1. Distinguishing the Impacts and Gradient Effects of Climate Change and Human Activities on Vegetation Cover in the Weihe River Basin, China.
- Author
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Lv, Wen‐Bo, Liu, Fang‐Mei, Cai, Kai, Cao, Yue, Deng, Meng‐Ling, Liang, Wei, Yan, Jian‐Wu, and Wang, Guang‐Yu
- Subjects
GEOLOGICAL basins ,VEGETATION dynamics ,STRUCTURAL equation modeling ,GROUND vegetation cover ,STREAM restoration ,CLIMATE extremes - Abstract
Vegetation cover is crucial for ecosystem stability, responding sensitively to climate change and human activities, and is prone to irreversible degradation. However, the mechanisms driving vegetation variations due to natural and anthropogenic factors still need to be fully understood. This study focused on the Weihe River Basin to elucidate the response mechanism of vegetation cover change to climate change and human activities from 2001 to 2020. Long time‐series multi‐source data were combined with a pixel dichotomy model, Theil–Sen median trend analysis, and Mann‐Kendall test to examine the trends and delineate five gradients in vegetation cover change. Additionally, Extreme Gradient Boosting, the Shapley value, and a structural equation model were employed to investigate the multidimensional response of vegetation cover in the basin as a whole and different vegetation cover gradients. The results revealed a general upward trend in vegetation coverage in the Weihe River Basin from 2001 to 2020. Topographic conditions and human activities were identified as primary influencers. Notably, accounting for climate change, particularly about changes in maximum climatic variables, was found to be essential, with temperature changes exerting a greater impact on vegetation cover variations compared to precipitation changes. The interaction between human activities, climate change, and topographic conditions can alter the intensity of each factor's effect. The direction of indicators mentioned above varied across the vegetation cover gradients, emphasizing the need for localized strategies to improve vegetation. These findings offer valuable insights into ecological protection and vegetation restoration in the Weihe River Basin. Plain Language Summary: Understanding how vegetation cover responds to climate change and human influence is vital for maintaining ecosystem health. This study focused on the Weihe River Basin, a region prone to ecological fragility, to explore how vegetation cover responds to human activity and climate change factors, considering basic topographical factors. Models that can identify trends, rank contributions, explore interactions between variables, and quantify the direct and indirect effects of variables were utilized. By analyzing various data and using different models, we found that vegetation coverage generally increased over this period. Factors such as topography and human activities greatly influenced vegetation cover change. Surprisingly, temperature fluctuations had a more substantial impact on vegetation cover than changes in precipitation. Moreover, the interaction between human activities, climate change, and topography can change the intensity and direction of the factor's effect on vegetation cover change. The effects varied across areas with different vegetation cover change conditions of the basin. These findings provide valuable insights for guiding ecological protection and vegetation restoration efforts in the Weihe River Basin. Key Points: Single factor's effect intensity and direction on vegetation cover change changed under the interaction with othersThe impact of extreme climatic conditions on the dynamics of vegetation coverage should not be overlookedThe intensity and direction of the impact of factors varied in diverse vegetation gradients [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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