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© 2015 Elsevier Ltd. Background: Mortality is an impractical primary endpoint for clinical trials in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis who have mild-to-moderate physiological impairment because event rates are low. Change in forced vital capacity (FVC) is widely accepted as a surrogate for mortality and is the most common primary endpoint in clinical trials for this disorder. Use of hospital admission as a predictor for mortality, independent of FVC decline, has not been well defined. We aimed to ascertain the independent and combined association of hospital admission and at least a 10% decrease in FVC with all-cause mortality. Methods: We did a pooled cohort study of 517 patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis from three IPFnet multicentre randomised controlled trials. We compared the incidence of non-elective hospital admission and a 10% or greater reduction in FVC across strata of baseline physiological impairment. We used Cox proportional-hazards models to assess the risk of all-cause mortality associated with these surrogate events, occurring up to a predefined landmark timepoint. The three studies are registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, numbers NCT00650091, NCT00517933, and NCT00957242. Findings: Seven patients died before the landmark timepoint. Of the 510 patients remaining, 38 (7%) were admitted to hospital up to the predefined timepoint and 58 (11%) had a categorical decrease in FVC of at least 10%. Most patients admitted to hospital did not have a 10% or greater decrease in FVC (30 vs eight). Both surrogate events were associated with subsequent time to death from any cause (hazard ratio [HR] for admission 4·05, 95% CI 1·36-12·11 vs HR for 10% or greater decline in FVC 4·68, 1·83-11·99). When causes of hospital admission were considered, only respiratory events were associated with mortality (5·97, 1·81-19·74). Interpretation: Hospital admission might be an appropriate component of a clinically meaningful composite endpoint that improves the feasibility of clinical trials in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Further studies are needed to refine the most appropriate definition of hospital admission for future trials. Funding: US National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI), and The Cowlin Family Fund at the Chicago Community Trust.

Relevant for various areas of human genetics, Y-chromosomal short tandem repeats (Y-STRs) are commonly used for testing close paternal relationships among individuals and populations, and for male lineage identification. However, even the widely used 17-loci Yfiler set cannot resolve individuals and populations completely. Here, 52 centers generated quality-controlled data of 13 rapidly mutating (RM) Y-STRs in 14,644 related and unrelated males from 111 worldwide populations. Strikingly, >99% of the 12,272 unrelated males were completely individualized. Haplotype diversity was extremely high (global: 0.9999985, regional: 0.99836–0.9999988). Haplotype sharing between populations was almost absent except for six (0.05%) of the 12,156 haplotypes. Haplotype sharing within populations was generally rare (0.8% nonunique haplotypes), significantly lower in urban (0.9%) than rural (2.1%) and highest in endogamous groups (14.3%). Analysis of molecular variance revealed 99.98% of variation within populations, 0.018% among populations within groups, and 0.002% among groups. Of the 2,372 newly and 156 previously typed male relative pairs, 29% were differentiated including 27% of the 2,378 father–son pairs. Relative to Yfiler, haplotype diversity was increased in 86% of the populations tested and overall male relative differentiation was raised by 23.5%. Our study demonstrates the value of RMY-STRs in identifying and separating unrelated and related males and provides a reference database. ispartof: Human Mutation vol:35 issue:8 pages:1021-1032 status: published

Summary Background Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis is a fatal disease for which no effective treatment exists. We assessed whether treatment with interferon gamma-1b improved survival compared with placebo in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis and mild-to-moderate impairment of pulmonary function. Methods 826 patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis were enrolled from 81 centres in seven European countries, the USA, and Canada. Patients were randomly assigned (double-blind) in a 2:1 ratio to receive 200 μg interferon gamma-1b (n=551) or equivalent placebo (n=275) subcutaneously, three times per week. Eligible patients were aged 40–79 years, had been diagnosed in the past 48 months, had a forced vital capacity of 55–90% of the predicted value, and a haemoglobin-corrected carbon monoxide diffusing capacity of 35–90% of the predicted value. The primary endpoint was overall survival time from randomisation measured at the second interim analysis, when the proportion of deaths had reached 75% of those expected by the study conclusion. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00075998. Findings At the second interim analysis, the hazard ratio for mortality in patients on interferon gamma-1b showed absence of minimum benefit compared with placebo (1·15, 95% CI 0·77–1·71, p=0·497), and indicated that the study should be stopped. After a median duration of 64 weeks (IQR 41–84) on treatment, 80 (15%) patients on interferon gamma-1b and 35 (13%) on placebo had died. Almost all patients reported at least one adverse event, and more patients on interferon gamma-1b group had constitutional signs and symptoms (influenza-like illness, fatigue, fever, and chills) than did those on placebo. Occurrence of serious adverse events (eg, pneumonia, respiratory failure) was similar for both treatment groups. Treatment adherence was good and few patients discontinued treatment prematurely in either group. Interpretation We cannot recommend treatment with interferon gamma-1b since the drug did not improve survival for patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, which refutes previous findings from subgroup analyses of survival in studies of patients with mild-to-moderate physiological impairment of pulmonary function. Funding InterMune.