570 results on '"Life-cycle hypothesis"'
Search Results
2. At the origins of the life cycle hypothesis of Franco Modigliani and Richard Brumberg: an attempt at analysis.
- Author
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Martini, Alice and Spataro, Luca
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LIFE cycles (Biology) , *ORIGIN of life , *HYPOTHESIS , *HISTORICAL analysis , *CONFERENCE papers - Abstract
This paper re-examines the origins of the Life-Cycle Hypothesis (LCH) originally formulated by Modigliani and Brumberg seventy years ago, using a combination of historical and archival analysis. The study compares Modigliani's own account of the LCH with a range of other sources, including papers presented at the Conference on Savings in 1952, contemporary literature, and PhD dissertations of Hamburger and Brumberg. The analysis reveals that the idea of the LCH was somehow "in the air" in the early 1950s, although Modigliani-Brumberg's formulation represents an ingenious theoretically-founded and empirically-testable formalisation of such a framework. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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3. The Average Propensity to Consume of the Urban Chinese Household: An Analysis by Income Level.
- Author
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Lin, Tsoyu Calvin, Gonçalves, Williman Temponi, Wei-Qing Wang, and Zong-Han Lin
- Abstract
This study aims to measure the impact of Education, Health, Housing, Dependence and Income Growth on the Average Propensity to Consume (APC) of the Urban Chinese Households by Income Level. We use the Quantile Regression for analysis. Results show that Health has a negative impact on the APC; and that Education and Dependence has positive relation. For less wealthy households, “Income Growth” is positive related to the APC. “Housing Prices to Income” (PTI) has a negative impact on the APC for the majority of less wealthy households and national average. Therefore, policies that decrease uncertainties, the household expending on health and housing, and encourage stable growth, redistribute the existing wealth and increase of the size of the family may help to increase the APC in a long run. The government should take into account of issues of housing markets, education and taxation for future policy making of social and economic development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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4. Türk Hanehalkı Tasarruf Davranışlarının Sentetik Panel Veri ile Tahmin Edilmesi.
- Author
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PARLAKYİĞİT, Merve GÜNGÖR and ÖZÇİÇEK, Ömer
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EULER equations , *HOUSEHOLD budgets , *CONSUMPTION (Economics) , *HOUSEHOLD surveys , *TEST validity , *ALCOHOL drinking - Abstract
In this paper, we analyze the saving and consumption behavior model of Turkish households, using the TURKSTAT Household Budget Survey microdata between 2002 and 2013. The aim of this study is to contribute to the understanding of household income dynamics, consumption and saving behaviours in Turkish households and to investigate the validity of the Life Cycle Hypothesis and Precautionary Saving Hypothesis in the Turkish economy. In this study, cohort techniques are used as the econometric methods following Deaton (1985) and log linearized Euler equations are estimated by two-step system-GMM techniques as well. According to all estimation results, the predictions of the Life-Cycle Hypothesis do not hold for Turkey due to the excess sensitivity of consumption to income. Finally, when we tested the validity of the Precautionary Saving Hypothesis by estimating log linearized Euler equations for Turkey, the results show that households will postpone their current consumption and increase their saving level in order to keep their lifetime consumption constant when future (labour income) uncertainty occurs. Therefore the empirical analysis results support the validity of the Precautionary Saving Hypothesis for Turkey, using the TURKSTAT Household Budget Surveys data for the period 2002-2013. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
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5. The contribution of Carlo Casarosa on the forerunners of the life cycle hypothesis by Franco Modigliani and Richard Brumberg.
- Author
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Martini, Alice and Spataro, Luca
- Abstract
The Italian economist Carlo Casarosa published a study in 2002 claiming that there existed two contributions—one by Roy Harrod (1948, Lecture Two) and one by James Duesenberry (1949, Chapter III, Sect. 9)—that could be considered forerunners of Modigliani and Brumberg's pioneering works about the Life Cycle Hypothesis (LCH). Those contributions, according to the Italian scholar, had been, until that moment, scarcely known by the scientific community. Particularly, he pointed out that, while Modigliani in 1970 eventually recognized Harrod's contribution to the LCH, he never mentioned Duesenberry's work. After presenting and commenting on the content of Casarosa's investigation, in this paper we present the results of an extended historiographical analysis that we have carried out on the early literature about the LCH. Rather interestingly, our analysis shows that several economists, especially from Cambridge (UK), had acknowledged the role of Harrod (together with the one of Frank Ramsey) since early 1950s, while Duesenberry's contribution to the LCH was completely ignored. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2022
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6. Modigliani, Franco (1918–2003)
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Sutch, Richard and Macmillan Publishers Ltd
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- 2018
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7. Neoclassical Synthesis
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Blanchard, Olivier Jean and Macmillan Publishers Ltd
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- 2018
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8. Corporate life cycle and dividend payout: A panel data analysis of companies in an emerging market
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Ntungufhadzeni F. Munzhelele, Hendrik Wolmarans, and John Hall
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life-cycle hypothesis ,dividend payout ,emerging market ,growth companies ,value companies ,Economics as a science ,HB71-74 - Abstract
Background: The dividend payout policy remains one of the key functional areas of corporate finance because it is through receipt of dividends that shareholders can share in the profits of their investments. Amongst the dividend payout theories that have been developed over the decades, the life-cycle hypothesis has received little attention in research. Aim: The aim of this study was to test the dividend life-cycle hypothesis in the South African contex. Motivation for the study: Justification for this study in the context of South Africa is that there is minimal research in this regard in emerging economies. South Africa presents a good platform for this research because it is amongst the highly regarded emerging markets and this has been confirmed by its representation in Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS) countries. Hence, results in this regard would shed some light in the form of a relative representation of overall emerging markets trend. Research approach/design and method: A panel data of 119 Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) listed sample companies were used to test the hypothesis during the period 2006–2015. A combination of basic and dynamic panel data estimators was used to analyse the data. Main findings: The study finds that the dividend life-cycle hypothesis is prevalent amongst South African companies. Specifically, it was observed that the considered companies pursuing growth projects paid less dividends. Furthermore, the growth companies have shown to be more aggressive in their pursuit for growth and hence are able to create more value for shareholders than value for companies. Managerial implications: Financial managers will be afforded with enhanced decision alternatives in respect of their fiduciary duties towards the shareholders in respect of maximising value. Conclusion: These results provide a mirror image of those of the developed markets and a good context for future research in the same area in an emerging economy setting.
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- 2021
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9. The relationship between loss, macroeconomic condition and conservatism
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Asna Abdullah Atqa, Norman Mohd Saleh, Azlina Ahmad, and Radziah Abdul Latiff
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Loss ,Conservatism ,Macroeconomic condition ,Life-cycle hypothesis ,Business records management ,HF5735-5746 - Abstract
This study is motivated by the high frequency of loss occurrence since late 1990s among Malaysian public listed firms, and the conflicting findings of the impact of the macroeconomic conditions and firm-specific attributes on different measures of earnings quality. In addition, this study examines the impact of firms’ specific attributes on earnings quality using a better established theory, known as the life-cycle hypothesis. The objectives of this study are; (1) to examine the relationship between firms’ loss condition on conservatism as an earnings quality measure as well as the moderation of macroeconomic condition on the relationship and (2) to examine the relationship between life-cycle stages and conditional conservatism. Samples for the study are companies listed on Bursa Malaysia from 1995 to 2010. Using the C_Score measure of conservatism as the dependent variable, firms with loss condition, have been found to be significantly more conservative than profit firms. In addition, macroeconomic condition, strengthen the relationship between loss and conservatism when the results indicate that loss firms undergoing economic crisis are significantly more conservative than loss firms under normal economic condition. Incorporating the firms’ life-cycle stages, the study found that growth firms signal fewer losses than mature firms, thus accepting the set hypothesis. Implication of this study is that ignorance of these issues could lead to significantly misleading interpretation of earnings quality.
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- 2019
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10. The relationship ageing of the population and saving in an unemployment context: Empirical evidence using an autoregressive distributed lag bounds testing approach.
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Frini, Olfa
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POPULATION aging ,UNEMPLOYMENT ,ECONOMIC indicators ,AGING ,LABOR market ,ECONOMIC reform ,PENSION reform ,DIVERSIFICATION in industry - Abstract
In this article, we emphasised that ageing population does not systematically depress savings by drawing attention to the factors that may distort that prediction of the life-cycle hypothesis (LCH). To demonstrate it, we used two indicators for ageing: the total and aged dependency ratios and we looked at the economic context influence on national saving evolution through considering the labour market imbalance interference. By applying the autoregressive distributed lag approach, with Tunisian data during 1970-2018, a dynamic long-run relationship between ageing and national saving is found, although it seemed to be sensitive to the used ageing indicator and the economic context. Indeed, the LCH is proved only by the total dependence ratio whereas the aged dependence ratio puts a significant long-run upward pressure on saving. Further, in a context of unemployment without any benefit scheme, the LCH prediction cannot be endorsed by the two indicators. Hence, the social and economic conditions limit the LCH scope, bearing out that elderly not depress systematically savings. Therefore, to sustain saving major economic and financial reforms are needed, as to postpone the retirement age, to move from pay-as-you-go system towards funded pension system, to promote life insurance and to diversify the long-run savings products. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
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11. The wealth decumulation behavior of the retired elderly in Italy: the importance of bequest motives and precautionary saving.
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Ventura, Luigi and Horioka, Charles Yuji
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OLDER people ,WEALTH ,INCOME ,FINANCIAL crises ,SAVINGS - Abstract
In this paper, we analyze the wealth accumulation and saving behavior of the retired elderly in Italy using micro data from the "Survey of Italian Households' Income and Wealth," a panel survey of households conducted every 2 years by the Bank of Italy. We find that, on average, the retired elderly in Italy are decumulating their wealth (dissaving) but that their wealth decumulation rates are much slower than expected. Moreover, we also find that more than 40% of the retired elderly in Italy are continuing to accumulate wealth and that more than 80% are doing positive amounts of saving. Thus, the Wealth Decumulation Puzzle (the tendency of the retired elderly to decumulate their wealth more slowly than expected) appears to apply in the case of Italy, as it does in most other countries, before as well as after the Global Financial Crisis. Moreover, our regression analysis of the determinants of the wealth accumulation and saving behavior of the retired elderly in Italy suggests that the lower than expected wealth decumulation rates and dissaving of the retired elderly in Italy is due largely to intergenerational transfers (bequests and inter vivos transfers) and saving for precautionary purposes, especially the former. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
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12. Are Savings the Determinant of Economic Growth in the D8 Countries?
- Author
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Barış, Serap
- Subjects
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ECONOMIC expansion , *PANEL analysis , *ECONOMIC impact , *SAVINGS ,DEVELOPING countries - Abstract
Domestic savings play a fundamental role in the economic development of a country as they are the main financing source of domestic investments. Shortage of savings arising out of low level of income especially in underdeveloped countries lead to a few number of investments and inadequate level of employment, production, national revenue and savings. This vicious cycle causes the problem of savings gap for the countries which try to develop economically. Countries having an inadequate level of savings appeal to foreign savings in short term and try to develop policies in order to increase their savings in the long term. This study has been carried out in order to analyze the impact of savings on the economic growth of developing countries. Using the methods of panel data analysis, this study has concluded that domestic savings have a significant and positive impact on economic growth in D-8 sample. This finding indicates that D8 countries should focus on policies that increase their savings rates for high and sustainable growth. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
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13. Estimating the household consumption function in Saudi Arabia: an error correction approach.
- Author
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Al Gahtani, Goblan, Bollino, Carlo Andrea, Bigerna, Simona, and Pierru, Axel
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ERROR correction (Information theory) ,INTEREST rates ,HOUSEHOLDS - Abstract
We estimate a micro-founded life-cycle consumption model for Saudi Arabia over the period 1970–2017 using error correction model procedures. Dynamic adjustments are significant, and both income and wealth are found to have significant effects, with a long-run marginal propensity to consume out of the income of 0.95 and out of the wealth of 0.06. The sensitivity of consumption to income and wealth, as well as the estimated short-term effects of price and real interest rate, are consistent with the rapidly growing Saudi economy. By capturing the key determinants of the life-cycle model, our approach is useful for the design of macroeconomic policy. We estimate the impact of the recent VAT reform. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
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14. Safety evaluation of urban underground utility tunnel with the grey clustering method based on the whole life cycle theory
- Author
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Shaonan Sun, Ailing Wang, Mengqi Su, Congyu Xu, and Yixin Yang
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Cultural Studies ,Grey clustering ,Life-cycle hypothesis ,Arts and Humanities (miscellaneous) ,Computer science ,Architecture ,Building and Construction ,Data mining ,Utility tunnel ,computer.software_genre ,computer ,Civil and Structural Engineering - Published
- 2021
15. Review on the Development History of Korean Textile and Fashion Companies and Chaebols : Based on Corporate Life Cycle Theory
- Author
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Haekyung Yu
- Subjects
Life-cycle hypothesis ,Business ,Textile (markup language) ,Industrial organization - Published
- 2021
16. Teoria cyklu życia w kształtowaniu struktury kapitału w przedsiębiorstwie
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Jadwiga Machnik
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Microeconomics ,Life-cycle hypothesis ,Capital structure ,Economics ,Context (language use) - Abstract
Decyzje zarządzających przedsiębiorstwem w kontekście kształtowania struktury kapitału różnią się w zależności od etapu rozwoju, na którym znajduje się określony podmiot. Liczne badania potwierdziły, że cykl życia przedsiębiorstwa determinuje wybór źródeł finansowania przez zarządzających przedsiębiorstwem, a co za tym idzie wpływa na kształt struktury kapitału. Celem tego opracowania jest identyfikacja przyszłych kierunków badań nad znaczeniem teorii cyklu życia przedsiębiorstwa w kształtowaniu struktury kapitału. Zostały wyciągnięte wnioski na podstawie wstępnego przeglądu literatury w zakresie teorii cyklu życia przedsiębiorstwa.
- Published
- 2021
17. Determinants of savings in the APEC countries
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Kivanç Halil ARIÇ
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APEC ,saving ,life-cycle hypothesis ,panel data ,Business ,HF5001-6182 ,Economic theory. Demography ,HB1-3840 ,Economics as a science ,HB71-74 - Abstract
The determinants of savings is the subject which is studied frequently in economic literature. Because that the saving conditions are contribute to the economic growth. This study examines the determinants of savings in the APEC countries. Panel data analysis was used for sixteen APEC member countries during the period of 2000-2013. According the analysis results that income, age dependency ratio, young population, rural population and urban population affect on savings positively. Financial depth affects on savings negatively. Inflation and old population have no significant effect on savings in APEC countries.
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- 2015
18. Migration patterns and migrant workers' consumption
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Li Luo and Xiaofeng Li
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Consumption (economics) ,Economics and Econometrics ,Life-cycle hypothesis ,050204 development studies ,Migrant workers ,Consumption function ,05 social sciences ,Significant difference ,Agricultural and Biological Sciences (miscellaneous) ,0502 economics and business ,Survey data collection ,Demographic economics ,Residence ,Business ,050207 economics ,China - Abstract
PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to exam the relationship between migration patterns and migrant workers' consumption and study how to upgrade the consumption of migrant workers.Design/methodology/approachBased on survey data from 3,368 migrant workers in China, this paper employs the extended linear expenditure system (ELES) model to analyze the difference of migrant workers' consumption in different migration patterns. A consumption function containing migration patterns was constructed to examine the impact of migration patterns on the consumption of migrant workers.FindingsThe consumption structure of migrant workers is in accordance with the migration theory and life cycle theory; there is a significant difference in the consumption between migrant workers of different migration patterns. Migrant workers who move to the city separated from their family members have lower levels of consumption, and the consumption structure shows the characteristics of “survival consumption,” mainly based on “food, residence and traffic.” On the contrary, migrant workers who move to the city with all their family members have higher levels of consumption, and their consumption is well structured, showing a gradual trend of upgrading and transformation.Originality/valueThis paper enriches the empirical literature on analyzing the migration patterns and their impact on migrant workers' consumption, which can help policymakers design reasonable policies of adaptation for the consumption upgrading of migrant workers.
- Published
- 2021
19. The analysis of OLC stages and the venture capital investors from Adizes life cycle theory
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Pratima Verma and Vimal Kumar
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Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management ,Life-cycle hypothesis ,Strategy and Management ,0502 economics and business ,05 social sciences ,Monetary economics ,Business ,010501 environmental sciences ,Venture capital ,01 natural sciences ,050203 business & management ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences - Abstract
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate how the organization’s life-cycle stages influence the venture capital investor’s decision. The present study also aims to explore the relationships between life cycle stages and financing decisions of investors of an organization. Design/methodology/approach The research focuses on a qualitative approach and adopts descriptive and case study methods to perceive the data collected. By the multi-case research approach, the authors conducted interviews in analytics and technological companies. The data originates from semi-structured interviews and publicly available data with various venture capital firms. Findings In this research, 10 stages of the organization’s life cycle from the Adizes theory have been considered. It starts from the first two stages as courtship and infancy to bureaucracy and death to the final stages. The results and findings indicate that life cycle stages influence venture capitalist financing decisions. Research limitations/implications The implications of the current research help venture capitalist to take investment decisions according to the life cycle stage of the organization. Furthermore, according to the stage of the organization, the owner of a venture capital firm can approach various venture capitalists for the betterment of the organization. Originality/value The novelty of this research is to consider a case-based approach involving Adizes’ life cycle in all 10 stages of venture capital firms that affect venture capitalists.
- Published
- 2021
20. Att spara eller inte spara? : En studie om universitetsstudenters sparande och vad som påverkar sparbeteendet
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Pettersson, Edvin, Trinh, Sandra, Pettersson, Edvin, and Trinh, Sandra
- Abstract
Titel: Att spara eller inte spara? - En studie om universitetsstudenters sparande och vad som påverkar sparbeteendet Författare: Edvin Pettersson och Sandra Trinh Handledare: Camilla Strömbäck Bakgrund: Enligt livscykelhypotesen är det irrationellt för studenter att spara pengar. Däremot utifrån ett riskhanteringsperspektiv finns det anledningar till att spara vilket inte överensstämmer med livscykelhypotesen. Utöver denna diskrepans har tidigare forskning visat att det finns flera faktorer som kan påverka en individs sparande. Dock har tidigare forskning ofta varit kvantitativ och enbart fokuserat på hur en faktor påverkar sparande men inte om faktorerna påverkar varandra eller givit en bred bild över området. Syfte: Syftet med studien är att undersöka svenska universitetsstudenters sparande och behovet av det utifrån ett riskhanteringsperspektiv, samt identifiera, analysera och systematisera vilka faktorer som påverkar sparandet. Genomförande: För att besvara studiens syfte har en kvalitativ metod använts där semistrukturerade intervjuer har genomförts med tio svenska universitetsstudenter. Utifrån tidigare forskning uppmärksammades fem faktorer som påverkar sparande. Dessa faktorer låg sedan till grund för intervjuguiden och analysmodellen som skapades. Slutsats: Utifrån ett riskhanteringsperspektiv är det rationellt för svenska universitetsstudenter att spara. Det har gjort att de kan hantera likviditetskriser samt bygga upp ett eget kapital för att kunna ta lån i framtiden. Mental bokföring och finansiell bildning har gjort det enklare för studenterna att hantera sina självkontrollsproblem vilket har möjliggjort att de kan spara., Title: To save or not to save? - A study about university students’ saving and what affects the saving behavior Authors: Edvin Pettersson and Sandra Trinh Supervisor: Camilla Strömbäck Background: According to the life cycle hypothesis, it is irrational for university students to save money. However, it might be necessary for university students to have a savings buffer to be able to manage liquidity risks and to afford more expensive purchases. Previous research has shown that there are several factors that affect a person’s saving behavior, but it has yet to investigate how different factors work together to affect the saving behavior. Aim: The aim of this study is to examine Swedish university students’ savings and the need for from a risk management perspective, as well as identify, analyze, and systematize which factors affect the saving behavior. Completion: To answer the research questions we have completed semi-structural interviews with ten Swedish university students. This study has used a qualitative method to be able to examine how students reflect on the needs to have savings and to identify if different factors work together to affect the university students’ saving behavior. From previous research we have identified five factors that affect a person’s saving behavior and these factors have been the basis for the creation of the interview guide and the model of analysis. Conclusion: From a risk management perspective it is rational for Swedish university students to save money to be able to manage their liquidity risks and build up their equity to enable loans in the future. Both mental accounting and financial literacy have been helpful for the students to practice self-control, which has made it possible for the students to save money.
- Published
- 2022
21. Los jubilados al mercado. Una genealogía teórica de la propuesta neoliberal de reforma previsional entre los ’50 y los ’70 y su arribo en Argentina
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Nicolás Dvoskin
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teoría neoclásica ,sistema previsiona ,seguridad social ,ciclo vital ,pensamiento económico ,neoclassical theory ,pension system ,social security ,life-cycle hypothesis ,economic thought ,teoria neoclássica ,sistemas de pensões ,segurança social ,ciclo de vida ,pensamento econômico ,Economic history and conditions ,HC10-1085 ,Economics as a science ,HB71-74 - Abstract
En este trabajo se propone un recorrido teórico por las aproximaciones neoclásicas a los sistemas de jubilaciones desde fines de los ‘50 hasta fines de los ‘70. Lo que se desprende es un debate acerca de los problemas de los regímenes de reparto y lo que surge como respuesta es el reemplazo de los mismos por sistemas de capitalización individual. Comenzamos analizando la controversia teórica planteada por Paul Samuelson, continuamos con las propuestas específicas para el caso estadounidense de Milton Friedman y James Buchanan, introducimos el marco teórico de la hipótesis del ciclo vital, con Franco Modigliani como principal protagonista y así llegamos al máximo exponente de la argumentación neoliberal sobre reforma previsional: Martin Feldstein. Por último, incluimos la primera aproximación a esta problemática desde Argentina, desde la pluma de Roque Fernández, inscripta en la propuesta de reforma previsional de la última dictadura militar.
- Published
- 2014
22. Fetal origins—A life cycle model of health and aging from conception to death
- Author
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Carl-Johan Dalgaard, Casper Worm Hansen, and Holger Strulik
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Adult ,Aging ,medicine.medical_specialty ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Longevity ,Frailty Index ,Health capital ,Health outcomes ,Faculty of Social Sciences ,inutero development ,Developmental psychology ,Human health ,in utero development ,03 medical and health sciences ,Information deficit model ,Empirical research ,fetal origins ,0502 economics and business ,Epidemiology ,ddc:330 ,medicine ,Animals ,Humans ,Positive economics ,050207 economics ,Fetal origins hypothesis ,media_common ,Life Cycle Stages ,Fetus ,Life-cycle hypothesis ,050208 finance ,030503 health policy & services ,Health Policy ,05 social sciences ,3. Good health ,Shock (economics) ,ontogenetic growth ,health deficits ,0305 other medical science ,Psychology ,Path dependence - Abstract
The fetal origins hypothesis suggests that health and nutrition shocks in utero are causally related to health deficits in old age. It has received considerable empirical support, both within epidemiology and economics but so far it has not been integrated into a life cycle theory of human aging and longevity. The present study shows that the health deficit model, based on the frailty index developed in gerontology, generates shock amplification consistent with the hypothesis. In order to discuss human health over the life cycle from conception to death, we develop a theory of ontogenetic growth and health in utero and during childhood, unify it with the health deficit model of adult aging, and discuss the transmission of early-life shocks to late-life health deficit accumulation.
- Published
- 2021
23. ДІАГНОСТИКА РІВНЯ БЕЗПЕКИ ДІДЖИТАЛІЗАЦІЇ ПІДПРИЄМСТВА З УРАХУВАННЯМ ФАЗИ ЙОГО ЖИТТЄВОГО ЦИКЛУ
- Author
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Ievgeniia Mishchuk, Mykola Ishchenko, O. Bondarenko, Victoria Adamovska, and Kateryna Astafieva
- Subjects
Life-cycle hypothesis ,Identification (information) ,Process management ,Work (electrical) ,business.industry ,Depreciation ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Information security ,business ,Automation ,Phase (combat) ,Recession ,media_common - Abstract
Анотація. Зважаючи на сучасні умови переходу в дистанційний режим роботи, підприємствам важливо мати низку інструментів, які дозволять оцінити готовність об’єктів бізнесу до віддаленої роботи з усіма можливими контрагентами. Таким чином, перед підприємствами постає питання забезпечення безпеки діджиталізації. Присвячено дослідженню відмінностей між сутністю понять «інформаційна безпека» і «безпека діджиталізації», а також аналізу рівня безпеки діджиталізації підприємств. Запропоновано методику оцінювання рівня безпеки діджиталізації підприємства з позицій теорії життєвого циклу, що дозволяє виявити ознаки настання «інформаційного спаду» в його діяльності. Методологія дослідження передбачає проведення інтегрального аналізу основних аспектів функціонування підприємства на різних етапах його життєвого циклу за допомогою показника, що враховує ступінь спрацювання комп’ютерного забезпечення, рівень адміністративних витрат і витрат на збут. Виявлення умов настання «інформаційного спаду» і визначення рівня безпеки діджиталізації проводилось експертними методами. Експертами виступали спеціалісти з питань стратегічного розвитку підприємств. Зокрема, експерти виокремили такі рівні безпеки діджиталізації, як «нормальний», «допустимий» і «критичний». Методика була апробована на матеріалах провідних підприємств гірничорудної галузі Криворізького регіону України. Отримані результати характеризують умови виявлення характерних ознак «інформаційного спаду» в діяльності підприємств на таких етапах їхніх життєвих циклів, як «Становлення», «Малолітство», «Дитинство», «Ріст», «Стабільність» і «Спад». Запропонований підхід дозволить удосконалити процеси автоматизації управління та підвищити ефективність упровадження процесів діджиталізації в діяльність виробничих підприємств. Ключові слова: безпека діджиталізації, теорія життєвого циклу, інформаційний спад, метод експертних оцінок, гірничорудні підприємства, ефективність діяльності підприємства. Формул: 1; рис.: 0; табл.: 3; бібл.: 28.
- Published
- 2021
24. Beyond cycles - police watchdog reform mechanics
- Author
-
Carrie Buckmaster and Michael Macaulay
- Subjects
021110 strategic, defence & security studies ,Life-cycle hypothesis ,Process (engineering) ,media_common.quotation_subject ,05 social sciences ,0211 other engineering and technologies ,General Social Sciences ,02 engineering and technology ,Mechanics ,Northern ireland ,Transparency (behavior) ,Economic Justice ,Ripple effect ,Pathology and Forensic Medicine ,Political science ,Accountability ,050501 criminology ,Function (engineering) ,Law ,0505 law ,media_common - Abstract
This paper presents a new framework for better understanding the mechanics of police oversight reforms. It outlines a case study of New Zealand police oversight organisation reform and a comparative analysis with four other jurisdictions: England and Wales, Scotland, Northern Ireland and New York. Together these cases allow us to trace the path of police watchdog reform and demonstrate that it is not simply a series of cycles, or preordained set of management challenges. Instead it is a more complex, staggered process of reactive and proactive reform that includes reform cycles, watchdog-initiated growth, justice sector reform and the ripple effect. The paper draws upon and extends two theoretical approaches - Organisational Life Cycle theory [1, 2] and Police Complaints Reform Cycle frameworks [3] - to develop this new model of police oversight organisation reform mechanisms. Further, the paper proposes that deficits in watchdog transparency impede accountability, in turn stifling the public awareness needed for reform mechanisms to function and stunting the growth of an oversight organisation’s funding and powers.
- Published
- 2021
25. An Analysis on the Asset Holding Behavior of Retired Old-middle aged Households in Korea
- Author
-
Injoo Seo, Kyeongwon Yoo, and Jisu Jung
- Subjects
Life-cycle hypothesis ,Financial economics ,Financial asset ,General Medicine ,Business ,Asset (economics) - Published
- 2020
26. A Re-examination of the Validity of the Life Cycle Hypothesis (LCH): Evidence from Emerging Europe
- Author
-
Mehmed Ganić and Agim Mamuti
- Subjects
Life-cycle hypothesis ,emerging Europe ,dynamic heterogeneous panel data models ,lcsh:HB71-74 ,lcsh:Economics as a science ,Estimator ,Context (language use) ,Sample (statistics) ,savings behavior ,the life cycle theory ,Linear regression ,Econometrics ,Economics ,Unemployment rate ,Transition countries ,age dependency ,Panel data - Abstract
The study aims to empirically explore the dependence of savings behavior on demographic changes in the context of the life cycle hypothesis (LCH) in a sample of 18 European transition and post transition countries. The empirical methodology is based on a multifactor modeling approach. The research estimates heterogeneous panel data models by employing three different heterogeneous coefficient estimators: mean group (MG) estimator, common correlated effects mean group (CCEMG) estimator, and augmented mean group (AMG) estimator. The findings demonstrate that the LCH is confirmed in the case of European post-transition countries and rejected as inappropriate in European transition countries due to inconsistency of regression coefficients (age dependency, unemployment rate, urbanization, and health expenditure). The models and their findings presented in this study can be used in policymaking to predict dynamic interactions and variations among selected demographic variables in the determination of savings behavior.
- Published
- 2020
27. The performance of acquisitions of founder<scp>CEO</scp>firms: The effect of founder firm premium
- Author
-
M. V. Shyam Kumar, Frederik P. Schlingemann, and Nandu J. Nagarajan
- Subjects
Economics and Econometrics ,Life-cycle hypothesis ,Financial economics ,Strategy and Management ,Event study ,Human capital theory ,Business ,Business and International Management - Published
- 2020
28. The wealth decumulation behavior of the retired elderly in Italy: the importance of bequest motives and precautionary saving
- Author
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Luigi Ventura and Charles Yuji Horioka
- Subjects
Panel survey ,Economics and Econometrics ,Bequest ,Download ,Developing country ,aged ,bequest intentions ,bequest motive ,bequests ,dissaving ,elderly ,estates ,household saving ,inheritances ,inter vivos transfers ,intergenerational transfers ,Italy ,life-cycle hypothesis ,life-cycle model ,life-cycle theory ,precautionary saving ,retired elderly ,saving ,wealth ,wealth accumulation ,wealth decumulation ,wealth decumulation puzzle ,Dissaving ,Life-cycle hypothesis ,Bequest motive ,Wealth accumulation ,Wealth decumulation puzzle ,Wealth decumulation ,Elderly ,D12, D14, D15, D64, E21, J14 ,Bequest intentions ,Inheritances ,0502 economics and business ,Economics ,050207 economics ,050205 econometrics ,Aged ,Wealth ,Inter vivos transfers ,life cycle hypothesis ,Italy, inheritances ,Saving ,05 social sciences ,Intergenerational transfers ,Life-cycle model ,Retired elderly ,life cycle model ,Household saving ,Precautionary saving ,Estates ,Bequests ,Financial crisis ,Life-cycle theory ,Demographic economics ,Social Sciences (miscellaneous) - Abstract
In this paper, we analyze the wealth accumulation and saving behavior of the retired elderly in Italy using micro data from the “Survey of Italian Households’ Income and Wealth,” a panel survey of households conducted every two years by the Bank of Italy. We find that, on average, the retired elderly in Italy are decumulating their wealth (dissaving) but that their wealth decumulation rates are much slower than expected. Moreover, we also find that more than 40 percent of the retired elderly in Italy are continuing to accumulate wealth and that more than 80 percent are doing positive amounts of saving. Thus, the Wealth Decumulation Puzzle (the tendency of the retired elderly to decumulate their wealth more slowly than expected) appears to apply in the case of Italy, as it does in most other countries, before as well as after the Global Financial Crisis. Moreover, our regression analysis of the determinants of the wealth accumulation and saving behavior of the retired elderly in Italy suggests that the lower than expected wealth decumulation rates and dissaving of the retired elderly in Italy is due largely to intergenerational transfers (bequests and inter vivos transfers) and saving for precautionary purposes, especially the former. Institutional subscribers to the NBER working paper series, and residents of developing countries may download this paper without additional charge at www.nber.org.
- Published
- 2020
29. The relationship ageing of the population and saving in an unemployment context: Empirical evidence using an autoregressive distributed lag bounds testing approach
- Author
-
Olfa Frini
- Subjects
Distributed lag ,Population ageing ,Life-cycle hypothesis ,education.field_of_study ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Population ,Context (language use) ,Life insurance ,Unemployment ,Econometrics ,Economics ,education ,General Economics, Econometrics and Finance ,Retirement age ,media_common - Abstract
In this article, we emphasised that ageing population does not systematically depress savings by drawing attention to the factors that may distort that prediction of the life‐cycle hypothesis (LCH). To demonstrate it, we used two indicators for ageing: the total and aged dependency ratios and we looked at the economic context influence on national saving evolution through considering the labour market imbalance interference. By applying the autoregressive distributed lag approach, with Tunisian data during 1970–2018, a dynamic long‐run relationship between ageing and national saving is found, although it seemed to be sensitive to the used ageing indicator and the economic context. Indeed, the LCH is proved only by the total dependence ratio whereas the aged dependence ratio puts a significant long‐run upward pressure on saving. Further, in a context of unemployment without any benefit scheme, the LCH prediction cannot be endorsed by the two indicators. Hence, the social and economic conditions limit the LCH scope, bearing out that elderly not depress systematically savings. Therefore, to sustain saving major economic and financial reforms are needed, as to postpone the retirement age, to move from pay‐as‐you‐go system towards funded pension system, to promote life insurance and to diversify the long‐run savings products.
- Published
- 2020
30. Dividend policy in India: reconciling theory and evidence
- Author
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Bipin Kumar Dixit, Suman Saurabh, and Nilesh Gupta
- Subjects
Life-cycle hypothesis ,050208 finance ,Earnings ,Financial economics ,05 social sciences ,Dividend payout ratio ,Equity (finance) ,Dividend policy ,Logistic regression ,Dividend payment ,0502 economics and business ,Economics ,Business, Management and Accounting (miscellaneous) ,Dividend ,050203 business & management ,Finance - Abstract
PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to examine the dividend payout behavior of Indian firms and test whether the three prominent dividend policy theories (signaling, life-cycle and catering) explain the dividend policy of Indian firms.Design/methodology/approachThe authors test the three theories using the methodology based on the studies of Nissim and Ziv (2001), DeAngelo et al. (2006) and Baker and Wurgler (2004). For testing the signaling theory, the authors regress the change in earnings on the rate of change in dividends using the pooled and Fama–Macbeth regressions. The life cycle theory is tested by running a logistic regression of the dividend payment decision on two proxies of life-cycle measured by the ratio of earned to total equity. Finally, the catering theory tests the relationship between the decision to pay a dividend and the dividend premium.FindingsThe results based on a sample of Indian firms from 1992 to 2017 show that the dividend policy of Indian firms can be explained using the life-cycle theory. However, there is no evidence in support of the signaling and catering theories.Originality/valueIt provides insights into the dividend policy of Indian firms. Though there have been a few studies examining the dividend payout in India, none of the existing studies tests these theories of dividend payout. The existing research using the Indian data provides indirect evidence about the life-cycle theory. This study is the first one to test the application of these theories for Indian firms.
- Published
- 2020
31. Comparison of Consumption Behaviors According to Income Framing and Source: Japan, Philippines and Korea
- Author
-
Hyunho Kim and Inyong Shin
- Subjects
Life-cycle hypothesis ,Framing (social sciences) ,Public economics ,Economics ,General Medicine ,Behavioral economics ,Marginal propensity to consume - Published
- 2020
32. Real Economy as a Source of Trade Balance Disequilibrium - Basic Approach
- Author
-
Ondřej Šíma
- Subjects
Consumption (economics) ,Economics and Econometrics ,education.field_of_study ,Life-cycle hypothesis ,050208 finance ,Sociology and Political Science ,Public economics ,05 social sciences ,Population ,Disequilibrium ,Balance of trade ,Context (language use) ,Investment (macroeconomics) ,0502 economics and business ,medicine ,050207 economics ,medicine.symptom ,education ,Marginal propensity to consume - Abstract
The aim of this paper is to specify the determinants from the real economy causing long-term disequilibrium in the trade balance. The analysis is carried out for all countries of the world for the period 1980-2016 (according to data availability) using panel and cross-sectional regression. We employ the absorption approach as the basic theoretical model. From the supply side of the economy, the main determinants are: export of primary resources, e.g. oil and gas, geographical factors and institutional quality of the economy. From the demand side of the economy, the trade balance is influenced mainly by the demographic structure of the population and its consumption, saving and investment habits in the context of life cycle hypothesis, marginal propensity to consume and the participation of the government sector in the economy (e.g. health care provision, social security, etc.).
- Published
- 2020
33. The Combined Effect of Dividend Policy and Treasury Stock Purchase: Analysis Based on the Dividend Life Cycle Hypothesis and Signal Theory of Treasury Stock Purchase
- Author
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Jin Hwon, Lee, kangyoujung, and Kim Kyung Soon
- Subjects
Life-cycle hypothesis ,Treasury stock ,Economics ,Signal theory ,Dividend ,Monetary economics ,Dividend policy - Published
- 2020
34. Unfinished business: a multicommodity intertemporal planner–doer framework
- Author
-
Hersh Shefrin
- Subjects
Life-cycle hypothesis ,Nudge theory ,Mental accounting ,Strategy and Management ,media_common.quotation_subject ,05 social sciences ,Temptation ,Planner ,Microeconomics ,Core (game theory) ,Accounting ,0502 economics and business ,Economics ,050207 economics ,Empirical evidence ,Set (psychology) ,computer ,050203 business & management ,Finance ,computer.programming_language ,media_common - Abstract
PurposeThere was unfinished business to address in the version of the planner–doer model developed in Thaler and Shefrin (1981). The unfinished business involved identifying and modeling the crucial roles played by temptation and mental accounting in pensions and savings behavior. The present paper has two objectives.Design/methodology/approachThe first objective is to describe the key lessons learned in transitioning from the model in Thaler and Shefrin (1981) to the model in Shefrin and Thaler (1988), a transition which addressed some of the unfinished business. The second objective is to describe as yet unfinished business associated with developing a multicommodity, intertemporal version of the planner–doer framework, incorporating the concepts of temptation and mental accounting, to replace the neoclassical theory of the consumer.FindingsDoing so will provide a theoretical foundation for nudges related to household budgeting, spending, saving, borrowing and investing.Originality/valueThis paper presents the first behavioral theory of the consumer, focusing on the manner in which consumers actually make decisions about budgeting, spending. borrowing and saving. The approach in the paper can be viewed as a behavioral counterpart to the neoclassical theory of the consumer. In contrast to the neoclassical approach, which assumes that consumers set and follow utility maximizing budgets, the empirical evidence indicates that only a small minority of consumers describe themselves as setting and following budgets. The behavioral theory presented here focuses on the heuristic nature of consumers' actual budgeting processes and extends the approach described in Thaler and Shefrin's 1981 seminal paper on self-control. The core of the present paper is a working paper which Shefrin and Thaler began in 1980, and as such represents unfinished business from that time. The first part of this paper describes earlier unfinished business from the 1981 framework that the authors subsequently addressed as they developed the behavioral life cycle hypothesis during the 1980s.
- Published
- 2020
35. Does the Selfish Life-Cycle Model Apply in the Case of Japan?
- Author
-
Horioka, Charles Yuji
- Subjects
saving ,borrowing constraints ,intergenerational transfers ,households ,inheritances ,retirees ,estates ,life-cycle theory ,life-cycle hypothesis ,elderly ,life-cycle model ,liquidity constraints ,bequests ,aged ,altruism ,Japan ,household saving ,Age structure of the population ,household behavior ,bequest motives ,consumption ,saving motives ,selfishness ,dissaving ,old age - Abstract
In this paper, we first provide a brief exposition of the simplest version of the selfish life cycle model or hypothesis, which is undoubtedly the most widely used theoretical model of household behavior in economics, and then survey the literature on household saving behavior in Japan (with emphasis on the author’s own past research) to shed light on whether or not the selfish life-cycle model applies in the case of Japan. In particular, we survey the literature on the impact of the age structure of the population on the saving rate, the saving behavior of retired households, saving motives, the prevalence of bequests, bequest motives, tests of altruism, and the importance of borrowing (liquidity) constraints and show that almost all of the available evidence suggests that the selfish life-cycle model applies to a greater extent in Japan than it does in other countries. Finally, we discuss the policy implications of our findings.
- Published
- 2020
36. The Role of Use and Nonuse Values on Festival Attendees' Behavioral Intentions
- Author
-
Renuka Mahadevan
- Subjects
Marketing ,Distance decay ,Value (ethics) ,Life-cycle hypothesis ,business.industry ,Marketing strategy ,Cultural tourism ,Tourism, Leisure and Hospitality Management ,Willingness to recommend ,Business and International Management ,Rural area ,business ,Psychology ,Social psychology ,Valuation (finance) - Abstract
This article distinguishes between use and nonuse values in their impact on two behavioral intentions to a rural cultural festival. Results from the case study showed that in the willingness to recommend the festival and intention to revisit by repeat tourists, both use and nonuse values were influential but first timers' intention to revisit was mainly affected by use values. In addition, there was support for the recency–frequency–monetary value paradigm and the distance decay theory with some evidence of a nonlinear relationship between distance and behavioral intention. The life cycle theory and length of festival stay on the other hand saw mixed effects on the two types of behavioral intention. Overall, a two-pronged marketing strategy based on the importance of use and nonuse values to attract first timers and repeat tourists could be considered for a cultural festival.
- Published
- 2020
37. The impact of CEO duality on firm performance: Examining the life-cycle theory in Vietnam
- Author
-
Duc Huy Pham and Quoc Viet Pham
- Subjects
Life-cycle hypothesis ,lcsh:Accounting. Bookkeeping ,Accounting ,Pharmaceutical Science ,Duality (optimization) ,Business ,lcsh:HF5601-5689 ,Mathematical economics - Published
- 2020
38. To save or not to save? : A study about university students' saving and what affects the saving behavior
- Author
-
Pettersson, Edvin and Trinh, Sandra
- Subjects
mental accounting ,financial socialization ,self-control ,Sparande ,Economics ,finansiell socialisering ,självkontroll ,life-cycle hypothesis ,risk management ,finansiell bildning ,financial literacy ,mental bokföring ,riskhantering ,livscykelhypotesen ,Nationalekonomi ,Savings ,Business Administration ,Företagsekonomi - Abstract
Titel: Att spara eller inte spara? - En studie om universitetsstudenters sparande och vad som påverkar sparbeteendet Författare: Edvin Pettersson och Sandra Trinh Handledare: Camilla Strömbäck Bakgrund: Enligt livscykelhypotesen är det irrationellt för studenter att spara pengar. Däremot utifrån ett riskhanteringsperspektiv finns det anledningar till att spara vilket inte överensstämmer med livscykelhypotesen. Utöver denna diskrepans har tidigare forskning visat att det finns flera faktorer som kan påverka en individs sparande. Dock har tidigare forskning ofta varit kvantitativ och enbart fokuserat på hur en faktor påverkar sparande men inte om faktorerna påverkar varandra eller givit en bred bild över området. Syfte: Syftet med studien är att undersöka svenska universitetsstudenters sparande och behovet av det utifrån ett riskhanteringsperspektiv, samt identifiera, analysera och systematisera vilka faktorer som påverkar sparandet. Genomförande: För att besvara studiens syfte har en kvalitativ metod använts där semistrukturerade intervjuer har genomförts med tio svenska universitetsstudenter. Utifrån tidigare forskning uppmärksammades fem faktorer som påverkar sparande. Dessa faktorer låg sedan till grund för intervjuguiden och analysmodellen som skapades. Slutsats: Utifrån ett riskhanteringsperspektiv är det rationellt för svenska universitetsstudenter att spara. Det har gjort att de kan hantera likviditetskriser samt bygga upp ett eget kapital för att kunna ta lån i framtiden. Mental bokföring och finansiell bildning har gjort det enklare för studenterna att hantera sina självkontrollsproblem vilket har möjliggjort att de kan spara. Title: To save or not to save? - A study about university students’ saving and what affects the saving behavior Authors: Edvin Pettersson and Sandra Trinh Supervisor: Camilla Strömbäck Background: According to the life cycle hypothesis, it is irrational for university students to save money. However, it might be necessary for university students to have a savings buffer to be able to manage liquidity risks and to afford more expensive purchases. Previous research has shown that there are several factors that affect a person’s saving behavior, but it has yet to investigate how different factors work together to affect the saving behavior. Aim: The aim of this study is to examine Swedish university students’ savings and the need for from a risk management perspective, as well as identify, analyze, and systematize which factors affect the saving behavior. Completion: To answer the research questions we have completed semi-structural interviews with ten Swedish university students. This study has used a qualitative method to be able to examine how students reflect on the needs to have savings and to identify if different factors work together to affect the university students’ saving behavior. From previous research we have identified five factors that affect a person’s saving behavior and these factors have been the basis for the creation of the interview guide and the model of analysis. Conclusion: From a risk management perspective it is rational for Swedish university students to save money to be able to manage their liquidity risks and build up their equity to enable loans in the future. Both mental accounting and financial literacy have been helpful for the students to practice self-control, which has made it possible for the students to save money.
- Published
- 2022
39. Is the basic life-cycle theory of consumption becoming more relevant? Evidence from Portugal
- Author
-
Fernando Alexandre, Miguel Portela, Pedro Bação, and Universidade do Minho
- Subjects
Economics and Econometrics ,050204 development studies ,cohorts ,Social Sciences ,Microdata (statistics) ,microdata ,Standard of living ,cohorts, consumption, life-cyle, microdata ,0502 economics and business ,Business cycle ,Economics ,consumption ,050207 economics ,life-cyle ,Debt crisis ,Life-cycle hypothesis ,05 social sciences ,Ciências Sociais::Economia e Gestão ,1. No poverty ,language.human_language ,Cohort effect ,8. Economic growth ,Cohort ,language ,Demographic economics ,Economia e Gestão [Ciências Sociais] ,Portuguese ,Social Sciences (miscellaneous) - Abstract
In this paper we report and discuss estimates of life-cycle consumption profiles obtained using microdata for Portuguese households. The estimated profiles are much flatter than the profiles usually reported in the literature for other countries, namely the Netherlands, the UK and the USA. In addition, we also report estimates of cohort and business cycle effects on consumption. The estimated cohort effects are consistent with the post-war progress in median standards of living. However, there is a deceleration in the trend of consumption growth for more recent cohorts. The business cycle estimates suggest that the recent debt crisis has had a strong negative impact on household consumption., his research is financed by National Funds of the FCT – PortugueseFoundation for Science and Technology within the project UID/ECO/03182/2019.This paper benefited greatly from the comments of the Editor, the Co-Editor and two anonymous referees.
- Published
- 2019
40. Earnings – returns relation in Greece: some evidence on the size effect and on the life-cycle hypothesis
- Author
-
V. Kousenidis, Dimitrios
- Published
- 2005
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
41. Integrated Energy System Planning Based on Life Cycle and Emergy Theory
- Author
-
Jun Wang, Wei Du, and Dongmei Yang
- Subjects
Consumption (economics) ,Economics and Econometrics ,Life-cycle hypothesis ,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment ,Computer science ,business.industry ,Energy Engineering and Power Technology ,Renewable energy consumption ,Environmental economics ,Production efficiency ,General Works ,Renewable energy ,Emergy ,emergy ,Fuel Technology ,integrated energy system ,bi-level programming ,life cycle ,planning ,Energy source ,business ,Integrated energy system - Abstract
Integrated energy system (IES) is of great significance in the construction of the modern energy system. Reasonable planning is one of the important means to improve the economy of the IES and promote the consumption of renewable energy. However, the complex coupling characteristics between energy sources make it difficult to quantify the production efficiency of multi-energy heterogeneous resources uniformly in the economic benefit model during the planning cycle. Quantifying the production efficiency of the IES for planning is currently an urgent problem to be solved. This study proposes a planning method for the IES based on the life cycle and emergy theory. First, emergy theory is applied to quantify the production efficiency of the IES. A complete economic benefit model is established based on life cycle theory. Second, a bi-level planning model of the IES is established. The upper-level model aims at minimizing the whole life cycle cost of the IES to plan the capacity and location of the coupling equipment. The lower-level model aims at maximizing the emergy yield ratio of the IES to provide the operating data for the upper level. Finally, comparing experimental evaluations with traditional planning schemes considering annual average cost and energy quality coefficient, the method in this study reduces planning costs by 23.16% and increases the consumption rate of renewable energy by 4.26%. It can be seen that the planning method proposed in this study improves the planning economy and the level of renewable energy consumption of the IES.
- Published
- 2021
42. Demographic shifts and their consequences for the investment funds in the EU
- Author
-
Gindra Kasnauskienė and Karol Michnevič
- Subjects
demographic trends ,life-cycle hypothesis ,investment funds ,ageing ,Commerce ,HF1-6182 ,Economics as a science ,HB71-74 - Abstract
Solid theoretical reasons exist for the link between demographics and various economic, financial and social indicators. The aim of this article is to assess the influence of demographic shifts on investment fund flows in the EU from 1996 to 2013. In order to achieve this aim, a fixed effects model is constructed via panel regression and used to test the hypothesis as well as to derive conclusions. The authors hypothesise the presence of a statistically significant non-linear effect of demographic age shares on investment fund flows. The results are juxtaposed with a prior comparable research. This article is expected to benefit the financial sector and to provide guidance to market regulators.
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
43. Nature and determinants of household retirement savings behaviour in South Africa.
- Author
-
Ting, Ling and Kollamparambil, Umakrishnan
- Subjects
- *
RETIREMENT planning , *HOUSEHOLD surveys , *INDIVIDUAL retirement accounts , *ECONOMIC development , *MULTIVARIATE analysis , *COHORT analysis - Abstract
This study investigates the savings behaviour among South African households using the General Household Survey data for the periods 2002–04 and 2008–10. The age-cohort analysis shows that households achieve their income peaks when the household heads are in their early forties, earlier than in most other countries. Although initial support for the life-cycle hypothesis framework in the form of smoothed consumption was found from multivariate analysis, a closer examination reveals that the consumption–income ratio is also smooth over the age and cohort variables. This indicates that savings rates do not follow a hump-shape pattern as required in the life-cycle hypothesis framework. While households are seen to be able to maintain their consumption in retirement years through government grants, a large portion of the grants seem to be utilised for savings. This shows that the government grants have the dual effect of sustaining consumption levels while disincentivising savings during working years. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
44. Household Saving over the Life Cycle: International Evidence from Micro Data
- Author
-
Movshuk, Oleksandr and Movshuk, Oleksandr
- Abstract
type:Working Paper, In this paper I estimate age-saving profiles from micro data in six countries (Italy, Japan, Taiwan, Thailand, the UK, and the US) to verify whether households are saving as postulated by the life- cycle theory. The level of household savings depends on age, cohort and year effects, and the perfect collinearity among these effects is broken by applying a semiparametric regression model. In this model, the cohort effect is assumed to be an arbitrary smooth function, and the model is estimated by the generalized additive model with a penalized smoothing spline approach. Estimated saving-age profiles showed declining savings in the old age for the majority of examined countries. An interesting feature for Asian households was a double hump in savings, with a temporal dip for households in the age bracket at around mid-40s., identifier:Working Paper, No.258, 2010.12.28, Faculty of economics, university of toyama
- Published
- 2021
45. Modigliani's life-cycle theory of savings fifty years later
- Author
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Mauro Baranzini
- Subjects
life-cycle hypothesis ,savings ,Modigliani ,Political science ,Economic theory. Demography ,HB1-3840 - Abstract
In the 1950s, Modigliani proposed a theory of spending in which people make intelligent choices about their spending at each age limited by the resources available over their lives. By using assets and debts, working people can provide for their retirement and tailor their spending to their needs at each age independent of income at each age. The theory predicts that national saving depends on the growth of national income, not its level, and that aggregate wealth depends on the length of retirement. Fifty years later, the life-cycle hypothesis remains an essential part of economists' thinking. Without it, we would have much less to say about the private and public provision of social security, the effects of the stock market on the economy, the effects of demographic change on national saving, the role of saving in economic growth, and the determinants of national wealth.
- Published
- 2005
46. The life-cycle hypothesis, fiscal policy and social security
- Author
-
Tullio Jappelli
- Subjects
life-cycle hypothesis ,fiscal policy ,social security ,Political science ,Economic theory. Demography ,HB1-3840 - Abstract
In the early 1950s Modigliani, with Brumberg and Ando, formulated the life-cycletheory of consumption and savings that enjoyed a huge and undisputed success. But, since the early 1980s, the life-cycle theory has increasingly come under attack. One reason is the existence of an important inter-generational transmission of wealth, to be imputed to motives that are exogenous to the life-cycle model. The second reason is the growing evidence that the rich continue to save more than the less fortunate, as Keynes in fact maintained. The third reason is that there is growing evidence that young families in their twenties and thirties save a positive and increasing proportion of their income, which is in sharp contrast with the original version of the life-cycletheory. Finally, a number of empirical works have found that pensioners set aside a high proportion of their income. This requires a rethinking of the life-cycle approach.
- Published
- 2005
47. Corporate life cycle and dividend payout: A panel data analysis of companies in an emerging market
- Author
-
John H. Hall, H.P. Wolmarans, and Ntungufhadzeni F. Munzhelele
- Subjects
Life-cycle hypothesis ,Financial economics ,value companies ,growth companies ,Dividend payout ratio ,life-cycle hypothesis ,dividend payout ,Corporate finance ,Economics as a science ,Shareholder ,Stock exchange ,emerging market ,Dividend ,Business ,Emerging markets ,HB71-74 ,Panel data - Abstract
Background: The dividend payout policy remains one of the key functional areas of corporate finance because it is through receipt of dividends that shareholders can share in the profits of their investments. Amongst the dividend payout theories that have been developed over the decades, the life-cycle hypothesis has received little attention in research. Aim: The aim of this study was to test the dividend life-cycle hypothesis in the South African contex. Motivation for the study: Justification for this study in the context of South Africa is that there is minimal research in this regard in emerging economies. South Africa presents a good platform for this research because it is amongst the highly regarded emerging markets and this has been confirmed by its representation in Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS) countries. Hence, results in this regard would shed some light in the form of a relative representation of overall emerging markets trend. Research approach/design and method: A panel data of 119 Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) listed sample companies were used to test the hypothesis during the period 2006–2015. A combination of basic and dynamic panel data estimators was used to analyse the data. Main findings: The study finds that the dividend life-cycle hypothesis is prevalent amongst South African companies. Specifically, it was observed that the considered companies pursuing growth projects paid less dividends. Furthermore, the growth companies have shown to be more aggressive in their pursuit for growth and hence are able to create more value for shareholders than value for companies. Managerial implications: Financial managers will be afforded with enhanced decision alternatives in respect of their fiduciary duties towards the shareholders in respect of maximising value. Conclusion: These results provide a mirror image of those of the developed markets and a good context for future research in the same area in an emerging economy setting.
- Published
- 2021
48. When do mature firms skip dividends?
- Author
-
Hamdan Amer Al-Jaifi, Rana Yassir Hussain, Haroon Hussain, and Rohani Md-Rus
- Subjects
Life-cycle hypothesis ,Mature stage ,Economics ,Dividend ,Monetary economics - Abstract
This study examined that if efficient firms at their mature stage of life cycle may skip dividends. For doing so, this study investigated the direct and indirect impacts of firm efficiency on the dividends. To calculate the firm efficiency, data envelopment analysis (DEA) was used and for analyzing the data, logistic regression models were used. This study uses data of 1010 firm year observations of the firm’s listed Pakistani non-financial firms over the period 2011–2015. Findings of this study indicated that the probability to pay dividends is high in the firms having high level of efficiency. Likewise, probability to pay dividend is high in the mature firms as compared to the growth firms. However, efficient and mature firms may skip the dividends. These findings present an alternative view on the signaling and life cycle theories of dividends in that the mature firms having high efficiency which may not necessarily pay dividends in contradiction to the life cycle theory. Likewise, efficient firms may not necessarily pay dividends to signal their future growth prospects. Therefore, the future research may focus more on the role of firm efficiency while examining the dividend pay-out under the life cycle and signaling theories of dividends. This study is among the first studies to examine the direct impact of firm efficiency on probability to pay dividends by examining the interaction effect of firm efficiency and firm maturity on probability to pay dividends.
- Published
- 2021
49. Wealth and the effect of subjective survival probability
- Author
-
Sanna Nivakoski
- Subjects
jel:D91 ,Consumption (economics) ,Economics and Econometrics ,Life-cycle hypothesis ,Actuarial science ,jel:D84 ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Ceteris paribus ,fungi ,05 social sciences ,Longevity ,food and beverages ,jel:D14 ,Older population ,financial wealth, pension wealth, life-cycle hypothesis, longevity, subjective survival probability ,Survival probability ,0502 economics and business ,Life expectancy ,Economics ,Demographic economics ,050207 economics ,Proxy (statistics) ,050205 econometrics ,Demography ,media_common - Abstract
The life-cycle hypothesis predicts that longer life expectancy should, ceteris paribus, lead to the accumu- lation of more wealth during working life to fund consumption in retirement. The prediction is tested by examining whether subjective survival probability (SSP)- a proxy measure of self-assessed life ex- pectancy - affects wealth holdings among the pre-retirement older population. SSP is instrumented to address measurement error and reverse causality. The findings suggest that a 1 percentage point increase in the self-assessed probability of reaching age 75 increases an individual's financial wealth by approximately EUR 3,400 and total wealth (including pension wealth) by approximately EUR 6,200.
- Published
- 2019
50. Is there life after degeneration? The organizational life cycle of cooperatives under a ‘grow‐or‐die’ dichotomy
- Author
-
Ignacio Bretos, Carmen Marcuello, and Anjel Errasti
- Subjects
Economics and Econometrics ,Life-cycle hypothesis ,Organizational life cycle ,Sociology and Political Science ,Corporate governance ,Cooperative group ,Degeneration (medical) ,Business ,Economic system ,Set (psychology) ,Regeneration (ecology) ,Retrospective data - Abstract
This article provides an in‐depth, longitudinal analysis combining real‐time and retrospective data on a set of Mondragon's industrial cooperatives that are organized as international groups. We examine the life cycle of these international cooperative groups, which is expected to evolve differently to that of small‐ and medium‐sized cooperatives that operate exclusively on a local scale. The article is theoretically informed by the cooperative life cycle theory, as well as by recent insights from the degeneration and regeneration theses. Our analysis yields an intricate picture of the evolution of cooperatives faced with a ‘grow‐or‐die’ dichotomy. On the one hand, our findings reject the highly simplistic and deterministic view of the degeneration thesis by demonstrating that these cooperatives can mobilize resources to revitalize cooperative values and practices. On the other, we find that regeneration may not occur in a consistent, sequential fashion as the previous literature suggests, but rather degenerative and regenerative tendencies can occur simultaneously, even leading to long‐lasting, unresolvable situations. In light of this, the article asks future research to draw on power‐aware and politically informed approaches for further understanding of how cooperatives manage the tensions at each organizational stage of their life cycle, and of which organizational actors benefit, and how, from reversing some degenerative tendencies while maintaining others intact.
- Published
- 2019
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