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There is increasing awareness of the need for comprehensive information on potential future sea-level rise to inform adaptation planning and coastal decision-making. The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) states that global mean sea level rise approaching 5 m by 2150, and more than 15 m by 2300, cannot be ruled out under high greenhouse gas emissions due to uncertainty in ice sheet processes. Moreover, local sea level rise may be further exacerbated through systematic changes in the climate system, such as a rapid weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC).We combine the latest United Kingdom national sea-level projections (UKCP18) with recently published projections of Antarctic ice mass loss to develop a small set of physically consistent storylines of local sea-level change that extend to 2300. The storylines span the range of uncertainty assessed by AR6 and deliver continuous sea level rise information around the UK coastline. While we focus on the UK, the methods are generic and can be readily applied to other geographic locations. Further, we consider potential changes in coastal flood hazard associated with a weakening of the AMOC using dynamical downscaling and storm surge modelling of climate model projections.

Introduction. Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC) O157:H7 has been the most clinically significant STEC serotype in the UK for over four decades. Over the last 10 years we have observed a decrease in STEC O157:H7 and an increase in non-O157 STEC serotypes, such as O145:H28. Gap Statement. Little is known about the microbiology and epidemiology of STEC belonging to CC32 (including O145:H28) in the UK. The aim of this study was to integrate genomic data with patient information to gain a better understanding of the virulence, disease severity, epidemic risk assessment and population structure of this clinically significant clonal complex. Methodology. Isolates of E. coli belonging to CC32 (n=309) in the archives of public health agencies in the UK and Ireland were whole-genome-sequenced, virulence-profiled and integrated with enhanced surveillance questionnaire (ESQ) data, including exposures and disease severity. Results. Overall, diagnoses of STEC belonging to CC32 (290/309, 94 %) in the UK have increased every year since 2014. Most cases were female (61 %), and the highest proportion of cases belonged to the 0–4 age group (53/211,25 %). The frequency of symptoms of diarrhoea (92 %), abdominal pain (84 %), blood in stool (71 %) and nausea (51 %) was similar to that reported in cases of STEC O157:H7, although cases of STEC CC32 were more frequently admitted to hospital (STEC CC32 48 % vs O157:H7 34 %) and/or developed haemolytic uraemic syndrome (HUS) (STEC CC32 9 % vs O157:H7 4 %). The majority of STEC isolates (268/290, 92 %) had the stx2a/eae virulence gene combination, most commonly associated with progression to STEC HUS. There was evidence of person-to-person transmission and small, temporally related, geographically dispersed outbreaks, characteristic of foodborne outbreaks linked to nationally distributed products. Conclusion. We recommend more widespread use of polymerase chain reaction (PCR) for the detection of all STEC serogroups, the development of consistent strategies for the follow-up testing of PCR-positive faecal specimens, the implementation of more comprehensive and standardized collection of epidemiological data, and routine sharing of sequencing data between public health agencies worldwide.

Introduction Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC) is a zoonotic, foodborne gastrointestinal pathogen that has the potential to cause severe clinical outcomes, including haemolytic uraemic syndrome (HUS). STEC-HUS is the leading cause of renal failure in children and can be fatal. Over the last decade, STEC clonal complex 165 (CC165) has emerged as a cause of STEC-HUS. Gap statement There is a need to understand the pathogenicity and prevalence of this emerging STEC clonal complex in the UK, to facilitate early diagnosis, improve clinical management, and prevent and control outbreaks. Aim The aim of this study was to characterize CC165 through identification of virulence factors (VFs) and antimicrobial resistance (AMR) determinants in the genome and to integrate the genome data with the available epidemiological data to better understand the incidence and pathogenicity of this clonal complex in the UK. Methodology All isolates belonging to CC165 in the archives at the UK public health agencies were sequenced and serotyped, and the virulence gene and AMR profiles were derived from the genome using PHE bioinformatics pipelines and the Centre for Genomic Epidemiology virulence database. Results There were 48 CC165 isolates, of which 43 were STEC, four were enteropathogenic E. coli (EPEC) and one E. coli . STEC serotypes were predominately O80:H2 (n=28), and other serotypes included O45:H2 (n=9), O55:H9 (n=4), O132:H2 (n=1) and O180:H2 (n=1). All but one STEC isolate had Shiga toxin (stx) subtype stx2a or stx2d and 47/48 isolates had the eae gene encoding intimin involved in the intimate attachment of the bacteria to the human gut mucosa. We detected extra-intestinal virulence genes including those associated with iron acquisition (iro) and serum resistance (iss), indicating that this pathogen has the potential to translocate to extra-intestinal sites. Unlike other STEC clonal complexes, a high proportion of isolates (93%, 40/43) were multidrug-resistant, including resistance to aminoglycosides, beta-lactams, chloramphenicol, sulphonamides, tetracyclines and trimethoprim. Conclusion The clinical significance of this clonal complex should not be underestimated. Exhibiting high levels of AMR and a combination of STEC and extra-intestinal pathogenic E. coli (ExPEC) virulence profiles, this clonal complex is an emerging threat to public health.

The human zoonotic pathogen Escherichia coli O157:H7 is defined by its extensive prophage repertoire including those that encode Shiga toxin, the factor responsible for inducing life-threatening pathology in humans. As well as introducing genes that can contribute to the virulence of a strain, prophage can enable the generation of large-chromosomal rearrangements (LCRs) by homologous recombination. This work examines the types and frequencies of LCRs across the major lineages of the O157:H7 serotype. We demonstrate that LCRs are a major source of genomic variation across all lineages of E. coli O157:H7 and by using both optical mapping and Oxford Nanopore long-read sequencing prove that LCRs are generated in laboratory cultures started from a single colony and that these variants can be recovered from colonized cattle. LCRs are biased towards the terminus region of the genome and are bounded by specific prophages that share large regions of sequence homology associated with the recombinational activity. RNA transcriptional profiling and phenotyping of specific structural variants indicated that important virulence phenotypes such as Shiga-toxin production, type-3 secretion and motility can be affected by LCRs. In summary, E. coli O157:H7 has acquired multiple prophage regions over time that act to continually produce structural variants of the genome. These findings raise important questions about the significance of this prophage-mediated genome contingency to enhance adaptability between environments.

In August 2019, public health surveillance systems in Scotland and England identified seven, geographically dispersed cases infected with the same strain (defined as isolates that fell within the same five single nucleotide polymorphism single linage cluster) of Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli O157:H7. Epidemiological analysis of enhanced surveillance questionnaire data identified handling raw beef and shopping from the same national retailer (retailer A) as the common exposure. Concurrently, a microbiological survey of minced beef at retail identified the same strain in a sample of minced beef sold by retailer A, providing microbiological evidence of the link. Between September and November 2019, a further four primary and two secondary cases infected with the same strain were identified; two cases developed haemolytic uraemic syndrome. None of the four primary cases reported consumption of beef from retailer A and the transmission route of these subsequent cases was not identified, although all four primary cases visited the same petting farm. Generally, outbreaks of STEC O157:H7 in the UK appear to be distinct, short-lived events; however, on-going transmission linked to contaminated food, animals or environmental exposures and person-to-person contact do occur. Although outbreaks of STEC caused by contaminated fresh produce are increasingly common, undercooked meat products remain a risk of infection.

Cattle are reservoirs for Shiga toxin Escherichia coli (STEC), bacteria shed in animal feces. Humans are infected through consumption of contaminated food or water and by direct contact, causing serious disease and kidney failure in the most vulnerable., Cattle are a reservoir for Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC), zoonotic pathogens that cause serious clinical disease. Scotland has a higher incidence of STEC infection in the human population than the European average. The aim of this study was to investigate the prevalence and epidemiology of non-O157 serogroups O26, O103, O111, and O145 and Shiga toxin gene carriage in Scottish cattle. Fecal samples (n = 2783) were collected from 110 herds in 2014 and 2015 and screened by real-time PCR. Herd-level prevalence (95% confidence interval [CI]) for O103, O26, and O145 was estimated as 0.71 (0.62, 0.79), 0.43 (0.34, 0.52), and 0.23 (0.16, 0.32), respectively. Only two herds were positive for O111. Shiga toxin prevalence was high in both herds and pats, particularly for stx2 (herd level: 0.99; 95% CI: 0.94, 1.0). O26 bacterial strains were isolated from 36 herds on culture. Fifteen herds yielded O26 stx-positive isolates that additionally harbored the intimin gene; six of these herds shed highly pathogenic stx2-positive strains. Multiple serogroups were detected in herds and pats, with only 25 herds negative for all serogroups. Despite overlap in detection, regional and seasonal effects were observed. Higher herd prevalence for O26, O103, and stx1 occurred in the South West, and this region was significant for stx2 at the pat level (P = 0.015). Significant seasonal variation was observed for O145 prevalence, with the highest prevalence in autumn (P = 0.032). Negative herds were associated with Central Scotland and winter. Herds positive for all serogroups were associated with autumn and larger herd size and were not housed at sampling. IMPORTANCE Cattle are reservoirs for Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC), bacteria shed in animal feces. Humans are infected through consumption of contaminated food or water and by direct contact, resulting in serious disease and kidney failure in the most vulnerable. The contribution of non-O157 serogroups to STEC illness was underestimated for many years due to the lack of specific tests. Recently, non-O157 human cases have increased, with O26 STEC of particular note. It is therefore vital to investigate the level and composition of non-O157 in the cattle reservoir and to compare them historically and by the clinical situation. In this study, we found cattle prevalence high for toxin, as well as for O103 and O26 serogroups. Pathogenic O26 STEC were isolated from 14% of study herds, with toxin subtypes similar to those seen in Scottish clinical cases. This study highlights the current risk to public health from non-O157 STEC in Scottish cattle.

In August 2019, public health surveillance systems in Scotland and England identified seven, geographically dispersed cases infected with the same strain (defined as isolates that fell within the same five single nucleotide polymorphism single linage cluster) of Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli O157:H7. Epidemiological analysis of enhanced surveillance questionnaire data identified handling raw beef and shopping from the same national retailer (retailer A) as the common exposure. Concurrently, a microbiological survey of minced beef at retail identified the same strain in a sample of minced beef sold by retailer A, providing microbiological evidence of the link. Between September and November 2019, a further four primary and two secondary cases infected with the same strain were identified; two cases developed haemolytic uraemic syndrome. None of the four primary cases reported consumption of beef from retailer A and the transmission route of these subsequent cases was not identified, although all four primary cases visited the same petting farm. Generally, outbreaks of STEC O157:H7 in the UK appear to be distinct, short-lived events; however, on-going transmission linked to contaminated food, animals or environmental exposures and person-to-person contact do occur. Although outbreaks of STEC caused by contaminated fresh produce are increasingly common, undercooked meat products remain a risk of infection.

In October 2019, public health surveillance systems in Scotland identified an increase in the number of reported infections of Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC) O26:H11 involving bloody diarrhoea. Ultimately, across the United Kingdom (UK) 32 cases of STEC O26:H11 stx1a were identified, with the median age of 27 years and 64% were male; six cases were hospitalised. Among food exposures there was an association with consuming pre-packed sandwiches purchased at outlets belonging to a national food chain franchise (food outlet A) [odds ratio (OR) = 183.89, P < 0.001]. The common ingredient identified as a component of the majority of the sandwiches sold at food outlet A was a mixed salad of Apollo and Iceberg lettuce and spinach leaves. Microbiological testing of food and environmental samples were negative for STEC O26:H11, although STEC O36:H19 was isolated from a mixed salad sample taken from premises owned by food outlet A. Contamination of fresh produce is often due to a transient event and detection of the aetiological agent in food that has a short-shelf life is challenging. Robust, statistically significant epidemiological analysis should be sufficient evidence to direct timely and targeted on-farm investigations. A shift in focus from testing the microbiological quality of the produce to investigating the processes and practices through the supply chain and sampling the farm environment is recommended.

The human zoonotic pathogen Escherichia coli O157 is defined by its extensive prophage repertoire including those that encode Shiga toxin, the factor responsible for inducing life-threatening pathology in humans. As well as introducing genes that can contribute to the virulence of a strain, prophage can enable the generation of large-chromosomal rearrangements (LCRs) by homologous recombination. This work examines the types and frequencies of LCRs across the major lineages of the O157 serogroup and defines the phenotypic consequences of specific structural variants. We demonstrate that LCRs are a major source of genomic variation across all lineages of E. coli O157 and by using both optical mapping and ONT long-read sequencing demonstrate that LCRs are generated in laboratory cultures started from a single colony and particular variants are selected during animal colonisation. LCRs are biased towards the terminus region of the genome and are bounded by specific prophages that share large regions of sequence homology associated with the recombinational activity. RNA transcriptional profiling and phenotyping of specific structural variants indicated that important virulence phenotypes such as Shiga toxin production, type 3 secretion and motility are affected by LCRs. In summary, E. coli O157 has acquired multiple prophage regions over time that act as genome engineers to continually produce structural variants of the genome. This structural variation is a form of epigenetic regulation that generates sub-population phenotypic heterogeneity with important implications for bacterial adaptation and survival.Author SummaryEscherichia coli has an ‘open genome’ and has acquired genetic information over evolutionary time, often in the form of bacteriophages that integrate into the bacterial genome (prophages). E. coli O157 is a clonal serogroup that is found primarily in ruminants such as cattle but can cause life-threatening infections in humans. E. coli O157 isolates contain multiple prophages including those that encode Shiga-like toxins which are responsible for the more serious disease associated with human infections. We show in this study that many of these prophages exhibit large regions of sequence similarity that allow rearrangements to occur in the genome generating structural variants. These occur routinely during bacterial culture in the laboratory and the variants are detected during animal colonization. The variants generated can give the bacteria altered phenotypes, such as increased motility or toxin production which can be selected in specific environments and therefore represent a highly dynamic mechanism to generate variation in bacterial populations without a change in overall gene content.

Whole-genome sequencing (WGS) is rapidly becoming the method of choice for outbreak investigations and public health surveillance of microbial pathogens. The combination of improved cluster resolution and prediction of resistance and virulence phenotypes provided by a single tool is extremely advantageous. However, the data produced are complex, and standard bioinformatics pipelines are required to translate the output into easily interpreted epidemiologically relevant information for public health action. The main aim of this study was to validate the implementation of WGS at the Scottish Escherichia coli O157/STEC Reference Laboratory (SERL) using the Public Health England (PHE) bioinformatics pipeline to produce standardized data to enable interlaboratory comparison of results generated at two national reference laboratories. In addition, we evaluated the BioNumerics whole-genome multilocus sequence typing (wgMLST) and E. coli genotyping plug-in tools using the same data set. A panel of 150 well-characterized isolates of Shiga toxin-producing E. coli (STEC) that had been sequenced and analyzed at PHE using the PHE pipeline and database (SnapperDB) was assembled to provide identification and typing data, including serotype (O:H type), sequence type (ST), virulence genes ( eae and Shiga toxin [ stx ] subtype), and a single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) address. To validate the implementation of sequencing at the SERL, DNA was reextracted from the isolates and sequenced and analyzed using the PHE pipeline, which had been installed at the SERL; the output was then compared with the PHE data. The results showed a very high correlation between the data, ranging from 93% to 100%, suggesting that the standardization of WGS between our reference laboratories is possible. We also found excellent correlation between the results obtained using the PHE pipeline and BioNumerics, except for the detection of stx 2a and stx 2c when these subtypes are both carried by strains.

Whole cell MALDI is regularly used for the identification of bacteria to species level in clinical Microbiology laboratories. However, there remains a need to rapidly characterize and differentiate isolates below the species level to support outbreak management. We describe the implementation of a modified preparative approach for MALDI-MS combined with a custom analytical computational pipeline as a rapid procedure for subtyping Shigatoxigenic E. coli (STEC) and accurately identifying strain-specifying biomarkers. The technique was able to differentiate E. coli O157:H7 from other STEC. Within O157 serotype O157:H7 isolates were readily distinguishable from Sorbitol Fermenting O157 isolates. Overall, nine homogeneous groups of isolates were distinguished, each exhibiting distinct profiles of defining mass spectra features. This offers a robust analytical tool useable in reference/diagnostic public health scenarios.

SUMMARYMulti-locus variable number tandem repeat analysis (MLVA) is used in clinical and reference laboratories for subtyping verocytotoxin-producingEscherichia coliO157 (VTEC O157). However, as yet there is no common allelic or profile nomenclature to enable laboratories to easily compare data. In this study, we carried out an inter-laboratory comparison of an eight-loci MLVA scheme using a set of 67 isolates of VTEC O157. We found all but two isolates were identical in profile in the two laboratories, and repeat units were homogeneous in size but some were incomplete. A subset of the isolates (n = 17) were sequenced to determine the actual copy number of representative alleles, thereby enabling alleles to be named according to international consensus guidelines. This work has enabled us to realize the potential of MLVA as a portable, highly discriminatory and convenient subtyping method.

This pathogen may be the next Shiga toxin–producing E. coli of concern., Escherichia coli O26 and O157 have similar overall prevalences in cattle in Scotland, but in humans, Shiga toxin–producing E. coli O26 infections are fewer and clinically less severe than E. coli O157 infections. To investigate this discrepancy, we genotyped E. coli O26 isolates from cattle and humans in Scotland and continental Europe. The genetic background of some strains from Scotland was closely related to that of strains causing severe infections in Europe. Nonmetric multidimensional scaling found an association between hemolytic uremic syndrome (HUS) and multilocus sequence type 21 strains and confirmed the role of stx2 in severe human disease. Although the prevalences of E. coli O26 and O157 on cattle farms in Scotland are equivalent, prevalence of more virulent strains is low, reducing human infection risk. However, new data on E. coli O26–associated HUS in humans highlight the need for surveillance of non-O157 enterohemorrhagic E. coli and for understanding stx2 phage acquisition.

When a few individuals generate disproportionately many secondary cases, targeted interventions can theoretically lead to highly efficient control of the spread of infection. Practical exploitation of heterogeneous transmission requires the sources of variability to be quantified, yet it is unusual to have empirical data of sufficient resolution to distinguish their effects. Here, we exploit extensive data on pathogen shedding densities and the distribution of cases, collected from the same population within the same spatio-temporal window, to expose the comparative epidemiology of independent Escherichia coli O157 strains. For this zoonotic pathogen, which exhibits high-density shedding (supershedding) and heterogeneous transmission in its cattle reservoir, whether targeting supershedding could be an effective control depends critically on the proposed link between shedding density and transmissibility. We substantiate this link by showing that our supershedder strain has nearly triple the R0 of our non-supershedder strain. We show that observed transmission heterogeneities are strongly driven by superspreading in addition to supershedding, but that for the supershedder strain, the dominant strain in our study population, there remains sufficient heterogeneity in contribution to R0 from different shedding densities to allow exploitation for control. However, in the presence of substantial within-host variability, our results indicate that rather than seek out supershedders themselves, the most effective controls would directly target the phenomenon of pathogen supershedding with the aim of interrupting or preventing high shedding densities. In this system, multiple sources of heterogeneity have masked the role of shedding densities—our potential targets for control. This analysis demonstrates the critical importance of disentangling the effects of multiple sources of heterogeneity when designing targeted interventions.

Molecular characterization and subtyping show genetic diversities within clonal complexes., Escherichia coli O157:H7 variants were examined for trait mutations and by molecular subtyping to better define clonal complexes postulated on the O157:H7 evolution model. Strains of β-glucuronidase–positive, sorbitol-negative O157:H7 isolated in United States and Japan were identical to A5 clonal strain and shared sequence type (ST)–65 by multilocus sequence typing (MLST); thus, they belong in A5. However, these strains exhibited pulsed-field gel electrophoresis (PFGE) profile differences that suggested genomic divergence between populations. Sorbitol-fermenting O157 (SFO157) strains from Finland, Scotland, and Germany were identical to A4 clonal strain and belong in A4. Some SFO157 strains, isolated years apart and from different countries, had identical PFGE profiles, suggesting a common origin. Despite similarities, some Finnish and Scottish and all of the German strains have ST-75 (“German clone”), whereas others have ST-76, a new variant (“Scottish clone”). MLST of strains in other clonal complexes also discriminated strains thought to be identical and showed that genetic differences will further distinguish clonal populations into subclones.

Genetic variation in an infectious disease pathogen can be driven by ecological niche dissimilarities arising from different host species and different geographical locations. Whole genome sequencing was used to compare E. coli O157 isolates from host reservoirs (cattle and sheep) from Scotland and to compare genetic variation of isolates (human, animal, environmental/food) obtained from Scotland, New Zealand, Netherlands, Canada and the USA. Nei’s genetic distance calculated from core genome single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) demonstrated that the animal isolates were from the same population. Investigation of the Shiga toxin bacteriophage and their insertion sites (SBI typing) revealed that cattle and sheep isolates had statistically indistinguishable rarefaction profiles, diversity and genotypes. In contrast, isolates from different countries exhibited significant differences in Nei’s genetic distance and SBI typing. Hence, after successful international transmission, which has occurred on multiple occasions, local genetic variation occurs, resulting in a global patchwork of continental and trans-continental phylogeographic clades. These findings are important for three reasons: first, understanding transmission and evolution of infectious diseases associated with multiple host reservoirs and multi-geographic locations; second, highlighting the relevance of the sheep reservoir when considering farm based interventions; and third, improving our understanding of why human disease incidence varies across the world.

Shiga-toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC) O157:H7 is a recently emerged zoonotic pathogen with considerable morbidity. Since the emergence of this serotype in the 1980s, research has focussed on unravelling the evolutionary events from the E. coli O55:H7 ancestor to the contemporaneous globally dispersed strains observed today. In this study, the genomes of over 1000 isolates from both human clinical cases and cattle, spanning the history of STEC O157:H7 in the UK, were sequenced. Phylogenetic analysis revealed the ancestry, key acquisition events and global context of the strains. Dated phylogenies estimated the time to evolution of the most recent common ancestor of the current circulating global clone to be 175 years ago. This event was followed by rapid diversification. We show the acquisition of specific virulence determinates has occurred relatively recently and coincides with its recent detection in the human population. We used clinical outcome data from 493 cases of STEC O157:H7 to assess the relative risk of severe disease including haemolytic uraemic syndrome from each of the defined clades in the population and show the dramatic effect Shiga toxin repertoire has on virulence. We describe two strain replacement events that have occurred in the cattle population in the UK over the last 30 years, one resulting in a highly virulent strain that has accounted for the majority of clinical cases in the UK over the last decade. There is a need to understand the selection pressures maintaining Shiga-toxin-encoding bacteriophages in the ruminant reservoir and the study affirms the requirement for close surveillance of this pathogen in both ruminant and human populations.

Detailed laboratory characterization of Escherichia coli O157 is essential to inform epidemiological investigations. This study assessed the utility of whole-genome sequencing (WGS) for outbreak detection and epidemiological surveillance of E. coli O157, and the data were used to identify discernible associations between genotypes and clinical outcomes. One hundred five E. coli O157 strains isolated over a 5-year period from human fecal samples in Lothian, Scotland, were sequenced with the Ion Torrent Personal Genome Machine. A total of 8,721 variable sites in the core genome were identified among the 105 isolates; 47% of the single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were attributable to six “atypical” E. coli O157 strains and included recombinant regions. Phylogenetic analyses showed that WGS correlated well with the epidemiological data. Epidemiological links existed between cases whose isolates differed by three or fewer SNPs. WGS also correlated well with multilocus variable-number tandem repeat analysis (MLVA) typing data, with only three discordant results observed, all among isolates from cases not known to be epidemiologically related. WGS produced a better-supported, higher-resolution phylogeny than MLVA, confirming that the method is more suitable for epidemiological surveillance of E. coli O157. A combination of in silico analyses (VirulenceFinder, ResFinder, and local BLAST searches) were used to determine stx subtypes, multilocus sequence types (15 loci), and the presence of virulence and acquired antimicrobial resistance genes. There was a high level of correlation between the WGS data and our routine typing methods, although some discordant results were observed, mostly related to the limitation of short sequence read assembly. The data were used to identify sublineages and clades of E. coli O157, and when they were correlated with the clinical outcome data, they showed that one clade, Ic3, was significantly associated with severe disease. Together, the results show that WGS data can provide higher resolution of the relationships between E. coli O157 isolates than that provided by MLVA. The method has the potential to streamline the laboratory workflow and provide detailed information for the clinical management of patients and public health interventions.

Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC) strains produce toxins with a biological activity similar to those produced by Shigella dysenteriae type I. Shiga toxins (Stx) are cytotoxic on cultured Vero cells and are therefore also called verocytotoxins (18). Most STEC strains induce the formation of attaching-effacing lesions in intestinal epithelial cells by means of gene products of the pathogenicity island locus of enterocyte effacement (21, 33, 39) with genes coding, for example, for intimin (EaeA) (48) and the translocated intimin receptor (Tir) (17). Furthermore, STEC may carry a 60-MDa plasmid that codes for an enterohemolysin and carries regulatory sequences (3, 11, 37, 42). Enterohemorrhagic E. coli (EHEC) strains are defined as a subset of STEC that cause clinical disorders in humans. A great diversity of EHEC serotypes exists, although serotype EHEC O157:H7 is the best studied and is frequently associated with hemolytic-uremic syndrome (HUS) (4, 12). Epidemiological investigations indicate that cattle are the principal reservoirs of EHEC (43, 47). STEC strains may produce two types of Shiga toxins, i.e., those that are antigenically similar to the Shiga toxin produced by S. dysenteriae (Stx1) and those that differ (Stx2) (16, 25, 40). Severe clinical symptoms were more frequently associated with E. coli strains producing Stx2 than with those producing Stx1 (4, 12, 20, 28). Both types of Shiga toxins are encoded by stx genes on temperate bacteriophages (26, 40). While stx1 is rather conserved, many variants of stx2, showing different toxicities for cultured cells and/or animals, have been described (14, 16, 23, 29, 31, 32, 34, 38). Among them, Stx2 and Stx2c are the most prominent in human clinical isolates. Variants Stx2vha (14) and Stx2vhb (14) can be activated by intestinal mucus and are therefore classified as activatable variants, also termed Stx2d variant toxins (22). Shiga toxins are composed of a single enzymatic 32-kDa A subunit, which is the active component of the toxin, and a pentamer of 7.7-kDa B subunits (7, 25). The B subunit is responsible for binding the toxin to the host cell receptor (13, 15, 27). Molecular typing of STEC can be performed in different ways. Pulsed-field gel electrophoresis (PFGE) is an accurate and reproducible reference method (10, 45, 46) for the molecular typing of STEC strains. DNA sequence-based methods like multilocus sequence typing are also used as epidemiological tools. Another approach for typing STEC strains is to consider polymorphisms in virulence genes. A number of multiplex PCR assays detecting virulence-associated genes have been described (5, 6, 8, 24, 30, 44). Since Stx2 is the key virulence factor (4, 35), several investigators have developed PCR-restriction fragment length polymorphism (RFLP) assays that allow the rapid identification of known and new stx2 variants (1, 24, 34, 41, 49). However, these assays discriminate only a limited number of described variants. In addition, the designation of the toxin subtypes is insufficient to account for all the differences on the sequence level. In the present study, we describe a PCR-RFLP typing system which is based on the use of four restriction enzymes (PvuII, HaeIII, HincII, and AccI), defining variants of stx2. This PCR-RFLP typing system includes a rational classification (PHIA) that was applied to 36 bovine and 27 human STEC strains of different origins. New stx2 variants were found, and the corresponding genes were cloned, sequenced, and analyzed. The PCR-RFLP assay was validated with Scottish E. coli O157 isolates from three different outbreaks.

To the Editor: Hemolytic uremic syndrome (HUS) is a rare disorder characterized by microangiopathic hemolytic anemia, microthrombi, and multiorgan injury. HUS is one of the commonest causes of acute renal failure in children worldwide and is most frequently precipitated by infection with verotoxin-producing Escherichia coli (VTEC) such as E. coli O157 (1). However, non-O157 VTEC serotypes have been increasingly found in the development of HUS (2–4). Although previous surveillance of childhood HUS in Scotland identified E. coli O157 in >90% of cases, non-O157 serotypes have also been associated with HUS (5). In 2010, several particularly severe cases of HUS were reported to Health Protection Scotland by a consultant pediatric nephrologist. Subsequent tests identified the pathogen in these cases as E. coli O26. However, in a recent study of pediatric HUS cases in Europe, children infected with E. coli O26 did not exhibit different clinical signs and symptoms from patients infected with other VTEC serotypes (6). To establish whether the host pathophysiologic responses to E. coli O157 and E. coli O26 strains differed, we analyzed a cohort of children with HUS who were infected with these VTEC serotypes. In Scotland, most patients with pediatric thrombotic microangiopathy are referred to a specialist pediatric hospital, which immediately reports cases of HUS to Health Protection Scotland as part of national surveillance. To test the hypothesis that E. coli O26 was more virulent than E. coli O157, we performed an age-matched, nested case–case study of HUS patients and compared host clinical markers, treatment, and outcomes from pediatric cases in 2010. Data collection has been described elsewhere (5). The statistical significances of associations between categorical variables were investigated by using χ2, Fisher exact, Mann-Whitney, or t tests. All analyses were performed by using SPSS version 11 (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA) with a significance level of 5%. Although initial signs and symptoms were similar for both sets of cases, i.e., bloody diarrhea and abdominal pain, statistical analysis showed that children with O26-HUS were more likely to have neurologic complications and diabetes mellitus and require admission to the intensive care unit than O157-HUS patients (p = 0.02 for neurologic complications and diabetes and p = 0.04 for admission to an intensive treatment unit; Table). Table Characteristics of infection in children with Escherichia coli O157 versus E. coli O26, Scotland, 2010* All patients with HUS were oligoanuric, and the 2 groups did not differ with respect to this parameter. However, O26-HUS patients had significantly longer periods of anuria than O157-HUS patients (p = 0.04; Table) and were more likely to require treatment with hemofiltration than with peritoneal or hemodialysis (p = 0.001; Table). One patient with O26-HUS also experienced cardiomyopathy resulting in reduced left ventricular function. Our study illustrates the potential for increased severity of E. coli O26 infection in children. In Scotland, HUS is more commonly associated with E. coli O157 infection, and the outcome for children infected with this pathogen is much better than that reported in other studies (7,8). In this study, the clinical severity and outcomes for the children with O26-HUS were worse than for children requiring treatment for O157-HUS. We investigated the prehospital management of E. coli O157 and O26 patients in this cohort and found no difference in pharmacologic intervention or duration of delay in admission to hospital. In our cohort, vtx1 and vtx2 genes were detected in isolates from 2 of 3 patients. A diagnosis was made in the third patient by detection of E. coli O26 lipopolysaccharide–specific immunoglobulin M in serum; it was therefore not possible to confirm the presence of vtx genes. However, it is not unusual for VTEC to be undetectable in stool samples from patients with HUS, most likely because of intrahost bacteriophage lysis. Therefore, serodiagnosis of VTEC is considered a necessary adjunct to bacteriological confirmation of infection (9). A recent study suggests E. coli O26 exists as a highly dynamic group of organisms that can undergo verotoxin gene loss and be transferred during infection in humans, resulting in new pathogenic clones (10). Therefore, vtx2 gene acquisition by E. coli O26 may have contributed to increased virulence. Our study was limited by the small number of patients with pediatric O26-HUS. However, given the severity of the complications experienced by the children in this cohort, we believe it is necessary to communicate these findings promptly to the international community. We suggest that infection with E. coli O26 in children can result in more severe and complicated forms of HUS than those caused by E. coli O157. In contrast to the findings of Gerber et al., we found that there was a significant difference in neurologic complications between the 2 groups (2). Epidemiologic investigations found that 2 of the 3 children lived on farms and may have acquired infection while playing near their homes (the other was acquired through foreign travel). Risk communication of VTEC infection to parents of young children who live in farming communities remains problematic, perhaps because of the perception that immunity has been acquired. Although this suggestion may be true for adults, children are likely to be immunologically naive. Salient public health messages on simple precautionary behavior need to be regularly reinforced because prevention of VTEC infection prevents HUS.

Identifying the major sources of risk in disease transmission is key to designing effective controls. However, understanding of transmission dynamics across species boundaries is typically poor, making the design and evaluation of controls particularly challenging for zoonotic pathogens. One such global pathogen is Escherichia coli O157, which causes a serious and sometimes fatal gastrointestinal illness. Cattle are the main reservoir for E. coli O157, and vaccines for cattle now exist. However, adoption of vaccines is being delayed by conflicting responsibilities of veterinary and public health agencies, economic drivers, and because clinical trials cannot easily test interventions across species boundaries, lack of information on the public health benefits. Here, we examine transmission risk across the cattle–human species boundary and show three key results. First, supershedding of the pathogen by cattle is associated with the genetic marker stx2 . Second, by quantifying the link between shedding density in cattle and human risk, we show that only the relatively rare supershedding events contribute significantly to human risk. Third, we show that this finding has profound consequences for the public health benefits of the cattle vaccine. A naïve evaluation based on efficacy in cattle would suggest a 50% reduction in risk; however, because the vaccine targets the major source of human risk, we predict a reduction in human cases of nearly 85%. By accounting for nonlinearities in transmission across the human–animal interface, we show that adoption of these vaccines by the livestock industry could prevent substantial numbers of human E. coli O157 cases.

Background Escherichia coli (E. coli) O157 is a virulent zoonotic strain of enterohaemorrhagic E. coli. In Scotland (1998-2008) the annual reported rate of human infection is 4.4 per 100,000 population which is consistently higher than other regions of the UK and abroad. Cattle are the primary reservoir. Thus understanding infection dynamics in cattle is paramount to reducing human infections. A large database was created for farms sampled in two cross-sectional surveys carried out in Scotland (1998 - 2004). A statistical model was generated to identify risk factors for the presence of E. coli O157 on farms. Specific hypotheses were tested regarding the presence of E. coli O157 on local farms and the farms previous status. Pulsed-field gel electrophoresis (PFGE) profiles were further examined to ascertain whether local spread or persistence of strains could be inferred. Results The presence of an E. coli O157 positive local farm (average distance: 5.96km) in the Highlands, North East and South West, farm size and the number of cattle moved onto the farm 8 weeks prior to sampling were significant risk factors for the presence of E. coli O157 on farms. Previous status of a farm was not a significant predictor of current status (p = 0.398). Farms within the same sampling cluster were significantly more likely to be the same PFGE type (p < 0.001), implicating spread of strains between local farms. Isolates with identical PFGE types were observed to persist across the two surveys, including 3 that were identified on the same farm, suggesting an environmental reservoir. PFGE types that were persistent were more likely to have been observed in human clinical infections in Scotland (p < 0.001) from the same time frame. Conclusions The results of this study demonstrate the spread of E. coli O157 between local farms and highlight the potential link between persistent cattle strains and human clinical infections in Scotland. This novel insight into the epidemiology of Scottish E. coli O157 paves the way for future research into the mechanisms of transmission which should help with the design of control measures to reduce E. coli O157 from livestock-related sources.

Lytic or lysogenic infections by bacteriophages drive the evolution of enteric bacteria. Enterohemorrhagic Escherichia coli (EHEC) have recently emerged as a significant zoonotic infection of humans with the main serotypes carried by ruminants. Typical EHEC strains are defined by the expression of a type III secretion (T3S) system, the production of Shiga toxins (Stx) and association with specific clinical symptoms. The genes for Stx are present on lambdoid bacteriophages integrated into the E. coli genome. Phage type (PT) 21/28 is the most prevalent strain type linked with human EHEC infections in the United Kingdom and is more likely to be associated with cattle shedding high levels of the organism than PT32 strains. In this study we have demonstrated that the majority (90%) of PT 21/28 strains contain both Stx2 and Stx2c phages, irrespective of source. This is in contrast to PT 32 strains for which only a minority of strains contain both Stx2 and 2c phages (28%). PT21/28 strains had a lower median level of T3S compared to PT32 strains and so the relationship between Stx phage lysogeny and T3S was investigated. Deletion of Stx2 phages from EHEC strains increased the level of T3S whereas lysogeny decreased T3S. This regulation was confirmed in an E. coli K12 background transduced with a marked Stx2 phage followed by measurement of a T3S reporter controlled by induced levels of the LEE-encoded regulator (Ler). The presence of an integrated Stx2 phage was shown to repress Ler induction of LEE1 and this regulation involved the CII phage regulator. This repression could be relieved by ectopic expression of a cognate CI regulator. A model is proposed in which Stx2-encoding bacteriophages regulate T3S to co-ordinate epithelial cell colonisation that is promoted by Stx and secreted effector proteins., Author Summary Many significant infectious diseases that impact human health evolve in animal hosts. Our work focuses on infections caused by strains of enterohemorrhagic Escherichia coli (EHEC) that cause bloody diarrhoea and life threatening kidney and brain damage in humans as an incidental host, while ruminants are a reservoir host. EHEC strains are infected with bacteriophages that can integrate their genetic material into the bacterial chromosome. This includes genes for the production of Shiga toxins (Stx) that are responsible for the severe pathology in humans. It has been demonstrated that certain EHEC strains are more likely to be associated with human disease and ‘supershedding’ animals. The current study has shown that these EHEC strains are more likely to contain two related Stx bacteriophages, rather than one, and that the intercalating bacteriophages take control of the bacterial type III secretion system that is essential for ruminant colonization. We propose that this regulation favours co-acquisition of other genetic regions that encode type III-secreted proteins and regulators that can overcome this control. This finding helps our understanding of EHEC strain evolution and indicates that selection of more toxic strains may be occurring in the ruminant host with important implications for human health.

Escherichia coli O157 infections are the cause of sporadic or epidemic cases of often bloody diarrhea that can progress to hemolytic uremic syndrome (HUS), a systematic microvascular syndrome with predominately renal and neurological complications. HUS is responsible for most deaths associated with E. coli O157 infection. From March 2002 to February 2004, approximately 13,000 fecal pat samples from 481 farms with finishing/store cattle throughout Scotland were examined for the presence of E. coli O157. A total of 441 fecal pats from 91 farms tested positive for E. coli O157. From the positive samples, a point estimate for high-level shedders was identified using mixture distribution analysis on counts of E. coli O157. Models were developed based on the confidence interval surrounding this point estimate (high-level shedder, greater than 10 3 or greater than 10 4 CFU g −1 feces). The mean prevalence on high-level-shedding farms was higher than that on low-level-shedding farms. The presence of a high-level shedder on a farm was found to be associated with a high proportion of low-level shedding, consistent with the possibility of a higher level of transmission. Analysis of risk factors associated with the presence of a high-level shedder on a farm suggested the importance of the pathogen and individual host rather than the farm environment. The proportion of high-level shedders of phage 21/28 was higher than expected by chance. Management-related risk factors that were identified included the type of cattle (female breeding cattle) and cattle stress (movement and weaning), as opposed to environmental factors, such as water supply and feed.

Scotland generally reports higher rates of infection with verotoxin-producing Escherichia coli O157 (VTEC O157) than other parts of the United Kingdom

Composite wild bird feces collected at regular intervals from a garden feeding station in southwest Scotland over a 3-year period were examined for verocytotoxin-producing Escherichia coli O157. One sample was positive for Escherichia coli O157. The isolate belonged to phage type 21/28 and possessed vtx 2 , eaeA , and enterohemorrhagic E. coli hlyA genes.

Escherichia coli O157:H7 is an important cause of diarrhea, hemorrhagic colitis, and potentially fatal human illness. Cattle are considered a primary reservoir of infection, and recent experimental evidence has indicated that the terminal rectum is the principal site of bacterial carriage. To test this finding in naturally colonized animals, intact rectum samples from 267 cattle in 24 separate lots were obtained immediately after slaughter, and fecal material and mucosal surfaces were cultured for E. coli O157 by direct and enrichment methods. Two locations, 1 and 15 cm proximal to the recto-anal junction, were tested. In total, 35 animals were positive for E. coli O157 at at least one of the sites and 232 animals were negative as determined by all tests. The frequency of isolation and the numbers of E. coli O157 cells were higher at the site closer to the recto-anal junction, confirming our previous experimental findings. We defined low- and high-level carriers as animals with E. coli O157 levels of 3 CFU g −1 or 3 CFU ml −1 and animals with E. coli O157 levels of ≥1 × 10 3 CFU g −1 or ≥1 × 10 3 CFU ml −1 in feces or tissues, respectively. High-level carriage was detected in 3.7% of the animals (95% confidence interval, 1.8 to 6.8%), and carriage on the mucosal surface of the terminal rectum was associated with high-level fecal excretion. In summary, our results support previous work demonstrating that the mucosal epithelium in the bovine terminal rectum is an important site for E. coli O157 carriage in cattle. The data also support the hypothesis that high-level fecal shedding (≥1 × 10 3 CFU g of feces −1 ) of enterohemorrhagic E. coli O157 results from colonization of this site.

To the Editor: Verotoxin-producing Escherichia coli (VTEC) of serogroup O157 causes severe gastrointestinal and renal illness; clinical signs may be mild diarrhea, hemorrhagic colitis, or hemolytic uremic syndrome (HUS). Typically, 10%–15% of reported VTEC infections quickly progress to HUS (1). Sorbitol-fermenting (SF)–O157 strains have emerged in continental Europe (2,3). Some evidence suggests that SF-O157 is more frequently associated with HUS than are non-sorbitol–fermenting strains (3–6). SF-O157 shows increased adherence to colonic epithelial cells and may in turn cause a more potent inflammatory host response, resulting in a higher risk for HUS (4). The potentially greater virulence of SF-O157 requires urgent identification of its reservoir(s) and vehicle(s) of infection, as well as determination of genetic or other predisposing factors for infection with this strain. To understand whether the host pathophysiologic responses to SF-O157 and non–SF-O157 strains differ, we analyzed a cohort of children with HUS who were infected with E. coli O157. During April and May 2006, Health Protection Scotland (HPS) identified 18 cases of verotoxin-producing SF-O157 infection in Scotland, 13 of which were associated with a nursery. HUS developed in 8 of the 18 patients; those with thrombotic microangiopathy were admitted to the renal unit of a specialist pediatric hospital, which immediately reports cases of HUS to HPS as part of national surveillance (7). To test the hypothesis that SF-O157 was more virulent than non–SF-O157, we performed an age-matched, nested case–case study of HUS case-patients and analyzed host clinical markers, treatment, and outcomes from SF-O157 and non–SF-O157 cases in 2006. Clinical questionnaires, patient information sheets, and consent forms were completed by clinicians for each case-patient and returned to HPS; data were entered into a database in Epi Info version 6 (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA). Statistical analysis by t test showed that nadirs for serum albumin were significantly higher for children with SF-O157 HUS (p = 0.03; Table) than for children with non–SF-O157 HUS and that children with SF-O157 HUS had significantly more sessions of hemodialysis than did children with non–SF-O157 HUS (p = 0.01; Table). All case-patients were oligoanuric; the 2 groups did not differ with respect to this parameter. Initial signs and symptoms were similar for both sets of patients, i.e., classic VTEC symptoms of bloody diarrhea and abdominal pain. This finding is in acccordance with those of other studies of SF-O157 outbreaks, which also noted signs and symptoms compatible with VTEC-associated gastroenteritis (5,6). Table Characteristics of patients infected with non–SF-O157 versus SF-O157 Escherichia coli, Scotland, 2006* Our study highlights a number of lessons. Medical practitioners rarely have the opportunity to recognize patients at such an appreciable and predictable risk of progressing rapidly to anuric renal failure as they do when they see children with early O157 infection. Failure to appreciate the potential gravity of O157 infection and the possible development of HUS may result in avoidable illness and even death. Our investigation of the prehospital management of SF-O157 and non–SF-O157 in this cohort found no difference in pharmacologic intervention or duration of delay in admission to hospital. Our study has limitations. A number of patients in the cohort were prescribed antimicrobial drugs and/or antimotility drugs or were sent home from the local hospital without hospital admission or further monitoring; such actions potentially exacerbate clinical outcomes (1,8). We recognize that comparison of the SF-O157 outbreak strain with non–SF-O157 strains (some of which caused sporadic cases) may be a potential confounding factor in the analysis. However, recently published work has indicated no statistically significant differences in the verotoxin proteins encoded by SF-O157 or non–SF-O157 strains or in their level of toxicity (9). Other virulence factors may contribute to increased likelihood of HUS (4). Our data suggest that infection with SF-O157 results in less severe colitis than does the more common non–SF-O157 infection. Less severe colitis could result in a lower risk for renal disease because less verotoxin would be translocated into the bloodstream and bound to the kidneys. However, patients infected with SF-O157 had anuria for longer periods and consequently had longer sessions of peritoneal and hemodialysis. Although unknown bacterial or host inflammatory cytokines may contribute to enhanced disease progression, this observation is surprising and requires further investigation. Additional research is needed to learn more about the virulence of SF-O157 strains and establish other host factors that contribute to disease progression.

Background E. coli O157 is a bacterial pathogen that is shed by cattle and can cause severe disease in humans. Phage type (PT) 21/28 is a subtype of E. coli O157 that is found across Scotland and is associated with particularly severe human morbidity.

Background Escherichia coli O157 is an important cause of acute diarrhoea, haemorrhagic colitis and, especially in children, haemolytic uraemic syndrome (HUS). Incidence rates for human E. coli O157 infection in Scotland are higher than most other United Kingdom, European and North American countries. Cattle are considered the main reservoir for E. coli O157. Significant associations between livestock related exposures and human infection have been identified in a number of studies. Results Animal Studies: There were no statistically significant differences (P = 0.831) in the mean farm-level prevalence between the two studies (SEERAD: 0.218 (95%CI: 0.141-0.32); IPRAVE: 0.205 (95%CI: 0.135-0.296)). However, the mean pat-level prevalence decreased from 0.089 (95%CI: 0.075-0.105) to 0.040 (95%CI: 0.028-0.053) between the SEERAD and IPRAVE studies respectively (P < 0.001). Highly significant (P < 0.001) reductions in mean pat-level prevalence were also observed in the spring, in the North East and Central Scotland, and in the shedding of phage type (PT) 21/28. Human Cases: Contrasting the same time periods, there was a decline in the overall comparative annual reported incidence of human cases as well as in all the major PT groups except 'Other' PTs. For both cattle and humans, the predominant phage type between 1998 and 2004 was PT21/28 comprising over 50% of the positive cattle isolates and reported human cases respectively. The proportion of PT32, however, was represented by few (P = 0.002). Conclusion There was no significant decrease in the mean farm-level prevalence of E. coli O157 between 1998 and 2004 in Scotland, despite significant declines in mean pat-level prevalence. Although there were declines in the number of human cases between the two study periods, there is no statistically significant evidence that the overall rate (per 100,000 population) of human E. coli O157 infections in Scotland over the last 10 years has altered. Comparable patterns in the distribution of PTs 21/28 and 32 between cattle and humans support a hypothesized link between the bovine reservoir and human infections. This emphasizes the need to apply and improve methods to reduce bovine shedding of E. coli O157 in Scotland where rates appear higher in both cattle and human populations, than in other countries.