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Heat, Ventilation and Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems play a critical role in maintaining a comfortable thermal environment and cost approximately 40% of primary energy usage in the building sector. For smart energy management in buildings, usage patterns and their resulting profiles allow the improvement of control systems with prediction capabilities. However, for large-scale HVAC system management, it is difficult to construct a detailed model for each subsystem. In this paper, a new data-driven room temperature prediction model is proposed based on the k-means clustering method. The proposed data-driven temperature prediction approach extracts the system operation feature through historical data analysis and further simplifies the system-level model to improve generalization and computational efficiency. We evaluate the proposed approach in the real world. The results demonstrated that our approach can significantly reduce modeling time without reducing prediction accuracy., Comment: Accepted and will be published on IEEE PES GM 2024

The interdependency of power systems and natural gas systems is being reinforced by the emerging power-to-gas facilities (PtGs), and the existing gas-fired generators. To jointly improve the efficiency and security under diverse uncertainties from renewable energy resources and load demands, it is essential to co-optimise these two energy systems for day-ahead market clearance. In this paper, a data-driven integrated electricity-gas system stochastic co-optimisation model is proposed. The model is accurately approximated by sequential mixed integer second-order cone programming, which can then be solved in parallel and decentralised manners by leveraging generalised Benders decomposition. Since the price formation and settlement issues have rarely been investigated for integrated electricity-gas systems in an uncertainty setting, a novel concept of expected locational marginal value is proposed to credit the flexibility of PtGs that helps hedging uncertainties. By comparing with a deterministic model and a distributionally robust model, the advantage of the proposed stochastic model and the efficiency of the proposed solution method are validated. Detailed results of pricing and settlement for PtGs are presented, showing that the expected locational marginal value can fairly credit the contribution of PtGs and reflect the system deficiency of capturing uncertainties.

A power system unit commitment (UC) problem considering uncertainties of renewable energy sources is investigated in this paper, through a distributionally robust optimization approach. We assume that the first and second order moments of stochastic parameters can be inferred from historical data, and then employed to model the set of probability distributions. The resulting problem is a two-stage distributionally robust unit commitment with second order moment constraints, and we show that it can be recast as a mixed-integer semidefinite programming (MI-SDP) with finite constraints. The solution algorithm of the problem comprises solving a series of relaxed MI-SDPs and a subroutine of feasibility checking and vertex generation. Based on the verification of strong duality of the semidefinite programming (SDP) problems, we propose a cutting plane algorithm for solving the MI-SDPs; we also introduce a SDP relaxation for the feasibility checking problem, which is an intractable biconvex optimization. Experimental results on a IEEE 6-bus system are presented, showing that without any tunings of parameters, the real-time operation cost of distributionally robust UC method outperforms those of deterministic UC and two-stage robust UC methods in general, and our method also enjoys higher reliability of dispatch operation.