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To establish a suitable pure electric bus arrival time prediction model, this paper takes pure electric bus as the research object. Based on the analysis of the influencing factors of the arrival time of the pure electric bus, the BP neural network arrival time prediction model optimized by the firefly algorithm (FA-BP prediction model) is established by selecting vehicle type, SOC value, battery age, and time as input conditions. The model is trained and tested by using bus operation data. The root mean square error of the Kalman filter model is 0.351, of the BP neural network model is 0.059, and of the FA-BP prediction model is 0.04. The results show that the model in this paper effectively improves the prediction accuracy and has good reliability and feasibility. It can provide some theoretical references for pure electric bus operation and managers and provide some basis for improving bus reliability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Transfer between the metro (underground railway system) and buses is standard in many cities, and the simultaneous arrival of these two modes can provide passengers with a smoother transfer experience. However, previous synchronous transfer studies rarely consider different public transport modes simultaneously. This paper presents an optimization model that maximizes the number of metro and bus network synchronizations considering the connection level. An improved algorithm that combines simulated annealing (SA) and artificial bee colony (ABC) is proposed. The best nectar source position in history is combined with the SA operation. The ABC and simulated annealing and improved artificial bee colony (SA–IABC) algorithms are used to solve the model using the Nanmendou metro station and the bus stations within 1.2 km around it in Fuzhou City, China. The results show that ABC and improved SA–IABC algorithms increase the synchronization times of the metro and bus network by 17% and 24% on average, respectively, without expanding the departure frequency. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The collaborative development of conventional buses and urban metro has become an important research topic for the priority development of urban public transport. The topic of collaborative optimization of feeder bus route design and operation is studied in this study. The objective function is to minimize the total travel time of passengers and the operation cost of feeder buses. The improved particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is used to solve the collaborative optimization model, and the effectiveness of the model and algorithm is verified through the case study. The research shows that it is feasible in model construction and algorithm to carry out collaborative optimization of feeder bus route design and operation. Compared with the multiple-to-one (M to 1) mode, the multiple-to-multiple (M to M) mode can better satisfy the needs of passengers from different places of departure and destinations to achieve a more reasonable and realistic goal. The case study is based on two metro stations and 16 feeder bus stops on Fuzhou Metro line 2 to obtain two bus routes and a corresponding operation scheme. Under the same topology road network, the operation time of the improved PSO algorithm is much shorter than the DFS algorithm, the total cost error of the feeder bus is 0.04%, and the departure frequency error is 4.6%, which is within the reasonable error range. Therefore, the collaborative optimization model proposed in this study is feasible and effective in optimizing the feeder bus routes and operation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Evaluating the reliability of a bus line can provide useful information on the service performance of the city's bus transit system and the need for improvements. This paper presents a reliability evaluation model of a bus line based on information entropy. The model integrates the weighted bus-stop index and the variation index of bus travel time. To better determine the weights of the bus stop, six indices were established based on three characteristics: passenger flow, bus-stop properties, and the environment. The proposed model was applied to typical bus lines in Fuzhou, People's Republic of China. The results show that most bus-stop reliabilities at the peak period were smaller than those at the off-peak period. In addition, for either peak or off-peak period, the reliability shows a slight upward trend following a gradual decline after the first stop, generally reflecting the influence of passenger flow, environment, and location factors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Limited by the low-frequency data acquisition, vehicle global positioning system (GPS) data are difficult to implement in the area of microtraffic simulation. Based on the functional design of mobile phone positioning technology, mobile phones can be used to acquire bus GPS data every second. In this paper, an analytical model is proposed to determine the parameters of signal coordination for bus priority along an arterial based on GPS data of mobile phones. First, bus priority evaluation indicators are established using bus GPS data, which are acquired by mobile phones. Second, the signal timing parameters of the arterial road are optimized, and a preliminary timing plan is developed by evaluating small changes in the plan. Finally, the corresponding final plan is developed using VISSIM micro simulation software. The feasibility of the analytical model is verified by simulating an actual arterial in Fuzhou city, China. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Prediction of bus arrival time is an important part of intelligent transportation systems. Accurate prediction can help passengers make travel plans and improve travel efficiency. Given the nonlinearity, randomness, and complexity of bus arrival time, this paper proposes the use of a wavelet neural network (WNN) model with an improved particle swarm optimization algorithm (IPSO) that replaces the gradient descent method. The proposed IPSO-WNN model overcomes the limitations of the gradient-based WNN which can easily produce local optimum solutions and stop the training process and thus improves prediction accuracy. Application of the model is illustrated using operational data of an actual bus line. The results show that the proposed model is capable of accurately predicting bus arrival time, where the root-mean square error and the maximum relative error were reduced by 42% and 49%, respectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]