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Objective/Approach The Black Health Equity Working Group's Applied Health Research Question aimed to compare cancer screening rates and surgical wait times between community health centre (CHC) clients based on race-related data and non-CHC clients. CHC client data was categorized by self-identified racial groups, with Black self-identification compared to non-Black racialized, White, and missing racial self-identification, and non-CHC clients. Health card numbers were encrypted to link individuals to the Primary Care Population dataset for breast, cervical, and colorectal cancer screening rates. Surgical wait time indicators, such as the number of patients undergoing surgery and average wait times for initial consultation and completed surgeries, were derived from the Wait Time Information System. Assessments were conducted semi-annually from fiscal year 2018 to 2021. Results Following the onset of COVID-19, CHC clients self-identifying as Black experienced the most significant decrease (6.8%) in colorectal screenings compared to other groups. Mammogram screenings remained consistently higher for CHC clients self-identifying as Black pre- and post-pandemic. Average cervical cancer screening rates were approximately 8% higher among CHC clients compared to non-CHC clients, irrespective of racial self-identification. However, due to small sample sizes and missing data among self-identified racial groups, trends in surgical wait times for both CHC and non-CHC clients were unstable. Conclusion/Implications Tailored interventions targeting Black CHC clients can enhance cancer screening rates, particularly colorectal screenings. The analysis of CHC data offers valuable insights into race-based disparities in health outcomes. Improved data completeness is essential for accurately assessing health outcome variations among different racial groups.

Objective and Approach Canada’s federated health data system along with access pathways geared toward academic research, pose challenges for knowledge Users (KUs) requiring timely, pan-Canadian evidence to inform decisions. To understand challenges and explore solutions, we conducted two use cases for a pan-Canadian health technology assessment organization and a federal agency, using health administrative data at one federal and six provincial data centres. The population-based cohort studies described socio-demographics, comorbidities, treatment patterns, service utilization and costs. One focused on spinal muscular atrophy, a rare disease and the other on dementia, a complex chronic disease. Results Administrative challenges included aligning varied ethical review and data access policies/procedures including requiring local and/or academic principal investigators and differing definitions of “research” vs. planning, evaluation, and monitoring. Data-related challenges included differences in structure, timeliness, and completeness across regions resulting in difficulty aligning constructs such as incident cases and episodes of care. Privacy requirements prohibited pooling jurisdictional estimates resulting in “small cells” that couldn’t be shared with KUs. Conclusions We provided analytic outputs from multiple regions, albeit with some differences and gaps, increasing knowledge around both diseases while developing capacity for combined analyses and gaining insight into national possibilities for data access. Implications As decision makers must rely on best available information, some data is better than none. However, to improve data-analytic services for Pan-Canadian KUs, next steps will include improving data harmonization, expanding data assets and filling data gaps, implementing common data models, and exploring options for federated and/or pooled analyses.

Objective To provide an update on the key characteristics, refinements to project flow, and future opportunities for a program providing customized research evidence to health system policymakers and providers. Approach With a goal to inform health system decision making, the program answers research questions posed by health system requestors that can be answered with linked, population-based administrative data. Now in its 10th year of operation, the program has been refined over time to improve efficiency, usefulness of research products, and requestor satisfaction. Satisfaction surveys and individual-level engagements with requestors are used to collect feedback on the needs of an increasingly diverse group of requests. Results With 508 requests, 82 Data Sharing Agreements, and 257 unique requestors since its inception, the program informs governmental decision making, evaluates intervention effectiveness, and aids grassroots organizations’ planning for services. Notable updates to the program include, inserting multiple opportunities for connection between the program and requestors through the project life cycle to understand goals and needs; assigning staff scientists to shepherd projects and promote efficiency; training coordinators to review privacy impact assessments; and (soon) accepting a broader range of projects to include data beyond the health sector e.g. education. Conclusion This program continues to improve and is an exemplar of sustainable approaches to supporting health system requestors with evidence from administrative data in program evaluation, planning and policy change. Implications Being responsive to requestor needs has allowed the program to attract an increasingly diverse range of requesters who can obtain impactful and timely research evidence.

Objectives Patient Support Programs (PSPs) provide real-world evidence on short-term outcomes and drug adherence for specialty care. These data are collected directly from patients by pharmaceutical companies. Data linkage is facilitated by a publicly-funded health research institute which houses population-based, individual-level health administrative data for 14 million Ontario residents in Canada since 1992. Linkage provides a more comprehensive and transparent view of patients’ pathways and care. Approach Industry-funded research conducted through the data & analytic service must align with the institute’s mission, vision and values, and demonstrate a clear public benefit. For transparency, and to support broader public benefit and research access, final deliverables and analytic plans are posted on the institute’s website. Privacy impact assessments are conducted to ensure ethics approvals, consent and data sharing agreements are established, prior to data importation. To safeguard privacy, designated data covenantors encrypt and link the PSP data with in-house data holdings. Analyses are performed by senior analytic staff, providing researchers with summary-level reports. Results Since 2016, the institute has worked with organizations to link data for research, including PSP data on thousands of patients, enabling crucial insight into treatment patterns, drug adherence, costs and long-term outcomes. Conclusion Linkage of privately-owned PSP data with administrative health data at the institute, provides opportunities to identify gaps in care and improve quality of research. Data challenges around bias, transparency, completeness, and comprehensiveness are minimized. Implications Results provide decision-makers and healthcare professionals with a trusted and comprehensive understanding of patient care pathways to improve health outcomes.

Abstract Background There is currently mixed evidence on the influence of long-term conditions and deprivation on mortality. We aimed to explore whether number of long-term conditions contribute to socioeconomic inequalities in mortality, whether the influence of number of conditions on mortality is consistent across socioeconomic groups and whether these associations vary by working age (18–64 years) and older adults (65 + years). We provide a cross-jurisdiction comparison between England and Ontario, by replicating the analysis using comparable representative datasets. Methods Participants were randomly selected from Clinical Practice Research Datalink in England and health administrative data in Ontario. They were followed from 1 January 2015 to 31 December 2019 or death or deregistration. Number of conditions was counted at baseline. Deprivation was measured according to the participant’s area of residence. Cox regression models were used to estimate hazards of mortality by number of conditions, deprivation and their interaction, with adjustment for age and sex and stratified between working age and older adults in England (N = 599,487) and Ontario (N = 594,546). Findings There is a deprivation gradient in mortality between those living in the most deprived areas compared to the least deprived areas in England and Ontario. Number of conditions at baseline was associated with increasing mortality. The association was stronger in working age compared with older adults respectively in England (HR = 1.60, 95% CI 1.56,1.64 and HR = 1.26, 95% CI 1.25,1.27) and Ontario (HR = 1.69, 95% CI 1.66,1.72 and HR = 1.39, 95% CI 1.38,1.40). Number of conditions moderated the socioeconomic gradient in mortality: a shallower gradient was seen for persons with more long-term conditions. Conclusions Number of conditions contributes to higher mortality rate and socioeconomic inequalities in mortality in England and Ontario. Current health care systems are fragmented and do not compensate for socioeconomic disadvantages, contributing to poor outcomes particularly for those managing multiple long-term conditions. Further work should identify how health systems can better support patients and clinicians who are working to prevent the development and improve the management of multiple long-term conditions, especially for individuals living in socioeconomically deprived areas.

Objective Diabetes management requires ongoing monitoring of diabetes care from primary care, specialist care and laboratory testing. COVID-19 led to changes in access to in-person care. The purpose of this research was to assess changes in the management of diabetes during the COVID-19 pandemic using population-linked datasets and population segmentation. Approach We identified over 1.4 Million Ontarians with diabetes (approximately 10% of the population) with valid health insurance as of April 1, 2019 and April 1, 2020. We measured 11 indicators of diabetes management including laboratory testing for HbA1c and LDL (highlighted in this abstract). With screening indicators, we examined changes in the proportion of the population up-to-date with screening at the end of each fiscal year (March 31, 2020 and March 31, 2021) overall and according to population segments created using linked health data from primary care, home care, long term care and hospitals. Results Overall screening rates that required laboratory testing for HbA1c and LDL fell substantially from 54% to 40% and 68% to 59% overall. Comparing across population segments, residents in Long Term Care facilities had the smallest changes in screening rates; individuals with low, medium and high complexity chronic conditions and end-of-life conditions had the largest changes; maternity, cancer, mental health and frail populations were in the middle. Differences according the primary care enrolment models (capitation vs fee-for-service) were relatively minor but patients who were not rostered to a primary care physician had the largest reductions in laboratory screening. Results for all 11 indicators will be shared in the presentation. Conclusion COVID-19 was associated with substantial reductions in laboratory-based diabetes screening. Poor diabetes management is one of the strongest risk-factors for adverse outcomes in COVID-19. Rates of diabetes management declined most for at risk patient populations amplifying the need to differentially connect with patients to ensure ongoing care during the pandemic.

Objectives There is mixed evidence on the influence of number of conditions on inequalities in mortality, we explored the association between number of conditions and deprivation on mortality whilst assessing the difference between working age and older adults. We replicated the analysis in England and Ontario, to provide a cross-jurisdiction comparison. Approach We used individual level-linked data from primary care activity, secondary care and mortality data in England and Ontario. For both jurisdictions, we took a random sample of 600,000 adults from 1 January 2015 and followed them up till 31 December 2019. We used cox proportional hazard to test the influence of deprivation (measured using area-level deprivation in deciles) and number of conditions (measured at baseline and capped at six conditions) on survival. Age and sex were also measured at baseline. Analyses were stratified by working age (18-64 years) and older adults (65+ years) and were repeated for England and Ontario. Results Deprivation gradient in mortality rate was steeper in working age than older adults in both jurisdictions. Number of conditions was associated with increased mortality rate, this was stronger for working age than older adults, in England (working age HR = 1.60, 95% CI 1.56,1.64 and older adults HR= 1.26, 95% CI 1.25,1.27) and Canada (working age HR=1.69, 95% CI 1.66,1.72 and older adults HR= 1.39, 95% CI 1.38,1.40). After accounting for number of conditions, the mortality rate associated with deprivation decreased but remained significant. The interaction between number of conditions and deprivation showed that adults with more conditions have a higher mortality rate and those living in deprived areas also have a higher mortality rate but having more conditions attenuates the deprivation gradient in mortality. Conclusion Number of conditions contribute to higher mortality rate and inequalities in morality, this is stronger for working age than older adults in England and Ontario. The fragmented health-care system may be contributing to poorer outcomes, further research should help identify which part of the pathway is driving these inequalities further.

Objective To adapt the BCHSM population segmentation methodology to Ontario’s health administrative data to identify mutually exclusive segments with similar health care needs to support integrated care efforts and population health management in Ontario, Canada. To compare health system related costs across derived segments to identify opportunities for better integrated care. Approach We identified Ontarians alive with valid health card numbers as of April 1, 2020 (n =14,358,565) and created a matrix of prior utilization, cost and diagnoses using linked health administrative databases. Using a hierarchical technique, we assigned individuals into one of 14 BCHSM segments based on the greatest health care needs. Segments of need range from non-users (low need) to end-of-life patients (greatest need). We report the distribution of individual characteristics, average monthly costs across segments and further stratified health care costs by quintile of material deprivation within segments. Results The largest segment was the healthy (low) users (43%) followed by low chronic conditions (28%) and non-users (10%). Five segments comprised

Introduction: Evidence of the impact of inpatient palliative care on receiving home-based palliative care remains limited. Objectives: The objective of this study was to examine, at a population level, the association between receiving inpatient palliative care and home-based palliative care postdischarge. Design: We conducted a retrospective cohort study to examine the association between receiving inpatient palliative care and home-based palliative care within 21 days of hospital discharge among decedents in the last six months of life. Setting/Subjects: We captured all decedents who were discharged alive from an acute care hospital in their last 180 days of life between April 1, 2014, and March 31, 2017, in Ontario, Canada. The index event was the first hospital discharge furthest away from death (i.e., closest to 180 days before death). Results: Decedents who had inpatient palliative care were significantly more likely to receive home-based palliative care after discharge (80.0% vs. 20.1%; p?0.001). After adjusting for sociodemographic and clinical covariates, the odds of receiving home-based palliative care were 11.3 times higher for those with inpatient palliative care (95% confidence interval [CI]: 9.4?13.5; p?

BackgroundMultiple conditions are more prevalent in some minoritised ethnic groups and are associated with higher mortality rate but studies examining differential mortality once conditions are established is US-based. Our study tested whether the association between multiple conditions and mortality varies across ethnic groups in England.Methods and findingsA random sample of primary care patients from Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) was followed from 1st January 2015 until 31st December 2019. Ethnicity, usually self-ascribed, was obtained from primary care records if present or from hospital records. Long-term conditions were counted from a list of 32 that have previously been associated with greater primary care, hospital admissions, or mortality risk. Cox regression models were used to estimate mortality by count of conditions, ethnicity and their interaction, with adjustment for age and sex for 532,059 patients with complete data. During five years of follow-up, 5.9% of patients died. Each additional condition at baseline was associated with increased mortality. The direction of the interaction of number of conditions with ethnicity showed a statistically higher mortality rate associated with long-term conditions in Pakistani, Black African, Black Caribbean and Other Black ethnic groups. In ethnicity-stratified models, the mortality rate per additional condition at age 50 was 1.33 (95% CI 1.31,1.35) for White ethnicity, 1.43 (95% CI 1.26,1.61) for Black Caribbean ethnicity and 1.78 (95% CI 1.41,2.24) for Other Black ethnicity.ConclusionsThe higher mortality rate associated with having multiple conditions is greater in minoritised compared with White ethnic groups. Research is now needed to identify factors that contribute to these inequalities. Within the health care setting, there may be opportunities to target clinical and self-management support for people with multiple conditions from minoritised ethnic groups.

BackgroundContinuity of care is a well-recognized principle of the primary care discipline owing to its medical, interpersonal, and cost-saving benefits. Relationship continuity or the ongoing therapeutic relationship between a patient and their physician is a particularly desirable goal, but its role in preventing the accumulation of chronic conditions diagnoses in individuals is unknown. The objective of this study was to investigate the effect of continuity of care with physicians on the rate of incident multimorbidity diagnoses in patients with existing conditions.MethodsThis was a population-based, retrospective cohort study from 2001 to 2015 that focused on patients aged 18 to 105 years with at least one chronic condition (n = 166,665). Our primary exposure was relationship continuity of care with general practitioners and specialists measured using the Bice-Boxerman Continuity of Care Index (COCI). COCI was specified as a time-dependent exposure prior to the observation period. Our outcomes of interest were the time to diagnosis of a second, third, and fourth chronic condition estimated using cause-specific hazard regressions accounting for death as a competing risk.FindingsWe observed that patients with a single chronic condition and high continuity of care (>0.50) were diagnosed with a second chronic condition or multimorbidity at an 8% lower rate compared to individuals with low continuity (cause-specific hazard ratio (HR) 0.92 (95% Confidence Interval 0.90-0.93; pConclusionsContinuity of care is a potentially modifiable health system factor that reduces the rate at which diagnoses of chronic conditions are made over time in patients with multimorbidity. Additional research is needed to explain the underlying mechanisms through which continuity is related to a protective effect and the clinical sequalae.

BackgroundMultimorbidity is increasing among older adults, but the impact of these recent trends on the extent and complexity of polypharmacy and possible variation by sex remains unknown. We examined sex differences in multimorbidity, polypharmacy (5+ medications) and hyper-polypharmacy (10+ medications) in 2003 vs 2016, and the interactive associations between age, multimorbidity level, and time on polypharmacy measures.Methods and findingsWe employed a repeated cross-sectional study design with linked health administrative databases for all persons aged ≥66 years eligible for health insurance in Ontario, Canada at the two index dates. Descriptive analyses and multivariable logistic regression models were conducted; models included interaction terms between age, multimorbidity level, and time period to estimate polypharmacy and hyper-polypharmacy probabilities, risk differences and risk ratios for 2016 vs 2003. Multimorbidity, polypharmacy and hyper-polypharmacy increased significantly over the 13 years. At both index dates prevalence estimates for all three were higher in women, but a greater absolute increase in polypharmacy over time was observed in men (6.6% [from 55.7% to 62.3%] vs 0.9% [64.2%-65.1%] for women) though absolute increases in multimorbidity were similar for men and women (6.9% [72.5%-79.4%] vs 6.2% [75.9%-82.1%], respectively). Model findings showed that polypharmacy decreased over time among women aged < 90 years (especially for younger ages and those with fewer conditions), whereas it increased among men at all ages and multimorbidity levels (with larger absolute increases typically at older ages and among those with 4 or fewer conditions).ConclusionsThere are sex and age differences in the impact of increasing chronic disease burden on changes in measures of multiple medication use among older adults. Though the drivers and health consequences of these trends warrant further investigation, the findings support the heterogeneity and complexity in the evolving association between multimorbidity and polypharmacy measures in older populations.

Abstract Background The identification of contextual factors that modify associations between client frailty and their health and service use outcomes is essential for informed home health care and policy planning. Our objective was to examine variation in the associations between frailty and select 1-year health outcomes by caregiver distress and client sex among community-residing older care recipients. Methods We conducted a retrospective cohort study using linked population-based clinical and health administrative databases for all long-stay home care clients (n = 234,552) aged 66+ years assessed during April 2010–2013 in Ontario, Canada. Frailty was assessed using a previously validated 72-item frailty index (FI). Presence of caregiver distress was derived from clinical assessment items administered by trained home care assessors. Multivariable log-binomial regression models were used to examine variations in the associations between frailty and outcomes of interest (mortality, nursing home [NH] placement, all-cause and prolonged hospitalization) by caregiver distress, with further model stratification by client sex. Results Frailty prevalence varied little by sex (19.3% women, 19.9% men) despite significant sex-differences in clients’ sociodemographic and health characteristics. In both sexes, frailty was significantly associated with all outcomes, particularly NH placement (RR = 3.84, 95%CI 3.75–3.93) and death (RR = 2.32, 95%CI 2.27–2.37), though risk ratios were greater for women. Caregiver distress was more common with increasing frailty and for male clients, and a significant independent predictor of NH placement and prolonged hospitalization in both sexes. The association between frailty and NH placement (but not other outcomes) varied by caregiver distress for both men and women (p

Abstract Background The burden of multimorbidity is a growing clinical and health system problem that is known to be associated with socioeconomic status, yet our understanding of the underlying determinants of inequalities in multimorbidity and longitudinal trends in measured disparities remains limited. Methods We included all adult respondents from four cycles of the Canadian Community Health Survey (CCHS) (between 2005 to 2011/12), linked at the individual-level to health administrative data in Ontario, Canada (pooled n = 113,627). Multimorbidity was defined at each survey response as having ≥2 (of 17) high impact chronic conditions, based on claims data. Using a decomposition method of the Erreygers-corrected concentration index (CErreygers), we measured household income inequality and the contribution of the key determinants of multimorbidity (including socio-demographic, socio-economic, lifestyle and health system factors) to these disparities. Differences over time are described. We tested for statistically significant changes to measured inequality using the slope index (SII) and relative index of inequality (RII) with a 2-way interaction on pooled data. Results Multimorbidity prevalence in 2011/12 was 33.5% and the CErreygers was − 0.085 (CI: -0.108 to − 0.062), indicating a greater prevalence among lower income groups. In decomposition analyses, income itself accounted more than two-thirds (69%) of this inequality. Age (21.7%), marital status (15.2%) and physical inactivity (10.9%) followed, and the contribution of these factors increased from baseline (2005 CCHS survey) with the exception of age. Other lifestyle factors, including heavy smoking and obesity, had minimal contribution to measured inequality (1.8 and 0.4% respectively). Tests for trends (SII/RII) across pooled survey data were not statistically significant (p = 0.443 and 0.405, respectively), indicating no change in inequalities in multimorbidity prevalence over the study period. Conclusions A pro-rich income gap in multimorbidity has persisted in Ontario from 2005 to 2011/12. These empirical findings suggest that to advance equality in multimorbidity prevalence, policymakers should target chronic disease prevention and control strategies focused on older adults, non-married persons and those that are physically inactive, in addition to addressing income disparities directly.

ObjectivesTo examine the associations between dementia and 1-year health outcomes (urgent hospitalisation, long-term care (LTC) admission, mortality) among long-stay home care recipients and the extent to which these associations vary by clients’ frailty level.DesignA retrospective cohort study using linked clinical and health administrative databases.SettingHome care in Ontario, Canada.ParticipantsLong-stay (≥60 days) care clients (n=153 125) aged ≥50 years assessed between April 2014 and March 2015.Main outcome measuresDementia was ascertained with a validated administrative data algorithm and frailty with a 66-item frailty index (FI) based on a previously validated FI derived from the clinical assessment. We examined associations between dementia, FI and their interactions, with 1-year outcomes using multivariable Fine-Gray competing risk (urgent hospitalisation and LTC admission) and Cox proportional hazards (mortality) models.ResultsClients with dementia (vs without) were older (mean±SD, 83.3±7.9 vs 78.9±11.3 years, p

Background/Aims: The reliability of diagnostic coding of acute stroke and transient ischemic attack (TIA) in administrative data is uncertain. The purpose of this study is to determine the agreement between administrative data sources and chart audit for the identification of stroke type, stroke risk factors, and the use of hospital-based diagnostic procedures in patients with stroke or TIA. Methods: Medical charts for a population-based sample of patients (n = 14,508) with ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), or TIA discharged from inpatient and emergency departments (ED) in Ontario, Canada, between April 1, 2012 and March 31, 2013, were audited by trained abstractors. Audited data were linked and compared with hospital administrative data and physician billing data. The positive predictive value (PPV) of hospital administrative data and kappa agreement for the reporting of stroke type were calculated. Kappa agreement was also determined for stroke risk factors and for select stroke-related procedures. Results: The PPV for stroke type in inpatient administrative data ranged from 89.5% (95% CI 88.0-91.0) for TIA, 91.9% (95% CI 90.2-93.5) for ICH, and 97.3% (95% CI 96.9-97.7) for ischemic stroke. For ED administrative data, PPV varied from 78.8% (95% CI 76.3-81.2) for ischemic, 86.3% (95% CI 76.8-95.7) for ICH, and 95.3% (95% CI 94.6-96.0) for TIA. The chance-corrected agreement between the audited and administrative data was good for atrial fibrillation (k = 0.60) and very good for diabetes (k = 0.86). Hospital administrative data combined with physician billing data more than doubled the observed agreement for carotid imaging (k = 0.65) and echocardiography (k = 0.66) compared to hospital administrative data alone. Conclusions: Inpatient and ED administrative data were found to be reliable in the reporting of the International Classification of Diagnosis, 10th revision, Canada (ICD-10-CA)-coded ischemic stroke, ICH and TIA, and for the recording of atrial fibrillation and diabetes. The combination of physician billing data with hospital administrative data greatly improved the capture of some diagnostic services provided to inpatients.

Introduction Current cost estimates for dementia in Canada are lacking and no studies have yet to examine the incremental healthcare costs associated with both dementia and frailty, despite evidence of increasing prevalence of both conditions and their bidirectional association. These data are essential for informed clinical and public policy programs. Objectives and Approach Using linked clinical and health administrative databases in Ontario, we conducted a cohort study of all long-stay home care clients aged 50+ years with a clinical assessment between April 2014 and March 2015 (n=160,209). We defined dementia using a validated algorithm, and frailty categories (robust, pre-frail, frail) using a modified frailty index from clinical assessment data. Clients were followed prospectively for 1-year, for which we obtained total- and sector-specific healthcare costs for all encounters. We calculated cost differences (in $2015CAD) between dementia-frailty groups using a survival- and covariate-adjusted cost estimator described by Manning and Basu (2010) that included dementia-frailty interactions. Results In this population-based cohort of long-stay home care recipients, the prevalence of dementia was 26.8% and 33.3% of these clients were frail (vs. 26.9% among clients without dementia). Approximately 15% of the cohort died over the 1-year follow-up. The average 1-year estimated total health system cost was $26,965. On average, home care clients with dementia categorized as frail incurred $14,291 (SE=$139) more in charges than similar robust clients ($35,381 vs. $21,091, respectively). In contrast, frail persons without dementia incurred $12,796 (SE=$95) more in charges that similar robust clients ($33,659 vs. $20,864, respectively). Among frail persons, those with dementia incurred $1,722 (SE=$149) more in expenditures, on average. Wide variation in sector-specific costs were also observed by dementia and frailty strata. Conclusion/Implications Dementia and frailty pose significant challenges to healthcare systems. Our findings illustrate large incremental costs associated with frailty, regardless of dementia status. Further research using the linked clinical assessment and administrative data is needed to inform variations in, and to delineate key drivers of, formal healthcare and informal care costs associated with dementia and frailty.

BackgroundFor community-dwelling older persons with dementia, the presence of multimorbidity can create complex clinical challenges for both individuals and their physicians, and can contribute to poor outcomes. We quantified the associations between level of multimorbidity (chronic disease burden) and risk of hospitalization and risk of emergency department (ED) visit in a home care cohort with dementia and explored the role of continuity of physician care (COC) in modifying these relationships.Methods and findingsA retrospective cohort study using linked administrative and clinical data from Ontario, Canada, was conducted among 30,112 long-stay home care clients (mean age 83.0 ± 7.7 y) with dementia in 2012. Multivariable Fine-Gray regression models were used to determine associations between level of multimorbidity and 1-y risk of hospitalization and 1-y risk of ED visit, accounting for multiple competing risks (death and long-term care placement). Interaction terms were used to assess potential effect modification by COC. Multimorbidity was highly prevalent, with 35% (n = 10,568) of the cohort having five or more chronic conditions. In multivariable analyses, risk of hospitalization and risk of ED visit increased monotonically with level of multimorbidity: sub-hazards were 88% greater (sub-hazard ratio [sHR] = 1.88, 95% CI: 1.72-2.05, p < 0.001) and 63% greater (sHR = 1.63; 95% CI: 1.51-1.77, p < 0.001), respectively, among those with five or more conditions, relative to those with dementia alone or with dementia and one other condition. Low (versus high) COC was associated with an increased risk of both hospitalization and ED visit in age- and sex-adjusted analyses only (sHR = 1.11, 95% CI: 1.07-1.16, p < 0.001, for hospitalization; sHR = 1.07, 95% CI: 1.03-1.11, p = 0.001, for ED visit) but did not modify associations between multimorbidity and outcomes (Wald test for interaction, p = 0.566 for hospitalization and p = 0.637 for ED visit). The main limitations of this study include use of fixed (versus time-varying) covariates and focus on all-cause rather than cause-specific hospitalizations and ED visits, which could potentially inform interventions.ConclusionsOlder adults with dementia and multimorbidity pose a particular challenge for health systems. Findings from this study highlight the need to reshape models of care for this complex population, and to further investigate health system and other factors that may modify patients' risk of health outcomes.

BackgroundIt is not known whether equity-oriented primary care investment that seeks to scale up the delivery of effective care in disadvantaged communities can reduce health inequality within high-income settings that have pre-existing universal primary care systems. We provide some non-randomised controlled evidence by comparing health inequality trends between two similar jurisdictions-one of which implemented equity-oriented primary care investment in the mid-to-late 2000s as part of a cross-government strategy for reducing health inequality (England), and one which invested in primary care without any explicit equity objective (Ontario, Canada).MethodsWe analysed whole-population data on 32,482 neighbourhoods (with mean population size of approximately 1,500 people) in England, and 18,961 neighbourhoods (with mean population size of approximately 700 people) in Ontario. We examined trends in mortality amenable to healthcare by decile groups of neighbourhood deprivation within each jurisdiction. We used linear models to estimate absolute and relative gaps in amenable mortality between most and least deprived groups, considering the gradient between these extremes, and evaluated difference-in-difference comparisons between the two jurisdictions.ResultsInequality trends were comparable in both jurisdictions from 2004-6 but diverged from 2007-11. Compared with Ontario, the absolute gap in amenable mortality in England fell between 2004-6 and 2007-11 by 19.8 per 100,000 population (95% CI: 4.8 to 34.9); and the relative gap in amenable mortality fell by 10 percentage points (95% CI: 1 to 19). The biggest divergence occurred in the most deprived decile group of neighbourhoods.DiscussionIn comparison to Ontario, England succeeded in reducing absolute socioeconomic gaps in mortality amenable to healthcare from 2007 to 2011, and preventing them from growing in relative terms. Equity-oriented primary care reform in England in the mid-to-late 2000s may have helped to reduce socioeconomic inequality in health, though other explanations for this divergence are possible and further research is needed on the specific causal mechanisms.

To compare the timeliness of nongovernmental and governmental communications of infectious disease outbreaks and evaluate trends for each over time, we investigated the time elapsed from the beginning of an outbreak to public reporting of the event. We found that governmental sources improved the timeliness of public reporting of infectious disease outbreaks during the study period.