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Camouflaged Object Segmentation (COS) faces significant challenges due to the scarcity of annotated data, where meticulous pixel-level annotation is both labor-intensive and costly, primarily due to the intricate object-background boundaries. Addressing the core question, "Can COS be effectively achieved in a zero-shot manner without manual annotations for any camouflaged object?" we affirmatively respond and introduce a robust zero-shot COS framework. This framework leverages the inherent local pattern bias of COS and employs a broad semantic feature space derived from salient object segmentation (SOS) for efficient zero-shot transfer. We incorporate an Masked Image Modeling (MIM) based image encoder optimized for Parameter-Efficient Fine-Tuning (PEFT), a Multimodal Large Language Model (M-LLM), and a Multi-scale Fine-grained Alignment (MFA) mechanism. The MIM pre-trained image encoder focuses on capturing essential low-level features, while the M-LLM generates caption embeddings processed alongside these visual cues. These embeddings are precisely aligned using MFA, enabling our framework to accurately interpret and navigate complex semantic contexts. To optimize operational efficiency, we introduce a learnable codebook that represents the M-LLM during inference, significantly reducing computational overhead. Our framework demonstrates its versatility and efficacy through rigorous experimentation, achieving state-of-the-art performance in zero-shot COS with $F_{\beta}^w$ scores of 72.9\% on CAMO and 71.7\% on COD10K. By removing the M-LLM during inference, we achieve an inference speed comparable to that of traditional end-to-end models, reaching 18.1 FPS. Code: https://github.com/R-LEI360725/ZSCOS-CaMF

We describe observations of low energy excess (LEE) events (background events observed in all light dark matter direct detection calorimeters) and noise in a two-channel silicon athermal phonon detector with 375 meV baseline energy resolution. We measure two distinct LEE populations: ``shared'' multichannel events with a pulse shape consistent with athermal phonon events, and sub-eV events which couple nearly exclusively to a single channel with a significantly faster pulse shape. These ``singles'' are consistent with events occurring within the aluminum athermal phonon collection fins. Similarly, our measured detector noise is higher than the theoretical expectation. Measured noise can be split into an uncorrelated component, consistent with shot noise from small energy depositions within the athermal phonon sensor itself, and a correlated component, consistent with shot noise from energy depositions within the silicon crystal's phonon system., Comment: 6 pages, 5 figures

In multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL), parameter sharing is commonly employed to enhance sample efficiency. However, the popular approach of full parameter sharing often leads to homogeneous policies among agents, potentially limiting the performance benefits that could be derived from policy diversity. To address this critical limitation, we introduce \emph{Kaleidoscope}, a novel adaptive partial parameter sharing scheme that fosters policy heterogeneity while still maintaining high sample efficiency. Specifically, Kaleidoscope maintains one set of common parameters alongside multiple sets of distinct, learnable masks for different agents, dictating the sharing of parameters. It promotes diversity among policy networks by encouraging discrepancy among these masks, without sacrificing the efficiencies of parameter sharing. This design allows Kaleidoscope to dynamically balance high sample efficiency with a broad policy representational capacity, effectively bridging the gap between full parameter sharing and non-parameter sharing across various environments. We further extend Kaleidoscope to critic ensembles in the context of actor-critic algorithms, which could help improve value estimations.Our empirical evaluations across extensive environments, including multi-agent particle environment, multi-agent MuJoCo and StarCraft multi-agent challenge v2, demonstrate the superior performance of Kaleidoscope compared with existing parameter sharing approaches, showcasing its potential for performance enhancement in MARL. The code is publicly available at \url{https://github.com/LXXXXR/Kaleidoscope}., Comment: Accepted by the Thirty-Eighth Annual Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems(NeurIPS 2024)

Emotion Recognition in Conversations (ERCs) is a vital area within multimodal interaction research, dedicated to accurately identifying and classifying the emotions expressed by speakers throughout a conversation. Traditional ERC approaches predominantly rely on unimodal cues\-such as text, audio, or visual data\-leading to limitations in their effectiveness. These methods encounter two significant challenges: 1) Consistency in multimodal information. Before integrating various modalities, it is crucial to ensure that the data from different sources is aligned and coherent. 2) Contextual information capture. Successfully fusing multimodal features requires a keen understanding of the evolving emotional tone, especially in lengthy dialogues where emotions may shift and develop over time. To address these limitations, we propose a novel Mamba-enhanced Text-Audio-Video alignment network (MaTAV) for the ERC task. MaTAV is with the advantages of aligning unimodal features to ensure consistency across different modalities and handling long input sequences to better capture contextual multimodal information. The extensive experiments on the MELD and IEMOCAP datasets demonstrate that MaTAV significantly outperforms existing state-of-the-art methods on the ERC task with a big margin.

Objective: This paper introduces a novel PET imaging methodology called 3-dimensional positron imaging (3D{\pi}), which integrates total-body (TB) coverage, time-of-flight (TOF) technology, ultra-low dose imaging capabilities, and ultra-fast readout electronics inspired by emerging technology from the DarkSide collaboration. Approach: The study evaluates the performance of 3D{\pi} using Monte Carlo simulations based on NEMA NU 2-2018 protocols. The methodology employs a homogenous, monolithic scintillator composed of liquid argon (LAr) doped with xenon (Xe) with silicon photomultipliers (SiPM) operating at cryogenic temperatures. Main results: Significant enhancements in system performance are observed, with the 3D{\pi} system achieving a noise equivalent count rate (NECR) of 3.2 Mcps which is approximately two times higher than uEXPLORER's peak NECR (1.5 Mcps) at 17.3 (kBq/mL). Spatial resolution measurements show an average FWHM of 2.7 mm across both axial positions. The system exhibits superior sensitivity, with values reaching 373 kcps/MBq with a line source at the center of the field of view. Additionally, 3D{\pi} achieves a TOF resolution of 151 ps at 5.3 kBq/mL, highlighting its potential to produce high-quality images with reduced noise levels. Significance: The study underscores the potential of 3D{\pi} in improving PET imaging performance, offering the potential for shorter scan times and reduced radiation exposure for patients. The Xe-doped LAr offers advantages such as fast scintillation, enhanced light yield, and cost-effectiveness. Future research will focus on optimizing system geometry and further refining reconstruction algorithms to exploit the strengths of 3D{\pi} for clinical applications., Comment: 8 pages, 8 figures, 6 tables

Understanding treatment effect heterogeneity has become increasingly important in many fields. In this paper we study distributions and quantiles of individual treatment effects to provide a more comprehensive and robust understanding of treatment effects beyond usual averages, despite they are more challenging to infer due to nonidentifiability from observed data. Recent randomization-based approaches offer finite-sample valid inference for treatment effect distributions and quantiles in both completely randomized and stratified randomized experiments, but can be overly conservative by assuming the worst-case scenario where units with large effects are all assigned to the treated (or control) group. We introduce two improved methods to enhance the power of these existing approaches. The first method reinterprets existing approaches as inferring treatment effects among only treated or control units, and then combines the inference for treated and control units to infer treatment effects for all units. The second method explicitly controls for the actual number of treated units with large effects. Both simulation and applications demonstrate the substantial gain from the improved methods. These methods are further extended to sampling-based experiments as well as quasi-experiments from matching, in which the ideas for both improved methods play critical and complementary roles.

Reinforcement learning (RL) has proven to be well-performed and general-purpose in the inventory control (IC). However, further improvement of RL algorithms in the IC domain is impeded due to two limitations of online experience. First, online experience is expensive to acquire in real-world applications. With the low sample efficiency nature of RL algorithms, it would take extensive time to train the RL policy to convergence. Second, online experience may not reflect the true demand due to the lost sales phenomenon typical in IC, which makes the learning process more challenging. To address the above challenges, we propose a decision framework that combines reinforcement learning with feedback graph (RLFG) and intrinsically motivated exploration (IME) to boost sample efficiency. In particular, we first take advantage of the inherent properties of lost-sales IC problems and design the feedback graph (FG) specially for lost-sales IC problems to generate abundant side experiences aid RL updates. Then we conduct a rigorous theoretical analysis of how the designed FG reduces the sample complexity of RL methods. Based on the theoretical insights, we design an intrinsic reward to direct the RL agent to explore to the state-action space with more side experiences, further exploiting FG's power. Experimental results demonstrate that our method greatly improves the sample efficiency of applying RL in IC. Our code is available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/RLIMFG4IC-811D/

Heat shuttling phenomenon is characterized by the presence of a non-zero heat flow between two bodies without net thermal bias on average. It was initially predicted in the context of nonlinear heat conduction within atomic lattices coupled to two time-oscillating thermostats. Recent theoretical works revealed an analog of this effect for heat exchanges mediated by thermal photons between two solids having a temperature dependent emissivity. In this paper, we present the experimental proof of this effect using systems made with composite materials based on phase change materials. By periodically modulating the temperature of one of two solids we report that the system akin to heat pumping with a controllable heat flow direction. Additionally, we demonstrate the effectiveness of a simultaneous modulation of two temperatures to control both the strength and direction of heat shuttling by exploiting the phase delay between these temperatures. These results show that this effect is promising for an active thermal management of solid-state technology, to cool down solids, to insulate them from their background or to amplify heat exchanges.

Developing thermal analogues of field-effect transistor could open the door to a low-power and even zero-power communication technology working with heat rather than electricity. These solid-sate devices could also find many applications in the field of active thermal management in numerous technologies (microelectronic, building science, energy harvesting,conversion,...). Recent theoretical works has suggested that a photonic transistor made with three terminals can in principle be used to switch, modulate, and even amplify heat flux through exchange of thermal photons. Here, we report an experimental demonstration of thermal transistor effect using a non-contact system composed by a temperature-controlled metal-insulator-based material interacting in far-field regime with two blackbodies held at two different temperatures. We demonstrate that, with a tiny change in the temperature of the active layer, the heat flux received by the cold blackbody can be drastically modified. An amplification parameter of heat flux over 20 is reported.

The involvement of evanescent waves in the near-field regime could greatly enhance the spontaneous thermal radiation, offering a unique opportunity to study nanoscale photon-phonon interaction. However, accurately characterizing this subtle phenomenon is very challenging. This paper proposes a transient all-optical method for rapidly characterizing near-field radiative heat transfer (NFRHT) between macroscopic objects, using the first law of thermodynamics. Significantly, a full measurement at a fixed gap distance is completed within tens of seconds. By simplifying the configuration, the transient all-optical method achieves high measurement accuracy and reliable reproducibility. The proposed method can effectively analyze the NFRHT in various material systems, including SiO2, SiC, and Si, which involve different phonon or plasmon polaritons. Experimental observations demonstrate significant super-Planckian radiation, which arises from the near-field coupling of bounded surface modes. Furthermore, the method achieves excellent agreement with theory, with a minimal discrepancy of less than 2.7% across a wide temperature range. This wireless method could accurately characterize the NFRHT for objects with different sizes or optical properties, enabling the exploration of both fundamental interests and practical applications.

Neyman[106]'s seminal work in 1923 has been a milestone in statistics over the century, which has motivated many fundamental statistical concepts and methodology. In this review, we delve into Neyman[106]'s groundbreaking contribution and offer technical insights into the design and analysis of randomized experiments. We shall review the basic setup of completely randomized experiments and the classical approaches for inferring the average treatment effects. We shall in particular review more efficient design and analysis of randomized experiments by utilizing pretreatment covariates, which move beyond Neyman's original work without involving any covariate. We then summarize several technical ingredients regarding randomizations and permutations that have been developed over the century, such as permutational central limit theorems and Berry-Esseen bounds, and elaborate on how these technical results facilitate the understanding of randomized experiments. The discussion is also extended to other randomized experiments including rerandomization, stratified randomized experiments, matched pair experiments, cluster randomized experiments, etc., Comment: 32 pages

Restless multi-armed bandits (RMABs) have been widely utilized to address resource allocation problems with Markov reward processes (MRPs). Existing works often assume that the dynamics of MRPs are known prior, which makes the RMAB problem solvable from an optimization perspective. Nevertheless, an efficient learning-based solution for RMABs with unknown system dynamics remains an open problem. In this paper, we study the cooperative resource allocation problem with unknown system dynamics of MRPs. This problem can be modeled as a multi-agent online RMAB problem, where multiple agents collaboratively learn the system dynamics while maximizing their accumulated rewards. We devise a federated online RMAB framework to mitigate the communication overhead and data privacy issue by adopting the federated learning paradigm. Based on this framework, we put forth a Federated Thompson Sampling-enabled Whittle Index (FedTSWI) algorithm to solve this multi-agent online RMAB problem. The FedTSWI algorithm enjoys a high communication and computation efficiency, and a privacy guarantee. Moreover, we derive a regret upper bound for the FedTSWI algorithm. Finally, we demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm on the case of online multi-user multi-channel access. Numerical results show that the proposed algorithm achieves a fast convergence rate of $\mathcal{O}(\sqrt{T\log(T)})$ and better performance compared with baselines. More importantly, its sample complexity decreases with the number of agents.

The test-negative design has become popular for evaluating the effectiveness of post-licensure vaccines using observational data. In addition to its logistical convenience on data collection, the design is also believed to control for the differential health-care-seeking behavior between vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals, which is an important while often unmeasured confounder between the vaccination and infection. Hence, the design has been employed routinely to monitor seasonal flu vaccines and more recently to measure the COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness. Despite its popularity, the design has been questioned, in particular about its ability to fully control for the unmeasured confounding. In this paper, we explore deviations from a perfect test-negative design, and propose various sensitivity analysis methods for estimating the effect of vaccination measured by the causal odds ratio on the subpopulation of individuals with good health-care-seeking behavior. We start with point identification of the causal odds ratio under a test-negative design, considering two forms of assumptions on the unmeasured confounder. These assumptions then lead to two approaches for conducting sensitivity analysis, addressing the influence of the unmeasured confounding in different ways. Specifically, one approach investigates partial control for unmeasured confounder in the test-negative design, while the other examines the impact of unmeasured confounder on both vaccination and infection. Furthermore, these approaches can be combined to provide narrower bounds on the true causal odds ratio, and can be further extended to sharpen the bounds by restricting the treatment effect heterogeneity. Finally, we apply the proposed methods to evaluate the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines using observational data from test-negative designs.

In multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL), effective exploration is critical, especially in sparse reward environments. Although introducing global intrinsic rewards can foster exploration in such settings, it often complicates credit assignment among agents. To address this difficulty, we propose Individual Contributions as intrinsic Exploration Scaffolds (ICES), a novel approach to motivate exploration by assessing each agent's contribution from a global view. In particular, ICES constructs exploration scaffolds with Bayesian surprise, leveraging global transition information during centralized training. These scaffolds, used only in training, help to guide individual agents towards actions that significantly impact the global latent state transitions. Additionally, ICES separates exploration policies from exploitation policies, enabling the former to utilize privileged global information during training. Extensive experiments on cooperative benchmark tasks with sparse rewards, including Google Research Football (GRF) and StarCraft Multi-agent Challenge (SMAC), demonstrate that ICES exhibits superior exploration capabilities compared with baselines. The code is publicly available at https://github.com/LXXXXR/ICES., Comment: Accepted by the Forty-first International Conference on Machine Learning

This work analyzes unobservable directions of Vision-aided Inertial Navigation System (VINS) and Lidar-aided Inertial Navigation System (LINS) nonlinear model. Under the assumption that there exist two features observed by the camera without occlusion, the unobservable directions of VINS are uniformly globally translation and global rotations about the gravity vector. The unobservable directions of LINS are same as VINS, while only one feature need to be observed. Also, a constraint in Observability-Constrained VINS (OC-VINS) is proved.

Effective communication protocols in multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) are critical to fostering cooperation and enhancing team performance. To leverage communication, many previous works have proposed to compress local information into a single message and broadcast it to all reachable agents. This simplistic messaging mechanism, however, may fail to provide adequate, critical, and relevant information to individual agents, especially in severely bandwidth-limited scenarios. This motivates us to develop context-aware communication schemes for MARL, aiming to deliver personalized messages to different agents. Our communication protocol, named CACOM, consists of two stages. In the first stage, agents exchange coarse representations in a broadcast fashion, providing context for the second stage. Following this, agents utilize attention mechanisms in the second stage to selectively generate messages personalized for the receivers. Furthermore, we employ the learned step size quantization (LSQ) technique for message quantization to reduce the communication overhead. To evaluate the effectiveness of CACOM, we integrate it with both actor-critic and value-based MARL algorithms. Empirical results on cooperative benchmark tasks demonstrate that CACOM provides evident performance gains over baselines under communication-constrained scenarios. The code is publicly available at https://github.com/LXXXXR/CACOM., Comment: Accepted by the 23nd International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems (AAMAS 2024)

Interpreting traditional B-mode ultrasound images can be challenging due to image artifacts (e.g., shadowing, speckle), leading to low sensitivity and limited diagnostic accuracy. While Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) has been proposed as a solution, it is expensive and not widely available. Furthermore, most biopsies are guided by Transrectal Ultrasound (TRUS) alone and can miss up to 52% cancers, highlighting the need for improved targeting. To address this issue, we propose ProsDectNet, a multi-task deep learning approach that localizes prostate cancer on B-mode ultrasound. Our model is pre-trained using radiologist-labeled data and fine-tuned using biopsy-confirmed labels. ProsDectNet includes a lesion detection and patch classification head, with uncertainty minimization using entropy to improve model performance and reduce false positive predictions. We trained and validated ProsDectNet using a cohort of 289 patients who underwent MRI-TRUS fusion targeted biopsy. We then tested our approach on a group of 41 patients and found that ProsDectNet outperformed the average expert clinician in detecting prostate cancer on B-mode ultrasound images, achieving a patient-level ROC-AUC of 82%, a sensitivity of 74%, and a specificity of 67%. Our results demonstrate that ProsDectNet has the potential to be used as a computer-aided diagnosis system to improve targeted biopsy and treatment planning., Comment: Accepted in NeurIPS 2023 (Medical Imaging meets NeurIPS Workshop)

Rerandomization, a design that utilizes pretreatment covariates and improves their balance between different treatment groups, has received attention recently in both theory and practice. There are at least two types of rerandomization that are used in practice: the first rerandomizes the treatment assignment until covariate imbalance is below a prespecified threshold; the second randomizes the treatment assignment multiple times and chooses the one with the best covariate balance. In this paper we will consider the second type of rerandomization, namely the best-choice rerandomization, whose theory and inference are still lacking in the literature. In particular, we will focus on the best-choice rerandomization that uses the Mahalanobis distance to measure covariate imbalance, which is one of the most commonly used imbalance measure for multivariate covariates and is invariant to affine transformations of covariates. We will study the large-sample repeatedly sampling properties of the best-choice rerandomization, allowing both the number of covariates and the number of tried complete randomizations to increase with the sample size. We show that the asymptotic distribution of the difference-in-means estimator is more concentrated around the true average treatment effect under rerandomization than under the complete randomization, and propose large-sample accurate confidence intervals for rerandomization that are shorter than that for the completely randomized experiment. We further demonstrate that, with moderate number of covariates and with the number of tried randomizations increasing polynomially with the sample size, the best-choice rerandomization can achieve the ideally optimal precision that one can expect even with perfectly balanced covariates. The developed theory and methods for rerandomization are also illustrated using real field experiments.

Randomization inference is a powerful tool in early phase vaccine trials when estimating the causal effect of a regimen against a placebo or another regimen. Randomization-based inference often focuses on testing either Fisher's sharp null hypothesis of no treatment effect for any participant or Neyman's weak null hypothesis of no sample average treatment effect. Many recent efforts have explored conducting exact randomization-based inference for other summaries of the treatment effect profile, for instance, quantiles of the treatment effect distribution function. In this article, we systematically review methods that conduct exact, randomization-based inference for quantiles of individual treatment effects (ITEs) and extend some results to a special case where na\"ive participants are expected not to exhibit responses to highly specific endpoints. These methods are suitable for completely randomized trials, stratified completely randomized trials, and a matched study comparing two non-randomized arms from possibly different trials. We evaluate the usefulness of these methods using synthetic data in simulation studies. Finally, we apply these methods to HIV Vaccine Trials Network Study 086 (HVTN 086) and HVTN 205 and showcase a wide range of application scenarios of the methods. R code that replicates all analyses in this article can be found in first author's GitHub page at https://github.com/Zhe-Chen-1999/ITE-Inference.

The near-field radiative heat transfer (NFRHT) between one-dimensional metamaterials comprising phonon dielectric multilayers was experimented. Large sized (1cm x 1cm) near-field samples were fabricated using SiC, SiO2 and Ge layers at a certain gap distance, and the effect of layer stacking order and phonon resonance quality on the NFRHT was examined. The measured results show good agreement with those obtained theoretically employing the transmission matrix method. Super-Planckian blackbody radiation was observed between the emitters and receivers with identical structures. Measurements demonstrate failure of the effective medium theory (EMT) in predicting the near-field heat flux especially in the presence of bounded surface modes, such as the epsilon-near-zero (ENZ) mode. Analyses also indicate that, in certain cases, the EMT can provide reasonable physical insight into the underlying coupling process from the perspective of homogenized media. The conditions to apply the EMT in the near-field regime was also touched upon., Comment: 18 pages,5 figures

Relative pose estimation is the foundational requirement for multi-robot system, while it is a challenging research topic in infrastructure-free scenes. In this study, we analyze the relative 6-DOF pose estimation error of multi-robot system in GNSS-denied and anchor-free environment. An analytical lower bound of position and orientation estimation error is given under the assumption that distance between the nodes are far more than the size of robotic platform. Through simulation, impact of distance between nodes, altitudes and circumradius of tag simplex on pose estimation accuracy is discussed, which verifies the analysis results. Our analysis is expected to determine parameters (e.g. deployment of tags) of UWB based multi-robot systems., Comment: 7 pages, 9 figures

In matched observational studies, the inferred causal conclusions pretending that matching has taken into account all confounding can be sensitive to unmeasured confounding. In such cases, a sensitivity analysis is often conducted, which investigates whether the observed association between treatment and outcome is due to effects caused by the treatment or it is due to hidden confounding. In general, a sensitivity analysis tries to infer the minimum amount of hidden biases needed in order to explain away the observed association between treatment and outcome, assuming that the treatment has no effect. If the needed bias is large, then the treatment is likely to have significant effects. The Rosenbaum sensitivity analysis is a modern approach for conducting sensitivity analysis for matched observational studies. It investigates what magnitude the maximum of the hidden biases from all matched sets needs to be in order to explain away the observed association, assuming that the treatment has no effect. However, such a sensitivity analysis can be overly conservative and pessimistic, especially when the investigators believe that some matched sets may have exceptionally large hidden biases. In this paper, we generalize Rosenbaum's framework to conduct sensitivity analysis on quantiles of hidden biases from all matched sets, which are more robust than the maximum. Moreover, we demonstrate that the proposed sensitivity analysis on all quantiles of hidden biases is simultaneously valid and is thus a free lunch added to the conventional sensitivity analysis. The proposed approach works for general outcomes, general matched studies and general test statistics. Finally, we demonstrate that the proposed sensitivity analysis also works for bounded null hypotheses as long as the test statistic satisfies certain properties. An R package implementing the proposed method is also available online.

Learning communication strategies in cooperative multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) has recently attracted intensive attention. Early studies typically assumed a fully-connected communication topology among agents, which induces high communication costs and may not be feasible. Some recent works have developed adaptive communication strategies to reduce communication overhead, but these methods cannot effectively obtain valuable information from agents that are beyond the communication range. In this paper, we consider a realistic communication model where each agent has a limited communication range, and the communication topology dynamically changes. To facilitate effective agent communication, we propose a novel communication protocol called Adaptively Controlled Two-Hop Communication (AC2C). After an initial local communication round, AC2C employs an adaptive two-hop communication strategy to enable long-range information exchange among agents to boost performance, which is implemented by a communication controller. This controller determines whether each agent should ask for two-hop messages and thus helps to reduce the communication overhead during distributed execution. We evaluate AC2C on three cooperative multi-agent tasks, and the experimental results show that it outperforms relevant baselines with lower communication costs., Comment: 11 pages, 8 figures, accepted by AAMAS 2023

Evaluating the treatment effects has become an important topic for many applications. However, most existing literature focuses mainly on the average treatment effects. When the individual effects are heavy-tailed or have outlier values, not only may the average effect not be appropriate for summarizing the treatment effects, but also the conventional inference for it can be sensitive and possibly invalid due to poor large-sample approximations. In this paper we focus on quantiles of individual effects, which can be more robust measures of treatment effects in the presence of extreme individual effects. Moreover, our inference for quantiles of individual effects are purely randomization-based, which avoids any distributional assumption on the units. We first consider inference for stratified randomized experiments, extending the recent work of Caughey et al. (2021). The calculation of valid $p$-values for testing null hypotheses on quantiles of individual effects involves linear integer programming, which is generally NP hard. To overcome this issue, we propose a greedy algorithm with a certain optimal transformation, which has much lower computational cost, still leads to valid $p$-values and is less conservative than the usual relaxation by dropping the integer constraint. We then extend our approach to matched observational studies and propose sensitivity analysis to investigate to what extent our inference on quantiles of individual effects is robust to unmeasured confounding. Both the randomization inference and sensitivity analysis are simultaneously valid for all quantiles of individual effects, which are actually free lunches added to the conventional analysis assuming constant effects. Furthermore, the inference results can be easily visualized and interpreted.

The performance of superconducting qubits is degraded by a poorly characterized set of energy sources breaking the Cooper pairs responsible for superconductivity, creating a condition often called ``quasiparticle poisoning". Both superconducting qubits and low threshold dark matter calorimeters have observed excess bursts of quasiparticles or phonons that decrease in rate with time. Here, we show that a silicon crystal glued to its holder exhibits a rate of low-energy phonon events that is more than two orders of magnitude larger than in a functionally identical crystal suspended from its holder in a low-stress state. The excess phonon event rate in the glued crystal decreases with time since cooldown, consistent with a source of phonon bursts which contributes to quasiparticle poisoning in quantum circuits and the low-energy events observed in cryogenic calorimeters. We argue that relaxation of thermally induced stress between the glue and crystal is the source of these events., Comment: 19 pages (main + supplementary), 6 figures. W. A. Page and R. K. Romani contributed equally to this work. Correspondence should be addressed to R. K. Romani