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Abstract The dynamic progression of metabolic syndrome (MetS) includes developmental deterioration and reverse recovery; however, the key factors in this bidirectional progression have not been identified. Our study aimed to use the data obtained from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) and construct a Bayesian network to explore the causal relationship between influential factor and the development and recovery of MetS. Followed up at 4 years, forward progression of MetS occurred in 1543 and reverse recovery of MetS occurred in 1319 of 5581 subjects. Bayesian Networks showed that hyperuricemia and body mass index (BMI) levels directly influenced progression of MetS, and gender, exercise and age play an indirect role through hyperuricemia and BMI levels; high hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) and BMI levels directly influenced recovery of MetS, and gender and exercise play an indirect role through BMI levels. Bayesian Network inference found that the rate of progression of MetS in subjects with hyperuricemia increases from 36 to 60%, the rate of progression of MetS in subjects with overweight or obese increases from 36 to 41% and the rate of reverse recovery rate of MetS in subjects with high HbA1c decreased from 33 to 20%. Therefore, attention to individuals at high risk of hyperuricemia, high HbA1c levels, and overweight/obesity should be enhanced, with early detection and following healthy behavioral interventions to prevent, control and delay the progression of MetS and its components.

Abstract In order to clarify the impact mechanism of shallow buried soft rock tunnel excavation on the upper existing highway, as well as the mechanism of pipe shed reinforcement, a combination of theoretical analysis and on-site monitoring was used to conduct in-depth research on the Diantou Tunnel Crossing the existing highway project of Dayong Expressway. The impact of shallow buried soft rock tunnel crossing construction on the existing highway and safety control issues were studied, a new deformation control index, namely deformation difference rate, was introduced. The results show that the main lateral area of influence of rock deformation is within a distance of one diameter, and the overall area of influence is within a distance of twice the diameter. From the perspective of axial tunnel deformation, the deformation of surrounding rock tends to be stable when the excavation face passes through the monitoring section about twice the tunnel diameter. Effectively controlling rock deformation depends on the total amount of settlement deformation, the change rate of deformation, and the difference rate of deformation. For V-class shallow buried tunnel surrounding rock, in order to prevent cracks on the surface, the cumulative deformation of the surrounding rock needs to be less than 50 mm, the change rate needs to be less than 3 mm/day, and the difference rate needs to be less than 5 mm/m. Finally, the proposed control standard for surface subsidence is given for similar engineering reference.

Myxobacteria have a complex life cycle and unique social behavior. They can prey on plant pathogenic fungi, bacteria, and oomycetes in the soil by producing some enzymes and small molecule compounds. The enzymes mainly include β-1,6-glucanase, β-1,3-glucanase, chitinase, protease, peptidase, and formaldehyde dismutase. β-1,6-glucanase, β-1,3-glucanase, and chitinase can degrade the glycosidic bonds in the cell wall of plant pathogen, causing some holes to form on the cell walls of the plant pathogen. Proteases and peptidases can break plant pathogenic cells into many small fragments and facilitate extracellular digestion of proteins during myxobacterial predation. Formaldehyde dismutase converts formaldehyde to formate and methanol, it can help myxobactria protect themselves in the process of predation. Small molecule substances produced by myxobacteria include isooctanol, di-isobutyl phthalate, myxovirescin, cystobactamid derivatives, hyalodione, argyrin derivatives, Methyl (2R)-2-azido-3-hydroxyl-2-methylpropanoate and N-(3-Amino-2-hydroxypropyl)-N-meth-ylsulfuric diamide, etc. Isooctanol destroyed the cell wall and cell membrane of plant pathogen, causing intracellular reactive oxygen species (ROS) to accumulate, leading to apoptosis and cell death. Di-isobutyl phthalate had biofilm inhibitory activity against bacteria. Myxovirescin could inhibit the incorporation of diamibopimelic acid and uridine diphosphate-Nacetylglucosamine intobacterial cell wall and interfered with the polymerizaton of the lipid-disacchar-pentapeptide. Cystobactamid derivatives exerted their natural antibacterial properties by inhibition of bacterial gyrases. Hyalodione had broad antibacterial and antifungal activity. Argyrin derivatives inhibited protein synthesis by interfering with the binding of elongation factor G (EF-G) to ribosomes. Methyl (2R)-2-azido-3-hydroxyl-2-methylpropanoate and N-(3-Amino-2-hydroxypropyl)-N-meth-ylsulfuric diamide reduced the content of soluble proteins and the activity of protective enzymes (PPO, POD, PAL, and SOD) in plant pathogen, increased oxidative damage and cell membrane permeability. Myxobacteria, as a new natural compound resource bank, can control plant pathogenic fungi, oomycetes and bacteria by producing some enzymes and small molecule compounds, so it has great potential in plant disease control.

Abstract Objective The internal workings ofmachine learning algorithms are complex and considered as low-interpretation "black box" models, making it difficult for domain experts to understand and trust these complex models. The study uses metabolic syndrome (MetS) as the entry point to analyze and evaluate the application value of model interpretability methods in dealing with difficult interpretation of predictive models. Methods The study collects data from a chain of health examination institution in Urumqi from 2017 ~ 2019, and performs 39,134 remaining data after preprocessing such as deletion and filling. RFE is used for feature selection to reduce redundancy; MetS risk prediction models (logistic, random forest, XGBoost) are built based on a feature subset, and accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, Youden index, and AUROC value are used to evaluate the model classification performance; post-hoc model-agnostic interpretation methods (variable importance, LIME) are used to interpret the results of the predictive model. Results Eighteen physical examination indicators are screened out by RFE, which can effectively solve the problem of physical examination data redundancy. Random forest and XGBoost models have higher accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, Youden index, and AUROC values compared with logistic regression. XGBoost models have higher sensitivity, Youden index, and AUROC values compared with random forest. The study uses variable importance, LIME and PDP for global and local interpretation of the optimal MetS risk prediction model (XGBoost), and different interpretation methods have different insights into the interpretation of model results, which are more flexible in model selection and can visualize the process and reasons for the model to make decisions. The interpretable risk prediction model in this study can help to identify risk factors associated with MetS, and the results showed that in addition to the traditional risk factors such as overweight and obesity, hyperglycemia, hypertension, and dyslipidemia, MetS was also associated with other factors, including age, creatinine, uric acid, and alkaline phosphatase. Conclusion The model interpretability methods are applied to the black box model, which can not only realize the flexibility of model application, but also make up for the uninterpretable defects of the model. Model interpretability methods can be used as a novel means of identifying variables that are more likely to be good predictors.

The quenching sensitivity of 7A65 aluminum alloy was investigated using interrupted quenching experiments. The time–temperature transformation (TTT) and time–temperature performance (TTP) curves of the alloy were determined. The results indicate that the nose temperature is about 320 °C and the quenching sensitivity temperature range is from 240 °C to 360 °C. During the isothermal treatment, the supersaturated solid solution resolves to the equilibrium phase of η (MgZn2), and the precipitation rate is the largest at about 320 °C. Through transmission electron microscope (TEM) observation and X-ray diffraction (XRD) tests, it was found that with the extension of the isothermal holding time, the originally dispersed η’ phase gradually decreases until disappear, and the number of η phase increases and gradually grows up at the grain boundary or around the Al3Zr particles. The rod-like η phase at the grain boundary is distributed from discontinuous distribution to chain-like continuous distribution, and the precipitation free zone (PFZ) is gradually generated and widened as the holding time is extended. At the nose temperature, the driving force of nucleation is high, and the diffusion rate is fast, which promotes the precipitation and growth of η phases. The coarse η phase weakens the mechanical properties. According to the results, it is recommended to increase the cooling rate at the sensitivity temperature range to reduce the precipitation of the η phase and decrease the quenching cooling rate from solution temperature to 360 °C to reduce residual stresses in the components.

Abstract Background We aimed to construct simple and practical metabolic syndrome (MetS) risk prediction models based on the data of inhabitants of Urumqi and to provide a methodological reference for the prevention and control of MetS. Methods This is a cross-sectional study conducted in the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region of China. We collected data from inhabitants of Urumqi from 2018 to 2019, including demographic characteristics, anthropometric indicators, living habits and family history. Resampling technology was used to preprocess the data imbalance problems, and then MetS risk prediction models were constructed based on logistic regression (LR) and decision tree (DT). In addition, nomograms and tree diagrams of DT were used to explain and visualize the model. Results Of the 25,542 participants included in the study, 3,267 (12.8%) were diagnosed with MetS, and 22,275 (87.2%) were diagnosed with non-MetS. Both the LR and DT models based on the random undersampling dataset had good AUROC values (0.846 and 0.913, respectively). The accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and AUROC values of the DT model were higher than those of the LR model. Based on a random undersampling dataset, the LR model showed that exercises such as walking (OR=0.769) and running (OR= 0.736) were protective factors against MetS. Age 60 ~ 74 years (OR=1.388), previous diabetes (OR=8.902), previous hypertension (OR=2.830), fatty liver (OR=3.306), smoking (OR=1.541), high systolic blood pressure (OR=1.044), and high diastolic blood pressure (OR=1.072) were risk factors for MetS; the DT model had 7 depth layers and 18 leaves, with BMI as the root node of the DT being the most important factor affecting MetS, and the other variables in descending order of importance: SBP, previous diabetes, previous hypertension, DBP, fatty liver, smoking, and exercise. Conclusions Both DT and LR MetS risk prediction models have good prediction performance and their respective characteristics. Combining these two methods to construct an interpretable risk prediction model of MetS can provide methodological references for the prevention and control of MetS.

The bases of ancient Chinese buildings are prone to deformation, cracks, and other hidden problems due to their age and other reasons. Rainfall and water seepage produce great harm to the cracks of soil plinths. Based on a ground-penetrating radar method, detecting cracks and water erosion defects is important for protecting ancient buildings. This study examines the reflection characteristics of ground-penetrating radar (GPR) waves at different lithological interfaces. Physical experiments and their numerical and physical laws were used to study the reflection characteristics of GPR incidents from brick to air, unsaturated soil, water, and metal interfaces. The model was applied to detect defects of the Xi’an Bell Tower and the main research results are as follows. The echo amplitude of GPR was positively correlated with the relative permittivity of the bedding layer, and its basic law conforms to the positive logarithmic curve. The hyperbolic opening of water erosion imaging of the base-compacted soil is larger, the attenuation effect increases and the signal reflection is obvious. These results provide the theoretical basis and technical support for the actual detection of water erosion deterioration of loess in similar projects, and this provides theoretical and technical references for rapid identification and management of defects in ancient buildings.

Chitooligosaccharides with two different molecular weights are acylated with three containing benzene carboxylic acids: salicylic acid (BHA), α-naphthylacetic acid (NAA) and indole-3-butyric acid (IBA) to obtain o-hydroxybenzoyl-chitooligosaccharide, α-naphthylacetyl-chitooligosaccharide, and 3-Indolebutyryl-chitooligosaccharide. The structure of the derivatives was characterized by FT-IR spectroscopy, 13C NMR spectroscopy and elemental analysis. According to several amide characteristic absorption peaks between 1750 cm−1–1500 cm−1 in the FT-IR spectrum, it can be determined that the target group has been successfully grafted. And there are obvious characteristic absorption peaks of aromatic ring at 900–650 cm−1. The six chemical shifts of 98.02, 76.42, 74.83, 72.00, 60.39, 55.37 ppm in 13C NMR proved that the chitooligosaccharide did not destroy its own sugar ring structure during the reaction. The antioxidant activities of the derivatives, such as hydroxyl radical (·OH) scavenging ability, superoxide anion (O2·−) scavenging ability, reducing ability, and DPPH radical scavenging ability were investigated using various established systems. Comparing with chitooligosaccharide and containing benzene carboxylic acids, most derivatives have strong scavenging ability toward superoxide anions and DPPH radicals, and the clearance rate up to 47.44% and 80.27% separately. The reducing ability and hydroxyl free radical scavenging ability of the derivatives are only 0.032 Abs and 11.43%. The above results showed that the antioxidant activity of some derivatives was higher than that of chitooligosaccharide. The water solubility of the new derivatives was also greatly improved than that of containing benzene carboxylic acids. Therefore, the application of phenyl-acyl-chitooligosaccharide in antioxidants has laid a foundation, and has certain potential application value in the fields of medicine and agriculture and animal husbandry.

BackgroundVitamin D is related to human immunity, so we used Bayesian network model to analyze and infer the relationship between vitamin D level and the acid-fast bacilli (AFB) smear-positive after two months treatment among pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) patients.MethodsThis is a cross-sectional study. 731 TB patients whose vitamin D level were detected and medical records were collected from December 2019 to December 2020 in XinJiang of China. Logistic regression was used to analyze the influencing factors of second AFB smear-positive. Bayesian network was used to further analyze the causal relationship among vitamin D level and the second AFB smear-positive.ResultsBaseline AFB smear-positive (OR = 6.481, 95%CI: 1.604~26.184), combined cavity (OR = 3.204, 95%CI: 1.586~6.472), full supervision (OR = 8.173, 95%CI:1.536~43.492) and full management (OR = 6.231, 95%CI:1.031~37.636) were not only the risk factors and can also be considered as the reasons for second AFB smear-positive in TB patients (Ensemnle > 0.5). There was no causal relationship between vitamin D level and second AFB smear-positive (Ensemnle = 0.0709).ConclusionsThe risk factors of second AFB smear-positive were baseline AFB smear-positive, combined cavity, full supervision and full management. The vitamin D level in TB patients was not considered as one of the reasons for the AFB smear-positive.

The microstructure and impact toughness of the simulated heat affected zone (HAZ) of a high strength low alloy steels by laser-arc hybrid welding (LAHW) were investigated in this paper. Homogeneous simulated HAZ specimens with different grain sizes were prepared using the welding thermal simulating technique. Instrumented impact test was conducted to investigate the toughness of the simulated HAZ. Multi-scale sub-structure characterization of the simulated HAZ specimens was implemented by optical microscopy (OM), scanning electron microscopy (SEM), transmission electron microscopy (TEM), electron back-scattered diffraction (EBSD). The instrumented impact test found that the peak temperature T _M mainly affected the crack propagation process, the crack propagation energy E _p decreased as the increase of T _M , while the crack initiation energy E _i barely changed, the decrease of crack stable energy E _a led to the change of E _p . The multi-scale sub-structure characterization showed that the prior austenite grain size (PAGS), packet width, block width both increased with the rise of T _M . The block width was similar to the facet size in the crack unstable propagation zone of the simulated HAZ specimens. The block was the microstructure unit controlling the crack propagation process of the LAHW simulated HAZ specimens.

Over exploitation of groundwater in Changping District of Beijing city has caused serious land subsidence in the past decades. In recent years, the operation of the South-to-North Water Transfer Project has reduced the land subsidence rate. In this paper, Experimental tests are performed using the GDS Consolidation Testing System to characterize the compression and rebound of soils at depths of less than 100 m caused by groundwater withdrawal and recharge in Changping District. The results indicate that the compressible layers are the main contributors to land subsidence. The first compressible layer experiences greater deformation and more considerable hysteresis than the other compressible layers with the same decrease in the pore water pressure. Therefore, the exploitation of the adjacent aquifer should be controlled in the future. The deformation in the second and third compressible layers is a gradual and long-term process with little rebound; therefore, the subsidence should be seriously addressed when the groundwater in the two compressible layers is exploited on a large scale. In the same compressible layer, silty clay is more compressible and hysteretic than silt. For the same soil sample, the deformation rate decreases gradually as the pore water pressure decreases, whereas the creep deformation shows an overall increasing trend. A parameter named the subsidence index Cw is proposed in this paper to describe the soil compressibility during groundwater withdrawal. All the soil samples are characterized by elastic-plastic deformation, and the shallow soil samples with less pore water pressure decrease are more likely to rebound.

In this paper, the author discussed the lateral dynamic response of pile foundation in liquefiable soil based on non-liner pseudo static analysis. Modified model of dynamic p-y curves of pile foundation in liquefiable soil layer are proposed and its reliability are also verified. The basic form of main trunk circuit of pile p-y curve is gained and the difference and connection with the p-y curve in API Code is got through the study on the influencing factors, modification method and mode of the new model construction of the p-y curve in liquefiable soil strata. Using double-parameters modified method construct a new computational model. The new formula overcome shortage of rapid rise of soil-pile interaction force within the deformation is small. The reliability of the new formula is verified through shaking table test in this paper.

Myxobacteria have a complex life cycle and unique social behavior, and obtain nutrients by preying on bacteria and fungi in soil. Chitinase, β-1,3 glucanase and β-1,6 glucanase produced by myxobacteria can degrade the glycosidic bond of cell wall of some plant pathogenic fungi, resulting in a perforated structure in the cell wall. In addition, isooctanol produced by myxobacteria can lead to the accumulation of intracellular reactive oxygen species in some pathogenic fungi and induce cell apoptosis. Myxobacteria can also perforate the cell wall of some plant pathogenic oomycetes by β-1,3 glucanase, reduce the content of intracellular soluble protein and protective enzyme activity, affect the permeability of oomycete cell membrane, and aggravate the oxidative damage of pathogen cells. Small molecule compounds such as diisobutyl phthalate and myxovirescin produced by myxobacteria can inhibit the formation of biofilm and lipoprotein of bacteria, and cystobactamids can inhibit the activity of DNA gyrase, thus changing the permeability of bacterial cell membrane. Myxobacteria, as a new natural compound resource bank, can control plant pathogenic fungi, oomycetes and bacteria by producing carbohydrate active enzymes and small molecular compounds, so it has great potential in plant disease control. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]