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This study aims to analyze the prevalence trend of esophageal cancer in Japan and China to provide suggestions for the prevention and treatment of esophageal cancer. The results showed that the incidence rate for the years 2010–2018 significantly decreased with an APC of 5.66%, and the mortality rate from 2010 to 2015 had an APC of −5.87% in China. However, the incidence rate of Japanese women showed an upward trend, with an APC of 4.09% from 2010 to 2019. The mortality rate of esophageal cancer in Japan showed a downward trend, with an APC of −2.96% from 2010 to 2021. From 2010 to 2018, Chinese esophageal squamous cell carcinoma accounted for the highest proportion, accounting for 85.96%, with the largest distribution in the middle, accounting for 47.25%. Patients are mostly diagnosed at stage III, and the relative survival rate from 2012 to 2015 was 30.3%. Japan also has the highest proportion of squamous cell carcinoma, and the lesions are also mostly located in the middle segment. While Japanese esophageal cancer patients are mostly diagnosed at stage I, and the relative survival rate was 41.5% in Japan from 2009 to 2011. The results of this article indicate that the current prevalence of esophageal cancer in China and Japan is generally declining, and the quality of life of patients is gradually improving, but effective screening and prevention strategies are still needed to reduce the burden of this disease. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective To explore the influences of SLC39A5 knockout on the establishment of esophageal cancer model induced by 4-nitroquinoline 1-oxide (4-NQO) in C57BL/6 mice. Methods Ten wild-type mice were treated as negative control group and drank the 1, 2-propylene glycol at 100 μg/ml; 140 wild-type mice and 80 knockout genotype mice were treated as experimental groups and drank the carcinogen 4-NQO stock solution dissolved in 1, 2-propylene glycol at 100μg/ml, the experimental time was 28 weeks and all three groups' mice were sacrificed. Results The survival rates were 100%, 92.96% and 91.25% in negative group, wild-type experimental group and SLC39A5 knockout genotype experimental group, respectively; the rates of tumor formation were 0, 61.36% and 28.77%, and there was a statistical difference between the two experimental groups(χ2=19.98, P < 0.001). Conclusion The esophageal cancer model in C57BL/6 mice and SLC39A5 knockout mice are established successfully and the facilitated role of SLC39A5 in the occurrence and development of esophageal cancer is verified.

Globally, air pollution is the fourth leading risk factor for death, while lung cancer (LC) is the leading cause of cancer-related death. The aim of this study was to explore the prognostic factors of LC and the influence of high fine particulate matter (PM2.5) on LC survival. Data on LC patients were collected from 133 hospitals across 11 cities in Hebei Province from 2010 to 2015, and survival status was followed up until 2019. The personal PM2.5 exposure concentration (μg/m3) was matched according to the patient's registered address, calculated from a 5-year average for every patient, and stratified into quartiles. The Kaplan–Meier method was used to estimate overall survival (OS), and Cox's proportional hazard regression model was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates of the 6429 patients were 62.9%, 33.2%, and 15.2%, respectively. Advanced age (75 years or older: HR = 2.34, 95% CI: 1.25–4.38), subsite at overlapping (HR = 4.35, 95% CI: 1.70–11.1), poor/undifferentiated differentiation (HR = 1.71, 95% CI: 1.13–2.58), and advanced stages (stage III: HR = 2.53, 95% CI: 1.60–4.00; stage IV: HR = 4.00, 95% CI: 2.63–6.09) were risk factors for survival, while receiving surgical treatment was a protective factor (HR = 0.60, 95% CI: 0.44–0.83). Patients exposed to light pollution had the lowest risk of death with a 26-month median survival time. The risk of death in LC patients was greatest at PM2.5 concentrations of 98.7–108.9 μg/m3, especially for patients at advanced stage (HR = 1.43, 95% CI: 1.29–1.60). Our study indicates that the survival of LC is severely affected by relatively high levels of PM2.5 pollution, especially in those with advanced-stage cancer. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background In 2011, Hebei Province, located in North China with a population of 71 794 239, accounted for approximately 6% of the national population. It is well known as a heavily air polluted area. This study reports the lung cancer burden and mortality trend in Hebei Province from 1973 to 2011. Methods Eight cancer registries in Hebei Province submitted data to the Hebei Provincial Cancer Registry Center. Pooled data were stratified by area (urban/rural), gender, and age group. The proportions, cumulative incidence/mortality rates, and median age at death of lung cancer were calculated. Lung cancer mortality data of 1973-1975, 1990-1992, and 2004-2005 were extracted from national death surveys. Data of lung cancer from Cixian and Shexian were obtained from population-based cancer registries in each county. Results The estimated numbers of newly diagnosed lung cancer cases and deaths in 2011 in Hebei Province were 32 623 and 27 612, respectively. The crude incidence rate of lung cancer was 45.44/100 000. The age-standardized incidence rate by world standard population was 39.01/100 000, ranking second among all cancers. The lung cancer mortality rate was 38.46/100 000, ranking first among all cancer deaths, with a significantly increasing trend in Hebei Province from 1973-1975 to 2010-2011, with an increased rate of 189.15%. Conclusion Hebei Province suffers a heavy disease burden of lung cancer and an obvious increasing trend has been observed over the past 40 years. Preventive and control strategies should be encouraged . [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose: With life span extending, breast cancer survivors may face the possibility of developing second primary cancers (SPCs). The objective of this research is to investigate the risk factors, risk attribute to radiotherapy and the survivalship for SPCs., Methods: A total of 445 523 breast cancer patients were enrolled from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database in 2000-2018. The risk factors for SPCs development were confirmed by competing risk model, and then were integrated to the nomogram establishment. The cumulative incidence of SPCs including SBC (second breast cancer), SGC (second gynecological cancer), and SLC (second lung cancer) were estimated. The radiotherapy-associated risk for SPCs were evaluated by Poisson regression in radiotherapy and no-radiotherapy. Propensity score matching was used to reduce possible bias for survival comparison., Results: There were 57.63% patients in radiotherapy. The risk factors for developing SPCs were age, year, race, tumor size, stage, radiotherapy, grade, surgery, and histology. The cumulative incidence of SPCs was 7.75% in no-radiotherapy and 10.33% in radiotherapy. SLC, SBC, and SGC also appeared the similar results. The increased risk of developing SPCs were associated with radiotherapy in majority subgroups. The dynamic radiotherapy-associated risk for SPCs by age slightly increased risk was observed. Regardless radiotherapy or no-radiotherapy, the 10-year overall survival for SBC (radiotherapy: 59.41%; no-radiotherapy: 55.53%) and SGC (radiotherapy: 48.61%; no-radiotherapy: 35.53%) were worse than that among matched patients with only primary cancers., Conclusions: Breast cancer survivors remained a high radiotherapy-associated risk for developing SPCs. The prognosis in radiotherapy was better than in no-radiotherapy for some specific SPCs. Largely attention should be paid to these patients., (Copyright © 2023 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Hebei Province is a high-risk area for gastric cancer in China, and there is currently no survival prediction model for gastric cancer patients in Hebei Province. This study aimed to build the best survival prediction model for gastric cancer patients in Hebei Province., Methods: The development dataset included 1,993 hospitalized gastric cancer patients from the Hebei Cancer Registration Project during 2016 and 2017. Three tree-based machine learning methods [survival trees (ST), random survival forests (RSF), and gradient boosting machines (GBM)] and Cox, were used to develop the models by ten-fold cross validation with 200 iterations. California Chinese hospitalized gastric cancer patients were used as external test models. In addition, we compared the multivariable group with the Tumor Node Metastasis (TNM) group., Results: The 3- and 5-year cancer-specific survival (CSS) rates of the development dataset were 57.07% and 44.48%, respectively. For predicting the 3-year CSS rates of gastric cancer patients of multivariable group, the C-indexes in train datasets were 0.75, 0.72, 0.79 and 0.76 for Cox, ST, RSF and GBM. Multivariable group performed better than TNM group. The predictive ability of Cox and RSF were superior to ST and GBM. A nomogram was established to predict the 3- and 5-year CSS rates of gastric cancer patients., Conclusions: The nomogram was useful for facilitating clinicians to predict the survival of gastric cancer patients, and identifying high-risk patients so as to adopt more reasonable treatment plans.

Osteosarcoma, a rare malignant tumor, has a poor prognosis. This study aimed to find the best prognostic model for osteosarcoma. There were 2912 patients included from the SEER database and 225 patients from Hebei Province. Patients from the SEER database (2008-2015) were included in the development dataset. Patients from the SEER database (2004-2007) and Hebei Province cohort were included in the external test datasets. The Cox model and three tree-based machine learning algorithms (survival tree [ST], random survival forest [RSF] and gradient boosting machine [GBM]) were used to develop the prognostic models by 10-fold cross-validation with 200 iterations. Additionally, performance of models in the multivariable group was compared with the TNM group. The 3-year and 5-year cancer specific survival (CSS) were 72.71% and 65.92% in the development dataset, respectively. The predictive ability in the multivariable group was superior to that in the TNM group. The calibration curves and consistency in the multivariable group were superior to those in the TNM group. The Cox and RSF models performed better than the ST and GBM models. A nomogram was constructed to predict the 3-year and 5-year CSS of osteosarcoma patients. The RSF model can be used as a nonparametric alternative to the Cox model. The constructed nomogram based on the Cox model can provide reference for clinicians to formulate specific therapeutic decisions both in America and China.

Objective: To analyze the incidence and mortality rates of esophagus cancer in China from 2008 to 2012., Methods: Incident and mortality cases of esophagus cancer were retrieved from the National Central Cancer Registry (NCCR) database collecting from 135 cancer registries in China during 2008-2012. The incidence and mortality rates of esophagus cancer were calculated by area (urban/rural), region (eastern, middle, western), gender and age group (0, 1-4, 5-84 by 5 years and 85+ years). China census in 2000 and Segi's world population were applied for age-standardized rates. Joinpoint model was used for time-trend analysis., Results: The crude incidence rate of esophagus cancer was 22.57/100,000. The age-standardized incidence rates by China standard population (ASIRC) and by world standard population (ASIRW) were 14.58/100,000 and 14.80/100,000, respectively. The crude mortality rate of esophagus cancer was 17.19/100,000. The age-standardized mortality rates by Chinese standard population (ASMRC) and by world standard population (ASMRW) were 10.80/100,000 and 10.86/100,000 respectively. Incidence and mortality rates of esophagus cancer were higher in males than in females and higher in rural areas than in urban areas. The crude incidence rate in middle areas was the highest among all areas, followed by western areas and eastern areas. The age-specific incidence rate of esophagus cancer was relatively low in age groups before 40 years old and then increased after 45 years old. It peaked in the age group of 80-84 years. The patterns of age-specific mortality rates of esophagus cancer were close to those of age-specific incidence rates. The ASIRC of esophagus cancer decreased dramatically by 29.87% between 2003 and 2012, from 14.33/100,000 to 10.05/100,000. The esophagus cancer incidence rate decreased by 3.76% per year (P>0.05). The mortality rate of esophagus cancer decreased annually over the decades from 2003 to 2012 in China (P>0.05). In females, the annual percentage change (APC) of mortality rate was -5.43% [95% confidence intervals (95% CI): -6.50%, -4.30%] (P<0.05) and the mortality rate of esophagus cancer in rural females was statistically significant (APC: -3.20%, 95% CI: -4.20%, -2.20%) (P<0.05)., Conclusions: The focus of prevention and treatment for esophagus cancer is strengthening primary prevention of esophageal cancer, and promoting esophagus cancer secondary prevention to reduce incidence and mortality rates of esophagus cancer, prolong survival rate of patients and decline the burden of esophagus cancer in China.

Objective: This study estimates the numbers of new cancer cases and cancer deaths in Hebei province using incidence and mortality data from 9 population-based cancer registries in 2012., Methods: The data of new diagnosed cancer cases and cancer deaths in 2012 were collected from 9 population-based cancer registries of Hebei province in 2015. All the data met the National Central Cancer Registry of China (NCCR) criteria of data quality. The pooled data analysis was stratified by areas (urban/rural), gender, age group (0, 1.4, 5.9, 10.14, …, 85+) and cancer type. New cancer cases and deaths in Hebei province were estimated using age-specific rates and corresponding provincial population in 2012. The 10 most common cancers in different groups and the cumulative rates were calculated. Chinese population census in 2000 and Segi's population were used for age-standardized incidence/mortality rates., Results: All cancer registries covered 4,986,847 populations, 6.84% of Hebei provincial population (2,098,547 in urban and 2,888,300 in rural areas). The percentage of cases morphologically verified (MV%) and death certificate-only cases (DCO%) were 76.40% and 4.72%, respectively. The mortality to incidence rate ratio (M/I) was 0.64. In 2012, it is estimated that there were about 187,900 new diagnosed cancer cases and 119,800 cancer deaths in Hebei province. The incidence rate of cancer was 258.12/100,000 (275.75/100,000 in males, 239.78/100,000 in females), and the age-standardized incidence rates by Chinese standard population (ASIRC) and by world standard population (ASIRW) were 210.65/100,000 and 208.50/100,000, with the cumulative incidence rates (0.74 years old) of 24.46%. The cancer incidence and ASIRC were 256.99/100,000 and 211.32/100,000 in urban areas and 258.94/100,000 and 209.99/100,000 in rural areas, respectively. The cancer mortality rate was 164.63/100,000 (201.85/100,000 in males, 125.92/100,000 in females). Agestandardized mortality rates by Chinese standard population (ASMRC) and by world standard population (ASMRW) were 137.30/100,000 and 137.39/100,000 with the cumulative mortality rate (0.74 years old) of 14.58%, respectively. The cancer mortality rate in rural areas (167.16/100,000) was higher than that in urban areas (161.16/100,000). The most common cancers were lung cancer, stomach cancer, breast cancer, esophageal cancer, liver cancer and colorectal cancer, which accounted for 72.31% of all cancer cases. Lung cancer, stomach cancer, liver cancer, esophageal cancer and colorectal cancer were the major causes of cancer death in Hebei province, which accounted for 75.24% of all cancer deaths. The cancer spectrum differs between urban and rural, males and females in both incidence and mortality rates., Conclusions: The most common cancers were lung cancer, stomach cancer, esophageal cancer, breast cancer, liver cancer and colorectal cancer in Hebei province.

Objective: To analyze the cancer incidence and mortality in Hebei cancer registry available areas in 2011., Methods: Data were collected from 8 population-based cancer registries systems in Hebei province. Incidence and mortality rates stratified by areas (urban/rural), sex, age group and cancer site were analyzed. 10 common cancers in different groups, proportions and cumulative rates were calculated. The Chinese population census in the year 2000 and Segi's populations were used for age-standardized incidence/mortality rates., Results: In all the 8 cancer registries that covering a total of 4 573 293 population (2 139 779 in urban and 2 433 514 in rural areas), data was used for the analysis. The total new cancer incidence cases and deaths were 11 269 and 7 477, respectively. All the morphologically verified cancer cases (MV%) accounted for 75.26% while 3.85% of the incident cases were identified only through death certification records (DCO%). The mortality to incidence ratio appeared as 0.66. The crude incidence appeared in the Hebei cancer registration areas was 246.41/10⁵ (264.55/10⁵ in males and 227.75/10⁵ in females). The age-standardized incidence rates by Chinese standard population (ASIRC) and by world standard population (ASIRW) appeared as 207.13/10⁵ and 206.61/10⁵ respectively, with the cumulative incidence rates as (0-74 age years old) 23.57%. The cancer incidence and ASIRC were 242.64/10⁵ and 200.19/10⁵ in urban areas, whereas 249.72/10⁵ and 214.11/10⁵, respectively in rural areas. The crude mortality in Hebei cancer registration areas was 163.49/10⁵ (196.54/10⁵ in male, 129.51/10⁵ in female), with age-standardized mortality rates by Chinese standard population (ASMRC) and by world standard population (ASMRW) as 144.48/10⁵ and 147.69/10⁵. The cumulative mortality rate (0-74 age years old) was 14.71%. The cancer mortality (167.91/10⁵) in rural areas seemed higher than the mortality (158.47/10⁵) in urban areas. The most common sites of cancers were: stomach, lung, esophagus, breast, liver and colorectal, which accounted for 71.66% of all the cancer cases. Lung cancer, stomach cancer, esophagus cancer, liver cancer and colorectal cancer were the major causes responsible for the cancer deaths in the areas with data of cancer registration, which accounted for 74.79% of all the cancer deaths., Conclusion: The coverage of Hebei cancer registration population could reflect the cancer burden in various areas and populations. The most commonly seen cancers were stomach, lung, esophagus, breast, liver, and colorectal, in Hebei province. In order to reduce the burden of cancers, prevention and control measures should be strengthened.

Objective: The National Central Cancer Registry (NCCR) collected population-based cancer registration data in 2011 from all cancer registries in China. The incidence and mortality rates for pancreatic cancer were compiled and pancreatic cancer incident new cases and deaths were estimated., Methods: A total of 234 cancer registries submitted cancer data to NCCR. Data from 177 cancer registries were qualified and compiled for cancer statistics in 2011. Pancreatic cancer cases were extracted and analyzed from the national database. The pooled data were stratified by area (urban/rural), gender and age group (0, 1-4, 5-9, 10-14…85+). Pancreatic cancer incident cases and deaths were estimated using age-specific rates and national population in 2010. The national census in 2000 and Segi's population were used for age-standardized rates., Results: All 177 cancer registries (77 in urban and 100 in rural areas) covered 175,310,169 populations (98,341,507 in urban and 76,968,662 in rural areas). The morphology verified pancreatic cancer cases (MV%) accounting for 40.52% and 4.33% of pancreatic cancer incident cases were identified through death certifications only (DCO%) with mortality to incidence ratio (M/I) of 0.91. The estimated number of newly diagnosed pancreatic cancer cases and deaths were 80,344 and 72,723 in 2011, respectively. The crude incidence rate was 5.96/100,000 (males 6.57/100,000, females 5.32/100,000). The age-standardized incidence rates by Chinese standard population (ASIRC) and by world standard population (ASIRW) were 4.27/100,000 and 4.23/100,000 respectively, ranking 10(th) among all cancers. Pancreatic cancer incidence rate and ASIRC were 7.03/100,000 and 4.94/100,000 in urban areas whereas they were 4.84/100,000 and 3.56/100,000 in rural areas. The incidence rate of pancreatic cancer of 33 cancer registries increased from 3.24/100,000 in 2003 to 3.59/100,000 in 2011 with an annual percentage change (APC) of 1.44. The pancreatic cancer mortality rate was 5.40/100,000 (males 5.88/100,000, females 4.89/100,000), ranking 6(th) among all cancers. The age-standardized mortality rates by Chinese standard population (ASMRC) and by world standard population (ASMRW) were 3.81/100 000 and 3.79/100 000. The pancreatic cancer mortality and ASMRC were 6.47/100,000 and 4.48/100,000 in urban areas, and 4.27/100,000 and 3.08/100,000 in rural areas, respectively. The mortality rates of pancreatic cancer showed an approximately 1.14-fold increase, from 2.85/100,000 in 2003 to 3.26/100,000 in 2011, with an APC of 1.68., Conclusions: The burden of pancreatic cancer is increasing in China. Identification of high-risk population and adequate treatment and prevention are important.