39 results on '"Lockery J"'
Search Results
2. Prediction of disability-free survival in healthy older people
- Author
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Neumann, J.T., Thao, L.T.P., Murray, A.M., Callander, E., Carr, P.R., Nelson, M.R., Wolfe, R., Woods, R.L., Reid, Christopher, Shah, R.C., Newman, A.B., Williamson, J.D., Tonkin, A.M., McNeil, J.J., Murray, A., Beilin, L., Chan, A., Demons, J., Ernst, M., Espinoza, S., Goetz, M., Johnston, C., Kirpach, B., Liew, D., Margolis, K., Meyskens, F., Nelson, M., Reid, C., Shah, R., Storey, E., Woods, R., Zalcberg, J., Ives, D., Berk, M., Bernstein, W., Brauer, D., Burns, C., Chong, T., Cloud, G., Donnan, G., Eaton, C., Fitzgerald, P., Gibbs, P., Haydon, A., Jelinek, M., Macrae, F., Mahady, S., Malik, M., McLean, C., Newman, A., Rodriguez, L., Satterfield, S., van Londen, G., Ward, S., Williamson, J., Wood, E., Mohr, J., Anderson, G., Connolly, S., Friedman, L., Manson, J.A., Sano, M., Morrison, S., Ohman, E.M., Abhayaratna, W., Lockett, T., Stocks, N., Lewis, B., Obisesan, T., Gilbertson, D., Lockery, J., Rigby, J., Neumann, J.T., Thao, L.T.P., Murray, A.M., Callander, E., Carr, P.R., Nelson, M.R., Wolfe, R., Woods, R.L., Reid, Christopher, Shah, R.C., Newman, A.B., Williamson, J.D., Tonkin, A.M., McNeil, J.J., Murray, A., Beilin, L., Chan, A., Demons, J., Ernst, M., Espinoza, S., Goetz, M., Johnston, C., Kirpach, B., Liew, D., Margolis, K., Meyskens, F., Nelson, M., Reid, C., Shah, R., Storey, E., Woods, R., Zalcberg, J., Ives, D., Berk, M., Bernstein, W., Brauer, D., Burns, C., Chong, T., Cloud, G., Donnan, G., Eaton, C., Fitzgerald, P., Gibbs, P., Haydon, A., Jelinek, M., Macrae, F., Mahady, S., Malik, M., McLean, C., Newman, A., Rodriguez, L., Satterfield, S., van Londen, G., Ward, S., Williamson, J., Wood, E., Mohr, J., Anderson, G., Connolly, S., Friedman, L., Manson, J.A., Sano, M., Morrison, S., Ohman, E.M., Abhayaratna, W., Lockett, T., Stocks, N., Lewis, B., Obisesan, T., Gilbertson, D., Lockery, J., and Rigby, J.
- Abstract
Prolonging survival in good health is a fundamental societal goal. However, the leading determinants of disability-free survival in healthy older people have not been well established. Data from ASPREE, a bi-national placebo-controlled trial of aspirin with 4.7 years median follow-up, was analysed. At enrolment, participants were healthy and without prior cardiovascular events, dementia or persistent physical disability. Disability-free survival outcome was defined as absence of dementia, persistent disability or death. Selection of potential predictors from amongst 25 biomedical, psychosocial and lifestyle variables including recognized geriatric risk factors, utilizing a machine-learning approach. Separate models were developed for men and women. The selected predictors were evaluated in a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model and validated internally by bootstrapping. We included 19,114 Australian and US participants aged ≥65 years (median 74 years, IQR 71.6–77.7). Common predictors of a worse prognosis in both sexes included higher age, lower Modified Mini-Mental State Examination score, lower gait speed, lower grip strength and abnormal (low or elevated) body mass index. Additional risk factors for men included current smoking, and abnormal eGFR. In women, diabetes and depression were additional predictors. The biased-corrected areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves for the final prognostic models at 5 years were 0.72 for men and 0.75 for women. Final models showed good calibration between the observed and predicted risks. We developed a prediction model in which age, cognitive function and gait speed were the strongest predictors of disability-free survival in healthy older people. Trial registration Clinicaltrials.gov (NCT01038583).
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- 2022
3. ASSOCIATIONS BETWEEN METFORMIN AND ASPIRIN USE ON CANCER INCIDENCE AND MORTALITY IN OLDER ADULTS.
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Orchard, S, Broder, J, Lockery, J, Gibbs, P, Espinoza, S, Ernst, M, Woods, R, McNeil, J, Orchard, S, Broder, J, Lockery, J, Gibbs, P, Espinoza, S, Ernst, M, Woods, R, and McNeil, J
- Abstract
Diabetes increases risk of malignancies, and this association increases with age. Metformin may protect against cancer development and progression, but results are mixed and limited to younger cohorts. We examined whether metformin, in the presence or absence of aspirin, reduces incident cancer and cancer-related mortality in older adults. ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) was a primary prevention trial of daily aspirin vs placebo which enrolled community-dwelling adults from Australia (70+ years) and the US (65+ years for minorities) followed for a median of 4.7 years. Invasive cancer was adjudicated by an expert panel. Cox proportional-hazards models, controlling for age at randomization and known cancer risk factors, were used to analyse the relationship between baseline metformin use, randomized treatment arm, cancer incidence (first in-trial cancer) and mortality. For participants with controlled diabetes, there was a significant reduction in cancer mortality in metformin users compared to nonusers (Adjusted [Adj] HR=0.24, 95%CI=0.07, 0.80), but not for cancer incidence (Adj HR=0.61, 95%CI=0.29, 1.27). For participants with uncontrolled diabetes, there was no significant difference in cancer incidence (Adj HR=0.95, 95%CI=0.66, 1.38) or mortality (Adj HR=1.18, 95%CI=0.62, 2.26) between metformin and non-metformin users. Uncontrolled diabetes, irrespective of metformin use, increased risk of cancer incidence and mortality compared to non-diabetics. Aspirin did not modify the effect of metformin on cancer incidence or mortality. Our findings show that metformin may have protective effects against cancer-related mortality for those older persons whose diabetes is well-controlled, and underscores the importance of diabetes control to minimise cancer risk.
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- 2021
4. Evaluation of the Pain Impact Index for Community-Dwelling Older Adults Through the Application of Rasch Modelling
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Gilmartin-Thomas, JF-M, Forbes, A, Liew, D, McNeil, JJ, Cicuttini, FM, Owen, AJ, Ernst, ME, Nelson, MR, Lockery, J, Ward, SA, Busija, L, Group, ASPREEI, Gilmartin-Thomas, JF-M, Forbes, A, Liew, D, McNeil, JJ, Cicuttini, FM, Owen, AJ, Ernst, ME, Nelson, MR, Lockery, J, Ward, SA, Busija, L, and Group, ASPREEI
- Abstract
OBJECTIVE: Evaluate the Pain Impact Index, a simple, brief, easy-to-use, and novel tool to assess the impact of chronic pain in community-dwelling older adults. METHODS: A Rasch modelling analysis was undertaken in Stata using a partial credit model suited to the Likert-type items that comprised the Index. The Index was evaluated for ordering of category thresholds, unidimensionality, overall fit to the Rasch model, measurement bias (Differential Item Functioning, DIF), targeting, and construct validity. RESULTS: The four-item Pain Impact Index was self-completed by 6454 community-dwelling Australians who were aged at least 70 years and experienced pain on most days. Two items showed evidence of threshold disordering, and this was resolved by collapsing response categories (from 5 to 3) for all items. The rescored Index conformed to the unidimensionality assumption and had satisfactory fit with the Rasch model (analyses conducted on a reduced sample size to mitigate the potential for overpowering: n = 377, P > 0.0125, power > 77%). When considering uniform DIF, the most frequent sources of measurement bias were age, knee pain, and upper back pain. When considering nonuniform DIF, the most frequent source of measurement bias was knee pain. The Index had good ability to differentiate between respondents with different levels of pain impact and had highest measurement precision for respondents located around the average level of pain impact in the study sample. Both convergent and discriminant validity of the Index were supported. CONCLUSION: The Pain Impact Index showed evidence of unidimensionality, was able to successfully differentiate between levels of pain impact, and had good evidence of construct validity.
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- 2021
5. Impact of the 2017 AmericanHeart Association and American College of Cardiology hypertension guideline in aged individuals
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Chowdhury, Enayet, Ernst, M.E., Nelson, M., Margolis, K., Beilin, L.J., Johnston, C., Woods, R., Murray, A., Wolfe, R., Storey, E., Shah, R.C., Lockery, J., Tonkin, A., Newman, A., Abhayaratna, W., Stocks, N., Fitzgerald, S., Orchard, S., Trevaks, R., Donnan, G., Grimm, R., McNeil, J., Reid, Christopher, Chowdhury, Enayet, Ernst, M.E., Nelson, M., Margolis, K., Beilin, L.J., Johnston, C., Woods, R., Murray, A., Wolfe, R., Storey, E., Shah, R.C., Lockery, J., Tonkin, A., Newman, A., Abhayaratna, W., Stocks, N., Fitzgerald, S., Orchard, S., Trevaks, R., Donnan, G., Grimm, R., McNeil, J., and Reid, Christopher
- Abstract
Objectives: The AHA/ACC-2017 hypertension guideline recommends an age-independent target blood pressure (BP) of less than 130/80 mmHg. In an elderly cohort without established cardiovascular disease (CVD) at baseline, we determined the impact of this guideline on the prevalence of hypertension and associated CVD risk. Methods: Nineteen thousand, one hundred and fourteen participants aged at least 65 years from the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) study were grouped by baseline BP: 'pre-2017 hypertensive' (BP <140/90mmHg and/or on antihypertensive drugs); 'reclassified hypertensive' (normotensive by pre-2017 guidelines; hypertensive by AHA/ACC-2017 guideline), and 'normotensive' (BP <130 and <80 mmHg). For each group, we evaluated CVD risk factors, predicted 10-year CVD risk using the Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD) risk equation, and reported observed CVD event rates during a median 4.7-year follow-up. Results: Overall, 74.4% (14 213/19 114) were 'pre-2017 hypertensive'; an additional 12.3% (2354/19 114) were 'reclassified hypertensive' by the AHA/ACC-2017 guideline. Of those 'reclassified hypertensive', the majority (94.5%) met criteria for antihypertensive treatment although 29% had no other traditional CVD risk factors other than age. Further, a relatively lower mean 10-year predicted CVD risk (18% versus 26%, P<0.001) and lower CVD rates (8.9 versus 12.1/1000 person-years, P=0.01) were observed in 'reclassified hypertensive' compared with 'pre-2017 hypertensive'. Compared with 'normotensive', a hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for CVD events of 1.60 (1.26-2.02) for 'pre-2017 hypertensive' and 1.26 (0.93-1.71) for 'reclassified hypertensive' was observed. Conclusion: Applying current CVD risk calculators in the elderly 'reclassified hypertensive', as a result of shifting the BP threshold lower, increases eligibility for antihypertensive treatment but documented CVD rates remain lower than hypertensive patients defined by pre
- Published
- 2020
6. Baseline Characteristics of Participants in the ASPREE (Aspirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly) Study
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McNeil, J., Woods, R., Nelson, M., Murray, A., Reid, Christopher, Kirpach, B., Storey, E., Shah, R., Wolfe, R., Tonkin, A., Newman, A., Williamson, J., Lockery, J., Margolis, K., Ernst, M., Abhayaratna, W., Stocks, N., Fitzgerald, S., Trevaks, R., Orchard, S., Beilin, L., Donnan, G., Gibbs, P., Johnston, C., Grimm, R., ASPREE Investigator Group, McNeil, J., Woods, R., Nelson, M., Murray, A., Reid, Christopher, Kirpach, B., Storey, E., Shah, R., Wolfe, R., Tonkin, A., Newman, A., Williamson, J., Lockery, J., Margolis, K., Ernst, M., Abhayaratna, W., Stocks, N., Fitzgerald, S., Trevaks, R., Orchard, S., Beilin, L., Donnan, G., Gibbs, P., Johnston, C., Grimm, R., and ASPREE Investigator Group
- Abstract
This is a correction to: The Journals of Gerontology: Series A, Volume 72, Issue 11, November 2017, Pages 1586–1593, https://doi.org/10.1093/gerona/glw342 In the article “Baseline Characteristics of Participants in the ASPREE (ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly) Study”, values for CES-D-10 score 8+ in Table 3 were incorrect. The original data were for scores of >8 for the CES-D-10. The correct data for CES-D-10 scores of 8+, as numbers and percentages, are 1077 (10%) for 65–74 years, 724 (10%) for 75–84 years, 78 (11%) for (85+ years) and 1879 (10%) for Overall.
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- 2019
7. Normative performance of healthy older individuals on the Modified Mini-Mental State (3MS) examination according to ethno-racial group, gender, age, and education level
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Ryan, J., Woods, R., Britt, C., Murray, A., Shah, R., Reid, Christopher, Kirpach, B., Wolfe, R., Nelson, M., Lockery, J., Orchard, S., Trevaks, R., McNeil, J., Storey, E., Ryan, J., Woods, R., Britt, C., Murray, A., Shah, R., Reid, Christopher, Kirpach, B., Wolfe, R., Nelson, M., Lockery, J., Orchard, S., Trevaks, R., McNeil, J., and Storey, E.
- Abstract
Objective: To present normative performance data on the Modified Mini-Mental State (3MS) examination for healthy community-dwelling older individuals according to gender, age, education level, and ethno-racial group. Method: More than 19,000 generally healthy older men and women without a diagnosis of dementia were recruited from the general population in Australia and the U.S. for the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) study. The 3MS exam was administered as part of the baseline screening and individuals scoring above 77 were eligible to participate. Results: The sample comprised 16,360 Australian whites, 1080 U.S. whites, 895 African-Americans and 316 Hispanic/Latinos. The median age of participants was 74 years (range 65–98), with an average of 12 years of education and 56% were female. Increasing age and fewer years of completed education were associated with lower scores on the 3MS. Women scored higher than men in most age and education categories. Differences across ethno-racial groups were found. With factor analysis, four factors were identified which accounted for 35% of the between-person variance in 3MS scores for white Australians. Conclusions: This large cohort of older individuals provides some of the most comprehensive 3MS normative data to be generated for whites (Australian and U.S.), Hispanic/Latinos and African-Americans, by age, gender, and educational attainment. These findings will serve as important reference standards for monitoring cognitive function in generally healthy older individuals, becoming increasingly important as this fraction of the population increases.
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- 2018
8. Effect of aspirin on all-cause mortality in the healthy elderly
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McNeil, J., Nelson, M., Woods, R., Lockery, J., Wolfe, R., Reid, Christopher, Kirpach, B., Shah, R., Ives, D., Storey, E., Ryan, J., Tonkin, A., Newman, A., Williamson, J., Margolis, K., Ernst, M., Abhayaratna, W., Stocks, N., Fitzgerald, S., Orchard, S., Trevaks, R., Beilin, L., Donnan, G., Gibbs, P., Johnston, C., Radziszewska, B., Grimm, R., Murray, A., McNeil, J., Nelson, M., Woods, R., Lockery, J., Wolfe, R., Reid, Christopher, Kirpach, B., Shah, R., Ives, D., Storey, E., Ryan, J., Tonkin, A., Newman, A., Williamson, J., Margolis, K., Ernst, M., Abhayaratna, W., Stocks, N., Fitzgerald, S., Orchard, S., Trevaks, R., Beilin, L., Donnan, G., Gibbs, P., Johnston, C., Radziszewska, B., Grimm, R., and Murray, A.
- Abstract
Background: In the primary analysis of the Aspirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) trial, now published in the Journal, we report that the daily use of aspirin did not provide a benefit with regard to the primary end point of disability-free survival among older adults. A numerically higher rate of the secondary end point of death from any cause was observed with aspirin than with placebo. Methods: From 2010 through 2014, we enrolled community-dwelling persons in Australia and the United States who were 70 years of age or older (or =65 years of age among blacks and Hispanics in the United States) and did not have cardiovascular disease, dementia, or disability. Participants were randomly assigned to receive 100 mg of enteric-coated aspirin or placebo. Deaths were classified according to the underlying cause by adjudicators who were unaware of trial-group assignments. Hazard ratios were calculated to compare mortality between the aspirin group and the placebo group, and post hoc exploratory analyses of specific causes of death were performed. Results: Of the 19,114 persons who were enrolled, 9525 were assigned to receive aspirin and 9589 to receive placebo. A total of 1052 deaths occurred during a median of 4.7 years of follow-up. The risk of death from any cause was 12.7 events per 1000 person-years in the aspirin group and 11.1 events per 1000 person-years in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 1.14; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01 to 1.29). Cancer was the major contributor to the higher mortality in the aspirin group, accounting for 1.6 excess deaths per 1000 person-years. Cancer-related death occurred in 3.1% of the participants in the aspirin group and in 2.3% of those in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.10 to 1.56). Conclusions: Higher all-cause mortality was observed among apparently healthy older adults who received daily aspirin than among those who received placebo and was attributed primarily to cancer-related death. In the conte
- Published
- 2018
9. Effect of aspirin on disability-free survival in the healthy elderly
- Author
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McNeil, J., Woods, R., Nelson, M., Reid, Christopher, Kirpach, B., Wolfe, R., Storey, E., Shah, R., Lockery, J., Tonkin, A., Newman, A., Williamson, J., Margolis, K., Ernst, M., Abhayaratna, W., Stocks, N., Fitzgerald, S., Orchard, S., Trevaks, R., Beilin, L., Donnan, G., Gibbs, P., Johnston, C., Ryan, J., Radziszewska, B., Grimm, R., Murray, A., McNeil, J., Woods, R., Nelson, M., Reid, Christopher, Kirpach, B., Wolfe, R., Storey, E., Shah, R., Lockery, J., Tonkin, A., Newman, A., Williamson, J., Margolis, K., Ernst, M., Abhayaratna, W., Stocks, N., Fitzgerald, S., Orchard, S., Trevaks, R., Beilin, L., Donnan, G., Gibbs, P., Johnston, C., Ryan, J., Radziszewska, B., Grimm, R., and Murray, A.
- Abstract
Background: Information on the use of aspirin to increase healthy independent life span in older persons is limited. Whether 5 years of daily low-dose aspirin therapy would extend disabilityfree life in healthy seniors is unclear. Methods: From 2010 through 2014, we enrolled community-dwelling persons in Australia and the United States who were 70 years of age or older (or =65 years of age among blacks and Hispanics in the United States) and did not have cardiovascular disease, dementia, or physical disability. Participants were randomly assigned to receive 100 mg per day of enteric-coated aspirin or placebo orally. The primary end point was a composite of death, dementia, or persistent physical disability. Secondary end points reported in this article included the individual components of the primary end point and major hemorrhage. Results: A total of 19,114 persons with a median age of 74 years were enrolled, of whom 9525 were randomly assigned to receive aspirin and 9589 to receive placebo. A total of 56.4% of the participants were women, 8.7% were nonwhite, and 11.0% reported previous regular aspirin use. The trial was terminated at a median of 4.7 years of follow-up after a determination was made that there would be no benefit with continued aspirin use with regard to the primary end point. The rate of the composite of death, dementia, or persistent physical disability was 21.5 events per 1000 person-years in the aspirin group and 21.2 per 1000 person-years in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 1.01; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.92 to 1.11; P = 0.79). The rate of adherence to the assigned intervention was 62.1% in the aspirin group and 64.1% in the placebo group in the final year of trial participation. Differences between the aspirin group and the placebo group were not substantial with regard to the secondary individual end points of death from any cause (12.7 events per 1000 person-years in the aspirin group and 11.1 events per 1000 person-years in the plac
- Published
- 2018
10. Quality of Life for 19,114 participants in the ASPREE (ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly) study and their association with sociodemographic and modifiable lifestyle risk factors
- Author
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Stocks, N., González-Chica, D., Woods, R., Lockery, J., Wolfe, R., Murray, A., Kirpach, B., Shah, R., Nelson, M., Reid, Christopher, Ernst, M., McNeil, J., Stocks, N., González-Chica, D., Woods, R., Lockery, J., Wolfe, R., Murray, A., Kirpach, B., Shah, R., Nelson, M., Reid, Christopher, Ernst, M., and McNeil, J.
- Abstract
Purpose: To explore the relationship between sociodemographic and lifestyle variables with health-related quality of life (HRQoL) of a large cohort of ‘healthy’ older individuals. Methods: The sample included individuals aged 65+ years from Australia (N = 16,703) and the USA (N = 2411) enrolled in the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) multicentre placebo-controlled trial study and free of cardiovascular disease, dementia, serious physical disabilities or ‘fatal’ illnesses. The associations with the physical (PCS) and mental component scores (MCS) of HRQoL (SF-12 questionnaire) were explored using multiple linear regression models from data collected at baseline (2010–2014). Results: The adjusted PCS mean was slightly higher in the USA (49.5 ± 9.1) than Australia (48.2 ± 11.6; p < 0.001), but MCS was similar in both samples (55.7 ± 7.5 and 55.7 ± 9.6, respectively; p = 0.603). Males, younger participants, better educated, more active individuals, or those currently drinking 1–2 alcoholic drinks/day showed a better HRQoL (results more evident for PCS than MCS), while current heavy smokers had the lowest physical HRQoL in both countries. Neither age, walking time, nor alcohol intake was associated with MCS in either cohort. Conclusions: Baseline HRQoL of ASPREE participants was higher than that reported in population-based studies of older individuals, but the associations between sociodemographic and lifestyle variables were consistent with the published literature. As the cohort ages and develops chronic diseases, ASPREE will be able to document HRQoL changes.
- Published
- 2018
11. Effect of aspirin on cardiovascular events and bleeding in the healthy elderly
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McNeil, J., Wolfe, R., Woods, R., Tonkin, A., Donnan, G., Nelson, M., Reid, Christopher, Lockery, J., Kirpach, B., Storey, E., Shah, R., Williamson, J., Margolis, K., Ernst, M., Abhayaratna, W., Stocks, N., Fitzgerald, S., Orchard, S., Trevaks, R., Beilin, L., Johnston, C., Ryan, J., Radziszewska, B., Jelinek, M., Malik, M., Eaton, C., Brauer, D., Cloud, G., Wood, E., Mahady, S., Satterfield, S., Grimm, R., Murray, A., McNeil, J., Wolfe, R., Woods, R., Tonkin, A., Donnan, G., Nelson, M., Reid, Christopher, Lockery, J., Kirpach, B., Storey, E., Shah, R., Williamson, J., Margolis, K., Ernst, M., Abhayaratna, W., Stocks, N., Fitzgerald, S., Orchard, S., Trevaks, R., Beilin, L., Johnston, C., Ryan, J., Radziszewska, B., Jelinek, M., Malik, M., Eaton, C., Brauer, D., Cloud, G., Wood, E., Mahady, S., Satterfield, S., Grimm, R., and Murray, A.
- Abstract
Background: Aspirin is a well-established therapy for the secondary prevention of cardiovascular events. However, its role in the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease is unclear, especially in older persons, who have an increased risk. Methods: From 2010 through 2014, we enrolled community-dwelling men and women in Australia and the United States who were 70 years of age or older (or =65 years of age among blacks and Hispanics in the United States) and did not have cardiovascular disease, dementia, or disability. Participants were randomly assigned to receive 100 mg of enteric-coated aspirin or placebo. The primary end point was a composite of death, dementia, or persistent physical disability; results for this end point are reported in another article in the Journal. Secondary end points included major hemorrhage and cardiovascular disease (defined as fatal coronary heart disease, nonfatal myocardial infarction, fatal or nonfatal stroke, or hospitalization for heart failure). Results: Of the 19,114 persons who were enrolled in the trial, 9525 were assigned to receive aspirin and 9589 to receive placebo. After a median of 4.7 years of follow-up, the rate of cardiovascular disease was 10.7 events per 1000 person-years in the aspirin group and 11.3 events per 1000 person-years in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 0.95; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.83 to 1.08). The rate of major hemorrhage was 8.6 events per 1000 person-years and 6.2 events per 1000 person-years, respectively (hazard ratio, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.18 to 1.62; P<0.001). Conclusions: The use of low-dose aspirin as a primary prevention strategy in older adults resulted in a significantly higher risk of major hemorrhage and did not result in a significantly lower risk of cardiovascular disease than placebo.
- Published
- 2018
12. The aspirin in reducing events in the elderly trial: Statistical analysis plan
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Wolfe, R., Murray, A., Woods, R., Kirpach, B., Gilbertson, D., Shah, R., Nelson, M., Reid, Christopher, Ernst, M., Lockery, J., Donnan, G., Williamson, J., McNeil, J., Wolfe, R., Murray, A., Woods, R., Kirpach, B., Gilbertson, D., Shah, R., Nelson, M., Reid, Christopher, Ernst, M., Lockery, J., Donnan, G., Williamson, J., and McNeil, J.
- Abstract
Rationale: Aspirin has positive and negative effects on a number of age-related chronic conditions and there is uncertainty regarding its role in primary prevention in people aged 70 years and over. Aims: To assess whether daily active treatment of 100 mg enteric-coated aspirin will extend the duration of disability-free life in healthy older participants. Design: A double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled primary prevention trial undertaken in Australia and the United States with careful adjudication of endpoints including stroke. Study outcome: In Australia 16,703 individuals were recruited through general practices across five states and territories, and in the United States, 2411 participants were recruited through 34 clinical sites across the country. Follow-up of participants will finish at the end of 2017 with average follow-up exceeding 4.25 years per person. Discussion: The statistical analysis plan for ASPREE, finalized after closure of recruitment but before the end of patient follow-up, outlines the primary analyses and a range of subgroup and sensitivity analyses. (International Standard Randomized Controlled Trial Number Register ISRCTN83772183 and clinicaltrials.gov Number NCT01038583).
- Published
- 2018
13. Age-related macular degeneration in a randomized controlled trial of low-dose aspirin: Rationale and study design of the ASPREE-AMD study.
- Author
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Lockery J., Ward S., Wolfe R., Phung J., Hodgson L., Makeyeva G., Aung K.Z., Gilbert T., Le-Pham Y.-A., McNeil J., Reid C., Nelson M., Ernst M.E., Reid D., Abhayaratna W., Storey E., Orchard S., Robman L., Guymer R., Woods R., Lockery J., Ward S., Wolfe R., Phung J., Hodgson L., Makeyeva G., Aung K.Z., Gilbert T., Le-Pham Y.-A., McNeil J., Reid C., Nelson M., Ernst M.E., Reid D., Abhayaratna W., Storey E., Orchard S., Robman L., Guymer R., and Woods R.
- Abstract
Purpose Although aspirin therapy is used widely in older adults for prevention of cardiovascular disease, its impact on the incidence, progression and severity of age-related macular degeneration (AMD) is uncertain. The effect of low-dose aspirin on the course of AMD will be evaluated in this clinical trial. Design A sub-study of the 'ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly' (ASPREE) trial, ASPREE-AMD is a 5-year follow-up double-blind, placebo-controlled, randomized trial of the effect of 100 mg daily aspirin on the course of AMD in 5000 subjects aged 70 years or older, with normal cognitive function and without cardiovascular disease at baseline. Non-mydriatic fundus photography will be performed at baseline, 3-year and 5-year follow-up to determine AMD status. Primary outcome measures The incidence and progression of AMD. Exploratory analyses will determine whether aspirin affects the risk of retinal hemorrhage in late AMD, and whether other factors, such as genotype, systemic disease, inflammatory biomarkers, influence the effect of aspirin on AMD. Conclusion The study findings will be of significant clinical and public interest due to a potential to identify a possible low cost therapy for preventing AMD worldwide and to determine risk/benefit balance of the aspirin usage by the AMD-affected elderly. The ASPREE-AMD study provides a unique opportunity to determine the effect of aspirin on AMD incidence and progression, by adding retinal imaging to an ongoing, large-scale primary prevention randomized clinical trial.Copyright © 2017 The Authors
- Published
- 2017
14. AspiriN To Inhibit SEPSIS (ANTISEPSIS) randomised controlled trial protocol
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Eisen, DP, Moore, EM, Leder, K, Lockery, J, McBryde, ES, McNeil, JJ, Pilcher, D, Wolfe, R, Woods, RL, Eisen, DP, Moore, EM, Leder, K, Lockery, J, McBryde, ES, McNeil, JJ, Pilcher, D, Wolfe, R, and Woods, RL
- Abstract
INTRODUCTION: Sepsis is a leading global cause of morbidity and mortality, and is more common at the extremes of age. Moreover, the cost of in-hospital care for elderly patients with sepsis is significant. There are indications from experimental and observational studies that aspirin may reduce inflammation associated with infection. This paper describes the rationale and design of the AspiriN To Inhibit SEPSIS (ANTISEPSIS) trial, a substudy of ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE). ANTISEPSIS primarily aims to determine whether low-dose aspirin reduces sepsis-related deaths in older people. Additionally, it will assess whether low-dose aspirin reduces sepsis-related hospitalisations and sepsis-related Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admissions. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: ASPREE is a double-blinded, randomised, placebo-controlled primary prevention trial that will determine whether daily low-dose aspirin extends disability-free longevity in 19 000 healthy older people recruited in Australia and the USA. The ANTISEPSIS substudy involves additional ASPREE trial data collection to assess the impact of daily low-dose aspirin on sepsis-related events in the 16 703 ASPREE participants aged 70 years and over, recruited in Australia. The intervention is a daily 100 mg dose of enteric-coated aspirin versus matching placebo, with 1:1 randomisation. The primary outcome for the ANTISEPSIS substudy is the incidence of sepsis-related death in eligible patients. The incidence of sepsis-related hospital and ICU admissions are secondary outcomes. ANTISEPSIS is to be conducted between 2012 and 2018. DISCUSSION: This substudy will determine whether aspirin, an inexpensive and accessible therapy, safely reduces sepsis-related deaths and hospitalisations in older Australians. If shown to be the case, this would have profound effects on the health of older Australians. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: Pre-results, ACTRN12613000349741.
- Published
- 2017
15. Age-related macular degeneration in a randomized controlled trial of low-dose aspirin: Rationale and study design of the ASPREE-AMD study
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Robman, L, Guymer, R, Woods, R, Ward, S, Wolfe, R, Phung, J, Hodgson, L, Makeyeva, G, Aung, KZ, Gilbert, T, Lockery, J, Le-Pham, Y-A, Orchard, S, Storey, E, Abhayaratna, W, Reid, D, Ernst, ME, Nelson, M, Reid, C, McNeil, J, Robman, L, Guymer, R, Woods, R, Ward, S, Wolfe, R, Phung, J, Hodgson, L, Makeyeva, G, Aung, KZ, Gilbert, T, Lockery, J, Le-Pham, Y-A, Orchard, S, Storey, E, Abhayaratna, W, Reid, D, Ernst, ME, Nelson, M, Reid, C, and McNeil, J
- Abstract
PURPOSE: Although aspirin therapy is used widely in older adults for prevention of cardiovascular disease, its impact on the incidence, progression and severity of age-related macular degeneration (AMD) is uncertain. The effect of low-dose aspirin on the course of AMD will be evaluated in this clinical trial. DESIGN: A sub-study of the 'ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly' (ASPREE) trial, ASPREE-AMD is a 5-year follow-up double-blind, placebo-controlled, randomized trial of the effect of 100 mg daily aspirin on the course of AMD in 5000 subjects aged 70 years or older, with normal cognitive function and without cardiovascular disease at baseline. Non-mydriatic fundus photography will be performed at baseline, 3-year and 5-year follow-up to determine AMD status. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The incidence and progression of AMD. Exploratory analyses will determine whether aspirin affects the risk of retinal hemorrhage in late AMD, and whether other factors, such as genotype, systemic disease, inflammatory biomarkers, influence the effect of aspirin on AMD. CONCLUSION: The study findings will be of significant clinical and public interest due to a potential to identify a possible low cost therapy for preventing AMD worldwide and to determine risk/benefit balance of the aspirin usage by the AMD-affected elderly. The ASPREE-AMD study provides a unique opportunity to determine the effect of aspirin on AMD incidence and progression, by adding retinal imaging to an ongoing, large-scale primary prevention randomized clinical trial.
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- 2017
16. Psychometric properties of a short form of the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression (CES-D-10) scale for screening depressive symptoms in healthy community dwelling older adults
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Mohebbi, M., Nguyen, V., McNeil, J., Woods, R., Nelson, M., Shah, R., Storey, E., Murray, A., Reid, Christopher, Kirpach, B., Wolfe, R., Lockery, J., Berk, M., Mohebbi, M., Nguyen, V., McNeil, J., Woods, R., Nelson, M., Shah, R., Storey, E., Murray, A., Reid, Christopher, Kirpach, B., Wolfe, R., Lockery, J., and Berk, M.
- Abstract
© 2017 Elsevier Inc. Background: The 10-item Center for the Epidemiological Studies of Depression Short Form (CES-D-10) is a widely used self-report measure of depression symptomatology. The aim of this study is to investigate the psychometric properties of the CES-D-10 in healthy community dwelling older adults. Methods: The sample consists of 19,114 community-based individuals residing in Australia and the United States who participated in the ASPREE trial baseline assessment. All individuals were free of any major illness at the time. We evaluated construct validity by performing confirmatory factor analysis, examined measurement invariance across country and gender followed by evaluating item discrimination bias in age, gender, race, ethnicity and education level, and assessing internal consistency. Results: High item-total correlations and Cronbach's alpha indicated high internal consistency. The factor analyses suggested a unidimensional factor structure. Construct validity was supported in the overall sample, and by country and gender sub-groups. The CES-D-10 was invariant across countries, and although evidence of marginal gender non-invariance was observed there was no evidence of notable gender specific item discrimination bias. No notable differences in discrimination parameters or group membership measurement non-invariance were detected by gender, age, race, ethnicity, and education level. Conclusion: These findings suggest the CES-D-10 is a reliable and valid measure of depression in a volunteer sample. No noteworthy evidence of invariance and/or item discrimination bias is observed across gender, age, race, language and ethnic groups.
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- 2017
17. Baseline Characteristics of Participants in the ASPREE (ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly) Study
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McNeil, J., Woods, R., Nelson, M., Murray, A., Reid, Christopher, Kirpach, B., Storey, E., Shah, R., Wolfe, R., Tonkin, A., Newman, A., Williamson, J., Lockery, J., Margolis, K., Ernst, M., Abhayaratna, W., Stocks, N., Fitzgerald, S., Trevaks, R., Orchard, S., Beilin, L., Donnan, G., Gibbs, P., Johnston, C., Grimm, R., ASPREE Investigator Group, McNeil, J., Woods, R., Nelson, M., Murray, A., Reid, Christopher, Kirpach, B., Storey, E., Shah, R., Wolfe, R., Tonkin, A., Newman, A., Williamson, J., Lockery, J., Margolis, K., Ernst, M., Abhayaratna, W., Stocks, N., Fitzgerald, S., Trevaks, R., Orchard, S., Beilin, L., Donnan, G., Gibbs, P., Johnston, C., Grimm, R., and ASPREE Investigator Group
- Abstract
Background: There are no primary prevention trials of aspirin with relevant geriatric outcomes in elderly people. ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) is a placebo-controlled trial of low-dose aspirin that will determine whether 5 years of daily 100-mg enteric-coated aspirin extends disability-free and dementia-free life in a healthy elderly population and whether these benefits outweigh the risks. Methods: Set in primary care, this randomized double-blind placebo-controlled trial has a composite primary endpoint of death, incident dementia or persistent physical disability. Participants aged 70+ years (non-minorities) or 65+ years (U.S. minorities) were free of cardiovascular disease, dementia, or physical disability and without a contraindication to, or indication for, aspirin. Baseline data include physical and lifestyle, personal and family medical history, hemoglobin, fasting glucose, creatinine, lipid panel, urinary albumin:creatinine ratio, cognition (3MS, HVLT-R, COWAT, SDMT), mood (CES-D-10), physical function (gait speed, grip strength), Katz activities of daily living and quality of life (SF-12). Results: Recruitment ended in December 2014 with 16,703 Australian and 2,411 U.S. participants, a median age of 74 (range 65-98) years and 56% women. Approximately 55% of the U.S. cohort were from minority groups; 9% of the total cohort. Proportions with hypertension, overweight, and chronic kidney disease were similar to age-matched populations from both countries although lower percentages had diabetes, dyslipidemia, and osteoarthritis. Discussion: Findings from ASPREE will be generalizable to a healthier older population in both countries and will assess whether the broad benefits of daily low-dose aspirin in prolonging independent life outweigh the risks.
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- 2017
18. Age-related macular degeneration in a randomized controlled trial of low-dose aspirin: Rationale and study design of the ASPREE-AMD study
- Author
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Robman, L., Guymer, R., Woods, R., Ward, S., Wolfe, R., Phung, J., Hodgson, L., Makeyeva, G., Aung, K., Gilbert, T., Lockery, J., Le-Pham, Y., Orchard, S., Storey, E., Abhayaratna, W., Reid, D., Ernst, M., Nelson, M., Reid, Christopher, McNeil, J., Robman, L., Guymer, R., Woods, R., Ward, S., Wolfe, R., Phung, J., Hodgson, L., Makeyeva, G., Aung, K., Gilbert, T., Lockery, J., Le-Pham, Y., Orchard, S., Storey, E., Abhayaratna, W., Reid, D., Ernst, M., Nelson, M., Reid, Christopher, and McNeil, J.
- Abstract
Purpose: Although aspirin therapy is used widely in older adults for prevention of cardiovascular disease, its impact on the incidence, progression and severity of age-related macular degeneration (AMD) is uncertain. The effect of low-dose aspirin on the course of AMD will be evaluated in this clinical trial. Design: A sub-study of the ‘ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly’ (ASPREE) trial, ASPREE-AMD is a 5-year follow-up double-blind, placebo-controlled, randomized trial of the effect of 100 mg daily aspirin on the course of AMD in 5000 subjects aged 70 years or older, with normal cognitive function and without cardiovascular disease at baseline. Non-mydriatic fundus photography will be performed at baseline, 3-year and 5-year follow-up to determine AMD status. Primary outcome measures: The incidence and progression of AMD. Exploratory analyses will determine whether aspirin affects the risk of retinal hemorrhage in late AMD, and whether other factors, such as genotype, systemic disease, inflammatory biomarkers, influence the effect of aspirin on AMD. Conclusion: The study findings will be of significant clinical and public interest due to a potential to identify a possible low cost therapy for preventing AMD worldwide and to determine risk/benefit balance of the aspirin usage by the AMD-affected elderly. The ASPREE-AMD study provides a unique opportunity to determine the effect of aspirin on AMD incidence and progression, by adding retinal imaging to an ongoing, large-scale primary prevention randomized clinical trial.
- Published
- 2017
19. ASPREE-D: Aspirin for the prevention of depression in the elderly
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Berk, M., Woods, R., Nelson, M., Shah, R., Reid, Christopher, Storey, E., Fitzgerald, S., Lockery, J., Wolfe, R., Mohebbi, M., Murray, A., Kirpach, B., Grimm, R., McNeil, J., Berk, M., Woods, R., Nelson, M., Shah, R., Reid, Christopher, Storey, E., Fitzgerald, S., Lockery, J., Wolfe, R., Mohebbi, M., Murray, A., Kirpach, B., Grimm, R., and McNeil, J.
- Abstract
Copyright © International Psychogeriatric Association 2016. Background:: Not only is depression associated with increased inflammation but inflammation is a risk factor for the genesis of depression. Many of the environmental risk factors for depression are transduced through inflammatory signaling. Anti-inflammatory agents show promise for the management of depression in preclinical, epidemiological, and early clinical studies. This opens the door to the potential for anti-inflammatory agents to treat and prevent depression. There are no evidence-based pharmacotherapies for depression prevention. Method:: ASPREE-D, aspirin in the prevention of depression in the elderly, is a sub study of ASPREE, which explores the potential of aspirin to prevent a range of inflammation related disorders in the elderly. With a sample size of 19,114, and a duration of 5 years, this placebo controlled study will be one of the largest randomized controlled trials in psychiatry and will provide definitive evidence on the ability of aspirin to prevent depression. Results:: This paper presents the rationale for the study and presents a summary of the study design. Conclusions:: ASPREE-D may not only define novel therapy but will provide mechanistic proof of concept of the role of inflammation in depression.
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- 2016
20. Slowing the progression of age-related hearing loss: Rationale and study design of the ASPIRIN in HEARING, retinal vessels imaging and neurocognition in older generations (ASPREE-HEARING) trial
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Lowthian, J., Britt, C., Rance, G., Lin, F., Woods, R., Wolfe, R., Nelson, M., Dillon, H., Ward, S., Reid, Christopher, Lockery, J., Nguyen, T., McNeil, J., Storey, E., Lowthian, J., Britt, C., Rance, G., Lin, F., Woods, R., Wolfe, R., Nelson, M., Dillon, H., Ward, S., Reid, Christopher, Lockery, J., Nguyen, T., McNeil, J., and Storey, E.
- Abstract
© 2015. Background: Age-related hearing loss (ARHL) is a leading cause of disability in the elderly. Low-grade inflammation and microvessel pathology may be responsible for initiating or exacerbating some of the hearing loss associated with aging. A growing body of evidence demonstrates an association of hearing loss with cognitive decline. A shared etiological pathway may include a role of inflammation, alongside vascular determinants. The ASPREE-HEARING study aims to determine whether low-dose aspirin decreases the progression of ARHL, and if so, whether this decrease in progression is also associated with retinal microvascular changes and/or greater preservation of cognitive function. Design and methods: A three year double-blind, randomized controlled trial of oral 100. mg enteric-coated aspirin or matching placebo, enrolling 1262 Australians aged =. 70. years with normal cognitive function and no overt cardiovascular disease. The primary outcome is the change in mean pure tone average hearing threshold (decibels) in the better ear, over a 3-year period. Secondary outcomes consist of changes in retinal microvascular indicators, and changes in cognitive function. Participants are recruited from a larger trial, ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE), which is designed to assess whether daily low dose aspirin will extend disability-free life. Discussion: ASPREE-HEARING will determine whether aspirin slows development or progression of ARHL, and will interrogate the relationship between inflammatory and microvascular mechanisms that may underlie the effects of aspirin on ARHL. This study will improve understanding of the patterns of comorbidity with, and the relationships between, aging and ARHL, alongside modeling the impacts of ARHL.
- Published
- 2016
21. ASPREE-D: Aspirin for the prevention of depression in the elderly
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Berk, Michael, primary, Woods, R. L., additional, Nelson, M. R., additional, Shah, R. C., additional, Reid, C. M., additional, Storey, E., additional, Fitzgerald, S. M., additional, Lockery, J. E., additional, Wolfe, R., additional, Mohebbi, M., additional, Murray, A. M., additional, Kirpach, B., additional, Grimm, R., additional, and McNeil, J. J., additional
- Published
- 2016
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22. Study design of ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE): A randomized, controlled trial
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Grimm, R., McNeil, J., Applegate, W., Beilin, L., Espinoza, S., Johnston, C., Kirpach, B., Margolis, K., Murray, A., Nelson, M., Reid, Christopher, Shah, R., Storey, E., Tonkin, A., Wilson, P., Wolfe, R., Woods, R., Abhayaratna, W., Ames, D., Cobiac, L., Donnan, G., Gibbs, P., Head, R., Krum, H., Jelnik, M., Malik, M., Williamson, J., Eaton, C., Weissfeld, J., MacRae, F., Rodriguez, L., Newman, A., Demons, J., Workman, B., Wood, E., Satterfield, S., Ernst, M., Gilbertson, D., Lockery, J., Hannah, J., Radziszewska, B., Thomas, A., Gill, G., Jackson, C., Kidd, M., Russell, G., Pressman, G., Figueredo, V., Oberoi, M., Ahmad, M., Krstevska, S., Lawson, C., Katzman, S., Powell, J., Lang, M., Bolin, P., Atlanta, V., Le, A., Johnson, T., Kruger, D., Obisesan, T., Allard, J., Dodd, K., Ott, B., Pemu, P., Hadley, E., Romashkan, S., Palaniappan, L., Jose, P., Church, T., Myers, V., Monce, R., Britt, N., Gupta, A., Keller, J., Lewis, B., Shikany, J., Allman, R., Anton, S., Pahor, M., Burns, J., Swerdlow, R., Anderson, H., Wiggins, J., Nyquist, L., Peterson, K., Tindle, H., Johnson, K., Womack, C., Birnbaum, L., Nesbitt, S., Grimm, R., McNeil, J., Applegate, W., Beilin, L., Espinoza, S., Johnston, C., Kirpach, B., Margolis, K., Murray, A., Nelson, M., Reid, Christopher, Shah, R., Storey, E., Tonkin, A., Wilson, P., Wolfe, R., Woods, R., Abhayaratna, W., Ames, D., Cobiac, L., Donnan, G., Gibbs, P., Head, R., Krum, H., Jelnik, M., Malik, M., Williamson, J., Eaton, C., Weissfeld, J., MacRae, F., Rodriguez, L., Newman, A., Demons, J., Workman, B., Wood, E., Satterfield, S., Ernst, M., Gilbertson, D., Lockery, J., Hannah, J., Radziszewska, B., Thomas, A., Gill, G., Jackson, C., Kidd, M., Russell, G., Pressman, G., Figueredo, V., Oberoi, M., Ahmad, M., Krstevska, S., Lawson, C., Katzman, S., Powell, J., Lang, M., Bolin, P., Atlanta, V., Le, A., Johnson, T., Kruger, D., Obisesan, T., Allard, J., Dodd, K., Ott, B., Pemu, P., Hadley, E., Romashkan, S., Palaniappan, L., Jose, P., Church, T., Myers, V., Monce, R., Britt, N., Gupta, A., Keller, J., Lewis, B., Shikany, J., Allman, R., Anton, S., Pahor, M., Burns, J., Swerdlow, R., Anderson, H., Wiggins, J., Nyquist, L., Peterson, K., Tindle, H., Johnson, K., Womack, C., Birnbaum, L., and Nesbitt, S.
- Abstract
Cost-effective strategies to maintain healthy active lifestyle in aging populations are required to address the global burden of age-related diseases. ASPREE will examine whether the potential primary prevention benefits of low dose aspirin outweigh the risks in older healthy individuals. Our primary hypothesis is that daily oral 100. mg enteric-coated aspirin will extend a composite primary endpoint termed 'disability-free life' including onset of dementia, total mortality, or persistent disability in at least one of the Katz Activities of Daily Living in 19,000 healthy participants aged 65. years and above ('US minorities') and 70. years and above (non-'US minorities'). ASPREE is a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial of oral 100. mg enteric-coated acetyl salicylic acid (ASA) or matching placebo being conducted in Australian and US community settings on individuals free of dementia, disability and cardiovascular disease (CVD) events. Secondary endpoints are all-cause and cause specific mortality, fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular events, fatal and non-fatal cancer (excluding non-melanoma skin cancer), dementia, mild cognitive impairment, depression, physical disability, and clinically significant bleeding. To 20 September 2013 14,383 participants have been recruited. Recruitment and study completion are anticipated in July 2014 and December 2018 respectively. In contrast to other aspirin trials that have largely focused on cardiovascular endpoints, ASPREE has a unique composite primary endpoint to better capture the overall risk and benefit of aspirin to extend healthy independent lifespan in older adults in the US and Australia. © 2013 Elsevier Inc.
- Published
- 2013
23. ASPREE-D: Aspirin for the prevention of depression in the elderly.
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Mohebbi, M., Berk, Michael, Woods, R. L., Fitzgerald, S. M., Lockery, J. E., Wolfe, R., McNeil, J. J., Reid, C. M., Nelson, M. R., Shah, R. C., Storey, E., Murray, A. M., Kirpach, B., and Grimm, R.
- Abstract
Background: Not only is depression associated with increased inflammation but inflammation is a risk factor for the genesis of depression. Many of the environmental risk factors for depression are transduced through inflammatory signaling. Anti-inflammatory agents show promise for the management of depression in preclinical, epidemiological, and early clinical studies. This opens the door to the potential for anti-inflammatory agents to treat and prevent depression. There are no evidence-based pharmacotherapies for depression prevention.Method: ASPREE-D, aspirin in the prevention of depression in the elderly, is a sub study of ASPREE, which explores the potential of aspirin to prevent a range of inflammation related disorders in the elderly. With a sample size of 19,114, and a duration of 5 years, this placebo controlled study will be one of the largest randomized controlled trials in psychiatry and will provide definitive evidence on the ability of aspirin to prevent depression.Results: This paper presents the rationale for the study and presents a summary of the study design.Conclusions: ASPREE-D may not only define novel therapy but will provide mechanistic proof of concept of the role of inflammation in depression. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2016
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24. Effect of Aspirin on All-Cause Mortality in the Healthy Elderly.
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McNeil, J. J., Nelson, M. R., Woods, R. L., Lockery, J. E., Wolfe, R., Reid, C. M., Kirpach, B., Shah, R. C., Ives, D. G., Storey, E., Ryan, J., Tonkin, A. M., Newman, A. B., Williamson, J. D., Margolis, K. L., Ernst, M. E., Abhayaratna, W. P., Stocks, N., Fitzgerald, S. M., and Orchard, S. G.
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ASPIRIN , *MORTALITY of older people , *CANCER-related mortality , *PLACEBOS , *CAUSES of death , *COMPARATIVE studies , *HEMORRHAGE , *LONGITUDINAL method , *RESEARCH methodology , *MEDICAL cooperation , *MORTALITY , *ORAL drug administration , *RESEARCH , *TUMORS , *EVALUATION research , *RANDOMIZED controlled trials , *TREATMENT effectiveness , *INDEPENDENT living , *PLATELET aggregation inhibitors , *THERAPEUTICS - Abstract
Background: In the primary analysis of the Aspirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) trial, now published in the Journal, we report that the daily use of aspirin did not provide a benefit with regard to the primary end point of disability-free survival among older adults. A numerically higher rate of the secondary end point of death from any cause was observed with aspirin than with placebo.Methods: From 2010 through 2014, we enrolled community-dwelling persons in Australia and the United States who were 70 years of age or older (or ≥65 years of age among blacks and Hispanics in the United States) and did not have cardiovascular disease, dementia, or disability. Participants were randomly assigned to receive 100 mg of enteric-coated aspirin or placebo. Deaths were classified according to the underlying cause by adjudicators who were unaware of trial-group assignments. Hazard ratios were calculated to compare mortality between the aspirin group and the placebo group, and post hoc exploratory analyses of specific causes of death were performed.Results: Of the 19,114 persons who were enrolled, 9525 were assigned to receive aspirin and 9589 to receive placebo. A total of 1052 deaths occurred during a median of 4.7 years of follow-up. The risk of death from any cause was 12.7 events per 1000 person-years in the aspirin group and 11.1 events per 1000 person-years in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 1.14; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01 to 1.29). Cancer was the major contributor to the higher mortality in the aspirin group, accounting for 1.6 excess deaths per 1000 person-years. Cancer-related death occurred in 3.1% of the participants in the aspirin group and in 2.3% of those in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.10 to 1.56).Conclusions: Higher all-cause mortality was observed among apparently healthy older adults who received daily aspirin than among those who received placebo and was attributed primarily to cancer-related death. In the context of previous studies, this result was unexpected and should be interpreted with caution. (Funded by the National Institute on Aging and others; ASPREE ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01038583 .). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2018
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25. Effect of Aspirin on Cardiovascular Events and Bleeding in the Healthy Elderly.
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McNeil, J. J., Wolfe, R., Woods, R. L., Tonkin, A. M., Donnan, G. A., Nelson, M. R., Reid, C. M., Lockery, J. E., Kirpach, B., Storey, E., Shah, R. C., Williamson, J. D., Margolis, K. L., Ernst, M. E., Abhayaratna, W. P., Stocks, N., Fitzgerald, S. M., Orchard, S. G., Trevaks, R. E., and Beilin, L. J.
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- *
ASPIRIN , *HEMORRHAGE , *CARDIOVASCULAR diseases risk factors , *OLDER people , *DEMENTIA - Abstract
BACKGROUND Aspirin is a well-established therapy for the secondary prevention of cardiovascular events. However, its role in the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease is unclear, especially in older persons, who have an increased risk. METHODS From 2010 through 2014, we enrolled community-dwelling men and women in Australia and the United States who were 70 years of age or older (or >65 years of age among blacks and Hispanics in the United States) and did not have cardiovascular disease, dementia, or disability. Participants were randomly assigned to receive 100 mg of enteric-coated aspirin or placebo. The primary end point was a composite of death, dementia, or persistent physical disability; results for this end point are reported in another article in the Journal Secondary end points included major hemorrhage and cardiovascular disease (defined as fatal coronary heart disease, nonfatal myocardial infarction, fatal or nonfatal stroke, or hospitalization for heart failure). RESULTS Of the 19,114 persons who were enrolled in the trial, 9525 were assigned to receive aspirin and 9589 to receive placebo. After a median of 4.7 years of follow-up, the rate of cardiovascular disease was 10.7 events per 1000 person-years in the aspirin group and 11.3 events per 1000 person-years in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 0.95; 95% confidence interval [Cl], 0.83 to 1.08). The rate of major hemorrhage was 8.6 events per 1000 person-years and 6.2 events per 1000 person-years, respectively (hazard ratio, 1.38; 95% Cl, 1.18 to 1.62; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS The use of low-dose aspirin as a primary prevention strategy in older adults resulted in a significantly higher risk of major hemorrhage and did not result in a significantly lower risk of cardiovascular disease than placebo. (Funded by the National Institute on Aging and others; ASPREE ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01038583. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2018
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26. Effect of Aspirin on Disability-free Survival in the Healthy Elderly.
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McNeil, J. J., Woods, R. L., Nelson, M. R., Reid, C. M., Kirpach, B., Wolfe, R., Storey, E., Shah, R. C., Lockery, J. E., Tonkin, A. M., Newman, A. B., Williamson, J. D., Margolis, K. L., Ernst, M. E., Abhayaratna, W. P., Stocks, N., Fitzgerald, S. M., Orchard, S. G., Trevaks, R. E., and Beilin, L. J.
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- *
ASPIRIN , *OLDER people , *DEMENTIA , *HEMORRHAGE , *PLACEBOS , *RESEARCH , *MORTALITY , *ORAL drug administration , *RESEARCH methodology , *PROGNOSIS , *DISEASE incidence , *EVALUATION research , *TREATMENT failure , *COMPARATIVE studies , *RANDOMIZED controlled trials , *PLATELET aggregation inhibitors , *SURVIVAL analysis (Biometry) , *BLIND experiment , *INDEPENDENT living , *RESEARCH funding , *PEOPLE with disabilities , *LONGITUDINAL method - Abstract
Background: Information on the use of aspirin to increase healthy independent life span in older persons is limited. Whether 5 years of daily low-dose aspirin therapy would extend disability-free life in healthy seniors is unclear.Methods: From 2010 through 2014, we enrolled community-dwelling persons in Australia and the United States who were 70 years of age or older (or ≥65 years of age among blacks and Hispanics in the United States) and did not have cardiovascular disease, dementia, or physical disability. Participants were randomly assigned to receive 100 mg per day of enteric-coated aspirin or placebo orally. The primary end point was a composite of death, dementia, or persistent physical disability. Secondary end points reported in this article included the individual components of the primary end point and major hemorrhage.Results: A total of 19,114 persons with a median age of 74 years were enrolled, of whom 9525 were randomly assigned to receive aspirin and 9589 to receive placebo. A total of 56.4% of the participants were women, 8.7% were nonwhite, and 11.0% reported previous regular aspirin use. The trial was terminated at a median of 4.7 years of follow-up after a determination was made that there would be no benefit with continued aspirin use with regard to the primary end point. The rate of the composite of death, dementia, or persistent physical disability was 21.5 events per 1000 person-years in the aspirin group and 21.2 per 1000 person-years in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 1.01; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.92 to 1.11; P=0.79). The rate of adherence to the assigned intervention was 62.1% in the aspirin group and 64.1% in the placebo group in the final year of trial participation. Differences between the aspirin group and the placebo group were not substantial with regard to the secondary individual end points of death from any cause (12.7 events per 1000 person-years in the aspirin group and 11.1 events per 1000 person-years in the placebo group), dementia, or persistent physical disability. The rate of major hemorrhage was higher in the aspirin group than in the placebo group (3.8% vs. 2.8%; hazard ratio, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.18 to 1.62; P<0.001).Conclusions: Aspirin use in healthy elderly persons did not prolong disability-free survival over a period of 5 years but led to a higher rate of major hemorrhage than placebo. (Funded by the National Institute on Aging and others; ASPREE ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01038583 .). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2018
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27. Association of Proton Pump Inhibitor Use With Incident Dementia and Cognitive Decline in Older Adults: A Prospective Cohort Study.
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Mehta RS, Kochar B, Zhou Z, Broder JC, Chung P, Yang K, Lockery J, Fravel M, Ryan J, Mahady S, Orchard SG, McNeil JJ, Murray A, Woods RL, Ernst ME, and Chan AT
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- Aged, Humans, Aspirin, Cognition, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, United States epidemiology, Cognitive Dysfunction diagnosis, Cognitive Dysfunction epidemiology, Proton Pump Inhibitors adverse effects
- Abstract
Background & Aims: Prior studies have suggested that proton pump inhibitor (PPI) use is associated with increased risk of dementia; however, these have been limited by incomplete assessment of medication use and failure to account for confounders. Furthermore, prior studies have relied on claims-based diagnoses for dementia, which can lead to misclassification. We investigated the associations of PPI and histamine-2 receptor antagonist (H2RA) use with dementia and cognitive decline., Methods: We conducted a post hoc analysis of ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE), a randomized trial of aspirin in the United States and Australia, including 18,934 community-based adults ≥65 years of all races/ethnicities. Baseline and recent PPI and H2RA use were determined according to review of medications during annual in-person study visits. Incident dementia was defined according to Diagnostic and Statistical Manual for Mental Disorders, Fourth Edition, criteria. Secondary endpoints include cognitive impairment, no dementia (CIND) and changes in cognition. Associations of medication use with dementia and CIND outcomes were examined using Cox proportional hazards models. Changes in cognitive test scores were examined using linear mixed-effects models., Results: Baseline PPI use vs nonuse was not associated with incident dementia (multivariable hazard ratio, 0.88; 95% confidence interval, 0.72-1.08), CIND (multivariable hazard ratio, 1.00; 95% confidence interval, 0.92-1.09), or with changes in overall cognitive test scores over time (multivariable B, -0.002; standard error, 0.01; P = .85). Similarly, no associations were observed between H2RA use and all cognitive endpoints., Conclusions: In adults ≥65 years of age, PPI and H2RA use were not associated with incident dementia, CIND, or decline in cognition over time. These data provide reassurance about the safety of long-term use of PPIs among older adults., (Copyright © 2023 AGA Institute. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2023
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28. Low-Dose Aspirin and the Risk of Stroke and Intracerebral Bleeding in Healthy Older People: Secondary Analysis of a Randomized Clinical Trial.
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Cloud GC, Williamson JD, Thao LTP, Tran C, Eaton CB, Wolfe R, Nelson MR, Reid CM, Newman AB, Lockery J, Fitzgerald SM, Murray AM, Shah RC, Woods RL, Donnan GA, and McNeil JJ
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- Female, Humans, Aged, Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors adverse effects, Aspirin adverse effects, Cerebral Hemorrhage chemically induced, Cerebral Hemorrhage epidemiology, Cerebral Hemorrhage prevention & control, Intracranial Hemorrhages chemically induced, Intracranial Hemorrhages epidemiology, Intracranial Hemorrhages prevention & control, Stroke epidemiology, Stroke prevention & control, Stroke drug therapy, Ischemic Stroke drug therapy
- Abstract
Importance: Low-dose aspirin has been widely used for primary and secondary prevention of stroke. The balance between potential reduction of ischemic stroke events and increased intracranial bleeding has not been established in older individuals., Objective: To establish the risks of ischemic stroke and intracranial bleeding among healthy older people receiving daily low-dose aspirin., Design, Setting, and Participants: This secondary analysis of the Aspirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of daily low-dose aspirin was conducted among community-dwelling people living in Australia or the US. Participants were older adults free of symptomatic cardiovascular disease. Recruitment took place between 2010 and 2014, and participants were followed up for a median (IQR) of 4.7 (3.6-5.7) years. This analysis was completed from August 2021 to March 2023., Interventions: Daily 100-mg enteric-coated aspirin or matching placebo., Main Outcomes and Measures: Stroke and stroke etiology were predetermined secondary outcomes and are presented with a focus on prevention of initial stroke or intracranial bleeding event. Outcomes were assessed by review of medical records., Results: Among 19 114 older adults (10 782 females [56.4%]; median [IQR] age, 74 [71.6-77.7] years), 9525 individuals received aspirin and 9589 individuals received placebo. Aspirin did not produce a statistically significant reduction in the incidence of ischemic stroke (hazard ratio [HR], 0.89; 95% CI, 0.71-1.11). However, a statistically significant increase in intracranial bleeding was observed among individuals assigned to aspirin (108 individuals [1.1%]) compared with those receiving placebo (79 individuals [0.8%]; HR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.03-1.84). This occurred by an increase in a combination of subdural, extradural, and subarachnoid bleeding with aspirin compared with placebo (59 individuals [0.6%] vs 41 individuals [0.4%]; HR, 1.45; 95% CI, 0.98-2.16). Hemorrhagic stroke was recorded in 49 individuals (0.5%) assigned to aspirin compared with 37 individuals (0.4%) in the placebo group (HR, 1.33; 95% CI, 0.87-2.04)., Conclusions and Relevance: This study found a significant increase in intracranial bleeding with daily low-dose aspirin but no significant reduction of ischemic stroke. These findings may have particular relevance to older individuals prone to developing intracranial bleeding after head trauma., Trial Registration: ISRCTN.org Identifier: ISRCTN83772183.
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- 2023
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29. The association between polypharmacy, frailty and disability-free survival in community-dwelling healthy older individuals.
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Ekram ARMS, Woods RL, Ryan J, Espinoza SE, Gilmartin-Thomas JFM, Shah RC, Mehta R, Kochar B, Lowthian JA, Lockery J, Orchard S, Nelson M, Fravel MA, Liew D, and Ernst ME
- Subjects
- Aged, Cross-Sectional Studies, Frail Elderly, Geriatric Assessment, Humans, Independent Living, Polypharmacy, Frailty
- Abstract
Objectives: Polypharmacy and frailty are two common geriatric conditions. In community-dwelling healthy older adults, we examined whether polypharmacy is associated with frailty and affects disability-free survival (DFS), assessed as a composite of death, dementia, or persistent physical disability., Methods: We included 19,114 participants (median age 74.0 years, IQR: 6.1 years) from ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) clinical trial. Frailty was assessed by a modified Fried phenotype and a deficit accumulation Frailty Index (FI). Polypharmacy was defined as concomitant use of five or more prescription medications. Multinomial logistic regression was used to examine the cross-sectional association between polypharmacy and frailty at base line, and Cox regression to determine the effect of polypharmacy and frailty on DFS over five years., Results: Individuals with polypharmacy (vs. <5 medications) were 55% more likely to be pre-frail (Relative Risk Ratio or RRR: 1.55; 95%Confidence Interval or CI:1.44, 1.68) and three times more likely to be frail (RRR: 3.34; 95%CI:2.64, 4.22) according to Fried phenotype. Frailty alone was associated with double risk of the composite outcome (Hazard ratio or HR: 2.16; 95%CI: 1.56, 2.99), but frail individuals using polypharmacy had a four-fold risk (HR: 4.24; 95%CI: 3.28, 5.47). Effect sizes were larger when frailty was assessed using the FI., Conclusion: Polypharmacy was significantly associated with pre-frailty and frailty at baseline. Polypharmacy-exposed frailty increased the risk of reducing disability-free survival among older adults. Addressing polypharmacy in older people could ameliorate the impact of frailty on individuals' functional status, cognition and survival., (Copyright © 2022 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
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- 2022
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30. Evaluation of the Pain Impact Index for Community-Dwelling Older Adults Through the Application of Rasch Modelling.
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Gilmartin-Thomas JF, Forbes A, Liew D, McNeil JJ, Cicuttini FM, Owen AJ, Ernst ME, Nelson MR, Lockery J, Ward SA, and Busija L
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- Aged, Australia, Humans, Psychometrics, Reproducibility of Results, Surveys and Questionnaires, Independent Living, Pain
- Abstract
Objective: Evaluate the Pain Impact Index, a simple, brief, easy-to-use, and novel tool to assess the impact of chronic pain in community-dwelling older adults., Methods: A Rasch modelling analysis was undertaken in Stata using a partial credit model suited to the Likert-type items that comprised the Index. The Index was evaluated for ordering of category thresholds, unidimensionality, overall fit to the Rasch model, measurement bias (Differential Item Functioning, DIF), targeting, and construct validity., Results: The four-item Pain Impact Index was self-completed by 6454 community-dwelling Australians who were aged at least 70 years and experienced pain on most days. Two items showed evidence of threshold disordering, and this was resolved by collapsing response categories (from 5 to 3) for all items. The rescored Index conformed to the unidimensionality assumption and had satisfactory fit with the Rasch model (analyses conducted on a reduced sample size to mitigate the potential for overpowering: n = 377, P > 0.0125, power > 77%). When considering uniform DIF, the most frequent sources of measurement bias were age, knee pain, and upper back pain. When considering nonuniform DIF, the most frequent source of measurement bias was knee pain. The Index had good ability to differentiate between respondents with different levels of pain impact and had highest measurement precision for respondents located around the average level of pain impact in the study sample. Both convergent and discriminant validity of the Index were supported., Conclusion: The Pain Impact Index showed evidence of unidimensionality, was able to successfully differentiate between levels of pain impact, and had good evidence of construct validity., (© 2020 World Institute of Pain.)
- Published
- 2021
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31. Effect of APOE and a polygenic risk score on incident dementia and cognitive decline in a healthy older population.
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Riaz M, Huq A, Ryan J, Orchard SG, Tiller J, Lockery J, Woods RL, Wolfe R, Renton AE, Goate AM, Sebra R, Schadt E, Brodtmann A, Shah RC, Storey E, Murray AM, McNeil JJ, and Lacaze P
- Subjects
- Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Female, Humans, Male, Risk Factors, Apolipoprotein E4 metabolism, Cognitive Dysfunction genetics, Dementia genetics
- Abstract
Few studies have measured the effect of genetic factors on dementia and cognitive decline in healthy older individuals followed prospectively. We studied cumulative incidence of dementia and cognitive decline, stratified by APOE genotypes and polygenic risk score (PRS) tertiles, in 12,978 participants of the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) trial. At enrolment, participants had no history of diagnosed dementia, cardiovascular disease, physical disability or cognitive impairment. Dementia (adjudicated trial endpoint) and cognitive decline, defined as a >1.5 standard deviation decline in test score for either global cognition, episodic memory, language/executive function or psychomotor speed, versus baseline scores. Cumulative incidence for all-cause dementia and cognitive decline was calculated with mortality as a competing event, stratified by APOE genotypes and tertiles of a PRS based on 23 common non-APOE variants. During a median 4.5 years of follow-up, 324 participants developed dementia, 503 died. Cumulative incidence of dementia to age 85 years was 7.4% in all participants, 12.6% in APOE ε3/ε4 and 26.6% in ε4/ε4. APOE ε4 heterozygosity/homozygosity was associated with a 2.5/6.3-fold increased dementia risk and 1.4/1.8-fold cognitive decline risk, versus ε3/ε3 (p < 0.001 for both). High PRS tertile was associated with a 1.4-fold dementia risk versus low (CI 1.04-1.76, p = 0.02), but was not associated with cognitive decline (CI 0.96-1.22, p = 0.18). Incidence of dementia among healthy older individuals is low across all genotypes; however, APOE ε4 and high PRS increase relative risk. APOE ε4 is associated with cognitive decline, but PRS is not., (© 2021 The Authors. Aging Cell published by Anatomical Society and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)
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- 2021
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32. Musculoskeletal Pain Experienced on Most Days is a Common Accompaniment of Ageing amongst Community-Dwelling Older Australians: A Questionnaire-Based Study.
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Gilmartin-Thomas JF, Ernst ME, Nelson MR, Lockery J, Ward SA, Woods RL, Britt C, Murray A, Workman B, and McNeil J
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- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Australia epidemiology, Cross-Sectional Studies, Female, Humans, Independent Living, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Prevalence, Self Report, Aging, Chronic Pain epidemiology, Musculoskeletal Pain epidemiology
- Abstract
Objective: To describe the prevalence, location and impact of moderate to severe pain experienced on most days in community-dwelling older (≥70 years) adults who were ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) clinical trial participants. Methods: Cross-sectional ASPREE Longitudinal Study of Older Persons (ALSOP) data were collected from self-reported questionnaires administered to 16,439 ASPREE participants. Results: Of 14,155 respondents, 41% of males ( n = 2651/6475) and 50% of females ( n = 3803/7680) reported experiencing pain on most days. One quarter of respondents reported experiencing pain on most days that was moderate or severe in intensity ( n = 3560/14,155), commonly located in the lower back, knees and upper back. Of those reporting moderate or severe pain, 51% reported taking analgesic medication on most days ( n = 1812/3560), almost one-third also reported regular interference with sleep (29%, n = 1024/3560), walking (35%, n = 1239/3560) and daily activities (41%, n = 1467/3560). Discussion: Lower back, knee or upper back pain is a common accompaniment of ageing.
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- 2021
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33. Impact of the 2017 American Heart Association and American College of Cardiology hypertension guideline in aged individuals.
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Chowdhury EK, Ernst ME, Nelson M, Margolis K, Beilin LJ, Johnston C, Woods R, Murray A, Wolfe R, Storey E, Shah RC, Lockery J, Tonkin A, Newman A, Abhayaratna W, Stocks N, Fitzgerald S, Orchard S, Trevaks R, Donnan G, Grimm R, McNeil J, and Reid CM
- Subjects
- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Blood Pressure physiology, Cohort Studies, Female, Heart Disease Risk Factors, Humans, Male, Practice Guidelines as Topic, Antihypertensive Agents administration & dosage, Antihypertensive Agents therapeutic use, Hypertension drug therapy
- Abstract
Objectives: The AHA/ACC-2017 hypertension guideline recommends an age-independent target blood pressure (BP) of less than 130/80 mmHg. In an elderly cohort without established cardiovascular disease (CVD) at baseline, we determined the impact of this guideline on the prevalence of hypertension and associated CVD risk., Methods: Nineteen thousand, one hundred and fourteen participants aged at least 65 years from the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) study were grouped by baseline BP: 'pre-2017 hypertensive' (BP ≥140/90 mmHg and/or on antihypertensive drugs); 'reclassified hypertensive' (normotensive by pre-2017 guidelines; hypertensive by AHA/ACC-2017 guideline), and 'normotensive' (BP <130 and <80 mmHg). For each group, we evaluated CVD risk factors, predicted 10-year CVD risk using the Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD) risk equation, and reported observed CVD event rates during a median 4.7-year follow-up., Results: Overall, 74.4% (14 213/19 114) were 'pre-2017 hypertensive'; an additional 12.3% (2354/19 114) were 'reclassified hypertensive' by the AHA/ACC-2017 guideline. Of those 'reclassified hypertensive', the majority (94.5%) met criteria for antihypertensive treatment although 29% had no other traditional CVD risk factors other than age. Further, a relatively lower mean 10-year predicted CVD risk (18% versus 26%, P < 0.001) and lower CVD rates (8.9 versus 12.1/1000 person-years, P = 0.01) were observed in 'reclassified hypertensive' compared with 'pre-2017 hypertensive'. Compared with 'normotensive', a hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for CVD events of 1.60 (1.26-2.02) for 'pre-2017 hypertensive' and 1.26 (0.93-1.71) for 'reclassified hypertensive' was observed., Conclusion: Applying current CVD risk calculators in the elderly 'reclassified hypertensive', as a result of shifting the BP threshold lower, increases eligibility for antihypertensive treatment but documented CVD rates remain lower than hypertensive patients defined by pre2017 BP thresholds.
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- 2020
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34. Moderate or severe low back pain is associated with body mass index amongst community-dwelling older Australians.
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Gilmartin-Thomas JF, Cicuttini FM, Owen AJ, Wolfe R, Ernst ME, Nelson MR, Lockery J, Woods RL, Britt C, Liew D, Murray A, Workman B, Ward SA, and McNeil JJ
- Abstract
Objective: Low back pain is prevalent in older populations and modifiable risk factors may include being overweight or obese. This study aimed to describe the prevalence and impact of moderate or severe low back pain in community-dwelling older adults and its association with body mass index (BMI)., Methods: Cross-sectional study involving 16,439 Australians aged ≥70 years. Logistic regression was used to describe associations between the presence or absence of moderate or severe low back pain experienced on most days with BMI. Analyses were conducted separately for males and females, and controlled for age and depression at baseline., Results: Of 14,155 pain question respondents, 11 % of males (n = 710/6475) and 18 % of females (n = 1391/7680) reported moderate or severe low back pain (total 15 %, n = 2101/14,155). Of those reporting moderate or severe low back pain (n = 2101), 55 % reported taking pain-relieving medication regularly, and 29 % reported that the pain regularly interfered with sleep, 37 % with walking, and 47 % with day to day activities. When age and depression were controlled for, there was a statistically significant (p < 0.001) association between moderate or severe low back pain and being overweight (females: odds ratio OR = 1.50, 95 % confidence interval CI = 1.27-1.76) or obese (males: OR = 2.23, 95 %CI = 1.77-2.80 and females: OR = 2.91, 95 %CI = 2.48-3.42)., Conclusion: Moderate or severe low back pain is common, has a significant impact, and is associated with either an overweight or obese BMI among community-dwelling Australians aged ≥70 years., (Copyright © 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
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- 2020
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35. Development of a standardized definition for clinically significant bleeding in the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) trial.
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Margolis KL, Mahady SE, Nelson MR, Ives DG, Satterfield S, Britt C, Ekram S, Lockery J, Schwartz EC, Woods RL, McNeil JJ, and Wood EM
- Abstract
Background: Bleeding is the major risk of aspirin treatment, especially in the elderly. A consensus definition for clinically significant bleeding (CSB) in aspirin primary prevention trials is lacking in the literature., Methods: This paper details the development, modification, application, and quality control of a definition for clinically significant bleeding in the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) trial, a primary prevention trial of aspirin in 19,114 community-dwelling elderly men and women. In ASPREE a confirmed bleeding event needed to meet criteria both for substantiated bleeding and clinical significance. Substantiated bleeding was defined as: 1) observed bleeding, 2) a reasonable report of symptoms of bleeding, 3) medical, nursing or paramedical report, or 4) imaging evidence. Bleeding was defined as clinically significant if it: 1) required transfusion of red blood cells, 2) required admission to the hospital for >24 h, or prolonged a hospitalization, with bleeding as the principal reason, 3) required surgery to stop the bleeding, or 4) resulted in death. Bleeding sites were subclassified as upper gastrointestinal, lower gastrointestinal, intracranial (hemorrhagic stroke, subarachnoid hemorrhage, subdural hematoma, extradural hematoma, or other), or other sites. Potential events were retrieved from medical records, self-report or notification from treating doctors. Two reviewers adjudicated each event using electronic adjudication software, and discordant cases were reviewed by a third reviewer. Adjudication rules evolved to become more strictly defined as the trial progressed and decision rules were added to assist with frequent scenarios such as post-operative bleeding., Conclusions: This paper provides a detailed methodologic description of the development of a standardized definition for clinically significant bleeding and provides a benchmark for development of a consensus definition for future aspirin primary prevention trials., Trial Registration: ASPREE is registered on the International Standard Randomized Controlled Trial Number Register (ISRCTN83772183) and on clinicaltrials.gov (NCT01038583).
- Published
- 2018
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36. The aspirin in reducing events in the elderly trial: Statistical analysis plan.
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Wolfe R, Murray AM, Woods RL, Kirpach B, Gilbertson D, Shah RC, Nelson MR, Reid CM, Ernst ME, Lockery J, Donnan GA, Williamson J, and McNeil JJ
- Subjects
- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Australia, Double-Blind Method, Female, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Primary Prevention, United States, Aspirin therapeutic use, Cardiovascular Diseases epidemiology, Cardiovascular Diseases prevention & control, Fibrinolytic Agents therapeutic use, Stroke epidemiology, Stroke prevention & control
- Abstract
Rationale Aspirin has positive and negative effects on a number of age-related chronic conditions and there is uncertainty regarding its role in primary prevention in people aged 70 years and over. Aims To assess whether daily active treatment of 100 mg enteric-coated aspirin will extend the duration of disability-free life in healthy older participants. Design A double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled primary prevention trial undertaken in Australia and the United States with careful adjudication of endpoints including stroke. Study outcome In Australia 16,703 individuals were recruited through general practices across five states and territories, and in the United States, 2411 participants were recruited through 34 clinical sites across the country. Follow-up of participants will finish at the end of 2017 with average follow-up exceeding 4.25 years per person. Discussion The statistical analysis plan for ASPREE, finalized after closure of recruitment but before the end of patient follow-up, outlines the primary analyses and a range of subgroup and sensitivity analyses. (International Standard Randomized Controlled Trial Number Register ISRCTN83772183 and clinicaltrials.gov Number NCT01038583).
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- 2018
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37. Age-related macular degeneration in a randomized controlled trial of low-dose aspirin: Rationale and study design of the ASPREE-AMD study.
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Robman L, Guymer R, Woods R, Ward S, Wolfe R, Phung J, Hodgson L, Makeyeva G, Aung KZ, Gilbert T, Lockery J, Le-Pham YA, Orchard S, Storey E, Abhayaratna W, Reid D, Ernst ME, Nelson M, Reid C, and McNeil J
- Abstract
Purpose: Although aspirin therapy is used widely in older adults for prevention of cardiovascular disease, its impact on the incidence, progression and severity of age-related macular degeneration (AMD) is uncertain. The effect of low-dose aspirin on the course of AMD will be evaluated in this clinical trial., Design: A sub-study of the 'ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly' (ASPREE) trial, ASPREE-AMD is a 5-year follow-up double-blind, placebo-controlled, randomized trial of the effect of 100 mg daily aspirin on the course of AMD in 5000 subjects aged 70 years or older, with normal cognitive function and without cardiovascular disease at baseline. Non-mydriatic fundus photography will be performed at baseline, 3-year and 5-year follow-up to determine AMD status., Primary Outcome Measures: The incidence and progression of AMD. Exploratory analyses will determine whether aspirin affects the risk of retinal hemorrhage in late AMD, and whether other factors, such as genotype, systemic disease, inflammatory biomarkers, influence the effect of aspirin on AMD., Conclusion: The study findings will be of significant clinical and public interest due to a potential to identify a possible low cost therapy for preventing AMD worldwide and to determine risk/benefit balance of the aspirin usage by the AMD-affected elderly. The ASPREE-AMD study provides a unique opportunity to determine the effect of aspirin on AMD incidence and progression, by adding retinal imaging to an ongoing, large-scale primary prevention randomized clinical trial.
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- 2017
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38. AspiriN To Inhibit SEPSIS (ANTISEPSIS) randomised controlled trial protocol.
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Eisen DP, Moore EM, Leder K, Lockery J, McBryde ES, McNeil JJ, Pilcher D, Wolfe R, and Woods RL
- Subjects
- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal administration & dosage, Antisepsis, Aspirin administration & dosage, Australia, Female, Hospitalization, Humans, Inflammation mortality, Intensive Care Units, Male, Research Design, Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal therapeutic use, Aspirin therapeutic use, Inflammation prevention & control, Sepsis mortality
- Abstract
Introduction: Sepsis is a leading global cause of morbidity and mortality, and is more common at the extremes of age. Moreover, the cost of in-hospital care for elderly patients with sepsis is significant. There are indications from experimental and observational studies that aspirin may reduce inflammation associated with infection. This paper describes the rationale and design of the AspiriN To Inhibit SEPSIS (ANTISEPSIS) trial, a substudy of ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE). ANTISEPSIS primarily aims to determine whether low-dose aspirin reduces sepsis-related deaths in older people. Additionally, it will assess whether low-dose aspirin reduces sepsis-related hospitalisations and sepsis-related Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admissions., Methods and Analysis: ASPREE is a double-blinded, randomised, placebo-controlled primary prevention trial that will determine whether daily low-dose aspirin extends disability-free longevity in 19 000 healthy older people recruited in Australia and the USA. The ANTISEPSIS substudy involves additional ASPREE trial data collection to assess the impact of daily low-dose aspirin on sepsis-related events in the 16 703 ASPREE participants aged 70 years and over, recruited in Australia. The intervention is a daily 100 mg dose of enteric-coated aspirin versus matching placebo, with 1:1 randomisation. The primary outcome for the ANTISEPSIS substudy is the incidence of sepsis-related death in eligible patients. The incidence of sepsis-related hospital and ICU admissions are secondary outcomes. ANTISEPSIS is to be conducted between 2012 and 2018., Discussion: This substudy will determine whether aspirin, an inexpensive and accessible therapy, safely reduces sepsis-related deaths and hospitalisations in older Australians. If shown to be the case, this would have profound effects on the health of older Australians., Trial Registration Number: Pre-results, ACTRN12613000349741., Competing Interests: Conflicts of Interest: None declared., (Published by the BMJ Publishing Group Limited. For permission to use (where not already granted under a licence) please go to http://www.bmj.com/company/products-services/rights-and-licensing/.)
- Published
- 2017
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39. Slowing the progression of age-related hearing loss: Rationale and study design of the ASPIRIN in HEARING, retinal vessels imaging and neurocognition in older generations (ASPREE-HEARING) trial.
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Lowthian JA, Britt CJ, Rance G, Lin FR, Woods RL, Wolfe R, Nelson MR, Dillon HA, Ward S, Reid CM, Lockery JE, Nguyen TT, McNeil JJ, and Storey E
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- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Audiometry, Pure-Tone, Australia, Disease Progression, Double-Blind Method, Female, Humans, Male, Mental Status Schedule, Speech Perception, Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal therapeutic use, Aspirin therapeutic use, Cognition, Presbycusis prevention & control, Retinal Vessels pathology
- Abstract
Background: Age-related hearing loss (ARHL) is a leading cause of disability in the elderly. Low-grade inflammation and microvessel pathology may be responsible for initiating or exacerbating some of the hearing loss associated with aging. A growing body of evidence demonstrates an association of hearing loss with cognitive decline. A shared etiological pathway may include a role of inflammation, alongside vascular determinants. The ASPREE-HEARING study aims to determine whether low-dose aspirin decreases the progression of ARHL, and if so, whether this decrease in progression is also associated with retinal microvascular changes and/or greater preservation of cognitive function., Design and Methods: A three year double-blind, randomized controlled trial of oral 100mg enteric-coated aspirin or matching placebo, enrolling 1262 Australians aged ≥70years with normal cognitive function and no overt cardiovascular disease. The primary outcome is the change in mean pure tone average hearing threshold (decibels) in the better ear, over a 3-year period. Secondary outcomes consist of changes in retinal microvascular indicators, and changes in cognitive function. Participants are recruited from a larger trial, ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE), which is designed to assess whether daily low dose aspirin will extend disability-free life., Discussion: ASPREE-HEARING will determine whether aspirin slows development or progression of ARHL, and will interrogate the relationship between inflammatory and microvascular mechanisms that may underlie the effects of aspirin on ARHL. This study will improve understanding of the patterns of comorbidity with, and the relationships between, aging and ARHL, alongside modeling the impacts of ARHL., (Copyright © 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
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