1. Utilizing disease transmission and response capacities to optimize covid-19 control in Malaysia
- Author
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Sarbhan Singh, Lai Chee Herng, Nuur Hafizah Md. Iderus, Sumarni Mohd Ghazali, Lonny Chen Rong Qi Ahmad, Nur’ain Mohd Ghazali, Mohd Nadzmi Md Nadzri, Asrul Anuar, Mohd Kamarulariffin Kamarudin, Lim Mei Cheng, Kok Keng Tee, Chong Zhuo Lin, Balvinder Singh Gill, and Nur Ar Rabiah Binti Ahmad
- Subjects
COVID-19 ,Community transmission ,Response capacity ,Situational level ,Public health ,Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 - Abstract
Abstract Objectives Public Health Social Measures (PHSM) such as movement restriction movement needed to be adjusted accordingly during the COVID-19 pandemic to ensure low disease transmission alongside adequate health system capacities based on the COVID-19 situational matrix proposed by the World Health Organization (WHO). This paper aims to develop a mechanism to determine the COVID-19 situational matrix to adjust movement restriction intensity for the control of COVID-19 in Malaysia. Methods Several epidemiological indicators were selected based on the WHO PHSM interim guidance report and validated individually and in several combinations to estimate the community transmission level (CT) and health system response capacity (RC) variables. Correlation analysis between CT and RC with COVID-19 cases was performed to determine the most appropriate CT and RC variables. Subsequently, the CT and RC variables were combined to form a composite COVID-19 situational matrix (SL). The SL matrix was validated using correlation analysis with COVID-19 case trends. Subsequently, an automated web-based system that generated daily CT, RC, and SL was developed. Results CT and RC variables were estimated using case incidence and hospitalization rate; Hospital bed capacity and COVID-19 ICU occupancy respectively. The estimated CT and RC were strongly correlated [ρ = 0.806 (95% CI 0.752, 0.848); and ρ = 0.814 (95% CI 0.778, 0.839), p
- Published
- 2024
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