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Background: Relative fat mass (RFM) is a novel sex-specific anthropometric equation (based on height and waist measurements) to estimate whole-body fat percentage. Objective: To examine associations of RFM with incident type-2 diabetes (T2D), and to benchmark its performance against body-mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC) and waist-to-hip ratio (WHR). Methods: This prospective longitudinal study included data from three Dutch community-based cohorts free of baseline diabetes. First, we examined data from the PREVEND cohort (median age and follow-up duration: 48.0 and 12.5 years, respectively) using Cox regression models. Validation was performed in the Lifelines (median age and follow-up duration: 45.5 and 3.8 years, respectively) and Rotterdam (median age and follow-up duration: 68.0 and 13.9 years, respectively) cohorts. Results: Among 7961 PREVEND participants, 522 (6.6%) developed T2D. In a multivariable model, all adiposity indices were significantly associated with incident T2D (P allBMI: 1.68 (95%CI: 1.57-1.80), HR WC: 1.77 (95% CI: 1.63-1.92) and HR WHR: 1.61 (95%CI: 1.48-1.75)], an equivalent increase in RFM was associated with 119% increased risk [HR: 2.19 (95%CI: 1.96-2.44)]. RFM was associated with incident T2D across all age groups, with the largest effect size in the youngest (

BACKGROUND: Oxidative stress is known to be involved in the development of hypertension, but accurate redox biomarkers predicting the risk of developing hypertension are scarce. Serum free sulfhydryl groups (R-SH, free thiols) have been shown to accurately reflect systemic oxidative stress in various conditions. In this study, we aimed to investigate associations between serum free thiols and the risk of developing new-onset hypertension in a population-based cohort study.METHODS: Subjects (n = 3,575) who participated in the Prevention of REnal and Vascular ENd-stage Disease (PREVEND) study, a prospective, population-based cohort study in the Netherlands, were included. Baseline protein-adjusted serum free thiols were studied for their associations with the development of hypertension, defined as a systolic blood pressure (SBP) of at least 140 mmHg, a diastolic blood pressure (DBP) of at least 90 mmHg, or the first usage of antihypertensive medication. Subjects with hypertension at baseline were excluded from the study.RESULTS: Mean protein-adjusted serum free thiols at baseline was 5.16 μmol/g of protein (range: 1.62-8.41 μmol/g). Protein-adjusted serum free thiols were significantly associated with the risk of incident hypertension (hazard ratio [HR] per doubling 0.60 [95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.49-0.72, P < 0.001), also after adjustment for age and sex (HR 0.81 [95% CI: 0.66-0.91], P < 0.05), but not after additional adjustment for relevant confounding factors (HR 0.90 [95% CI: 0.70-1.15], P = 0.382).CONCLUSION: Higher levels of serum free thiols, i.e. less oxidative stress, are associated with a decreased risk of developing incident hypertension in subjects from the general population.

Background Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is believed to be associated with an increased risk for cancer, especially urinary tract cancer. However, previous studies predominantly focussed on the association of decreased estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) with cancer. In this study, we investigated the association of albuminuria with cancer incidence, adjusted for eGFR. Methods We included 8490 subjects in the PREVEND observational study. Urinary albumin excretion (UAE) was measured in two 24-hour urine specimens at baseline. Primary outcomes were the incidence of overall and urinary tract cancer. Secondary outcomes were the incidence of other site-specific cancers, and mortality due to overall, urinary tract, and other site-specific cancers. Results Median baseline UAE was 9.4 (IQR, 6.3–17.8) mg/24 h. During a median follow-up of 17.7 years, 1341 subjects developed cancer (of which 177 urinary tract cancers). After multivariable adjustment including eGFR, every doubling of UAE was associated with a 6% (HR, 1.06, 95% CI, 1.02–1.10) and 14% (HR, 1.14, 95% CI, 1.04–1.24) higher risk of overall and urinary tract cancer incidence, respectively. Except for lung and hematological cancer, no associations were found between UAE and the incidence of other site-specific cancer. Doubling of UAE was also associated with a higher risk of mortality due to overall and lung cancer. Conclusions Higher albuminuria is associated with a higher incidence of overall, urinary tract, lung, and hematological cancer, and with a higher risk of mortality due to overall and lung cancers, independent of baseline eGFR.

Objective To explore the association of both plasma vitamin D and K concentrations with all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and cardiovascular events in the general population. Methods We studied 4742 participants of the Prevention of REnal and Vascular ENd-Stage Disease (PREVEND) Study. At baseline, vitamin D and K status was determined by measurement of 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] and dephosphorylated uncarboxylated matrix Gla protein (dp-ucMGP), respectively. Patients were categorized into: 25(OH)D 75 nmol/L and dp-ucMGP Results Mean age was 52.6 ± 11.9 years and 2513 (53%) were female. During a median of 14.2 year follow-up, 620 participants died of which 142 were due to cardiovascular causes. Combined low vitamin D and K status was present in 970 participants (20%) and was associated with a greater risk of all-cause mortality compared to high vitamin D and high vitamin K status group (n = 1424) after adjusting for potential confounders: hazard ratio 1.46 (95% confidence intervals 1.12–1.90). We observed similar trends, albeit non-significant for cardiovascular mortality, and cardiovascular events: 1.42 (0.79–2.55), 1.28 (0.93–1.77), respectively. Conclusions Combined low vitamin D and K status are associated with increased all-cause mortality risk and possibly with cardiovascular mortality and cardiovascular events compared with adequate vitamin D and K status. Future studies should investigate the effect of combined vitamin D and K supplementation on clinical outcomes.

Aim To examine sex differences in associations of obesity, type-2 diabetes, hypertension, and atrial fibrillation (AF) with incident cardiovascular disease (CVD), focusing on absolute risk measures. Methods and results We included a total of 7994 individuals (mean age 49.1 years; 51.2% women) without prior CVD from the PREVEND (Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease) cohort with a median follow-up of 12.5 years. Using Poisson regression, we calculated the increase in absolute as well as relative CVD risk associated with a comorbidity using incidence rate differences (IRD = IRcomorbidity−IRno-comorbidity) and incidence rate ratios (IRR = IRcomorbidity/IRno-comorbidity), respectively. Sex differences were presented as women-to-men differences (WMD = IRDwomen−IRDmen) and women-to-men ratios (WMR = IRRwomen/IRRmen). Absolute CVD risk was lower in women than in men (IRwomen: 6.73 vs. IRmen: 14.58 per 1000 person-years). While increase in absolute CVD risk associated with prevalent hypertension was lower in women than in men [WMD: −6.12, 95% confidence interval: (−9.84 to −2.40), P = 0.001], increase in absolute CVD risk associated with prevalent obesity [WMD: −4.25 (−9.11 to 0.61), P = 0.087], type-2 diabetes [WMD: −1.04 (−14.36 to 12.29), P = 0.879] and AF [WMD: 18.39 (−39.65 to 76.43), P = 0.535] did not significantly differ between the sexes. Using relative risk measures, prevalent hypertension [WMR: 1.49%, 95% confidence interval: (1.12–1.99), P = 0.006], type-2 diabetes [WMR: 1.73 (1.09–2.73), P = 0.019], and AF [WMR: 2.53 (1.12–5.70), P = 0.025] were all associated with higher CVD risk in women than in men. Conclusion Increase in absolute risk of developing CVD is higher in hypertensive men than in hypertensive women, but no substantial sex-related differences were observed among individuals with obesity, type-2 diabetes and AF. On a relative risk scale, comorbidities, in general, confer a higher CVD risk in women than in men.

Introduction: The validity of a timed urine collection is typically judged by measurement of urine creatinine excretion, but prevailing limits may be unreliable. We sought to empirically derive population-based limits of excretion for evaluating the validity of a timed urine collection.Methods: Covariate and 24-hour urine data were obtained from 3582 participants in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study, 814 participants in the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) study, 1010 participants in the Jackson Heart Study (JHS), and 8536 participants in the Prevention of Renal Vascular End Stage Disease (PREVEND) study. Weight, height, age, sex, and serum creatinine concentrations were evaluated as potential predictors of urine creatinine excretion using Akaike Information Criteria, R-squared values, and deviance. Bias and precision of the fitted models were assessed by analyses of residuals. Agreement between 24-hour creatinine clearance and 125I-iothalamate clearance was assessed before and after exclusion of potentially invalid urine samples.Results: A best-fitting model to predict 24-hour urine creatinine excretion among the 9199 discovery cohort members included sex-specific terms for weight, height, and age (R-squared = 0.328). This model had a median bias of +4.3 mg creatinine/day (95% confidence interval −5.6, +13.3 mg/day) in 4599 validation cohort members, and 82% of observed values were within 30% of predicted model. Serum creatinine concentrations only marginally improved model precision but reduced bias in persons with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD).Conclusion: The limits of urine creatinine excretion derived here represent the most valid and representative data for appraising the adequacy of a timed urine collection.

Background The relation between sodium intake and cardiovascular disease remains controversial, owing in part to inaccurate assessment of sodium intake. Assessing 24-hour urinary excretion over a period of multiple days is considered to be an accurate method. Methods We included individual-participant data from six prospective cohorts of generally healthy adults; sodium and potassium excretion was assessed with the use of at least two 24-hour urine samples per participant. The primary outcome was a cardiovascular event (coronary revascularization or fatal or nonfatal myocardial infarction or stroke). We analyzed each cohort using consistent methods and combined the results using a random-effects meta-analysis. Results Among 10,709 participants, who had a mean (±SD) age of 51.5±12.6 years and of whom 54.2% were women, 571 cardiovascular events were ascertained during a median study follow-up of 8.8 years (incidence rate, 5.9 per 1000 person-years). The median 24-hour urinary sodium excretion was 3270 mg (10th to 90th percentile, 2099 to 4899). Higher sodium excretion, lower potassium excretion, and a higher sodium-to-potassium ratio were all associated with a higher cardiovascular risk in analyses that were controlled for confounding factors (P≤0.005 for all comparisons). In analyses that compared quartile 4 of the urinary biomarker (highest) with quartile 1 (lowest), the hazard ratios were 1.60 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.19 to 2.14) for sodium excretion, 0.69 (95% CI, 0.51 to 0.91) for potassium excretion, and 1.62 (95% CI, 1.25 to 2.10) for the sodium-to-potassium ratio. Each daily increment of 1000 mg in sodium excretion was associated with an 18% increase in cardiovascular risk (hazard ratio, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.08 to 1.29), and each daily increment of 1000 mg in potassium excretion was associated with an 18% decrease in risk (hazard ratio, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.72 to 0.94). Conclusions Higher sodium and lower potassium intakes, as measured in multiple 24-hour urine samples, were associated in a dose-response manner with a higher cardiovascular risk. These findings may support reducing sodium intake and increasing potassium intake from current levels. (Funded by the American Heart Association and the National Institutes of Health.).

Background: a large number of studies have linked vitamin B6 to inflammation and cardiovascular disease in the general population. However, it remains uncertain whether vitamin B6 is associated with cardiovascular outcome independent of inflammation. Methods: we measured plasma pyridoxal 5&rsquo, phosphate (PLP), as an indicator of vitamin B6 status, at baseline in a population-based prospective cohort of 6249 participants of the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease (PREVEND) study who were free of cardiovascular disease. As indicators of low-grade systemic inflammation, we measured high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and GlycA, Results: median plasma PLP was 37.2 (interquartile range, 25.1&ndash, 57.0) nmol/L. During median follow-up for 8.3 (interquartile range, 7.8&ndash, 8.9) years, 409 non-fatal and fatal cardiovascular events (composite outcome) occurred. In the overall cohort, log transformed plasma PLP was associated with the composite outcome, independent of adjustment for age, sex, smoking, alcohol consumption, body mass index (BMI), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), total cholesterol:high-density lipoprotein (HDL)-cholesterol ratio, and blood pressure (adjusted hazard ratio per increment of log plasma PLP, 0.66, 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.47&ndash, 0.93). However, adjustment for high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and GlycA increased the hazard ratio by 9% and 12% respectively, to non-significant hazard ratios of 0.72 (95% confidence interval, 0.51&ndash, 1.01) and 0.74 (95% confidence interval, 0.53&ndash, 1.05). The association of plasma PLP with cardiovascular risk was modified by gender (adjusted Pinteraction = 0.04). When stratified according to gender, in women the prospective association with cardiovascular outcome was independent of age, smoking, alcohol consumption, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, and GlycA (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.50, 95% confidence interval, 0.27&ndash, 0.94), while it was not in men (adjusted hazard, 0.99, 95% confidence interval, 0.65&ndash, 1.51). Conclusions: in this population-based cohort, plasma PLP was associated with cardiovascular outcome, but this association was confounded by traditional risk factors and parameters of inflammation. Notably, the association of low plasma PLP with high risk of adverse cardiovascular outcome was modified by gender, with a stronger and independent association in women.

Background Serum free thiols (R-SH, sulfhydryl groups) reliably reflect systemic oxidative stress. Since serum free thiols are rapidly oxidized by reactive species, systemic oxidative stress is generally associated with reduced serum free thiol levels. Free thiols associate with favorable disease outcomes in many patient cohorts, and the current hypothesis is that oxidative stress might also play an important role in cardiovascular disease. In this study, we aimed to establish the role of serum free thiols in the general population by investigating their relationship with the risk of cardiovascular (CV) events and all-cause mortality. Methods Participants (n = 5955) of the Prevention of REnal and Vascular ENd-stage Disease (PREVEND) cohort study from the general population were included. At baseline, serum levels of free thiols were quantified and adjusted to total protein levels. Protein-adjusted serum free thiol levels were studied for their associations with clinical and biochemical parameters, as well as with the risk of CV events and all-cause mortality. Results The mean protein-adjusted serum free thiol level was 5.05 ± 1.02 μmol/g of protein. Protein-adjusted serum free thiols significantly predicted the risk of CV events, even after adjustment for potential confounding factors (hazard ratio [HR] per doubling 0.68 [95% confidence interval [CI] 0.47–1.00], P = 0.048). Similarly, protein-adjusted serum free thiols were significantly predictive of the risk of all-cause mortality (HR per doubling 0.66 [95% CI 0.44–1.00], P = 0.050). Stratified analyses revealed lower HRs for subjects with a lower body mass index (BMI), without hypertension, and without diabetes. Conversely, HRs were lower in subjects with albuminuria. Conclusions In this large population-based cohort study, serum free thiols significantly predicted the risk of CV events and all-cause mortality. Our results highlight the potential significance and clinical applicability of serum free thiols since they are amendable to therapeutic intervention.

BACKGROUND: Alcohol consumption is a frequently studied risk factor for chronic diseases, but many studies are hampered by self-report of alcohol consumption. The urinary metabolite ethyl glucuronide (EtG), reflecting alcohol consumption during the past 72 h, is a promising objective marker, but population data are lacking. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to assess the reliability of EtG as a marker for habitual alcohol consumption compared with self-report and other biomarkers in the general population. METHODS: Among 6211 participants in the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-Stage Disease (PREVEND) cohort, EtG concentrations were measured in 24-h urine samples. EtG was considered positive when concentrations were ≥100 ng/mL. Habitual alcohol consumption was self-reported by questionnaire (categories: no/almost never, 1-4 units per month, 2-7 units per week, 1-3 units per day or ≥4 units per day). Plasma HDL cholesterol concentration, erythrocyte mean corpuscular volume (MCV), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), and γ-glutamyltransferase (GGT) were determined as indirect biomarkers of alcohol consumption. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value, and proportions of agreement between reported consumption and EtG were calculated. To test the agreement of EtG concentration and alcohol consumption in categories, linear regression analysis was performed. In addition, the association between EtG concentrations and indirect biomarkers was analyzed. RESULTS: Mean age was 53.7 y, and 52.9% of participants men. Of the self-reported abstainers, 92.3% had an EtG concentration

Background: The relationship between sodium intake and cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains controversial, in part, due to inaccurate assessment of sodium intake. 24-hour urinary excretion over multiple days is considered the optimal method. Methods: We included individual participant data from 6 prospective cohorts among generally healthy adults with sodium and potassium excretion assessed by at least two 24-hour urine collections. Out of 10,709 participants (54% women; mean [SD] age, 51.5 [12.6] years), 571 incident CVD events (including myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization, and stroke) were ascertained during a median follow-up of 8.8 years. We analyzed each cohort using consistent methods and combined the results using random-effects meta-analysis. Results: Median 24-hour urinary sodium excretion (10 th -90 th percentile) was 3,270 (2,099-4,899) mg. Higher sodium excretion, lower potassium excretion and higher sodium-to-potassium ratio were all associated with higher risk of CVD events after controlling for confounding factors (all P values for trend≤0.02); there was no evidence of nonlinearity. The hazard ratio [HR] comparing top with bottom quartiles was 1.67 [95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.21-2.30] for sodium, 0.77 [0.57-1.02] for potassium and 1.72 [1.27-2.32] for sodium-to-potassium ratio. Each 1,000 mg/d increment in sodium excretion was associated with an 18% increase in CVD risk (95%CI: 5%-32%) and each 1,000 mg/d increment in potassium excretion was associated with 18% lower risk (95%CI: 6%-28%). Conclusions: Higher sodium and lower potassium intakes, measured in multiple 24-hour urine samples, were associated with higher risk of CVD in a dose-response manner. These findings support current recommendations to reduce sodium and increase potassium intakes.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: With aging, patients with diabetic kidney disease (DKD) show progressive decrease in kidney function. We investigated whether the deviation of biological age (BA) from the chronological age (CA) due to DKD can be used (denoted as Kidney Age Index; KAI) to quantify kidney function using machine learning algorithms.METHODS: Three large datasets were used in this study to develop KAI. The machine learning algorithms were trained on PREVEND dataset with healthy subjects (N = 7963) using 13 clinical markers to predict the CA. The trained model was then used to predict the BA of patients with DKD using RENAAL (N = 1451) and IDNT (N = 1706). The performance of four traditional machine learning algorithms were evaluated and the KAI = BA-CA was estimated for each patient.RESULTS: The neural network model achieved the best performance and predicted the CA of healthy subjects in PREVEND dataset with a mean absolute deviation (MAD) = 6.5 ± 3.5 years and pearson correlation = 0.62. Patients with DKD showed a significant higher KAI of 15.4 ± 11.8 years and 13.6 ± 12.3 years in RENAAL and IDNT datasets, respectively.CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that for a given CA, patients with DKD shows excess BA when compared to their healthy counterparts due to disease severity. With further improvement, the proposed KAI can be used as a complementary easy-to-interpret tool to give a more inclusive idea into disease state.

Purpose To examine whether cardiovascular risk factor development over time would associate differently with incident heart failure (HF) in women and men. Methods In the PREVEND (Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease) cohort, we calculated the incidence rates (IR) of HF and cardiovascular risk factors using Poisson regression. We examined sex-related differences in relative rates of HF according to cardiovascular risk factor development using IR-ratio (IRR=IRrisk-factor/IRno-risk-factor) and Cox regression models. Results Among 8592 participants (mean age 49.8 years; 50.1% women), 241 men and 133 women developed HF over 12.5 (12.2–12.9) years, resulting in an overall HF incidence rate of 5.12 (per 1000 person-years) in men versus 2.69 in women. Men also had higher incidence rates of diabetes (IRmen: 7.23 vs IRwomen: 4.46), hypertension (IRmen: 27.93 vs IRwomen: 21.35) and myocardial infarction (IRmen: 3.73 vs IRwomen: 1.33). Relative rates of HF in individuals developing obesity, diabetes and MI were comparable in both sexes (P>0.05), but development of hypertension more strongly associated with incident HF in women (IRRwomen: 6.49; 95% CI: 3.04–13.87 vs IRRmen: 2.34; 95% CI: 1.38–3.95, P=0.030). Similar trends were observed in an adjusted Cox-regression model (women:men HR: 2.93; 95% CI: 1.15–7.45; p=0.024). Conclusions Cardiovascular risk factors develop more often in men and associate with higher absolute rates of HF in men. However, in individuals developing hypertension, the relative rate of HF is higher in women compared to men. Our results suggest that aggressive and sex-specific risk factor management may be helpful to prevent incident HF. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Foundation. Main funding source(s): Netherlands Heart Foundation;Public EU grant - European Research Council

Objective: To examine associations of newly-developed adiposity indices with incident heart failure (HF).Participants and Methods: The current study included 8493 adults from the PREVEND observational cohort (mean age: 49.8 years; 50% women). Exposures included novel adiposity indices i.e., relative fat mass (RFM), body-roundness index (BRI), weight-adjusted-waist index and body-shape index (BSI), as well as established adiposity indices i.e., body-mass index (BMI), waist circumference, and waist-hip ratio (WHR). Main outcome was development of incident HF.Results: The prevalence of overweight (BMI: 25-30kg/m2) and obesity (BMI≥30kg/m2) were 41% and 17% respectively. During 11.3±3.1 years of follow-up, 372 HF events were recorded, resulting in an overall HF incidence of 3.88 per 1000 person-years. All novel adiposity indices, except BSI, were significantly associated with incident HF (Pint>0.1). Amongst adiposity indices, RFM displayed the strongest effect sizes (HR:1.67, 95%CI, 1.37-2.03). This trend persisted across multiple age categories, BMI categories and also among HF subtypes. All obesity measures, except BSI, improved the fit of the clinical HF model. Strongest improvement was observed after adding BRI and RFM (reduction in Akaike information criteria: 26.5 and 24.4 respectively).Conclusions: Relative fat mass is strongly associated with incident HF in the community. Future studies should examine the value of novel adiposity indices in HF risk estimation.

Carnosine affords protection against oxidative and carbonyl stress, yet high concentrations of the carnosinase-1 enzyme may limit this. We recently reported that high urinary carnosinase-1 is associated with kidney function decline and albuminuria in patients with chronic kidney disease. We prospectively investigated whether urinary carnosinase-1 is associated with a high risk for development of late graft failure in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs). Carnosine and carnosinase-1 were measured in 24 h urine in a longitudinal cohort of 703 stable KTRs and 257 healthy controls. Cox regression was used to analyze the prospective data. Urinary carnosine excretions were significantly decreased in KTRs (26.5 [IQR 21.4–33.3] µmol/24 h versus 34.8 [IQR 25.6–46.8] µmol/24 h, p &lt, 0.001). In KTRs, high urinary carnosinase-1 concentrations were associated with increased risk of undetectable urinary carnosine (OR 1.24, 95%CI [1.06–1.45], p = 0.007). During median follow-up for 5.3 [4.5–6.0] years, 84 (12%) KTRs developed graft failure. In Cox regression analyses, high urinary carnosinase-1 excretions were associated with increased risk of graft failure (HR 1.73, 95%CI [1.44–2.08], 0.001) independent of potential confounders. Since urinary carnosine is depleted and urinary carnosinase-1 imparts a higher risk for graft failure in KTRs, future studies determining the potential of carnosine supplementation in these patients are warranted.

BACKGROUND: Enkephalins of the opioid system exert several cardiorenal effects. Proenkephalin (PENK), a stable surrogate, is associated with heart failure (HF) development after myocardial infarction and worse cardiorenal function and prognosis in patients with HF. The association between plasma PENK concentrations and new-onset HF in the general population remains to be established.HYPOTHESIS: We hypothesized that plasma PENK concentrations are associated with new-onset HF in the general population.METHODS: We included 6677 participants from the prevention of renal and vascular end-stage disease study and investigated determinants of PENK concentrations and their association with new-onset HF (both reduced [HFrEF] and preserved ejection fraction [HFpEF]).RESULTS: Median PENK concentrations were 52.7 (45.1-61.9) pmol/L. Higher PENK concentrations were associated with poorer renal function and higher NT-proBNP concentrations. The main determinants of higher PENK concentrations were lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), lower urinary creatinine excretion, and lower body mass index (all p CONCLUSIONS: In the general population, higher PENK concentrations were associated with lower eGFR and higher NT-proBNP concentrations. Higher PENK concentrations were not independently associated with new-onset HFrEF and HFpEF and mainly confounded by eGFR.

Background The cause of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is poorly understood, and specific therapies are lacking. Previous studies suggested that inflammation plays a role in the development of HFpEF. Herein, we aimed to investigate in community‐dwelling individuals whether a higher plasma interleukin 6 (IL‐6) level is associated with an increased risk of developing new‐onset heart failure (HF) over time, and specifically HFpEF. Methods and Results We performed a case‐cohort study based on the PREVEND (Prevention of Renal and Vascular End‐Stage Disease) study, a prospective general population‐based cohort study. We included 961 participants, comprising 200 participants who developed HF and a random group of 761 controls. HF with reduced ejection fraction or HFpEF was defined on the basis of the left ventricular ejection fraction of ≤40% or >40%, respectively. In Cox proportional hazard regression analyses, IL‐6 levels were statistically significantly associated with the development of HF (hazard ratio [HR], 1.28; 95% CI, 1.02–1.61; P =0.03) after adjustment for key risk factors. Specifically, IL‐6 levels were significantly associated with the development of HFpEF (HR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.16–2.19; P =0.004), whereas the association with HF with reduced ejection fraction was nonsignificant (HR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.75–1.47; P =0.77). In sensitivity analyses, defining HFpEF as left ventricular ejection fraction ≥50%, IL‐6 levels were also significantly associated with the development of HFpEF (HR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.04–2.06; P =0.03) after adjustment for key risk factors. Conclusions IL‐6 is associated with new‐onset HFpEF in community‐dwelling individuals, independent of potential confounders. Our findings warrant further research to investigate whether IL‐6 might be a novel treatment target to prevent HFpEF.

BACKGROUND: Chronic diseases are associated with an inflammatory response. We determined the association of two inflammatory markers, GlycA and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), with overall and cause-specific mortality in a cohort of men and women.METHODS: Cox regression analyses were used to examine associations of GlycA and hsCRP with all-cause, cancer and cardiovascular mortality in 5526 subjects (PREVEND cohort; average follow-up 12.6 years).RESULTS: GlycA was associated with all-cause mortality (n = 838), independent of clinical risk factors and hsCRP (hazard ratio 1.43 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.09-1.87] for top versus bottom quartiles). For hsCRP, the association with all-cause mortality was nonsignificant after adjustment for GlycA. GlycA and hsCRP were associated with cancer mortality in men (n = 248), but not in women (n = 132). Neither GlycA nor hsCRP was independently associated with cardiovascular mortality (n = 201). In a meta-analysis of seven population-based studies, including 8153 deaths, the pooled multivariable-adjusted relative risk of GlycA for all-cause mortality was 1.74 (95% CI: 1.40-2.17) for top versus bottom quartiles. The association of GlycA with all-cause mortality was somewhat stronger than that of hsCRP. GlycA and hsCRP were not independently associated with cardiovascular mortality. The associations of GlycA and hsCRP with cancer mortality were present in men, but not in women.CONCLUSIONS: GlycA is significantly associated with all-cause mortality. GlycA and hsCRP were each not independently associated with cardiovascular mortality. The association of GlycA and hsCRP with cancer mortality appears to be driven by men.

BACKGROUND: Early assessment of insulin resistance may be a way of identifying patients at risk as well as monitoring treatments that increase insulin sensitivity and reduce the risk of developing type II diabetes mellitus (T2DM).OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to evaluate the ability of the Lipoprotein Insulin Resistance Index (LP-IR) to predict incident T2DM in a large cohort.METHODS: LP-IR scores were calculated using 6 lipoprotein particle concentrations and sizes measured by nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy. In total, 5977 nondiabetic men and women were included. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to evaluate the association of LP-IR scores with incident T2DM.RESULTS: LP-IR scores were closely associated with insulin resistance, assessed by homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance (r = 0.51; P CONCLUSION: LP-IR may be a convenient way to assess insulin resistance and T2DM risk, as well as to monitor preventative treatments. (C) 2018 National Lipid Association. All rights reserved.

The positive relationship between sodium intake and blood pressure is well established. However, results of observational studies on dietary sodium intake and risk of stroke are inconsistent. Moreover, prospective studies with multiple 24-hour urine samples for accurate estimation of habitual sodium intake are scarce. We examined the association of urinary sodium excretion (UNaV) as an accurate estimate of intake with risk of stroke. We studied 7330 individuals free of cardiovascular events at baseline in the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease (PREVEND) study, a prospective, population-based cohort of Dutch men and women. The UNaV was measured in two 24-hour urine specimens at baseline (1997-1998) and two specimens during follow-up (2001-2003). Baseline median UNaV was 137 mmol/24 h (interquartile range, 106-171 mmol/24 h). During a median follow-up of 12.5 years (interquartile range, 11.9-12.9 years), a total of 183 stroke events occurred. An inverse association between UNaV and risk of stroke was observed after adjustment for age and sex (hazard ratio [HR] per 1-SD [51 mmol/24] decrement, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.11-1.65), which remained independent of additional adjustment for anthropometric, dietary, lifestyle, and other potential confounding factors (HR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.14-1.82). After adjustment for potential mediators (systolic blood pressure and antihypertensive medication, plasma renin, aldosterone, and sodium levels), the association of UNaV with risk of stroke remained unchanged, with HRs (95% CIs) of 1.44(1.14-1.82), 1.50 (1.18-1.90), 1.54 (1.21-1.97), and 1.49 (1.17-1.90), respectively. This prospective study revealed an association of low UNaV with an increased risk of stroke. (C) 2018 Mayo Foundation for Medical Education and Research

Introduction: Menopause is associated with increased cardiovascular risk, in which oxidative stress plays a pivotal role. Systemic oxidative stress is reflected by decreased levels of free thiols (R-SH, sulfhydryl groups), which are key components of the extracellular antioxidant machinery. In this study, we investigated the relation between serum free thiols as marker of oxidative stress and the female cardiovascular phenotype, as well as potential associations with the risk of cardiovascular (CV) events in pre- and postmenopausal women from the general population.Methods: Female participants (n = 2,980) of the Prevention of REnal and Vascular ENd-stage Disease (PREVEND) cohort study were included. Serum free thiol concentrations were analyzed for associations with demographic, clinical, biochemical, and gynecological parameters, as well as with menopausal status and, prospectively, with the risk of CV events.Results: Postmenopausal women had significantly reduced levels of serum free thiols (4.8 ± 1.0 vs. 5.2 ± 1.0 μmol/g, P < 0.001) compared to reproductive women. In multivariable analyses, serum free thiols were significantly associated with menopausal status (OR 0.70 [0.49–0.98], P = 0.039), even when adjusted for potential confounding factors, except for age (P = 0.550). Prospectively, serum free thiols were significantly associated with the risk of CV events (HR 0.52 [0.27–0.97], P = 0.040), even with covariate adjustment, although this disappeared when correcting for age.Conclusion: In this study, we revealed serum free thiols to be strongly associated with the female cardiovascular phenotype as well as with female risk of CV events, where the influence of age itself seemed to outweigh that of female menopause. Future studies are warranted to further unravel the clinical utility of serum free thiol levels in the context of female cardiovascular risk management.

Background: It is unknown whether meat intake is beneficial for long-term patient and graft survival in kidney transplant recipients (KTR).Objectives: We first investigated the association of the previously described meat intake biomarkers 1-methylhistidine and 3-methylbistidine with intake of white and red meat as estimated from a validated food frequency questionnaire (FFQ). Second, we investigated the association of the meat intake biomarkers with longterm outcomes in KTR.Methods: We measured 24-h urinary excretion of 1-methylhistidine and 3-methylhistidine by validated assays in a cohort of 678 clinically stable KTR. Cross-sectional associations were assessed by linear regression. We used Cox regression analyses to prospectively study associations of log`-transformed biomarkers with mortality and graft failure.Results: Urinary 1-methylhistidine and 3-methylhistidine excretion values were median: 282; interquartile range (IQR): 132-598 mu mol/24 h and median: 231; IQR: 175-306 mu mol/24 h, respectively. Urinary 1-methylhistidine was associated with white meat intake (standardized beta (st beta): 0.20; 95% CI: 0.12, 0.28; P < 0.001], whereas urinary 3-methylhistidine was associated with red meat intake (st beta: 0.30; 95% CI: 0.23, 0.38; P < 0.001). During median follow-up for 5.4 (IQR: 4.9-6.1) y, 145 (21%) died and 83 (12%) developed graft failure. Urinary 3-methylhistidine was inversely associated with mortality independently of potential confounders (HR per doubling: 0.55; 95% CI: 0.42.0.72; P < 0.001). Both urinary 1-methylhistidine and urinary 3-methylhistidine were inversely associated with graft failure independent of potential confounders (HR per doubling: 0.84; 95% CI: 0.73. 0.96; P = 0.01; and 0.59; 95% CI: 0.41, 0.85; P = 0.004, respectively).Conclusions: High urinary 3-methylhistidine, reflecting higher red meat intake, is independently associated with lower risk of mortality. High urinary concentrations of both 1- and 3-methylhistidine, of which the former reflects higher white meat intake, are independently associated with lower risk of graft failure in KTR. Future intervention studies are warranted to study the effect of high meat intake on mortality and graft failure in KTR. using these biomarkers.

Muscle mass heavily influences creatinine-based renal function estimation: a 12-year longitudinal general population-based cohort study Background Current guidelines suggest the use of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) based on creatinine as measurement of renal function. However, the influence of muscle mass as key determinant of creatinine after renal function may render those estimates imprecise. Purpose To investigate the effects of 24-hour height-indexed creatinine excretion rate (CER index) – deemed an excellent marker of total muscle mass – on creatinine-based eGFR and to compare this with effects of CER index on muscle mass-independent cystatin C-based eGFR. Methods We included community-dwelling individuals aged 28–75 years enrolled in the prospective Prevention of REnal and Vascular ENd-stage Disease study. CER was assessed in paired 24-h urine specimens collected during five consecutive screening rounds, each round comprising two outpatient visits separated by three weeks. Cross-sectional and longitudinal associations were respectively quantified using linear regression and linear mixed-effects models, both of which were adjusted for sociodemographic and cardiovascular risk factors. Results Of the 7,698 individuals aged 49.8 (12.6) years, of whom 3,839 (49.9%) were male, baseline mean (SD) CER index was 7.0 (1.8) mmol/(24 h·m). Lower CER index was curvilinearly associated with higher creatinine-based eGFR and lower cystatin C-based eGFR (Figure 1). In a hypothetical 70-year-old male, assumed to have a CER index of 4 mmol/(24 h·m) (indicating low muscle mass), predicted creatinine-based eGFR and cystatin C-based eGFR were 79.8 and 64.1 (difference: 15.7) ml/min per 1.73 m2, respectively (Figure 1). If the CER index is held constant at 4 mmol/(24 h·m), the predicted ages at which the threshold of 60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 for the detection of chronic kidney disease would have been exceeded, were 84.7 years for creatinine-based eGFR and 72.7 years for cystatin C-based eGFR (difference: 12.0 years) (Figure 1). During 12.5 years of follow-up, CER index decreased with 0.21 (0.23) mmol/(24 h·m) per 10 years. For every 0.1 mmol/(24 h·m) annual decrease in CER index, creatinine-based eGFR increased with 0.16 (0.07 to 0.25; P=0.0004) ml/min per 1.73 m2 per year, whereas cystatin C-based eGFR decreased with 0.25 (0.15 to 0.34; P Conclusions Low muscle mass may cause considerable overestimation of single measurements of creatinine-based eGFR compared with cystatin C-based eGFR. Moreover, loss of muscle mass may cause spurious increases in repeatedly measured creatinine-based eGFR. Implementing muscle mass-independent markers for estimating renal function, like cystatin C, could provide a better alternative to accurately assess renal function in all settings wherein low muscle mass or muscle wasting may be encountered. Figure 1. Sex-specific 3D representation. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Foundation. Main funding source(s): Dutch Kidney Foundation

ContextHigh-density lipoproteins (HDL) may be protective against type 2 diabetes (T2D) development, but HDL particles vary in size and function, which could lead to differential associations with incident T2D. A newly developed nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR)-derived algorithm provides concentrations for 7 HDL subspecies.ObjectiveWe aimed to investigate the association of HDL particle subspecies with incident T2D in the general population.MethodsAmong 4828 subjects of the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-Stage Disease (PREVEND) study without T2D at baseline, HDL subspecies with increasing size from H1P to H7P were measured by NMR (LP4 algorithm of the Vantera NMR platform).ResultsA total of 265 individuals developed T2D (median follow-up of 7.3 years). In Cox regression models, HDL size and H4P (hazard ratio [HR] per 1 SD increase 0.83 [95% CI, 0.69-0.99] and 0.85 [95% CI, 0.75-0.95], respectively) were inversely associated with incident T2D, after adjustment for relevant covariates. In contrast, levels of H2P were positively associated with incident T2D (HR 1.15 [95% CI, 1.01-1.32]). In secondary analyses, associations with large HDL particles and H6P were modified by body mass index (BMI) in such a way that they were particularly associated with a lower risk of incident T2D, in subjects with BMI ConclusionGreater HDL size and lower levels of H4P were associated with a lower risk, whereas higher levels of H2P were associated with a higher risk of developing T2D. In addition, large HDL particles and H6P were inversely associated with T2D in nonobese subjects.

OBJECTIVE: Research into dietary factors associated with hypertension has focused on the sodium component of salt. However, chloride has distinct physiological effects that may surpass the effect of sodium on blood pressure. This study aims to separate the specific effects of chloride and sodium intake on blood pressure.METHODS: We studied 5673 participants from the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-Stage Disease(PREVEND) study. Urinary chloride(uCl) and sodium(uNa) were measured in two 24-hour collections. We used generalized-linear-regression to evaluate the relation of uCl and uNa with baseline blood pressure and Cox-proportional-hazards-analysis to assess the association with hypertension. Multicollinearity was assessed with Ridge regression.RESULTS: Baseline 24-hour uCl was 135±39mmol and uNa was 144±54mmol. The correlation between uCl and uNa was high (Pearson's r = 0.96). UCl and uNa had similar non-significant positive and linear associations with blood pressure. In 3515 normotensive patients, 1021 patients developed hypertension during a median follow-up of 7.4 years. UCl and uNa had a comparable but non-significant J-shaped effect on the risk of hypertension. Adding both uCl and uNa to the same model produced instability, demonstrated by Ridge coefficients that converged or changed sign. The single index of uNa minus uCl showed a non-significant higher risk of hypertension of 2% per 10mmol/24-hour difference (HR1.02, 95%CI 0.98-1.06).CONCLUSION: UCl and uNa had similar positive but non-significant associations with blood pressure and risk of hypertension and their effects could not be disentangled. Hence, the alleged adverse effects of high salt intake could be due to sodium, chloride or both. This encourages further study into the effect of chloride in order to complement dietary recommendations currently focused on sodium alone.

Associations between insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF1) and mortality have been reported to be female specific in mice and in human nonagenarians. Intervention in the growth hormone (GH)-IGF1 axis may particularly benefit patients with high risk of losing muscle mass, including renal transplant recipients (RTR). We investigated whether a potential association of circulating IGF1 with all-cause mortality in stable RTR could be female specific and mediated by variation in muscle mass. To this end, plasma IGF1 levels were measured in 277 female and 343 male RTR by mass spectrometry, and their association with mortality was assessed by Cox regression. During a median follow-up time of 5.4 years, 56 female and 77 male RTR died. In females, IGF1 was inversely associated with risk (hazard ratio (HR) per 1-unit increment in log2-transformed (doubling of) IGF1 levels, 95% confidence interval (CI)) of mortality (0.40, 0.24&ndash, 0.65, p &lt, 0.001), independent of age and the estimated Glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). In equivalent analyses, no significant association was observed for males (0.85, 0.56&ndash, 1.29, p = 0.44), for which it should be noted that in males, age was negatively and strongly associated with IGF1 levels. The association for females remained materially unchanged upon adjustment for potential confounders and was furthermore found to be mediated for 39% by 24 h urinary creatinine excretion. In conclusion, low IGF1 levels associate with an increased risk of all-cause mortality in female RTR, which may link to conditions of low muscle mass that are known to be associated with poor outcomes in transplantation patients. For males, the strongly negative association of age with IGF1 levels may explain why low IGF1 levels were not found to be associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality.

C-peptide measurement may represent a better index of pancreatic &beta, cell function compared to insulin. While insulin is mainly cleared by liver, C-peptide is mainly metabolized by kidneys. The aim of our study was to evaluate the association between baseline plasma C-peptide level and the development of type 2 diabetes independent of glucose and insulin levels and to examine potential effect-modification by variables related to kidney function. We included 5176 subjects of the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-Stage Disease study without type 2 diabetes at baseline. C-peptide was measured in plasma with an electrochemiluminescent immunoassay. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to evaluate the association between C-peptide level and type 2 diabetes development. Median C-peptide was 722 (566&ndash, 935) pmol/L. During a median follow-up of 7.2 (6.0&ndash, 7.7) years, 289 individuals developed type 2 diabetes. In multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models, we observed a significant positive association of C-peptide with the risk of type 2 diabetes independent of glucose and insulin levels (hazard ratio (HR): 2.35, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.49&ndash, 3.70). Moreover, we found significant effect modification by hypertension and albuminuria (p &lt, 0.001 and p = 0.001 for interaction, respectively), with a stronger association in normotensive and normo-albuminuric subjects and absence of an association in subjects with hypertension or albuminuria. In this population-based cohort, elevated C-peptide levels are associated with an increased risk of type 2 diabetes independent of glucose, insulin levels, and clinical risk factors. Elevated C-peptide level was not independently associated with an increased risk of type 2 diabetes in individuals with hypertension or albuminuria.