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Background: Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH), formerly nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, is characterized by fat accumulation and inflammation of the liver and may result in progression to cirrhosis and liver-related events., Objective: To characterize the impact of cirrhosis and progression to liver-related events on costs and health care resource use (HCRU) among MASH patients in the United States., Methods: The study cohort included patients with diagnosed nonalcoholic steatohepatitis ( International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification code K75.81) in Optum's deidentified Clinformatics Data Mart Database (October 2015 to December 2022) and were stratified by baseline cirrhosis status. Among those without cirrhosis at baseline, patients were further stratified by status of progression to cirrhosis during follow-up. Total HCRU and costs per-person per-year (PPPY) were estimated and compared descriptively between the cohorts. In addition, gamma generalized linear models were used to compare costs PPPY between those with vs without cirrhosis at baseline, as well as with vs without progression during follow-up, while adjusting for baseline patient and disease characteristics. Annual costs per person were also longitudinally modeled using gamma generalized linear mixed models to understand longitudinal changes in costs PPPY while accounting for time correlations within individual patients. Lastly, a series of sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the impact of study design features and clinical variations of total costs PPPY., Results: A total of 28,576 adults were included, and 9,157 (32.0%) had baseline cirrhosis; of the 19,419 without baseline cirrhosis, a total of 4,235 (21.8%) progressed over follow-up. Mean (SD) HCRU and costs PPPY were higher among patients with cirrhosis ($110,403 [$226,037]) than without ($28,340 [$61,472]; P < 0.01) and among those with progression ($58,128 [$102,626]) than without ($20,031 [$39,740]; P < 0.01). Costs remained significantly greater when adjusted for covariates, with a risk ratio (95% CI) of 1.99 (1.89-2.09) when comparing with vs without baseline cirrhosis and 2.28 (2.15-2.42) when comparing with vs without progression over follow-up. Costs increased with each subsequent year, to 21% by year 6 among those with cirrhosis at baseline and 49% among those without baseline cirrhosis who progressed., Conclusions: The financial burden of MASH is substantial and significantly greater among those with cirrhosis or disease progression. Although patients without cirrhosis incur lower burden, the increase over time is greater and associated with progression. Therapies that slow progression may help alleviate the financial burden, and strategies are needed to identify patients with MASH at risk of progressing to cirrhosis.

Background and Aims: Italy has the greatest burden of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in Western Europe. The screening strategy represents a crucial prevention tool to achieve HCV elimination in Italy. We evaluated the cost-consequences of different screening strategies for the diagnosis of HCV active infection in the birth cohort 1948-1968 to achieve the HCV elimination goal., Methods: We designed a probabilistic model to estimate the clinical, and economic outcomes of different screening coverage uptakes, considering the direct costs of HCV management according to each liver fibrosis stage, in the Italian context. A decision probabilistic tree simulates 4 years of HCV testing of the 1948-1968 general population birth cohort, (15,485,565 individuals to be tested) considering different coverage rates. A No-screening scenario was compared with two alternative screening scenarios that represented different coverage rates each year: (1) Incremental approach (coverage rates equal to 5%, 10%, 30%, and 50% at years 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively) and (2) Fast approach (50% coverage rate at years 1, 2, 3 and 4). Overall 106,200 cases were previously estimated to have an HCV active infection. A liver disease progression Markov model was considered for an additional 6 years (horizon-time 10 years)., Results: The highest increased number of deaths and clinical events are reported for the No-screening scenario (21,719 cumulative deaths at the end of ten years; 10,148 cases with HCC and/or 7618 cases with Decompensated Cirrhosis). Following the Fast-screening scenario, the reductions in clinical outcomes and deaths were higher compared with No-screening and Incremental-screening. At ten years time horizon, less than 5696 liver deaths (PSA CI95%: - 3873 to 7519), 3,549 HCC (PSA CI95%: - 2413 to 4684) and less than 3005 liver decompensations (PSA CI 95%: - 2104 to 3907) were estimated compared with the Incremental-scenario. The overall costs of the Fast-screening, including the costs of the DAA and liver disease management of the infected patients for 10 years, are estimated to be € 43,107,543 more than no-investment in screening and € 62,289,549 less compared with the overall costs estimated by the Incremental-scenario., Conclusion: It is necessary to guarantee dedicated funds and efficiency of the system for the cost-efficacious screening of the 1948-1968 birth cohort in Italy. A delay in HCV diagnosis and treatment in the general population, yet not addressed for the HCV free-of-charge screening, will have important clinical and economic consequences in Italy., (© 2024. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.)

Background: Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) is associated with high health care costs. This US study investigated the economic burden of MASH, particularly in patients without cirrhosis, and the impact of comorbidities on health care costs., Methods: This retrospective, observational study used data from patients diagnosed with MASH aged ≥18 years from October 2015 to March 2022 (IQVIA Ambulatory electronic medical record-US). Patients were stratified by the absence or presence of cirrhosis. Primary outcomes included baseline characteristics and annualized total health care cost after MASH diagnosis during follow-up. In addition, this study defined high costs for the MASH population and identified patient characteristics associated with increased health care costs among those without cirrhosis., Results: Overall, 16,919 patients (14,885 without cirrhosis and 2034 with cirrhosis) were included in the analysis. The prevalence of comorbidities was high in both groups; annual total health care costs were higher in patients with cirrhosis. Patients with a high-cost burden (threshold defined using the United States national estimated annual health care expenditure of $13,555) had a higher prevalence of comorbidities and were prescribed more cardiovascular medications. MASH diagnosis was associated with an increase in cost, largely driven by inpatient costs. In patients without cirrhosis, an increase in cost following MASH diagnosis was associated with the presence and burden of comorbidities and cardiovascular medication utilization., Conclusions: Comorbidities, such as cardiovascular disease and type 2 diabetes, are associated with a higher cost burden and may be aggravated by MASH. Prioritization and active management may benefit patients without cirrhosis with these comorbidities. Clinical care should focus on preventing progression to cirrhosis and managing high-burden comorbidities., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. on behalf of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.)

Introduction: Ultrasound (US) is associated with severe visualization limitations (US Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System visualization score C) in one-third of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) cirrhosis undergoing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) screening. Data suggest abbreviated MRI (aMRI) may improve HCC screening efficacy. This study analyzed the cost-effectiveness of HCC screening strategies, including an US visualization score-based approach with aMRI, in patients with NAFLD cirrhosis., Methods: We constructed a Markov model simulating adults with compensated NAFLD cirrhosis in the United States undergoing HCC screening, comparing strategies of US plus visualization score, US alone, or no surveillance. We modeled aMRI in patients with visualization score C and negative US, while patients with scores A/B did US alone. We performed a sensitivity analysis comparing US plus visualization score with US plus alpha fetoprotein or no surveillance. The primary outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), with a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000 per quality-adjusted life-year. Sensitivity analyses were performed for all variables., Results: US plus visualization score was the most cost-effective strategy, with an ICER of $59,005 relative to no surveillance. The ICER for US alone to US plus visualization score was $822,500. On sensitivity analysis, screening using US plus visualization score remained preferred across several parameters. Even with alpha fetoprotein added to US, the US plus visualization score strategy remained cost-effective, with an ICER of $62,799 compared with no surveillance., Discussion: HCC surveillance using US visualization score-based approach, using aMRI for visualization score C, seems to be the most cost-effective strategy in patients with NAFLD cirrhosis., (Copyright © 2024 by The American College of Gastroenterology.)

Background and Aims: This study evaluates the cost burdens of inpatient care for chronic hepatitis B (CHB). We aimed to stratify the patients based on the presence of cirrhosis and conduct subgroup analyses on patient demographics and medical characteristics., Methods: The 2016-2019 National Inpatient Sample was used to select individuals diagnosed with CHB. The weighted charge estimates were derived and converted to admission costs, adjusting for inflation to the year 2016, and presented in United States Dollars. These adjusted values were stratified using select patient variables. To assess the goodness-of-fit for each trend, we graphed the data across the respective years, expressed in a chronological sequence with format (R 2 , p-value). Analysis of CHB patients was carried out in three groups: the composite CHB population, the subset of patients with cirrhosis, and the subset of patients without cirrhosis., Results: From 2016 to 2019, the total costs of hospitalizations in CHB patients were $603.82, $737.92, $758.29, and $809.01 million dollars from 2016 to 2019, respectively. We did not observe significant cost trends in the composite CHB population or in the cirrhosis and non-cirrhosis cohorts. However, we did find rising costs associated with age older than 65 (0.97, 0.02), white race (0.98, 0.01), Hispanic ethnicity (1.00, 0.001), and Medicare coverage (0.95, 0.02), the significance of which persisted regardless of the presence of cirrhosis. Additionally, inpatients without cirrhosis who had comorbid metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) were also observed to have rising costs (0.96, 0.02)., Conclusions: We did not find a significant increase in overall costs with CHB inpatients, regardless of the presence of cirrhosis. However, certain groups are more susceptible to escalating costs. Therefore, increased screening and nuanced vaccination planning must be optimized in order to prevent and mitigate these growing cost burdens on vulnerable populations., (© 2024. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature.)

Background: Noninvasive and early assessment of liver fibrosis is of great significance and is challenging. We aimed to evaluate the predictive performance and cost-effectiveness of the LiverRisk score for liver fibrosis and liver-related and diabetes-related mortality in the general population., Methods: The general population from the NHANES 2017-March 2020, NHANES 1999-2018, and UK Biobank 2006-2010 were included in the cross-sectional cohort (n = 3,770), along with the NHANES follow-up cohort (n = 25,317) and the UK Biobank follow-up cohort (n = 17,259). The cost-effectiveness analysis was performed using TreeAge Pro software. Liver stiffness measurements ≥10 kPa were defined as compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD)., Findings: Compared to conventional scores, the LiverRisk score had significantly better accuracy and calibration in predicting liver fibrosis, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.76 (0.72-0.79) for cACLD. According to the updated thresholds of LiverRisk score (6 and 10), we reclassified the population into three groups: low, medium, and high risk. The AUCs of LiverRisk score for predicting liver-related and diabetes-related mortality at 5, 10, and 15 years were all above 0.8, with better performance than the Fibrosis-4 score. Furthermore, compared to the low-risk group, the medium-risk and high-risk groups in the two follow-up cohorts had a significantly higher risk of liver-related and diabetes-related mortality. Finally, the cost-effectiveness analysis showed that the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for LiverRisk score compared to FIB-4 was USD $18,170 per additional quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained, below the willingness-to-pay threshold of $50,000/QALY., Conclusions: The LiverRisk score is an accurate, cost-effective tool to predict liver fibrosis and liver-related and diabetes-related mortality in the general population., Funding: The National Natural Science Foundation of China (nos. 82330060, 92059202, and 92359304); the Key Research and Development Program of Jiangsu Province (BE2023767a); the Fundamental Research Fund of Southeast University (3290002303A2); Changjiang Scholars Talent Cultivation Project of Zhongda Hospital of Southeast University (2023YJXYYRCPY03); and the Research Personnel Cultivation Program of Zhongda Hospital Southeast University (CZXM-GSP-RC125)., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests The authors declare no competing interests., (Copyright © 2024 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Introduction: Introduction of direct acting antivirals (DAA) has transformed treatment of chronic hepatitis C (HCV) and made the elimination of HCV an achievable goal set forward by World Health Organization by 2030. Multiple barriers need to be overcome for successful eradication of HCV. Availability of pan-genotypic HCV regimens has decreased the need for genotype testing but maintained high efficacy associated with DAAs., Areas Covered: In this review, we will assess the cost-effectiveness of DAA treatment in patients with chronic HCV disease, with emphasis on general, cirrhosis, and vulnerable populations., Expert Opinion: Multiple barriers exist limiting eradication of HCV, including cost to treatment, access, simplified testing, and implementing policy to foster treatment for all groups of HCV patients. Clinically, DAAs have drastically changed the landscape of HCV, but focused targeting of vulnerable groups is needed. Public policy will continue to play a strong role in eliminating HCV. While we will focus on the cost-effectiveness of DAA, several other factors regarding HCV require on going attention, such as increasing public awareness and decreasing social stigma associated with HCV, offering universal screening followed by linkage to treatment and improving preventive interventions to decrease spread of HCV.

Introduction and Objectives: Studies on the societal burden of patients with biopsy-confirmed non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are sparse. This study examined this question, comparing NAFLD with matched reference groups., Materials and Methods: Nationwide Danish healthcare registers were used to include all patients (≥18 years) diagnosed with biopsy-verified NAFLD (1997-2021). Patients were classified as having simple steatosis or non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) with or without cirrhosis, and all matched with liver-disease free reference groups. Healthcare costs and labour market outcomes were compared from 5 years before to 11 years after diagnosis. Patients were followed for 25 years to analyse risk of disability insurance and death., Results: 3,712 patients with biopsy-verified NASH (n = 1,030), simple steatosis (n = 1,540) or cirrhosis (n = 1,142) were identified. The average total costs in the year leading up to diagnosis was 4.1-fold higher for NASH patients than the reference group (EUR 6,318), 6.2-fold higher for cirrhosis patients and 3.1-fold higher for simple steatosis patients. In NASH, outpatient hospital contacts were responsible for 49 % of the excess costs (EUR 3,121). NASH patients had statistically significantly lower income than their reference group as early as five years before diagnosis until nine years after diagnosis, and markedly higher risk of becoming disability insurance recipients (HR: 4.37; 95 % CI: 3.17-6.02) and of death (HR: 2.42; 95 % CI: 1.80-3.25)., Conclusions: NASH, simple steatosis and cirrhosis are all associated with substantial costs for the individual and the society with excess healthcare costs and poorer labour market outcomes., Competing Interests: Conflicts of interest Jan Håkon Rudolfsen and Jens Olsen are employees at EY, which is a paid vendor of Pfizer Denmark Aps. Lise Lotte Gluud, Henning Grønbæk, Majken K. Jensen, Mogens Vyberg and Peter Jepsen were paid by Pfizer Denmark Aps. for their work as members of the Study Steering Committee. Peter Bo Poulsen, Nanna Hovelsø, Nikolaj Ture Gregersen and Anne Bloch Thomsen are employees of Pfizer Denmark Aps. Peter Bo Poulsen, Nanna Hovelsø, and Anne Bloch Thomsen owns shares from Pfizer Inc. The authors report no other conflicts of interest in this work. Full ICMJE Disclosure forms are submitted for each co-author., (Copyright © 2024. Published by Elsevier España, S.L.U.)

Facing increasing economization in the health care sector, clinicians have to adapt not only to the ever-growing economic challenges, but also to a patient-oriented health care. Treatment costs are the most important variable for optimizing success when facing scarce human resources, increasing material- and infrastructure costs in general, as well as low revenue flexibility due to flat rates per case in Germany, the so-called Diagnosis-Related Groups (DRG). University hospitals treat many patients with particularly serious illnesses. Therefore, their share of complex and expensive treatments, such as liver cirrhosis, is significantly higher. The resulting costs are not adequately reflected in the DRG flat rate per case, which is based on an average calculation across all hospitals, which increases this economic pressure. Thus, the aim of this manuscript is to review cost and revenue structures of the management of varices in patients with cirrhosis at a university center with a focus on hepatology. For this monocentric study, the data of 851 patients, treated at the Gastroenterology Department of a University Hospital between 2016 and 2020, were evaluated retrospectively and anonymously. Medical services (e.g., endoscopy, radiology, laboratory diagnostics) were analyzed within the framework of activity-based-costing. As part of the cost unit accounting, the individual steps of the treatment pathways of the 851 patients were monetarily evaluated with corresponding applicable service catalogs and compared with the revenue shares of the cost center and cost element matrix of the German (G-) DRG system. This study examines whether university-based high-performance medicine is efficient and cost-covering within the framework of the G-DRG system. We demonstrate a dramatic underfunding of the management of varicose veins in cirrhosis in our university center. It is therefore generally questionable whether and to what extent an adequate care for this patient collective is reflected in the G-DRG system., (Copyright © 2024. Published by Elsevier GmbH.)

Introduction: There are limited longitudinal data on the cost of treating patients with cirrhosis, which hampers value-based improvement initiatives., Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients with cirrhosis seen in the Veterans Affairs health care system from 2011 to 2015. Patients were followed up through 2019. We identified a sex-matched and age-matched control cohort without cirrhosis. We estimated incremental annual health care costs attributable to cirrhosis for 4 years overall and in subgroups based on severity (compensated, decompensated), cirrhosis complications (ascites, encephalopathy, varices, hepatocellular cancer, acute kidney injury), and comorbidity (Deyo index)., Results: We compared 39,361 patients with cirrhosis with 138,964 controls. The incremental adjusted costs for caring of patients with cirrhosis were $35,029 (95% confidence interval $32,473-$37,585) during the first year and ranged from $14,216 to $17,629 in the subsequent 3 years. Cirrhosis complications accounted for most of these costs. Costs of managing patients with hepatic encephalopathy (year 1 cost, $50,080) or ascites ($50,364) were higher than the costs of managing patients with varices ($20,488) or hepatocellular cancer ($37,639) in the first year. Patients with acute kidney injury or those who had multimorbidity were the most costly at $64,413 and $66,653 in the first year, respectively., Discussion: Patients with cirrhosis had substantially higher health care costs than matched controls and multimorbid patients had even higher costs. Cirrhosis complications accounted for most of the excess cost, so preventing complications has the largest potential for cost saving and could serve as targets for improvement., (Copyright © 2023 by The American College of Gastroenterology.)

Aims: This study assessed the budget impact of resmetirom as a treatment for adults with non-cirrhotic non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) with moderate-to-advanced liver fibrosis and estimated total costs for a hypothetical private payer in the United States., Materials and Methods: A three-year budget impact analysis based on an open cohort state transition model was developed for a hypothetical one-million-member private health plan. The comparator was Standard of Care (SOC), defined as routine care for non-cirrhotic NASH patients with moderate-to-advanced liver fibrosis. Each year, the number of resmetirom treatment-eligible patients was estimated through prevalent, incident, and diagnostic rate estimates. Costs included resources incurred by the medical and pharmacy benefits of private payers, including resmetirom drug acquisition costs, diagnosis and monitoring, other medical and other prescription costs stratified by disease progression status (i.e. non-cirrhotic vs. cirrhotic/advanced liver diseases). Resmetirom adverse event management costs were included in sensitivity analysis. Drug costs were estimated based on the average wholesale acquisition cost as of March 2024. Other costs were based on published sources and inflated to 2023 US dollars. Budget impact outcomes were presented in aggregate, net, and on a per-member per-month (PMPM) basis., Results: Compared with a scenario without resmetirom, the introduction of resmetirom yielded results ranging from 50 to 238 treated patients, net budget impact of $2.2 to $9.5 million, and PMPM from $0.19 to $0.80 over years one and three. Net costs excluding resmetirom declined over time. In sensitivity analyses, results were most sensitive to diagnostic and epidemiologic inputs., Limitations: Market shares are based on internal forecasts, a short time horizon, average treatment effects, and other limitations common to BIMs., Conclusion: The adoption of resmetirom on the formulary for the treatment of non-cirrhotic NASH with moderate-to-advanced liver fibrosis resulted in a moderate increase in budget impact with declining costs related to NASH progression.

Background: Liver diseases are important contributors to the mortality gap between Indigenous and non-Indigenous Australians., Aims: This cohort study examined factors associated with hospital admissions and healthcare outcomes among Indigenous Australians with cirrhosis., Methods: Patient-reported outcomes were obtained by face-to-face interview (Chronic Liver Disease Questionnaire and Short Form 36 (SF-36)). Clinical data were extracted from medical records and through data linkage for 534 patients (25 indigenous). Cumulative overall survival (Kaplan-Meier), rates of hospital admissions and emergency presentations, and costs were assessed by indigenous status. Incidence rate ratios (IRR; Poisson regression) were reported., Results: Indigenous Australians admitted to hospital with cirrhosis had lower educational status compared with non-indigenous patients (79.2% vs 43.4%; P < 0.001). The two groups had, in general, similar clinical characteristics including disease severity (P = 0.78), presence of cirrhosis complications (P = 0.67), comorbidities (P = 0.62), rates of cirrhosis-related admissions (P = 0.86) and 5-year survival (P = 0.30). However, indigenous patients had a lower score in the SF-36 domain related to bodily pain (P = 0.037), more cirrhosis admissions via the emergency department (IRR = 1.42, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.10-1.83) and fewer planned cirrhosis admissions (IRR = 0.32, 95% CI 0.14-0.72). The total cost for cirrhosis-related hospital admissions for 534 patients over 6 years (July 2012 to June 2018) was A$13.7 million. The cost of cirrhosis-related hospital admissions was double for indigenous patients (cost ratio = 2.04, 95% CI 2.04-2.05)., Conclusions: Our data highlight the disparities in health service use and patient-reported outcomes, despite having similar clinical profiles. Integration between primary care, Aboriginal Community Controlled Health Organisations and liver specialists is critical for appropriate health service delivery and effective use of resources. Chronic liver disease costs the community dearly., (© 2022 Royal Australasian College of Physicians.)

Background: Liver cirrhosis is a major global health and economic challenge, placing a heavy economic burden on patients, families, and society. This study aimed to investigate medical expenditure trends in patients with liver cirrhosis and assess the drivers for such medical expenditure among patients with liver cirrhosis., Methods: Medical expenditure data concerning patients with liver cirrhosis was collected in six tertiary hospitals in Chongqing, China, from 2012 to 2020. Trends in medical expenses over time and trends according to subgroups were described, and medical expenditure compositions were analyzed. A multiple linear regression model was constructed to evaluate the factors influencing medical expenditure. All expenditure data were reported in Chinese Yuan (CNY), based on the 2020 value, and adjusted using the year-specific health care consumer price index for Chongqing., Results: Medical expenditure for 7,095 patients was assessed. The average medical expenditure per patient was 16,177 CNY. An upward trend in medical expenditure was observed in almost all patient subgroups. Drug expenses were the largest contributor to medical expenditure in 2020. A multiple linear regression model showed that insurance type, sex, age at diagnosis, marital status, length of stay, smoking status, drinking status, number of complications, autoimmune liver disease, and the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index score were significantly related to medical expenditure., Conclusion: Conservative estimates suggest that the medical expenditure of patients with liver cirrhosis increased significantly from 2012 to 2020. Therefore, it is necessary to formulate targeted measures to reduce the personal burden on patients with liver cirrhosis., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2022 Tan, Tang, He, Xu, Qiu, Chen, Zhang and Zhang.)

Cirrhosis is a burden on the individual and on public health. The World Health Organization's metric of public health burden is the disability-adjusted life-year (DALY), the sum of years of life lost due to premature death and years of life lived with disability. The more DALYs attributable to a disease, the greater its burden on public health. Cirrhosis was responsible for 26.8% fewer DALYs in 2019 than in 1990, which is positive, but the reduction in DALYs across the spectrum of diseases in and outside the liver was 34.4%. Hepatitis C (26% of DALYs), alcohol (24%), and hepatitis B (23%) contribute almost equally to the global burden of cirrhosis. The contribution from non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (8%) is small but increasing. There is substantial global variation in the burden and causes of cirrhosis. We find that the poorest countries carry the greatest burden of cirrhosis, and that this burden is primarily caused by cirrhosis from hepatitis B infection. Interventions targeting hepatitis B infection are known, but not fully implemented. In more affluent countries, alcohol and hepatitis C are the dominant causes of cirrhosis, but non-alcoholic fatty liver will likely become a dominant cause of cirrhosis in parallel with the increasing prevalence of obesity. We also argue that the World Health Organization underestimates the public health burden associated with cirrhosis because it assigns zero disability to compensated cirrhosis and considers decompensated cirrhosis as only mildly disabling., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest ZMY has served as consultant and or received research funds from Intercept, NovoNordisk, Gilead, BMS, Abbott, Siemens, Terns, Merck, Madrigal and Axcella. PJ reports grants from Novo Nordisk Foundation, during the conduct of the study. Please refer to the accompanying ICMJE disclosure forms for further details., (Copyright © 2020 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Objective: To quantify the annual healthcare resource utilization, costs and mortality rate for a large cohort of Italian patients with compensated (CC) and decompensated cirrhosis (DC)., Patients and Methods: A population-based cohort study was conducted through the data-linkage of mortality for all-cause, hospitalizations and outpatient drugs and service databases of the Campania Region. All adults hospitalized with cirrhosis diagnosis (2007-2015) were grouped in CC and DC (prevalent patients) on January 1, 2016 and followed for 1-year. Incident patients with DC (2015) were also retrieved and followed from discharge date up to 1-year. Negative binomial regression was used to estimate Incidence Rate Ratios (IRRs) for predictors of all-cause hospitalizations. Costs were evaluated from the Italian National Health Service perspective and expressed in euro patient/year., Results: A total of 21,433 prevalent cirrhotic patients (57.1% CC and 42.9% DC) and 1,371 incident patients with DC were identified. During a 1-year, 21.5% of prevalent patients with CC were admitted for acute events, 26.8% of those with DC and 55.4% of incident patients with DC. Ascites (IRR=1.71;95% CI: 1.37-2.14) and hepatic encephalopathy (IRR=1.35; 95% CI: 1.04-1.77) at index admission were strong predictors of hospitalizations in incident DC patients. The 1-year mortality rate was respectively 5.8% and 10.1% for prevalent patients with CC and DC and 35.6% for incident patients with DC. Direct costs amounted to 3,194€ patient/year for the prevalent CC group and 4,001€ patient/year for the DC group and 13,806 € patient/year for incident individuals with DC., Conclusions: The burden of cirrhosis dramatically differs between CC and DC patients, especially after the first decompensation episode. Ascites and hepatic encephalopathy at index admission were strong predictors of hospitalizations in incident DC patients.

Background: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is highly prevalent worldwide. Identifying high-risk patients is critical to best utilize limited health care resources. We established a community-based care pathway using 2D ultrasound shear wave elastography (SWE) to identify high risk patients with NAFLD. Our objective was to assess the cost-effectiveness of various non-invasive strategies to correctly identify high-risk patients., Methods: A decision-analytic model was created using a payer's perspective for a hypothetical patient with NAFLD. FIB-4 [≥1.3], NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) [≥-1.455], SWE [≥8 kPa], transient elastography (TE) [≥8 kPa], and sequential strategies with FIB-4 or NFS followed by either SWE or TE were compared to identify patients with either significant (≥F2) or advanced fibrosis (≥F3). Model inputs were obtained from local data and published literature. The cost/correct diagnosis of advanced NAFLD was obtained and univariate sensitivity analysis was performed., Results: For ≥F2 fibrosis, FIB-4/SWE cost $148.75/correct diagnosis while SWE cost $276.42/correct diagnosis, identifying 84% of patients correctly. For ≥F3 fibrosis, using FIB-4/SWE correctly identified 92% of diagnoses and dominated all other strategies. The ranking of strategies was unchanged when stratified by normal or abnormal ALT. For ≥F3 fibrosis, the cost/correct diagnosis was less in the normal ALT group., Conclusions: SWE based strategies were the most cost effective for diagnosing ≥F2 fibrosis. For ≥F3 fibrosis, FIB-4 followed by SWE was the most effective and least costly strategy. Further evaluation of the timing of repeating non-invasive strategies are required to enhance the cost-effective management of NAFLD., Competing Interests: I have read the journal’s policy and the authors of this manuscript have the following competing interests: SEC reports clinical trial support from Gilead Sciences, Genfit, Boehringer Ingelheim, Allergan, BMS and Sequana and has provided consulting services for Intercept Pharmaceuticals, Eisai, and AstraZeneca and Paladin Labs outside the submitted work. AAS reports research grant support from grants from Gilead Sciences and Intercept Pharmaceuticals and has provided consulting services for Intercept Pharmaceuticals and Gilead Sciences outside the submitted work. MGS reports consulting or speaker services for Intercept Pharmaceuticals, Gilead Sciences, Abbott, Novartis and research and clinical trial support from Gilead Sciences, Intercept, CymaBay, Genkyotex, Novartis, Pfizer, Genfit, GSK, Astra Zeneca outside the submitted work. This does not alter our adherence to PLOS ONE policies on sharing data and materials.

Background: High-quality estimates of health care costs are required to understand the burden of illness and to inform economic models. We estimated the costs associated with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection from the public payer perspective in Ontario, Canada., Methods: In this population-based retrospective cohort study, we identified patients aged 18-105 years diagnosed with chronic HCV infection in Ontario from 2003 to 2014 using linked administrative data. We allocated the time from diagnosis until death or the end of follow-up (Dec. 31, 2016) to 9 mutually exclusive health states using validated algorithms: no cirrhosis, no cirrhosis (RNA negative) (i.e., cured HCV infection), compensated cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, both decompensated cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplantation, terminal (liver-related) and terminal (non-liver-related). We estimated direct medical costs (in 2018 Canadian dollars) per 30 days per health state and used regression models to identify predictors of the costs., Results: We identified 48 239 patients with chronic hepatitis C, of whom 30 763 (63.8%) were men and 35 891 (74.4%) were aged 30-59 years at diagnosis. The mean 30-day costs were $798 (95% confidence interval [CI] $780-$816) ( n = 43 568) for no cirrhosis, $661 (95% CI $630-$692) ( n = 6422) for no cirrhosis (RNA negative), $1487 (95% CI $1375-$1599) ( n = 4970) for compensated cirrhosis, $3659 (95% CI $3279-$4039) ( n = 3151) for decompensated cirrhosis, $4238 (95% CI $3480-$4996) ( n = 550) for hepatocellular carcinoma, $8753 (95% CI $7130-$10 377) ( n = 485) for both decompensated cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma, $4539 (95% CI $3746-$5333) ( n = 372) for liver transplantation, $11 202 (95% CI $10 645-$11 760) ( n = 3201) for terminal (liver-related) and $8801 (95% CI $8331-$9271) ( n = 5278) for terminal (non-liver-related) health states. Comorbidity was the most significant predictor of total costs for all health states., Interpretation: Our findings suggest that the financial burden of HCV infection is substantially higher than previously estimated in Canada. Our comprehensive, up-to-date cost estimates for clinically defined health states of HCV infection should be useful for future economic evaluations related to this disorder., Competing Interests: Competing interests: Murray Krahn and William Wong have received research support from the Canadian Liver Foundation. No other competing interests were declared., (© 2021 Joule Inc. or its licensors.)

Background & Aims: There are very limited data on the healthcare burden of muscle loss, the most frequent complication in hospitalized cirrhotics. We determined the healthcare impact of a muscle loss phenotype in hospitalized cirrhotics., Methods: The Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) database (years 2010-2014) was analyzed. Search terms included cirrhosis and its complications, and an expanded definition of a muscle loss phenotype that included all conditions associated with muscle loss. In-hospital mortality, length of stay (LOS), post-discharge disposition, co-morbidities and cost during admission were analyzed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify associations between a muscle loss phenotype and outcomes. Impact of muscle loss in cirrhotics was compared to that in a random sample (2%) of general medical inpatients., Results: A total of 162,694 hospitalizations for cirrhosis were reported, of which 18,261 (11.2%) included secondary diagnosis codes for a muscle loss phenotype. A diagnosis of muscle loss was associated with a significantly (p < 0.001 for all) higher mortality (19.3% vs 8.2%), LOS (14.2 ± 15.8 vs. 4.6 ± 6.9 days), and median hospital charge per admission ($21,400 vs. $8573) and a lower likelihood of discharge to home (30.1% vs. 60.2%). All evaluated outcomes were more severe in cirrhotics than general medical patients (n = 534,687). Multivariate regression analysis showed that a diagnosis of muscle loss independently increased mortality by 130%, LOS by 80% and direct cost of care by 119% (p < 0.001 for all). Alcohol use, female gender, malignancies and other organ dysfunction were independently associated with muscle loss., Conclusions: Muscle loss contributed to higher mortality, LOS, and direct healthcare costs in hospitalized cirrhotics., Competing Interests: Conflicts of interest The authors have no other conflicts (financial or potential personal) to declare other than the unrestricted funding to the authors listed above., (Copyright © 2020 Elsevier Ltd and European Society for Clinical Nutrition and Metabolism. All rights reserved.)

Background: Peptic ulcer disease (PUD) is more prevalent in cirrhotic patients and it has been associated with poor outcomes. However, there are no population-based studies from the United States (U.S.) that have investigated this association. Our study aims to estimate the incidence trends, predictors, and outcomes PUD patients with underlying cirrhosis., Methods: We analyzed Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) and Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP) data for years 2002-2014. Adult hospitalizations due to PUD were identified by previously validated ICD-9-CM codes as the primary diagnosis. Cirrhosis was also identified with presence of ICD-9-CM codes in secondary diagnosis fields. We analyzed trends and predictors of PUD in cirrhotic patients and utilized multivariate regression models to estimate the impact of cirrhosis on PUD outcomes., Results: Between the years 2002-2014, there were 1,433,270 adult hospitalizations with a primary diagnosis of PUD, out of which 70,007 (4.88%) had cirrhosis as a concurrent diagnosis. There was a significant increase in the proportion of hospitalizations with a concurrent diagnosis of cirrhosis, from 3.9% in 2002 to 6.6% in 2014 (p < 0.001). In an adjusted multivariable analysis, in-hospital mortality was significantly higher in hospitalizations of PUD with cirrhosis (odd ratio [OR] 1.78; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.63-1.97; P < 0.001), however, there was no difference in the discharge to facility (OR 1.00; 95%CI 0.94 - 1.07; P = 0.81). Moreover, length of stay (LOS) was also higher (6 days vs. 4 days, P < 0.001) among PUD with cirrhosis. Increasing age and comorbidities were associated with higher odds of in-hospital mortality among PUD patients with cirrhosis., Conclusion: Our study shows that there is an increased hospital burden as well as poor outcomes in terms of higher in-hospital mortality among hospitalized PUD patients with cirrhosis. Further studies are warranted for better risk stratification and improvement of outcomes.

Background: The opioid epidemic has been associated with an increase in hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections. Federally qualified health centers (FQHCs) have a high burden of hepatitis C disease and could serve as venues to enhance testing and treatment., Methods: We estimated clinical outcomes and the cost-effectiveness of hepatitis C testing and treatment at US FQHCs using individual-based simulation modeling. We used individual-level data from 57 FQHCs to model 9 strategies, including permutations of HCV antibody testing modality, person initiating testing, and testing approach. Outcomes included life expectancy, quality-adjusted life-years (QALY), hepatitis C cases identified, treated and cured; and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios., Results: Compared with current practice (risk-based with laboratory-based testing), routine rapid point-of-care testing initiated and performed by a counselor identified 68% more cases after (nonreflex) RNA testing in the first month of the intervention and led to a 17% reduction in cirrhosis cases and a 22% reduction in liver deaths among those with cirrhosis over a lifetime. Routine rapid testing initiated by a counselor or a clinician provided better outcomes at either lower total cost or at lower cost per QALY gained, when compared with all other strategies. Findings were most influenced by the proportion of patients informed of their anti-HCV test results., Conclusions: Routine anti-HCV testing followed by prompt RNA testing for positives is recommended at FQHCs to identify infections. If using dedicated staff or point-of-care testing is not feasible, then measures to improve immediate patient knowledge of antibody status should be considered., (Copyright © 2020 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Objectives: We sought to assess the national trends in the utilization and outcomes of percutaneous coronary interventions (PCI) in patients with cirrhosis., Background: Contemporary data on PCI in patients with liver cirrhosis are limited., Methods: The National-Inpatient-Sample was used to identify patients who underwent PCI between 2003 and 2016. We examined the annual PCI rate, and compared the in-hospital morbidity, mortality, resource utilization, and cost following PCI in patients with and without cirrhosis., Results: A total of 8,860,178 PCI hospitalizations were identified, of those, 20,339 (0.2%) were performed in patients with cirrhosis. Annual PCI rates decreased overtime in patients without liver cirrhosis but increased in those with cirrhosis (P trend < .001). Patients with cirrhosis had a characteristic clinical, demographic, and socioeconomic profile compared with those without cirrhosis. The use of bare-metal stents decreased from 69.1 to 11.4% in the noncirrhosis group, and from 81.9 to 21.3% in the cirrhosis group. Compared with propensity-matched patients without cirrhosis, PCI in cirrhotic patients was associated with higher in-hospital mortality across all indications (STEMI 19.1 vs. 11.5%, p = .002; NSTEMI 8.7 vs. 5.6%, p = .002; and UA/SIHD 7.7 vs. 4.3%, p < .001). Cirrhotic patients also had significantly higher rates of acute kidney injury, but similar rates of vascular complications and stroke. Additionally, cirrhotic patients had longer hospitalizations, were less likely to be discharged home, and accrued higher cost across all PCI indications., Conclusions: Patients with cirrhosis who are deemed "suitable PCI candidates" in current practice remain at high-risk for worse short-term morbidity and mortality, and higher cost of care., (© 2019 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.)

Introduction and Objectives: Weekend admissions has previously been associated with worse outcomes in conditions requiring specialists. Our study aimed to determine in-hospital outcomes in patients with ascites admitted over the weekends versus weekdays. Time to paracentesis from admission was studied as current guidelines recommend paracentesis within 24h for all patients admitted with worsening ascites or signs and symptoms of sepsis/hepatic encephalopathy (HE)., Patients: We analyzed 70 million discharges from the 2005-2014 National Inpatient Sample to include all adult patients admitted non-electively for ascites, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP), and HE with ascites with cirrhosis as a secondary diagnosis. The outcomes were in-hospital mortality, complication rates, and resource utilization. Odds ratios (OR) and means were adjusted for confounders using multivariate regression analysis models., Results: Out of the total 195,083 ascites/SBP/HE-related hospitalizations, 47,383 (24.2%) occurred on weekends. Weekend group had a higher number of patients on Medicare and had higher comorbidity burden. There was no difference in mortality rate, total complication rates, length of stay or total hospitalization charges between the patients admitted on the weekend or weekdays. However, patients admitted over the weekends were less likely to undergo paracentesis (OR 0.89) and paracentesis within 24h of admission (OR 0.71). The mean time to paracentesis was 2.96 days for weekend admissions vs. 2.73 days for weekday admissions., Conclusions: We observed a statistically significant "weekend effect" in the duration to undergo paracentesis in patients with ascites/SBP/HE-related hospitalizations. However, it did not affect the patient's length of stay, hospitalization charges, and in-hospital mortality., (Copyright © 2020 Fundación Clínica Médica Sur, A.C. Published by Elsevier España, S.L.U. All rights reserved.)

Background and Aims: Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) may progress to advanced liver disease (AdvLD). This study characterized comorbidities, healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) and associated costs among hospitalized patients with AdvLD due to NASH in Italy., Methods and Results: Adult nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)/NASH patients from 2011 to 2017 were identified from administrative databases of Italian local health units using ICD-9-CM codes. Development of compensated cirrhosis (CC), decompensated cirrhosis (DCC), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), or liver transplant (LT) was identified using first diagnosis date for each severity cohort (index-date). Patients progressing to multiple disease stages were included in >1 cohort. Patients were followed from index-date until the earliest of disease progression, end of coverage, death, or end of study. Within each cohort, per member per month values were annualized to calculate all-cause HCRU or costs(€) in 2017. Of the 9,729 hospitalized NAFLD/NASH patients identified, 97% were without AdvLD, 1.3% had CC, 3.1% DCC, 0.8% HCC, 0.1% LT. Comorbidity burden was high across all cohorts. Mean annual number of inpatient services was greater in patients with AdvLD than without AdvLD. Similar trends were observed in outpatient visits and pharmacy fills. Mean total annual costs increased with disease severity, driven primarily by inpatient services costs., Conclusion: NAFLD/NASH patients in Italy have high comorbidity burden. AdvLD patients had significantly higher costs. The higher prevalence of DCC compared to CC in this population may suggest challenges of effectively screening and identifying NAFLD/NASH patients. Early identification and effective management are needed to reduce risk of disease progression and subsequent HCRU and costs., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest This study was sponsored by Gilead Sciences, Inc., and executed by CliCon S.r.l on behalf of Gilead Sciences, Inc. The agreement signed by Clicon S.r.l. and Gilead does not create any entityship, joint venture or any similar relationship between parties. Clicon S.r.l. is an independent company. Neither CliCon S.r.l. nor any of their representatives are employees of Gilead for any purpose. SS, and LDE report no conflicts of interest in this work. JT and SS are employees of Gilead, Foster City, CA, USA. SP, MLP, and GM are consultants of Gilead Sciences, Inc. for this study., (Copyright © 2020 The Italian Diabetes Society, the Italian Society for the Study of Atherosclerosis, the Italian Society of Human Nutrition and the Department of Clinical Medicine and Surgery, Federico II University. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background: Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a complication of cirrhosis of the liver causing neuropsychiatric abnormalities. Clinical manifestations of overt HE result in increased health care resource utilization and effects on patient quality of life. While lactulose has historically been the mainstay of treatment for acute HE and maintenance of remission, there is an unmet need for additional therapeutic options with a favorable adverse event profile. Compared with lactulose alone, rifaximin has demonstrated proven efficacy in complete reversal of HE and reduction in the incidence of HE recurrence, mortality, and hospitalizations. Evidence suggests the benefit of long-term prophylactic therapy with rifaximin; however, there is a need to assess the economic impact of rifaximin treatment in patients with HE., Objective: To assess the incremental cost-effectiveness of rifaximin ± lactulose versus lactulose monotherapy in patients with overt HE., Methods: A Markov model was developed in Excel with 4 health states (remission, overt HE, liver transplantation, and death) to predict costs and outcomes of patients with HE after initiation of maintenance therapy with rifaximin ± lactulose to avoid recurrent HE episodes. Cost-effectiveness of rifaximin was evaluated through estimation of incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) or life-year (LY) gained. Analyses were conducted over a lifetime horizon. One-way deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess uncertainty in results., Results: The rifaximin ± lactulose regimen provided added health benefits despite an additional cost versus lactulose monotherapy. Model results showed an incremental benefit of $29,161 per QALY gained and $27,762 per LY gained with rifaximin ± lactulose versus lactulose monotherapy. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses demonstrated that the rifaximin ± lactulose regimen was cost-effective ~99% of the time at a threshold of $50,000 per QALY/LY gained, which falls within the commonly accepted threshold for incremental cost-effectiveness., Conclusions: The clinical benefit of rifaximin, combined with an acceptable economic profile, demonstrates the advantages of rifaximin maintenance therapy as an important option to consider for patients at risk of recurrent HE., Disclosures: This analysis was funded by Salix Pharmaceuticals, a division of Bausch Health US. Salix and Xcenda collaborated on the methods, and Salix, Xcenda, Jesudian, and Ahmad collaborated on the writing of the manuscript and interpretation of results. Bozkaya and Migliaccio-Walle are employees of Xcenda. Ahmad reports speaker fees from Salix Pharmaceuticals, unrelated to this study. Jesudian reports consulting and speaker fees from Salix Pharmaceuticals, unrelated to this study. The results from this model were presented at AASLD: The Liver Meeting 2014; November 7-11; Boston, MA.

Background and Aims: Liver cirrhosis is a substantial health burden in the USA, but population-based data regarding the trend and medical expenditure are limited and outdated. We investigated the trends of inpatient admissions, costs, and inpatient mortality from 2005 to 2015 among cirrhotic patients., Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted using the National Inpatient Sample database. We adjusted the costs to 2015 US dollars using a 3% inflation rate. National estimates of admissions were determined using discharge weights., Results: We identified 1,627,348 admissions in cirrhotic patients between 2005 and 2015. From 2005 to 2015, the number of weighted admissions in cirrhotic patients almost doubled (from 505,032 to 961,650) and the total annual hospitalization cost in this population increased three times (from 5.8 to 16.3 billion US dollars). Notably, admission rates varied by liver disease etiology, decreasing from 2005 to 2015 among patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related cirrhosis while increasing (almost tripled) among patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)-related cirrhosis. The annual inpatient mortality rate per 1000 admissions overall decreased from 63.8 to 58.2 between 2005 and 2015 except for NAFLD (27.2 to 35.8) (P < 0.001)., Conclusions: Rates and costs of admissions in cirrhotic patients have increased substantially between 2005 and 2015 in the USA, but varied by liver disease etiology, with decreasing rate for HCV-associated cirrhosis and for HBV-associated cirrhosis but increasing for NAFLD-associated cirrhosis. Inpatient mortality also increased by one-third for NAFLD, while it decreased for other diseases. Cost also varied by etiology and lower for HCV-associated cirrhosis.

Introduction:  Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) represents a frequent complication of liver cirrhosis with negative effects on patients' lives. The prevalence of clinical HE is estimated to be between 30-45 %. Regardless of its clinical and prognostic relevance HE is considered to be underdiagnosed., Methods:  Beyond a systematic analysis of mortality of HE, we investigated the economic impact and reimbursement situation for HE in patients with liver cirrhosis in Germany. For the retrospective analysis, anonymized data (2011-2015) concerning expenses and diagnoses (§ 21-4 KHEntgG) were obtained from 74 participating hospitals of the Diagnosis Related Groups (DRG) Project of the German Gastroenterological Association (DGVS). Furthermore, results were compared with case data from all German hospitals provided by the German Federal Authority on Statistics (Statistische Bundesamt (Destatis), Wiesbaden)., Results:  In participating hospitals 59 093 cases with liver cirrhosis were identified of which 14.6 % were coded as having HE. Hospital mortality was threefold increased compared to cirrhosis-patients without HE (20.9 versus 7.5 %). Cases with cirrhosis as well as the proportion with HE increased over time. Compared to all patients with cirrhosis, reimbursement for HE patients produced a deficit (of up to 634 € for HE grade 4)., Discussion:  Mortality is threefold increased in patients with cirrhosis when an additional HE is diagnosed. Hospitals participating in the DGVS-DRG-project coded 2 % more HE cases among their cirrhosis cases than the rest of hospitals either because of a selection bias for greater disease severity or because of better coding quality. At present, reimbursement for HE patients on the basis of F-DRG-system produced a deficit., Competing Interests: M. Rathmayer, L. Koller und M. Wilke haben für die Analyse ein Beratungshonorar von der Fa. Norgine GmbH, Marburg erhalten. Gundling F., Labenz J. und Wedemeyer J. haben für Vortrags- und Beratungstätigkeit in der Vergangenheit Honorare von Norgine erhalten., (© Georg Thieme Verlag KG Stuttgart · New York.)

Aim: The recently developed direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections are costly. Cost-effectiveness analyses of DAAs require accurate healthcare expenditure estimates for the various HCV disease states, but few studies have produced such estimates using national-level data. This study utilized nationally representative data to estimate the healthcare expenditure for each HCV disease state., Methods: We identified all patients infected with HCV between April 2010 and March 2018 from a nationwide administrative claims database in Japan. Monthly patient-level healthcare expenditures were calculated for the following disease states: chronic hepatitis C (CHC), compensated cirrhosis (CC), decompensated cirrhosis (DC), and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The expenditures for the CHC and CC states were also compared before DAA treatment and after sustained virologic response (SVR) was achieved. A longitudinal two-part model was employed to estimate the healthcare expenditures for each state., Results: During the study period, 1,564,043 patients with 146,488,137 patient-months of data met the inclusion criteria. The year of valuation was 2017. The mean monthly healthcare expenditures per patient (95% confidence intervals) for the pre-DAA CHC, CC, DC, and HCC states were US$267 (US$267-268), US$428 (US$427-429), US$666 (US$663-669), and US$969 (US$966-972), respectively. The mean monthly healthcare expenditures per patient for the post-SVR (≥ 2 years) CHC and CC states were US$176 (US$176-177) and US$238 (US$236-240), respectively. Healthcare expenditure increased with increasing age in all disease states (P < 0.05)., Conclusions: These healthcare expenditure estimates from a nationally representative sample have potential applications in cost-effectiveness analyses of DAAs.

We aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of (1) treating acute hepatitis C virus (HCV) vs deferring treatment until the chronic phase and (2) treating all chronic patients vs only those with advanced fibrosis; among Chinese genotype 1b treatment-naïve patients who injected drugs (PWID), using a combination Daclatasvir (DCV) plus Asunaprevir (ASV) regimen and a Peg-interferon (PegIFN)-based regimen, respectively. A decision-analytical model including the risk of HCV reinfection simulated lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) of three treatment timings, under the DCV+ASV and PegIFN regimen, respectively: Treating acute infection ("Treat at acute"), treating chronic patients of all fibrosis stages ("Treat at F0 (no fibrosis)"), treating only advanced-stage fibrosis patients ("Treat at F3 (numerous septa without cirrhosis)"). Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were used to compare scenarios. "Treat at acute" compared with "Treat at F0" was cost-saving (cost: DCV+ASV regimen-US$14,486.975 vs US$16,224.250; PegIFN-based regimen-US$19,734.794 vs US$22,101.584) and more effective (QALY: DCV+ASV regimen-14.573 vs 14.566; PegIFN-based regimen-14.148 vs 14.116). Compared with "Treat at F3"; "Treat at F0" exhibited an ICER of US$3780.20/QALY and US$15,145.98/QALY under the DCV+ASV regimen and PegIFN-based regimen; respectively. Treatment of acute HCV infection was highly cost-effective and cost-saving compared with deferring treatment to the chronic stage; for both DCV+ASV and PegIFN-based regimens. Early treatment for chronic patients with DCV+ASV regimen was highly cost-effective., Competing Interests: The authors declare no conflict of interest.

The incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasing worldwide, with significant morbidity and associated costs. Treatment allocation depends on the stage of diagnosis; however, resource utilization can be significant across all stages. We aimed to summarize the available data on the cost effectiveness of surveillance of and treatments for HCC in the context of current treatment guidelines. We performed a focused review of studies investigating the economic burden and cost effectiveness of HCC surveillance treatment modalities published between January 2000 and January 2019. The overall economic burden of HCC is increasing in the USA and in several countries worldwide due to its rising incidence and the proliferation of therapies. Liver transplantation is a cost-effective strategy for early-stage HCC treatment in selected patients. In settings where liver transplantation is not available or in patients awaiting transplant, ablative or locoregional therapies are cost effective with increases in quality-adjusted life-years. First-line therapy with sorafenib for advanced stage HCC is cost effective in the treatment of compensated cirrhosis. The cost effectiveness of recently approved systemic therapies for advanced HCC require further investigation. Existing studies have shown that guideline-recommended surveillance techniques and several available therapies for the treatment of HCC are cost effective; however, there are limitations in the literature, including reliance on suboptimal modeling with incomplete/simplified model structure or inadequate inputs. With increasing therapeutic options in patients with HCC, understanding their relative value is critical in designing HCC treatment algorithms.

Background/aims: Non-invasive fibrosis tests (NITs) can be used to triage non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) patients at risk of advanced fibrosis (AF). We modelled and investigated the diagnostic accuracy and costs of a two-tier NIT approach in primary care (PC) to inform secondary care referrals (SCRs)., Methods: A hypothetical cohort of 1,000 NAFLD patients with a 5% prevalence of AF was examined. Three referral strategies were modelled: refer all patients (Scenario 1), refer only patients with AF on NITs performed in PC (Scenario 2) and refer those with AF after biopsy (Scenario 3). Patients in Scenarios 1 and 2 would undergo sequential NITs if their initial NIT was indeterminate (FIB-4 followed by Fibroscan®, enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF)® or FibroTest®). The outcomes considered were true/false positives and true/false negatives with associated mortality, complications, treatment and follow-up depending on the care setting. Decision curve analysis was performed, which expressed the net benefit of different scenarios over a range of threshold probabilities (Pt)., Results: Sequential use of NITs provided lower SCR rates and greater cost savings compared to other scenarios over 5 years, with 90% of patients managed in PC and cost savings of over 40%. On decision curve analysis, FIB-4 plus ELF was marginally superior to FIB-4 plus Fibroscan at Pt ≥8% (1/12.5 referrals). Below this Pt, FIB-4 plus Fibroscan had greater net benefit. The net reduction in SCRs was similar for both sequential combinations., Conclusions: The sequential use of NITs in PC is an effective way to rationalize SCRs and is associated with significant cost savings., (© 2019 John Wiley & Sons A/S. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Introduction and Objectives: AKI is known to be associated with increased risk of mortality, however limited information is available on how AKI impacts healthcare costs and resource utilization in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis. Previous studies have had variable definitions of AKI, resulting in inconsistent reporting of the true impact of AKI in patients with cirrhosis., Methods: Data from the Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) which contains data from 44 states and 4378 hospitals, accounting for over 7 million discharges were analyzed. The inclusion data were all discharges in the 2012 NIS dataset with a discharge diagnosis of cirrhosis., Results: A total of 32,605 patients were included in the analysis, incidence of AKI was 12.12% in patients with cirrhosis. Crude mortality was much higher for patients with cirrhosis and AKI (14.9% vs. 1.8%, OR 9.42, p<0.001) than for patients without AKI. In addition, mean LOS was longer (8.5 vs. 4.3 days, p<0.001) and median total hospital charges were higher for patients with AKI ($43,939 vs. $22,270, p<0.001). In multivariate logistic regression, controlling for covariates and mortality risk score, sepsis, ascites and SBP were predictors of AKI., Conclusions: AKI is relatively common in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis. Presence of AKI results in significantly higher inpatient mortality as well as LOS and resource utilization. Median hospitalization cost was twice as high in AKI patients. Early identification of patients at high risk for AKI should be implemented to reduce mortality and contain costs. Prognosis could be enhanced by utilizing biomarkers which could rapidly detect AKI., (Copyright © 2019. Published by Elsevier España, S.L.U.)

Objective: Since July 1, 2011 antiviral therapy for hepatitis B virus infection has been listed as a reimbursable expense for medical insurance in Beijing. This study aimed to assess the impact of this program on liver-related death for patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB)., Methods: Profiles of patients with CHB discharged between January 2008 and December 2015 were retrieved from the Beijing hospital discharge database. Liver-related deaths in these patients occurring between January 2008 and December 2017 were retrieved by linking them to the death certification database. Liver-related mortality (number of deaths divided by the observed person-years) before and after this program was launched was calculated and compared. A Poisson regression was performed to assess the strength of association (risk ratio [RR]) between the reimbursement program and liver-related mortality., Results: Information on 35 943 discharged patients (17 114 patients with non-cirrhotic and 18 829 with compensated cirrhotic CHB) was retrieved. Altogether 3 832 liver-related deaths during the 190 695 person-years were observed. After the reimbursement program was launched, liver-related mortality per 100 person-years dropped from 0.38% to 0.16% for patients with non-cirrhotic CHB, and from 4.03% to 3.39% for those with compensated cirrhosis. The program was associated with a lower risk of developing liver-related death for patients with non-cirrhotic CHB (RR 0.40, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.30-0.52) and those with compensated cirrhosis (RR 0.84, 95% CI 0.78-0.89)., Conclusion: Coverage of antiviral therapy by basic medical insurance reduced the risk of developing liver-related death for patients with non-cirrhotic and with compensated cirrhotic CHB., (© 2019 Chinese Medical Association Shanghai Branch, Chinese Society of Gastroenterology, Renji Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine and John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd.)

Background: The identification of patients with advanced liver fibrosis secondary to non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) remains challenging. Using non-invasive liver fibrosis tests (NILT) in primary care may permit earlier detection of patients with clinically significant disease for specialist review, and reduce unnecessary referral of patients with mild disease. We constructed an analytical model to assess the clinical and cost differentials of such strategies., Methods: A probabilistic decisional model simulated a cohort of 1000 NAFLD patients over 1 year from a healthcare payer perspective. Simulations compared standard care (SC) (scenario 1) to: Scenario 2: FIB-4 for all patients followed by Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) test for patients with indeterminate FIB-4 results; Scenario 3: FIB-4 followed by fibroscan for indeterminate FIB-4; Scenario 4: ELF alone; and Scenario 5: fibroscan alone. Model estimates were derived from the published literature. The primary outcome was cost per case of advanced fibrosis detected., Results: Introduction of NILT increased detection of advanced fibrosis over 1 year by 114, 118, 129 and 137% compared to SC in scenarios 2, 3, 4 and 5 respectively with reduction in unnecessary referrals by 85, 78, 71 and 42% respectively. The cost per case of advanced fibrosis (METAVIR ≥F3) detected was £25,543, £8932, £9083, £9487 and £10,351 in scenarios 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 respectively. Total budget spend was reduced by 25.2, 22.7, 15.1 and 4.0% in Scenarios 2, 3, 4 and 5 compared to £670 K at baseline., Conclusion: Our analyses suggest that the use of NILT in primary care can increases early detection of advanced liver fibrosis and reduce unnecessary referral of patients with mild disease and is cost efficient. Adopting a two-tier approach improves resource utilization.

Introduction: The prevalence of cirrhosis is increasing despite advances in therapeutics, and it remains an expensive medical condition. Studies examining the healthcare burden of inpatient cirrhosis-related care regardless of etiology, stage, or severity are lacking. This study aims to describe the current drivers of cost, length of stay (LOS), and mortality in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis., Methods: Using the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) data from 2008 to 2014, we categorized admissions into decompensated cirrhosis (DC), compensated cirrhosis (CC), and NIS without cirrhosis. Descriptive statistics and regression analysis were used to analyze the association between patient characteristics, comorbidities, complications, and procedures with costs, LOS, and mortality in each group., Results: The hospitalization costs for patients with cirrhosis increased 30.2% from 2008 to 2014 to $7.37 billion. Cirrhosis admissions increased by 36% and 24% in the DC and CC groups, respectively, compared with 7.7% decrease in the NIS without cirrhosis group. DC admissions contributed to 58.6% of total cirrhotic admissions by 2014. Procedures increased costs in both DC and CC groups by 15%-152%, with mechanical ventilation being associated with high cost increase and mortality increase. Complications are also key drivers of costs and LOS, with renal and infectious complications being associated with the highest increases in the DC group and infections and nonportal hypertensive gastrointestinal bleeding for the CC group., Discussion: Economic burden of hospitalized patients with cirrhosis is increasing with more admissions and longer LOS in DC and CC groups. Important drivers include procedures and portal hypertensive and nonportal hypertensive complications.

Background: Inpatient charges for patients with cirrhosis are substantial. We aimed to examine trends in inpatient charges among patients with cirrhosis to determine the drivers of healthcare expenditures. We hypothesized that alcoholic cirrhosis (AC) was a significant contributor to overall expense., Methods: We performed a retrospective analysis of the Health Care Utilization Project Nationwide Inpatient Sample Database 2002-2014 (annual cross-sectional data) and New York and Florida State Inpatient Databases 2010-2012 (longitudinal data). Adult patients with cirrhosis of the liver were categorized as AC versus all other etiologies of cirrhosis combined. Patient characteristics were analyzed using ordinary least squares regression modeling. A random effects model was used to evaluate 30-day readmissions., Results: In total, 1,240,152 patients with cirrhosis were admitted between 2002 and 2014. Of these, 567,510 (45.8%) had a diagnosis of AC. Total charges for AC increased by 95.7% over the time period, accounting for 59.9% of all inpatient cirrhosis-related charges in 2014. Total aggregate charges for AC admissions were $28 billion and increased from $1.4B in 2002 to $2.8B by 2014. In the NIS and SID, patients with AC were younger, white and male. Readmission rates at 30, 60, and 90 days were all higher among AC patients., Conclusions: Inpatient charges for cirrhosis care are high and increasing. Alcohol-related liver disease accounts for more than half of these charges and is driven by sheer volume of admissions and readmissions of the same patients. Effective alcohol addictions therapy may be the most cost-effective way to substantially reduce inpatient cirrhosis care expenditures.

Background: Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is associated with substantial morbidity and mortality, contributing significant burden on healthcare systems., Aim: We aim to evaluate trends in clinical and economic burden of HE among hospitalized adults in the USA., Methods: Using the 2010-2014 National Inpatient Sample, we identified adults hospitalized with HE using ICD-9-CM codes. Annual trends in hospitalizations with HE, in-hospital mortality, and hospital charges were stratified by the presence of acute liver failure (ALF) or cirrhosis. Adjusted multivariable regression models were evaluated for predictors of in-hospital mortality and hospitalization charges., Results: Among 142,860 hospitalizations with HE (mean age 59.3 years, 57.8% male), 67.7% had cirrhosis and 3.9% ALF. From 2010 to 2014, total number of hospitalizations with HE increased by 24.4% (25,059 in 2010 to 31,182 in 2014, p < 0.001). Similar increases were seen when stratified by ALF (29.7% increase) and cirrhosis (29.7% increase). Overall in-hospital mortality decreased from 13.4% (2010) to 12.3% (2014) (p = 0.001), with similar decreases observed in ALF and cirrhosis. Total inpatient charges increased by 46.0% ($8.15 billion, 2010 to $11.9 billion, 2014). On multivariable analyses, ALF was associated with significantly higher odds of in-hospital mortality (OR 5.37; 95% CI 4.97-5.80; p < 0.001) as well as higher mean inpatient charges (122.6% higher; 95% CI + 115.0-130.3%; p < 0.001) compared to cirrhosis. The presence of ascites, hepatocellular carcinoma, and hepatorenal syndrome was associated with increased mortality., Conclusions: The clinical and economic burden of hospitalizations with HE in the USA continues to rise. In 2014, estimated national economic burden of hospitalizations with HE reached $11.9 billion.

Background: The burden of cirrhosis on the healthcare system is substantial and growing. Our objectives were to estimate the readmission rates and hospitalization costs as well as to identify risk factors for 90-day readmission in patients with cirrhosis., Methods: We conducted a weighted analysis of the 2014 Nationwide Readmission Database to identify adult patients with cirrhosis-related complications in the United States and assessed readmission rates at 30, 60 and 90 days post-index hospitalization. Predictors of 90-day readmissions were identified using weighted regression models adjusting for patient and hospital characteristics; the national estimate of hospitalization costs was also calculated., Results: Of the 58 954 patients admitted with cirrhosis-related complications in 2014, 14 910 (25%) were readmitted within 90 days because of cirrhosis-related complications. The main causes of readmission were ascites (56%), hepatic encephalopathy (47%) and bleeding oesophageal varices (9%). Independent predictors of 90-day readmissions were male sex (adjusted OR [aOR]: 1.08, 95% CI, 1.04-1.13), age <60 (aOR: 1.27, 95% CI, 1.22-1.32), privately insured (aOR: 0.74, 95% CI, 0.70-0.77), having ≥3 comorbid conditions (aOR: 1.27, 95% CI, 1.14-1.42) and being discharged against medical advice (aOR: 1.41, 95% CI, 1.25-1.59). The weighted cumulative national cost estimate of the index admission was $1.8 billion, compared to $0.5 billion for readmission., Conclusions: A quarter of patients admitted with cirrhosis-related complications were readmitted within 90 days, representing a significant economic burden related to readmission of this population. Interventions and resource allocations to reduce readmission rates among cirrhotic patients is critical., (© 2019 John Wiley & Sons A/S. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Objective: We estimated the cost consequence of Italian National Health System (NHS) investment in direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy according to hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment access policies in Italy., Methods: A multistate, 20-year time horizon Markov model of HCV liver disease progression was developed. Fibrosis stage, age and genotype distributions were derived from the Italian Platform for the Study of Viral Hepatitis Therapies (PITER) cohort. The treatment efficacy, disease progression probabilities and direct costs in each health state were obtained from the literature. The break-even point in time (BPT) was defined as the period of time required for the cumulative costs saved to recover the Italian NHS investment in DAA treatment. Three different PITER enrolment periods, which covered the full DAA access evolution in Italy, were considered., Results: The disease stages of 2657 patients who consecutively underwent DAA therapy from January 2015 to December 2017 at 30 PITER clinical centres were standardized for 1000 patients. The investment in DAAs was considered to equal €25 million, €15 million, and €9 million in 2015, 2016, and 2017, respectively. For patients treated in 2015, the BPT was not achieved, because of the disease severity of the treated patients and high DAA prices. For 2016 and 2017, the estimated BPTs were 6.6 and 6.2 years, respectively. The total cost savings after 20 years were €50.13 and €55.50 million for 1000 patients treated in 2016 and 2017, respectively., Conclusions: This study may be a useful tool for public decision makers to understand how HCV clinical and epidemiological profiles influence the economic burden of HCV.

Background/aim: In the era of direct-acting antivirals (DAA), active screening for hidden hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is important for HCV elimination. This study estimated the cost-effectiveness and health-related outcomes of HCV screening and DAA treatment of a targeted population in Korea, where anti-HCV prevalence was 0.6% in 2015., Methods: A Markov model simulating the natural history of HCV infection was used to examine the cost-effectiveness of two strategies: no screening vs screening and DAA treatment. Screening was performed by integration of the anti-HCV test into the National Health Examination Program. From a healthcare system's perspective, the cost-utility and the impact on HCV-related health events of one-time anti-HCV screening and DAA treatment in Korean population aged 40-65 years was analysed with a lifetime horizon., Results: The HCV screening and DAA treatment strategy increased quality-adjusted life years (QALY) by 0.0015 at a cost of $11.27 resulting in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $7435 per QALY gained compared with no screening. The probability of the screening strategy to be cost-effective was 98.8% at a willingness-to-pay of $27 205. Deterministic sensitivity analyses revealed the ICERs were from $4602 to $12 588 and sensitive to screening costs, discount rates and treatment acceptability. Moreover, it can prevent 32 HCV-related deaths, 19 hepatocellular carcinomas and 15 decompensated cirrhosis per 100 000 screened persons., Conclusions: A one-time HCV screening and DAA treatment of a Korean population aged 40-65 years would be highly cost-effective, and significantly reduce the HCV-related morbidity and mortality compared with no screening., (© 2018 John Wiley & Sons A/S. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Purpose: To compare relative cost-effectiveness of serial large-volume paracentesis (LVP) and transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) creation for treatment of refractory ascites., Materials and Methods: A decisional Markov model was developed to estimate payer cost and quality-adjusted life-ears (QALYs) associated with LVP and TIPS treatment strategies for cirrhotic patients with refractory ascites. Survival estimates were derived from an individual patient-level meta-analysis of prospective randomized clinical trials. Health utilities for potential health states were derived from a prospective study of patients with cirrhosis. Cost data were derived from national representative claims databases (MarketScan and Medicare) and included reimbursement amounts for relevant procedures, hospitalizations, and outpatient pharmaceutical costs. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed., Results: LVP resulted in 1.72 QALYs gained at a cost of $41,391, whereas TIPS resulted in 2.76 QALYs gained at a cost of $100,538. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of TIPS versus LVP was $57,003/QALY. At a willingness-to-pay ratio of $100,000/QALY, TIPS has a 62% probability of being acceptable compared with LVP., Conclusions: This study suggests that TIPS should be considered cost-effective in a country that places a relatively high value on health improvements but less so in countries with lower levels of health care resources., (Published by Elsevier Inc.)

Background and Aims: Acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding (AUGIB) is a lethal complication of liver cirrhosis. We aimed to compare the outcomes of patients with liver cirrhosis and AUGIB who were admitted to hospital on regular hours and off-hours., Methods: This retrospective study screened all cirrhotic patients with AUGIB who were admitted to our hospital from January 2010 to June 2014 for the test cohort and from December 2014 to March 2018 for the validation cohort. A 1:1 propensity score matching analysis was performed to adjust the Child-Pugh and MELD scores. In-hospital mortality, 5-day rebleeding rate, length of stay, and total payment were primary outcomes., Results: Overall, 826 and 173 patients with liver cirrhosis and AUGIB were included in the test and validation cohorts, respectively. After propensity score matching, 226 and 40 patients were included in the test and validation cohorts, respectively. The overall analysis of the test cohort found significantly higher Child-Pugh score (P=0.006), 5-day rebleeding rate (18.69% versus 10.72%, P=0.001), and total payment (¥25,906.83 versus ¥22,017.42, P<0.001) in patients admitted on off-hours. By contrast, the overall analysis of the validation cohort did not find any difference in Child-Pugh score, 5-day rebleeding, in-hospital mortality, length of stay, or hospital payment between patients admitted on regular hours and off-hours. Similarly, the propensity score matching analyses of both test and validation cohorts found no difference in these primary outcomes between the two groups., Conclusions: Off-hours admission might not be negatively associated with the outcomes of patients with liver cirrhosis and AUGIB.

Background: Treatment paradigms in autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) have remained largely unchanged for decades. Studies report ≤20% of patients have sub-optimal treatment response with most requiring long-term therapy., Aim: The United Kingdom Autoimmune Hepatitis (UK-AIH) study was established to evaluate current treatment practice and outcomes, determine the unmet needs of patients, and develop and implement improved treatment approaches., Methods: The United Kingdom Autoimmune Hepatitis study is a cross-sectional cohort study examining secondary care management of prevalent adult patients with a clinical diagnosis of autoimmune hepatitis. Enrolment began in March 2014. Prevalent cases were defined as having been diagnosed and treated for >1 year. Demographic data, biochemistry, treatment history and response, and care location were collected., Results: In total, 1249 patients were recruited; 635 were cared for in transplant units and 614 in non-transplant centres (81% female with median age at diagnosis 50 years). Overall, 29 treatment regimens were reported and biochemical remission rate was 59%. Remission rates were significantly higher in transplant compared to non-transplant centres (62 vs 55%, P = 0.028). 55% have ongoing corticosteroid exposure; 9% are receiving prednisolone monotherapy. Those aged ≤20 years at diagnosis were more likely to develop cirrhosis and place of care was associated with an aggressive disease phenotype., Conclusions: There are significant discrepancies in the care received by patients with autoimmune hepatitis in the UK. A high proportion remains on corticosteroids and there is significant treatment variability. Patients receiving care in transplant centres were more likely to achieve and maintain remission. Overall poor remission rates suggest that there are significant unmet therapeutic needs for patients with autoimmune hepatitis., (© 2018 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a serious complication of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. Sustained virologic response (SVR) for HCV is associated with a reduction in cirrhosis, HCC and mortality and their associated costs. Japanese HCV patients are older with higher prevalence of HCC. Here we used a decision-analytic Markov model to estimate the economic benefit of HCV cure by reducing HCC and DCC burden in Japan. A cohort of 10 000 HCV genotype 1b (GT1b) Japanese patients was modelled with a hybrid decision tree and Markov state-transition model capturing natural history of HCV over a lifetime horizon. Treatment options were approved all-oral direct-acting anti-virals (DAAs) vs no treatment. Treatment efficacy was based on clinical trials and transition rates and costs obtained from Japan-specific data. Cases of HCC, decompensated cirrhosis (DCC) and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were projected for patients treated with DAAs vs NT. QALYs were monetized using a willingness-to-pay threshold of ¥4-to-¥6 million. Incremental savings with treatment were calculated by adding the projected cost of complications avoided to the monetized gains in QALYs. The model showed that DAA treatment vs no treatment, reduces 2057 cases of HCC and 1478 cases of decompensated cirrhosis and saves ¥850 446.73 and ¥338 229.90 per patient (ppt). Additionally, treatment can lead to additional 2.64 QALYs gained per patient. The indirect economic gains associated with treatment-related QALY improvements were ¥10 576 000, ¥13 220 000 and ¥15 864 000 ppt (willingness-to-pay thresholds of ¥4 million, ¥5 million and ¥6 million). Total economic savings of treatment with DAAs (vs no treatment) was ¥7 526 372.63, ¥10 170 372.63 and ¥12 814 372.63, at these different willingness-to-pay thresholds. In conclusion treatment of HCV GT1b with all-oral DAAs in Japan can lead to significant direct and indirect savings related to avoidance of HCC and DCC., (© 2018 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Objective: To investigate the economic burden of hepatitis C patients and related factors in Guangdong province. Methods: In this study, cluster sampling method was used to select cases, including acute hepatitis C, chronic hepatitis C and liver cirrhosis cases from eligible outpatients and inpatients in 1 or 2 large general hospitals in all the 21 cities in Guangdong province. Questionnaire survey was conducted for all the hepatitis C patients to analyze their economic burden, while multivariate linear regression model was used to identify the related influencing factors. Results: A total of 356 hepatitis C patients were enrolled in the study, with 176 outpatients (49.4 % ) and 180 inpatients (50.6 % ) respectively. The average age of the study subjects was (44.79±11.73) year-olds. The annual direct economic costs of patients with acute hepatitis C, chronic hepatitis C and liver cirrhosis were 10 703.22 ( IQR : 7 396.75-16 891.91), 14 886.63 ( IQR : 7 274.00-30 228.25) and 28 874.00 ( IQR : 13 093.69-56 350.00) Yuan (RMB) respectively. The annual indirect costs appeared as 2 426.99 ( IQR : 1 912.18-7 354.52), 3 235.99 ( IQR : 1 323.81-6 619.07) and 5 442.35 ( IQR : 3 235.99-10 296.33) Yuan (RMB) respectively. The annual intangible costs were 5 000.00 ( IQR :2 000.00-10 000.00), 10 000.00 ( IQR : 4 000.00-30 000.00) and 10 000.00 ( IQR : 3 000.00-100 000.00) Yuan (RMB) respectively. The annual total costs were 22 306.17 ( IQR : 14 581.24-50 569.17), 38 050.33 ( IQR : 17 449.57-68 319.62) and 80 152.18 ( IQR : 40 856.09-228 460.79) Yuan (RMB) respectively. Results from the multiple linear regression analysis showed that factors as: annual hospitalization days, annual number of outpatient visits, annual number of hospitalization, type of disease and the levels of the hospitals were related to the economic burden of patients with hepatitis C. Conclusion: Patients with HCV-related diseases presented serious economic problem which calls for close attention in Guangdong province.

Objectives: To conduct a cost-effectiveness analysis of two planning strategies of the second-generation direct-acting antiviral interferon-free regimens for the treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus infection., Methods: A lifetime multicohort model comprised 8125 real-life patients enrolled in the PITER (Italian platform for the study of viral hepatitis) registry, implemented by the ISS (Istituto Superiore di Sanità). Two treatment planning strategies were compared: 1) policy 1-treat all patients regardless of the stage of fibrosis (F0-F4) with second-generation direct-acting antivirals and 2) policy 2-treat patients at F3/F4 stage and those who are prioritized by the scientific guidelines first, and the remaining patients when they reach the F3 stage. Clinical outcomes and costs were evaluated by using a lifetime horizon Markov model and adopting the third-party payer perspective. Health outcomes were expressed in terms of quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). A sensitivity analysis was run to explore first- and second-order uncertainty and heterogeneity. An expected value of perfect information analysis was also conducted., Results: Policy 1 exhibits an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of €8,775/QALY gained and remains less than €30,000/QALY in 94% of realizations produced by the Monte-Carlo simulation. Such a proportion increases to 97% when adopting a threshold of €40,000/QALY gained., Conclusions: Moving from the urgency criterion to evidence-based escalating strategies when prioritizing the access to new anti-hepatitis C virus treatments is a good investment in health, whose affordability should be explored through context-specific budget impact analyses., (Copyright © 2018 International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Outcomes involving newer direct-acting antiviral (DAA) hepatitis C virus (HCV) regimens have not been studied extensively among the Medicaid population., Objective: To assess clinical (treatment failure) and economic outcomes for chronic HCV-infected Oklahoma Medicaid members following treatment with DAAs and to measure associations with patient, treatment, and clinical characteristics., Methods: This cross-sectional study used Oklahoma Medicaid pharmacy and medical claims data for adult members who used a newer DAA agent and had reported a successful or failed sustained virological response rate 12 weeks after therapy completion (SVR12) from January 1, 2014, to June 30, 2016. Multivariable logistic and gamma regressions assessed predictors of SVR12 failure and costs controlling for member demographics (i.e., age, sex, race, rural residence); type of DAA and adherence; clinical characteristics (e.g., comorbid conditions, advanced liver disease); and the implementation of changes to a prior authorization program., Results: Of 934 Medicaid members eligible for treatment with DAAs between January 1, 2014, and June 30, 2016, 906 received DAA treatment, 40.6% (368/906) had reported SVR12 outcomes, and 59.4% (n = 538) did not have a reported SVR recorded. Of those with reported SVR12 outcomes, patients were 53.1 ± 9.7 years of age, 51.1% were male, 8.4% had SVR12 failure, and each member had mean costs of $140,283 ± $52,779. Multivariable analyses indicated higher odds of SVR12 failure was independently associated with cirrhosis (OR [decompensated] = 6.69 and OR [compensated] = 3.52, P < 0.001), while males had higher odds of failure than females (OR = 3.34, P < 0.010). No significant difference in SVR12 failure was noted, according to DAA type or a medication adherence threshold of > 95%. Ledipasvir/sofosbuvir was independently associated with lower costs (exp[b] = 0.81; P < 0.001) compared with sofosbuvir, while higher costs were associated with decompensated cirrhosis (exp[b] = 1.22; P < 0.001) and treatment failure (exp[b] = 1.18, P < 0.010). In an analysis including members without reported SVR12 outcomes, decompensated and compensated cirrhosis had lower odds (P < 0.001) of no reported SVR12 from ambulatory clinic settings., Conclusions: Almost 60% of Medicaid members receiving DAA treatment did not have a final reported SVR12 outcome. Among those with viral load measurements, treatment success was high and both decompensated and compensated cirrhosis were independently associated with significantly higher odds of treatment failure. Addressing a loss to follow-up among HCV patients and curtailing the development of cirrhosis to improve treatment success may warrant interventions that improve access to care and remove barriers that impede treatment initiation and completion., Disclosures: No outside funding supported this study. Pham, Keast, Holderread, Nesser, and Skrepnek disclose either employment by the Oklahoma Health Care Authority or contractual work for this employer. Pham discloses fellowship funding from Purdue Pharma unrelated to this study. Keast and Skrepnek disclose research grant funding from Gilead Sciences and Abbvie. Holderread also reports grant funding from Gilead Sciences and fees from PRIME Education. Thompson, Farmer, and Rathbun have nothing to disclose.