1. Improved Offline Contextual Bandits with Second-Order Bounds: Betting and Freezing
- Author
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Ryu, J. Jon, Kwon, Jeongyeol, Koppe, Benjamin, and Jun, Kwang-Sung
- Subjects
Computer Science - Machine Learning ,Computer Science - Information Theory ,Statistics - Machine Learning - Abstract
We consider the off-policy selection and learning in contextual bandits where the learner aims to select or train a reward-maximizing policy using data collected by a fixed behavior policy. Our contribution is two-fold. First, we propose a novel off-policy selection method that leverages a new betting-based confidence bound applied to an inverse propensity weight sequence. Our theoretical analysis reveals that our method achieves a significantly better, variance-adaptive guarantee upon prior art. Second, we propose a novel and generic condition on the optimization objective for off-policy learning that strikes a difference balance in bias and variance. One special case that we call freezing tends to induce small variance, which is preferred in small-data regimes. Our analysis shows that they match the best existing guarantee. In our empirical study, our selection method outperforms existing methods, and freezing exhibits improved performance in small-sample regimes., Comment: 36 pages, 8 figures
- Published
- 2025