion types. We then compare these human word labels with word importance derived from a popular fine-tuned style classifier like BERT. Our results show that the BERT often finds content words not relevant to the target style as important words used in style prediction, but humans do not perceive the same way even though for some styles (e.g., positive sentiment and joy) human- and machine-identified words share significant overlap for some styles., Comment: Accepted at EMNLP 2021 Main Conference, updated typos and Appendix

Empathy is an integral part of human social life, as people care about and for others who experience adversity. However, a specific “pathogenic” form of empathy, marked by automatic contagion of negative emotions, can lead to stress and burnout. This is particularly detrimental for individuals in caregiving professions who experience empathic states more frequently, because it can result in illness and high costs for health systems. Automatically recognizing pathogenic empathy from text is potentially valuable to identify at-risk individuals and monitor burnout risk in caregiving populations. We build a model to predict this type of empathy from social media language on a data set we collected of users’ Facebook posts and their answers to a new questionnaire measuring empathy. We obtain promising results in identifying individuals' empathetic states from their social media (Pearson r = 0.252, p

This study compares self-disclosure on Facebook and Twitter through the lens of demographic and psychological traits. Predictive evaluation reveals that language models trained on Facebook posts are more accurate at predicting age, gender, stress, and empathy than those trained on Twitter posts. Qualitative analyses of the underlying linguistic and demographic differences reveal that users are significantly more likely to disclose information about their family, personal concerns, and emotions and provide a more `honest' self-representation on Facebook. On the other hand, the same users significantly preferred to disclose their needs, drives, and ambitions on Twitter. The higher predictive performance of Facebook is also partly due to the greater volume of language on Facebook than Twitter -- Facebook and Twitter are equally good at predicting user traits when the same-sized language samples are used to train language models. We explore the implications of these differences in cross-platform user trait prediction.

BACKGROUND Widespread metaphors contribute to the public’s understanding of health. Prior work has characterized the metaphors used to describe cancer and AIDS. Less is known about the metaphors characterizing cardiovascular disease. OBJECTIVE The objective of our study was to characterize the metaphors that Twitter users employ in discussing hypertension and diabetes. METHODS We filtered approximately 10 billion tweets for keywords related to diabetes and hypertension. We coded a random subset of 5000 tweets for the presence of metaphor and the type of metaphor employed. RESULTS Among the 5000 tweets, we identified 797 (15.9%) about hypertension or diabetes that employed metaphors. When discussing the development of heart disease, Twitter users described the disease as a journey (n=202), as transmittable (n=116), as an object (n=49), or as being person-like (n=15). In discussing the experience of these diseases, some Twitter users employed war metaphors (n=101). Other users described the challenge to control their disease (n=34), the disease as an agent (n=58), or their bodies as machines (n=205). CONCLUSIONS Metaphors are used frequently by Twitter users in their discussion of hypertension and diabetes. These metaphors can help to guide communication between patients and providers to improve public health.

BACKGROUND Tweets can provide broad, real-time perspectives about health and medical diagnoses that can inform disease surveillance in geographic regions. Less is known, however, about how much individuals post about common health conditions or what they post about. OBJECTIVE We sought to collect and analyze tweets from 1 state about high prevalence health conditions and characterize the tweet volume and content. METHODS We collected 408,296,620 tweets originating in Pennsylvania from 2012-2015 and compared the prevalence of 14 common diseases to the frequency of disease mentions on Twitter. We identified and corrected bias induced due to variance in disease term specificity and used the machine learning approach of differential language analysis to determine the content (words and themes) most highly correlated with each disease. RESULTS Common disease terms were included in 226,802 tweets (174,381 tweets after disease term correction). Posts about breast cancer (39,156/174,381 messages, 22.45%; 306,127/12,702,379 prevalence, 2.41%) and diabetes (40,217/174,381 messages, 23.06%; 2,189,890/12,702,379 prevalence, 17.24%) were overrepresented on Twitter relative to disease prevalence, whereas hypertension (17,245/174,381 messages, 9.89%; 4,614,776/12,702,379 prevalence, 36.33%), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (1648/174,381 messages, 0.95%; 1,083,627/12,702,379 prevalence, 8.53%), and heart disease (13,669/174,381 messages, 7.84%; 2,461,721/12,702,379 prevalence, 19.38%) were underrepresented. The content of messages also varied by disease. Personal experience messages accounted for 12.88% (578/4487) of prostate cancer tweets and 24.17% (4046/16,742) of asthma tweets. Awareness-themed tweets were more often about breast cancer (9139/39,156 messages, 23.34%) than asthma (1040/16,742 messages, 6.21%). Tweets about risk factors were more often about heart disease (1375/13,669 messages, 10.06%) than lymphoma (105/4927 messages, 2.13%). CONCLUSIONS Twitter provides a window into the Web-based visibility of diseases and how the volume of Web-based content about diseases varies by condition. Further, the potential value in tweets is in the rich content they provide about individuals’ perspectives about diseases (eg, personal experiences, awareness, and risk factors) that are not otherwise easily captured through traditional surveys or administrative data.

Proper scoring rules can be used to incentivize a forecaster to truthfully report her private beliefs about the probabilities of future events and to evaluate the relative accuracy of forecasters. While standard scoring rules can score forecasts only once the associated events have been resolved, many applications would benefit from instant access to proper scores. In forecast aggregation, for example, it is known that using weighted averages, where more weight is put on more accurate forecasters, outperforms simple averaging of forecasts. We introduce proxy scoring rules, which generalize proper scoring rules and, given access to an appropriate proxy, allow for immediate scoring of probabilistic forecasts. In particular, we suggest a proxy-scoring generalization of the popular quadratic scoring rule, and characterize its incentive and accuracy evaluation properties theoretically. Moreover, we thoroughly evaluate it experimentally using data from a large real world geopolitical forecasting tournament, and show that it is competitive with proper scoring rules when the number of questions is small.

The severity of post-stroke aphasia and the potential for recovery are highly variable and difficult to predict. Evidence suggests that optimal estimation of aphasia severity requires the integration of multiple neuroimaging modalities and the adoption of new methods that can detect multivariate brain-behavior relationships. We created and tested a multimodal framework that relies on three information sources (lesion maps, structural connectivity, and functional connectivity) to create an array of unimodal predictions which are then fed into a final model that creates "stacked multimodal predictions" (STAMP). Crossvalidated predictions of four aphasia scores (picture naming, sentence repetition, sentence comprehension, and overall aphasia severity) were obtained from 53 left hemispheric chronic stroke patients (age: 57.1 ± 12.3 yrs, post-stroke interval: 20 months, 25 female). Results showed accurate predictions for all four aphasia scores (correlation true vs. predicted: r = 0.79-0.88). The accuracy was slightly smaller but yet significant (r = 0.66) in a full split crossvalidation with each patient considered as new. Critically, multimodal predictions produced more accurate results that any single modality alone. Topological maps of the brain regions involved in the prediction were recovered and compared with traditional voxel-based lesion-to-symptom maps, revealing high spatial congruency. These results suggest that neuroimaging modalities carry complementary information potentially useful for the prediction of aphasia scores. More broadly, this study shows that the translation of neuroimaging findings into clinically useful tools calls for a shift in perspective from unimodal to multimodal neuroimaging, from univariate to multivariate methods, from linear to nonlinear models, and, conceptually, from inferential to predictive brain mapping. Hum Brain Mapp 38:5603-5615, 2017. © 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

User attribute prediction from social media text has proven successful and useful for downstream tasks. In previous studies, differences in user trait language use have been limited primarily to the presence or absence of words that indicate topical preferences. In this study, we aim to find linguistic style distinctions across three different user attributes: gender, age and occupational class. By combining paraphrases with a simple yet effective method, we capture a wide set of stylistic differences that are exempt from topic bias. We show their predictive power in user profiling, conformity with human perception and psycholinguistic hypotheses, and potential use in generating natural language tailored to specific user traits.

We present a multi-pass clustering approach to large scale. wide-scope named-entity disambiguation (NED) oil collections of web pages. Our approach Uses name co-occurrence information to cluster and hence disambiguate entities. and is designed to handle NED on the entire web. We show that on web collections, NED becomes increasing), difficult as the corpus size increases, not only because of the challenge of scaling the NED algorithm, but also because new and surprising facets of entities become visible in the data. This effect limits the potential benefits for data-driven approaches of processing larger data-sets, and suggests that efficient clustering-based disambiguation methods for the web will require extracting more specialized information front documents.

Many data sets derived from the web are large, high-dimensional, sparse and have a Zipfian distribution of both classes and features. On such data sets, current scalable clustering methods such as streaming clustering suffer from fragmentation. where large classes are incorrectly divided into many smaller clusters. and computational efficiency drops significantly. We present a new clustering algorithm based on connected components that addresses these issues and so works well oil web-type data.