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2. Global, regional, national, and selected subnational levels of stillbirths, neonatal, infant, and under-5 mortality, 1980–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
- Author
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Wang, H, Liddell, CA, Coates, MM, Mooney, MD, Levitz, CE, Schumacher, AE, Apfel, H, Iannarone, M, Phillips, B, Lofgren, KT, Sandar, L, Dorrington, RE, Rakovac, I, Jacobs, TA, Liang, X, Zhou, M, Zhu, J, Yang, G, Wang, Y, Liu, S, Li, Y, Ozgoren, AA, Abera, SF, Abubakar, I, Achoki, T, Adelekan, A, Ademi, Z, Alemu, ZA, Allen, PJ, AlMazroa, MA, Alvarez, E, Amankwaa, AA, Amare, AT, Ammar, W, Anwari, P, Cunningham, SA, Asad, MM, Assadi, R, Banerjee, A, Basu, S, Bedi, N, Bekele, T, Bell, ML, Bhutta, Z, Blore, JD, Basara, BB, Boufous, S, Breitborde, N, Bruce, NG, Bui, LN, Carapetis, JR, Cárdenas, R, Carpenter, DO, Caso, V, Castro, RE, Catalá-Lopéz, F, Cavlin, A, Che, X, Chiang, PP, Chowdhury, R, Christophi, CA, Chuang, TW, Cirillo, M, da Costa Leite, I, Courville, KJ, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Davis, A, Dayama, A, Deribe, K, Dharmaratne, SD, Dherani, MK, Dilmen, U, Ding, EL, Edmond, KM, Ermakov, SP, Farzadfar, F, Fereshtehnejad, SM, Fijabi, DO, Foigt, N, Forouzanfar, MH, Garcia, AC, Geleijnse, JM, Gessner, BD, Goginashvili, K, Gona, P, Goto, A, Gouda, HN, Green, MA, Greenwell, KF, Gugnani, HC, Gupta, R, Hamadeh, RR, Hammami, M, Harb, HL, Hay, Simon, Hedayati, MT, Hosgood, HD, Hoy, DG, Idrisov, BT, Islami, F, Ismayilova, S, Jha, Vivekanand, Jiang, G, Jonas, JB, Juel, K, Kabagambe, EK, Kazi, DS, Kengne, AP, Kereselidze, M, Khader, YS, Khalifa, SE, Khang, YH, Kim, D, Kinfu, Y, Kinge, JM, Kokubo, Y, Kosen, S, Defo, BK, Kumar, GA, Kumar, K, Kumar, RB, Lai, T, Lan, Q, Larsson, A, Lee, JT, Leinsalu, M, Lim, SS, Lipshultz, SE, Logroscino, G, Lotufo, PA, Lunevicius, R, Lyons, RA, Ma, S, Mahdi, AA, Marzan, MB, Mashal, MT, Mazorodze, TT, McGrath, JJ, Memish, ZA, Mendoza, W, Mensah, GA, Meretoja, A, Miller, TR, Mills, EJ, Mohammad, KA, Mokdad, AH, Monasta, L, Montico, M, Moore, AR, Moschandreas, Joanna, Msemburi, WT, Mueller, UO, Muszynska, MM, Naghavi, M, Naidoo, KS, Narayan, KM, Nejjari, C, Ng, M, de Dieu Ngirabega, J, Nieuwenhuijsen, MJ, Nyakarahuka, L, Ohkubo, T, Omer, SB, Caicedo, AJ, Pillay-van Wyk, V, Pope, D, Pourmalek, F, Prabhakaran, D, Rahman, SU, Rana, SM, Reilly, RQ, Rojas-Rueda, D, Ronfani, L, Rushton, L, Saeedi, MY, Salomon, JA, Sampson, U, Santos, IS, Sawhney, M, Schmidt, JC, Shakh-Nazarova, M, She, J, Sheikhbahaei, S, Shibuya, K, Shin, HH, Shishani, K, Shiue, I, Sigfusdottir, ID, Singh, JA, Skirbekk, V, Sliwa, K, Soshnikov, SS, Sposato, LA, Stathopoulou, VK, Stroumpoulis, K, Tabb, KM, Talongwa, RT, Teixeira, CM, Terkawi, AS, Thomson, AJ, Thorne-Lyman, AL, Toyoshima, H, Dimbuene, ZT, Uwaliraye, P, Uzun, SB, Vasankari, TJ, Vasconcelos, AM, Vlassov, VV, Vollset, SE, Waller, S, Wan, X, Weichenthal, S, Weiderpass, E, Weintraub, RG, Westerman, R, Wilkinson, JD, Williams, HC, Yang, YC, Yentur, GK, Yip, P, Yonemoto, N, Younis, M, Yu, C, Jin, KY, El Sayed Zaki, M, Zhu, S, Vos, T, Lopez, AD, and Murray, CJ
- Abstract
Remarkable financial and political efforts have been focused on the reduction of child mortality during the past few decades. Timely measurements of levels and trends in under-5 mortality are important to assess progress towards the Millennium Development Goal 4 (MDG 4) target of reduction of child mortality by two thirds from 1990 to 2015, and to identify models of success.We generated updated estimates of child mortality in early neonatal (age 0-6 days), late neonatal (7-28 days), postneonatal (29-364 days), childhood (1-4 years), and under-5 (0-4 years) age groups for 188 countries from 1970 to 2013, with more than 29,000 survey, census, vital registration, and sample registration datapoints. We used Gaussian process regression with adjustments for bias and non-sampling error to synthesise the data for under-5 mortality for each country, and a separate model to estimate mortality for more detailed age groups. We used explanatory mixed effects regression models to assess the association between under-5 mortality and income per person, maternal education, HIV child death rates, secular shifts, and other factors. To quantify the contribution of these different factors and birth numbers to the change in numbers of deaths in under-5 age groups from 1990 to 2013, we used Shapley decomposition. We used estimated rates of change between 2000 and 2013 to construct under-5 mortality rate scenarios out to 2030.We estimated that 6·3 million (95% UI 6·0-6·6) children under-5 died in 2013, a 64% reduction from 17·6 million (17·1-18·1) in 1970. In 2013, child mortality rates ranged from 152·5 per 1000 livebirths (130·6-177·4) in Guinea-Bissau to 2·3 (1·8-2·9) per 1000 in Singapore. The annualised rates of change from 1990 to 2013 ranged from -6·8% to 0·1%. 99 of 188 countries, including 43 of 48 countries in sub-Saharan Africa, had faster decreases in child mortality during 2000-13 than during 1990-2000. In 2013, neonatal deaths accounted for 41·6% of under-5 deaths compared with 37·4% in 1990. Compared with 1990, in 2013, rising numbers of births, especially in sub-Saharan Africa, led to 1·4 million more child deaths, and rising income per person and maternal education led to 0·9 million and 2·2 million fewer deaths, respectively. Changes in secular trends led to 4·2 million fewer deaths. Unexplained factors accounted for only -1% of the change in child deaths. In 30 developing countries, decreases since 2000 have been faster than predicted attributable to income, education, and secular shift alone.Only 27 developing countries are expected to achieve MDG 4. Decreases since 2000 in under-5 mortality rates are accelerating in many developing countries, especially in sub-Saharan Africa. The Millennium Declaration and increased development assistance for health might have been a factor in faster decreases in some developing countries. Without further accelerated progress, many countries in west and central Africa will still have high levels of under-5 mortality in 2030.Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, US Agency for International Development.
- Published
- 2018
3. Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 301 acute and chronic diseases and injuries in 188 countries, 1990-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013
- Author
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Vos, T, Barber, Rm, Bell, B, Bertozzi Villa, A, Biryukov, S, Bolliger, I, Charlson, F, Davis, A, Degenhardt, L, Dicker, D, Duan, L, Erskine, H, Feigin, Vl, Ferrari, Aj, Fitzmaurice, C, Fleming, T, Graetz, N, Guinovart, C, Haagsma, J, Hansen, Gm, Hanson, Sw, Heuton, Kr, Higashi, H, Kassebaum, N, Kyu, H, Laurie, E, Liang, X, Lofgren, K, Lozano, R, Macintyre, Mf, Moradi Lakeh, M, Naghavi, M, Nguyen, G, Odell, S, Ortblad, K, Roberts, Da, Roth, Ga, Sandar, L, Serina, Pt, Stanaway, Jd, Steiner, C, Thomas, B, Vollset, Se, Whiteford, H, Wolock, Tm, Ye, P, Zhou, M, Ãvila, Ma, Aasvang, Gm, Abbafati, C, Abbasoglu, Ozgoren, A, Abd Allah, F, Abdel, Aziz, Abera, Sf, Aboyans, V, Abraham, Jp, Abraham, B, Abubakar, I, Abu Raddad, Lj, Abu Rmeileh, Nm, Aburto, Tc, Achoki, T, Ackerman, In, Adelekan, A, Ademi, Z, Adou, Ak, Adsuar, Jc, Arnlov, J, Agardh, Ee, Khabouri, Al, Alam, Ss, Alasfoor, D, Albittar, Mi, Alegretti, Ma, Aleman, Av, Alemu, Za, Alfonso Cristancho, R, Alhabib, S, Ali, R, Alla, F, Allebeck, P, Allen, Pj, Almazroa, Ma, Alsharif, U, Alvarez, E, Alvis, Guzman, Ameli, N, O, Amini, H, Ammar, W, Anderson, Bo, Anderson, Hr, Antonio, Ca, Anwari, P, Apfel, H, Arsenijevic, Vs, Artaman, A, Asghar, Rj, Assadi, R, Atkins, Ls, Atkinson, C, Badawi, A, Bahit, Mc, Bakfalouni, T, Balakrishnan, K, Balalla, S, Banerjee, A, Barker Collo, Sl, Barquera, S, Barregard, L, Barrero, Lh, Basu, S, Basu, A, Baxter, A, Beardsley, J, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Bekele, T, Bell, Ml, Benjet, C, Bennett, Da, Bensenor, Im, Benzian, H, Bernabe, E, Beyene, Tj, Bhala, N, Bhalla, A, Bhutta, Z, Bienhoff, K, Bikbov, B, Bin, Abdulhak, Blore, Jd, Blyth, Fm, Bohensky, Ma, Bora, Basara, B, Borges, G, Bornstein, Nm, Bose, D, Boufous, S, Bourne, Rr, Boyers, Ln, Brainin, M, Brauer, M, Brayne, Ce, Brazinova, A, Breitborde, Nj, Brenner, H, Briggs, Ad, Brooks, Pm, Brown, J, Brugha, Ts, Buchbinder, R, Buckle, Gc, Bukhman, G, Bulloch, Ag, Burch, M, Burnett, R, Cardenas, R, Cabral, Nl, Campos, Nonato, Campuzano, Ir, Carapetis, Jc, Carpenter, Do, Caso, V, Castaneda Orjuela, Ca, Catala Lopez, F, Chadha, Vk, Chang, Jc, Chen, H, Chen, W, Chiang, Pp, Chimed Ochir, O, Chowdhury, R, Christensen, H, Christophi, Ca, Chugh, Ss, Cirillo, Massimo, Coggeshall, M, Cohen, A, Colistro, V, Colquhoun, Sm, Contreras, Ag, Cooper, Lt, Cooper, C, Cooperrider, K, Coresh, J, Cortinovis, M, Criqui, Mh, Crump, Ja, Cuevas Nasu, L, Dandona, R, Dandona, L, Dansereau, E, Dantes, Hg, Dargan, Pi, Davey, G, Davitoiu, Dv, Dayama, A, La, De, Cruz, Gongora, De, V, Vega, La, De, Sf, Leo, D, Del, Pozo, Cruz, Dellavalle, Rp, Deribe, K, Derrett, S, Des, Jarlais, Dessalegn, M, Deveber, Ga, Dharmaratne, Sd, Diaz Torne, C, Ding, El, Dokova, K, Dorsey, Er, Driscoll, Tr, Duber, H, Durrani, Am, Edmond, Km, Ellenbogen, Rg, Endres, M, Ermakov, Sp, Eshrati, B, Esteghamati, A, Estep, K, Fahimi, S, Farzadfar, F, Fay, Df, Felson, Dt, Fereshtehnejad, Sm, Fernandes, Jg, Ferri, Cp, Flaxman, A, Foigt, N, Foreman, Kj, Fowkes, Fg, Franklin, Rc, Furst, T, Futran, Nd, Gabbe, Bj, Gankpe, Fg, Garcia, Guerra, Geleijnse, Fa, Gessner, Bd, Gibney, Kb, Gillum, Rf, Ginawi, Ia, Giroud, M, Giussani, G, Goenka, S, Goginashvili, K, Gona, P, Gonzalez, De, Cosio, T, Gosselin, Ra, Gotay, Cc, Goto, A, Gouda, Hn, Guerrant, Rl, Gugnani, Hc, Gunnell, D, Gupta, R, Gutierrez, Ra, Hafezi Nejad, N, Hagan, H, Halasa, Y, Hamadeh, Rr, Hamavid, H, Hammami, M, Hankey, Gj, Hao, Y, Harb, Hl, Haro, Jm, Havmoeller, R, Hay, Rj, Hay, S, Hedayati, Mt, Heredia, Pi, Heydarpour, P, Hijar, M, Hoek, Hw, Hoffman, Hj, Hornberger, Jc, Hosgood, Hd, Hossain, M, Hotez, Pj, Hoy, Dg, Hsairi, M, Hu, H, Hu, G, Huang, Jj, Huang, C, Huiart, L, Husseini, A, Iannarone, M, Iburg, Km, Innos, K, Inoue, M, Jacobsen, Kh, Jassal, Sk, Jeemon, P, Jensen, Pn, Jha, V, Jiang, G, Jiang, Y, Jonas, Jb, Joseph, J, Juel, K, Kan, H, Karch, A, Karimkhani, C, Karthikeyan, G, Katz, R, Kaul, A, Kawakami, N, Kazi, Ds, Kemp, Ah, Kengne, Ap, Khader, Ys, Khalifa, Se, Khan, Ea, Khan, G, Khang, Yh, Khonelidze, I, Kieling, C, Kim, D, Kim, S, Kimokoti, Rw, Kinfu, Y, Kinge, Jm, Kissela, Bm, Kivipelto, M, Knibbs, L, Knudsen, Ak, Kokubo, Y, Kosen, S, Kramer, A, Kravchenko, M, Krishnamurthi, Rv, Krishnaswami, S, Kuate, Defo, Kucuk, B, Bicer, B, Kuipers, Ej, Kulkarni, Vs, Kumar, K, Kumar, Ga, Kwan, Gf, Lai, T, Lalloo, R, Lam, H, Lan, Q, Lansingh, Vc, Larson, H, Larsson, A, Lawrynowicz, Ae, Leasher, Jl, Lee, Jt, Leigh, J, Leung, R, Levi, M, Li, B, Li, Y, Liang, J, Lim, S, Lin, Hh, Lind, M, Lindsay, Mp, Lipshultz, Se, Liu, S, Lloyd, Bk, Lockett, Ohno, S, Logroscino, G, Looker, Kj, Lopez, Ad, Lopez Olmedo, N, Lortet Tieulent, J, Lotufo, Pa, Low, N, Lucas, Rm, Lunevicius, R, Lyons, Ra, Ma, J, Ma, S, Mackay, Mt, Majdan, M, Malekzadeh, R, Mapoma, Cc, Marcenes, W, March, Lm, Margono, C, Marks, Gb, Marzan, Mb, Masci, Jr, Mason Jones, Aj, Matzopoulos, Rg, Mayosi, Bm, Mazorodze, Tt, Mcgill, Nw, Mcgrath, Jj, Mckee, M, Mclain, A, Mcmahon, Bj, Meaney, Pa, Mehndiratta, Mm, Mejia Rodriguez, F, Mekonnen, W, Melaku, Ya, Meltzer, M, Memish, Za, Mensah, G, Meretoja, A, Mhimbira, Fa, Micha, R, Miller, Tr, Mills, Ej, Mitchell, Pb, Mock, Cn, Moffitt, Te, Mohamed, Ibrahim, N, Mohammad, Ka, Mokdad, Ah, Mola, Gl, Monasta, L, Montico, M, Montine, Tj, Moore, Ar, Moran, Ae, Morawska, L, Mori, R, Moschandreas, J, Moturi, Wn, Moyer, M, Mozaffarian, D, Mueller, Uo, Mukaigawara, M, Murdoch, Me, Murray, J, Murthy, Ks, Naghavi, P, Nahas, Z, Naheed, A, Naidoo, Ks, Naldi, L, Nand, D, Nangia, V, Narayan, Km, Nash, D, Nejjari, C, Neupane, Sp, Newman, Lm, Newton, Cr, Ng, M, Ngalesoni, Fn, Nhung, Nt, Nisar, Mi, Nolte, S, Norheim, Of, Norman, Re, Norrving, B, Nyakarahuka, L, Ih, Oh, Ohkubo, T, Omer, Sb, Opio, Jn, Ortiz, A, Pandian, Jd, Panelo, Ci, Papachristou, C, Park, Ek, Parry, Cd, Caicedo, Aj, Patten, Sb, Paul, Vk, Pavlin, Bi, Pearce, N, Pedraza, Ls, Pellegrini, Ca, Pereira, Dm, Perez Ruiz, Fp, Perico, N, Pervaiz, A, Pesudovs, K, Peterson, Cb, Petzold, M, Phillips, Mr, Phillips, D, Phillips, B, Piel, Fb, Plass, D, Poenaru, D, Polanczyk, Gv, Polinder, S, Pope, Ca, Popova, S, Poulton, Rg, Pourmalek, F, Prabhakaran, D, Prasad, Nm, Qato, D, Quistberg, Da, Rafay, A, Rahimi, K, Rahimi Movaghar, V, Rahman, Su, Raju, M, Rakovac, I, Rana, Sm, Razavi, H, Refaat, A, Rehm, J, Remuzzi, G, Resnikoff, S, Ribeiro, Al, Riccio, Pm, Richardson, L, Richardus, Jh, Riederer, Am, Robinson, M, Roca, A, Rodriguez, A, Rojas Rueda, D, Ronfani, L, Rothenbacher, D, Roy, N, Ruhago, Gm, Sabin, N, Sacco, Rl, Ksoreide, K, Saha, S, Sahathevan, R, Sahraian, Ma, Sampson, U, Sanabria, Jr, Sanchez Riera, L, Santos, Is, Satpathy, M, Saunders, Je, Sawhney, M, Saylan, Mi, Scarborough, P, Schoettker, B, Schneider, Ij, Schwebel, Dc, Scott, Jg, Seedat, S, Sepanlou, Sg, Serdar, B, Servan Mori, Ee, Shackelford, K, Shaheen, A, Shahraz, S, Shamah, Levy, T, Shangguan, S, She, J, Sheikhbahaei, S, Shepard, Ds, Shi, P, Shibuya, K, Shinohara, Y, Shiri, R, Shishani, K, Shiue, I, Shrime, Mg, Sigfusdottir, Id, Silberberg, Dh, Simard, Ep, Sindi, S, Singh, Ja, Singh, L, Skirbekk, V, Sliwa, K, Soljak, M, Soneji, S, Soshnikov, Ss, Speyer, P, Sposato, La, Sreeramareddy, Ct, Stoeckl, H, Stathopoulou, Vk, Steckling, N, Stein, Mb, Stein, Dj, Steiner, Tj, Stewart, A, Stork, E, Stovner, Lj, Stroumpoulis, K, Sturua, L, Sunguya, Bf, Swaroop, M, Sykes, Bl, Tabb, Km, Takahashi, K, Tan, F, Tandon, N, Tanne, D, Tanner, M, Tavakkoli, M, Taylor, Hr, Ao, Te, Temesgen, Am, Ten, Have, M, Tenkorang, Ey, Terkawi, As, Theadom, Am, Thomas, E, Thorne Lyman, Al, Thrift, Ag, Tleyjeh, Im, Tonelli, M, Topouzis, F, Towbin, Ja, Toyoshima, H, Traebert, J, Tran, Bx, Trasande, L, Trillini, M, Truelsen, T, Trujillo, U, Tsilimbaris, M, Tuzcu, Em, Ukwaja, Kn, Undurraga, Ea, Uzun, Sb, Van, Brakel, Van, Wh, Vijver, De, Van, S, Dingenen, R, Van, Gool, Varakin, Yy, Vasankari, Tj, Vavilala, Ms, Veerman, Lj, Velasquez, Melendez, G, Venketasubramanian, N, Vijayakumar, L, Villalpando, S, Violante, Fs, Vlassov, Vv, Waller, S, Wallin, Mt, Wan, X, Wang, L, Wang, J, Wang, Y, Warouw, Ts, Weichenthal, S, Weiderpass, E, Weintraub, Rg, Werdecker, A, Wessells, Kr, Westerman, R, Wilkinson, Jd, Williams, Hc, Williams, Tn, Woldeyohannes, Sm, Wolfe, Cd, Wong, Jq, Wong, H, Woolf, Ad, Wright, Jl, Wurtz, B, Xu, G, Yang, G, Yano, Y, Yenesew, Ma, Yentur, Gk, Yip, P, Yonemoto, N, Yoon, Sj, Younis, M, Yu, C, Kim, Ky, Zaki, Mel, Zhang, Y, Zhao, Z, Zhao, Y, Zhu, J, Zonies, D, Zunt, Jr, Salomon, Ja, Murray, C. J., Vos, T, Barber, Rm, Bell, B, Bertozzi-Villa, A, Biryukov, S, Bolliger, I, Charlson, F, Davis, A, Degenhardt, L, Dicker, D, Duan, L, Erskine, H, Feigin, Vl, Ferrari, Aj, Fitzmaurice, C, Fleming, T, Graetz, N, Guinovart, C, Haagsma, J, Hansen, Gm, Hanson, Sw, Heuton, Kr, Higashi, H, Kassebaum, N, Kyu, H, Laurie ELiang, X, Lofgren, K, Lozano, R, Macintyre, Mf, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Naghavi, M, Nguyen, G, Odell, S, Ortblad, K, Roberts, Da, Roth, Ga, Sandar, L, Serina, Pt, Stanaway, Jd, Steiner, C, Thomas, B, Vollset, Se, Whiteford, H, Wolock, Tm, Ye, P, Zhou, M, Ãvila, Ma, Aasvang, Gm, Abbafati, C, Abbasoglu Ozgoren, A, Abd-Allah, F, Abdel Aziz MI, Abera, Sf, Aboyans, V, Abraham, Jp, Abraham, B, Abubakar, I, Abu-Raddad, Lj, Abu-Rmeileh, Nm, Aburto, Tc, Achoki TAckerman IN, Adelekan, A, Ademi, Z, Adou, Ak, Adsuar, Jc, Arnlov, J, Agardh, Ee, Al Khabouri MJ, Alam, S, Alasfoor, D, Albittar, Mi, Alegretti MAAleman AV, Alemu, Za, Alfonso-Cristancho, R, Alhabib, S, Ali, R, Alla, F, Allebeck, P, Allen, Pj, Almazroa, Ma, Alsharif, U, Alvarez, E, Alvis-Guzman NAmeli, O, Amini, H, Ammar, W, Anderson, Bo, Anderson, Hr, Antonio, Ca, Anwari, P, Apfel, H, Arsenijevic, V, Artaman, A, Asghar, Rj, Assadi, R, Atkins, L, Atkinson, C, Badawi, A, Bahit, Mc, Bakfalouni, T, Balakrishnan, K, Balalla, S, Banerjee, A, Barker-Collo, Sl, Barquera, S, Barregard, L, Barrero LHBasu, S, Basu, A, Baxter, A, Beardsley, J, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Bekele, T, Bell, Ml, Benjet, C, Bennett, Da, Bensenor, Im, Benzian, H, Bernabe, E, Beyene TJBhala, N, Bhalla, A, Bhutta, Z, Bienhoff, K, Bikbov, B, Bin Abdulhak, A, Blore, Jd, Blyth, Fm, Bohensky, Ma, Bora Basara, B, Borges, G, Bornstein, Nm, Bose, D, Boufous, S, Bourne, Rr, Boyers, Ln, Brainin, M, Brauer, M, Brayne, Ce, Brazinova, A, Breitborde, Nj, Brenner, H, Briggs, Ad, Brooks, Pm, Brown JBrugha TS, Buchbinder, R, Buckle, Gc, Bukhman, G, Bulloch, Ag, Burch, M, Burnett, R, Cardenas, R, Cabral, Nl, Campos Nonato IR, Campuzano JCCarapetis JR, Carpenter, Do, Caso, V, Castaneda-Orjuela, Ca, Catala-Lopez, F, Chadha, Vk, Chang, Jc, Chen, H, Chen, W, Chiang, Pp, Chimed-Ochir, O, Chowdhury, R, Christensen, H, Christophi, Ca, Chugh, S, Cirillo, M, Coggeshall, M, Cohen, A, Colistro, V, Colquhoun, Sm, Contreras, Ag, Cooper LTCooper, C, Cooperrider, K, Coresh, J, Cortinovis, M, Criqui, Mh, Crump, Ja, Cuevas-Nasu, L, Dandona, R, Dandona, L, Dansereau, E, Dantes, Hg, Dargan, Pi, Davey, G, Davitoiu, Dv, Dayama, A, De la Cruz-Gongora, V, de la Vega SF, De Leo, D, del Pozo-Cruz, B, Dellavalle, Rp, Deribe, K, Derrett, S, Des Jarlais DC, Dessalegn, M, Deveber, Ga, Dharmaratne, Sd, Diaz-Torne, C, Ding, El, Dokova, K, Dorsey, Er, Driscoll, Tr, Duber, H, Durrani, Am, Edmond, Km, Ellenbogen, Rg, Endres, M, Ermakov, Sp, Eshrati, B, Esteghamati, A, Estep, K, Fahimi, S, Farzadfar, F, Fay, Df, Felson, Dt, Fereshtehnejad SMFernandes JG, Ferri, Cp, Flaxman, A, Foigt, N, Foreman, Kj, Fowkes, Fg, Franklin, Rc, Furst, T, Futran, Nd, Gabbe, Bj, Gankpe, Fg, Garcia-Guerra FAGeleijnse JM, Gessner, Bd, Gibney, Kb, Gillum, Rf, Ginawi, Ia, Giroud, M, Giussani, G, Goenka, S, Goginashvili, K, Gona, P, Gonzalez de Cosio TGosselin RA, Gotay, Cc, Goto, A, Gouda, Hn, Guerrant, Rl, Gugnani, Hc, Gunnell, D, Gupta, R, Gutierrez, Ra, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Hagan HHalasa, Y, Hamadeh, Rr, Hamavid, H, Hammami, M, Hankey, Gj, Hao, Y, Harb, Hl, Haro, Jm, Havmoeller, R, Hay, Rj, Hay, S, Hedayati, Mt, Heredia Pi IB, Heydarpour, P, Hijar, M, Hoek, Hw, Hoffman, Hj, Hornberger, Jc, Hosgood, Hd, Hossain, M, Hotez, Pj, Hoy, Dg, Hsairi, M, Hu, H, Hu, G, Huang JJHuang, C, Huiart, L, Husseini, A, Iannarone, M, Iburg, Km, Innos, K, Inoue, M, Jacobsen, Kh, Jassal, Sk, Jeemon, P, Jensen, Pn, Jha, V, Jiang, G, Jiang YJonas JB, Joseph, J, Juel, K, Kan, H, Karch, A, Karimkhani, C, Karthikeyan, G, Katz, R, Kaul, A, Kawakami, N, Kazi, D, Kemp, Ah, Kengne, Ap, Khader, Y, Khalifa, Se, Khan, Ea, Khan, G, Khang, Yh, Khonelidze, I, Kieling, C, Kim, D, Kim, S, Kimokoti, Rw, Kinfu, Y, Kinge, Jm, Kissela, Bm, Kivipelto MKnibbs, L, Knudsen, Ak, Kokubo, Y, Kosen, S, Kramer, A, Kravchenko, M, Krishnamurthi, Rv, Krishnaswami, S, Kuate Defo, B, Kucuk Bicer, B, Kuipers EJKulkarni VS, Kumar, K, Kumar, Ga, Kwan, Gf, Lai, T, Lalloo, R, Lam, H, Lan, Q, Lansingh, Vc, Larson, H, Larsson, A, Lawrynowicz, Ae, Leasher, Jl, Lee, Jt, Leigh, J, Leung, R, Levi, M, Li, B, Li, Y, Liang, J, Lim, S, Lin, Hh, Lind, M, Lindsay, Mp, Lipshultz, Se, Liu, S, Lloyd, Bk, Lockett Ohno, S, Logroscino, G, Looker, Kj, Lopez, Ad, Lopez-Olmedo, N, Lortet-Tieulent, J, Lotufo, Pa, Low, N, Lucas, Rm, Lunevicius, R, Lyons, Ra, Ma, J, Ma, S, Mackay MTMajdan, M, Malekzadeh, R, Mapoma, Cc, Marcenes, W, March, Lm, Margono, C, Marks, Gb, Marzan, Mb, Masci, Jr, Mason-Jones, Aj, Matzopoulos RGMayosi BM, Mazorodze, Tt, Mcgill, Nw, Mcgrath, Jj, Mckee, M, Mclain, A, Mcmahon, Bj, Meaney, Pa, Mehndiratta, Mm, Mejia-Rodriguez, F, Mekonnen, W, Melaku, Ya, Meltzer, M, Memish, Za, Mensah, G, Meretoja, A, Mhimbira, Fa, Micha, R, Miller, Tr, Mills, Ej, Mitchell, Pb, Mock, Cn, Moffitt TEMohamed Ibrahim, N, Mohammad, Ka, Mokdad, Ah, Mola, Gl, Monasta, L, Montico, M, Montine, Tj, Moore, Ar, Moran, Ae, Morawska, L, Mori RMoschandreas, J, Moturi, Wn, Moyer, M, Mozaffarian, D, Mueller, Uo, Mukaigawara, M, Murdoch, Me, Murray, J, Murthy, K, Naghavi, P, Nahas ZNaheed, A, Naidoo, K, Naldi, L, Nand, D, Nangia, V, Narayan, Km, Nash, D, Nejjari, C, Neupane, Sp, Newman, Lm, Newton, Cr, Ng, M, Ngalesoni FNNhung NT, Nisar, Mi, Nolte, S, Norheim, Of, Norman, Re, Norrving, B, Nyakarahuka, L, Oh, Ih, Ohkubo, T, Omer, Sb, Opio, Jn, Ortiz, A, Pandian JDPanelo CI, Papachristou, C, Park, Ek, Parry, Cd, Caicedo, Aj, Patten, Sb, Paul, Vk, Pavlin, Bi, Pearce, N, Pedraza, L, Pellegrini, Ca, Pereira, Dm, Perez-Ruiz, Fp, Perico, N, Pervaiz, A, Pesudovs, K, Peterson, Cb, Petzold, M, Phillips, Mr, Phillips, D, Phillips, B, Piel, Fb, Plass, D, Poenaru, D, Polanczyk GVPolinder, S, Pope, Ca, Popova, S, Poulton, Rg, Pourmalek, F, Prabhakaran, 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Heredia, Heydarpour, Pouria, Hijar, Martha, Hoek, Hans W., Hoffman, Howard J., Hornberger, John C., Hosgood, H. Dean, Hossain, Mazeda, Hotez, Peter J., Hoy, Damian G., Hsairi, Mohamed, Hu, Howard, Hu, Guoqing, Huang, John J., Huang, Cheng, Huiart, Laetitia, Husseini, Abdullatif, Iannarone, Marissa, Iburg, Kim M., Innos, Kaire, Inoue, Manami, Jacobsen, Kathryn H., Jassal, Simerjot K., Jeemon, Panniyammakal, Jensen, Paul N., Jha, Vivekanand, Jiang, Guohong, Jiang, Ying, Jonas, Jost B., Joseph, Jonathan, Juel, Knud, Kan, Haidong, Karch, Andre, Karimkhani, Chante, Karthikeyan, Ganesan, Katz, Ronit, Kaul, Anil, Kawakami, Norito, Kazi, Dhruv S., Kemp, Andrew H., Kengne, Andre P., Khader, Yousef S., Khalifa, Shams Eldin A.H., Khan, Ejaz A., Khan, Gulfaraz, Khang, Young-Ho, Khonelidze, Irma, Kieling, Christian, Kim, Daniel, Kim, Sungroul, Kimokoti, Ruth W., Kinfu, Yohanne, Kinge, Jonas M., Kissela, Brett M., Kivipelto, Miia, Knibbs, Luke, Knudsen, Ann Kristin, Kokubo, Yoshihiro, Kosen, Soewarta, Kramer, Alexander, Kravchenko, Michael, Krishnamurthi, Rita V., Krishnaswami, Sanjay, Defo, Barthelemy Kuate, Bicer, Burcu Kucuk, Kuipers, Ernst J., Kulkarni, Veena S., Kumar, Kaushalendra, Kumar, G Anil, Kwan, Gene F., Lai, Taavi, Lalloo, Ratilal, Lam, Hilton, Lan, Qing, Lansingh, Van C., Larson, Heidi, Larsson, Ander, Lawrynowicz, Alicia E.B., Leasher, Janet L., Lee, Jong-Tae, Leigh, Jame, Leung, Ricky, Levi, Miriam, Li, Bin, Li, Yichong, Li, Yongmei, Liang, Juan, Lim, Stephen, Lin, Hsien-Ho, Lind, Margaret, Lindsay, M Patrice, Lipshultz, Steven E., Liu, Shiwei, Lloyd, Belinda K., Ohno, Summer Lockett, Logroscino, Giancarlo, Looker, Katharine J., Lopez, Alan D., Lopez-Olmedo, Nancy, Lortet-Tieulent, Joannie, Lotufo, Paulo A., Low, Nicola, Lucas, Robyn M., Lunevicius, Raimunda, Lyons, Ronan A., Ma, Jixiang, Ma, Stefan, Mackay, Mark T., Majdan, Marek, Malekzadeh, Reza, Mapoma, Christopher C., Marcenes, Wagner, March, Lyn M., Margono, Chri, Marks, Guy B., Marzan, Melvin B., Masci, Joseph R., Mason-Jones, Amanda J., Matzopoulos, Richard G., Mayosi, Bongani M., Mazorodze, Tasara T., Mcgill, Neil W., Mcgrath, John J., Mckee, Martin, Mclain, Abby, Mcmahon, Brian J., Meaney, Peter A., Mehndiratta, Man Mohan, Mejia-Rodriguez, Fabiola, Mekonnen, Wubegzier, Melaku, Yohannes A., Meltzer, Michele, Memish, Ziad A., Mensah, George, Meretoja, Atte, Mhimbira, Francis A., Micha, Renata, Miller, Ted R., Mills, Edward J., Mitchell, Philip B., Mock, Charles N., Moffitt, Terrie E., Ibrahim, Norlinah Mohamed, Mohammad, Karzan A., Mokdad, Ali H., Mola, Glen L., Monasta, Lorenzo, Montico, Marcella, Montine, Thomas J., Moore, Ami R., Moran, Andrew E., Morawska, Lidia, Mori, Rintaro, Moschandreas, Joanna, Moturi, Wilkister N., Moyer, Madeline, Mozaffarian, Dariush, Mueller, Ulrich O., Mukaigawara, Mitsuru, Murdoch, Michele E., Murray, Joseph, Murthy, Kinnari S., Naghavi, Paria, Nahas, Ziad, Naheed, Aliya, Naidoo, Kovin S., Naldi, Luigi, Nand, Devina, Nangia, Vinay, Narayan, K.M. Venkat, Nash, Deni, Nejjari, Chakib, Neupane, Sudan P., Newman, Lori M., Newton, Charles R., Ng, Marie, Ngalesoni, Frida N., Nhung, Nguyen T., Nisar, Muhammad I., Nolte, Sandra, Norheim, Ole F., Norman, Rosana E., Norrving, Bo, Nyakarahuka, Luke, Oh, In Hwan, Ohkubo, Takayoshi, Omer, Saad B., Opio, John Nelson, Ortiz, Alberto, Pandian, Jeyaraj D., Panelo, Carlo Irwin A., Papachristou, Christina, Park, Eun-Kee, Parry, Charles D., Caicedo, Angel J. 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Ryan, Westerman, Ronny, Wilkinson, James D., Williams, Hywel C., Williams, Thomas N., Woldeyohannes, Solomon M., Wolfe, Charles D.A., Wong, John Q., Wong, Haidong, Woolf, Anthony D., Wright, Jonathan L., Wurtz, Brittany, Xu, Gelin, Yang, Gonghuan, Yano, Yuichiro, Yenesew, Muluken A., Yentur, Gokalp K., Yip, Paul, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Yoon, Seok-Jun, Younis, Mustafa, Yu, Chuanhua, Kim, Kim Yun, Zaki, Maysaa El Sayed, Zhang, Yong, Zhao, Zheng, Zhao, Yong, Zhu, Jun, Zonies, David, Zunt, Joseph R., Salomon, Joshua A., Murray, Christopher J.L., Cell biology, Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Epidemiology, Health Technology Assessment (HTA), and Public Health
- Subjects
Male ,Gerontology ,Nutrition and Disease ,Epidemiology ,years lived with disability, Global burden of disease, acute and chronic diseases, countries ,Prevalence ,Disease ,Global Health ,Medical and Health Sciences ,Conduct disorder ,Otitis-media ,Cost of Illness ,Residence Characteristics ,Voeding en Ziekte ,80 and over ,Global health ,2.2 Factors relating to the physical environment ,2.1 Biological and endogenous factors ,countries ,Aetiology ,Child ,Aged, 80 and over ,Medicine(all) ,education.field_of_study ,ATTENTION-DEFICIT/HYPERACTIVITY DISORDER ,Incidence ,Mortality rate ,Incidence (epidemiology) ,Pain Research ,Neglected Diseases ,Alcohol dependence ,General Medicine ,Middle Aged ,Global burden of disease ,Global Burden of Disease Study 2013 Collaborators ,Mental Health ,Infectious Diseases ,Attention deficit/Hyperactivity disorder ,Burden of Illness ,Child, Preschool ,Acute Disease ,Female ,Life Sciences & Biomedicine ,Adult ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Adolescent ,GBD 2013 ,Population ,acute and chronic diseases ,Young Adult ,Mental-disorders ,Age Distribution ,Medicine, General & Internal ,Weights ,General & Internal Medicine ,medicine ,Humans ,Life Science ,Disabled Persons ,Sex Distribution ,Preschool ,education ,Developing Countries ,VLAG ,Aged ,Science & Technology ,business.industry ,Developed Countries ,Cutaneous Leishmaniasis ,Infant, Newborn ,Infant ,Health outcomes ,Newborn ,medicine.disease ,Comorbidity ,Brain Disorders ,years lived with disability ,Good Health and Well Being ,Disease, injury, incidence, prevalence, YLDs, GBD 2010 ,Chronic Disease ,Wounds and Injuries ,business ,2.4 Surveillance and distribution ,Iron-deficiency ,Demography - Abstract
Summary Background Up-to-date evidence about levels and trends in disease and injury incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability (YLDs) is an essential input into global, regional, and national health policies. In the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013 (GBD 2013), we estimated these quantities for acute and chronic diseases and injuries for 188 countries between 1990 and 2013. Methods Estimates were calculated for disease and injury incidence, prevalence, and YLDs using GBD 2010 methods with some important refinements. Results for incidence of acute disorders and prevalence of chronic disorders are new additions to the analysis. Key improvements include expansion to the cause and sequelae list, updated systematic reviews, use of detailed injury codes, improvements to the Bayesian meta-regression method (DisMod-MR), and use of severity splits for various causes. An index of data representativeness, showing data availability, was calculated for each cause and impairment during three periods globally and at the country level for 2013. In total, 35 620 distinct sources of data were used and documented to calculated estimates for 301 diseases and injuries and 2337 sequelae. The comorbidity simulation provides estimates for the number of sequelae, concurrently, by individuals by country, year, age, and sex. Disability weights were updated with the addition of new population-based survey data from four countries. Findings Disease and injury were highly prevalent; only a small fraction of individuals had no sequelae. Comorbidity rose substantially with age and in absolute terms from 1990 to 2013. Incidence of acute sequelae were predominantly infectious diseases and short-term injuries, with over 2 billion cases of upper respiratory infections and diarrhoeal disease episodes in 2013, with the notable exception of tooth pain due to permanent caries with more than 200 million incident cases in 2013. Conversely, leading chronic sequelae were largely attributable to non-communicable diseases, with prevalence estimates for asymptomatic permanent caries and tension-type headache of 2·4 billion and 1·6 billion, respectively. The distribution of the number of sequelae in populations varied widely across regions, with an expected relation between age and disease prevalence. YLDs for both sexes increased from 537·6 million in 1990 to 764·8 million in 2013 due to population growth and ageing, whereas the age-standardised rate decreased little from 114·87 per 1000 people to 110·31 per 1000 people between 1990 and 2013. Leading causes of YLDs included low back pain and major depressive disorder among the top ten causes of YLDs in every country. YLD rates per person, by major cause groups, indicated the main drivers of increases were due to musculoskeletal, mental, and substance use disorders, neurological disorders, and chronic respiratory diseases; however HIV/AIDS was a notable driver of increasing YLDs in sub-Saharan Africa. Also, the proportion of disability-adjusted life years due to YLDs increased globally from 21·1% in 1990 to 31·2% in 2013. Interpretation Ageing of the world's population is leading to a substantial increase in the numbers of individuals with sequelae of diseases and injuries. Rates of YLDs are declining much more slowly than mortality rates. The non-fatal dimensions of disease and injury will require more and more attention from health systems. The transition to non-fatal outcomes as the dominant source of burden of disease is occurring rapidly outside of sub-Saharan Africa. Our results can guide future health initiatives through examination of epidemiological trends and a better understanding of variation across countries. Funding Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. Background Up-to-date evidence about levels and trends in disease and injury incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability (YLDs) is an essential input into global, regional, and national health policies. In the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013 (GBD 2013), we estimated these quantities for acute and chronic diseases and injuries for 188 countries between 1990 and 2013. Methods Estimates were calculated for disease and injury incidence, prevalence, and YLDs using GBD 2010 methods with some important refinements. Results for incidence of acute disorders and prevalence of chronic disorders are new additions to the analysis. Key improvements include expansion to the cause and sequelae list, updated systematic reviews, use of detailed injury codes, improvements to the Bayesian meta-regression method (DisMod-MR), and use of severity splits for various causes. An index of data representativeness, showing data availability, was calculated for each cause and impairment during three periods globally and at the country level for 2013. In total, 35 620 distinct sources of data were used and documented to calculated estimates for 301 diseases and injuries and 2337 sequelae. The comorbidity simulation provides estimates for the number of sequelae, concurrently, by individuals by country, year, age, and sex. Disability weights were updated with the addition of new population-based survey data from four countries. Findings Disease and injury were highly prevalent; only a small fraction of individuals had no sequelae. Comorbidity rose substantially with age and in absolute terms from 1990 to 2013. Incidence of acute sequelae were predominantly infectious diseases and short-term injuries, with over 2 billion cases of upper respiratory infections and diarrhoeal disease episodes in 2013, with the notable exception of tooth pain due to permanent caries with more than 200 million incident cases in 2013. Conversely, leading chronic sequelae were largely attributable to non-communicable diseases, with prevalence estimates for asymptomatic permanent caries and tension-type headache of 2·4 billion and 1·6 billion, respectively. The distribution of the number of sequelae in populations varied widely across regions, with an expected relation between age and disease prevalence. YLDs for both sexes increased from 537·6 million in 1990 to 764·8 million in 2013 due to population growth and ageing, whereas the age-standardised rate decreased little from 114·87 per 1000 people to 110·31 per 1000 people between 1990 and 2013. Leading causes of YLDs included low back pain and major depressive disorder among the top ten causes of YLDs in every country. YLD rates per person, by major cause groups, indicated the main drivers of increases were due to musculoskeletal, mental, and substance use disorders, neurological disorders, and chronic respiratory diseases; however HIV/AIDS was a notable driver of increasing YLDs in sub-Saharan Africa. Also, the proportion of disability-adjusted life years due to YLDs increased globally from 21·1% in 1990 to 31·2% in 2013. Interpretation Ageing of the world's population is leading to a substantial increase in the numbers of individuals with sequelae of diseases and injuries. Rates of YLDs are declining much more slowly than mortality rates. The non-fatal dimensions of disease and injury will require more and more attention from health systems. The transition to non-fatal outcomes as the dominant source of burden of disease is occurring rapidly outside of sub-Saharan Africa. Our results can guide future health initiatives through examination of epidemiological trends and a better understanding of variation across countries. Funding Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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- 2015
4. Healthcare Access and Quality Index based on mortality from causes amenable to personal health care in 195 countries and territories, 1990–2015: a novel analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
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Barber, RM, Fullman, N, Sorensen, RJD, Bollyky, T, McKee, M, Nolte, E, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbafati, C, Abbas, KM, Abd-Allah, F, Abdulle, AM, Abdurahman, AA, Abera, SF, Abraham, B, Abreha, GF, Adane, K, Adelekan, AL, Adetifa, IMO, Afshin, A, Agarwal, A, Agarwal, SK, Agarwal, S, Agrawal, A, Kiadaliri, AA, Ahmadi, A, Ahmed, KY, Ahmed, MB, Akinyemi, RO, Akinyemiju, TF, Akseer, N, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alam, SS, Alemu, ZA, Alene, KA, Alexander, L, Ali, R, Ali, SD, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Allebeck, P, Allen, C, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Martin, EA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Amini, E, Ammar, W, Amo-Adjei, J, Amoako, YA, Anderson, BO, Androudi, S, Ansari, H, Ansha, MG, Antonio, CAT, Ärnlöv, J, Artaman, A, Asayesh, H, Assadi, R, Astatkie, A, Atey, TM, Atique, S, Atnafu, NT, Atre, SR, Avila-Burgos, L, Avokpaho, EFGA, Quintanilla, BPA, Awasthi, A, Ayele, NN, Azzopardi, P, Saleem, HOB, Bärnighausen, T, Bacha, U, Badawi, A, Banerjee, A, Barac, A, Barboza, MA, Barker-Collo, SL, Barrero, LH, Basu, S, Baune, BT, Baye, K, Bayou, YT, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Béjot, Y, Bello, AK, Bennett, DA, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Bernabé, E, Bernal, OA, Beyene, AS, Beyene, TJ, Bhutta, ZA, Biadgilign, S, Bikbov, B, Birlik, SM, Birungi, C, Biryukov, S, Bisanzio, D, Bizuayehu, HM, Bose, D, Brainin, M, Brauer, M, Brazinova, A, Breitborde, NJK, Brenner, H, Butt, ZA, Cárdenas, R, Cahuana-Hurtado, L, Campos-Nonato, IR, Car, J, Carrero, JJ, Casey, D, Caso, V, Castañeda-Orjuela, CA, Rivas, JC, Catalá-López, F, Cecilio, P, Cercy, K, Charlson, FJ, Chen, AZ, Chew, A, Chibalabala, M, Chibueze, CE, Chisumpa, VH, Chitheer, AA, Chowdhury, R, Christensen, H, Christopher, DJ, Ciobanu, LG, Cirillo, M, Coggeshall, MS, Cooper, LT, Cortinovis, M, Crump, JA, Dalal, K, Danawi, H, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Dargan, PI, das Neves, J, Davey, G, Davitoiu, DV, Davletov, K, De Leo, D, Del Gobbo, LC, del Pozo-Cruz, B, Dellavalle, RP, Deribe, K, Deribew, A, Des Jarlais, DC, Dey, S, Dharmaratne, SD, Dicker, D, Ding, EL, Dokova, K, Dorsey, ER, Doyle, KE, Dubey, M, Ehrenkranz, R, Ellingsen, CL, Elyazar, I, Enayati, A, Ermakov, SP, Eshrati, B, Esteghamati, A, Estep, K, Fürst, T, Faghmous, IDA, Fanuel, FBB, Faraon, EJA, Farid, TA, Farinha, CSES, Faro, A, Farvid, MS, Farzadfar, F, Feigin, VL, Feigl, AB, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fernandes, JG, Fernandes, JC, Feyissa, TR, Fischer, F, Fitzmaurice, C, Fleming, TD, Foigt, N, Foreman, KJ, Forouzanfar, MH, Franklin, RC, Frostad, J, G/hiwot, TT, Gakidou, E, Gambashidze, K, Gamkrelidze, A, Gao, W, Garcia-Basteiro, AL, Gebre, T, Gebremedhin, AT, Gebremichael, MW, Gebru, AA, Gelaye, AA, Geleijnse, JM, Genova-Maleras, R, Gibney, KB, Giref, AZ, Gishu, MD, Giussani, G, Godwin, WW, Gold, A, Goldberg, EM, Gona, PN, Goodridge, A, Gopalani, SV, Goto, A, Graetz, N, Greaves, F, Griswold, M, Guban, PI, Gugnani, HC, Gupta, PC, Gupta, R, Gupta, T, Gupta, V, Habtewold, TD, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Haile, D, Hailu, AD, Hailu, GB, Hakuzimana, A, Hamadeh, RR, Hambisa, MT, Hamidi, S, Hammami, M, Hankey, GJ, Hao, Y, Harb, HL, Hareri, HA, Haro, JM, Hassanvand, MS, Havmoeller, R, Hay, RJ, Hay, SI, Hendrie, D, Heredia-Pi, IB, Hoek, HW, Horino, M, Horita, N, Hosgood, HD, Htet, AS, Hu, G, Huang, H, Huang, JJ, Huntley, BM, Huynh, C, Iburg, KM, Ileanu, BV, Innos, K, Irenso, AA, Jahanmehr, N, Jakovljevic, MB, James, P, James, SL, Javanbakht, M, Jayaraman, SP, Jayatilleke, AU, Jeemon, P, Jha, V, John, D, Johnson, C, Johnson, SC, Jonas, JB, Juel, K, Kabir, Z, Kalkonde, Y, Kamal, R, Kan, H, Karch, A, Karema, CK, Karimi, SM, Kasaeian, A, Kassebaum, NJ, Kastor, A, Katikireddi, SV, Kazanjan, K, Keiyoro, PN, Kemmer, L, Kemp, AH, Kengne, AP, Kerbo, AA, Kereselidze, M, Kesavachandran, CN, Khader, YS, Khalil, I, Khan, AR, Khan, EA, Khan, G, Khang, Y-H, Khoja, ATA, Khonelidze, I, Khubchandani, J, Kibret, GD, Kim, D, Kim, P, Kim, YJ, Kimokoti, RW, Kinfu, Y, Kissoon, N, Kivipelto, M, Kokubo, Y, Kolk, A, Kolte, D, Kopec, JA, Kosen, S, Koul, PA, Koyanagi, A, Kravchenko, M, Krishnaswami, S, Krohn, KJ, Defo, BK, Bicer, BK, Kuipers, EJ, Kulkarni, VS, Kumar, GA, Kumsa, FA, Kutz, M, Kyu, HH, Lager, ACJ, Lal, A, Lal, DK, Lalloo, R, Lallukka, T, Lan, Q, Langan, SM, Lansingh, VC, Larson, HJ, Larsson, A, Laryea, DO, Latif, AA, Lawrynowicz, AEB, Leasher, JL, Leigh, J, Leinsalu, M, Leshargie, CT, Leung, J, Leung, R, Levi, M, Liang, X, Lim, SS, Lind, M, Linn, S, Lipshultz, SE, Liu, P, Liu, Y, Lo, L-T, Logroscino, G, Lopez, AD, Lorch, SA, Lotufo, PA, Lozano, R, Lunevicius, R, Lyons, RA, Macarayan, ERK, Mackay, MT, El Razek, HMA, El Razek, MMA, Mahdavi, M, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Malta, DC, Mantovani, LG, Manyazewal, T, Mapoma, CC, Marcenes, W, Marks, GB, Marquez, N, Martinez-Raga, J, Marzan, MB, Massano, J, Mathur, MR, Maulik, PK, Mazidi, M, McAlinden, C, McGrath, JJ, McNellan, C, Meaney, PA, Mehari, A, Mehndiratta, MM, Meier, T, Mekonnen, AB, Meles, KG, Memish, ZA, Mengesha, MM, Mengiste, DT, Mengistie, MA, Menota, BG, Mensah, GA, Mereta, ST, Meretoja, A, Meretoja, TJ, Mezgebe, HB, Micha, R, Millear, A, Mills, EJ, Minnig, S, Mirarefin, M, Mirrakhimov, EM, Mock, CN, Mohammad, KA, Mohammed, S, Mohanty, SK, Mokdad, AH, Mola, GLD, Molokhia, M, Monasta, L, Montico, M, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Moraga, P, Morawska, L, Mori, R, Moses, M, Mueller, UO, Murthy, S, Musa, KI, Nachega, JB, Nagata, C, Nagel, G, Naghavi, M, Naheed, A, Naldi, L, Nangia, V, Nascimento, BR, Negoi, I, Neupane, SP, Newton, CR, Ng, M, Ngalesoni, FN, Ngunjiri, JW, Nguyen, G, Ningrum, DNA, Nolte, S, Nomura, M, Norheim, OF, Norrving, B, Noubiap, JJN, Obermeyer, CM, Ogbo, FA, Oh, I-H, Okoro, A, Oladimeji, O, Olagunju, AT, Olivares, PR, Olsen, HE, Olusanya, BO, Olusanya, JO, Opio, JN, Oren, E, Ortiz, A, Osborne, RH, Osman, M, Owolabi, MO, PA, M, Pain, AW, Pakhale, S, Castillo, EP, Pana, A, Papachristou, C, Parsaeian, M, Patel, T, Patton, GC, Paudel, D, Paul, VK, Pearce, N, Pereira, DM, Perez-Padilla, R, Perez-Ruiz, F, Perico, N, Pesudovs, K, Petzold, M, Phillips, MR, Pigott, DM, Pillay, JD, Pinho, C, Polinder, S, Pond, CD, Prakash, V, Purwar, M, Qorbani, M, Quistberg, DA, Radfar, A, Rafay, A, Rahimi, K, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rahman, M, Rahman, MHU, Rai, RK, Ram, U, Rana, SM, Rankin, Z, Rao, PV, Rao, PC, Rawaf, S, Rego, MAS, Reitsma, M, Remuzzi, G, Renzaho, AMNN, Resnikoff, S, Rezaei, S, Rezai, MS, Ribeiro, AL, Roba, HS, Rokni, MB, Ronfani, L, Roshandel, G, Roth, GA, Rothenbacher, D, Roy, NK, Sachdev, PS, Sackey, BB, Saeedi, MY, Safiri, S, Sagar, R, Sahraian, MA, Saleh, MM, Salomon, JA, Samy, AM, Sanabria, JR, Sanchez-Niño, MD, Sandar, L, Santos, IS, Santos, JV, Milicevic, MMS, Sarmiento-Suarez, R, Sartorius, B, Satpathy, M, Savic, M, Sawhney, M, Saylan, MI, Schöttker, B, Schutte, AE, Schwebel, DC, Seedat, S, Seid, AM, Seifu, CN, Sepanlou, SG, Serdar, B, Servan-Mori, EE, Setegn, T, Shackelford, KA, Shaheen, A, Shahraz, S, Shaikh, MA, Shakh-Nazarova, M, Shamsipour, M, Islam, SMS, Sharma, J, Sharma, R, She, J, Sheikhbahaei, S, Shen, J, Shi, P, Shigematsu, M, Shin, M-J, Shiri, R, Shoman, H, Shrime, MG, Sibamo, ELS, Sigfusdottir, ID, Silva, DAS, Silveira, DGA, Sindi, S, Singh, A, Singh, JA, Singh, OP, Singh, PK, Singh, V, Sinke, AH, Sinshaw, AE, Skirbekk, V, Sliwa, K, Smith, A, Sobngwi, E, Soneji, S, Soriano, JB, Sousa, TCM, Sposato, LA, Sreeramareddy, CT, Stathopoulou, V, Steel, N, Steiner, C, Steinke, S, Stokes, MA, Stranges, S, Strong, M, Stroumpoulis, K, Sturua, L, Sufiyan, MB, Suliankatchi, RA, Sun, J, Sur, P, Swaminathan, S, Sykes, BL, Tabarés-Seisdedos, R, Tabb, KM, Taffere, GR, Talongwa, RT, Tarajia, M, Tavakkoli, M, Taveira, N, Teeple, S, Tegegne, TK, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Tekelab, T, Tekle, DY, Shifa, GT, Terkawi, AS, Tesema, AG, Thakur, JS, Thomson, AJ, Tillmann, T, Tiruye, TY, Tobe-Gai, R, Tonelli, M, Topor-Madry, R, Tortajada, M, Troeger, C, Truelsen, T, Tura, AK, Uchendu, US, Ukwaja, KN, Undurraga, EA, Uneke, CJ, Uthman, OA, van Boven, JFM, Van Dingenen, R, Varughese, S, Vasankari, T, Venketasubramanian, N, Violante, FS, Vladimirov, SK, Vlassov, VV, Vollset, SE, Vos, T, Wagner, JA, Wakayo, T, Waller, SG, Walson, JL, Wang, H, Wang, Y-P, Watkins, DA, Weiderpass, E, Weintraub, RG, Wen, C-P, Werdecker, A, Wesana, J, Westerman, R, Whiteford, HA, Wilkinson, JD, Wiysonge, CS, Woldeyes, BG, Wolfe, CDA, Won, S, Workicho, A, Workie, SB, Wubshet, M, Xavier, D, Xu, G, Yadav, AK, Yaghoubi, M, Yakob, B, Yan, LL, Yano, Y, Yaseri, M, Yimam, HH, Yip, P, Yonemoto, N, Yoon, S-J, Younis, MZ, Yu, C, Zaidi, Z, El Sayed Zaki, M, Zambrana-Torrelio, C, Zapata, T, Zenebe, ZM, Zodpey, S, Zoeckler, L, Zuhlke, LJ, Murray, CJL, Barber, RM, Fullman, N, Sorensen, RJD, Bollyky, T, McKee, M, Nolte, E, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbafati, C, Abbas, KM, Abd-Allah, F, Abdulle, AM, Abdurahman, AA, Abera, SF, Abraham, B, Abreha, GF, Adane, K, Adelekan, AL, Adetifa, IMO, Afshin, A, Agarwal, A, Agarwal, SK, Agarwal, S, Agrawal, A, Kiadaliri, AA, Ahmadi, A, Ahmed, KY, Ahmed, MB, Akinyemi, RO, Akinyemiju, TF, Akseer, N, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alam, SS, Alemu, ZA, Alene, KA, Alexander, L, Ali, R, Ali, SD, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Allebeck, P, Allen, C, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Martin, EA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Amini, E, Ammar, W, Amo-Adjei, J, Amoako, YA, Anderson, BO, Androudi, S, Ansari, H, Ansha, MG, Antonio, CAT, Ärnlöv, J, Artaman, A, Asayesh, H, Assadi, R, Astatkie, A, Atey, TM, Atique, S, Atnafu, NT, Atre, SR, Avila-Burgos, L, Avokpaho, EFGA, Quintanilla, BPA, Awasthi, A, Ayele, NN, Azzopardi, P, Saleem, HOB, Bärnighausen, T, Bacha, U, Badawi, A, Banerjee, A, Barac, A, Barboza, MA, Barker-Collo, SL, Barrero, LH, Basu, S, Baune, BT, Baye, K, Bayou, YT, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Béjot, Y, Bello, AK, Bennett, DA, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Bernabé, E, Bernal, OA, Beyene, AS, Beyene, TJ, Bhutta, ZA, Biadgilign, S, Bikbov, B, Birlik, SM, Birungi, C, Biryukov, S, Bisanzio, D, Bizuayehu, HM, Bose, D, Brainin, M, Brauer, M, Brazinova, A, Breitborde, NJK, Brenner, H, Butt, ZA, Cárdenas, R, Cahuana-Hurtado, L, Campos-Nonato, IR, Car, J, Carrero, JJ, Casey, D, Caso, V, Castañeda-Orjuela, CA, Rivas, JC, Catalá-López, F, Cecilio, P, Cercy, K, Charlson, FJ, Chen, AZ, Chew, A, Chibalabala, M, Chibueze, CE, Chisumpa, VH, Chitheer, AA, Chowdhury, R, Christensen, H, Christopher, DJ, Ciobanu, LG, Cirillo, M, Coggeshall, MS, Cooper, LT, Cortinovis, M, Crump, JA, Dalal, K, Danawi, H, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Dargan, PI, das Neves, J, Davey, G, Davitoiu, DV, Davletov, K, De Leo, D, Del Gobbo, LC, del Pozo-Cruz, B, Dellavalle, RP, Deribe, K, Deribew, A, Des Jarlais, DC, Dey, S, Dharmaratne, SD, Dicker, D, Ding, EL, Dokova, K, Dorsey, ER, Doyle, KE, Dubey, M, Ehrenkranz, R, Ellingsen, CL, Elyazar, I, Enayati, A, Ermakov, SP, Eshrati, B, Esteghamati, A, Estep, K, Fürst, T, Faghmous, IDA, Fanuel, FBB, Faraon, EJA, Farid, TA, Farinha, CSES, Faro, A, Farvid, MS, Farzadfar, F, Feigin, VL, Feigl, AB, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fernandes, JG, Fernandes, JC, Feyissa, TR, Fischer, F, Fitzmaurice, C, Fleming, TD, Foigt, N, Foreman, KJ, Forouzanfar, MH, Franklin, RC, Frostad, J, G/hiwot, TT, Gakidou, E, Gambashidze, K, Gamkrelidze, A, Gao, W, Garcia-Basteiro, AL, Gebre, T, Gebremedhin, AT, Gebremichael, MW, Gebru, AA, Gelaye, AA, Geleijnse, JM, Genova-Maleras, R, Gibney, KB, Giref, AZ, Gishu, MD, Giussani, G, Godwin, WW, Gold, A, Goldberg, EM, Gona, PN, Goodridge, A, Gopalani, SV, Goto, A, Graetz, N, Greaves, F, Griswold, M, Guban, PI, Gugnani, HC, Gupta, PC, Gupta, R, Gupta, T, Gupta, V, Habtewold, TD, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Haile, D, Hailu, AD, Hailu, GB, Hakuzimana, A, Hamadeh, RR, Hambisa, MT, Hamidi, S, Hammami, M, Hankey, GJ, Hao, Y, Harb, HL, Hareri, HA, Haro, JM, Hassanvand, MS, Havmoeller, R, Hay, RJ, Hay, SI, Hendrie, D, Heredia-Pi, IB, Hoek, HW, Horino, M, Horita, N, Hosgood, HD, Htet, AS, Hu, G, Huang, H, Huang, JJ, Huntley, BM, Huynh, C, Iburg, KM, Ileanu, BV, Innos, K, Irenso, AA, Jahanmehr, N, Jakovljevic, MB, James, P, James, SL, Javanbakht, M, Jayaraman, SP, Jayatilleke, AU, Jeemon, P, Jha, V, John, D, Johnson, C, Johnson, SC, Jonas, JB, Juel, K, Kabir, Z, Kalkonde, Y, Kamal, R, Kan, H, Karch, A, Karema, CK, Karimi, SM, Kasaeian, A, Kassebaum, NJ, Kastor, A, Katikireddi, SV, Kazanjan, K, Keiyoro, PN, Kemmer, L, Kemp, AH, Kengne, AP, Kerbo, AA, Kereselidze, M, Kesavachandran, CN, Khader, YS, Khalil, I, Khan, AR, Khan, EA, Khan, G, Khang, Y-H, Khoja, ATA, Khonelidze, I, Khubchandani, J, Kibret, GD, Kim, D, Kim, P, Kim, YJ, Kimokoti, RW, Kinfu, Y, Kissoon, N, Kivipelto, M, Kokubo, Y, Kolk, A, Kolte, D, Kopec, JA, Kosen, S, Koul, PA, Koyanagi, A, Kravchenko, M, Krishnaswami, S, Krohn, KJ, Defo, BK, Bicer, BK, Kuipers, EJ, Kulkarni, VS, Kumar, GA, Kumsa, FA, Kutz, M, Kyu, HH, Lager, ACJ, Lal, A, Lal, DK, Lalloo, R, Lallukka, T, Lan, Q, Langan, SM, Lansingh, VC, Larson, HJ, Larsson, A, Laryea, DO, Latif, AA, Lawrynowicz, AEB, Leasher, JL, Leigh, J, Leinsalu, M, Leshargie, CT, Leung, J, Leung, R, Levi, 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MA, Stranges, S, Strong, M, Stroumpoulis, K, Sturua, L, Sufiyan, MB, Suliankatchi, RA, Sun, J, Sur, P, Swaminathan, S, Sykes, BL, Tabarés-Seisdedos, R, Tabb, KM, Taffere, GR, Talongwa, RT, Tarajia, M, Tavakkoli, M, Taveira, N, Teeple, S, Tegegne, TK, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Tekelab, T, Tekle, DY, Shifa, GT, Terkawi, AS, Tesema, AG, Thakur, JS, Thomson, AJ, Tillmann, T, Tiruye, TY, Tobe-Gai, R, Tonelli, M, Topor-Madry, R, Tortajada, M, Troeger, C, Truelsen, T, Tura, AK, Uchendu, US, Ukwaja, KN, Undurraga, EA, Uneke, CJ, Uthman, OA, van Boven, JFM, Van Dingenen, R, Varughese, S, Vasankari, T, Venketasubramanian, N, Violante, FS, Vladimirov, SK, Vlassov, VV, Vollset, SE, Vos, T, Wagner, JA, Wakayo, T, Waller, SG, Walson, JL, Wang, H, Wang, Y-P, Watkins, DA, Weiderpass, E, Weintraub, RG, Wen, C-P, Werdecker, A, Wesana, J, Westerman, R, Whiteford, HA, Wilkinson, JD, Wiysonge, CS, Woldeyes, BG, Wolfe, CDA, Won, S, Workicho, A, Workie, SB, Wubshet, M, Xavier, D, Xu, G, Yadav, AK, Yaghoubi, M, Yakob, B, Yan, LL, Yano, Y, Yaseri, M, Yimam, HH, Yip, P, Yonemoto, N, Yoon, S-J, Younis, MZ, Yu, C, Zaidi, Z, El Sayed Zaki, M, Zambrana-Torrelio, C, Zapata, T, Zenebe, ZM, Zodpey, S, Zoeckler, L, Zuhlke, LJ, and Murray, CJL
- Published
- 2017
5. Global, regional, and national under-5 mortality, adult mortality, age-specific mortality, and life expectancy, 1970-2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016
- Author
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Wang, H, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbafati, C, Abbas, KM, Abd-Allah, F, Abera, SF, Abraha, HN, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Adedeji, IA, Adedoyin, RA, Adetifa, IMO, Adetokunboh, O, Afshin, A, Aggarwal, R, Agrawal, A, Agrawal, S, Kiadaliri, AA, Ahmed, MB, Aichour, AN, Aichour, I, Aichour, MTE, Aiyar, S, Akanda, S, Akinyemiju, TF, Akseer, N, Al-Eyadhy, A, Al Lami, FH, Alabed, S, Alahdab, F, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alasfoor, D, Aldridge, RW, Alene, KA, Alhabib, S, Ali, R, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Aljunid, SM, Alkaabi, JM, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Allam, SD, Allebeck, P, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Martin, EA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Ameh, EA, Amini, E, Ammar, W, Amoako, YA, Anber, N, Andrei, CL, Androudi, S, Ansari, H, Ansha, MG, Antonio, CAT, Anwari, P, Arnlov, J, Arora, M, Al, A, Aryal, KK, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, SW, Asghar, RJ, Assadi, R, Atey, TM, Atre, SR, Avila-Burgos, L, Avokpaho, EFGA, Awasthi, A, Quintanilla, BPA, Babalola, TK, Bacha, U, Badawi, A, Balakrishnan, 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Jurisson, M, Kabir, Z, Kadel, R, Kahsay, A, Kalkonde, Y, Kamal, R, Kan, H, Karch, A, Karema, CK, Karimi, SM, Karthikeyan, G, Kasaeian, A, Kassaw, NA, Kassebaum, NJ, Kastor, A, Katikireddi, SV, Kaul, A, Kawakami, N, Kazanjan, K, Keiyoro, PN, Kelbore, SG, Kemp, AH, Kengne, AP, Keren, A, Kereselidze, M, Kesavachandran, CN, Ketema, EB, Khader, YS, Khalil, IA, Khan, EA, Khan, G, Khang, Y-H, Khera, S, Khoja, ATA, Khosravi, MH, Kibret, GD, Kieling, C, Kim, C-I, Kim, D, Kim, P, Kim, S, Kim, YJ, Kimokoti, RW, Kinfu, Y, Kishawi, S, Kissimova-Skarbek, KA, Kissoon, N, Kivimaki, M, Knudsen, AK, Kokubo, Y, Kopec, JA, Kosen, S, Koul, PA, Koyanagi, A, Kravchenko, M, Krohn, KJ, Defo, BK, Bicer, BK, Kuipers, EJ, Kulikoff, XR, Kulkarni, VS, Kumar, GA, Kumar, P, Kumsa, FA, Kutz, M, Lachat, C, Lagat, AK, Lager, ACJ, Lal, DK, Lalloo, R, Lambert, N, Lan, Q, Lansingh, VC, Larson, HJ, Larsson, A, Laryea, DO, Lavados, PM, Laxmaiah, A, Lee, PH, Leigh, J, Leung, J, Leung, R, Levi, M, Li, Y, Liao, Y, Liben, ML, 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She, J, Shen, J, Shetty, BP, Shi, P, Shibuya, K, Shigematsu, M, Shiri, R, Shiue, I, Shrime, MG, Sigfusdottir, ID, Silberberg, DH, Silpakit, N, Silva, DAS, Silva, JP, Silveira, DGA, Sindi, S, Singh, A, Singh, JA, Singh, PK, Singh, V, Sinha, DN, Skiadaresi, E, Sligar, A, Smith, DL, Sobaih, BHA, Sobngwi, E, Soneji, S, Soriano, JB, Sreeramareddy, CT, Srinivasan, V, Stathopoulou, V, Steel, N, Stein, DJ, Steiner, C, Stockl, H, Stokes, MA, Strong, M, Sufiyan, MB, Suliankatchi, RA, Sunguya, BF, Sur, PJ, Swaminathan, S, Sykes, BL, Szoeke, CEI, Tabares-Seisdedos, R, Tadakamadla, SK, Tadese, F, Tandon, N, Tanne, D, Tarajia, M, Tavakkoli, M, Taveira, N, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Tekelab, T, Tekle, DY, Shifa, GT, Temsah, M-H, Terkawi, AS, Tesema, CL, Tesssema, B, Theis, A, Thomas, N, Thompson, AH, Thomson, AJ, Thrift, AG, Tiruye, TY, Tobe-Gai, R, Tonelli, M, Topor-Madry, R, Topouzis, F, Tortajada, M, Tran, BX, Trujillo, TTU, Tsilimparis, N, Tuem, KB, Tuzcu, EM, Tyrovolas, S, Ukwaja, KN, Undurraga, EA, Uthman, OA, Uzochukwu, BSC, van Boven, JFM, Varakin, YY, Varughese, S, Vasankari, T, Vasconcelos, AMN, Venketasubramanian, N, Vidavalur, R, Violante, FS, Vishnu, A, Vladimirov, SK, Vlassov, VV, Vollset, SE, Vos, T, Waid, JL, Wakayo, T, Wang, Y-P, Weichenthal, S, Weiderpass, E, Weintraub, RG, Werdecker, A, Wesana, J, Wijeratne, T, Wilkinson, JD, Wiysonge, CS, Woldeyes, BG, Wolfe, CDA, Workicho, A, Workie, SB, Xavier, D, Xu, G, Yaghoubi, M, Yakob, B, Yalew, AZ, Yan, LL, Yano, Y, Yaseri, M, Ye, P, Yimam, HH, Yip, P, Yirsaw, BD, Yonemoto, N, Yoon, S-J, Yotebieng, M, Younis, MZ, Zaidi, Z, Zaki, MES, Zeeb, H, Zenebe, ZM, Zerfu, TA, Zhang, AL, Zhang, X, Zodpey, S, Zuhlke, LJ, Lopez, AD, Murray, CJL, Wang, H, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbafati, C, Abbas, KM, Abd-Allah, F, Abera, SF, Abraha, HN, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Adedeji, IA, Adedoyin, RA, Adetifa, IMO, Adetokunboh, O, Afshin, A, Aggarwal, R, Agrawal, A, Agrawal, S, Kiadaliri, AA, Ahmed, MB, Aichour, AN, Aichour, I, Aichour, MTE, Aiyar, S, Akanda, S, Akinyemiju, TF, Akseer, N, Al-Eyadhy, A, Al Lami, FH, Alabed, S, Alahdab, F, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alasfoor, D, Aldridge, RW, Alene, KA, Alhabib, S, Ali, R, Alizadeh-Navaei, R, Aljunid, SM, Alkaabi, JM, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Allam, SD, Allebeck, P, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Altirkawi, KA, Martin, EA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Ameh, EA, Amini, E, Ammar, W, Amoako, YA, Anber, N, Andrei, CL, Androudi, S, Ansari, H, Ansha, MG, Antonio, CAT, Anwari, P, Arnlov, J, Arora, M, Al, A, Aryal, KK, Asayesh, H, Asgedom, SW, Asghar, RJ, Assadi, R, Atey, TM, Atre, SR, Avila-Burgos, L, Avokpaho, EFGA, Awasthi, A, Quintanilla, BPA, Babalola, TK, Bacha, U, Badawi, A, Balakrishnan, K, Balalla, S, Barac, A, Barber, RM, Barboza, MA, Barker-Collo, SL, Barnighausen, T, Barquera, S, Barregard, L, Barrero, LH, Baune, BT, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Bedi, N, Beghi, E, Bejot, Y, Bekele, BB, Bell, ML, Bello, AK, Bennett, DA, Bennett, JR, Bensenor, IM, Benson, J, Berhane, A, Berhe, DF, Bernabe, E, Beuran, M, Beyene, AS, Bhala, N, Bhansali, A, Bhaumik, S, Bhutta, ZA, Bikbov, B, Birungi, C, Biryukov, S, Bisanzio, D, Bizuayehu, HM, Bjerregaard, P, Blosser, CD, Boneya, DJ, Boufous, S, Bourne, RRA, Brazinova, A, Breitborde, NJK, Brenner, H, Brugha, TS, Bukhman, G, Negesa, L, Bulto, B, Bumgarner, BR, Burch, M, Butt, ZA, Cahill, LE, Cahuana-Hurtado, L, Campos-Nonato, IR, Car, J, Car, M, Crdenas, R, Carpenter, DO, Carrero, JJ, Carter, A, Castaneda-Orjuela, CA, Rivas, JC, Castro, FF, Castro, RE, Catala-Lopez, F, Chen, H, Chiang, PP-C, Chibalabala, M, Chisumpa, VH, Chitheer, AA, Choi, J-YJ, Christensen, H, Christopher, DJ, Ciobanu, LG, Cirillo, M, Cohen, AJ, Colquhoun, SM, Coresh, J, Criqui, MH, Cromwell, EA, Crump, JA, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Dargan, PI, das Neves, J, Davey, G, Davitoiu, DV, Davletov, K, de Courten, B, De Leo, D, Degenhardt, L, Deiparine, S, Dellavalle, RP, Deribe, K, Deribew, A, Des Jarlais, DC, Dey, S, Dharmaratne, SD, Dherani, MK, Diaz-Torne, C, Ding, EL, Dixit, P, Djalalinia, S, Huyen, PD, Doku, DT, Donnelly, CA, Priscila, K, dos Santos, B, Douwes-Schultz, D, Driscoll, TR, Duan, L, Dubey, M, Duncan, BB, Dwivedi, LK, Ebrahimi, H, El Bcheraoui, C, Ellingsen, CL, Enayati, A, Endries, AY, Ermakov, SP, Eshetie, S, Eshrati, B, Eskandarieh, S, Esteghamati, A, Estep, K, Fanuel, BBF, Faro, A, Farvid, MS, Farzadfar, F, Feigin, VL, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fernandes, JG, Fernandes, JC, Feyissa, TR, Filip, I, Fischer, F, Foigt, N, Foreman, KJ, Frank, T, Franklin, RC, Fraser, M, Friedman, J, Frostad, JJ, Fullman, N, Furst, T, Furtado, JM, Futran, ND, Gakidou, E, Gambashidze, K, Gamkrelidze, A, Gankpe, FG, Garcia-Basteiro, AL, Gebregergs, GB, Gebrehiwot, TT, Gebrekidan, KG, Gebremichael, MW, Gelaye, AA, Geleijnse, JM, Gemechu, BL, Gemechu, KS, Genova-Maleras, R, Gesesew, HA, Gething, PW, Gibney, KB, Gill, PS, Gillum, RF, Giref, AZ, Girma, BW, Giussani, G, Goenka, S, Gomez, B, Gona, PN, Gopalani, SV, Goulart, AC, Graetz, N, Gugnani, HC, Gupta, PC, Gupta, R, Gupta, T, Gupta, V, Haagsma, JA, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Bidgoli, HH, Hakuzimana, A, Halasa, YA, Hamadeh, RR, Hambisa, MT, Hamidi, S, Hammami, M, Hancock, J, Handal, AJ, Hankey, GJ, Hao, Y, Harb, HL, Hareri, HA, Harikrishnan, S, Haro, JM, Hassanvand, MS, Havmoeller, R, Hay, RJ, Hay, SI, He, F, Heredia-Pi, IB, Herteliu, C, Hilawe, EH, Hoek, HW, Horita, N, Hosgood, HD, Hostiuc, S, Hotez, PJ, Hoy, DG, Hsairi, M, Htet, AS, Hu, G, Huang, H, Huang, JJ, Iburg, KM, Igumbor, EU, Ileanu, BV, Inoue, M, Irenso, AA, Irvine, CMS, Islam, N, Jacobsen, KH, Jaenisch, T, Jahanmehr, N, Jakovljevic, MB, Javanbakht, M, Jayatilleke, AU, Jeemon, P, Jensen, PN, Jha, V, Jin, Y, John, D, John, O, Johnson, SC, Jonas, JB, Jurisson, M, Kabir, Z, Kadel, R, Kahsay, A, Kalkonde, Y, Kamal, R, Kan, H, Karch, A, Karema, CK, Karimi, SM, Karthikeyan, G, Kasaeian, A, Kassaw, NA, Kassebaum, NJ, Kastor, A, Katikireddi, SV, Kaul, A, Kawakami, N, Kazanjan, K, Keiyoro, PN, Kelbore, SG, Kemp, AH, Kengne, AP, Keren, A, Kereselidze, M, Kesavachandran, CN, Ketema, EB, Khader, YS, Khalil, IA, Khan, EA, Khan, G, Khang, Y-H, Khera, S, Khoja, ATA, Khosravi, MH, Kibret, GD, Kieling, C, Kim, C-I, Kim, D, Kim, P, Kim, S, Kim, YJ, Kimokoti, RW, Kinfu, Y, Kishawi, S, Kissimova-Skarbek, KA, Kissoon, N, Kivimaki, M, Knudsen, AK, Kokubo, Y, Kopec, JA, Kosen, S, Koul, PA, Koyanagi, A, Kravchenko, M, Krohn, KJ, Defo, BK, Bicer, BK, Kuipers, EJ, Kulikoff, XR, Kulkarni, VS, Kumar, GA, Kumar, P, Kumsa, FA, Kutz, M, Lachat, C, Lagat, AK, Lager, ACJ, Lal, DK, Lalloo, R, Lambert, N, Lan, Q, Lansingh, VC, Larson, HJ, Larsson, A, Laryea, DO, Lavados, PM, Laxmaiah, A, Lee, PH, Leigh, J, Leung, J, Leung, R, Levi, M, Li, Y, Liao, Y, Liben, ML, Lim, SS, Linn, S, Lipshultz, SE, Liu, S, Lodha, R, Logroscino, G, Lorch, SA, Lorkowski, S, Lotufo, PA, Lozano, R, Lunevicius, R, Lyons, RA, Ma, S, Macarayan, ERK, Machado, IE, Mackay, MT, Abd el Razek, MM, Magis-Rodriguez, C, Mahdavi, M, Majdan, M, Majdzadeh, R, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Malhotra, R, Malta, DC, Mantovani, LG, Manyazewal, T, Mapoma, CC, Marczak, LB, Marks, GB, Martinez-Raga, J, Martins-Melo, FR, Massano, J, Maulik, PK, Mayosi, BM, Mazidi, M, McAlinden, C, McGarvey, ST, McGrath, JJ, Mckee, M, Mehata, S, Mehndiratta, MM, Mehta, KM, Meier, T, Mekonnen, TC, Meles, KG, Memiah, P, Memish, ZA, Mendoza, W, Mengesha, MM, Mengistie, MA, Tadese, D, Menon, MGR, Menota, BG, Mensah, GA, Meretoja, A, Meretoja, TJ, Mezgebe, HB, Micha, R, Mikesell, J, Miller, TR, Mills, EJ, Minnig, S, Mirarefin, M, Mirrakhimov, EM, Misganaw, A, Mishra, SR, Mohammad, KA, Mohammadi, A, Mohammed, KESM, Mohan, MBV, Mohanty, SK, Mokdad, AH, Assaye, AM, Mollenkopf, SK, Molokhia, M, Monasta, L, Hernandez, JCM, Montico, M, Mooney, MD, Moore, AR, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Moraga, P, Morawska, L, Velasquez, IM, Mori, R, Morrison, SD, Mruts, KB, Mueller, UO, Mullany, E, Muller, K, Venkata, G, Murthy, S, Musa, KI, Nachega, JB, Nagata, C, Nagel, G, Naghavi, M, Naidoo, KS, Nanda, L, Nangia, V, Nascimento, BR, Natarajan, G, Negoi, I, Cuong, TN, Ningrum, DNA, Nisar, MI, Nomura, M, Vuong, MN, Norheim, OF, Norrving, B, Noubiap, JJN, Nyakarahuka, L, Obermeyer, CM, O'Donnell, MJ, Ogbo, FA, Oh, I-H, Okoro, A, Oladimeji, O, Olagunju, AT, Olusanya, BO, Olusanya, JO, Oren, E, Ortiz, A, Osgood-Zimmerman, A, Ota, E, Owolabi, MO, Oyekale, AS, Pa, M, Pacella, RE, Pakhale, S, Pana, A, Panda, BK, Panda-Jonas, S, Park, E-K, Parsaeian, M, Patel, T, Patten, SB, Patton, GC, Paudel, D, Pereira, DM, Perez-Padilla, R, Perez-Ruiz, F, Perico, N, Pervaiz, A, Pesudovs, K, Peterson, CB, Petri, WA, Petzold, M, Phillips, MR, Piel, FB, Pigott, DM, Pishgar, F, Plass, D, Polinder, S, Popova, S, Postma, MJ, Poulton, RG, Pourmalek, F, Prasad, N, Purwar, M, Qorbani, M, Rabiee, RHS, Radfar, A, Rafay, A, Rahimi-Movaghar, A, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rahman, M, Rahman, MHU, Rahman, SU, Rai, RK, Rajsic, S, Ram, U, Rana, SM, Ranabhat, CL, Rao, PV, Rawaf, S, Ray, SE, Rego, MAS, Rehm, J, Reiner, RC, Remuzzi, G, Renzaho, AMNN, Resnikoff, S, Rezaei, S, Rezai, MS, Ribeiro, AL, Rokni, MB, Ronfani, L, Roshandel, G, Roth, GA, Rothenbacher, D, Roy, A, Rubagotti, E, Ruhago, GM, Saadat, S, Sabde, YD, Sachdev, PS, Sadat, N, Safdarian, M, Safiri, SSS, Sagar, R, Sahathevan, R, Sahebkar, A, Sahraian, MA, Salama, J, Salamati, P, Salomon, JA, Salvi, SS, Samy, AM, Sanabria, JR, Sanchez-Nino, MD, Santos, IS, Milicevic, MMS, Sarmiento-Suarez, R, Sartorius, B, Satpathy, M, Sawhney, M, Saxena, S, Saylan, MI, Schmidt, MI, Schneider, IJC, Schutte, AE, Schwebel, DC, Schwendicke, F, Seedat, S, Seid, AM, Sepanlou, SG, Servan-Mori, EE, Shackelford, KA, Shaheen, A, Shahraz, S, Shaikh, MA, Shamsipour, M, Shamsizadeh, M, Islam, SMS, Sharma, J, Sharma, R, She, J, Shen, J, Shetty, BP, Shi, P, Shibuya, K, Shigematsu, M, Shiri, R, Shiue, I, Shrime, MG, Sigfusdottir, ID, Silberberg, DH, Silpakit, N, Silva, DAS, Silva, JP, Silveira, DGA, Sindi, S, Singh, A, Singh, JA, Singh, PK, Singh, V, Sinha, DN, Skiadaresi, E, Sligar, A, Smith, DL, Sobaih, BHA, Sobngwi, E, Soneji, S, Soriano, JB, Sreeramareddy, CT, Srinivasan, V, Stathopoulou, V, Steel, N, Stein, DJ, Steiner, C, Stockl, H, Stokes, MA, Strong, M, Sufiyan, MB, Suliankatchi, RA, Sunguya, BF, Sur, PJ, Swaminathan, S, Sykes, BL, Szoeke, CEI, Tabares-Seisdedos, R, Tadakamadla, SK, Tadese, F, Tandon, N, Tanne, D, Tarajia, M, Tavakkoli, M, Taveira, N, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Tekelab, T, Tekle, DY, Shifa, GT, Temsah, M-H, Terkawi, AS, Tesema, CL, Tesssema, B, Theis, A, Thomas, N, Thompson, AH, Thomson, AJ, Thrift, AG, Tiruye, TY, Tobe-Gai, R, Tonelli, M, Topor-Madry, R, Topouzis, F, Tortajada, M, Tran, BX, Trujillo, TTU, Tsilimparis, N, Tuem, KB, Tuzcu, EM, Tyrovolas, S, Ukwaja, KN, Undurraga, EA, Uthman, OA, Uzochukwu, BSC, van Boven, JFM, Varakin, YY, Varughese, S, Vasankari, T, Vasconcelos, AMN, Venketasubramanian, N, Vidavalur, R, Violante, FS, Vishnu, A, Vladimirov, SK, Vlassov, VV, Vollset, SE, Vos, T, Waid, JL, Wakayo, T, Wang, Y-P, Weichenthal, S, Weiderpass, E, Weintraub, RG, Werdecker, A, Wesana, J, Wijeratne, T, Wilkinson, JD, Wiysonge, CS, Woldeyes, BG, Wolfe, CDA, Workicho, A, Workie, SB, Xavier, D, Xu, G, Yaghoubi, M, Yakob, B, Yalew, AZ, Yan, LL, Yano, Y, Yaseri, M, Ye, P, Yimam, HH, Yip, P, Yirsaw, BD, Yonemoto, N, Yoon, S-J, Yotebieng, M, Younis, MZ, Zaidi, Z, Zaki, MES, Zeeb, H, Zenebe, ZM, Zerfu, TA, Zhang, AL, Zhang, X, Zodpey, S, Zuhlke, LJ, Lopez, AD, and Murray, CJL
- Published
- 2017
6. Estimates of global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980-2015 : the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
- Author
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GBD 2015 HIV Collaborators, Wang, H, Wolock, TM, Carter, A, Nguyen, G, Kyu, HH, Gakidou, E, Hay, SI, Mills, EJ, Trickey, A, Msemburi, W, Coates, MM, Mooney, MD, Fraser, MS, Sligar, A, Salomon, J, Larson, HJ, Friedman, J, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbas, KM, Razek, MM, Abd-Allah, F, Abdulle, AM, Abera, SF, Abubakar, I, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Abu-Rmeileh, NM, Abyu, GY, Adebiyi, AO, Adedeji, IA, Adelekan, AL, Adofo, K, Adou, AK, Ajala, ON, Akinyemiju, TF, Akseer, N, Lami, FH, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, NK, Alasfoor, D, Aldhahri, SF, Aldridge, RW, Alegretti, MA, Aleman, AV, Alemu, ZA, Alfonso-Cristancho, R, Ali, R, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Mohammad, R, Al-Raddadi, S, Alsharif, U, Alvarez, E, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Amberbir, A, Amegah, AK, Ammar, W, Amrock, SM, Antonio, CA, Anwari, P, Ärnlöv, J, Artaman, A, Asayesh, H, Asghar, RJ, Assadi, R, Atique, S, Atkins, LS, Avokpaho, EF, Awasthi, A, Quintanilla, BP, Bacha, U, Badawi, A, Barac, A, Bärnighausen, T, Basu, A, Bayou, TA, Bayou, YT, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Beardsley, J, Bedi, N, Bennett, DA, Bensenor, IM, Betsu, BD, Beyene, AS, Bhatia, E, Bhutta, ZA, Biadgilign, S, Bikbov, B, Birlik, SM, Bisanzio, D, Brainin, M, Brazinova, A, Breitborde, NJ, Brown, A, Burch, M, Butt, ZA, Campuzano, JC, Cárdenas, R, Carrero, JJ, Castañeda-Orjuela, CA, Rivas, JC, Catalá-López, F, Chang, HY, Chang, JC, Chavan, L, Chen, W, Chiang, PP, Chibalabala, M, Chisumpa, VH, Choi, JY, Christopher, DJ, Ciobanu, LG, Cooper, C, Dahiru, T, Damtew, SA, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Das Neves, J, De Jager, P, De Leo, D, Degenhardt, L, Dellavalle, RP, Deribe, K, Deribew, A, Des Jarlais, DC, Dharmaratne, SD, Ding, EL, Doshi, PP, Driscoll, TR, Dubey, M, Elshrek, YM, Elyazar, I, Endries, AY, Ermakov, SP, Eshrati, B, Esteghamati, A, Faghmous, ID, Farinha, CS, Faro, A, Farvid, MS, Farzadfar, F, Fereshtehnejad, SM, Fernandes, JC, Fischer, F, Fitchett, JR, Foigt, N, Fullman, N, Fürst, T, Gankpé, FG, Gebre, T, Gebremedhin, AT, Gebru, AA, Geleijnse, JM, Gessner, BD, Gething, PW, Ghiwot, TT, Giroud, M, Gishu, MD, Glaser, E, Goenka, S, Goodridge, A, Gopalani, SV, Goto, A, Gugnani, HC, Guimaraes, MD, Gupta, R, Gupta, V, Haagsma, J, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Hagan, H, Hailu, GB, Hamadeh, RR, Hamidi, S, Hammami, M, Hankey, GJ, Hao, Y, Harb, HL, Harikrishnan, S, Haro, JM, Harun, KM, Havmoeller, R, Hedayati, MT, Heredia-Pi, IB, Hoek, HW, Horino, M, Horita, N, Hosgood, HD, Hoy, DG, Hsairi, M, Hu, G, Huang, H, Huang, JJ, Iburg, KM, Idrisov, BT, Innos, K, Iyer, VJ, Jacobsen, KH, Jahanmehr, N, Jakovljevic, MB, Javanbakht, M, Jayatilleke, AU, Jeemon, P, Jha, V, Jiang, G, Jiang, Y, Jibat, T, Jonas, JB, Kabir, Z, Kamal, R, Kan, H, Karch, A, Karema, CK, Karletsos, D, Kasaeian, A, Kaul, A, Kawakami, N, Kayibanda, JF, Keiyoro, PN, Kemp, AH, Kengne, AP, Kesavachandran, CN, Khader, YS, Khalil, I, Khan, AR, Khan, EA, Khang, YH, Khubchandani, J, Kim, YJ, Kinfu, Y, Kivipelto, M, Kokubo, Y, Kosen, S, Koul, PA, Koyanagi, A, Defo, BK, Bicer, BK, Kulkarni, VS, Kumar, GA, Lal, DK, Lam, H, Lam, JO, Langan, SM, Lansingh, VC, Larsson, A, Leigh, J, Leung, R, Li, Y, Lim, SS, Lipshultz, SE, Liu, S, Lloyd, BK, Logroscino, G, Lotufo, PA, Lunevicius, R, Razek, HM, Mahdavi, M, Majdan, M, Majeed, A, Makhlouf, C, Malekzadeh, R, Mapoma, CC, Marcenes, W, Martinez-Raga, J, Marzan, MB, Masiye, F, Mason-Jones, AJ, Mayosi, BM, McKee, M, Meaney, PA, Mehndiratta, MM, Mekonnen, AB, Melaku, YA, Memiah, P, Memish, ZA, Mendoza, W, Meretoja, A, Meretoja, TJ, Mhimbira, FA, Miller, TR, Mikesell, J, Mirarefin, M, Mohammad, KA, Mohammed, S, Mokdad, AH, Monasta, L, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Mori, R, Mueller, UO, Murimira, B, Murthy, GV, Naheed, A, Naldi, L, Nangia, V, Nash, D, Nawaz, H, Nejjari, C, Ngalesoni, FN, De Dieu Ngirabega, J, Nguyen, QL, Nisar, MI, Norheim, OF, Norman, RE, Nyakarahuka, L, Ogbo, FA, Oh, IH, Ojelabi, FA, Olusanya, BO, Olusanya, JO, Opio, JN, Oren, E, Ota, E, Padukudru, MA, Park, HY, Park, JH, Patil, ST, Patten, SB, Paul, VK, Pearson, K, Peprah, EK, Pereira, CC, Perico, N, Pesudovs, K, Petzold, M, Phillips, MR, Pillay, JD, Plass, D, Polinder, S, Pourmalek, F, Prokop, DM, Qorbani, M, Rafay, A, Rahimi, K, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rahman, M, Rahman, MH, Rahman, SU, Rai, RK, Rajsic, S, Ram, U, Rana, SM, Rao, PV, Remuzzi, G, Rojas-Rueda, D, Ronfani, L, Roshandel, G, Roy, A, Ruhago, GM, Saeedi, MY, Sagar, R, Saleh, MM, Sanabria, JR, Santos, IS, Sarmiento-Suarez, R, Sartorius, B, Sawhney, M, Schutte, AE, Schwebel, DC, Seedat, S, Sepanlou, SG, Servan-Mori, EE, Shaikh, MA, Sharma, R, She, J, Sheikhbahaei, S, Shen, J, Shibuya, K, Shin, HH, Sigfusdottir, ID, Silpakit, N, Silva, DA, Silveira, DG, Simard, EP, Sindi, S, Singh, JA, Singh, OP, Singh, PK, Skirbekk, V, Sliwa, K, Soneji, S, Sorensen, RJ, Soriano, JB, Soti, DO, Sreeramareddy, CT, Stathopoulou, V, Steel, N, Sunguya, BF, Swaminathan, S, Sykes, BL, Tabarés-Seisdedos, R, Talongwa, RT, Tavakkoli, M, Taye, B, Tedla, BA, Tekle, T, Shifa, GT, Temesgen, AM, Terkawi, AS, Tesfay, FH, Tessema, GA, Thapa, K, Thomson, AJ, Thorne-Lyman, AL, Tobe-Gai, R, Topor-Madry, R, Towbin, JA, Tran, BX, Dimbuene, ZT, Tsilimparis, N, Tura, AK, Ukwaja, KN, Uneke, CJ, Uthman, OA, Venketasubramanian, N, Vladimirov, SK, Vlassov, VV, Vollset, SE, Wang, L, Weiderpass, E, Weintraub, RG, Werdecker, A, Westerman, R, Wijeratne, T, Wilkinson, JD, Wiysonge, CS, Wolfe, CD, Won, S, Wong, JQ, Xu, G, Yadav, AK, Yakob, B, Yalew, AZ, Yano, Y, Yaseri, M, Yebyo, HG, Yip, P, Yonemoto, N, Yoon, SJ, Younis, MZ, Yu, C, Yu, S, Zaidi, Z, Zaki, MELS, Zeeb, H, Zhang, H, Zhao, Y, Zodpey, S, Zoeckler, L, Zuhlke, LJ, Lopez, AD, and Murray, CJ
- Subjects
GBD 2015 HIV Collaborators - Abstract
BACKGROUND: Timely assessment of the burden of HIV/AIDS is essential for policy setting and programme evaluation. In this report from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 (GBD 2015), we provide national estimates of levels and trends of HIV/AIDS incidence, prevalence, coverage of antiretroviral therapy (ART), and mortality for 195 countries and territories from 1980 to 2015. METHODS: For countries without high-quality vital registration data, we estimated prevalence and incidence with data from antenatal care clinics and population-based seroprevalence surveys, and with assumptions by age and sex on initial CD4 distribution at infection, CD4 progression rates (probability of progression from higher to lower CD4 cell-count category), on and off antiretroviral therapy (ART) mortality, and mortality from all other causes. Our estimation strategy links the GBD 2015 assessment of all-cause mortality and estimation of incidence and prevalence so that for each draw from the uncertainty distribution all assumptions used in each step are internally consistent. We estimated incidence, prevalence, and death with GBD versions of the Estimation and Projection Package (EPP) and Spectrum software originally developed by the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS). We used an open-source version of EPP and recoded Spectrum for speed, and used updated assumptions from systematic reviews of the literature and GBD demographic data. For countries with high-quality vital registration data, we developed the cohort incidence bias adjustment model to estimate HIV incidence and prevalence largely from the number of deaths caused by HIV recorded in cause-of-death statistics. We corrected these statistics for garbage coding and HIV misclassification. FINDINGS: Global HIV incidence reached its peak in 1997, at 3·3 million new infections (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 3·1-3·4 million). Annual incidence has stayed relatively constant at about 2·6 million per year (range 2·5-2·8 million) since 2005, after a period of fast decline between 1997 and 2005. The number of people living with HIV/AIDS has been steadily increasing and reached 38·8 million (95% UI 37·6-40·4 million) in 2015. At the same time, HIV/AIDS mortality has been declining at a steady pace, from a peak of 1·8 million deaths (95% UI 1·7-1·9 million) in 2005, to 1·2 million deaths (1·1-1·3 million) in 2015. We recorded substantial heterogeneity in the levels and trends of HIV/AIDS across countries. Although many countries have experienced decreases in HIV/AIDS mortality and in annual new infections, other countries have had slowdowns or increases in rates of change in annual new infections. INTERPRETATION: Scale-up of ART and prevention of mother-to-child transmission has been one of the great successes of global health in the past two decades. However, in the past decade, progress in reducing new infections has been slow, development assistance for health devoted to HIV has stagnated, and resources for health in low-income countries have grown slowly. Achievement of the new ambitious goals for HIV enshrined in Sustainable Development Goal 3 and the 90-90-90 UNAIDS targets will be challenging, and will need continued efforts from governments and international agencies in the next 15 years to end AIDS by 2030. Funding: We thank the countless individuals who have contributed to the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2015 in various capacities. We specifically thank Jeffrey Eaton and John Stover. HW and CJLM received funding for this study from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; the National Institute of Mental Health, National Institutes of Health (NIH; R01MH110163); and the National Institute on Aging, NIH (P30AG047845). LJAR acknowledges the support of Qatar National Research Fund (NPRP 04-924-3-251) who provided the main funding for generating the data provided to the GBD-Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation effort. BPAQ acknowledges institutional support from PRONABEC (National Program of Scholarship and Educational Loan), provided by the Peruvian government. DB is supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (grant number OPP1068048). JDN was supported in his contribution to this work by a Fellowship from Fundacao para a Ciencia e a Tecnologia, Portugal (SFRH/BPD/92934/2013). KD is supported by a Wellcome Trust Fellowship in Public Health and Tropical Medicine (grant number 099876). TF received financial support from the Swiss National Science Foundation (SNSF; project number P300P3-154634). AG acknowledges funding from Sistema Nacional de Investigadores de Panama-SNI. PJ is supported by Wellcome Trust-DBT India Alliance Clinical and Public Health Intermediate Fellowship. MK receives research support from the Academy of Finland, the Swedish Research Council, Alzheimerfonden, Alzheimer's Research & Prevention Foundation, Center for Innovative Medicine (CIMED) at Karolinska Institutet South Campus, AXA Research Fund, Wallenberg Clinical Scholars Award from the Knut och Alice Wallenbergs Foundation, and the Sheika Salama Bint Hamdan Al Nahyan Foundation. AK's work was supported by the Miguel Servet contract financed by the CP13/00150 and PI15/00862 projects, integrated into the National R&D&I and funded by the ISCIII (General Branch Evaluation and Promotion of Health Research), and the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF-FEDER). SML is funded by a National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Clinician Scientist Fellowship (grant number NIHR/CS/010/014). HJL reports grants from the NIHR, EU Innovative Medicines Initiative, Centre for Strategic & International Studies, and WHO. WM is Program analyst, Population and Development, in the Peru Country Office of the United Nations Population Fund, which does not necessarily endorse this study. For UOM, funding from the German National Cohort Consortium (O1ER1511D) is gratefully acknowledged. KR reports grants from NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, NIHR Career Development Fellowship, and Oxford Martin School during the conduct of the study. GR acknowledges that work related to this paper has been done on the behalf of the GBD Genitourinary Disease Expert Group supported by the International Society of Nephrology (ISN). ISS reports grants from FAPESP (Brazilian public agency). RSS receives institutional support from Universidad de Ciencias Aplicadas y Ambientales, UDCA, Bogota Colombia. SS receives postdoctoral funding from the Fonds de la recherche en sante du Quebec (FRSQ), including its renewal. RTS was supported in part by grant number PROMETEOII/2015/021 from Generalitat Valenciana and the national grant PI14/00894 from ISCIII-FEDER. PY acknowledges support from Strategic Public Policy Research (HKU7003-SPPR-12).
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- 2016
7. Global and National Burden of Diseases and Injuries Among Children and Adolescents Between 1990 and 2013 Findings From the Global Burden of Disease 2013 Study
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Kyu, HH, Pinho, C, Wagner, JA, Brown, JC, Bertozzi-Villa, A, Charlson, FJ, Coffeng, LE, Dandona, L, Erskine, HE, Ferrari, AJ, Fitzmaurice, C, Fleming, TD, Forouzanfar, MH, Graetz, N, Guinovart, C, Haagsma, J, Higashi, H, Kassebaum, NJ, Larson, HJ, Lim, SS, Mokdad, AH, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Odell, SV, Roth, GA, Serina, PT, Stanaway, JD, Misganaw, A, Whiteford, HA, Wolock, TM, Hanson, SW, Abd-Allah, F, Abera, SF, Abu-Raddad, LJ, AlBuhairan, FS, Amare, AT, Antonio, CAT, Artaman, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Barrero, LH, Benjet, C, Bensenor, IM, Bhutta, ZA, Bikbov, B, Brazinova, A, Campos-Nonato, I, Castaneda-Orjuela, CA, Catala-Lopez, F, Chowdhury, R, Cooper, C, Crump, JA, Dandona, R, Degenhardt, L, Dellavalle, RP, Dharmaratne, SD, Faraon, EJA, Feigin, VL, Fuerst, T, Geleijnse, JM, Gessner, BD, Gibney, KB, Goto, A, Gunnell, D, Hankey, GJ, Hay, RJ, Hornberger, JC, Hosgood, HD, Hu, G, Jacobsen, KH, Jayaraman, SP, Jeemon, P, Jonas, JB, Karch, A, Kim, D, Kim, S, Kokubo, Y, Defo, BK, Bicer, BK, Kumar, GA, Larsson, A, Leasher, JL, Leung, R, Li, Y, Lipshultz, SE, Lopez, AD, Lotufo, PA, Lunevicius, R, Lyons, RA, Majdan, M, Malekzadeh, R, Mashal, T, Mason-Jones, AJ, Melaku, YA, Memish, ZA, Mendoza, W, Miller, TR, Mock, CN, Murray, J, Nolte, S, Oh, I-H, Olusanya, BO, Ortblad, KF, Park, E-K, Paternina Caicedo, AJ, Patten, SB, Patton, GC, Pereira, DM, Perico, N, Piel, FB, Polinder, S, Popova, S, Pourmalek, F, Quistberg, DA, Remuzzi, G, Rodriguez, A, Rojas-Rueda, D, Rothenbacher, D, Rothstein, DH, Sanabria, J, Santos, IS, Schwebel, DC, Sepanlou, SG, Shaheen, A, Shiri, R, Shiue, I, Skirbekk, V, Sliwa, K, Sreeramareddy, CT, Stein, DJ, Steiner, TJ, Stovner, LJ, Sykes, BL, Tabb, KM, Terkawi, AS, Thomson, AJ, Thorne-Lyman, AL, Towbin, JA, Ukwaja, KN, Vasankari, T, Venketasubramanian, N, Vlassov, VV, Vollset, SE, Weiderpass, E, Weintraub, RG, Werdecker, A, Wilkinson, JD, Woldeyohannes, SM, Wolfe, CDA, Yano, Y, Yip, P, Yonemoto, N, Yoon, S-J, Younis, MZ, Yu, C, Zaki, MES, Naghavi, M, Murray, CJL, Vos, T, Kyu, HH, Pinho, C, Wagner, JA, Brown, JC, Bertozzi-Villa, A, Charlson, FJ, Coffeng, LE, Dandona, L, Erskine, HE, Ferrari, AJ, Fitzmaurice, C, Fleming, TD, Forouzanfar, MH, Graetz, N, Guinovart, C, Haagsma, J, Higashi, H, Kassebaum, NJ, Larson, HJ, Lim, SS, Mokdad, AH, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Odell, SV, Roth, GA, Serina, PT, Stanaway, JD, Misganaw, A, Whiteford, HA, Wolock, TM, Hanson, SW, Abd-Allah, F, Abera, SF, Abu-Raddad, LJ, AlBuhairan, FS, Amare, AT, Antonio, CAT, Artaman, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Barrero, LH, Benjet, C, Bensenor, IM, Bhutta, ZA, Bikbov, B, Brazinova, A, Campos-Nonato, I, Castaneda-Orjuela, CA, Catala-Lopez, F, Chowdhury, R, Cooper, C, Crump, JA, Dandona, R, Degenhardt, L, Dellavalle, RP, Dharmaratne, SD, Faraon, EJA, Feigin, VL, Fuerst, T, Geleijnse, JM, Gessner, BD, Gibney, KB, Goto, A, Gunnell, D, Hankey, GJ, Hay, RJ, Hornberger, JC, Hosgood, HD, Hu, G, Jacobsen, KH, Jayaraman, SP, Jeemon, P, Jonas, JB, Karch, A, Kim, D, Kim, S, Kokubo, Y, Defo, BK, Bicer, BK, Kumar, GA, Larsson, A, Leasher, JL, Leung, R, Li, Y, Lipshultz, SE, Lopez, AD, Lotufo, PA, Lunevicius, R, Lyons, RA, Majdan, M, Malekzadeh, R, Mashal, T, Mason-Jones, AJ, Melaku, YA, Memish, ZA, Mendoza, W, Miller, TR, Mock, CN, Murray, J, Nolte, S, Oh, I-H, Olusanya, BO, Ortblad, KF, Park, E-K, Paternina Caicedo, AJ, Patten, SB, Patton, GC, Pereira, DM, Perico, N, Piel, FB, Polinder, S, Popova, S, Pourmalek, F, Quistberg, DA, Remuzzi, G, Rodriguez, A, Rojas-Rueda, D, Rothenbacher, D, Rothstein, DH, Sanabria, J, Santos, IS, Schwebel, DC, Sepanlou, SG, Shaheen, A, Shiri, R, Shiue, I, Skirbekk, V, Sliwa, K, Sreeramareddy, CT, Stein, DJ, Steiner, TJ, Stovner, LJ, Sykes, BL, Tabb, KM, Terkawi, AS, Thomson, AJ, Thorne-Lyman, AL, Towbin, JA, Ukwaja, KN, Vasankari, T, Venketasubramanian, N, Vlassov, VV, Vollset, SE, Weiderpass, E, Weintraub, RG, Werdecker, A, Wilkinson, JD, Woldeyohannes, SM, Wolfe, CDA, Yano, Y, Yip, P, Yonemoto, N, Yoon, S-J, Younis, MZ, Yu, C, Zaki, MES, Naghavi, M, Murray, CJL, and Vos, T
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IMPORTANCE: The literature focuses on mortality among children younger than 5 years. Comparable information on nonfatal health outcomes among these children and the fatal and nonfatal burden of diseases and injuries among older children and adolescents is scarce. OBJECTIVE: To determine levels and trends in the fatal and nonfatal burden of diseases and injuries among younger children (aged <5 years), older children (aged 5-9 years), and adolescents (aged 10-19 years) between 1990 and 2013 in 188 countries from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2013 study. EVIDENCE REVIEW: Data from vital registration, verbal autopsy studies, maternal and child death surveillance, and other sources covering 14,244 site-years (ie, years of cause of death data by geography) from 1980 through 2013 were used to estimate cause-specific mortality. Data from 35,620 epidemiological sources were used to estimate the prevalence of the diseases and sequelae in the GBD 2013 study. Cause-specific mortality for most causes was estimated using the Cause of Death Ensemble Model strategy. For some infectious diseases (eg, HIV infection/AIDS, measles, hepatitis B) where the disease process is complex or the cause of death data were insufficient or unavailable, we used natural history models. For most nonfatal health outcomes, DisMod-MR 2.0, a Bayesian metaregression tool, was used to meta-analyze the epidemiological data to generate prevalence estimates. FINDINGS: Of the 7.7 (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 7.4-8.1) million deaths among children and adolescents globally in 2013, 6.28 million occurred among younger children, 0.48 million among older children, and 0.97 million among adolescents. In 2013, the leading causes of death were lower respiratory tract infections among younger children (905.059 deaths; 95% UI, 810,304-998,125), diarrheal diseases among older children (38,325 deaths; 95% UI, 30,365-47,678), and road injuries among adolescents (115,186 deaths; 95% UI, 105,185-124,870). Iron defici
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- 2016
8. Estimates of global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980-2015: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
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Wang, H, Wolock, TM, Carter, A, Nguyen, G, Kyu, HH, Gakidou, E, Hay, SI, Mills, EJ, Trickey, A, Msemburi, W, Coates, MM, Mooney, MD, Fraser, MS, Sligar, A, Salomon, J, Larson, HJ, Friedman, J, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbas, KM, Abd El Razek, MM, Abd-Allah, F, Abdulle, AM, Abera, SF, Abubakar, I, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Abyu, GY, Adebiyi, AO, Adedeji, IA, Adelekan, AL, Adofo, K, Adou, AK, Ajala, ON, Akinyemiju, TF, Akseer, N, Al Lami, FH, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, NKM, Alasfoor, D, Aldhahri, SFS, Aldridge, RW, Alegretti, MA, Aleman, AV, Alemu, ZA, Alfonso-Cristancho, R, Ali, R, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Al-Raddadi, RMS, Alsharif, U, Alvarez, E, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Amberbir, A, Amegah, AK, Ammar, W, Amrock, SM, Antonio, CAT, Anwari, P, Arnlov, J, Al, A, Asayesh, H, Asghar, RJ, Assadi, R, Atique, S, Atkins, LS, Avokpaho, EFGA, Awasthi, A, Quintanilla, BPA, Bacha, U, Badawi, A, Barac, A, Barnighausen, T, Basu, A, Bayou, TA, Bayou, YT, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Beardsley, J, Bedi, N, Bennett, DA, Bensenor, IM, Betsu, BD, Beyene, AS, Bhatia, E, Bhutta, ZA, Biadgilign, S, Bikbov, B, Birlik, SM, Bisanzio, D, Brainin, M, Brazinova, A, Breitborde, NJK, Brown, A, Burch, M, Butt, ZA, Campuzano, JC, Cardenas, R, Carrero, JJ, Castaneda-Orjuela, CA, Rivas, JC, Catala-Lopez, F, Chang, H-Y, Chang, J-C, Chavan, L, Chen, W, Chiang, PP-C, Chibalabala, M, Chisumpa, VH, Choi, J-YJ, Christopher, DJ, Ciobanu, LG, Cooper, C, Dahiru, T, Damtew, SA, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, das Neves, J, de Jager, P, De Leo, D, Degenhardt, L, Dellavalle, RP, Deribe, K, Deribew, A, Jarlais, DCD, Dharmaratne, SD, Ding, EL, Doshi, PP, Driscoll, TR, Dubey, M, Elshrek, YM, Elyazar, I, Endries, AY, Ermakov, SP, Eshrati, B, Esteghamati, A, Faghmous, IDA, Sofia e Sa Farinha, C, Faro, A, Farvid, MS, Farzadfar, F, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fernandes, JC, Fischer, F, Fitchett, JRA, Foigt, N, Fullman, N, Furst, T, Gankpe, FG, Gebre, T, Gebremedhin, AT, Gebru, AA, Geleijnse, JM, Gessner, BD, Gething, PW, Ghiwot, TT, Giroud, M, Gishu, MD, Glaser, E, Goenka, S, Goodridge, A, Gopalani, SV, Goto, A, Gugnani, HC, Guimaraes, MDC, Gupta, R, Gupta, V, Haagsma, J, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Hagan, H, Hailu, GB, Hamadeh, RR, Hamidi, S, Hammami, M, Hankey, GJ, Hao, Y, Harb, HL, Harikrishnan, S, Haro, JM, Harun, KM, Havmoeller, R, Hedayati, MT, Heredia-Pi, IB, Hoek, HW, Horino, M, Horita, N, Hosgood, HD, Hoy, DG, Hsairi, M, Hu, G, Huang, H, Huang, JJ, Iburg, KM, Idrisov, BT, Innos, K, Iyer, VJ, Jacobsen, KH, Jahanmehr, N, Jakovljevic, MB, Javanbakht, M, Jayatilleke, AU, Jeemon, P, Jha, V, Jiang, G, Jiang, Y, Jibat, T, Jonas, JB, Kabir, Z, Kamal, R, Kan, H, Karch, A, Karema, CK, Karletsos, D, Kasaeian, A, Kaul, A, Kawakami, N, Kayibanda, JF, Keiyoro, PN, Kemp, AH, Kengne, AP, Kesavachandran, CN, Khader, YS, Khalil, I, Khan, AR, Khan, EA, Khang, Y-H, Khubchandani, J, Kim, YJ, Kinfu, Y, Kivipelto, M, Kokubo, Y, Kosen, S, Koul, PA, Koyanagi, A, Defo, BK, Bicer, BK, Kulkarni, VS, Kumar, GA, Lal, DK, Lam, H, Lam, JO, Langan, SM, Lansingh, VC, Larsson, A, Leigh, J, Leung, R, Li, Y, Lim, SS, Lipshultz, SE, Liu, S, Lloyd, BK, Logroscino, G, Lotufo, PA, Lunevicius, R, Abd El Razek, HM, Mahdavi, M, Majdan, M, Majeed, A, Makhlouf, C, Malekzadeh, R, Mapoma, CC, Marcenes, W, Martinez-Raga, J, Marzan, MB, Masiye, F, Mason-Jones, AJ, Mayosi, BM, Mckee, M, Meaney, PA, Mehndiratta, MM, Mekonnen, AB, Melaku, YA, Memiah, P, Memish, ZA, Mendoza, W, Meretoja, A, Meretoja, TJ, Mhimbira, FA, Miller, TR, Mikesell, J, Mirarefin, M, Mohammad, KA, Mohammed, S, Mokdad, AH, Monasta, L, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Mori, R, Mueller, UO, Murimira, B, Murthy, GVS, Naheed, A, Naldi, L, Nangia, V, Nash, D, Nawaz, H, Nejjari, C, Ngalesoni, FN, Ngirabega, JDD, Quyen, LN, Nisar, MI, Norheim, OF, Norman, RE, Nyakarahuka, L, Ogbo, FA, Oh, I-H, Ojelabi, FA, Olusanya, BO, Olusanya, JO, Opio, JN, Oren, E, Ota, E, Padukudru, MA, Park, H-Y, Park, J-H, Patil, ST, Patten, SB, Paul, VK, Pearson, K, Peprah, EK, Pereira, DM, Perico, N, Pesudovs, K, Petzold, M, Phillips, MR, Pillay, JD, Plass, D, Polinder, S, Pourmalek, F, Prokop, DM, Qorbani, M, Rafay, A, Rahimi, K, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rahman, M, Rahman, MHU, Rahman, SU, Rai, RK, Rajsic, S, Ram, U, Rana, SM, Rao, PV, Remuzzi, G, Rojas-Rueda, D, Ronfani, L, Roshandel, G, Roy, A, Ruhago, GM, Saeedi, MY, Sagar, R, Saleh, MM, Sanabria, JR, Santos, IS, Sarmiento-Suarez, R, Sartorius, B, Sawhney, M, Schutte, AE, Schwebel, DC, Seedat, S, Sepanlou, SG, Servan-Mori, EE, Shaikh, MA, Sharma, R, She, J, Sheikhbahaei, S, Shen, J, Shibuya, K, Shin, HH, Sigfusdottir, ID, Silpakit, N, Santos Silva, DA, Alves Silveira, DG, Simard, EP, Sindi, S, Singh, JA, Singh, OP, Singh, PK, Skirbekk, V, Sliwa, K, Soneji, S, Sorensen, RJD, Soriano, JB, Soti, DO, Sreeramareddy, CT, Stathopoulou, V, Steel, N, Sunguya, BF, Swaminathan, S, Sykes, BL, Tabares-Seisdedos, R, Talongwa, RT, Tavakkoli, M, Taye, B, Tedla, BA, Tekle, T, Shifa, GT, Temesgen, AM, Terkawi, AS, Tesfay, FH, Tessema, GA, Thapa, K, Thomson, AJ, Thorne-Lyman, AL, Tobe-Gai, R, Topor-Madry, R, Towbin, JA, Bach, XT, Dimbuene, ZT, Tsilimparis, N, Tura, AK, Ukwaja, KN, Uneke, CJ, Uthman, OA, Venketasubramanian, N, Vladimirov, SK, Vlassov, VV, Vollset, SE, Wang, L, Weiderpass, E, Weintraub, RG, Werdecker, A, Westerman, R, Wijeratne, T, Wilkinson, JD, Wiysonge, CS, Wolfe, CDA, Won, S, Wong, JQ, Xu, G, Yadav, AK, Yakob, B, Yalew, AZ, Yano, Y, Yaseri, M, Yebyo, HG, Yip, P, Yonemoto, N, Yoon, S-J, Younis, MZ, Yu, C, Yu, S, Zaidi, Z, Zaki, MES, Zeeb, H, Zhang, H, Zhao, Y, Zodpey, S, Zoeckler, L, Zuhlke, LJ, Lopez, AD, Murray, CJL, Wang, H, Wolock, TM, Carter, A, Nguyen, G, Kyu, HH, Gakidou, E, Hay, SI, Mills, EJ, Trickey, A, Msemburi, W, Coates, MM, Mooney, MD, Fraser, MS, Sligar, A, Salomon, J, Larson, HJ, Friedman, J, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbas, KM, Abd El Razek, MM, Abd-Allah, F, Abdulle, AM, Abera, SF, Abubakar, I, Abu-Raddad, LJ, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Abyu, GY, Adebiyi, AO, Adedeji, IA, Adelekan, AL, Adofo, K, Adou, AK, Ajala, ON, Akinyemiju, TF, Akseer, N, Al Lami, FH, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, NKM, Alasfoor, D, Aldhahri, SFS, Aldridge, RW, Alegretti, MA, Aleman, AV, Alemu, ZA, Alfonso-Cristancho, R, Ali, R, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Al-Raddadi, RMS, Alsharif, U, Alvarez, E, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Amberbir, A, Amegah, AK, Ammar, W, Amrock, SM, Antonio, CAT, Anwari, P, Arnlov, J, Al, A, Asayesh, H, Asghar, RJ, Assadi, R, Atique, S, Atkins, LS, Avokpaho, EFGA, Awasthi, A, Quintanilla, BPA, Bacha, U, Badawi, A, Barac, A, Barnighausen, T, Basu, A, Bayou, TA, Bayou, YT, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Beardsley, J, Bedi, N, Bennett, DA, Bensenor, IM, Betsu, BD, Beyene, AS, Bhatia, E, Bhutta, ZA, Biadgilign, S, Bikbov, B, Birlik, SM, Bisanzio, D, Brainin, M, Brazinova, A, Breitborde, NJK, Brown, A, Burch, M, Butt, ZA, Campuzano, JC, Cardenas, R, Carrero, JJ, Castaneda-Orjuela, CA, Rivas, JC, Catala-Lopez, F, Chang, H-Y, Chang, J-C, Chavan, L, Chen, W, Chiang, PP-C, Chibalabala, M, Chisumpa, VH, Choi, J-YJ, Christopher, DJ, Ciobanu, LG, Cooper, C, Dahiru, T, Damtew, SA, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, das Neves, J, de Jager, P, De Leo, D, Degenhardt, L, Dellavalle, RP, Deribe, K, Deribew, A, Jarlais, DCD, Dharmaratne, SD, Ding, EL, Doshi, PP, Driscoll, TR, Dubey, M, Elshrek, YM, Elyazar, I, Endries, AY, Ermakov, SP, Eshrati, B, Esteghamati, A, Faghmous, IDA, Sofia e Sa Farinha, C, Faro, A, Farvid, MS, Farzadfar, F, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fernandes, JC, Fischer, F, Fitchett, JRA, Foigt, N, Fullman, N, Furst, T, Gankpe, FG, Gebre, T, Gebremedhin, AT, Gebru, AA, Geleijnse, JM, Gessner, BD, Gething, PW, Ghiwot, TT, Giroud, M, Gishu, MD, Glaser, E, Goenka, S, Goodridge, A, Gopalani, SV, Goto, A, Gugnani, HC, Guimaraes, MDC, Gupta, R, Gupta, V, Haagsma, J, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Hagan, H, Hailu, GB, Hamadeh, RR, Hamidi, S, Hammami, M, Hankey, GJ, Hao, Y, Harb, HL, Harikrishnan, S, Haro, JM, Harun, KM, Havmoeller, R, Hedayati, MT, Heredia-Pi, IB, Hoek, HW, Horino, M, Horita, N, Hosgood, HD, Hoy, DG, Hsairi, M, Hu, G, Huang, H, Huang, JJ, Iburg, KM, Idrisov, BT, Innos, K, Iyer, VJ, Jacobsen, KH, Jahanmehr, N, Jakovljevic, MB, Javanbakht, M, Jayatilleke, AU, Jeemon, P, Jha, V, Jiang, G, Jiang, Y, Jibat, T, Jonas, JB, Kabir, Z, Kamal, R, Kan, H, Karch, A, Karema, CK, Karletsos, D, Kasaeian, A, Kaul, A, Kawakami, N, Kayibanda, JF, Keiyoro, PN, Kemp, AH, Kengne, AP, Kesavachandran, CN, Khader, YS, Khalil, I, Khan, AR, Khan, EA, Khang, Y-H, Khubchandani, J, Kim, YJ, Kinfu, Y, Kivipelto, M, Kokubo, Y, Kosen, S, Koul, PA, Koyanagi, A, Defo, BK, Bicer, BK, Kulkarni, VS, Kumar, GA, Lal, DK, Lam, H, Lam, JO, Langan, SM, Lansingh, VC, Larsson, A, Leigh, J, Leung, R, Li, Y, Lim, SS, Lipshultz, SE, Liu, S, Lloyd, BK, Logroscino, G, Lotufo, PA, Lunevicius, R, Abd El Razek, HM, Mahdavi, M, Majdan, M, Majeed, A, Makhlouf, C, Malekzadeh, R, Mapoma, CC, Marcenes, W, Martinez-Raga, J, Marzan, MB, Masiye, F, Mason-Jones, AJ, Mayosi, BM, Mckee, M, Meaney, PA, Mehndiratta, MM, Mekonnen, AB, Melaku, YA, Memiah, P, Memish, ZA, Mendoza, W, Meretoja, A, Meretoja, TJ, Mhimbira, FA, Miller, TR, Mikesell, J, Mirarefin, M, Mohammad, KA, Mohammed, S, Mokdad, AH, Monasta, L, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Mori, R, Mueller, UO, Murimira, B, Murthy, GVS, Naheed, A, Naldi, L, Nangia, V, Nash, D, Nawaz, H, Nejjari, C, Ngalesoni, FN, Ngirabega, JDD, Quyen, LN, Nisar, MI, Norheim, OF, Norman, RE, Nyakarahuka, L, Ogbo, FA, Oh, I-H, Ojelabi, FA, Olusanya, BO, Olusanya, JO, Opio, JN, Oren, E, Ota, E, Padukudru, MA, Park, H-Y, Park, J-H, Patil, ST, Patten, SB, Paul, VK, Pearson, K, Peprah, EK, Pereira, DM, Perico, N, Pesudovs, K, Petzold, M, Phillips, MR, Pillay, JD, Plass, D, Polinder, S, Pourmalek, F, Prokop, DM, Qorbani, M, Rafay, A, Rahimi, K, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rahman, M, Rahman, MHU, Rahman, SU, Rai, RK, Rajsic, S, Ram, U, Rana, SM, Rao, PV, Remuzzi, G, Rojas-Rueda, D, Ronfani, L, Roshandel, G, Roy, A, Ruhago, GM, Saeedi, MY, Sagar, R, Saleh, MM, Sanabria, JR, Santos, IS, Sarmiento-Suarez, R, Sartorius, B, Sawhney, M, Schutte, AE, Schwebel, DC, Seedat, S, Sepanlou, SG, Servan-Mori, EE, Shaikh, MA, Sharma, R, She, J, Sheikhbahaei, S, Shen, J, Shibuya, K, Shin, HH, Sigfusdottir, ID, Silpakit, N, Santos Silva, DA, Alves Silveira, DG, Simard, EP, Sindi, S, Singh, JA, Singh, OP, Singh, PK, Skirbekk, V, Sliwa, K, Soneji, S, Sorensen, RJD, Soriano, JB, Soti, DO, Sreeramareddy, CT, Stathopoulou, V, Steel, N, Sunguya, BF, Swaminathan, S, Sykes, BL, Tabares-Seisdedos, R, Talongwa, RT, Tavakkoli, M, Taye, B, Tedla, BA, Tekle, T, Shifa, GT, Temesgen, AM, Terkawi, AS, Tesfay, FH, Tessema, GA, Thapa, K, Thomson, AJ, Thorne-Lyman, AL, Tobe-Gai, R, Topor-Madry, R, Towbin, JA, Bach, XT, Dimbuene, ZT, Tsilimparis, N, Tura, AK, Ukwaja, KN, Uneke, CJ, Uthman, OA, Venketasubramanian, N, Vladimirov, SK, Vlassov, VV, Vollset, SE, Wang, L, Weiderpass, E, Weintraub, RG, Werdecker, A, Westerman, R, Wijeratne, T, Wilkinson, JD, Wiysonge, CS, Wolfe, CDA, Won, S, Wong, JQ, Xu, G, Yadav, AK, Yakob, B, Yalew, AZ, Yano, Y, Yaseri, M, Yebyo, HG, Yip, P, Yonemoto, N, Yoon, S-J, Younis, MZ, Yu, C, Yu, S, Zaidi, Z, Zaki, MES, Zeeb, H, Zhang, H, Zhao, Y, Zodpey, S, Zoeckler, L, Zuhlke, LJ, Lopez, AD, and Murray, CJL
- Abstract
BACKGROUND: Timely assessment of the burden of HIV/AIDS is essential for policy setting and programme evaluation. In this report from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 (GBD 2015), we provide national estimates of levels and trends of HIV/AIDS incidence, prevalence, coverage of antiretroviral therapy (ART), and mortality for 195 countries and territories from 1980 to 2015. METHODS: For countries without high-quality vital registration data, we estimated prevalence and incidence with data from antenatal care clinics and population-based seroprevalence surveys, and with assumptions by age and sex on initial CD4 distribution at infection, CD4 progression rates (probability of progression from higher to lower CD4 cell-count category), on and off antiretroviral therapy (ART) mortality, and mortality from all other causes. Our estimation strategy links the GBD 2015 assessment of all-cause mortality and estimation of incidence and prevalence so that for each draw from the uncertainty distribution all assumptions used in each step are internally consistent. We estimated incidence, prevalence, and death with GBD versions of the Estimation and Projection Package (EPP) and Spectrum software originally developed by the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS). We used an open-source version of EPP and recoded Spectrum for speed, and used updated assumptions from systematic reviews of the literature and GBD demographic data. For countries with high-quality vital registration data, we developed the cohort incidence bias adjustment model to estimate HIV incidence and prevalence largely from the number of deaths caused by HIV recorded in cause-of-death statistics. We corrected these statistics for garbage coding and HIV misclassification. FINDINGS: Global HIV incidence reached its peak in 1997, at 3·3 million new infections (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 3·1-3·4 million). Annual incidence has stayed relatively constant at about 2·6 million per year (range 2·5-2·8 mi
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- 2016
9. Global, regional, and national levels of maternal mortality, 1990-2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
- Author
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Kassebaum, NJ, Barber, RM, Bhutta, ZA, Dandona, L, Gething, PW, Hay, SI, Kinfu, Y, Larson, HJ, Liang, X, Lim, SS, Lopez, AD, Lozano, R, Mensah, GA, Mokdad, AH, Naghavi, M, Pinho, C, Salomon, JA, Steiner, C, Vos, T, Wang, H, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbas, KM, Abd-Allah, F, Abdallat, MA, Abdulle, AM, Abera, SF, Aboyans, V, Abubakar, I, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Achoki, T, Adebiyi, AO, Adedeji, IA, Adelekan, AL, Adou, AK, Afanvi, KA, Agarwal, A, Kiadaliri, AA, Ajala, ON, Akinyemiju, TF, Akseer, N, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, NKM, Alasfoor, D, Aldhahri, SF, Aldridge, RW, Alhabib, S, Ali, R, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Martin, EA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Amberbir, A, Amegah, AK, Ammar, W, Amrock, SM, Andersen, HH, Anderson, GM, Antoine, RM, Antonio, CAT, Aregay, AF, Arnlov, J, Arora, M, Arsenijevic, VSA, Al, A, Asayesh, H, Atique, S, Avokpaho, EFGA, Awasthi, A, Quintanilla, BPA, Azzopardi, P, Bacha, U, Badawi, A, Bahit, MC, Balakrishnan, K, Banerjee, A, Barac, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Barnighausen, T, Basu, S, Bayou, TA, Bayou, YT, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Beardsley, J, Bedi, NW, Bekele, T, Bell, ML, Bennett, DA, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Bernabe, E, Betsu, BD, Beyene, AS, Biadgilign, S, Bikbov, B, Bin Abdulhak, AA, Biroscak, BJ, Biryukov, S, Bisanzio, D, Bjertness, E, Blore, JD, Brainin, M, Brazinova, A, Breitborde, NJK, Brugha, TS, Butt, ZA, Campos-Nonato, IR, Campuzano, JC, Cardenas, R, Carrero, JJ, Carter, A, Casey, DC, Castaneda-Oquela, CA, Castro, RE, Catala-Lopez, F, Cavalleri, F, Chang, H-Y, Chang, J-C, Chavan, L, Chibueze, CE, Chisumpa, VH, Choi, J-YJ, Chowdhury, R, Christopher, DJ, Ciobanu, LG, Cirillo, M, Coates, MM, Coggeshall, M, Colistro, V, Colquhoun, SM, Cooper, C, Cooper, LT, Cortinovis, M, Dahiru, T, Damasceno, A, Danawi, H, Dandona, R, Das Neves, J, De Leo, D, Dellavalle, RP, Deribe, K, Deribew, A, Jarlais, DCD, Dharmaratne, SD, Dicker, DJ, Ding, EL, Dossou, E, Dubey, M, Ebel, BE, Ellingsen, CL, Elyazar, I, Endries, AY, Ermakov, SP, Eshrati, B, Esteghamati, A, Faraon, EJA, Farid, TA, Farinha, CSES, Faro, A, Farvid, MS, Farzadfar, F, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fernandes, JC, Fischer, F, Fitchett, JRA, Fleming, T, Gt, NF, Franca, EB, Franklin, RC, Fraser, MS, Friedman, J, Pullman, N, Furst, T, Futran, ND, Gambashidze, K, Gamkrelidze, A, Gebre, T, Gebrehiwot, TT, Gebremedhin, AT, Gebremedhin, M, Gebru, AA, Geleijnse, JM, Gibney, KB, Giref, AZ, Giroud, M, Gishu, MD, Glaser, E, Goenka, S, Gomez-Dantes, H, Gona, P, Goodridge, A, Gopalani, SV, Goto, A, Graetz, N, Gugnani, HC, Guo, Y, Gupta, R, Gupta, V, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Hailu, AD, Hailu, GB, Hamadeh, RR, Hamidi, S, Hancock, J, Handal, AJ, Hankey, GJ, Harb, HL, Harikrishnan, S, Harun, KM, Havmoeller, R, Hoek, HW, Horino, M, Horita, N, Hosgood, HD, Hoy, DG, Htet, AS, Hu, G, Huang, H, Huang, JJ, Huybrechts, I, Huynh, C, Iannarone, M, Iburg, KM, Idrisov, BT, Iyer, VJ, Jacobsen, KH, Jahanmehr, N, Jakovljevic, MB, Javanbakht, M, Jayatilleke, AU, Jee, SH, Jeemon, P, Jha, V, Jiang, G, Jiang, Y, Jibat, T, Jonas, JB, Kabir, Z, Kamal, R, Kan, H, Karch, A, Karletsos, D, Kasaeian, A, Kaul, A, Kawakami, N, Kayibanda, JF, Kazanjan, K, Kazi, DS, Keiyoro, PN, Kemmer, L, Kemp, AH, Kengne, AP, Keren, A, Kereselidze, M, Kesavachandran, CN, Khader, YS, Khan, AR, Khan, EA, Khang, Y-H, Khonelidze, I, Khosravi, A, Khubchandani, J, Kim, YJ, Kivipelto, M, Knibbs, LD, Kokubo, Y, Kosen, S, Koul, PA, Koyanagi, A, Krishnaswami, S, Defo, BK, Bicer, BK, Kudom, AA, Kulikoff, XR, Kulkarni, C, Kumar, GA, Kutz, MJ, Lal, DK, Lalloo, R, Lam, H, Lamadrid-Figueroa, H, Lan, Q, Larsson, A, Laryea, DO, Leigh, J, Leung, R, Li, Y, Lipshultz, SE, Liu, PY, Liu, S, Liu, Y, Lloyd, BK, Lotufo, PA, Lunevicius, R, Ma, S, El Razek, HMA, El Razek, MMA, Majdan, M, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Mapoma, CC, Marcenes, W, Margolis, DJ, Marquez, N, Masiye, F, Marzan, MB, Mason-Jones, AJ, Mazorodze, TT, Meaney, PA, Mehari, A, Mehndiratta, MM, Mena-Rodriguez, F, Mekonnen, AB, Melaku, YA, Memish, ZA, Mendoza, W, Meretoja, A, Meretoja, TJ, Mhimbira, FA, Miller, TR, Mills, EJ, Mirarefin, M, Misganaw, A, Ibrahim, NM, Mohammad, KA, Mohammadi, A, Mohammed, S, Mola, GLD, Monasta, L, Monis, JDLC, Hernandez, JCM, Montero, P, Montico, M, Mooney, MD, Moore, AR, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Morawska, L, Mori, R, Mueller, U, Murthy, GVS, Murthy, S, Nachega, JB, Naheed, A, Naldi, L, Nand, D, Nangia, V, Nash, D, Neupane, S, Newton, JN, Ng, M, Ngalesoni, FN, Nguhiu, P, Nguyen, G, Le Nguyen, Q, Nisar, MI, Nomura, M, Norheim, OF, Norman, RE, Nyakarahuka, L, Obermeyer, CM, Ogbo, FA, Oh, I-H, Ojelabi, FA, Olivares, PR, Olusanya, BO, Olusanya, JO, Opio, JN, Oren, E, Ota, E, Oyekale, AS, Pa, M, Pain, A, Papantoniou, N, Park, E-K, Park, H-Y, Caicedo, AJP, Patten, SB, Paul, VK, Pereira, DM, Perico, N, Pesudovs, K, Petzold, M, Phillips, MR, Pillay, JD, Pishgar, F, Polinder, S, Pope, D, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Rafay, A, Rahimi, K, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rahman, M, Rahman, MHU, Rahman, SU, Rai, RK, Ram, U, Ranabhat, CL, Rangaswamy, T, Rao, PV, Refaat, AH, Remuzzi, G, Violante, FS, Kassebaum, NJ, Barber, RM, Bhutta, ZA, Dandona, L, Gething, PW, Hay, SI, Kinfu, Y, Larson, HJ, Liang, X, Lim, SS, Lopez, AD, Lozano, R, Mensah, GA, Mokdad, AH, Naghavi, M, Pinho, C, Salomon, JA, Steiner, C, Vos, T, Wang, H, Abajobir, AA, Abate, KH, Abbas, KM, Abd-Allah, F, Abdallat, MA, Abdulle, AM, Abera, SF, Aboyans, V, Abubakar, I, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Achoki, T, Adebiyi, AO, Adedeji, IA, Adelekan, AL, Adou, AK, Afanvi, KA, Agarwal, A, Kiadaliri, AA, Ajala, ON, Akinyemiju, TF, Akseer, N, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, NKM, Alasfoor, D, Aldhahri, SF, Aldridge, RW, Alhabib, S, Ali, R, Alkerwi, A, Alla, F, Al-Raddadi, R, Alsharif, U, Martin, EA, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amare, AT, Amberbir, A, Amegah, AK, Ammar, W, Amrock, SM, Andersen, HH, Anderson, GM, Antoine, RM, Antonio, CAT, Aregay, AF, Arnlov, J, Arora, M, Arsenijevic, VSA, Al, A, Asayesh, H, Atique, S, Avokpaho, EFGA, Awasthi, A, Quintanilla, BPA, Azzopardi, P, Bacha, U, Badawi, A, Bahit, MC, Balakrishnan, K, Banerjee, A, Barac, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Barnighausen, T, Basu, S, Bayou, TA, Bayou, YT, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Beardsley, J, Bedi, NW, Bekele, T, Bell, ML, Bennett, DA, Bensenor, IM, Berhane, A, Bernabe, E, Betsu, BD, Beyene, AS, Biadgilign, S, Bikbov, B, Bin Abdulhak, AA, Biroscak, BJ, Biryukov, S, Bisanzio, D, Bjertness, E, Blore, JD, Brainin, M, Brazinova, A, Breitborde, NJK, Brugha, TS, Butt, ZA, Campos-Nonato, IR, Campuzano, JC, Cardenas, R, Carrero, JJ, Carter, A, Casey, DC, Castaneda-Oquela, CA, Castro, RE, Catala-Lopez, F, Cavalleri, F, Chang, H-Y, Chang, J-C, Chavan, L, Chibueze, CE, Chisumpa, VH, Choi, J-YJ, Chowdhury, R, Christopher, DJ, Ciobanu, LG, Cirillo, M, Coates, MM, Coggeshall, M, Colistro, V, Colquhoun, SM, Cooper, C, Cooper, LT, Cortinovis, M, Dahiru, T, Damasceno, A, Danawi, H, Dandona, R, Das Neves, J, De Leo, D, Dellavalle, RP, Deribe, K, Deribew, A, Jarlais, DCD, Dharmaratne, SD, Dicker, DJ, Ding, EL, Dossou, E, Dubey, M, Ebel, BE, Ellingsen, CL, Elyazar, I, Endries, AY, Ermakov, SP, Eshrati, B, Esteghamati, A, Faraon, EJA, Farid, TA, Farinha, CSES, Faro, A, Farvid, MS, Farzadfar, F, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fernandes, JC, Fischer, F, Fitchett, JRA, Fleming, T, Gt, NF, Franca, EB, Franklin, RC, Fraser, MS, Friedman, J, Pullman, N, Furst, T, Futran, ND, Gambashidze, K, Gamkrelidze, A, Gebre, T, Gebrehiwot, TT, Gebremedhin, AT, Gebremedhin, M, Gebru, AA, Geleijnse, JM, Gibney, KB, Giref, AZ, Giroud, M, Gishu, MD, Glaser, E, Goenka, S, Gomez-Dantes, H, Gona, P, Goodridge, A, Gopalani, SV, Goto, A, Graetz, N, Gugnani, HC, Guo, Y, Gupta, R, Gupta, V, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Hailu, AD, Hailu, GB, Hamadeh, RR, Hamidi, S, Hancock, J, Handal, AJ, Hankey, GJ, Harb, HL, Harikrishnan, S, Harun, KM, Havmoeller, R, Hoek, HW, Horino, M, Horita, N, Hosgood, HD, Hoy, DG, Htet, AS, Hu, G, Huang, H, Huang, JJ, Huybrechts, I, Huynh, C, Iannarone, M, Iburg, KM, Idrisov, BT, Iyer, VJ, Jacobsen, KH, Jahanmehr, N, Jakovljevic, MB, Javanbakht, M, Jayatilleke, AU, Jee, SH, Jeemon, P, Jha, V, Jiang, G, Jiang, Y, Jibat, T, Jonas, JB, Kabir, Z, Kamal, R, Kan, H, Karch, A, Karletsos, D, Kasaeian, A, Kaul, A, Kawakami, N, Kayibanda, JF, Kazanjan, K, Kazi, DS, Keiyoro, PN, Kemmer, L, Kemp, AH, Kengne, AP, Keren, A, Kereselidze, M, Kesavachandran, CN, Khader, YS, Khan, AR, Khan, EA, Khang, Y-H, Khonelidze, I, Khosravi, A, Khubchandani, J, Kim, YJ, Kivipelto, M, Knibbs, LD, Kokubo, Y, Kosen, S, Koul, PA, Koyanagi, A, Krishnaswami, S, Defo, BK, Bicer, BK, Kudom, AA, Kulikoff, XR, Kulkarni, C, Kumar, GA, Kutz, MJ, Lal, DK, Lalloo, R, Lam, H, Lamadrid-Figueroa, H, Lan, Q, Larsson, A, Laryea, DO, Leigh, J, Leung, R, Li, Y, Lipshultz, SE, Liu, PY, Liu, S, Liu, Y, Lloyd, BK, Lotufo, PA, Lunevicius, R, Ma, S, El Razek, HMA, El Razek, MMA, Majdan, M, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, Mapoma, CC, Marcenes, W, Margolis, DJ, Marquez, N, Masiye, F, Marzan, MB, Mason-Jones, AJ, Mazorodze, TT, Meaney, PA, Mehari, A, Mehndiratta, MM, Mena-Rodriguez, F, Mekonnen, AB, Melaku, YA, Memish, ZA, Mendoza, W, Meretoja, A, Meretoja, TJ, Mhimbira, FA, Miller, TR, Mills, EJ, Mirarefin, M, Misganaw, A, Ibrahim, NM, Mohammad, KA, Mohammadi, A, Mohammed, S, Mola, GLD, Monasta, L, Monis, JDLC, Hernandez, JCM, Montero, P, Montico, M, Mooney, MD, Moore, AR, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Morawska, L, Mori, R, Mueller, U, Murthy, GVS, Murthy, S, Nachega, JB, Naheed, A, Naldi, L, Nand, D, Nangia, V, Nash, D, Neupane, S, Newton, JN, Ng, M, Ngalesoni, FN, Nguhiu, P, Nguyen, G, Le Nguyen, Q, Nisar, MI, Nomura, M, Norheim, OF, Norman, RE, Nyakarahuka, L, Obermeyer, CM, Ogbo, FA, Oh, I-H, Ojelabi, FA, Olivares, PR, Olusanya, BO, Olusanya, JO, Opio, JN, Oren, E, Ota, E, Oyekale, AS, Pa, M, Pain, A, Papantoniou, N, Park, E-K, Park, H-Y, Caicedo, AJP, Patten, SB, Paul, VK, Pereira, DM, Perico, N, Pesudovs, K, Petzold, M, Phillips, MR, Pillay, JD, Pishgar, F, Polinder, S, Pope, D, Pourmalek, F, Qorbani, M, Rafay, A, Rahimi, K, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rahman, M, Rahman, MHU, Rahman, SU, Rai, RK, Ram, U, Ranabhat, CL, Rangaswamy, T, Rao, PV, Refaat, AH, Remuzzi, G, and Violante, FS
- Abstract
BACKGROUND: In transitioning from the Millennium Development Goal to the Sustainable Development Goal era, it is imperative to comprehensively assess progress toward reducing maternal mortality to identify areas of success, remaining challenges, and frame policy discussions. We aimed to quantify maternal mortality throughout the world by underlying cause and age from 1990 to 2015. METHODS: We estimated maternal mortality at the global, regional, and national levels from 1990 to 2015 for ages 10-54 years by systematically compiling and processing all available data sources from 186 of 195 countries and territories, 11 of which were analysed at the subnational level. We quantified eight underlying causes of maternal death and four timing categories, improving estimation methods since GBD 2013 for adult all-cause mortality, HIV-related maternal mortality, and late maternal death. Secondary analyses then allowed systematic examination of drivers of trends, including the relation between maternal mortality and coverage of specific reproductive health-care services as well as assessment of observed versus expected maternal mortality as a function of Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a summary indicator derived from measures of income per capita, educational attainment, and fertility. FINDINGS: Only ten countries achieved MDG 5, but 122 of 195 countries have already met SDG 3.1. Geographical disparities widened between 1990 and 2015 and, in 2015, 24 countries still had a maternal mortality ratio greater than 400. The proportion of all maternal deaths occurring in the bottom two SDI quintiles, where haemorrhage is the dominant cause of maternal death, increased from roughly 68% in 1990 to more than 80% in 2015. The middle SDI quintile improved the most from 1990 to 2015, but also has the most complicated causal profile. Maternal mortality in the highest SDI quintile is mostly due to other direct maternal disorders, indirect maternal disorders, and abortion, ectopic pregnancy
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- 2016
10. Report on the International Colloquium on Cardio-Oncology (Rome, 12–14 March 2014)
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Ewer, M, Gianni, L, Pane, F, Sandri, M, Steiner, R, Wojnowski, L, Yeh, E, Carver, JR, Lipshultz, SE, Minotti, G, Armstrong, G, Cardinale, D, Colan, S, Darby, S, Force, T, Kremer, L, Lenihan, D, Sallan, SE, Sawyer, D, Suter, T, Swain, S, van Leeuwen, F, Cancer Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam Reproduction & Development (AR&D), Paediatric Oncology, Ewer, Michael, Gianni, Luca, Pane, Fabrizio, Sandri, Maria Teresa, Steiner, Rudolf K., Wojnowski, Leszek, Yeh, Edward T., Carver, Joseph R, Lipshultz, Steven E., Minotti, Giorgio, Armstrong, Gregory T., Cardinale, Daniela, Colan, Steven D., Darby, Sarah C., Force, Thomas L., Kremer, Leontien C. M., Lenihan, Daniel J., Sallan, Stephen E., Sawyer, Douglas B., Suter, Thomas M., Swain, Sandra M., and Van Leeuwen, Flora E.
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Antitumor therapie ,Cancer Research ,Patient ,cardio-oncology ,Oncology ,cardiovascular sequelae ,antitumor therapies ,survivors ,Conference Report ,Survivor ,patients - Abstract
Cardio-oncology is a relatively new discipline that focuses on the cardiovascular sequelae of anti-tumour drugs. As any other young adolescent discipline, cardio-oncology struggles to define its scientific boundaries and to identify best standards of care for cancer patients or survivors at risk of cardiovascular events. The International Colloquium on Cardio-Oncology was held in Rome, Italy, 12-14 March 2014, with the aim of illuminating controversial issues and unmet needs in modern cardio-oncology. This colloquium embraced contributions from different kind of disciplines (oncology and cardiology but also paediatrics, geriatrics, genetics, and translational research); in fact, cardio-oncology goes way beyond the merging of cardiology with oncology. Moreover, the colloquium programme did not review cardiovascular toxicity from one drug or the other, rather it looked at patients as we see them in their fight against cancer and eventually returning to everyday life. This represents the melting pot in which anti-cancer therapies, genetic backgrounds, and risk factors conspire in producing cardiovascular sequelae, and this calls for screening programmes and well-designed platforms of collaboration between one key professional figure and another. The International Colloquium on Cardio-Oncology was promoted by the Menarini International Foundation and co-chaired by Giorgio Minotti (Rome), Joseph R Carver (Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States), and Steven E Lipshultz (Detroit, Michigan, United States). The programme was split into five sessions of broad investigational and clinical relevance (what is cardiotoxicity?, cardiotoxicity in children, adolescents, and young adults, cardiotoxicity in adults, cardiotoxicity in special populations, and the future of cardio-oncology). Here, the colloquium chairs and all the session chairs briefly summarised what was said at the colloquium. Topics and controversies were reported on behalf of all members of the working group of the International Colloquium on Cardio-Oncology.
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- 2014
11. Ischemic heart disease after breast cancer radiotherapy
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Little, MP, Zablotska, LB, and Lipshultz, SE
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Radiotherapy ,General & Internal Medicine ,Myocardial Ischemia ,Humans ,Heart ,Breast Neoplasms ,Female ,Medical and Health Sciences ,Adjuvant - Published
- 2013
12. Issues in solid-organ transplantation in children: translational research from bench to bedside
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Lipshultz, SE, primary, Chandar, JJ, additional, Rusconi, PG, additional, Fornoni, A, additional, Abitbol, CL, additional, Burke III, GW, additional, Zilleruelo, GE, additional, Pham, SM, additional, Perez, EE, additional, Karnik, R, additional, Hunter, JA, additional, Dauphin, DD, additional, and Wilkinson, JD, additional
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- 2014
- Full Text
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13. Years lived with disability (YLDs) for 1160 sequelae of 289 diseases and injuries 1990-2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010
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Vos, T, Flaxman, AD, Naghavi, M, Lozano, R, Michaud, C, Ezzati, M, Shibuya, K, Salomon, JA, Abdalla, S, Aboyans, V, Abraham, J, Ackerman, I, Aggarwal, R, Ahn, SY, Ali, MK, Alvarado, M, Anderson, HR, Anderson, LM, Andrews, KG, Atkinson, C, Baddour, LM, Bahalim, AN, Barker-Collo, S, Barrero, LH, Bartels, DH, Basanez, M-G, Baxter, A, Bell, ML, Benjamin, EJ, Bennett, D, Bernabe, E, Bhalla, K, Bhandari, B, Bikbov, B, Bin Abdulhak, A, Birbeck, G, Black, JA, Blencowe, H, Blore, JD, Blyth, F, Bolliger, I, Bonaventure, A, Boufous, SA, Bourne, R, Boussinesq, M, Braithwaite, T, Brayne, C, Bridgett, L, Brooker, S, Brooks, P, Brugha, TS, Bryan-Hancock, C, Bucello, C, Buchbinder, R, Buckle, GR, Budke, CM, Burch, M, Burney, P, Burstein, R, Calabria, B, Campbell, B, Canter, CE, Carabin, H, Carapetis, J, Carmona, L, Cella, C, Charlson, F, Chen, H, Cheng, AT-A, Chou, D, Chugh, SS, Coffeng, LE, Colan, SD, Colquhoun, S, Colson, KE, Condon, J, Connor, MD, Cooper, LT, Corriere, M, Cortinovis, M, de Vaccaro, KC, Couser, W, Cowie, BC, Criqui, MH, Cross, M, Dabhadkar, KC, Dahiya, M, Dahodwala, N, Damsere-Derry, J, Danaei, G, Davis, A, De Leo, D, Degenhardt, L, Dellavalle, R, Delossantos, A, Denenberg, J, Derrett, S, Des Jarlais, DC, Dharmaratne, SD, Dherani, M, Diaz-Torne, C, Dolk, H, Dorsey, ER, Driscoll, T, Duber, H, Ebel, B, Edmond, K, Elbaz, A, Ali, SE, Erskine, H, Erwin, PJ, Espindola, P, Ewoigbokhan, SE, Farzadfar, F, Feigin, V, Felson, DT, Ferrari, A, Ferri, CP, Fevre, EM, Finucane, MM, Flaxman, S, Flood, L, Foreman, K, Forouzanfar, MH, Fowkes, FGR, Franklin, R, Fransen, M, Freeman, MK, Gabbe, BJ, Gabriel, SE, Gakidou, E, Ganatra, HA, Garcia, B, Gaspari, F, Gillum, RF, Gmel, G, Gosselin, R, Grainger, R, Groeger, J, Guillemin, F, Gunnell, D, Gupta, R, Haagsma, J, Hagan, H, Halasa, YA, Hall, W, Haring, D, Maria Haro, J, Harrison, JE, Havmoeller, R, Hay, RJ, Higashi, H, Hill, C, Hoen, B, Hoffman, H, Hotez, PJ, Hoy, D, Huang, JJ, Ibeanusi, SE, Jacobsen, KH, James, SL, Jarvis, D, Jasrasaria, R, Jayaraman, S, Johns, N, Jonas, JB, Karthikeyan, G, Kassebaum, N, Kawakami, N, Keren, A, Khoo, J-P, King, CH, Knowlton, LM, Kobusingye, O, Koranteng, A, Krishnamurthi, R, Lalloo, R, Laslett, LL, Lathlean, T, Leasher, JL, Lee, YY, Leigh, J, Lim, SS, Limb, E, Lin, JK, Lipnick, M, Lipshultz, SE, Liu, W, Loane, M, Ohno, SL, Lyons, R, Ma, J, Mabweijano, J, MacIntyre, MF, Malekzadeh, R, Mallinger, L, Manivannan, S, Marcenes, W, March, L, Margolis, DJ, Marks, GB, Marks, R, Matsumori, A, Matzopoulos, R, Mayosi, BM, McAnulty, JH, McDermott, MM, McGill, N, McGrath, J, Elena Medina-Mora, M, Meltzer, M, Mensah, GA, Merriman, TR, Meyer, A-C, Miglioli, V, Miller, M, Miller, TR, Mitchell, PB, Mocumbi, AO, Moffitt, TE, Mokdad, AA, Monasta, L, Montico, M, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Moran, A, Morawska, L, Mori, R, Murdoch, ME, Mwaniki, MK, Naidoo, K, Nair, MN, Naldi, L, Narayan, KMV, Nelson, PK, Nelson, RG, Nevitt, MC, Newton, CR, Nolte, S, Norman, P, Norman, R, O'Donnell, M, O'Hanlon, S, Olives, C, Omer, SB, Ortblad, K, Osborne, R, Ozgediz, D, Page, A, Pahari, B, Pandian, JD, Rivero, AP, Patten, SB, Pearce, N, Perez Padilla, R, Perez-Ruiz, F, Perico, N, Pesudovs, K, Phillips, D, Phillips, MR, Pierce, K, Pion, S, Polanczyk, GV, Polinder, S, Pope, CA, Popova, S, Porrini, E, Pourmalek, F, Prince, M, Pullan, RL, Ramaiah, KD, Ranganathan, D, Razavi, H, Regan, M, Rehm, JT, Rein, DB, Remuzzi, G, Richardson, K, Rivara, FP, Roberts, T, Robinson, C, De Leon, FR, Ronfani, L, Room, R, Rosenfeld, LC, Rushton, L, Sacco, RL, Saha, S, Sampson, U, Sanchez-Riera, L, Sanman, E, Schwebel, DC, Scott, JG, Segui-Gomez, M, Shahraz, S, Shepard, DS, Shin, H, Shivakoti, R, Singh, D, Singh, GM, Singh, JA, Singleton, J, Sleet, DA, Sliwa, K, Smith, E, Smith, JL, Stapelberg, NJC, Steer, A, Steiner, T, Stolk, WA, Stovner, LJ, Sudfeld, C, Syed, S, Tamburlini, G, Tavakkoli, M, Taylor, HR, Taylor, JA, Taylor, WJ, Thomas, B, Thomson, WM, Thurston, GD, Tleyjeh, IM, Tonelli, M, Towbin, JRA, Truelsen, T, Tsilimbaris, MK, Ubeda, C, Undurraga, EA, van der Werf, MJ, van Os, J, Vavilala, MS, Venketasubramanian, N, Wang, M, Wang, W, Watt, K, Weatherall, DJ, Weinstock, MA, Weintraub, R, Weisskopf, MG, Weissman, MM, White, RA, Whiteford, H, Wiersma, ST, Wilkinson, JD, Williams, HC, Williams, SRM, Witt, E, Wolfe, F, Woolf, AD, Wulf, S, Yeh, P-H, Zaidi, AKM, Zheng, Z-J, Zonies, D, Lopez, AD, Murray, CJL, Vos, T, Flaxman, AD, Naghavi, M, Lozano, R, Michaud, C, Ezzati, M, Shibuya, K, Salomon, JA, Abdalla, S, Aboyans, V, Abraham, J, Ackerman, I, Aggarwal, R, Ahn, SY, Ali, MK, Alvarado, M, Anderson, HR, Anderson, LM, Andrews, KG, Atkinson, C, Baddour, LM, Bahalim, AN, Barker-Collo, S, Barrero, LH, Bartels, DH, Basanez, M-G, Baxter, A, Bell, ML, Benjamin, EJ, Bennett, D, Bernabe, E, Bhalla, K, Bhandari, B, Bikbov, B, Bin Abdulhak, A, Birbeck, G, Black, JA, Blencowe, H, Blore, JD, Blyth, F, Bolliger, I, Bonaventure, A, Boufous, SA, Bourne, R, Boussinesq, M, Braithwaite, T, Brayne, C, Bridgett, L, Brooker, S, Brooks, P, Brugha, TS, Bryan-Hancock, C, Bucello, C, Buchbinder, R, Buckle, GR, Budke, CM, Burch, M, Burney, P, Burstein, R, Calabria, B, Campbell, B, Canter, CE, Carabin, H, Carapetis, J, Carmona, L, Cella, C, Charlson, F, Chen, H, Cheng, AT-A, Chou, D, Chugh, SS, Coffeng, LE, Colan, SD, Colquhoun, S, Colson, KE, Condon, J, Connor, MD, Cooper, LT, Corriere, M, Cortinovis, M, de Vaccaro, KC, Couser, W, Cowie, BC, Criqui, MH, Cross, M, Dabhadkar, KC, Dahiya, M, Dahodwala, N, Damsere-Derry, J, Danaei, G, Davis, A, De Leo, D, Degenhardt, L, Dellavalle, R, Delossantos, A, Denenberg, J, Derrett, S, Des Jarlais, DC, Dharmaratne, SD, Dherani, M, Diaz-Torne, C, Dolk, H, Dorsey, ER, Driscoll, T, Duber, H, Ebel, B, Edmond, K, Elbaz, A, Ali, SE, Erskine, H, Erwin, PJ, Espindola, P, Ewoigbokhan, SE, Farzadfar, F, Feigin, V, Felson, DT, Ferrari, A, Ferri, CP, Fevre, EM, Finucane, MM, Flaxman, S, Flood, L, Foreman, K, Forouzanfar, MH, Fowkes, FGR, Franklin, R, Fransen, M, Freeman, MK, Gabbe, BJ, Gabriel, SE, Gakidou, E, Ganatra, HA, Garcia, B, Gaspari, F, Gillum, RF, Gmel, G, Gosselin, R, Grainger, R, Groeger, J, Guillemin, F, Gunnell, D, Gupta, R, Haagsma, J, Hagan, H, Halasa, YA, Hall, W, Haring, D, Maria Haro, J, Harrison, JE, Havmoeller, R, Hay, RJ, Higashi, H, Hill, C, Hoen, B, Hoffman, H, Hotez, PJ, Hoy, D, Huang, JJ, Ibeanusi, SE, Jacobsen, KH, James, SL, Jarvis, D, Jasrasaria, R, Jayaraman, S, Johns, N, Jonas, JB, Karthikeyan, G, Kassebaum, N, Kawakami, N, Keren, A, Khoo, J-P, King, CH, Knowlton, LM, Kobusingye, O, Koranteng, A, Krishnamurthi, R, Lalloo, R, Laslett, LL, Lathlean, T, Leasher, JL, Lee, YY, Leigh, J, Lim, SS, Limb, E, Lin, JK, Lipnick, M, Lipshultz, SE, Liu, W, Loane, M, Ohno, SL, Lyons, R, Ma, J, Mabweijano, J, MacIntyre, MF, Malekzadeh, R, Mallinger, L, Manivannan, S, Marcenes, W, March, L, Margolis, DJ, Marks, GB, Marks, R, Matsumori, A, Matzopoulos, R, Mayosi, BM, McAnulty, JH, McDermott, MM, McGill, N, McGrath, J, Elena Medina-Mora, M, Meltzer, M, Mensah, GA, Merriman, TR, Meyer, A-C, Miglioli, V, Miller, M, Miller, TR, Mitchell, PB, Mocumbi, AO, Moffitt, TE, Mokdad, AA, Monasta, L, Montico, M, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Moran, A, Morawska, L, Mori, R, Murdoch, ME, Mwaniki, MK, Naidoo, K, Nair, MN, Naldi, L, Narayan, KMV, Nelson, PK, Nelson, RG, Nevitt, MC, Newton, CR, Nolte, S, Norman, P, Norman, R, O'Donnell, M, O'Hanlon, S, Olives, C, Omer, SB, Ortblad, K, Osborne, R, Ozgediz, D, Page, A, Pahari, B, Pandian, JD, Rivero, AP, Patten, SB, Pearce, N, Perez Padilla, R, Perez-Ruiz, F, Perico, N, Pesudovs, K, Phillips, D, Phillips, MR, Pierce, K, Pion, S, Polanczyk, GV, Polinder, S, Pope, CA, Popova, S, Porrini, E, Pourmalek, F, Prince, M, Pullan, RL, Ramaiah, KD, Ranganathan, D, Razavi, H, Regan, M, Rehm, JT, Rein, DB, Remuzzi, G, Richardson, K, Rivara, FP, Roberts, T, Robinson, C, De Leon, FR, Ronfani, L, Room, R, Rosenfeld, LC, Rushton, L, Sacco, RL, Saha, S, Sampson, U, Sanchez-Riera, L, Sanman, E, Schwebel, DC, Scott, JG, Segui-Gomez, M, Shahraz, S, Shepard, DS, Shin, H, Shivakoti, R, Singh, D, Singh, GM, Singh, JA, Singleton, J, Sleet, DA, Sliwa, K, Smith, E, Smith, JL, Stapelberg, NJC, Steer, A, Steiner, T, Stolk, WA, Stovner, LJ, Sudfeld, C, Syed, S, Tamburlini, G, Tavakkoli, M, Taylor, HR, Taylor, JA, Taylor, WJ, Thomas, B, Thomson, WM, Thurston, GD, Tleyjeh, IM, Tonelli, M, Towbin, JRA, Truelsen, T, Tsilimbaris, MK, Ubeda, C, Undurraga, EA, van der Werf, MJ, van Os, J, Vavilala, MS, Venketasubramanian, N, Wang, M, Wang, W, Watt, K, Weatherall, DJ, Weinstock, MA, Weintraub, R, Weisskopf, MG, Weissman, MM, White, RA, Whiteford, H, Wiersma, ST, Wilkinson, JD, Williams, HC, Williams, SRM, Witt, E, Wolfe, F, Woolf, AD, Wulf, S, Yeh, P-H, Zaidi, AKM, Zheng, Z-J, Zonies, D, Lopez, AD, and Murray, CJL
- Abstract
BACKGROUND: Non-fatal health outcomes from diseases and injuries are a crucial consideration in the promotion and monitoring of individual and population health. The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) studies done in 1990 and 2000 have been the only studies to quantify non-fatal health outcomes across an exhaustive set of disorders at the global and regional level. Neither effort quantified uncertainty in prevalence or years lived with disability (YLDs). METHODS: Of the 291 diseases and injuries in the GBD cause list, 289 cause disability. For 1160 sequelae of the 289 diseases and injuries, we undertook a systematic analysis of prevalence, incidence, remission, duration, and excess mortality. Sources included published studies, case notification, population-based cancer registries, other disease registries, antenatal clinic serosurveillance, hospital discharge data, ambulatory care data, household surveys, other surveys, and cohort studies. For most sequelae, we used a Bayesian meta-regression method, DisMod-MR, designed to address key limitations in descriptive epidemiological data, including missing data, inconsistency, and large methodological variation between data sources. For some disorders, we used natural history models, geospatial models, back-calculation models (models calculating incidence from population mortality rates and case fatality), or registration completeness models (models adjusting for incomplete registration with health-system access and other covariates). Disability weights for 220 unique health states were used to capture the severity of health loss. YLDs by cause at age, sex, country, and year levels were adjusted for comorbidity with simulation methods. We included uncertainty estimates at all stages of the analysis. FINDINGS: Global prevalence for all ages combined in 2010 across the 1160 sequelae ranged from fewer than one case per 1 million people to 350,000 cases per 1 million people. Prevalence and severity of health loss were weakly cor
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- 2012
14. Use of cardiac troponin T levels as an indicator of doxorubicin-induced cardiotoxicity
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Herman, EH, Lipshultz, SE, Rifai, N, Zhang, J, Papoian, T, Takeda, K, Ferrans, VJ, and University of Groningen
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cardiovascular diseases - Abstract
The release of cardiac troponin T (cTnT) as a biomarker of doxorubicin-induced chronic cardiac injury was evaluated in the spontaneously hypertensive rat (SHR) model. Elevations in serum levels of cTnT and decreased immunohistochemical staining of heart sections for this protein were noted in SHRs treated with cumulative doses of doxorubicin (7 mg/kg) that induced only minimal histological alterations in myocytes. Concentrations of cTnT were further elevated, coincident with reduced immunohistochemical staining, in SHRs given 10-12 mg/kg doxorubicin. Thus, monitoring serum levels of cTnT can detect doxorubicin-induced myocyte damage in SHR and may prove useful for the noninvasive evaluation of this toxicity in humans.
- Published
- 1998
15. Nutritional status and cardiac mass and function in children infected with the human immunodeficiency virus
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Miller, TL, primary, Orav, EJ, additional, Colan, SD, additional, and Lipshultz, SE, additional
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- 1997
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16. Monitoring for anthracycline cardiotoxicity.
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Lipshultz, SE, primary, Sanders, SP, additional, Goorin, AM, additional, Krischer, JP, additional, Sallan, SE, additional, and Colan, SD, additional
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- 1994
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17. Outcomes of restrictive cardiomyopathy in childhood and the influence of phenotype: a report from the Pediatric Cardiomyopathy Registry.
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Webber SA, Lipshultz SE, Sleeper LA, Lu M, Wilkinson JD, Addonizio LJ, Canter CE, Colan SD, Everitt MD, Jefferies JL, Kantor PF, Lamour JM, Margossian R, Pahl E, Rusconi PG, Towbin JA, and Pediatric Cardiomyopathy Registry Investigators
- Abstract
BACKGROUND: Restrictive cardiomyopathy (RCM) has been associated with poor prognosis in childhood. The goal of the present analysis was to use the Pediatric Cardiomyopathy Registry to analyze outcomes of childhood RCM, with a focus on the impact of phenotype comparing pure RCM with cases that have additional features of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). METHODS AND RESULTS: We analyzed the Pediatric Cardiomyopathy Registry database (1990-2008; N=3375) for cases of RCM. Cases were defined as pure when RCM was the only assigned diagnosis. Additional documentation of HCM at any time was used as the criterion for RCM/HCM phenotype. RCM accounted for 4.5% of cases of cardiomyopathy. In 101 (66%), pure RCM was diagnosed; in 51 (34%), there was a mixed phenotype. Age at diagnosis was not different between groups, but 10% of the pure RCM group was diagnosed in infancy versus 24% of the RCM/HCM group. Freedom from death was comparable between groups with 1-, 2-, and 5-year survival of RCM 82%, 80%, and 68% versus RCM/HCM 77%, 74%, and 68%. Transplant-free survival was 48%, 34%, and 22% and 65%, 53%, and 43%, respectively (P=0.011). Independent risk factors at diagnosis for lower transplant-free survival were heart failure (hazard ratio 2.20, P=0.005), lower fractional shortening z score (hazard ratio 1.12 per 1 SD decrease in z score, P=0.014), and higher posterior wall thickness in the RCM/HCM group only (hazard ratio 1.32, P<0.001). Overall, outcomes were worse than for all other forms of cardiomyopathy. CONCLUSIONS: Transplant-free survival is poor for RCM in childhood. Survival is independent of phenotype; however, the RCM/HCM phenotype has significantly better transplant-free survival. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique Identifier: NCT00005391. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2012
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18. Clinical research directions in pediatric cardiology.
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Lipshultz SE, Wilkinson JD, Messiah SE, Miller TL, Lipshultz, Steven E, Wilkinson, James D, Messiah, Sarah E, and Miller, Tracie L
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- 2009
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19. State of the science conference: Initiative to decrease cardiovascular risk and increase quality of care for patients living with HIV/AIDS: executive summary.
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Grinspoon SK, Grunfeld C, Kotler DP, Currier JS, Lundgren JD, Dubé MP, Lipshultz SE, Hsue PY, Squires K, Schambelan M, Wilson PW, Yarasheski KE, Hadigan CM, Stein JH, Eckel RH, Grinspoon, Steven K, Grunfeld, Carl, Kotler, Donald P, Currier, Judith S, and Lundgren, Jens D
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- 2008
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20. Absence of secondary malignant neoplasms in children with high-risk acute lymphoblastic leukemia treated with dexrazoxane.
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Barry EV, Vrooman LM, Dahlberg SE, Neuberg DS, Asselin BL, Athale UH, Clavell LA, Larsen EC, Moghrabi A, Samson Y, Schorin MA, Cohen HJ, Lipshultz SE, Sallan SE, and Silverman LB
- Published
- 2008
21. Epidemiology and cause-specific outcome of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy in children: findings from the pediatric cardiomyopathy registry.
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Colam SD, Lipshultz SE, Lowe AM, Sleeper LA, Messere J, Cox GF, Lurie PR, Orav EJ, and Towbin JA
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- 2007
22. Long-term effects of treatments for childhood cancers.
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Alvarez JA, Scully RE, Miller TL, Armstrong FD, Constine LS, Friedman DL, and Lipshultz SE
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- 2007
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23. Maternal calcium intake and offspring blood pressure.
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Gillman MW, Rifas-Shiman SL, Kleinman KP, Rich-Edwards JW, Lipshultz SE, Gillman, Matthew W, Rifas-Shiman, Sheryl L, Kleinman, Ken P, Rich-Edwards, Janet W, and Lipshultz, Steven E
- Published
- 2004
24. The effect of dexrazoxane on myocardial injury in doxorubicin-treated children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia.
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Lipshultz SE, Rafai N, Dalton VM, Levy DE, Silverman LB, Lipsitz SR, Colan SD, Asselin BL, Barr RD, Clavell LA, Hurwitz CA, Moghrabi A, Samson Y, Schorin MA, Gelber RD, and Sallan SE
- Published
- 2004
25. A clinic-based, comprehensive care model for studying late effects in long-term survivors of pediatric illnesses.
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Hinkle AS, Proukou C, French CA, Kozlowski AM, Constine LS, Lipsitz SR, Miller TL, and Lipshultz SE
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- 2004
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26. The incidence of pediatric cardiomyopathy in two regions of the United States.
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Lipshultz SE, Sleeper LA, Towbin JA, Lowe AM, Orav EJ, Cox GF, Lurie PR, McCoy KL, McDonald MA, Messere JE, and Colan SD
- Published
- 2003
27. Absence of cardiac toxicity of zidovudine in infants. Pediatric Pulmonary and Cardiac Complications of Vertically Transmitted HIV Infection Study Group.
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Lipshultz SE, Easley KA, Orav EJ, Kaplan S, Starc TJ, Bricker JT, Lai WW, Moodie DS, Sopko G, McIntosh K, Colan SD, Pediatric Pulmonary and Cardiac Complications of Vertically Transmitted HIV Infection Study Group, Lipshultz, S E, Easley, K A, Orav, E J, Kaplan, S, Starc, T J, Bricker, J T, Lai, W W, and Moodie, D S
- Abstract
Background: Perinatal exposure to zidovudine may cause cardiac abnormalities in infants. We prospectively studied left ventricular structure and function in infants born to mothers infected with the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) in order to determine whether there was evidence of zidovudine cardiac toxicity after perinatal exposure.Methods: We followed a group of infants born to HIV-infected women from birth to five years of age with echocardiographic studies every four to six months. Serial echocardiograms were obtained for 382 infants without HIV infection (36 with zidovudine exposure) and HIV-58 infected infants (12 with zidovudine exposure). Repeated-measures analysis was used to examine four measures of left ventricular structure and function during the first 14 months of life in relation to zidovudine exposure.Results: Zidovudine exposure was not associated with significant abnormalities in mean left ventricular fractional shortening, end-diastolic dimension, contractility, or mass in either non-HIV-infected or HIV-infected infants. Among infants without HIV infection, the mean fractional shortening at 10 to 14 months was 38.1 percent for those never exposed to zidovudine and 39.0 percent for those exposed to zidovudine (mean difference, -0.9 percent; 95 percent confidence interval, -3.1 percent to 1.3 percent; P=0.43). Among HIV-infected infants, the mean fractional shortening at 10 to 14 months was similar in those never exposed to zidovudine (35.4 percent) and those exposed to the drug (35.3 percent) (mean difference, 0.1 percent; 95 percent confidence interval, -3.7 percent to 3.9 percent; P=0.95). Zidovudine exposure was not significantly related to depressed fractional shortening (shortening of 25 percent or loss) during the first 14 months of life. No child over the age of 10 months had depressed fractional shortening.Conclusions: Zidovudine was not associated with acute or chronic abnormalities in left ventricular structure or function in infants exposed to the drug in the perinatal period. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2000
28. Life-threatening reaction to trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole in pediatric human immunodeficiency virus infection.
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Chanock SJ, Luginbuhl LM, McIntosh K, and Lipshultz SE
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- 1994
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29. Dexrazoxane-associated risk for secondary malignancies in pediatric Hodgkin's disease: a claim without compelling evidence.
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Lipshultz SE, Lipsitz SR, and Orav EJ
- Published
- 2007
30. Global, regional, and national levels and causes of maternal mortality during 1990-2013: A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013
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Carl Abelardo T. Antonio, Rob E. Dorrington, Belinda K Lloyd, Elisabete Weiderpass, Kovin Naidoo, Leslie T. Cooper, Sandra Nolte, Eduardo A. Undurraga, Mohammad A. AlMazroa, R. Kumar, Xiaofeng Liang, Amanda J. Mason-Jones, Kazem Rahimi, Sanjay Basu, Vasiliy Victorovich Vlassov, André Karch, Dipan Bose, Vivekanand Jha, Adansi A. Amankwaa, Kaire Innos, Ione Jayce Ceola Schneider, Itamar S. Santos, Anwar Rafay, Bolajoko O. Olusanya, Tommi Vasankari, Nana Kwaku Mainoo, Saleem M Rana, Wagner Marcenes, Fortuné Gbètoho Gankpé, Rana J. Asghar, Lela Sturua, Nicholas J K Breitborde, Corine Karema, Charles R. Newton, Uche S. Uchendu, Jongmin Lee, Inga Dora Sigfusdottir, Harish Chander Gugnani, Kaushalendra Kumar, Reza Assadi, Ibrahim Abubakar, Konstantinos Stroumpoulis, Megan Coggeshall, Timothy M. Wolock, Ronny Westerman, Samath D Dharmaratne, Katya Anne Shackelford, Anders Larsson, Jeffrey A. Towbin, Jixiang Ma, Lynne Gaffikin, Konstantin Kazanjan, Mohammad Ali Sahraian, Mohammad H. Forouzanfar, Yichong Li, Felix Sayinzoga, Daniel Dicker, Philimon Gona, Maurice Giroud, Maysaa El Sayed Zaki, Shiwei Liu, Lorenzo Monasta, Chantal Huynh, Abdullatif Husseini, Ted R. Miller, Solomon Meseret Woldeyohannes, D. Alex Quistberg, Justin Beardsley, Majed Asad, Uʇur Dilmen, Alaa Badawi, Hsien-Ho Lin, Haidong Kan, Vinod K. Paul, Mitsuru Mukaigawara, James Leigh, Xiao Nong Zou, Sajjad Ur Rahman, Valentina Arsić Arsenijević, Gokalp Kadri Yentur, Man Mohan Mehndiratta, Murugesan Raju, Stephanie J. London, Kingsley N. Ukwaja, Young-Ho Khang, Knud Juel, Mohsen Naghavi, Rasmus Havmoeller, Gelin Xu, Semaw Ferede Abera, Devina Nand, Norito Kawakami, Neil Pearce, Elisabeth Barboza França, Ferrán Catalá-López, Ketevan Goginashvili, Vegard Skirbekk, Neeraj Bedi, Barthelemy Kuate Defo, Andrew H. Kemp, H. Dean Hosgood, Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar, Konrad Pesudovs, Linhong Wang, Xiao Rong Wang, Alan D. Lopez, Ademola Lukman Adelekan, Joshua A. Salomon, Walter Mendoza, Aref A. Bin Abdulhak, Ivy Shiue, G Anil Kumar, Yuichiro Yano, Luke D. Knibbs, Jung-Chen Chang, Yousef Khader, Caitlyn Steiner, Selen Begüm Uzun, Luciano A. Sposato, Gabrielle deVeber, Raghib Ali, Andre Pascal Kengne, Chakib Nejjari, Rafael Alfonso-Cristancho, Tania Georgina Sánchez Pimienta, Roberto Tchio Talongwa, Hilda L Harb, Ali H. Mokdad, Edward J Mills, Angel J Paternina Caicedo, Xiaohong Li, Luke Nyakarahuka, Diego De Leo, Rashmi Gupta, Robert G. Weintraub, Tim Driscoll, Sun Ha Jee, Carolina Maria Teixeira, Ole Frithjof Norheim, Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Hwashin Hyun Shin, Palwasha Anwari, Daniel Pope, Hassan Amini, Jae-Hyun Park, Saad B. Omer, Eric L. Ding, Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian, Juan Liang, Tara Templin, Arindam Basu, Farshad Farzadfar, Yang Yang, Xuan Che, Scott Weichenthal, Jeyaraj D Pandian, David L. Tirschwell, Adrian Davis, Hilton Lam, Feng Tan, Stephen S Lim, Soewarta Kosen, Atsushi Goto, Ratilal Lalloo, Yanping Wang, Glen Mola, Paulo A. Lotufo, Dhruv S. Kazi, Jose C. Adsuar, Amany H Refaat, Ruben Castro, Gene F. Kwan, Johanna M. Geleijnse, Emerito Jose A. Faraon, Costas A. Christophi, Theo Vos, Sara Sheikhbahaei, Guilherme V. Polanczyk, Jed D. Blore, Azmeraw T. Amare, Kyle R. Heuton, Walid Ammar, Louisa Degenhardt, Andrew Vallely, Guohong Jiang, Ricky Leung, Jasvinder A. Singh, Zewdie Aderaw Alemu, A Artaman, Steven E. Lipshultz, Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela, Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad, Sadaf G. Sepanlou, Mark J. Nieuwenhuijsen, John Q. Wong, Manami Inoue, Coen H. Van Gool, James D. Wilkinson, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Yoshihiro Kokubo, Manuela Mendonca Felicio, Farshad Pourmalek, Boris I. Pavlin, Karen Sliwa, Robert G. Nelson, Tom Achoki, Edmond K. Kabagambe, Orish Ebere Orisakwe, Christopher J L Murray, In-Hwan Oh, Uchechukwu K.A. Sampson, Ulrich O Mueller, Austin E Schumacher, Edson Serván-Mori, Berrak Bora Basara, Simon I. Hay, Anil Kaul, Foad Abd-Allah, Takayoshi Ohkubo, Kim Yun Jin, Abdullah Sulieman Terkawi, Mall Leinsalu, Sergei Petrovich Ermakov, Marek Majdan, Ileana B. Heredia Pi, Christina Papachristou, Scott B. Patten, Rajeev Gupta, Kalpana Balakrishnan, Mustafa Z. Younis, Kenji Shibuya, Graça Maria Ferreira De Lima, Andrea P. Silva, Maziar Moradi-Lakeh, Anand Dayama, Eiman Jahangir, Stefan Ma, Karen M. Tabb, Nicholas J Kassebaum, Shams Eldin Ali Hassan Khalifa, Mazin J. Al Kahbouri, Nadim E. Karam, Jun Zhu, Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy, Dinorah González-Castell, Diego Gonzalez-Medina, Aliya Naheed, Ryan M Barber, Salvador Villalpando, Yang Liu, Chanda Kulkarni, Vinay Nangia, Haidong Wang, Yongmei Li, Rosario Cárdenas, Randah R. Hamadeh, Suzanne Polinder, Van C. Lansingh, François Alla, Max Petzold, Bryan L. Sykes, Ubai Alsharif, Chuanhua Yu, Francesco Saverio Violante, Monika Sawhney, Ayse Abbasoglu Ozgoren, Graeme J. Hankey, Mouhanad Hammami, Iuri da Costa Leite, Dickens Akena, Rintaro Mori, Alanur Çavlin, Maia Kereselidze, Jonathan de la Cruz Monis, Deena Alasfoor, Taavi Lai, Eric Y. Tenkorang, Cyrus Cooper, Sudan Prasad Neupane, Dan Poenaru, Veena S. Kulkarni, Naohiro Yonemoto, Elizabeth Glaser, Sergey Soshnikov, Ziad A. Memish, Paul N. Jensen, Fabiola Mejía-Rodríguez, Ana C. Garcia, Rakhi Dandona, Emilie Agardh, Katherine B Gibney, Vasco Manuel Pedro Machado, Michelle L. Bell, David M. Pereira, Muluemebet Abera Wordofa, Samantha M. Colquhoun, Elena Alvarez, Stephen G. Waller, Ketevan Gambashidze, Eduardo Bernabé, Rafael Lozano, Damian G Hoy, Miltiadis K. Tsilimbaris, Hebe N. Gouda, Muhammad Imran Nisar, Zanfina Ademi, Andrew L. Thorne-Lyman, Denis Nash, Dima M. Qato, Luca Ronfani, Nobhojit Roy, Donald H. Silberberg, Monica S. Vavilala, Lydia S. Atkins, Hans W. Hoek, Muluken Dessalegn, David C. Schwebel, Christopher C. Mapoma, Jost B. Jonas, Tolesa Bekele, Lalit Dandona, Borja del Pozo-Cruz, Sumeet S. Chugh, Johan Ärnlöv, Tariku Jibat Beyene, Melvin Barrientos Marzan, Ami R. Moore, Marie Ng, Maigeng Zhou, Samia Alhabib, Massimo Cirillo, Soraya Seedat, Paul S. F. Yip, Nima Hafezi-Nejad, Amelia Bertozzi-Villa, Kebede Deribe, John Nelson Opio, Peter J. Allen, Marina Shakh-Nazarova, Bach Xuan Tran, Arsène Kouablan Adou, Yingfeng Zheng, Julio Cesar Montañez Hernandez, Yong Zhao, Nelson Alvis-Guzman, Bulat Idrisov, Alireza Esteghamati, Seok Jun Yoon, Kathryn H. Jacobsen, Kassebaum, Nicholas J., Bertozzi-Villa, Amelia, Coggeshall, Megan S., Shackelford, Katya A., Steiner, Caitlyn, Heuton, Kyle R., Gonzalez-Medina, Diego, Barber, Ryan, Huynh, Chantal, Dicker, Daniel, Templin, Tara, Wolock, Timothy M., Ozgoren, Ayse Abbasoglu, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abera, Semaw Ferede, Abubakar, Ibrahim, Achoki, Tom, Adelekan, Ademola, Ademi, Zanfina, Adou, Arsène Kouablan, Adsuar, José C., Agardh, Emilie E., Akena, Dicken, Alasfoor, Deena, Alemu, Zewdie Aderaw, Alfonso-Cristancho, Rafael, Alhabib, Samia, Ali, Raghib, Al Kahbouri, Mazin J., Alla, Françoi, Allen, Peter J., Almazroa, Mohammad A., Alsharif, Ubai, Alvarez, Elena, Alvis-Guzmán, Nelson, Amankwaa, Adansi A., Amare, Azmeraw T., Amini, Hassan, Ammar, Walid, Antonio, Carl A.T., Anwari, Palwasha, Ärnlöv, Johan, Arsenijevic, Valentina S. Arsic, Artaman, Ali, Asad, Majed Masoud, Asghar, Rana J., Assadi, Reza, Atkins, Lydia S., Badawi, Alaa, Balakrishnan, Kalpana, Basu, Arindam, Basu, Sanjay, Beardsley, Justin, Bedi, Neeraj, Bekele, Tolesa, Bell, Michelle L., Bernabe, Eduardo, Beyene, Tariku J., Bhutta, Zulfiqar, Abdulhak, Aref Bin, Blore, Jed D., Basara, Berrak Bora, Bose, Dipan, Breitborde, Nichola, Cárdenas, Rosario, Castañeda-Orjuela, Carlos A., Castro, Ruben Estanislao, Catalá-López, Ferrán, Cavlin, Alanur, Chang, Jung-Chen, Che, Xuan, Christophi, Costas A., Chugh, Sumeet S., Cirillo, Massimo, Colquhoun, Samantha M., Cooper, Leslie Trumbull, Cooper, Cyru, Da Costa Leite, Iuri, Dandona, Lalit, Dandona, Rakhi, Davis, Adrian, Dayama, Anand, Degenhardt, Louisa, De Leo, Diego, Del Pozo-Cruz, Borja, Deribe, Kebede, Dessalegn, Muluken, Deveber, Gabrielle A., Dharmaratne, Samath D., Dilmen, Uʇur, Ding, Eric L., Dorrington, Rob E., Driscoll, Tim R., Ermakov, Sergei Petrovich, Esteghamati, Alireza, Faraon, Emerito Jose A., Farzadfar, Farshad, Felicio, Manuela Mendonca, Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad, De Lima, Graça Maria Ferreira, Forouzanfar, Mohammad H., França, Elisabeth B., Gaffikin, Lynne, Gambashidze, Ketevan, Gankpé, Fortuné Gbètoho, Garcia, Ana C., Geleijnse, Johanna M., Gibney, Katherine B., Giroud, Maurice, Glaser, Elizabeth L., Goginashvili, Ketevan, Gona, Philimon, González-Castell, Dinorah, Goto, Atsushi, Gouda, Hebe N., Gugnani, Harish Chander, Gupta, Rahul, Gupta, Rajeev, Hafezi-Nejad, Nima, Hamadeh, Randah Ribhi, Hammami, Mouhanad, Hankey, Graeme J., Harb, Hilda L., Havmoeller, Rasmu, Hay, Simon I., Pi, Ileana B. Heredia, Hoek, Hans W., Hosgood, H Dean, Hoy, Damian G., Husseini, Abdullatif, Idrisov, Bulat T., Innos, Kaire, Inoue, Manami, Jacobsen, Kathryn H., Jahangir, Eiman, Jee, Sun Ha, Jensen, Paul N., Jha, Vivekanand, Jiang, Guohong, Jonas, Jost B., Juel, Knud, Kabagambe, Edmond Kato, Kan, Haidong, Karam, Nadim E., Karch, André, Karema, Corine Kakizi, Kaul, Anil, Kawakami, Norito, Kazanjan, Konstantin, Kazi, Dhruv S., Kemp, Andrew H., Kengne, Andre Pascal, Kereselidze, Maia, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khalifa, Shams Eldin Ali Hassan, Khan, Ejaz Ahmed, Khang, Young-Ho, Knibbs, Luke, Kokubo, Yoshihiro, Kosen, Soewarta, Defo, Barthelemy Kuate, Kulkarni, Chanda, Kulkarni, Veena S., Kumar, G. Anil, Kumar, Kaushalendra, Kumar, Ravi B., Kwan, Gene, Lai, Taavi, Lalloo, Ratilal, Lam, Hilton, Lansingh, Van C., Larsson, Ander, Lee, Jong-Tae, Leigh, Jame, Leinsalu, Mall, Leung, Ricky, Li, Xiaohong, Li, Yichong, Li, Yongmei, Liang, Juan, Liang, Xiaofeng, Lim, Stephen S., Lin, Hsien-Ho, Lipshultz, Steven E., Liu, Shiwei, Liu, Yang, Lloyd, Belinda K., London, Stephanie J., Lotufo, Paulo A., Ma, Jixiang, Ma, Stefan, Machado, Vasco Manuel Pedro, Mainoo, Nana Kwaku, Majdan, Marek, Mapoma, Christopher Chabila, Marcenes, Wagner, Marzan, Melvin Barriento, Mason-Jones, Amanda J., Mehndiratta, Man Mohan, Mejia-Rodriguez, Fabiola, Memish, Ziad A., Mendoza, Walter, Miller, Ted R., Mills, Edward J., Mokdad, Ali H., Mola, Glen Liddell, Monasta, Lorenzo, De La Cruz Monis, Jonathan, Hernandez, Julio Cesar Montañez, Moore, Ami R., Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar, Mori, Rintaro, Mueller, Ulrich O., Mukaigawara, Mitsuru, Naheed, Aliya, Naidoo, Kovin S., Nand, Devina, Nangia, Vinay, Nash, Deni, Nejjari, Chakib, Nelson, Robert G., Neupane, Sudan Prasad, Newton, Charles R., Ng, Marie, Nieuwenhuijsen, Mark J., Nisar, Muhammad Imran, Nolte, Sandra, Norheim, Ole F., Nyakarahuka, Luke, Oh, In-Hwan, Ohkubo, Takayoshi, Olusanya, Bolajoko O., Omer, Saad B., Opio, John Nelson, Orisakwe, Orish Ebere, Pandian, Jeyaraj D., Papachristou, Christina, Park, Jae-Hyun, Paternina Caicedo, Angel J., Patten, Scott B., Paul, Vinod K., Pavlin, Boris Igor, Pearce, Neil, Pereira, David M., Pesudovs, Konrad, Petzold, Max, Poenaru, Dan, Polanczyk, Guilherme V., Polinder, Suzanne, Pope, Dan, Pourmalek, Farshad, Qato, Dima, Quistberg, D. Alex, Rafay, Anwar, Rahimi, Kazem, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Ur Rahman, Sajjad, Raju, Murugesan, Rana, Saleem M., Refaat, Amany, Ronfani, Luca, Roy, Nobhojit, Pimienta, Tania Georgina Sánchez, Sahraian, Mohammad Ali, Salomon, Joshua A., Sampson, Uchechukwu, Santos, Itamar S., Sawhney, Monika, Sayinzoga, Felix, Schneider, Ione J.C., Schumacher, Austin, Schwebel, David C., Seedat, Soraya, Sepanlou, Sadaf G., Servan-Mori, Edson E., Shakh-Nazarova, Marina, Sheikhbahaei, Sara, Shibuya, Kenji, Shin, Hwashin Hyun, Shiue, Ivy, Sigfusdottir, Inga Dora, Silberberg, Donald H., Silva, Andrea P., Singh, Jasvinder A., Skirbekk, Vegard, Sliwa, Karen, Soshnikov, Sergey S., Sposato, Luciano A., Sreeramareddy, Chandrashekhar T., Stroumpoulis, Konstantino, Sturua, Lela, Sykes, Bryan L., Tabb, Karen M., Talongwa, Roberto Tchio, Tan, Feng, Teixeira, Carolina Maria, Tenkorang, Eric Yeboah, Terkawi, Abdullah Sulieman, Thorne-Lyman, Andrew L., Tirschwell, David L., Towbin, Jeffrey A., Tran, Bach X., Tsilimbaris, Miltiadi, Uchendu, Uche S., Ukwaja, Kingsley N., Undurraga, Eduardo A., Uzun, Selen Begüm, Vallely, Andrew J., Van Gool, Coen H., Vasankari, Tommi J., Vavilala, Monica S., Venketasubramanian, N., Villalpando, Salvador, Violante, Francesco S., Vlassov, Vasiliy Victorovich, Vos, Theo, Waller, Stephen, Wang, Haidong, Wang, Linhong, Wang, Xiao Rong, Wang, Yanping, Weichenthal, Scott, Weiderpass, Elisabete, Weintraub, Robert G., Westerman, Ronny, Wilkinson, James D., Woldeyohannes, Solomon Meseret, Wong, John Q., Wordofa, Muluemebet Abera, Xu, Gelin, Yang, Yang C., Yano, Yuichiro, Yentur, Gokalp Kadri, Yip, Paul, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Yoon, Seok-Jun, Younis, Mustafa Z., Yu, Chuanhua, Jin, Kim Yun, El Sayed Zaki, Maysaa, Zhao, Yong, Zheng, Yingfeng, Zhou, Maigeng, Zhu, Jun, Zou, Xiao Nong, Lopez, Alan D., Naghavi, Mohsen, Murray, Christopher J.L., Lozano, Rafael, Kassebaum, Nj, Bertozzi-Villa, A, Coggeshall, M, Shackelford, Ka, Steiner, C, Heuton, Kr, Gonzalez-Medina, D, Barber, R, Huynh, C, Dicker, D, Templin, T, Wolock, Tm, Ozgoren, Aa, Abd-Allah, F, Abera, Sf, Achoki, T, Adelekan, A, Ademi, Z, Adou, Ak, Adsuar, Jc, Agardh, Ee, Akena, D, Alasfoor, D, Alemu, Za, Alfonso-Cristancho, R, Alhabib, S, Ali, R, Al Kahbouri, Mj, Alla, F, Allen, Pj, Almazroa, Ma, Alsharif, U, Alvarez, E, Alvis-Guzmán, N, Amankwaa, Aa, Amare, At, Amini, H, Ammar, W, Antonio, Ca, Anwari, P, Arnlöv, J, Arsenijevic, V, Artaman, A, Asad, Mm, Asghar, Rj, Assadi, R, Atkins, L, Badawi, A, Balakrishnan, K, Basu, A, Basu, S, Beardsley, J, Bedi, N, Bekele, T, Bell, Ml, Bernabe, E, Beyene, Tj, Bhutta, Z, Bin Abdulhak, A, Blore, J, Basara, Bb, Bose, D, Breitborde, N, Cárdenas, R, Castañeda-Orjuela, Ca, Castro, Re, Catalá-López, F, Cavlin, A, Chang, Jc, Che, X, Christophi, Ca, Chugh, S, Cirillo, M, Colquhoun, Sm, Cooper, Lt, Cooper, C, da Costa Leite, I, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Davis, A, Dayama, A, Degenhardt, L, De Leo, D, Del Pozo-Cruz, B, Deribe, K, Dessalegn, M, Deveber, Ga, Dharmaratne, Sd, Dilmen, U, Ding, El, Dorrington, Re, Driscoll, Tr, Ermakov, Sp, Esteghamati, A, Faraon, Ej, Farzadfar, F, Felicio, Mm, Fereshtehnejad, Sm, de Lima, Gm, Forouzanfar, Mh, França, Eb, Gaffikin, L, Gambashidze, K, Gankpé, Fg, Garcia, Ac, Geleijnse, Jm, Gibney, Kb, Giroud, M, Glaser, El, Goginashvili, K, Gona, P, González-Castell, D, Goto, A, Gouda, Hn, Gugnani, Hc, Gupta, R, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Hamadeh, Rr, Hammami, M, Hankey, Gj, Harb, Hl, Havmoeller, R, Hay, S, Pi, Ib, Hoek, Hw, Hosgood, Hd, Hoy, Dg, Husseini, A, Idrisov, Bt, Innos, K, Inoue, M, Jacobsen, Kh, Jahangir, E, Jee, Sh, Jensen, Pn, Jha, V, Jiang, G, Juel, K, Kabagambe, Ek, Kan, H, Karam, Ne, Karch, A, Karema, Ck, Kaul, A, Kawakami, N, Kazanjan, K, Kazi, D, Kemp, Ag, Kengne, Ap, Kereselidze, M, Khader, Y, Khalifa, Se, Khan, Ea, Khang, Yh, Knibbs, L, Kokubo, Y, Kosen, S, Defo, Bk, Kulkarni, C, Kulkarni, V, Kumar, Ga, Kumar, K, Kumar, Rb, Kwan, G, Lai, T, Lalloo, R, Lam, H, Lansingh, Vc, Larsson, A, Lee, Jt, Leigh, J, Leinsalu, M, Leung, R, Li, X, Li, Y, Liang, J, Liang, X, Lim, S, Lin, Hh, Lipshultz, Se, Liu, S, Liu, Y, Lloyd, Bk, London, Sj, Lotufo, Pa, Ma, J, Ma, S, Machado, Vm, Mainoo, Nk, Majdan, M, Mapoma, Cc, Marcenes, W, Marzan, Mb, Mason-Jones, Aj, Mehndiratta, Mm, Mejia-Rodriguez, F, Memish, Za, Mendoza, W, Miller, Tr, Mills, Ej, Mokdad, Ah, Mola, Gl, Monasta, L, de la Cruz Monis, J, Hernandez, Jc, Moore, Ar, Mori, R, Mueller, Uo, Mukaigawara, M, Naheed, A, Naidoo, K, Nand, D, Nangia, V, Nash, D, Nejjari, C, Nelson, Rg, Neupane, Sp, Newton, Cr, Ng, M, Nieuwenhuijsen, Mj, Nisar, Mi, Nolte, S, Norheim, Of, Nyakarahuka, L, Oh, Ih, Ohkubo, T, Olusanya, Bo, Omer, Sb, Opio, Jn, Orisakwe, Oe, Pandian, Jd, Papachristou, C, Park, Jh, Caicedo, Aj, Patten, Sb, Paul, Vk, Pavlin, Bi, Pearce, N, Pereira, Dm, Pesudovs, K, Petzold, M, Poenaru, D, Polanczyk, Gv, Polinder, S, Pope, D, Pourmalek, F, Qato, D, Quistberg, Da, Rafay, A, Rahimi, K, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Ur Rahman, S, Raju, M, Rana, Sm, Refaat, A, Ronfani, L, Roy, N, Pimienta, Tg, Sahraian, Ma, Salomon, J, Sampson, U, Santos, I, Sawhney, M, Sayinzoga, F, Schneider, Ij, Schumacher, A, Schwebel, Dc, Seedat, S, Sepanlou, Sg, Servan-Mori, Ee, Shakh-Nazarova, M, Sheikhbahaei, S, Shibuya, K, Shin, Hh, Shiue, I, Sigfusdottir, Id, Silberberg, Dh, Silva, Ap, Singh, Ja, Skirbekk, V, Sliwa, K, Soshnikov, S, Sposato, La, Sreeramareddy, Ct, Stroumpoulis, K, Sturua, L, Sykes, Bl, Tabb, Km, Talongwa, Rt, Tan, F, Teixeira, Cm, Tenkorang, Ey, Terkawi, A, Thorne-Lyman, Al, Tirschwell, Dl, Towbin, Ja, Tran, Bx, Tsilimbaris, M, Uchendu, U, Ukwaja, Kn, Undurraga, Ea, Uzun, Sb, Vallely, Aj, van Gool, Ch, Vasankari, Tj, Vavilala, M, Venketasubramanian, N, Villalpando, S, Violante, F, Vlassov, Vv, Vos, T, Waller, S, Wang, H, Wang, L, Wang, Sx, Wang, Y, Weichenthal, S, Weiderpass, E, Weintraub, Rg, Westerman, R, Wilkinson, Jd, Woldeyohannes, Sm, Wong, Jq, Wordofa, Ma, Xu, G, Yang, Yc, Yano, Y, Yentur, Gk, Yip, P, Yonemoto, N, Yoon, Sj, Younis, Mz, Yu, C, Jin, Ky, El Sayed Zaki, M, Zhao, Y, Zheng, Y, Zhou, M, Zhu, J, Zou, Xn, Lopez, Ad, Naghavi, M, Murray, Cj, Lozano, R, Cell biology, Epidemiology, Public Health, Erasmus MC other, Cardiothoracic Surgery, and Pathology
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Pediatrics ,Time Factors ,Nutrition and Disease ,hiv-infection ,immunodeficiency virus-1 infection ,peripartum cardiomyopathy ,Poison control ,HIV Infections ,IMMUNODEFICIENCY VIRUS-1 INFECTION ,Socioeconomic Factor ,Global Health ,0302 clinical medicine ,PERIPARTUM CARDIOMYOPATHY ,pregnancy-related mortality ,Risk Factors ,Pregnancy ,Voeding en Ziekte ,Cause of Death ,Global health ,HIV Infection ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Pregnancy Complications, Infectious ,10. No inequality ,Cause of death ,030219 obstetrics & reproductive medicine ,south-africa ,Medicine (all) ,1. No poverty ,WOMEN ,PREGNANCY-RELATED MORTALITY ,health initiatives ,General Medicine ,SOUTH-AFRICA ,3. Good health ,Maternal Mortality ,World Health ,CHILD SURVIVAL ,Female ,Maternal death ,women ,Human ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Time Factor ,DEATHS ,child survival ,Article ,adult mortality ,03 medical and health sciences ,Age Distribution ,HEALTH INITIATIVES ,SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being ,HIV-INFECTION ,ADULT MORTALITY ,Injury prevention ,medicine ,Organizational Objectives ,Organizational Objective ,Humans ,VLAG ,Models, Statistical ,business.industry ,Risk Factor ,medicine.disease ,deaths ,Standardized mortality ratio ,Socioeconomic Factors ,Relative risk ,Pregnancy Complications, Infectiou ,business ,Demography - Abstract
BACKGROUND: The fifth Millennium Development Goal (MDG 5) established the goal of a 75% reduction in the maternal mortality ratio (MMR; number of maternal deaths per 100,000 livebirths) between 1990 and 2015. We aimed to measure levels and track trends in maternal mortality, the key causes contributing to maternal death, and timing of maternal death with respect to delivery.METHODS: We used robust statistical methods including the Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODEm) to analyse a database of data for 7065 site-years and estimate the number of maternal deaths from all causes in 188 countries between 1990 and 2013. We estimated the number of pregnancy-related deaths caused by HIV on the basis of a systematic review of the relative risk of dying during pregnancy for HIV-positive women compared with HIV-negative women. We also estimated the fraction of these deaths aggravated by pregnancy on the basis of a systematic review. To estimate the numbers of maternal deaths due to nine different causes, we identified 61 sources from a systematic review and 943 site-years of vital registration data. We also did a systematic review of reports about the timing of maternal death, identifying 142 sources to use in our analysis. We developed estimates for each country for 1990-2013 using Bayesian meta-regression. We estimated 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for all values.FINDINGS: 292,982 (95% UI 261,017-327,792) maternal deaths occurred in 2013, compared with 376,034 (343,483-407,574) in 1990. The global annual rate of change in the MMR was -0·3% (-1·1 to 0·6) from 1990 to 2003, and -2·7% (-3·9 to -1·5) from 2003 to 2013, with evidence of continued acceleration. MMRs reduced consistently in south, east, and southeast Asia between 1990 and 2013, but maternal deaths increased in much of sub-Saharan Africa during the 1990s. 2070 (1290-2866) maternal deaths were related to HIV in 2013, 0·4% (0·2-0·6) of the global total. MMR was highest in the oldest age groups in both 1990 and 2013. In 2013, most deaths occurred intrapartum or postpartum. Causes varied by region and between 1990 and 2013. We recorded substantial variation in the MMR by country in 2013, from 956·8 (685·1-1262·8) in South Sudan to 2·4 (1·6-3·6) in Iceland.INTERPRETATION: Global rates of change suggest that only 16 countries will achieve the MDG 5 target by 2015. Accelerated reductions since the Millennium Declaration in 2000 coincide with increased development assistance for maternal, newborn, and child health. Setting of targets and associated interventions for after 2015 will need careful consideration of regions that are making slow progress, such as west and central Africa.FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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- 2016
31. Global, regional, and national levels of neonatal, infant, and under-5 mortality during 1990-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013
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Karen Sliwa, Xiaofeng Liang, Vivekanand Jha, Dorairaj Prabhakaran, Rakhi Dandona, Gonghuan Yang, Xuan Che, Soewarta Kosen, Sergei Petrovich Ermakov, Ted R. Miller, Samath D Dharmaratne, Philimon Gona, Sergey Soshnikov, Atsushi Goto, Costas A. Christophi, Zacharie Tsala Dimbuene, Elena Alvarez, Yanping Wang, Peggy Pei-Chia Chiang, Mohammad H. Forouzanfar, Giancarlo Logroscino, Massimo Cirillo, Knud Juel, Johanna M. Geleijnse, Stefan Ma, Samaya Ismayilova, Karen Fern Greenwell, Michelle L. Bell, Saad B. Omer, Ademola Lukman Adelekan, Joshua A. Salomon, Dhruv S. Kazi, Jed D. Blore, Walid Ammar, Carly E Levitz, Kovin Naidoo, Solveig A. Cunningham, Stephen G. Waller, Anand Dayama, James D. Wilkinson, Vasiliki Stathopoulou, Meghan D. Mooney, Mall Leinsalu, Jonathan R. Carapetis, Paul S. F. Yip, Anders Larsson, Abbas Ali Mahdi, Hideaki Toyoshima, Guohong Jiang, Xia Wan, Chuanhua Yu, Soufiane Boufous, Ivy Shiue, Bulat Idrisov, Qing Lan, Chelsea A. Liddell, Austin E Schumacher, Valeria Caso, Nigel Bruce, Paulo A. Lotufo, Ibrahim Abubakar, Roberto Tchio Talongwa, Luke Nyakarahuka, Edward J Mills, Iuri da Costa Leite, Semaw Ferede Abera, Ana C. Garcia, Ayse Abbasoglu Ozgoren, Matthew M Coates, Konstantinos Stroumpoulis, Bradford D. Gessner, Kebede Deribe, Tommi Vasankari, Logan Sandar, Kenji Shibuya, Karen M. Tabb, Troy Jacobs, Christopher J L Murray, Chakib Nejjari, Katherine T. Lofgren, Melvin Barrientos Marzan, Haidong Wang, Joanna Moschandreas, Raimundas Lunevicius, Nataliya Foigt, Rashmi Gupta, Ziad A. Memish, Victoria Pillay-van Wyk, Randah R. Hamadeh, Azmeraw T. Amare, Lalit Dandona, Uchechukwu K.A. Sampson, Monika Sawhney, Vasiliy Victorovich Vlassov, Farhad Islami, Palwasha Anwari, Mustafa Z. Younis, Amitava Banerjee, Ruben Castro, David O. Carpenter, Karzan Abdulmuhsin Mohammad, Taavi Lai, Yousef Khader, Sara Sheikhbahaei, Atte Meretoja, Zanfina Ademi, Ivo Rakovac, Yang Yang, Hilda L Harb, Daniel Pope, Jun She, Yichong Li, Andrew L. Thorne-Lyman, Adrian Davis, Stein Emil Vollset, Andre Pascal Kengne, Henry Apfel, Mark J. Nieuwenhuijsen, John J. McGrath, Yoshihiro Kokubo, Jonas Minet Kinge, Elisabete Weiderpass, Rajiv Chowdhury, Damian G Hoy, Jürgen C Schmidt, Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad, Harish Chander Gugnani, Hywel C Williams, Karen Edmond, Peter J. Allen, Marina Shakh-Nazarova, Tom Achoki, Edmond K. Kabagambe, Naohiro Yonemoto, Jun Zhu, Simon I. Hay, Karen J. Courville, Ketevan Goginashvili, Theo Vos, Kim Yun Jin, Kawkab Shishani, Lorenzo Monasta, H. Dean Hosgood, Uʇur Dilmen, Marcella Montico, Shankuan Zhu, Ami R. Moore, Marie Ng, Maigeng Zhou, Hebe N. Gouda, Linh N Bui, Sanjay Basu, Mouhanad Hammami, Mohammad T Mashal, Bryan K. Phillips, Marissa Iannarone, Ronan A Lyons, Young-Ho Khang, Robert G. Weintraub, Luca Ronfani, Daniel Kim, Alanur Çavlin, Ferrán Catalá-López, Ronny Westerman, Maia Kereselidze, Itamar S. Santos, Reza Assadi, Hwashin Hyun Shin, Carolina Maria Teixeira, Berrak Bora Basara, David Rojas-Rueda, Abdullah Sulieman Terkawi, Adansi A. Amankwaa, Nicholas J K Breitborde, Gokalp Kadri Yentur, Kaushalendra Kumar, Daniel Obadare Fijabi, Neeraj Bedi, Robert Quentin Reilly, Ana Maria Nogales Vasconcelos, Scott Weichenthal, Mark A. Green, Selen Begüm Uzun, Mukesh Dherani, Shams Eldin Ali Hassan Khalifa, Majed Asad, Jasvinder A. Singh, Angel J Paternina Caicedo, Eric L. Ding, Jost B. Jonas, Tolesa Bekele, Alan J Thomson, Steven E. Lipshultz, Rosario Cárdenas, Sajjad Ur Rahman, George A. Mensah, Jongmin Lee, Inga Dora Sigfusdottir, Mohammad Yahya Saeedi, Magdalena M. Muszyńska, Ulrich O Mueller, Stephen S Lim, Barthelemy Kuate Defo, Alan D. Lopez, Luciano A. Sposato, G Anil Kumar, Farshad Pourmalek, Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Maysaa El Sayed Zaki, Shiwei Liu, K.M. Venkat Narayan, William Msemburi, Ting Wu Chuang, Zewdie Aderaw Alemu, Saleem M Rana, Mohammad Taghi Hedayati, Mohsen Naghavi, Vegard Skirbekk, Walter Mendoza, Ali H. Mokdad, Yohannes Kinfu, Jean de Dieu Ngirabega, Takayoshi Ohkubo, Parfait Uwaliraye, Tasara T. Mazorodze, Farshad Farzadfar, Rob E. Dorrington, Mohammad A. AlMazroa, R. Kumar, Lesley Rushton, Wang, H, Liddell, Ca, Coates, Mm, Mooney, Md, Levitz, Ce, Schumacher, Ae, Apfel, H, Iannarone, M, Phillips, B, Lofgren, Kt, Sandar, L, Dorrington, Re, Rakovac, I, Jacobs, Ta, Liang, X, Zhou, M, Zhu, J, Yang, G, Wang, Y, Liu, S, Li, Y, Ozgoren, Aa, Abera, Sf, Abubakar, I, Achoki, T, Adelekan, A, Ademi, Z, Alemu, Za, Allen, Pj, Almazroa, Ma, Alvarez, E, Amankwaa, Aa, Amare, At, Ammar, W, Anwari, P, Cunningham, Sa, Asad, Mm, Assadi, R, Banerjee, A, Basu, S, Bedi, N, Bekele, T, Bell, Ml, Bhutta, Z, Blore, J, Basara, Bb, Boufous, S, Breitborde, N, Bruce, Ng, Bui, Ln, Carapetis, Jr, Cárdenas, R, Carpenter, Do, Caso, V, Castro, Re, Catalá Lopéz, F, Cavlin, A, Che, X, Chiang, Pp, Chowdhury, R, Christophi, Ca, Chuang, Tw, Cirillo, Massimo, da Costa Leite, I, Courville, Kj, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Davis, A, Dayama, A, Deribe, K, Dharmaratne, Sd, Dherani, Mk, Dilmen, U, Ding, El, Edmond, Km, Ermakov, Sp, Farzadfar, F, Fereshtehnejad, Sm, Fijabi, Do, Foigt, N, Forouzanfar, Mh, Garcia, Ac, Geleijnse, Jm, Gessner, Bd, Goginashvili, K, Gona, P, Goto, A, Gouda, Hn, Green, Ma, Greenwell, Kf, Gugnani, Hc, Gupta, R, Hamadeh, Rr, Hammami, M, Harb, Hl, Hay, S, Hedayati, Mt, Hosgood, Hd, Hoy, Dg, Idrisov, Bt, Islami, F, Ismayilova, S, Jha, V, Jiang, G, Jonas, Jb, Juel, K, Kabagambe, Ek, Kazi, D, Kengne, Ap, Kereselidze, M, Khader, Y, Khalifa, Se, Khang, Yh, Kim, D, Kinfu, Y, Kinge, Jm, Kokubo, Y, Kosen, S, Defo, Bk, Kumar, Ga, Kumar, K, Kumar, Rb, Lai, T, Lan, Q, Larsson, A, Lee, Jt, Leinsalu, M, Lim, S, Lipshultz, Se, Logroscino, G, Lotufo, Pa, Lunevicius, R, Lyons, Ra, Ma, S, Mahdi, Aa, Marzan, Mb, Mashal, Mt, Mazorodze, Tt, Mcgrath, Jj, Memish, Za, Mendoza, W, Mensah, Ga, Meretoja, A, Miller, Tr, Mills, Ej, Mohammad, Ka, Mokdad, Ah, Monasta, L, Montico, M, Moore, Ar, Moschandreas, J, Msemburi, Wt, Mueller, Uo, Muszynska, Mm, Naghavi, M, Naidoo, K, Narayan, Kv, Nejjari, C, Ng, M, de Dieu Ngirabega, J, Nieuwenhuijsen, Mj, Nyakarahuka, L, Ohkubo, T, Omer, Sb, Caicedo, Aj, Wyk, Vp, Pope, D, Prabhakaran, D, Rahman, Su, Rana, Sm, Reilly, Rq, Rojas Rueda, D, Ronfani, L, Rushton, L, Saeedi, My, Salomon, J, Sampson, U, Santos, I, Sawhney, M, Schmidt, Jc, Shakh Nazarova, M, She, J, Sheikhbahaei, S, Shibuya, K, Shin, Hh, Shishani, K, Shiue, I, Sigfusdottir, Id, Singh, Ja, Skirbekk, V, Sliwa, K, Soshnikov, S, Sposato, La, Stathopoulou, Vk, Stroumpoulis, K, Tabb, Km, Talongwa, Rt, Teixeira, Cm, Terkawi, A, Thomson, Aj, Thorne Lyman, Al, Toyoshima, H, Dimbuene, Zt, Uwaliraye, P, Uzun, Sb, Vasankari, Tj, Vasconcelos, Am, Vlassov, Vv, Vollset, Se, Vos, T, Waller, S, Wan, X, Weichenthal, S, Weiderpass, E, Weintraub, Rg, Westerman, R, Wilkinson, Jd, Williams, Hc, Yang, Yc, Yentur, Gk, Yip, P, Yonemoto, N, Younis, M, Yu, C, Jin, Ky, El Sayed Zaki, M, Zhu, S, Lopez, Ad, and Murray, C. J.
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trends ,Pediatrics ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Nutrition and Disease ,democracy ,Developing country ,coverage ,VDP::Medisinske fag: 700::Helsefag: 800::Epidemiologi medisinsk og odontologisk statistikk: 803 ,millennium development goals ,Global Health ,survival ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Risk Factors ,030225 pediatrics ,Voeding en Ziekte ,Infant Mortality ,Global health ,Humans ,Organizational Objectives ,Medicine ,030212 general & internal medicine ,10. No inequality ,VLAG ,business.industry ,Mortality rate ,Infant, Newborn ,1. No poverty ,Infant ,health ,General Medicine ,Millennium Development Goals ,Infant mortality ,maternal education ,3. Good health ,Secular variation ,Child mortality ,Socioeconomic Factors ,income countries ,Child, Preschool ,Child Mortality ,developing-countries ,VDP::Midical sciences: 700::Health sciences: 800::Epidemiology, medical and dental statistics: 803 ,International development ,business ,Demography ,child-mortality - Abstract
Summary Background Remarkable financial and political efforts have been focused on the reduction of child mortality during the past few decades. Timely measurements of levels and trends in under-5 mortality are important to assess progress towards the Millennium Development Goal 4 (MDG 4) target of reduction of child mortality by two thirds from 1990 to 2015, and to identify models of success. Methods We generated updated estimates of child mortality in early neonatal (age 0–6 days), late neonatal (7–28 days), postneonatal (29–364 days), childhood (1–4 years), and under-5 (0–4 years) age groups for 188 countries from 1970 to 2013, with more than 29 000 survey, census, vital registration, and sample registration datapoints. We used Gaussian process regression with adjustments for bias and non-sampling error to synthesise the data for under-5 mortality for each country, and a separate model to estimate mortality for more detailed age groups. We used explanatory mixed effects regression models to assess the association between under-5 mortality and income per person, maternal education, HIV child death rates, secular shifts, and other factors. To quantify the contribution of these different factors and birth numbers to the change in numbers of deaths in under-5 age groups from 1990 to 2013, we used Shapley decomposition. We used estimated rates of change between 2000 and 2013 to construct under-5 mortality rate scenarios out to 2030. Findings We estimated that 6·3 million (95% UI 6·0–6·6) children under-5 died in 2013, a 64% reduction from 17·6 million (17·1–18·1) in 1970. In 2013, child mortality rates ranged from 152·5 per 1000 livebirths (130·6–177·4) in Guinea-Bissau to 2·3 (1·8–2·9) per 1000 in Singapore. The annualised rates of change from 1990 to 2013 ranged from −6·8% to 0·1%. 99 of 188 countries, including 43 of 48 countries in sub-Saharan Africa, had faster decreases in child mortality during 2000–13 than during 1990–2000. In 2013, neonatal deaths accounted for 41·6% of under-5 deaths compared with 37·4% in 1990. Compared with 1990, in 2013, rising numbers of births, especially in sub-Saharan Africa, led to 1·4 million more child deaths, and rising income per person and maternal education led to 0·9 million and 2·2 million fewer deaths, respectively. Changes in secular trends led to 4·2 million fewer deaths. Unexplained factors accounted for only −1% of the change in child deaths. In 30 developing countries, decreases since 2000 have been faster than predicted attributable to income, education, and secular shift alone. Interpretation Only 27 developing countries are expected to achieve MDG 4. Decreases since 2000 in under-5 mortality rates are accelerating in many developing countries, especially in sub-Saharan Africa. The Millennium Declaration and increased development assistance for health might have been a factor in faster decreases in some developing countries. Without further accelerated progress, many countries in west and central Africa will still have high levels of under-5 mortality in 2030. Funding Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, US Agency for International Development.
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- 2014
32. Anthropometry for predicting cardiometabolic disease risk factors in adolescents.
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Xie L, Kim J, Almandoz JP, Clark J, Mathew MS, Cartwright BR, Barlow SE, Lipshultz SE, and Messiah SE
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- Humans, Adolescent, Male, Cross-Sectional Studies, Female, Young Adult, Child, Hypertension epidemiology, Hypertension ethnology, Cardiovascular Diseases epidemiology, Cardiovascular Diseases etiology, Hyperglycemia epidemiology, Hyperglycemia ethnology, Hyperglycemia diagnosis, Hypertriglyceridemia ethnology, Hypertriglyceridemia epidemiology, Prevalence, Predictive Value of Tests, Hispanic or Latino statistics & numerical data, Risk Factors, Cholesterol, HDL blood, United States epidemiology, White People statistics & numerical data, Cardiometabolic Risk Factors, Waist Circumference, Body Mass Index, Nutrition Surveys, Waist-Hip Ratio, Anthropometry
- Abstract
Objective: Early screening prevents chronic diseases by identifying at-risk adolescents through anthropometric measurements, but predictive value in diverse groups is uncertain., Methods: A cross-sectional analysis of 12- to 19-year-old individuals from the 2017-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) assessed the predictive ability of BMI percentile, total body fat percentage, waist circumference (WC), and waist-hip ratio (WHR) for four cardiometabolic risk factors across race and ethnicity groups using receiver operating characteristic curves., Results: The unweighted sample (N = 1194; 51.2% male individuals; 23.7% Hispanic, 13.2% non-Hispanic Black [NHB], 51.1% non-Hispanic White [NHW], 12.0% other/multirace) had a weighted prevalence of elevated blood pressure of 2.7%, hyperglycemia of 36.8%, hypertriglyceridemia of 4.8%, and low high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol of 15%. WHR (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.77), WC (AUC = 0.77), and BMI percentile (AUC = 0.73) outperformed total body fat percentage (AUC = 0.56) in predicting elevated blood pressure (p < 0.001 for all). BMI percentile was more accurate than total body fat percentage in predicting hypertriglyceridemia (AUC = 0.70 vs. 0.59; p = 0.02) and low HDL cholesterol (AUC = 0.69 vs. 0.59; p < 0.001). Race and ethnicity-based predictions varied: NHW adolescents had the highest AUC (0.89; p < 0.01) for elevated blood pressure prediction compared with Hispanic and NHB adolescents (AUC = 0.77 for both). Total body fat percentage was more accurate in predicting low HDL cholesterol among Hispanic versus NHW adolescents (AUC = 0.73 vs. 0.58; p = 0.04)., Conclusions: WHR, WC, and BMI percentile are better predictors of cardiometabolic risk factors in adolescents than total body fat percentage. Predictive abilities differed by race and ethnicity, highlighting the importance of tailored risk assessment strategies., (© 2024 The Obesity Society.)
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- 2024
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33. NT-proBNP for Predicting All-Cause Death and Heart Transplant in Children and Adults with Heart Failure.
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Schmitt W, Diedrich C, Hamza TH, Meyer M, Eissing T, Breitenstein S, Rossano JW, and Lipshultz SE
- Abstract
Plasma N-terminal prohormone B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) concentration is a heart failure (HF) biomarker in adults and children. Its prognostic value for HF-related events has been established only in adults. Therefore, we aimed to test the hypothesis that plasma NT-proBNP concentrations predicted the risk of heart transplantation or death in children with HF. We studied the medical records of 109 children with HF enrolled in the IBM Watson Explorys database and from 150 children enrolled in the Pediatric Cardiomyopathy Registry (PCMR). Nonlinear regression was used to assess the relationship between plasma NT-proBNP concentrations and the risk of events in the two cohorts. All children in the PCMR cohort had dilated cardiomyopathy. The Explorys cohort also included children with congenital cardiovascular malformations. Median plasma NT-proBNP concentrations were 1250 pg/mL and 184 pg/mL in the Explorys and PCMR cohorts, respectively. The percentage of deaths/heart transplantations was 7%/22%, over 2 years in the Explorys cohort and 3%/16% over 5 years in the PCMR cohort. Mean estimates of plasma NT-proBNP concentration indicative of half-maximum relative risk for events (EC
50 values) at 2 and 5 years were 3730 pg/mL and 4199 pg/mL, respectively, values both close to the mean of 3880 pg/mL established for adults with HF. The plasma NT-proBNP concentration is suitable for estimating relative risk of mortality and heart transplantation in children with HF, independent of etiology and shows similar relations to clinical outcomes as in adults, indicating its likely value as a surrogate marker both for adult and pediatric HF.ClinicalTrials.gov Identifiers: NCT00005391 (May 26, 2000), NCT01873976 (June 10, 2013)., (© 2024. The Author(s).)- Published
- 2024
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34. Genetic Testing Resources and Practice Patterns Among Pediatric Cardiomyopathy Programs.
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Godown J, Kim EH, Everitt MD, Chung WK, Lytrivi ID, Kirmani S, Kantor PF, Ware SM, Ballweg JA, Lal AK, Bansal N, Towbin J, Lipshultz SE, and Lee TM
- Abstract
The use of genetic testing has enhanced the diagnostic accuracy of heritable genetic cardiomyopathies. However, it remains unclear how genetic information is interpreted and incorporated into clinical practice for children with cardiomyopathy. The primary aim of this study was to understand how clinical practice differs regarding sequence variant classifications amongst pediatric cardiologists who treat children with cardiomyopathy. A secondary aim was to understand the availability of genetic testing and counseling resources across participating pediatric cardiomyopathy programs. An electronic survey was distributed to pediatric heart failure, cardiomyopathy, or heart transplantation physicians between August and September 2022. A total of 106 individual providers from 68 unique centers responded to the survey. Resources for genetic testing and genetic counseling vary among large pediatric cardiomyopathy programs. A minority of centers reported having a geneticist (N = 16, 23.5%) or a genetic counselor (N = 21, 31%) on faculty within the division of pediatric cardiology. A total of 9 centers reported having both (13%). Few centers (N = 13, 19%) have a formal process in place to re-engage patients who were previously discharged from cardiology follow-up if variant reclassification would alter clinical management. Clinical practice patterns were uniform in response to pathogenic or likely pathogenic variants but were more variable for variants of uncertain significance. Efforts to better incorporate genetic expertise and resources into the clinical practice of pediatric cardiomyopathy may help to standardize the interpretation of genetic information and better inform clinical decision-making surrounding heritable cardiomyopathies., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
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- 2024
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35. Progressive Left Ventricular Remodeling for Predicting Mortality in Children With Dilated Cardiomyopathy: The Pediatric Cardiomyopathy Registry.
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Kantor PF, Shi L, Colan SD, Orav EJ, Wilkinson JD, Hamza TH, Webber SA, Canter CE, Towbin JA, Everitt MD, Pahl E, Ware SM, Rusconi PG, Lamour JM, Jefferies JL, Addonizio LJ, and Lipshultz SE
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- Child, Humans, Ventricular Remodeling, Ventricular Function, Left, Registries, Cardiomyopathy, Dilated, Cardiomyopathies
- Abstract
Background: Pediatric dilated cardiomyopathy often leads to death or cardiac transplantation. We sought to determine whether changes in left ventricular (LV) end-diastolic dimension (LVEDD), LV end-diastolic posterior wall thickness, and LV fractional shortening (LVFS) over time may help predict adverse outcomes., Methods and Results: We studied children up to 18 years old with dilated cardiomyopathy, enrolled between 1990 and 2009 in the Pediatric Cardiomyopathy Registry. Changes in LVFS, LVEDD, LV end-diastolic posterior wall thickness, and the LV end-diastolic posterior wall thickness:LVEDD ratio between baseline and follow-up echocardiograms acquired ≈1 year after diagnosis were determined for children who, at the 1-year follow-up had died, received a heart transplant, or were alive and transplant-free. Within 1 year after diagnosis, 40 (5.0%) of the 794 eligible children had died, 117 (14.7%) had undergone cardiac transplantation, and 585 (73.7%) had survived without transplantation. At diagnosis, survivors had higher median LVFS and lower median LVEDD Z scores. Median LVFS and LVEDD Z scores improved among survivors ( Z score changes of +2.6 and -1.1, respectively) but remained stable or worsened in the other 2 groups. The LV end-diastolic posterior wall thickness:LVEDD ratio increased in survivors only, suggesting beneficial reverse LV remodeling. The risk for death or cardiac transplantation up to 7 years later was lower when LVFS was improved at 1 year (hazard ratio [HR], 0.83; P =0.004) but was higher in those with progressive LV dilation (HR, 1.45; P <0.001)., Conclusions: Progressive deterioration in LV contractile function and increasing LV dilation are associated with both early and continuing mortality in children with dilated cardiomyopathy. Serial echocardiographic monitoring of these children is therefore indicated., Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT00005391.
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- 2024
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36. Multimodality Imaging for Cardiac Surveillance of Cancer Treatment in Children: Recommendations From the American Society of Echocardiography.
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Mertens L, Singh G, Armenian S, Chen MH, Dorfman AL, Garg R, Husain N, Joshi V, Leger KJ, Lipshultz SE, Lopez-Mattei J, Narayan HK, Parthiban A, Pignatelli RH, Toro-Salazar O, Wasserman M, and Wheatley J
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- Child, Humans, Echocardiography, Heart, Multimodal Imaging, United States epidemiology, Neoplasms diagnosis
- Abstract
Competing Interests: Conflicts of Interest S.E.L. was a consultant to Clinigen Group. A.P. was Principal Investigator for Philips to test next-generation transducers and ultrasound equipment. K.J.L. received honoraria for participation on the Advisory Board for Jazz Pharmaceuticals and Abbott Laboratories. The remaining authors have nothing to disclose.
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- 2023
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37. Cardiac imaging and biomarkers for assessing myocardial fibrosis in children with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.
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Kirmani S, Woodard PK, Shi L, Hamza TH, Canter CE, Colan SD, Pahl E, Towbin JA, Webber SA, Rossano JW, Everitt MD, Molina KM, Kantor PF, Jefferies JL, Feingold B, Addonizio LJ, Ware SM, Chung WK, Ballweg JA, Lee TM, Bansal N, Razoky H, Czachor J, Lunze FI, Marcus E, Commean P, Wilkinson JD, and Lipshultz SE
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- Adult, Humans, Child, Infant, Child, Preschool, Adolescent, Prospective Studies, Gadolinium, Fibrosis, Biomarkers, Magnetic Resonance Imaging, Cine, Myocardium pathology, Contrast Media, Cardiomyopathy, Hypertrophic diagnostic imaging
- Abstract
Background: Myocardial fibrosis, as diagnosed on cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (cMRI) by late gadolinium enhancement (LGE), is associated with adverse outcomes in adults with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), but its prevalence and magnitude in children with HCM have not been established. We investigated: (1) the prevalence and extent of myocardial fibrosis as detected by LGE cMRI; (2) the agreement between echocardiographic and cMRI measurements of cardiac structure; and (3) whether serum concentrations of N-terminal pro hormone B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and cardiac troponin-T are associated with cMRI measurements., Methods: A cross-section of children with HCM from 9 tertiary-care pediatric heart centers in the U.S. and Canada were enrolled in this prospective NHLBI study of cardiac biomarkers in pediatric cardiomyopathy (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01873976). The median age of the 67 participants was 13.8 years (range 1-18 years). Core laboratories analyzed echocardiographic and cMRI measurements, and serum biomarker concentrations., Results: In 52 children with non-obstructive HCM undergoing cMRI, overall low levels of myocardial fibrosis with LGE >2% of left ventricular (LV) mass were detected in 37 (71%) (median %LGE, 9.0%; IQR: 6.0%, 13.0%; range, 0% to 57%). Echocardiographic and cMRI measurements of LV dimensions, LV mass, and interventricular septal thickness showed good agreement using the Bland-Altman method. NT-proBNP concentrations were strongly and positively associated with LV mass and interventricular septal thickness (P < .001), but not LGE., Conclusions: Low levels of myocardial fibrosis are common in pediatric patients with HCM seen at referral centers. Longitudinal studies of myocardial fibrosis and serum biomarkers are warranted to determine their predictive value for adverse outcomes in pediatric patients with HCM., (Copyright © 2023 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2023
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38. Use of Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery Among US Youth.
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Messiah SE, Xie L, de la Cruz-Muñoz N, and Lipshultz SE
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- Humans, Adolescent, Obesity, Bariatric Surgery, Obesity, Morbid surgery
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- 2023
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39. Treatment Strategies for Cardiomyopathy in Children: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association.
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Bogle C, Colan SD, Miyamoto SD, Choudhry S, Baez-Hernandez N, Brickler MM, Feingold B, Lal AK, Lee TM, Canter CE, and Lipshultz SE
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- Humans, American Heart Association, Phenotype, Child, Cardiomyopathies diagnosis, Cardiomyopathies therapy, Cardiomyopathies etiology, Cardiomyopathy, Restrictive, Heart Diseases complications
- Abstract
This scientific statement from the American Heart Association focuses on treatment strategies and modalities for cardiomyopathy (heart muscle disease) in children and serves as a companion scientific statement for the recent statement on the classification and diagnosis of cardiomyopathy in children. We propose that the foundation of treatment of pediatric cardiomyopathies is based on these principles applied as personalized therapy for children with cardiomyopathy: (1) identification of the specific cardiac pathophysiology; (2) determination of the root cause of the cardiomyopathy so that, if applicable, cause-specific treatment can occur (precision medicine); and (3) application of therapies based on the associated clinical milieu of the patient. These clinical milieus include patients at risk for developing cardiomyopathy (cardiomyopathy phenotype negative), asymptomatic patients with cardiomyopathy (phenotype positive), patients with symptomatic cardiomyopathy, and patients with end-stage cardiomyopathy. This scientific statement focuses primarily on the most frequent phenotypes, dilated and hypertrophic, that occur in children. Other less frequent cardiomyopathies, including left ventricular noncompaction, restrictive cardiomyopathy, and arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy, are discussed in less detail. Suggestions are based on previous clinical and investigational experience, extrapolating therapies for cardiomyopathies in adults to children and noting the problems and challenges that have arisen in this experience. These likely underscore the increasingly apparent differences in pathogenesis and even pathophysiology in childhood cardiomyopathies compared with adult disease. These differences will likely affect the utility of some adult therapy strategies. Therefore, special emphasis has been placed on cause-specific therapies in children for prevention and attenuation of their cardiomyopathy in addition to symptomatic treatments. Current investigational strategies and treatments not in wide clinical practice, including future direction for investigational management strategies, trial designs, and collaborative networks, are also discussed because they have the potential to further refine and improve the health and outcomes of children with cardiomyopathy in the future.
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- 2023
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40. Dexrazoxane and Long-Term Heart Function in Survivors of Childhood Cancer.
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Chow EJ, Aggarwal S, Doody DR, Aplenc R, Armenian SH, Baker KS, Bhatia S, Blythe N, Colan SD, Constine LS, Freyer DR, Kopp LM, Laverdière C, Leisenring WM, Sasaki N, Vrooman LM, Asselin BL, Schwartz CL, and Lipshultz SE
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- Young Adult, Child, Humans, Aged, Doxorubicin, Antibiotics, Antineoplastic therapeutic use, Dexrazoxane adverse effects, Cancer Survivors, Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma drug therapy, Osteosarcoma drug therapy, Bone Neoplasms drug therapy
- Abstract
Purpose: For survivors of childhood cancer treated with doxorubicin, dexrazoxane is cardioprotective for at least 5 years. However, longer-term data are lacking., Methods: Within the Children's Oncology Group and the Dana Farber Cancer Institute's Childhood Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia Consortium, we evaluated four randomized trials of children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia or Hodgkin lymphoma, who received doxorubicin with or without dexrazoxane, and a nonrandomized trial of patients with osteosarcoma who all received doxorubicin with dexrazoxane. Cumulative doxorubicin doses ranged from 100 to 600 mg/m
2 across these five trials, and dexrazoxane was administered uniformly (10:1 mg/m2 ratio) as an intravenous bolus before doxorubicin. Cardiac function was prospectively assessed in survivors from these trials, plus a matched group of survivors of osteosarcoma treated with doxorubicin without dexrazoxane. Two-dimensional echocardiograms and blood biomarkers were analyzed centrally in blinded fashion. Multivariate analyses adjusted for demographic characteristics, cumulative doxorubicin dose, and chest radiotherapy determined the differences and associations by dexrazoxane status., Results: From 49 participating institutions, 195 participants were assessed at 18.1 ± 2.7 years since cancer diagnosis (51% dexrazoxane-exposed; cumulative doxorubicin dose 297 ± 91 mg/m2 ). Dexrazoxane administration was associated with superior left ventricular fractional shortening (absolute difference, +1.4% [95% CI, 0.3 to 2.5]) and ejection fraction (absolute difference, +1.6% [95% CI, 0.0 to 3.2]), and lower myocardial stress per B-type natriuretic peptide (-6.7 pg/mL [95% CI, -10.6 to -2.8]). Dexrazoxane was associated with a reduced risk of having lower left ventricular function (fractional shortening < 30% or ejection fraction < 50%; odds ratio, 0.24 [95% CI, 0.07 to 0.81]). This protective association was primarily seen in those treated with cumulative doxorubicin doses ≥ 250 mg/m2 ., Conclusion: Among young adult-aged survivors of childhood cancer, dexrazoxane was associated with a cardioprotective effect nearly 20 years after initial anthracycline exposure.- Published
- 2023
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41. Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction in Children.
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Das B, Deshpande S, Akam-Venkata J, Shakti D, Moskowitz W, and Lipshultz SE
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- Humans, Child, Stroke Volume physiology, Ventricular Function, Left physiology, Echocardiography methods, Heart Failure, Heart Failure, Diastolic
- Abstract
Diastolic dysfunction (DD) refers to abnormalities in the mechanical function of the left ventricle (LV) during diastole. Severe LVDD can cause symptoms and the signs of heart failure (HF) in the setting of normal or near normal LV systolic function and is referred to as diastolic HF or HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). Pediatric cardiologists have long speculated HFpEF in children with congenital heart disease and cardiomyopathy. However, understanding the risk factors, clinical course, and validated biomarkers predictive of the outcome of HFpEF in children is challenging due to heterogeneous etiologies and overlapping pathophysiological mechanisms. The natural history of HFpEF varies depending upon the patient's age, sex, race, geographic location, nutritional status, biochemical risk factors, underlying heart disease, and genetic-environmental interaction, among other factors. Pediatric onset HFpEF is often not the same disease as in adults. Advances in the noninvasive evaluation of the LV diastolic function by strain, and strain rate analysis with speckle-tracking echocardiography, tissue Doppler imaging, and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging have increased our understanding of the HFpEF in children. This review addresses HFpEF in children and identifies knowledge gaps in the underlying etiologies, pathogenesis, diagnosis, and management, especially compared to adults with HFpEF., (© 2022. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature.)
- Published
- 2023
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42. Long-Term Outcomes after Adolescent Bariatric Surgery.
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de la Cruz-Muñoz N, Xie L, Quiroz HJ, Kutlu OC, Atem F, Lipshultz SE, Mathew MS, and Messiah SE
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- Adolescent, Adult, Female, Humans, Male, Treatment Outcome, Weight Loss, Young Adult, Bariatric Surgery, Gastric Bypass adverse effects, Obesity, Morbid surgery
- Abstract
Background: Metabolic and bariatric surgery (MBS) is a safe and effective treatment option for adolescents with severe obesity, but no long-term studies are available with more than10 years of follow-up data to document sustained improved outcomes., Methods: A total of 96 patients who completed MBS at 21 years of age or younger in a tertiary academic center 2002 to 2010 were contacted for a telehealth visit. Body weight, comorbidity status, social/physical function status, and long-term complications were evaluated 10 to 18 years after surgery., Results: Mean participant (83% female, 75% Hispanic) age at MBS was 18.8 (±1.6) years (median age 19 years, range 15-21 years), and median pre-MBS BMI was 44.7 kg/m 2 (SD 6.5). At follow-up (mean 14.2 [±2.2] years) post-MBS (90.6% Roux-en-Y gastric bypass [RYGB] or 8.3% laparoscopic adjustable gastric banding [LAGB]) mean total body weight decreased by 31.3% (interquartile range [IQR] 20.0% to 38.9%); 32.0% (IQR, 21.3% to 40.1%) among RYGB participants and 22.5% (IQR, 0.64% to 28.3%) among LAGB participants. Patients with pre-MBS hyperlipidemia (14.6%), asthma (10.4%), and diabetes/hyperglycemia (5.2%) reported 100% remission at follow-up (p < 0.05 for all). Pre-post decrease in hypertension (13.5% vs 1%, p = 0.001), sleep apnea (16.7% vs 1.0%, p < 0.001), gastroesophageal reflux disease (13.5% vs 3.1%, p = 0.016), anxiety (7.3% vs 2.1%, p = 0.169), and depression (27.1% vs 4.2%, p < 0.001) were also found., Conclusions: Significant sustained reductions in weight and comorbidities, and low rates of long-term complications, a decade or more after completing MBS as an adolescent were found. These findings have important implications for adolescents who may be considering MBS for weight reduction and overall health improvements that extend into adulthood., (Copyright © 2022 by the American College of Surgeons. Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2022
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43. Pediatric and adult dilated cardiomyopathy are distinguished by distinct biomarker profiles.
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Gropler MRF, Lipshultz SE, Wilkinson JD, Towbin JA, Colan SD, Canter CE, Lavine KJ, and Simpson KE
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- Biomarkers, Humans, Phenotype, Prospective Studies, Cardiomyopathy, Dilated diagnosis
- Abstract
Background: Emerging evidence suggests that pediatric and adult dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) represent distinct diseases. Few diagnostic tools exist for pediatric cardiologists to assess clinical status and prognosis. We hypothesized that pediatric DCM would have a unique biomarker profile compared to adult DCM and controls., Methods: We utilized a DNA aptamer array (SOMAScan) to compare biomarker profiles between pediatric and adult DCM. We simultaneously measured 1310 plasma proteins and peptides from 39 healthy children (mean age 3 years, interquartile range (IQR) 1-14), 39 ambulatory subjects with pediatric DCM (mean age 2.7 years, IQR 1-13), and 40 ambulatory adults with DCM (mean age 53 years, IQR 46-63)., Results: Pediatric and adult DCM patients displayed distinct biomarker profiles, despite similar clinical characteristics. We identified 20 plasma peptides and proteins that were increased in pediatric DCM compared to age- and sex-matched controls. Unbiased multidimensionality reduction analysis suggested previously unrecognized heterogeneity among pediatric DCM subjects. Biomarker profile analysis identified four subgroups of pediatric DCM with distinguishing clinical characteristics., Conclusions: These findings support the emerging concept that pediatric and adult DCM are distinct disease entities, signify the need to develop pediatric-specific biomarkers for disease prognostication, and challenge the paradigm that pediatric DCM should be viewed as a single disease., Impact: Pediatric and adult DCM patients displayed distinct biomarker profiles, despite similar clinical characteristics and outcomes. Our findings suggest that pediatric DCM may be a heterogeneous disease with various sub-phenotypes, including differing biomarker profiles and clinical findings. These data provide prerequisite information for future prospective studies that validate the identified pediatric DCM biomarkers, address their diagnostic accuracy and prognostic significance, and explore the full extent of heterogeneity amongst pediatric DCM patients., (© 2021. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to the International Pediatric Research Foundation, Inc.)
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
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44. Cardiometabolic Risk in Childhood Cancer Survivors: A Report from the Children's Oncology Group.
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Lipshultz ER, Chow EJ, Doody DR, Armenian SH, Asselin BL, Baker KS, Bhatia S, Constine LS, Freyer DR, Kopp LM, Schwartz CL, Lipshultz SE, and Vrooman LM
- Subjects
- Adult, Child, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Nutrition Surveys, Risk Factors, Cancer Survivors, Cardiovascular Diseases epidemiology, Cardiovascular Diseases etiology, Cardiovascular Diseases prevention & control, Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma
- Abstract
Background: Childhood cancer survivors are at risk for cardiovascular disease. We assessed the burden of potentially modifiable cardiometabolic risk factors (CRF) among survivors compared with population-matched controls., Methods: Survivors previously enrolled on Pediatric Oncology Group protocols 9404, 9425, 9426, 9754, and Dana-Farber Cancer Institute 95-01 from 1996 to 2001 with acute lymphoblastic leukemia/lymphoma, Hodgkin lymphoma, or osteosarcoma were prospectively assessed for the prevalence of CRFs and compared with an age, sex, and race/ethnicity-matched 2013 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) population. We estimated future predicted cardiovascular risk based on general population (e.g., Framingham) and Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (CCSS) models., Results: Compared with NHANES (n = 584), survivors [n = 164; 44.5% female, median age 28 years (range, 16-38 years); median 17.4 years (range, 13-22 years) since cancer diagnosis; median doxorubicin dose 300 mg/m2; 30.5% chest radiation] had similar rates of obesity, diabetes, and dyslipidemia, but more prehypertension/hypertension (38.4% vs. 30.1%, P = 0.044). Survivors had fewer metabolic syndrome features compared with NHANES (≥2 features: 26.7% vs. 55.9%; P < 0.001). Survivors were more physically active and smoked tobacco less (both P < 0.0001). Therefore, general population cardiovascular risk scores were lower for survivors versus NHANES. However, with CCSS models, 30.5% of survivors were at moderate risk of ischemic heart disease, and >95% at moderate/high risk for heart failure, with a 9% to 12% predicted incidence of these conditions by age 50 years., Conclusions: Childhood cancer survivors exhibited similar or better cardiometabolic and lifestyle profiles compared with NHANES, but nonetheless are at risk for future clinically significant cardiovascular disease., Impact: Further strategies supporting optimal CRF control are warranted in survivors. See related commentary by Mulrooney, p. 515., (©2021 American Association for Cancer Research.)
- Published
- 2022
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45. Late health outcomes after dexrazoxane treatment: A report from the Children's Oncology Group.
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Chow EJ, Aplenc R, Vrooman LM, Doody DR, Huang YV, Aggarwal S, Armenian SH, Baker KS, Bhatia S, Constine LS, Freyer DR, Kopp LM, Leisenring WM, Asselin BL, Schwartz CL, and Lipshultz SE
- Subjects
- Child, Doxorubicin therapeutic use, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Outcome Assessment, Health Care, Dexrazoxane adverse effects, Dexrazoxane therapeutic use, Hodgkin Disease drug therapy, Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma drug therapy
- Abstract
Background: The objective of this study was to examine long-term outcomes among children newly diagnosed with cancer who were treated in dexrazoxane-containing clinical trials., Methods: P9404 (acute lymphoblastic leukemia/lymphoma [ALL]), P9425 and P9426 (Hodgkin lymphoma), P9754 (osteosarcoma), and Dana-Farber Cancer Institute 95-01 (ALL) enrolled 1308 patients between 1996 and 2001: 1066 were randomized (1:1) to doxorubicin with or without dexrazoxane, and 242 (from P9754) were nonrandomly assigned to receive dexrazoxane. Trial data were linked with the National Death Index, the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network, the Pediatric Health Information System (PHIS), and Medicaid. Osteosarcoma survivors from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (CCSS; n = 495; no dexrazoxane) served as comparators in subanalyses. Follow-up events were assessed with cumulative incidence, Cox regression, and Fine-Gray methods., Results: In randomized trials (cumulative prescribed doxorubicin dose, 100-360 mg/m
2 ; median follow-up, 18.6 years), dexrazoxane was not associated with relapse (hazard ratio [HR], 0.84; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.63-1.13), second cancers (HR, 1.19; 95% CI, 0.62-2.30), all-cause mortality (HR, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.78-1.47), or cardiovascular mortality (HR, 1.45; 95% CI, 0.41-5.16). Among P9754 patients (all exposed to dexrazoxane; cumulative doxorubicin, 450-600 mg/m2 ; median follow-up, 16.6-18.4 years), no cardiovascular deaths or heart transplantation occurred. The 20-year heart transplantation rate among CCSS osteosarcoma survivors (mean doxorubicin, 377 ± 145 mg/m2 ) was 1.6% (vs 0% in P9754; P = .13). Among randomized patients, serious cardiovascular outcomes (cardiomyopathy, ischemic heart disease, and stroke) ascertained by PHIS/Medicaid occurred less commonly with dexrazoxane (5.6%) than without it (17.6%; P = .02), although cardiomyopathy rates alone did not differ (4.4% vs 8.1%; P = .35)., Conclusions: Dexrazoxane did not appear to adversely affect long-term mortality, event-free survival, or second cancer risk., (© 2021 American Cancer Society.)- Published
- 2022
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46. The genetic architecture of pediatric cardiomyopathy.
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Ware SM, Bhatnagar S, Dexheimer PJ, Wilkinson JD, Sridhar A, Fan X, Shen Y, Tariq M, Schubert JA, Colan SD, Shi L, Canter CE, Hsu DT, Bansal N, Webber SA, Everitt MD, Kantor PF, Rossano JW, Pahl E, Rusconi P, Lee TM, Towbin JA, Lal AK, Chung WK, Miller EM, Aronow B, Martin LJ, and Lipshultz SE
- Subjects
- Age of Onset, Cardiomyopathy, Dilated metabolism, Cardiomyopathy, Dilated pathology, Case-Control Studies, Child, Cohort Studies, Female, Gene Expression Profiling, Genetic Predisposition to Disease, Genetic Testing, Genetic Variation, Humans, Male, Phenotype, Practice Guidelines as Topic, Exome Sequencing, Cardiomyopathy, Dilated genetics, Exome, Gene Expression Regulation, Genotype, Inheritance Patterns
- Abstract
To understand the genetic contribution to primary pediatric cardiomyopathy, we performed exome sequencing in a large cohort of 528 children with cardiomyopathy. Using clinical interpretation guidelines and targeting genes implicated in cardiomyopathy, we identified a genetic cause in 32% of affected individuals. Cardiomyopathy sub-phenotypes differed by ancestry, age at diagnosis, and family history. Infants < 1 year were less likely to have a molecular diagnosis (p < 0.001). Using a discovery set of 1,703 candidate genes and informatic tools, we identified rare and damaging variants in 56% of affected individuals. We see an excess burden of damaging variants in affected individuals as compared to two independent control sets, 1000 Genomes Project (p < 0.001) and SPARK parental controls (p < 1 × 10
-16 ). Cardiomyopathy variant burden remained enriched when stratified by ancestry, variant type, and sub-phenotype, emphasizing the importance of understanding the contribution of these factors to genetic architecture. Enrichment in this discovery candidate gene set suggests multigenic mechanisms underlie sub-phenotype-specific causes and presentations of cardiomyopathy. These results identify important information about the genetic architecture of pediatric cardiomyopathy and support recommendations for clinical genetic testing in children while illustrating differences in genetic architecture by age, ancestry, and sub-phenotype and providing rationale for larger studies to investigate multigenic contributions., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests J.W.R. is a consultant for Amgen, Bayer, Novartis, and Abiomed. W.K.C. is on the scientific advisory board for the Regeneron Genetics Center. S.E.L. is a consultant for Tenaya Therapeutics and Bayer and on an advisory board for Myokardia., (Copyright © 2021 American Society of Human Genetics. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)- Published
- 2022
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47. Factors Associated With an Abnormal Blood Pressure Response During Exercise After Coarctation Repair.
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Pivirotto M, Swartz MF, McGreevy MB, Atallah-Yunes N, Cholette JM, Lipshultz SE, and Alfieris GM
- Subjects
- Aorta, Thoracic diagnostic imaging, Aorta, Thoracic surgery, Blood Pressure, Child, Exercise, Humans, Infant, Vascular Surgical Procedures, Aortic Coarctation surgery
- Abstract
Background: Although resting blood pressures following aortic arch repair or the extended end-to-end anastomosis (EEA) repair for coarctation can be physiologic, factors associated with an abnormal blood pressure response after exercise are unknown. We measured blood pressure gradients following exercise in children who had undergone previous repair in accordance with a surgical selection algorithm and sought to identify factors associated with an abnormal blood pressure response., Methods: In accordance with our practice's surgical algorithm for repair of coarctation, infants were stratified to aortic arch repair when the distal transverse arch-to-left carotid artery ratio (DTA:LCA) ≤ 1.0, or when a brachiocephalic trunk or intra-cardiac lesion requiring repair was present. A thoracotomy and EEA were otherwise used. A follow-up exercise stress test (EST) measured the arm:leg blood pressure gradient after exercise, and a gradient ≥ 20 mm Hg was defined as an abnormal blood pressure response., Results: Thirty-seven infants who had previously undergone coarctation repair (aortic arch repair-19, EEA-18) completed an EST at 12.3 ± 2.2 years of age. Thirteen (35%) children (aortic arch repair-5, EEA-8; p = .3) exhibited an abnormal blood pressure response. Factors associated with an abnormal blood pressure response included: smaller DTA:LCA ratios prior to repair (1.0 ± .2 vs. 1.2 ± .3; p = .04) and greater body weight at the time of EST (57.5 ± 19.1 vs. 40.9 ± 15.6 kg; p = .03)., Conclusion: An abnormal blood pressure response following exercise is associated with smaller DTA:LCA ratios at the time of repair and increased weight during follow-up suggesting that patients with these factors warrant close observation.
- Published
- 2022
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48. Cardiotoxicity in pediatric lymphoma survivors.
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Bansal N, Joshi C, Adams MJ, Hutchins K, Ray A, and Lipshultz SE
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- Anthracyclines adverse effects, Cardiotoxicity etiology, Child, Female, Humans, Risk Factors, Survivors, Antineoplastic Agents adverse effects, Lymphoma drug therapy, Neoplasms drug therapy
- Abstract
Introduction: Over the past five decades, the diagnosis and management of children with various malignancies have improved tremendously. As a result, an increasing number of children are long-term cancer survivors. With improved survival, however, has come an increased risk of treatment-related cardiovascular complications that can appear decades later., Areas Covered: This review discusses the pathophysiology, epidemiology and effects of treatment-related cardiovascular complications from anthracyclines and radiotherapy in pediatric lymphoma survivors. There is a paucity of evidence-based recommendations for screening for and treatment of cancer therapy-induced cardiovascular complications. We discuss current preventive measures and strategies for their treatment., Expert Opinion: Significant cardiac adverse effects occur due to radiation and chemotherapy received by patients treated for lymphoma. Higher lifetime cumulative doses, female sex, longer follow-up, younger age, and preexisting cardiovascular disease are associated with a higher incidence of cardiotoxicity. With deeper understanding of the mechanisms of these adverse cardiac effects and identification of driver mutations causing these effects, personalized cancer therapy to limit cardiotoxic effects while ensuring an adequate anti-neoplastic effect would be ideal. In the meantime, expanding the use of cardioprotective agents with the best evidence such as dexrazoxane should be encouraged and further studied.
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
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49. Genetic Causes of Cardiomyopathy in Children: First Results From the Pediatric Cardiomyopathy Genes Study.
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Ware SM, Wilkinson JD, Tariq M, Schubert JA, Sridhar A, Colan SD, Shi L, Canter CE, Hsu DT, Webber SA, Dodd DA, Everitt MD, Kantor PF, Addonizio LJ, Jefferies JL, Rossano JW, Pahl E, Rusconi P, Chung WK, Lee T, Towbin JA, Lal AK, Bhatnagar S, Aronow B, Dexheimer PJ, Martin LJ, Miller EM, Sleeper LA, Razoky H, Czachor J, and Lipshultz SE
- Subjects
- Adolescent, Cardiomyopathies epidemiology, Child, Child, Preschool, Female, Humans, Infant, Male, Morbidity trends, Retrospective Studies, Survival Rate trends, United States epidemiology, Exome Sequencing methods, Cardiomyopathies genetics, Genetic Predisposition to Disease, Genetic Testing methods, Registries
- Abstract
Background Pediatric cardiomyopathy is a genetically heterogeneous disease with substantial morbidity and mortality. Current guidelines recommend genetic testing in children with hypertrophic, dilated, or restrictive cardiomyopathy, but practice variations exist. Robust data on clinical testing practices and diagnostic yield in children are lacking. This study aimed to identify the genetic causes of cardiomyopathy in children and to investigate clinical genetic testing practices. Methods and Results Children with familial or idiopathic cardiomyopathy were enrolled from 14 institutions in North America. Probands underwent exome sequencing. Rare sequence variants in 37 known cardiomyopathy genes were assessed for pathogenicity using consensus clinical interpretation guidelines. Of the 152 enrolled probands, 41% had a family history of cardiomyopathy. Of 81 (53%) who had undergone clinical genetic testing for cardiomyopathy before enrollment, 39 (48%) had a positive result. Genetic testing rates varied from 0% to 97% between sites. A positive family history and hypertrophic cardiomyopathy subtype were associated with increased likelihood of genetic testing ( P =0.005 and P =0.03, respectively). A molecular cause was identified in an additional 21% of the 63 children who did not undergo clinical testing, with positive results identified in both familial and idiopathic cases and across all phenotypic subtypes. Conclusions A definitive molecular genetic diagnosis can be made in a substantial proportion of children for whom the cause and heritable nature of their cardiomyopathy was previously unknown. Practice variations in genetic testing are great and should be reduced. Improvements can be made in comprehensive cardiac screening and predictive genetic testing in first-degree relatives. Overall, our results support use of routine genetic testing in cases of both familial and idiopathic cardiomyopathy. Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT01873963.
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
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50. Disruption of healthcare: Will the COVID pandemic worsen non-COVID outcomes and disease outbreaks?
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Barach P, Fisher SD, Adams MJ, Burstein GR, Brophy PD, Kuo DZ, and Lipshultz SE
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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