1. Statistical causality analysis
- Author
-
Alexander A. Grusho, Nikolai A. Grusho, Michael I. Zabezhailo, Konstantin E. Samouylov, and Elena E. Timonina
- Subjects
finite classification task ,cause-and-effect relationships ,machine learning ,Electronic computers. Computer science ,QA75.5-76.95 - Abstract
The problem of identifying deterministic cause-and-effect relationships, initially hidden in accumulated empirical data, is discussed. Statistical methods were used to identify such relationships. A simple mathematical model of cause-and-effect relationships is proposed, in the framework of which several models of causal dependencies in data are described - for the simplest relationship between cause and effect, for many effects of one cause, as well as for chains of cause-and-effect relationships (so-called transitive causes). Estimates are formulated that allow using the de Moivre-Laplace theorem to determine the parameters of causal dependencies linking events in a polynomial scheme trials. The statements about the unambiguous identification of causeand-effect dependencies that are reconstructed from accumulated data are proved. The possibilities of using such data analysis schemes in medical diagnostics and cybersecurity tasks are discussed.
- Published
- 2024
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