Search

This study analyzes the relationship between drought processes and crop yields in Moldova, together with the effects of possible future climate change on crops. The severity of drought is analyzed over time in Moldova using the Standard Precipitation Index, the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, and their relationship with crop yields. In addition, rainfall variability and its relationship with crop yields are examined using spectral analysis and squared wavelet coherence. Observed station data (1950–2020 and 1850–2020), ERA5 reanalysis data (1950–2020), and climate model simulations (period 1970–2100) are used. Crop yield data (maize, sunflower, grape), data from experimental plots (wheat), and the Enhanced Vegetation Index from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer satellites were also used. Results show that although the severity of meteorological droughts has decreased in the last 170 years, the impact of precipitation deficits on different crop yields has increased, concurrent with a sharp increase in temperature, which negatively affected crop yields. Annual crops are now more vulnerable to natural rainfall variability and, in years characterized by rainfall deficits, the possibility of reductions in crop yield increases due to sharp increases in temperature. Projections reveal a pessimistic outlook in the absence of adaptation, highlighting the urgency of developing new agricultural management strategies.

This study identifies significant periodicities in streamflow dynamics across western Europe using a hydrological database encompassing 1874 monthly series from catchments in Ireland, the United Kingdom, France, Spain and Portugal, spanning the years 1962 to 2012. Significant and synchronous periodicities with the main atmospheric mechanisms over the North Atlantic sector are also identified using Cross Wavelet Transform and Wavelet Coherence analysis. Principal Components Analysis (PCA) were applied to the different Wavelet transforms analysis in order to summarize the results. These show the occurrence of a 7-years streamflow cycle in a large proportion of catchments within the study domain since the mid 1980's that was not present in earlier periods. The significance, intensity and persistence of the observed regional cycle follows a spatial gradient around the English Channel. We show how the transitive coupling of key atmospheric mechanisms is an influencing factor causing the general change observed. These results suggest the occurrence of a regional change in the periodicities of streamflow across the western European domain. Our results emphasize the non-stationary interaction between streamflow and atmospheric circulation during recent decades and the prominent role of the North Atlantic Oscillation in the newly stablished streamflow cycles.

This study presents a new data set of gauged streamflow (N = 3,224) for Europe spanning the period 1962–2017. The Monthly Streamflow of Europe Dataset (MSED) is freely available at http://msed.csic.es/. Based on this data set, changes in the characteristics of hydrological drought (i.e., frequency, duration, and severity) were assessed for different regions of Europe. Due to the density of the database, it is possible to delimit spatial patterns in hydrological droughts trend with the greatest detail available to date. Results reveal bidirectional changes in monthly streamflow, with negative changes predominating over central and southern Europe, while positive trends dominate over northern Europe. Temporally, two dominant patterns were noted. The first pattern corresponds to a consistent downward trend in all months, evident for southern Europe. A second pattern was noted over central and northern Europe and western France, with a predominant negative trend during warm months and a positive trend in cold months. For hydrological drought events, results suggest a positive trend toward more frequent and severe droughts in southern and central Europe and conversely a negative trend over northern Europe. This study emphasizes that hydrological droughts show complex spatial patterns across Europe over the past six decades, implying that hydrological drought behavior in Europe has a regional character. Accordingly it is challenging to adopt “efficient” strategies and policies to monitor and mitigate drought impacts at the continental level.

This paper analyzes the influence of the interannual variability of climatic drought on ecological and hydrological droughts for a basin in the central Spanish Pyrenees using variables derived from observations and hydro-ecological simulation in order to determine the possible connection between meteorological, ecological and hydrological drought considering a cascading approach and encompassing different variables that give insights into water availability in the basin (e.g.,soil moisture, streamflow, reservoir storages and releases). Using different climatic, ecological and hydrological standardized drought indices, we show the greater role of meteorological droughts in hydrological systems than in ecological systems, and the small influence of vegetation activity and growth in explaining the interannual variability of water resources in the basin. By contrast, hydrological droughts are strongly affected by precipitation variability with relationships characterized by seasonal differences and the role of different time-scales in the standardized drought metrics.

This paper analyzesthe influence ofthe interannual variability of climatic drought on ecological and hydrological droughts fora basin inthe central Spanish Pyrenees using variablesderivedfrom observations and hydro-ecological simulationin order to determine the possible connection between meteorological, ecological and hydrological drought considering a cascading approach and encompassing different variables that give insights into wateravailability in the basin (e.g.,soil moisture, streamflow, reservoir storages and releases). Usingdifferent climatic, ecological and hydrological standardized drought indices, we showthegreaterrole of meteorologicaldroughts inhydrological systems than in ecological systems, and the small influence of vegetation activity and growth in explaining the interannual variability of water resources in the basin. By contrast,hydrological droughts are strongly affected by precipitation variability with relationships characterized by seasonal differences and the role of different time-scales in the standardized drought metrics, Este trabajo analiza la influencia de la variabilidad de la sequía meteorológica sobre las sequías ecológica e hidrológica en una cuenca del Pirineo central español. Para ello se utilizan variables derivadas de observaciones y simulación hidroecológica con la finalidad de determinar la posible conexión entre la sequía meteorológica, ecológica e hidrológica considerando un enfoque en cascada, de tal manera que abarca diferentes variables que aportan información sobre la disponibilidad de agua en la cuenca (p. ej., la humedad del suelo, el caudal, la reserva embalsada y las descargas de agua fuera del sistema). Utilizando diferentes índices de sequía estandarizados, tanto meteorológicos, ecológicos e hidrológicos, se ha comprobado la mayor importancia de las sequías meteorológicas en los sistemas hidrológicos que en los sistemas ecológicos, y la poca influencia de la actividad y el crecimiento de la vegetación en la explicación de la variabilidad interanual de los recursos hídricos en la cuenca. Por el contrario, las sequías hidrológicas se ven fuertemente afectadas por la variabilidad de las precipitaciones, pero con importantes diferencias estacionales y escalas de tiempo a la hora de medir las sequías

The Vapor Pressure Deficit (VPD) is one of the most relevant surface meteorological variables; with important implications in ecology, hydrology, and atmosphere. By understanding the processes involved in the variability and trend of the VPD, it is possible to assess the possible impacts and implications related to both physical and human environments, like plant function, water use efficiency, net ecosystem production, atmospheric CO2 growth rate, etc. This study analysed recent temporal variability and trends in VPD in Spain between 1980 and 2020 using a recently developed high-quality dataset. Also, the connection between VPD and soil moisture and other key climate variables (e.g. air temperature, precipitation, and relative humidity) was assessed on different time scales varying from weekly to annual. The objective was to determine if changes in land-atmosphere feedbacks connected with soil moisture and evapotranspiration anomalies have been relevant to assess the interannual variability and trends in VPD. Results demonstrate that VPD exhibited a clear seasonality and dominant positive trends on both the seasonal (mainly spring and summer) and annual scales. Rather, trends were statistically non-significant (p > 0.05) during winter and autumn. Spatially, VPD positive trends were more pronounced in southern and eastern of Spain. Also, results suggest that recent trends of VPD shows low contribution of variables that drive land-atmosphere feedbacks (e.g. evapotranspiration, and soil moisture) in comparison to the role of global warming processes. Notably, the variability of VPD seems to be less coupled with soil moisture variability during summertime, while it is better interrelated during winter, indicating that VPD variability would be mostly related to climate variability mechanisms that control temperature and relative humidity than to land-atmosohere feedbacks. Overall, our findings highlight the importance of assessing driving forces and physical mechanisms

Drought monitoring systems are real-time information systems focused on drought severity data. They are useful for determining the drought onset and development and defining the spatial extent of drought at any time. Effective drought monitoring requires databases with high spatial and temporal resolution and large spatial and temporal coverage. Recent reanalysis datasets meet these requirements and offer an excellent alternative to observational data. In addition, reanalysis data allow better quantification of some variables that affect drought severity and are more seldom observed. This study presents a global drought dataset and a monitoring system based on the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and ERA5 reanalysis data. Computation of the atmospheric evaporative demand for the SPEI follows the FAO-56 Penman-Monteith equation. The system is updated weekly, providing near real-time information at a 0.5° spatial resolution and global coverage. It also contains a historical dataset with the values of the SPEI at different time scales since January 1979. The drought monitoring system includes the assessment of drought severity for dominant crop-growing areas. A comparison between SPEI computed from the ERA5 and CRU datasets shows generally good spatial and temporal agreement, albeit with some important differences originating mainly from the different spatial patterns of SPEI anomalies, as well as from employing long-term climate trends for different regions worldwide. The results show that the ERA5 dataset offers robust results and supports its use for drought monitoring. The new system and dataset are publicly available at the link https://global-drought-crops.csic.es/.

Using observations and model simulations from the 5th and 6th phases of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5 and CMIP6, respectively), this study evaluated changes in monthly, seasonal, and annual precipitation over Bolivia from 1950 to 2019. Results demonstrate that observed precipitation is characterized by strong interannual and decadal variability. However, long-term precipitation trends were not identified on the annual scale. Similarly, changes in seasonal precipitation were almost nonsignificant (p > .05) for the study period. Spatially, albeit with its complex orography, no substantial regional variations in observed precipitation trends can be identified across Bolivia. In contrast, long-term precipitation trends, based on CMIP5 and CMIP6 models, suggest a dominance of negative trends, mainly during austral winter (JJA) (−10%) and spring (SON) (−15%). These negative trends were more pronounced in the lowlands of Bolivia (−20%). Overall, these contradictory results highlight the need for validating precipitation trend outputs from model simulations, especially in areas of complex topography like Bolivia.

The Vapor Pressure Deficit (VPD) is one of the most relevant surface meteorological variables; with important implications in ecology, hydrology, and atmosphere. By understanding the processes involved in the variability and trend of the VPD, it is possible to assess the possible impacts and implications related to both physical and human environments, like plant function, water use efficiency, net ecosystem production, atmospheric CO2 growth rate, etc. This study analysed recent temporal variability and trends in VPD in Spain between 1980 and 2020 using a recently developed high-quality dataset. Also, the connection between VPD and soil moisture and other key climate variables (e.g. air temperature, precipitation, and relative humidity) was assessed on different time scales varying from weekly to annual. The objective was to determine if changes in land-atmosphere feedbacks connected with soil moisture and evapotranspiration anomalies have been relevant to assess the interannual variability and trends in VPD. Results demonstrate that VPD exhibited a clear seasonality and dominant positive trends on both the seasonal (mainly spring and summer) and annual scales. Rather, trends were statistically non-significant (p > 0.05) during winter and autumn. Spatially, VPD positive trends were more pronounced in southern and eastern of Spain. Also, results suggest that recent trends of VPD shows low contribution of variables that drive land-atmosphere feedbacks (e.g. evapotranspiration, and soil moisture) in comparison to the role of global warming processes. Notably, the variability of VPD seems to be less coupled with soil moisture variability during summertime, while it is better interrelated during winter, indicating that VPD variability would be mostly related to climate variability mechanisms that control temperature and relative humidity than to land-atmosohere feedbacks. Overall, our findings highlight the importance of assessing driving forces and physical mechanisms

[EN] This paper analyzes the influence of the interannual variability of climatic drought on ecological and hydrological droughts for a basin in the central Spanish Pyrenees using variables derived from observations and hydro-ecological simulation in order to determine the possible connection between meteorological, ecological and hydrological drought considering a cascading approach and encompassing different variables that give insights into water availability in the basin (e.g., soil moisture, streamflow, reservoir storages and releases). Using different climatic, ecological and hydrological standardized drought indices, we show the greater role of meteorological droughts in hydrological systems than in ecological systems, and the small influence of vegetation activity and growth in explaining the interannual variability of water resources in the basin. By contrast,hydrological droughts are strongly affected by precipitation variability with relationships characterized by seasonal differences and the role of different time-scales in the standardized drought metrics., [ES] Este trabajo analiza la influencia de la variabilidad de la sequía meteorológica sobre las sequías ecológica e hidrológica en una cuenca del Pirineo central español. Para ello se utilizan variables derivadas de observaciones y simulación hidroecológica con la finalidad de determinar la posible conexión entre la sequía meteorológica, ecológica e hidrológica considerando un enfoque en cascada, de tal manera que abarca diferentes variables que aportan información sobre la disponibilidad de agua en la cuenca (p. ej., la humedad del suelo, el caudal, la reserva embalsada y las descargas de agua fuera del sistema). Utilizando diferentes índices de sequía estandarizados, tanto meteorológicos, ecológicos e hidrológicos, se ha comprobado la mayor importancia de las sequías meteorológicas en los sistemas hidrológicos que en los sistemas ecológicos, y la poca influencia de la actividad y el crecimiento de la vegetación en la explicación de la variabilidad interanual de los recursos hídricos en la cuenca. Por el contrario, las sequías hidrológicas se ven fuertemente afectadas por la variabilidad de las precipitaciones, pero con importantes diferencias estacionales y escalas de tiempo a la hora de medir las sequías.

El presente estudio tiene como objetivo evaluar la accesibilidad, disponibilidad y capacidad de los espacios verdes de Sevilla, así como analizar la medida de distanciamiento social que impuso el gobierno de España como consecuencia de la pandemia COVID-19. Para ello se realizaron análisis de redes con la distribución espacial de la población de Sevilla y los puntos de acceso a los espacios verdes del municipio. En concreto, se calculó el recorrido más cercano al espacio verde para cada punto de la malla estadística, creando una topología de red a través de los tramos del viario del Callejero Digital de Andalucía. La distancia media para acceder a un espacio verde en Sevilla es de 621 m y un 64% de la población reside a menos de 500 m de un espacio verde. Aplicando medidas de control de acceso, el 70% de los 10 parques con mayor cobertura poblacional serían seguros frente a la pandemia incluso si estuviesen al máximo de su capacidad. Los espacios verdes favorecen la resiliencia en las ciudades, por ello es necesario promover su acceso, además de mantener estos espacios abiertos para la realización de actividades al aire libre durante situaciones de crisis.

The availability of water resources is a major challenge of the Mediterranean region. Intense land use transformation has impacted the headwaters of river basins that generate most of the water resources, reducing streamflow This study analyses the evolution of hydrological and climatic drought in headwater catchments of Spain and it explores the extent to which vegetation can reinforce trends in hydrological drought severity in comparison to the evolution of cFlimatic drought severity. We have used the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index and Standardized Streamflow Index to examine hydrological and climatic drought, respectively, and examined the changes in the frequency, magnitude, and duration of climatic and hydrologic droughts over non-perturbed headwater catchments of Spain from 1961 to 2013. We quantified vegetation changes over time in the analysed catchments and we compared the changes in the climatic and hydrological droughts with changes in vegetation coverage using Pearson’s r correlations and linear regression model. The results show that the trends toward higher frequency, duration and severity of hydrological droughts are more marked than the observed trends in climatic droughts, which can be associated to the dominant increase in vegetation coverage and activity in the study domain. Finally, it is concluded that the spatial differences observed between the trends of climatic and hydrological droughts show some relationship with the patterns of forest succession observed in recent decades. Our results stress the relevance of land transformation processes on trends in water resources availability, particularly during periods of climatic droughts in which competence between vegetation water consumption and streamflow production is much more relevant.

Attribution of trends in streamflow is complex, but essential, in identifying optimal management options for water resources. Disagreement remains on the relative role of climate change and human factors, including water abstractions and land cover change, in driving change in annual streamflow. We construct a very dense network of gauging stations (n = 1,874) from Ireland, the United Kingdom, France, Spain, and Portugal for the period of 1961–2012 to detect and then attribute changes in annual streamflow. Using regression‐based techniques, we show that climate (precipitation and atmospheric evaporative demand) explains many of the observed trends in northwest Europe, while for southwest Europe human disturbances better explain both temporal and spatial trends. For the latter, large increases in irrigated areas, agricultural intensification, and natural revegetation of marginal lands are inferred to be the dominant drivers of decreases in streamflow.