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In this work, we consider the problem of uncertainty estimation for Transformer-based models. We investigate the applicability of uncertainty estimates based on dropout usage at the inference stage (Monte Carlo dropout). The series of experiments on natural language understanding tasks shows that the resulting uncertainty estimates improve the quality of detection of error-prone instances. Special attention is paid to the construction of computationally inexpensive estimates via Monte Carlo dropout and Determinantal Point Processes.

In this paper, we discuss how modern deep learning approaches can be applied to the credit scoring of bank clients. We show that information about connections between clients based on money transfers between them allows us to significantly improve the quality of credit scoring compared to the approaches using information about the target client solely. As a final solution, we develop a new graph neural network model EWS-GCN that combines ideas of graph convolutional and recurrent neural networks via attention mechanism. The resulting model allows for robust training and efficient processing of large-scale data. We also demonstrate that our model outperforms the state-of-the-art graph neural networks achieving excellent results.

Financial institutions obtain enormous amounts of data about client transactions and money transfers, which can be considered as a large graph dynamically changing in time. In this work, we focus on the task of predicting new interactions in the network of bank clients and treat it as a link prediction problem. We propose a new graph neural network model, which uses not only the topological structure of the network but rich time-series data available for the graph nodes and edges. We evaluate the developed method using the data provided by a large European bank for several years. The proposed model outperforms the existing approaches, including other neural network models, with a significant gap in ROC AUC score on link prediction problem and also allows to improve the quality of credit scoring.