1. The Limits of Test-Based Scrapie Eradication Programs in Goats
- Author
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Fabien Corbière, Pierrette Costes, Cécile Chauvineau-Perrin, C. Chartier, Francis Barillet, Myriam Thomas, Caroline Lacroux, François Schelcher, Olivier Andreoletti, Séverine Lugan, Isabelle Brémaud, Interactions hôtes-agents pathogènes [Toulouse] (IHAP), Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Ecole Nationale Vétérinaire de Toulouse (ENVT), Institut National Polytechnique (Toulouse) (Toulouse INP), Université Fédérale Toulouse Midi-Pyrénées-Université Fédérale Toulouse Midi-Pyrénées-Institut National Polytechnique (Toulouse) (Toulouse INP), Université Fédérale Toulouse Midi-Pyrénées-Université Fédérale Toulouse Midi-Pyrénées, Laboratoire d'études et de recherches caprines, Agence Française de Sécurité Sanitaire des Aliments (AFSSA), Station d'Amélioration Génétique des Animaux (SAGA), Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA), and Andreoletti, Olivier
- Subjects
Veterinary medicine ,Population level ,Epidemiology ,[SDV]Life Sciences [q-bio] ,lcsh:Medicine ,Scrapie ,Culling ,Prion Diseases ,0403 veterinary science ,Prevalence ,lcsh:Science ,2. Zero hunger ,0303 health sciences ,education.field_of_study ,Multidisciplinary ,Zoonotic Diseases ,Goats ,04 agricultural and veterinary sciences ,Classical scrapie ,Immunohistochemistry ,Veterinary Diseases ,Population Surveillance ,Medicine ,Female ,Research Article ,Test Evaluation ,040301 veterinary sciences ,Prions ,Population ,Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay ,Biology ,Sensitivity and Specificity ,Infectious Disease Epidemiology ,03 medical and health sciences ,Diagnostic Medicine ,Animals ,education ,030304 developmental biology ,Veterinary Prion Diseases ,Goat Diseases ,Population Biology ,lcsh:R ,Reproducibility of Results ,Herd ,Genetic selection ,lcsh:Q ,Veterinary Science ,Flock - Abstract
International audience; Small ruminant post-mortem testing programs were initially designed for monitoring the prevalence of prion disease. They are now considered as a potential alternative to genetic selection for eradicating/controlling classical scrapie at population level. If such policy should be implemented, its success would be crucially dependent on the efficiency of the surveillance system used to identify infected flocks. In this study, we first determined the performance of post-mortem classical scrapie detection in eight naturally affected goat herds (total n = 1961 animals) according to the age at culling. These results provided us with necessary parameters to estimate, through a Monte Carlo simulation model, the performance of scrapie detection in a commercial population. According to this model, whatever the number of tests performed, post mortem surveillance will have limited success in identifying infected herds. These data support the contention that scrapie eradication programs relying solely on post mortem testing in goats will probably fail. Considering the epidemiological and pathological similarities of scrapie in sheep and goats, the efficiency of scrapie surveillance in both species is likely to be similar.
- Published
- 2013