1. Combined assessment of clinical and pathological prognostic factors for deciding treatment strategies for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma invading into the muscularis mucosa or submucosa after endoscopic submucosal dissection
- Author
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Tomohiro, Shimada, Waku, Hatta, So, Takahashi, Tomoyuki, Koike, Tetsuya, Ohira, Takuto, Hikichi, Yosuke, Toya, Ippei, Tanaka, Yusuke, Onozato, Koichi, Hamada, Daisuke, Fukushi, Ko, Watanabe, Shoichi, Kayaba, Hirotaka, Ito, Tatsuya, Mikami, Tomoyuki, Oikawa, Yasushi, Takahashi, Yutaka, Kondo, Tetsuro, Yoshimura, Takeharu, Shiroki, Ko, Nagino, Norihiro, Hanabata, Akira, Funakubo, Jun, Nakamura, Takayuki, Matsumoto, Katsunori, Iijima, Shinsaku, Fukuda, Atsushi, Masamune, Kei, Ito, and Goro, Shibukawa
- Subjects
Male ,Aged, 80 and over ,Mucous Membrane ,Treatment Outcome ,Endoscopic Mucosal Resection ,Esophageal Neoplasms ,Gastroenterology ,Humans ,Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and imaging ,Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma ,Prognosis ,Aged ,Retrospective Studies - Abstract
We aimed to clarify the prognostic factors for patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) invading into the muscularis mucosa (pT1a-MM) or submucosa (pT1b-SM) after endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD).This retrospective study enrolled such patients at 21 institutions in Japan between 2006 and 2017. We evaluated 15 factors, including pathological risk categories for ESCC-specific mortality, six non-cancer-related indices, and treatment strategies.In the analysis of 593 patients, the 5-year overall and disease-specific survival rates were 83.0% and 97.6%, respectively. In a multivariate Cox analysis, male sex (hazard ratio [HR] 3.56), Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) ≥3 (HR 2.53), ages of 75-79 (HR 1.61) and ≥80 years (HR 2.04), prognostic nutrition index (PNI)45 (HR 1.69), and pathological intermediate-risk (HR 1.63) and high-risk (HR 1.89) were prognostic factors. Subsequently, we developed a clinical risk classification for non-ESCC-related mortality based on the number of prognostic factors (age ≥75 years, male sex, CCI ≥3, PNI45): low-risk, 0; intermediate-risk, 1-2; and high-risk, 3-4. The 5-year non-ESCC-related mortality rates for patients without additional treatment were 0.0%, 10.2%, and 45.8% in the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups, respectively. Meanwhile, the 5-year ESCC-specific mortality rates for the pathological low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups were 0.3%, 5.3%, and 18.2%, respectively.We clarified prognostic factors for patients with pT1a-MM/pT1b-SM ESCC after ESD. The combined assessment of non-ESCC- and ESCC-related mortalities by the two risk classifications might help clinicians in deciding treatment strategies for such patients.
- Published
- 2022